华北地区强震时空相关性特征分析

通过提出时空比例系数fts，从而引入时空距离这一概念，并因此将地震事件的时空属性耦合在一起．借助时空距离概念，对华北地区公元1500年以来的强震对进行了时空相关性分析．结果表明，当fts取10km/a时，强震对沿时空距离轴大致分为两类:时空距离小于140km的强震对彼此具有一定成因关系；而相距280km以上的强震则为互相独立的地震事件．该特征可为华北地区强震迁移规律的总结以及趋势预测提供参考．      

重复地震及其在人工探测中的潜在应用

本文研究了地球物理学家在重复地震（Doublet）研究方面取得的主要进展。针对天然重复地震数量少，区域分布有限，观测被动等问题，本文通过野外实验研究了人工震源信号的可重复性。由于人工震源位置已知，可随时主动激发，提出以此构建精确的人工重复地震，对于提高重复地震方法的可靠性与可行性具有重要意义，为进一步利用人工重复地震进行大尺度的地震探测奠定了基础。     

Analysis of Shallow and Deep Earthquake Doublets in the Fiji-Tonga-Kermadec Region

For the Fiji-Tonga-Kermadec area and for the period from January 1977 to July 2003, the Harvard CMT catalogue lists 1022 shallow, 410 intermediate and 633 deep earthquakes of moment magnitude from 4.9 to 8.0. The magnitude threshold, above which the catalogue is complete, is 5.3–5.4, and the number of earthquakes of magnitude above this value is 691 for shallow, 329 for intermediate and 476 for deep events, respectively. The proportion of earthquakes associated with doublets and multiplets against the total number of earthquakes is approximately the same in both data sets and therefore all earthquake pairs were considered regardless of their magnitude. We investigated all the pairs of earthquakes that occurred at a centroid distance of less than 40, 60 or 90 km from each other and within a time interval of 200, 300 or 450 days, depending on their magnitude. We found 208 pairs of shallow, 31 of intermediate and 92 of deep events. To ascertain whether these earthquakes in pairs are not connected by chance, the possibility of their occurrence in an uncorrelated Poissonian catalogue was considered. It was assumed that in such a catalogue the inter-event time is exponentially distributed, the earthquake magnitude follows the Gutenberg-Richter relation, and the distribution of centroid distances between the events in pairs is controlled by its non-parametric kernel estimate. The probability of the appearance of the observed proportion of doublets of shallow earthquakes in the Poissonian catalogue was found to be very low. The low probability of occurrence in a semi-random catalogue, created by randomising centroid locations in the actual data set, also indicates major importance of the distance criterion used for a doublet specification. In general, shallow earthquakes tend to form pairs at shorter distances and within shorter time intervals than deep earthquakes. Both the distance and the time intervals do not depend on the magnitude of involved events. The largest number of pairs of deep earthquakes is observed at a depth of about 600 km, and the proportion of deep events associated with doublets against the number of all events increases with depth. From comparison of the focal mechanism of earthquakes in pairs, measured by the 3-D rotation angle, it follows that deep earthquakes forming pairs have a more diverse focal mechanism than shallow events; the rotation angle for three quarters of shallow pairs and only for about one third of deep pairs is reasonably small. The azimuth between two events forming a doublet is in about 60–65% of cases close to the strike of one of nodal planes of the first or the second event.     

