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1.
以典型干旱内陆河流域石羊河为例,将GIS技术、最小累积阻力(minimum cumulative resistance,MCR)模型和CLUE-S(conversion of land use and its effects at small regional extent)模型应用到该流域土地利用优化配置研究中。通过景观安全格局理论构建土地利用生态安全格局,基于土地利用空间分布和驱动因子的定量关系,提出一种基于生态安全格局的土地利用情景模拟方法,借助1986年、2000年和2014年3期土地利用数据对石羊河流域生态安全格局情景、耕地保护情景和自然发展情景3种模式下2030年的土地利用结构和布局进行了优化配置,并对优化配置结果进行比较分析。结果表明,在生态安全情景下耕地有所减少,林地、草地和水域有较明显增加;耕地保护情景以土地开发和整治及宅基地还耕为主要目标,科学有效控制了建设用地规模,大力开发未利用地潜力;自然发展情景综合考虑了目前发展情况和宏观政策指导下各土地利用类型的数量及空间结构发展情况。综合考虑石羊河流域社会经济、生态及耕地保护等多方面的因素,研究结果认为耕地保护情景更为合理,其它两种情景可为耕地保护情景进行补充和局部修正。该结果可为石羊河流域土地利用总体规划和生态保护提供参考。  相似文献   

2.
基于支持向量机的元胞自动机及土地利用变化模拟   总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11  
杨青生  黎夏 《遥感学报》2006,10(6):836-846
提出了利用遥感数据,并采用支持向量机来确定元胞自动机非线性转换规则的新方法。元胞自动机在模拟复杂地理现象时,需要采用非线性转换规则。目前元胞自动机主要采用线性方法来获取转换规则,在反映复杂的非线性地理现象时有一定的局限性。以城市扩张的模拟为例,将模拟城市系统的主要特征变量映射到Hilbert空间后,通过SVM建立最优分割超平面,分割超平面的分类决策函数由径向基核(Radial Basis Kernel)构造。利用历史遥感数据校正超平面的决策函数,确定城市元胞自动机的非线性转换规则,计算出城市发展概率。利用所提出的方法,对深圳市1988-2010年的城市发展进行了模拟,取得了较理想的模拟效果。研究结果表明,基于SVM-CA模型的模拟精度比传统MCE方法模拟精度高,MoranⅠ指数与实际更为接近。  相似文献   

3.
上海市土地利用时空变化及驱动力分析   总被引:14,自引:5,他引:14  
土地利用/土地覆被变化(LUCC)是全球变化研究的重要组成部分,是人类活动对自然环境施加影响的显著表现形式。本文基于不同时期的遥感数据,获取不同时段的土地覆盖信息,通过空间信息分析,对上海市15a(1985~2000年)土地利用变化进行分析,揭示了土地利用变化的定量时空特征,分析了土地利用数量变化特征。在综合分析的基础上,探讨了上海市土地利用变化的驱动机制。  相似文献   

4.
The objectives of this study are to assess land suitability and to predict the spatial and temporal changes in land use types (LUTs) by using GIS-based land use management decision support system. A GIS database with data on climate, topography, soil characteristic, irrigation condition, fertilizer application, and special socioeconomic activities has been developed and used for the evaluation of land productivity for different crops by integrating with a crop growth model—the erosion productivity impact calculator (EPIC). International food policy simulation model (IFPSIM) is also embedded into GIS for the predictions of how crop demands and crop market prices will change under alternative policy scenarios. An inference engine (IE) including land use choice model is developed to illustrate land use choice behavior based on logit models, which allows to analyze how diversified factors ranging from climate changes, crop price changes to land management changes can effect the distribution of agricultural land use. A test for integrated simulation is taken in each 0.1o by 0.1o grid cell to predict the change of agricultural land use types at global level. Global land use changes are simulated from 1992 to 2050.  相似文献   

