银河宇宙线对1991年3月日冕物质抛射的监测

利用McMurdo 和Thule台站的观测资料以及我国广州宇宙线台站的观测资料，分 析了1991年3月24日特大磁暴的日冕物质抛射(简称：CME)的部分特征. 分析结果表明CME到 达磁层时，其运动 方向不是正对着磁层顶而是一定程度地偏向地球南半球；这次事件引起银河宇宙线强度出现 三次Forbush下降. CME中含有很强的磁场结构，最强的磁场结构是在1991年3月24日20：00U T 左右到达磁层的，在这期间它严重阻碍着银河宇宙线粒子南向进入到广州宇宙线观测站，在 24日21：00UT最强的磁场结构绕过地球到达磁尾；这次CME中含有较强的磁云.     

宇宙线小波分析在大地磁暴预报中的应用

利用Morlet小波变换方法对北京宇宙线台站的地面宇宙线强度在地磁暴前后的变化特征进行分析,得到:1)在平静期,北京宇宙线数据存在准24h周期性的特征,且通过分析周期为12h的Morlet小波"模",发现值稳定,且小于0.6;2)以90天为时间窗口,对2004年7月地磁暴前后的小波频谱变化进行详细分析,发现当发生大地磁暴时,宇宙线的静日准24h周期被打破,其他周期的波动开始增强.进一步研究发现,周期12h的波动在大地磁暴数小时到1天左右会出现显著增强,这一现象在2001、2002和2004年期间的大地磁暴前得到验证.3)Morlet小波"模"数据的急速增大是发生地磁暴的先兆特征,当小波模变化达到一定的阈值就可能发生大磁暴.本文分析了周期为12h时小波的模数据,对强地磁暴事件进行统计,选定阈值0.6,并通过2003年的6次大地磁暴进行预报验证,结果表明该方法不仅能够对大地磁暴事件进行预报,而且提前量满足预报需求,为基于宇宙线实测数据预报地磁暴方法提供了重要基础.     

第23太阳活动周期太阳风参数及地磁指数的统计分析

日冕物质抛射(Coronal Mass Ejection,简称CME)和共转相互作用区(Corotating Interaction Region,简称CIR)是造成日地空间行星际扰动和地磁扰动的两个主要原因,提供了地球磁暴的主要驱动力,进而显著影响地球空间环境.为深入研究太阳风活动及受其主导影响的地磁活动的时间分布特征,本文对大量太阳风参数及地磁活动指数的数据进行了详细分析.首先,采用由NASA OMNIWeb提供的太阳风参数及地磁活动指数的公开数据,通过自主编写matlab程序对第23太阳活动周期(1996-01-01—2008-12-31)的数据包括行星际磁场Bz分量、太阳风速度、太阳风质子密度、太阳风动压等重要太阳风参数及Dst指数、AE指数、Kp指数等主要的地磁指数进行统计分析,建立了包括269个CME事件和456个CIR事件列表的数据库.采用事例分析法和时间序列叠加法分别对两类太阳活动的四个重要太阳风参数(IMF Bz、太阳风速度、太阳风质子密度、太阳风动压)和三个主要地磁指数(Dst、AE、Kp)进行统计分析,并研究了其统计特征.其次,根据Dst指数最小值确定了第23太阳活动周期内的355个孤立地磁暴事件,并以Dst指数最小值为标准将这些磁暴进一步分类为145个弱磁暴、123个中等磁暴、70个强磁暴、12个剧烈磁暴和5个巨大磁暴.最后,采用时间序列叠加法对不同强度磁暴的太阳风参数和地磁指数进行统计分析.统计分析表明,对于CME事件,Nsw/Pdyn(Nsw表示太阳风质子密度,Pdyn表示太阳风动压)线性拟合斜率一般为正;对于CIR事件,Nsw/Pdyn线性拟合斜率一般为负,这可作为辨别CME和CIR事件的一种有效方法.从平均意义上讲,相较于CIR事件,CME事件有更大的南向IMF Bz分量、太阳风动压Pdyn、AE指数、Kp指数以及更小的Dstmin.一般情况下,CME事件有更大的可能性驱动极强地磁暴.总体而言,对于不同强度的地磁暴,Dst指数的变化呈现出一定的相似性,但随着地磁暴强度的增强,Dst指数衰减的速度变快.CME和CIR事件以及其各自驱动的地磁暴事件有着很多不同,因此,需要将CME事件驱动的磁暴及CIR事件驱动的磁暴分开研究.建立CME、CIR事件及地磁暴的数据库以及获取的统计分析结果,将为深入研究地球磁层等离子体片、辐射带及环电流对太阳活动的响应特征提供有利的帮助.     

