宁蒗地震的应变短临异常分析

1998年10月至1999年1月，在宁蒗与盐源之间发生了5次5级以上地震。通过对西昌台压容应变仪原始观测数据进行处理，突出了该系列地震的应变短临异常信息。     

武都两水地应力台震前应变短临异常特征

武都两水地应力台震前应变短临异常特征１前言甘肃武都地区两水地应力台站建于１９７１。该站处于多组构造的交汇复合部位，据多年观测发现，该站是地震前兆监测的敏感部位。从１９９１年１２月开始，该台使用ＲＺＢ－Ⅱ型压容应变仪观测，通过两年来的观测发现，该仪器灵...     

二次地方震前的体应变短临异常

2001年11月3日和12月25日在江苏省张家港和南通分别发生ML3．7、ML3．9级地震。南通台体应变观测在这二次地方震前出现了形态相同的突跳性异常变化，对异常进行了分析、判断，排除了环境和气象因素的干扰，认为是这二次地方震的前兆反映。     

山西井水位短临异常分析

通过对山西地下水动态井冈,在山西地震带几次中强地震前,表现出异常变化情况的分析,获得一批有价值的短临异常资料,这些异常资料对利用地下水预报地震具有参考意义;另一方面说明在有发震背景地区实现短临跟踪是完全有可能的.     

宁蒗5.5级地震永胜台定点地形变短临前兆特征

分析了宁蒗5.5级地震前,永胜地震台FSQ型浮子水管倾斜仪的短临异常特征,总结出短临形变异常的几种类型,并得出若干结论。     

云南丽江7.0级地震四川部分短临前兆异常分析

利用四川省地震局的数据资源，进行计算机扫描，研究中短期尤其是临震异常信息，发现大地震前所记录到的固体潮观测逐时值曲线，与地磁日变形态曲线，多发生了一定异常变化。这一发现捕卟未来大地震前兆临震信息判别提供重要参考。文章最后为捕捉临震异常信息，提出需要采取的措施及建议。     

朝阳4．2级地震短临异常分析

朝阳４．２级地震前，辽西地区出现了一批具有前兆性质的短临异常，其中包括水氧、水汞、水温、水动态和电磁波等．它们在临震前变化明显，在时间和空间上基本同步，显示了一个整体活动图象．     

乌拉特前旗4.8级地震前乌加河地震台定点形变短临异常分析

2001年6月5日乌拉特前旗发生4．8级地震，震中距乌加河台南东80km，震前乌加河台形变出现短临异常显示，震前1－3日观测值超出正常日变值2倍以上，观测人员及时反馈信息，及时跟踪通报异常信息，应用系统前光计算方法滤波、速率检验，该台资料对此地震映震效果较好。本文着重讨论震前出现的短临异常信息。     

古田地震水口水电站重力坝强震观测记录HHT分析

利用HHT变换研究2008年3月6日福建古田ML4.6地震中,水口水电站重力坝强震反应台阵获取的强震反应观测资料的时频特性及重力坝结构动力特性,得到如下结论:(1)强震记录能量集中在0～15Hz频段和10～15s时段;(2)重力坝顺河向主频为3.7Hz。分析结果对认识水库地震近场地震动特性和重力坝地震反应有一定的实际意义。     

苏联斋桑7.3级地震前新28井短临异常分析

1990年6月14日20时47分,在新疆哈巴河县以西苏联斋桑发生了7.3级强烈地震。震中位于北纬48°06′,东经85°03′。此次地震有感范围较大,除阿勒泰地区、塔城地区以及克拉玛依、奎屯等市强烈有感外,石河子、乌鲁木齐、库尔勒和伊犁等地区也均有震感。1990年8月3日在原震中附近(北纬47°07′,东经85°01′)又发生了一次6.8级强烈余震。有感范围比主震小。     

安徽省数字化地电阻率干扰与短临异常研究

通过对安徽省数字化地电阻率观测数据的分析,总结了常见的干扰因素,并尝试整理和研究了台站周边显著地震前数字化地电阻率的短临异常及形态特征,对未来利用数字化地电阻率数据捕捉地震短临异常具有一定的意义。     

Preliminary inquiry into the causes of anomaly increase of air temperature by an impending earthquake

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综合异常指数方法在华北地区地震短期预测中的应用研究

在系统分析并筛选出华北地区地震频度、地震活动标度、mf值、调制比、b值、D值、η值、地震活动强度熵和地震活动时间熵等映震较好的9项测震学参数基础上,应用综合异常指数方法,分别计算了它们各自的地震异常指数时序值,进而合成得到华北地区测震学综合异常指数时序曲线,通过研究其地震短期异常特征,给出了华北地区ML≥5.8地震短期综合预测的判据指标,经R值评分检验表明,该指标具有较好的地震预测效能。     