5.
Along with rapid global urbanization, cities are challenged by environmental risks and resource scarcity. Sustainable urban planning is central to address the dilemma of economic growth and ecosystem protection, where the use of land is critical. Sustainable land use patterns are spatially explicit in nature, and can be structured and addressed using spatial optimization integrating GIS and mathematical models. This research discusses prominent sustainability concerns in land use planning and suggests a generalized multi‐objective spatial optimization model to facilitate conventional planning. The model is structured to meet land use demand while satisfying the requirements of the physical environment, society and economy. Unlike existing work relying on raster data, due to its simple data structure and ease of spatial relationship evaluation, this research develops an approach for identifying land use solutions based on vector data that better reflects the actual shape and spatial layout of land parcels as well as the ways land use information is managed in practice. An evolutionary algorithm is developed to find the set of efficient (Pareto) solutions given the complexity of vector‐based representations of space. The proposed approach is applied in an empirical study of Dafeng, China in order to support local urban growth and development. The results demonstrate that spatial optimization can be a powerful tool for deriving effective and efficient land use planning strategies. A comparison to results using a raster data approach supports the superiority of land use optimization using vector data as part of planning practice.  相似文献   

6.
IntroductionAgriculturallandusepatternsandtheirchangesaretightlyrelatedwithagriculturepolicyandfoodsecurityissuesundergrowingfooddemand,assess mentofglobalclimatechangeimpactsonagricul ture,environmentalissuesduetotheintensificationofagriculturallandusessuchaswaterpollution,soildegradation,andrecentlywaterscarcityissues.Soasustainableandholisticplanningandmanage mentoflandresourcesshouldcombineallthesere latedinformationwithefficienttoolsforassessmentandevaluationinordertopermitbroad ,interact…  相似文献   

7.
The rapid growth of urban population in India is a cause of concern among country??s urban and town planners for efficient urban planning. The drastic growth of urban areas has resulted in sharp land use and land cover changes. In recent years, the significance of spatial data technologies, especially the application of remotely sensed data and geographical information systems (GIS) has been widely used. The present study investigates the urban growth of Tiruchirapalli city, Tamilnadu using IRS satellite data for the years 1989, 1992, 1995, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007, and 2010. The eight satellite images are enhanced using convolution spatial enhancement method with Kernel (7?×?7) edge enhance function. Supervised classification method is used to classify the urban land use and land cover. The GIS is used to prepare the different layers belonging to various land uses identified from remotely sensed data. The analysis of the results show the drastic increase of built up area and reduced green cover within the city boundary limit.  相似文献   

8.
模拟和预测土地利用演变过程是规划者把握城市扩张趋势,从而确定更合理的城市用地布局的重要途径之一,对指导国土空间规划具有重要意义.研究基于CA原理改进的FLUS模型,通过耦合GeoSOS-FLUS及ArcGIS软件,从2011年土地利用数据中获取元胞转换概率,模拟了2018年土地利用变化情况.模拟精度较高,证明选取的模拟...  相似文献   

9.
针对单一应用遥感影像难以进行城市内部用地结构分类以及高精度城市内部用地多期空间数据叠置分析中位置误差问题建立了基于"分层分类"与"对象分割"的城市内部用地空间信息数字重建方法。实现对特大城市产业用地(住宅、商业、工业等)以及交通、水系、生态绿地等不同功能结构用地的高精度监测以及历史演变过程的重建。综合集成SPOT5,1︰1万地形图、历史地图及城市规划图等辅助信息对长春城市1905年以来城市用地信息进行分类。研究表明,在专家知识参与下人—机交互解译,集成多源空间信息对实现高精度城市用地空间信息重建具有较高的应用价值,该方法不仅能提高城市用地分类精度而且能提高城市用地空间信息提取效率以及多期空间数据叠置分析的定位精度。  相似文献   

10.
During the last six decades, Kuwait has experienced rapid and unprecedented population growth with only a small increase in the urban areas. The alarming rise in urban density in Kuwait has caused issues for the residents' lifestyles, the economy and the environment. These issues have been aggravated by urban planning which perpetuated a city‐centric urban form without modelling the impacts of current patterns of urban growth. A spatial model using Agent Based Modelling (ABM) and Geographical Information Systems (GIS) is proposed to model disaggregate future changes in land‐use patterns given forecast population estimates and planning policies. The two main impacts considered are housing shortage and traffic congestion, as these are the two most significant social impacts for Kuwaitis. This article discusses the design methodology and parameterization of the ABM and the agent groups. It characterizes urban growth by rules for different citizen groups, historical growth patterns and the influence of decision‐makers. The model is validated against data for the period 1995‐2015 and simulations run to 2050; the results predict that continued city‐centric growth will aggravate the problems, with more than 50% increase in housing shortage and congestion unless the government intervenes to rectify the situation.  相似文献   