甘肃嘉峪关、瓜州地电场日变化与地电暴差异机理分析

通过甘肃省嘉峪关台地磁场观测资料,研究嘉峪关台、瓜州台磁静日地电场日变化的时频特征波;由地电场分钟值观测数据的时序叠加残差方法,研究嘉峪关、瓜州山的地电暴变化。结果表明:(1)两台地电场静日变化以两次起伏变化为主,无相位差,但两台之间日变幅差异较大;(2)地电场分量变化与地磁场正交分量变化显著相关;地电场与地磁场日变波形不同,极值时间有差异。2个台存在很明显的高频成分,在去除了高频变化后,其优势周期也相同,从大到小依次为12 h、8 h、24 h。地磁场H分量因存在磁暴影响,故高频变化较多,在去除了磁暴影响后,其优势周期从大到小依次为24 h、12 h、8 h;(3)当电磁暴扰动剧烈时,两台可以较清晰地记录到地电暴的完整变化。在发生电磁暴时,地电场与地磁场的相关性明显降低,且不同台、不同测向之间的变化幅度也不尽相同。两台东分量E_Y暴日的日变幅较静日明显增大,磁暴期间Y分量变化率与地电场东分量E_Y观测数据显著相关,由此说明:两台日变幅的不同与台站台址电导率有关,太阳风引起的电离层活动是引起了地电场日变化主因。引起电暴的原因可能不同于引起日变化的原因,主要是两台之间及不同测向之间的浅、深层电阻率和地质构造等诸多因素的结果。     

高能质子能谱特征在日冕物质抛射影响预报中的应用

日冕物质抛射(CME)的规模和对地有效性是地磁暴预报中重点关注的特征.本项研究的目的是通过对行星际高能质子通量和能谱的特征与演化规律的分析,得到CME对粒子的加速能力,评估CME可能对地磁场造成的影响.在工作中,统计分析了ACE/EPAM的1998-2010年的质子数据,对质子能谱进行了拟合,得到了能谱指数,并对能谱指数及其变化特征所对应的CME和地磁暴进行了相关统计.通过研究发现:(1)能谱指数随着太阳活动水平而变化,高年最大,达到-2.6,而且涨落幅度也达到±0.4,而在太阳活动低年则稳定在-3.0左右;(2)CME对粒子的加速对应着能谱指数的升高,幅度达到20%时,CME引起地磁暴的可能性较大;(3)冕洞高速流到达地球时,高能质子通量也会升高,但能谱指数同时会有下降;(4)以2004年全年的能谱指数为例,对能谱指数在地磁暴预报中的应用进行了评估,结论认为,能谱指数的升高是CME引发地磁暴的必要条件,可以作为地磁暴预报的参数使用.     

汶川大地震前后的宇宙线强度变化特性分析

用两种数据处理方法对2008年5月12日14时28分发生的8.0级汶川大地震前和地震发生时北京、广州、Moscow、Irkutsk和Nagoya五个台站的宇宙线变化幅度特性进行了分析.研究发现,地震前、地震时北京台站的宇宙线强度均有一定的响应,其变化幅度分别达到了1.15%, 1.31%,而其它台站没有明显的响应,这可能为我们以后利用宇宙线对大地震进行警报提供了研究基础.     