地电场短临预报方法研究

根据1968年注意到震前电场变化与地下水位变化及断层活动有关的理论研究, 认为震前电场变化可能是过滤电势机制引起的。 鉴于地下流体压力分布不均匀、 断层阀作用及地下电流密度与流体流的耦合方程, 特别是由于电场异常显示出快急始慢衰减的特殊图型, 电场异常有的与废油井间歇自喷有关, 有的与流体压力增高有关, 故认为过滤电势作为电场前兆机制是合理的。 实验表明铅板电极可以用来记录电场前兆。 唐山和海城特大地震时和震前, 电场水平分量或垂直分量出现同震效应或震前异常。 利用地电场的异常变化预测地震在国内外均有成功的震例, 地电场法测量技术较为简便, 可做为地震短临预报的一种手段。     

基于HHT的结构强震记录分析研究

本文利用HHT(Hilbert-HUang Transform)研究了结构强震记录的时频特性及结构动力特性。介绍了一座7层钢混框架结构及其强震观测台阵概况以及经历的地震情况,选择了在3次有代表性地震中的强震记录,利用一种新的非平稳信号处理方法HHT对记录进行了处理和分析,得到了该结构强震记录的时频幅值三维分布以及边际谱,并将边际谱与傅里叶谱进行了对比,识别了结构的自振频率。研究表明,对结构强震记录这种强非平稳信号,可以利用HHT分析得到能量集中分布的频段与时间范围。HHT边际谱与傅里叶谱相比,在低频部分幅值要大于傅里叶谱,而在高频部分,幅值要小于傅里叶谱。利用结构强震记录识别的自振频率比环境振动测试结果要小。     

地磁HHT频谱分析在地震预测中的应用

利用希尔伯特-黄变换方法,对成都、重庆、拉萨地磁台记录到的汶川M_S 8.0地震、汶川地震余震地磁数据进行分析处理,发现在4级及以上中强度地震前3个月内地磁相对观测HHT频谱中能观测到一定程度的地震前兆异常,各分量的优势频率大部分在0.01 Hz,但并不是距震中300 km内的每个台站的地磁相对观测分量HHT频谱中都能明显地观测到异常,这可能与台站所处的构造位置有关。     

Application of wavelet analysis to crustal deformation data processing

The time-frequency analysis and anomaly detection of wavelet transformation make the method irresistibly advantageous in non-stable signal processing. In the paper, the two characteristics are analyzed and demonstrated with synthetic signal. By applying wavelet transformation to deformation data processing, we find that about 4 months before strong earthquakes, several deformation stations near the epicenter received at the same time the abnormal signal with the same frequency and the period from several days to more than ten days. The GPS observation stations near the epicenter all received the abnormal signal whose period is from 3 months to half a year. These abnormal signals are possibly earthquake precursors. Foundation item: Joint Seismological Science Foundation of China (604021) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (40074024).     

Application of wavelet analysis to crustal deformation data processing

Introduction The study mainly focused on tidal information, i.e. earth tide in the continuous deformationdata processing and analysis before. And the analysis methods used were specially for earth tideonly. As to the medium-long period and non-tidal information, fitting and filtering are not the bestmethods. Because they are not able to reflect the variation process of frequency information withtime and to distinguish and extract more earthquake information, although they can eliminateyea…     

Fault deformation anomaly and intermediate and short-term prediction of the Jingtai M_s=5.9 earthquake

IntroductionOn June 6, 2000, an earthquake of MS=5.9 occurred in Jingtai county, Gansu Province. The epicenter (37.1(N, 104.0(E) was located in Maomaoshan-Laohushan zone of the western segment of Liupanshan-Haiyuan fault along the northeastern margin of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, where is the middle-eastern part of crustal deformation monitoring area of Gansu-Ningxia- Qinghai region. There are more than 50 spanning-fault mobile monitoring sites in the earthquake area and its vicinity (Fig…     

Fault deformation anomaly and intermediate and short-term prediction of the Jingtai M s=5.9 earthquake

The time-space distribution characteristics of fault deformation anomaly in the near-source region and its outlying zone in the seismogenic process of the Jingtai M _s=5.9 earthquake occurred on June 6, 2000 in Gansu Province is studied preliminarily. The distribution scope of fault deformation anomaly before the earthquake is wide, the anomaly shape is complicated and the pattern anomalous zone of fault deformation (strain) information index is obvious. The shape and amplitude of fault deformation anomaly in different regions differ significantly, which is closely related with the tectonic location of anomaly. The fault deformation anomaly of α, β, and γ phases along the western segment of Haiyuan fault zone shows the process from the quasi-linearity to non-linearity of fault movement in the near-source region, matches the high-value anomalous area of fault deformation (strain) information index, and reflects the high strain accumulation in the seismogenic region. However, the anomaly of abrupt jump and cusp with a large amplitude occurred in the areas far from the earthquake, such as Liupanshan fault zone which is the tectonic convergent section does not reflect the strain accumulation of its location, maybe it is a sign that the regional tectonic stress field is strengthened in the seismogenic process. Based on the above-mentioned facts and combined with the preliminary summary of experiences and lessons in the intermediate and short-term prediction of the Jingtai M _s=5.9 earthquake, we study and explore the application of fault deformation anomaly to earthquake judgment. Foundation item: National Key Basic Research Development Program (G1998040703 and G1998040705), and State Scientific and Technological Project of the “Ninth Five-Year Plan” (96-913-09-01-02-03 and 96-913-09-02-02-03), China.