Seismic doublets and multiplets at Polish coal and copper mines

The following criteria for selection of doublets at Polish coal mines were accepted: the difference in magnitude (based on seismic moment) of two events not larger than 0.15, the distance between their hypocenters not greater than 150 m, and the time interval between their occurrence not longer than 10 days. Similarly, the criteria for seismic events at copper mines are: the difference in magnitude not exceeding 0.15, the distance not greater than 200 m, and the time interval not longer than 20 days. Seismic events from the Wujek and Ziemowit coal mines that occurred between 1993 and 1995, and seismic events from the Polkowice copper mine that occurred between 1994 and 1996 and from the Rudna copper mine that occurred between 1994 and 2004 were considered. Their source parameters and focal mechanisms were known in most cases from previous studies. Altogether 108 seismic pairs from coal mines and 118 pairs from copper mines were found, forming doublets, triplets and quadruplets, within the magnitude range from 0.7 to 3.5. The distance and time intervals between two events forming pairs are not dependent on magnitude of these events. The focal mechanism of seismic events forming pairs is similar in over 60 percent of pairs at coal mines and in about one third of pairs at copper mines. Spatial distributions of doublets in particular sections of coal and copper mines display dominant linear trends, characteristic for a given area, which are often in conformity with the direction of nodal planes determined by fault plane solution of one or both the events forming a doublet. In such cases, the rupture plane can be discriminated among the nodal planes.     

跨断层形变测量异常特征分析

在统计近40年我国强震前跨断层形变异常的基础上, 对异常持续时间、 异常空间分布、 异常幅度特征及它们之间的关系进行了分析, 讨论了跨断层形变观测异常特征和监测不同震级地震跨断层场地的最大间距及观测周期。 结果表明: 异常主要以中短期和中期异常为主, 尤其在震前1年内异常最多; 异常持续时间与震级呈正比例的关系; 异常在空间分布上有随震级增大而扩大的现象; 异常幅度有随异常持续时间增大而增大的趋势; 震中距在160~350 km范围内异常幅度较大; 异常形态主要分为趋势型和突变型两种。 监测不同震级的地震跨断层形变场地间距可以不同, 监测7级地震形变场地间距应小于450 km; 6级应小于300 km; 5级应小于200 km; 4级应小于100 km。 跨断层形变观测周期应不大于3个月。     

Changes in source and site effects compared to codaQ −1 temporal variations using microearthquakes doublets in California

We analyse spectral ratio of the coda of doublets of microearthquakes. Our purpose is to find evidence for temporal changes of the attenuation in the crust before a large magnitude earthquake. A Moving Window Cross Spectral analysis of the coda of doublets gives a plot of the spectral ratio as a function of lapse time along the seismogram, for several frequency bands (SR(T, f) plot). From a certain pattern in theSR(T, f) plot, we should infer a temporal change in coda attenuation. Several doublets recorded in Central California by the USGS network are analysed.Using events very close in time from one another, we show that the radiation pattern can be different enough to induce important variations in the spectral ratio of the first arrivals and of the coda.Another doublet exhibits a strong variation of the low frequencies for stations in the region of Hollister (California), wherePhillips andAki (1986) have noted a strong amplification of low frequencies, that they attribute to site effects on unconsolidated sediments in the fault zone. These variations could be related to slight changes in local conditions (creep, or water table).On the other hand, some doublets, in the vicinity and close in time to the August 1979 Coyote Lake Earthquake (M=5.9), show no variation inSR(T, f) related to this earthquake: this proves that there was no major change in attenuation in the crust preceding this large shock. If a change occurred, it should have been confined to a very limited region, which was not sampled by the many paths we studied.The employed method probably provides today the most accurate estimation of spectral ratio in the coda of microearthquakes. It shows that there are numerous kinds of variations and that it is not straightforward to relate them to coda attenuation changes only. Also, we must be circumspect when dealing with the coda of microearthquakes in relation to forecasting earthquakes.     

利用纯S波输入研究地震台站下方的横波速度结构

震中距在50°左右的深源远震,直达波S波震相波列可以与其他震相波列分离. 在层状介质中,本文通过传播矩阵方法得到由S波从台下底层输入获得地面理论地震图的新方法,并由此拟合了河北省两个地震台短周期S波记录,获得台站下方横波速度结构. 结果表明,红山台下13km和24km左右有S波低速层存在,地壳厚度为33.km;涉县台下18km和30km左右有S波低速层存在. 红山台下S波差异显著的2个低速层夹持的高速层、较薄地壳及上地幔顶部低S波速度结构,与166年邢台大地震有关. 考虑到S波速度对部分熔融体的敏感性,认为地壳S波速度结构可作为揭示强震深部背景的依据之一.     