我国宇宙线空间物理学的进展

本文介绍了宇宙线空间物理学在我国的形成和主要研究内容,包括:(1)空间探测,有火箭探测、卫星探测;地面宇宙线台站观测;宇宙线的水下测量;(2)宇宙线空间物理学研究,有宇宙线的日地传输;宇宙线强度变化与CME事件;宇宙线的源物质与加速过程;宇宙线的地球物理效应.最后提到宇宙线与人体健康,特别是流行性感冒、大的太阳质子事件与地震现象、太阳宇宙线事件与天气和气候等的统计研究.     

一种频率较低的ULF磁扰是地震前兆吗?

北京白家疃台的ULF磁感应仪投入运行以来，经常观测到一种频率比较低的ULF磁场扰动信号，其幅度和周期均随时间变化．由于不同于各种人为电磁源引起的干扰，所以，常常把它作为一种ULF地震电磁发射前兆．然而和磁照图的对比分析表明，这种磁扰信号都出现在磁暴发生期间，而且没有发现观测到这类信号没有磁暴的情形．因而，在目前的认识水平上尚不能把它作为一种ULF地震电磁发射前兆来看待．这种信号的主要特征是:在磁暴期间间断性地出现，每段信号出现的持续时间、信号段出现的频次和扰动幅度与磁暴的类型和磁暴的大小有关系．扰动的波形特征也与磁暴的类型有关．SC型磁暴与GC型磁暴相比，ULF磁扰的幅度较大，持续时间较长；K指数较大的磁暴期间出现的ULF磁扰比K指数较小的磁暴期间的幅度大、频次高、持续时间长，并且扰动信号的频率多变．ULF磁感应仪上的这种暴间磁扰的起始时间及最强信号出现的时段与磁照图上的磁暴的起始时间和最强信号出现的时段相比，不一致的居多数，相同的只有44%左右．扰动信号的周期从几秒到几百秒不等，强度一般介于0.04～8 nT之间．根据对上述信号的功率谱分析，ULF暴间磁扰的优势频率约为0.06 Hz，而且谐波上也有相当的能量分配.      

根据VLF的相位变化确定D层宇宙线强度变化的可能性

银河宇宙线是电离层D层的重要电离源之一,它的急剧变化会使D层电子密度发生改变,从而影响VLF波的夜间传播。本文根据在西安接收英国GBR台的VLF波（16kc/s）的相位变化,讨论了在有宇宙线暴（Forbush下降）和强磁暴时,中纬D层电子浓度的变化和相应的VLF波的相位漂移;并根据VLF的相位变化,估计了相应的宇宙线强度变化。由于D层中的宇宙线强度变化通常难于观测,通过VLF波的相位漂移来估计它,这是很有意义的。所以,VLF波的传播效应可能成为间接探测宇宙线强度变化的有用工具。     

佘山地磁台百年磁暴（一）——太阳周期变化

上海佘山地磁台位于中纬度地区,拥有逾百年的连续地磁场观测资料,非常有利于研究地磁活动的周期规律.本文利用该台站1908至2007年的100年磁暴记录,通过时序叠加、傅里叶分析和小波分析研究了磁暴的周期规律.结果表明：强磁暴具有显著的11年、22年和季节变化;弱中等磁暴没有明显的11年周期,并且季节变化的幅度较小.奇/偶太阳活动周相比,强磁暴的季节变化存在一定的差异,低年季节变化不明显,高年季节变化显著,并且偶数周的变化相对复杂.     

Cosmic ray flux variations,modulated by the solar and terrestrial magnetic fields,and climate changes. Part 2: The time interval from ∼10000 to ∼100000 years ago

A joint analysis of paleodata on variations in cosmic ray fluxes, solar activity, geomagnetic field, and climate during the period from ～10000 to ～100000 years ago has been performed. Data on the time variations in the concentration of ¹⁴C and ¹⁰Be cosmogenic isotopes, which are generated in the Earth’s atmosphere under the action of cosmic ray fluxes modulated by solar activity and geomagnetic field variations, were used to detect variations in solar activity and the geomagnetic dipole. Information about climate changes has been obtained mainly from variations in the concentration of stable isotopes in the natural archives. A performed analysis indicates that the variations in cosmic ray fluxes under the action of variations in the geomagnetic field and solar activity are apparently one of the most effective natural factors of long-term climate changeability on a large time scale.     