11.
在城市空气污染的模型研究中,GIS可以作为复杂环境模型的输入数据处理器,而且GIS有一个重要的功能模块——统计分析模块,GIS能够对模型的运算输出数据进行综合处理,并对结果进一步分析,进行有关的查询以及对研究成果的可视化输出。在基于GIS的城市空气污染的综合分析中,我们探究了城市土地利用现状对空气质量的影响,本文采用模糊综合分析法探索城市三大污染源在空气污染中所占的比重,制作城市空气污染等级分布图。GIS在大气污染研究领域可以充分发挥其空间分析和可视化优势,为治理工作提供技术路线。  相似文献   

12.
基于多期遥感影像数据,采用GIS空间叠加分析技术,选择扩展强度指数、紧凑度、分形维数、重心转移指数和扩展方位指数,定量分析了海东市1990—2016年间城镇用地扩展时空分异特征.研究结果表明,海东市城镇用地持续增加,扩展强度呈现先降低后升高的中速持续扩展趋势,城镇从空间无序转向空间协同发展;城镇用地紧凑度持续下降,分形...  相似文献   

13.
张显峰  崔伟宏 《测绘学报》2001,30(2):148-155
目前商用地理信息系统(GIS)不能完整地表达地理实体的时态信息和时空关系,缺乏时空分析和时空动态模拟的能力,这已成为GIS界的一个共识,然而,未来GIS在各应用领域的深入发展以及在实现“数字地球”战略过程中,都要求发展新的时空分析和模拟方法,细胞自动机(Cellular Automaton)是一种“自下而上”的动态模拟建模框架,具有模拟地理复要系统时空演化过程的能力,首先将标准CA模型的4元组进行扩展以满足GIS环境下时空动态模型的要求,然后以城市土地利用演化这一动态过程为例,建立了土地利用演化动态模拟与预测模型(LESP),最后运用此模型对包头市城市扩展和土地可持续利用演化进行了比较成功的模拟和预测。  相似文献   

14.
In the study reported in this paper an attempt has been made to develop a Cellular Automata (CA) model for simulating future urban growth of an Indian city. In the model remote sensing data and GIS were used to provide the empirical data about urban growth while Markov chain process was used to predict the amount of land required for future urban use based on the empirical data. Multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) technique was used to reveal the relationships between future urban growth potential and site attributes of a site. Finally using the CA model, land for future urban development was spatially allocated based on the urban suitability image provided by MCE, neighbourhood information of a site and the amount of land predicted by Markov chain process. The model results were evaluated using Kappa Coefficient and future urban growth was simulated using the calibrated model  相似文献   

15.
1 IntroductionGradingurbanlandcorrectlyanddeterminingtheland priceareimportantbasicworktocarryoutthecompensationalex ploitationanddeveloptherealestatemarket.Thelandgradingmustbebuiltonobjectiveevaluationandscientificevaluationandcalculationofland quali…  相似文献   

16.
黑龙江省耕地非农化的空间格局与重心曲线分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
李丹  曲建光  王帅 《测绘科学》2021,46(2):171-177
为了揭示耕地非农化的空间格局与重心曲线,为耕地资源保护和利用政策制定提供决策支撑,该文以黑龙江省1980、1990、2000、2010、2015年土地利用数据为基础,运用GIS空间分析方法,引入重心模型分析黑龙江省耕地非农化的空间格局及重心曲线。研究结果表明:1980—2015年黑龙江省耕地非农化发展不平衡,4个时期耕地非农化面积呈波动增长的趋势;耕地非农化等级空间分布特征明显,等级较高的城市集中分布在西部地区;耕地非农化速度等级的重心曲线在空间分布上,具有从中心向边缘延伸的特点;耕地非农化围绕中心地区进行,其空间扩散路径在图形上呈现出一个回旋状。  相似文献   