岩石圈下部的速度结构

我们分析了中国华北平原以及沙特阿拉伯深地震测深的记录,发现P_n可以连续追踪到500公里以上,中间并无间断现象,而且在接收距离350-500公里之间,P_n后面有一到两个很强的续至震相,它们的速度与P_n相似,而能量比P_n更强。经与沉积层中薄层的野外实验结果以及室内超声波模型实验的结果相比较,我们得到这样的结论:岩石圈下部存在一至数个高速薄层,其厚度不超过一公里。地幔顶部物质的正常速度可能比薄层略低。岩石圈中薄层的存在对于岩石圈的演化过程具有重要的意义。     

河北遥测台网速报震级偏差与量规函数关系的研究

选取河北数字遥测地震台网自2001年11月正式运行至2004年6月所记录到的河北省及邻区64次较大的速报地震事件，计算单台震级与多台平均震级的偏差。分析发现，目前所用量规函数在震中距小于70km和大于390km时偏小，认为在大震速报中直接采用震中距70～390km的台站参与计算震级是一种更简便可行的办法；发现平均周期在0．2～0．6s的区间内△M相对稳定，因此，在读取最大振幅和周期时，应尽量避免较高频波段或较低频波段，如果是计算机自动读取振幅则应舍掉平均周期小于0．2s和大于0．6S的台站。     

近断层地震动最强速度脉冲方向分量特性研究

为了研究速度脉冲型地震动的最强速度脉冲方向分量与垂直或平行断层方向分量之间的特性差异,本文采用多分量速度脉冲识别方法从NGA-West2强震动数据库的236组近断层地震动速度脉冲记录中提取出最强速度脉冲方向分量,对其脉冲参数随震级M_W和断层距R变化的统计关系式进行了回归分析,并对比了最强速度脉冲方向分量与垂直或平行断层方向分量之间的特性差异。研究结果表明:当R＜30 km时,最强速度脉冲方向分量的脉冲幅值预测值较垂直或平行断层方向分量的预测值大,而当R＞30 km时,两种分量的脉冲幅值预测值相差不大,可以忽略;当M_W≤7.5时,最强速度脉冲方向分量的脉冲周期预测值比垂直或平行断层方向分量的预测值大,而当M_W＞7.5时,两种分量的脉冲周期预测值差异不大,可以忽略。      

A method for the interpretation of magnetic anomalies of dipping doublets

Summary A simple method for the interpretation of the vertical magnetic anomalies of dipping doublets is presented. In the first step, the line integrals of the anomalies along theX direction, which represent the anomalies of a vertical line double are utilised to obtain the depths to the two poles. In the second step, the profile alongY, through the point of intersection of the doublet with theX axis is used to determine the dip of the dipole.     

特定震源台站校正定位方法及在安徽霍山地区的应用

本文详细介绍一种地震定位方法--特定震源台站校正定位法(Source-Specific Station Term, SSST),并应用该方法对安徽大别山的霍山地区1976~2008年发生的地震进行重新定位研究.重新定位后,原震源位置的精度得以大大提高、空间上分布也更加紧凑.使用bootstrap法对定位偏差进行估计,得到E-W、N-S、U-D三个方向的定位误差分别为0.4 km、0.6 km、0.9 km;定位均方根残差得以很大程度上减小,其均值由定位前的1.34 s下降到定位后的0.11 s.文中比较了特定震源台站校正方法与双差方法,结果表明,相对于双差方法,特定震源台站校正法定位条件容易满足,定位后缺失地震较少且还具有一定的绝对定位作用.应用特定震源台站校正方法的结果对霍山区域的地震活动性进行分析,发现重定位后显示出3条明显的密集条带,由此划分出3个密集区并分析其时空分布特征,结果显示这3个密集区在深度上分布都具有较浅的特征,但随时间分布却有所差异.条件允许时,将来可以结合波形互相关技术进一步提高定位精度.     