Solar proton event in December 2006

The variations in the rigidity spectrum and anisotropy of cosmic rays in December 2006 have been studied based on the surface measurements of the cosmic ray intensity at the global network of stations, using the method of global spectrographic survey. It has been indicated that the highest degree of anisotropy (to ～50%) with the maximal intensity of particles with a rigidity of 4 GV in the direction from the Sun (an asymptotic direction of about ?25° and 160°) was observed at 0400 UT on December 13. The parameters of the cosmic ray rigidity spectrum, which reflect the electromagnetic characteristics of the heliospheric fields during the studied period, have been determined when the surface and satellite measurements of protons in the energy range from several megaelectronvolts to several tens of gigaelectronvolts were jointly analyzed. The observed anisotropy and variations in cosmic rays in a wide energy range have been explained based on an analysis of the results.     

Cosmic rays during great geomagnetic storms in cycle 23 of solar activity

Variations in the cosmic ray intensity (specifically, Forbush effects) and in the geomagnetic cutoff rigidity planetary system during powerful geomagnetic disturbances in cycle 23 were studied based on worldwide station network data by the global spectrographic survey method. The cosmic ray variation spectra during these periods and the spectral indices of these variations when the spectrum was approximated by the power function of the particle rigidity varying from 10 to 50 GV during different Forbush effect development phases are presented. It was indicated that the spectral indices of cosmic ray variations during spectrum approximation by the power function of the particle rigidity are larger during the maximal modulation phase than during the cosmic ray intensity decline and recovery phases. The fact that the amplitude of the second harmonic of the cosmic ray pitch angle anisotropy did not increase on November 20, 2003, confirms that the Earth fell into a Sun-independent spheromark magnetic cloud. The increased amplitudes of the second harmonic of the cosmic ray pitch angle anisotropy during other Forbush effects in July 2000, March–April 2001, October 2003, and November 2004 indicate that the Earth was in the coronal mass ejection region, in which the interplanetary magnetic field structure was loop-like during these periods.     

Spectrographic analysis of events in cosmic rays in October–November 2003

Based on the multiplied neutron registration with the Magadan neutron monitor, the parameters of the spectrum of variations in the cosmic ray hardness and variation in geomagnetic cutoff rigidity for Forbush decreases and intensity increases, related to registration at a level of solar cosmic ray observation, have been determined using the spectrographic method. Results of an analysis indicate that the spectral index (represented in the power form) increases for Forbush decreases and decreases for increases in CR intensity. In the analyzed cases, geomagnetic cutoff rigidity decreases for intensity increases and Forbush decreases.     

Effects of solar and geomagnetic activities in variations of power spectra of electrical and meteorological parameters in the near-Earth atmosphere in Kamchatka during October 2003 solar events

We perform spectral analysis of records of meteorological (temperature, humidity, pressure of the atmosphere) and electrical (strength of quasi-static electric field and electric conductivity of air) parameters observed simultaneously at the Paratunka observatory during the solar events of October 21–31, 2003. Also, we use simultaneous records of X-ray fluxes of solar radiation, galactic cosmic rays, and the horizontal component of the geomagnetic field. We show that the power spectra of the meteorological parameters under fine weather conditions involve oscillations with a period of thermal tidal waves (T ～ 12 and 24 h) caused by the influx of thermal radiation of the Sun. During strong solar flares and geomagnetic storm of October 29–31 with a prevailing component of T ～ 24 h, their spectra involve an additional component of T ～ 48 h (the period of planetary-scale waves). With the development of solar and geomagnetic activities, the power spectra of atmospheric electric conductivity and electric field stress involve components of both thermal tidal and planetary-scale waves, which vary highly by intensity. In the power spectra of galactic cosmic rays accompanying the strong solar flares, components with T ～ 48 h were dominant with the appearance of additional (weaker by intensity) components with T ～ 24 h. The simultaneous amplification of components with T ～ 48 h in the power spectra of electric conductivity and electric field strength provides evidence of the fact that the lower troposphere is mainly ionized by galactic cosmic rays during strong solar flares and geomagnetic storms. The specified oscillation period with T ～ 48 h in their spectra, as well as in the spectra of X-ray radiation of the sun, is apparently caused by the dynamics of solar and geomagnetic activities with this time scale.     