17.
The composition and arrangement of spatial entities, i.e., land cover objects, play a key role in distinguishing land use types from very high resolution (VHR) remote sensing images, in particular in urban environments. This paper presents a new method to characterize the spatial arrangement for urban land use extraction using VHR images. We derive an adjacency unit matrix to represent the spatial arrangement of land cover objects obtained from a VHR image, and use a graph convolutional network to quantify the spatial arrangement by extracting hidden features from adjacency unit matrices. The distribution of the spatial arrangement variables, i.e., hidden features, and the spatial composition variables, i.e., widely used land use indicators, are then estimated. We use a Bayesian method to integrate the variables of spatial arrangement and composition for urban land use extraction. Experiments were conducted using three VHR images acquired in two urban areas: a Pleiades image in Wuhan in 2013, a Superview image in Wuhan in 2019, and a GeoEye image in Oklahoma City in 2012. Our results show that the proposed method provides an effective means to characterize the spatial arrangement of land cover objects, and produces urban land use extractions with overall accuracies (i.e., 86% and 93%) higher than existing methods (i.e., 83% and 88%) that use spatial arrangement information based on building types on the Pleiades and GeoEye datasets. Moreover, it is unnecessary to further categorize the dominant land cover type into finer types for the characterization of spatial arrangement. We conclude that the proposed method has a high potential for the characterization of urban structure using different VHR images, and for the extraction of urban land use in different urban areas.  相似文献   

18.
Previous studies on tourism land use primarily focus on the spatial distribution, and its related impacts on the environment. Here, we propose a future tourism land use simulation model for mountain vacations based on the cellular automata and Markov chain methods, having verified and simulated tourism land use in Emeishan city at a spatial resolution of 30 × 30 m using remote sensing and GIS. In addition, we introduced a tourism land use intensity index to study the spatial expansion mode of tourism land use. The results have confirmed the validity of the model and demonstrated its ability to simulate future tourism land use. The average growth rate of tourism land use from 2010 to 2015 is 33.36%, and tourism land use will rise from 1.26% of Emeishan city’s land area in 2015 to 2.95% in 2030. Tourism land use shows a spatial expansion pattern along channels from scenic spots to the urban area. The growth of tourism land use in the protected area has an increasing trend when there is no restriction on development, especially in the Eshan region. The simulation results can provide useful implications and guides for regional tourism planning and management.  相似文献   

19.
In recent years, the rapid expansion of urban spaces has accelerated the mutual evolution of landscape types. Analyzing and simulating spatio-temporal dynamic features of urban landscape can help to reveal its driving mechanisms and facilitate reasonable planning of urban land resources. The purpose of this study was to design a hybrid cellular automata model to simulate dynamic change in urban landscapes. The model consists of four parts: a geospatial partition, a Markov chain (MC), a multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (MLP-ANN), and cellular automata (CA). This study employed multivariate land use data for the period 2000–2015 to conduct spatial clustering for the Ganjingzi District and to simulate landscape status evolution via a divisional composite cellular automaton model. During the period of 2000–2015, construction land and forest land areas in Ganjingzi District increased by 19.43% and 15.19%, respectively, whereas farmland, garden lands, and other land areas decreased by 43.42%, 52.14%, and 75.97%, respectively. Land use conversion potentials in different sub-regions show different characteristics in space. The overall land-change prediction accuracy for the subarea-composite model is 3% higher than that of the non-partitioned model, and misses are reduced by 3.1%. Therefore, by integrating geospatial zoning and the MLP-ANN hybrid method, the land type conversion rules of different zonings can be obtained, allowing for more effective simulations of future urban land use change. The hybrid cellular automata model developed here will provide a reference for urban planning and policy formulation.  相似文献   

20.
The advent of high spatial resolution, multispectral satellite imagery has allowed analysis of remotely sensed images of urban land cover to become more useful to urban planning and decision making than in the past. The addition of radar imagery at relatively high spatial resolution (6 metres at best), with the advantages that it is not affected by cloud and diurnal light conditions and that it is sensitive to the target's geometric shape, surface roughness and moisture content offers additional capability in this regard. This paper incorporates analysis of Canadian RADARSAT-1 and American Landsat TM satellite imagery and ground-based GIS data to identify known pockets of urban poverty. Poverty is defined, based on a limited number of census variables related to dwelling construction materials and per household overcrowding. The objective is to provide a proof of concept that remote sensing data, especially from synthetic aperture radar, and ground-based GIS data can be successfully integrated for urban planning purposes. The results suggest that the approach used is reasonable and that, with future refinement, it offers planners and decision makers a timely and cost effective means to locate and monitor poverty pockets in urban areas. This is especially important in large, rapidly urbanising areas in the developing world.  相似文献   

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