THE VOLCANIC ACTIVITIES AND HAZARD PREDICTION OF WUDALIANCHI VOLCANIC BELT

More than 40 late Cenozoic monogenetic volcanoes formed a volcanic belt striking NNW from Keluo, through Wudalianchi to Erkeshan in NE China. These volcanoes belong to a unified volcano system, namely Wudalianchi volcanic belt(WVB for short). Based on the volcanic evolution history and the nature of monogenetic volcanic system, we estimate that the volcanic system of WVB is still active and has the potential to erupt again. Hence, this paper studied the temporal-spatial distribution and volcanic eruption types to evaluate the possible eruption hazard types and areas of influence in the future. Volcanic field characteristics and K-Ar radiometric data suggest two episodes of volcanism in the WVB, the Pliocene to early Pleistocene volcanism(4.59~1.00MaBP)and the middle Pleistocene to Holocene volcanism(0.79Ma to now). The early episode volcanoes are distributed only in the north of WVB(mainly in Keluo volcanic field), featured by effusive eruption, and mainly formed monogenetic shield, whose base diameter is large and slope is gentle. However, the late episode eruptions occurred over the entire WVB. The explosive eruption in this stage formed numerous relatively intact scoria cones of explosive origin. Meanwhile the effusive eruption formed widely distributed lava flows. Both effusive eruption and explosive eruption are common in WVB. The effusive eruption formed monogenetic shields and lava flows. The resulting pahoehoe lava, aa lava and block lava appeared in WVB. There are three end-member types of explosive eruption driven by magmatic volatile. Violent Strombolian eruption has the highest degree of fragmentation and mass flux, characterized by eruption column. Strombolian eruption has the high degree of fragmentation, but low mass flux, featured by pulse eruption. Hawaiian eruption has low degree of fragmentation, but high in mass flux, generating large scoria cones. In addition, this paper for the first time found phreatomagmatic eruption in WVB, which formed tuff cone. Transitional eruptions are also common in WVB, which have certain characteristics among the end-member eruption types. Besides, certain volcanoes displayed multiple explosive eruption types during the whole eruption span. According to the volcanic temporal-spatial distribution and eruption characteristics in WVB, the potential volcanic hazards in future are constrained. It appears that the violent Strombolian and Strombolian eruption will not have significant impact on aviation safety in the vertical direction. In the radial direction, the ejected volcanic bomb can reach as far as 1km from the vents and the fallout tephra may disperse downwind over a distance ranging from 1~10km. The major hazard of Hawaiian eruption and effusive eruption comes from lava flow, and its migration distance may reach 3.0~13.5km for pahoehoe lava and 2.9~14.9km for aa lava. The base surge in phreatomagmatic eruption can reach a velocity of 200~400m/s, and the migration distance is around 10km. This is a big threat that people should pay more attention to and take precautions in advance. Besides, it is necessary to strengthen the real-time observation of the volcanoes in the WVB, especially those formed in the late episode as well as near the active fault.     

几种常用地方震相对天然地震震源深度测定的误差解析分析及数值对比

本文从误差解析公式及数值模拟计算两种途径讨论了利用常用地方震相Pg,Sg,PmP,Pn,sPL测定震源深度的误差问题,结果表明,两种途径获取的误差值相当。对于上地壳的地震而言,当直达波走时误差处于0.1 s的量级时,若要将误差控制在3 km左右,则应选用震中距为30 km以内的台站;当走时误差处于0.2 s的量级时,若要控制同等误差,则应选用震中距为20 km以内的台站;如果地震位于下地壳,震中距可适当放宽,然而当震中距更大或走时误差更大时,震源深度的误差则近乎成倍增长。PmP,Pn,sPL对上地壳的震源深度测定误差要小于下地壳,同时对误差的控制较好,不会随震中距的增大而快速增大,震中距处于90 km范围以内且走时误差小于0.1 s时的深度误差基本均能控制在3.5 km以内。此外,本文还通过“棋盘格”的方式定量地分析了速度扰动对走时的影响,并以首都圈地区台网布局为基础,分析了加入首波对震源深度测定的改善效果。这两项数值对比结果均表明,在2%的速度扰动下,只要下地壳和莫霍面的速度参数不同时出现过大或过小现象,加入首波后对震源深度的测定误差则基本能控制在3 km以内,且一致性明显地高于单独使用直达波。      