Spatial-Energy Characteristics of Cosmic Rays and Parameters of Magnetospheric Current Systems in March and June 2015

The data from terrestrial observations of cosmic rays at the global network of stations by the method of spectrographic global survey were used to analyze two Forbush decreases during the geomagnetic storms in March and June 2015. The spectra of cosmic ray variations, pitch angle anisotropy of cosmic rays at different phases of Forbush decrease development, and the changes in the planetary system of geomagnetic cutoff rigidities are presented. It is shown that, during the approximation of the spectra of variations by the power function of particle rigidity in the interval of 10–50 GV, the spectrum index is softer at the maximum modulation phase than during the phases of cosmic ray intensity decline and recovery. In the axisymmetric model of the bounded magnetosphere of the Earth, which takes into account the currents at the magnetopause and the ring current, the distance to the subsolar point and the radius of the ring current, as well as the contribution of the ring current to the changes in geomagnetic cutoff rigidity and to the Dst index during the studied events, are determined.     

Long-term and transient time variation of cosmic ray fluxes detected in Argentina by CARPET cosmic ray detector

We present results obtained at El Leoncito (CASLEO, San Juan, Argentina) with the CARPET charged particles detector installed in April 2006. The observed modulation of the cosmic ray flux is discussed as a function of its time variability and it is related to longer solar activity variations and to shorter variations during solar and geomagnetic transient activity. Short period (few minutes, few hours) cosmic ray modulation events are observed during rain time (precipitation) and significant variations of the atmospheric electric field. Complementary observations of the atmospheric electric field indicate that its time variations play an important role in the detected cosmic ray event.     

Variations in the geomagnetic cutoff rigidity of cosmic rays at individual points of the Asian region during the extreme events of 2003

The variations in the geomagnetic cutoff rigidity in Irkutsk, Alma-Ata, and Beijing in October–November 2003 were calculated using ground-based measurements of cosmic ray intensity from the worldwide network of stations and GOES spacecraft. The calculated variations in geomagnetic cutoff rigidity are presented together with D _st variations of the geomagnetic field. The obtained results are compared to calculations performed using the Tsyganenko model of the magnetosphere.     

Variations in the quasi-static electric field in the near-Earth’s atmosphere during geomagnetic storms in November 2004

The effects of the geomagnetic storms of November 8 and 10, 2004, in variations in the strength and power spectra of the electric field in the near-Earth’s atmosphere in Kamchatka were studied, together with the meteorological and geophysical phenomena observed simultaneously. A sequence of strong solar flares was shown to cause an anomalous increase in air temperature and humidity. This resulted in the excitation of anomalously strong thunderstorm processes in the atmosphere during the storm of November 8 and made it impossible to distinguish the effects associated with cosmic rays on this background. During the storm of November 10, on the background of weak variations in meteorological parameters, an increase in the strength and intensity of power spectra of the electric field on the day before the storm of November 10 was detected; it was followed by an attenuation of these parameters on the date of the storm. These effects were supposed to be associated with the action of cosmic rays on currents of the global electric circuit. It was shown that the influence of the Forbush effect of galactic cosmic rays in the power spectrum of the electric field first of all shows as the amplification of the component with the period T ～ 48 h; in variations in humidity, the effect shows as the amplification of the component with T ～ 24 h. Cause-and-effect relationships between variations in the electric field strength and the horizontal component of the geomagnetic field were shown to be absent both under the conditions of “fair weather” and during the storm of November 10. A diurnal negative-difference atmospheric pressure was detected on the second day after the geomagnetic storms of November 8 and 10.