量子粒子群模糊神经网络碳酸盐岩流体识别方法研究

根据不同流体性质在角度道集上所反映特征的差异,构建了多属性角度叠加数据体组合流体识别因子.并将量子粒子群与模糊神经网络相结合,利用量子粒子群方法来优化模糊神经网络中的连接权值和隶属函数参数,并进行一系列的改进措施,显著提高了算法的全局寻优能力.将近远角度叠加数据体组合流体识别因子作为改进模糊神经网络的输入,流体性质作为输出,同时引入“相控流体识别”的思想,利用碳酸盐岩储集相进行控制,建立了碳酸盐岩流体识别模型.通过塔中实际井区进行验证,证明该方法能够提高流体的识别精度,具有很好的实际应用价值.     

NMR Parameters Determination through ACE Committee Machine with Genetic Implanted Fuzzy Logic and Genetic Implanted Neural Network

Free fluid porosity and rock permeability, undoubtedly the most critical parameters of hydrocarbon reservoir, could be obtained by processing of nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) log. Despite conventional well logs (CWLs), NMR logging is very expensive and time-consuming. Therefore, idea of synthesizing NMR log from CWLs would be of a great appeal among reservoir engineers. For this purpose, three optimization strategies are followed. Firstly, artificial neural network (ANN) is optimized by virtue of hybrid genetic algorithm-pattern search (GA-PS) technique, then fuzzy logic (FL) is optimized by means of GA-PS, and eventually an alternative condition expectation (ACE) model is constructed using the concept of committee machine to combine outputs of optimized and non-optimized FL and ANN models. Results indicated that optimization of traditional ANN and FL model using GA-PS technique significantly enhances their performances. Furthermore, the ACE committee of aforementioned models produces more accurate and reliable results compared with a singular model performing alone.     

一种基于BP网络和粒子群算法的拱坝可靠度分析方法

为了进行极限状态方程不明确的大型结构可靠度分析,提出了结合神经网络和粒子群优化计算拱坝可靠度的算法。确定性力学分析采用ANSYS软件,利用BP神经网络来模拟高度非线性映射关系的功能函数,基于罚函数和粒子群优化法进行可靠指标计算。综合C语言、ANSYS的APDL二次开发以及MATLAB混合编程技术,编制了该算法的可靠度分析程序。算例表明,该方法适应于隐式功能函数的复杂结构可靠度分析。     

Optimal design of structures for earthquake loads by a hybrid RBF-BPSO method

The optimal seismic design of structures requires that time history analyses （THA） be carried out repeatedly. This makes the optimal design process inefficient, in particular, if an evolutionary algorithm is used. To reduce the overall time required for structural optimization, two artificial intelligence strategies are employed. In the first strategy, radial basis function （RBF） neural networks are used to predict the time history responses of structures in the optimization flow. In the second strategy, a binary particle swarm optimization （BPSO） is used to find the optimum design. Combining the RBF and BPSO, a hybrid RBF-BPSO optimization method is proposed in this paper, which achieves fast optimization with high computational performance. Two examples are presented and compared to determine the optimal weight of structures under earthquake loadings using both exact and approximate analyses. The numerical results demonstrate the computational advantages and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid RBF-BPSO optimization method for the seismic design of structures.     

Multi‐objective particle swarm optimization for generating optimal trade‐offs in reservoir operation

A multi‐objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) approach is presented for generating Pareto‐optimal solutions for reservoir operation problems. This method is developed by integrating Pareto dominance principles into particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. In addition, a variable size external repository and an efficient elitist‐mutation (EM) operator are introduced. The proposed EM‐MOPSO approach is first tested for few test problems taken from the literature and evaluated with standard performance measures. It is found that the EM‐MOPSO yields efficient solutions in terms of giving a wide spread of solutions with good convergence to true Pareto optimal solutions. On achieving good results for test cases, the approach was applied to a case study of multi‐objective reservoir operation problem, namely the Bhadra reservoir system in India. The solutions of EM‐MOPSOs yield a trade‐off curve/surface, identifying a set of alternatives that define optimal solutions to the problem. Finally, to facilitate easy implementation for the reservoir operator, a simple but effective decision‐making approach was presented. The results obtained show that the proposed approach is a viable alternative to solve multi‐objective water resources and hydrology problems. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Developing a hybrid multi‐model for peak flood forecasting