Ometepec-Pinotepa Nacional,Mexico Earthquake of 20 March 2012 (Mw 7.5): A preliminary report

An analysis of local and regional data produced by the shallow, thrust Ometepec-Pinotepa Nacional earthquake (M_w 7.5) of 20 March 2012 shows that it nucleated at 16.254°N 98.531°W, about 5 km offshore at a depth of about 20 km. During the first 4 seconds the slip was relatively small. It was followed by rupture of two patches with large slip, one updip of the hypocenter to the SE and the other downdip to the north. Total rupture area, estimated from inversion of near-source strong-motion recordings, is ~25 km × 60 km. The earthquake was followed by an exceptionally large number of aftershocks. The aftershock area overlaps with that of the 1982 doublet (M_w 7.0, 6.9). However, the seismic moment of the 2012 earthquake is ~3 times the sum of the moments of the doublet, indicating that the gross rupture characteristics of the two earthquake episodes differ. The small-slip area near the hypocenter and large-slip areas of the two patches are characterized by relatively small aftershock activity. A striking, intense, linear NE alignment of the aftershocks is clearly seen. The radiated energy to seismic moment ratios, (E_s/M₀), of five earthquakes in the region reveal that they are an order of magnitude smaller for near-trench earthquakes than those that occur further downdip (e.g., 2012 and the 1995 Copala earthquakes). The near-trench earthquakes are known to produce low A_max. The available information suggests that the plate interface in the region can be divided in three domains. (1) From the trench to a distance of about 35 km downdip. In this domain M~6 to 7 earthquakes with low values of (E_s/M₀) occur. These events generate large number of aftershocks. It is not known whether the remaining area on this part of the interface slips aseismically (stable sliding) or is partially locked. (2) From 35 to 100 km from the trench. This domain is seismically coupled where stick-slip sliding occurs, generating large earthquakes. Part of the area is probably conditionally stable. (3) From 100 to 200 km from the trench. In this domain slow slip events (SSE) and nonvolcanic tremors (NVT) have been reported.The earthquake caused severe damage in and near the towns of Ometepec and Pinotepa Nacional. The PGA exceeded 1 g at a soft site in the epicentral region. Observed PGAs on hard sites as a function of distance are in reasonable agreement with the expected ones from ground motion prediction equations derived using data from Mexican interplate earthquakes. The earthquake was strongly felt in Mexico City. PGA at CU, a hard site in the city, was 12 gal. Strong-motion recordings in the city since 1985 demonstrate that PGAs during the 2012 earthquake were not exceptional, and that similar motion occurs about once in three years.     

Chromatographic separation of diasteriomeric isoprenoids for the identification of fossil oil contamination

In aliphatic hydrocarbon fractions of crude oils eight acyclic isoprenoid alkanes were separated from accompanying n-alkanes and iso-alkanes by high-performance glasscapillary gas chromatography. Four of these: 2,6,10-trimethyltetradecane (V), norpristane (IV), pristane (III), and phytane (II) could be resolved further to reveal a doublet produced by the different diastereoisomers.In these doublets the front peak represents stereoisomers formed during maturation of crude oil while the rear peak indicates the respective hydrocarbons carrying the original biogenic precursor configuration. This appearance of doublets demonstrates the loss of stereospecificity in hydrocarbons derived from phytol (I). By using the front peaks as diagenetic ‘maturity markers’ attributable to fossil fuels, hydrocarbon mixtures extracted from sea water samples contaminated with fossil oil could be investigated in detail. The quantitative relationship between recent biogenic and fossil fuel hydrocarbons could be determined in extracts in the lower boiling point range.     

Estimation of characteristic parameters in region-time-length algorithm and its application

On the basis of gap's temporal-spatial characteristics in and around source area before an earthquake, we propose a method to estimate characteristic parameters (characteristic distance and time) in the region-time-length (RTL) algorithm and introduce the method of correlation coefficient developed by some authors in 2006 to determine the characteristic parameters. The anomalous seismic activities before four moderately strong earthquakes occurred in the northwestern and southwestern China in recent years are studied by the two methods. The results show that the method to estimate characteristic parameters advanced in this paper is a simple one, which possesses a physical meaning and is well applicable to the four moderately strong earthquakes studied.     

Interaction between a surface jet and subsurface vortices in a three-layer quasi-geostrophic model

This study focuses on the interaction between mid depth vortices and surface jets and fronts in a three-layer quasi-geostrophic model. Such vortices may be regarded as an idealisation of meddies, eddies of Mediterranean Water in the Northeastern Atlantic Ocean, interacting with the Azores j t and front. Successively, a single vortex, a vortex doublet and a vortex pair (in the middle layer) are studied. When a single vortex is considered, the jet has a critical effect of its motion, temporarily slowing down its zonal drift and accelerating it meridionally as the vortex crosses the front. On the contrary, if the vortex does not cross the front, it can drift fairly rapidly along it. The merger of a vortex doublet (two like-signed vortices) below a surface jet is possible whatever the relative position of this doublet with respect to the jet axis. Nevertheless, doublets initially located below the front, will undergo stronger shear and merger efficiency will be diminished. The merged vortex will be circled at the surface by a large meander of the jet. Finally, eastward jet-dipole interaction experiments are performed with various orientations of the vortex dipoles. Eastward propagating dipoles below the jet follow it without deformation. Southeastward drifting dipoles finally join the previous evolution. Southward and southwestward directed dipoles cross the surface jet southeastward. The presence of meanders initially on the jet does not prevent its crossing by a single vortex. Characteristics of the surface jet meanders are also described for a possible remote detection of this process.     

ldquo;区域-时间-长度rdquo;算法中特征参数的估计及应用

根据地震前震源及周围地区出现的空区的时空特征， 提出了一种估计ldquo;区域-时间-长度rdquo;算法中特征参数（特征距离和特征时间）的方法， 并介绍了2006年一些学者提出的用相关系数估计特征参数的方法. 用这两种方法研究了近年来发生在中国大陆西北和西南地区的4次中强地震前的地震活动异常特征. 结果表明， 本文提出的估计特征参数的方法是一种具有物理意义、 使用简单的方法， 对中国大陆西北和西南地区的4次中强震的应用都有较好的效果.      

Response of vertical deformation on faults to remote strong earthquakes

Vertical coseismic deformation on non-causative fault caused by remote strong earthquakes(epicentral distance≥1500 km,MS≥7.0)are observed by fault-monitoring instruments of new type during recent two years.The monitor-ing result shows,delay time,maximum amplitude and duration of vertical deformation on the non-causative faulthave remarkable close relationship with earthquakes magnitude and epicentral distance.The delay time of verticalcoseismic deformation have positive linear relationship with epicentral distance.The velocity of coseismic defor-mation is 5.5 km/s,close to the velocity of surface wave in granite.The logarithms of maximum amplitude of co-seismic deformation and epicentral distance have remarkable linear relationship with magnitude.The greater themagnitude and the closer the epicentral distance are,the bigger the maximum amplitude of coseismic deformationon non-causative fault will be.Relative to the epicentral distance,the magnitude is the most important factor to theduration of coseismic vertical deformation on the non-causative fault.Stronger earthquake causes longer vibrationduration of coseismic deformation.The experiential equation of co-seismic deformation faults obtained by thiswork is significant on the coseismic deformation research.