The present study aims to develop a hybrid multi‐model using the soft computing approach. The model is a combination of a fuzzy logic, artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA). While neural networks are low‐level computational structures that perform well dealing with raw data, fuzzy logic deal with reasoning on a higher level by using linguistic information acquired from domain experts. However, fuzzy systems lack the ability to learn and cannot adjust themselves to a new environment. Moreover, experts occasionally make mistakes and thus some rules used in a system may be false. A network type structure of the present hybrid model is a multi‐layer feed‐forward network, the main part is a fuzzy system based on the first‐order Sugeno fuzzy model with a fuzzification and a defuzzification processes. The consequent parameters are determined by least square method. The back‐propagation is applied to adjust weights of network. Then, the antecedent parameters of the membership function are updated accordingly by the gradient descent method. The GA was applied to select the fuzzy rule. The hybrid multi‐model was used to forecast the flood level at Chiang Mai (under the big flood 2005) and the Koriyama flood (2003) in Japan. The forecasting results are evaluated using standard global goodness of fit statistic, efficient index (EI), the root mean square error (RMSE) and the peak flood error. Moreover, the results are compared to the results of a neuro‐genetic model (NGO) and ANFIS model using the same input and output variables. It was found that the hybrid multi‐model can be used successfully with an efficiency index (EI) more than 0·95 (for Chiang Mai flood up to 12 h ahead forecasting) and more than 0·90 (for Koriyama flood up to 8 h ahead forecasting). In general, all of three models can predict the water level with satisfactory results. However, the hybrid model gave the best flood peak estimation among the three models. Therefore, the use of fuzzy rule base, which is selected by GA in the hybrid multi‐model helps to improve the accuracy of flood peak. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Space–time forecasting of groundwater level using a hybrid soft computing model

Forecasting of space–time groundwater level is important for sparsely monitored regions. Time series analysis using soft computing tools is powerful in temporal data analysis. Classical geostatistical methods provide the best estimates of spatial data. In the present work a hybrid framework for space–time groundwater level forecasting is proposed by combining a soft computing tool and a geostatistical model. Three time series forecasting models: artificial neural network, least square support vector machine and genetic programming (GP), are individually combined with the geostatistical ordinary kriging model. The experimental variogram thus obtained fits a linear combination of a nugget effect model and a power model. The efficacy of the space–time models was decided on both visual interpretation (spatial maps) and calculated error statistics. It was found that the GP–kriging space–time model gave the most satisfactory results in terms of average absolute relative error, root mean square error, normalized mean bias error and normalized root mean square error.     

BFA-CM最优化测井解释方法

最优化测井解释方法能充分利用各种测井资料及地质信息,可以有效地评价复杂岩性油气藏.优化算法的选择是最优化测井解释方法的关键,影响着测井解释结果的准确性.细菌觅食算法(BFA)是新兴的一种智能优化算法,具有较强的全局搜索能力,但在寻优后期收敛速度较慢.复合形算法(CM)局部搜索能力极强,将其与BFA算法相结合构成BFA-CM混合算法,既提高了搜索精度又提高了搜索效率.利用BFA-CM最优化测井解释方法对苏里格致密砂岩储层实际资料进行了处理,计算结果与岩心及薄片分析资料吻合得很好.     

基于粒子群优化的理论变异函数拟合方法研究

变异函数是地统计学中区域化变量空间结构分析和空间局部插值的主要分析工具.理论变异函数模型的获取是地质统计学中的基础性工作,它是了解区域化变量的变异特征、进一步对地质统计学计算的必要环节.针对现有的理论变异函数的拟合方法,如人工拟合法、线性规划拟合法、加权多项式拟合法、目标规划拟合法等的不足之处,充分利用粒子群优化算法在求解非线性优化问题时具有的全局寻优的特点,提出基于粒子群优化的理论变异函数拟合方法.在实例应用中,分别利用粒子群优化算法和加权多项式拟合方法进行理论变异函数拟合,交叉验证结果表明粒子群优化算法预测精度较高,具有较强的稳健性.     

River flow modelling: comparison of performance and evaluation of uncertainty using data-driven models and conceptual hydrological model

Hydrological and statistical models are playing an increasing role in hydrological forecasting, particularly for river basins with data of different temporal scales. In this study, statistical models, e.g. artificial neural networks, adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system, genetic programming, least squares support vector machine, multiple linear regression, were developed, based on parametric optimization methods such as particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithm (GA), and data-preprocessing techniques such as wavelet decomposition (WD) for river flow modelling using daily streamflow data from four hydrological stations for a period of 1954–2009. These models were used for 1-, 3- and 5-day streamflow forecasting and the better model was used for uncertainty evaluation using bootstrap resampling method. Meanwhile, a simple conceptual hydrological model GR4J was used to evaluate parametric uncertainty based on generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation method. Results indicated that: (1) GA and PSO did not help improve the forecast performance of the model. However, the hybrid model with WD significantly improved the forecast performance; (2) the hybrid model with WD as a data preprocessing procedure can clarify hydrological effects of water reservoirs and can capture peak high/low flow changes; (3) Forecast accuracy of data-driven models is significantly influenced by the availability of streamflow data. More human interferences from the upper to the lower East River basin can help to introduce greater uncertainty in streamflow forecasts; (4) The structure of GR4J may introduce larger parametric uncertainty at the Longchuan station than at the Boluo station in the East river basin. This study provides a theoretical background for data-driven model-based streamflow forecasting and a comprehensive view about data and parametric uncertainty in data-scarce river basins.     

基于GA-BP理论的储层视裂缝密度地震非线性反演方法

基于GA-BP理论,将自适应遗传算法与人工神经网络技术(BP算法)有机地相结合,形成了一种储层裂缝自适应遗传-神经网络反演方法.这种新的方法是由编码、适应度函数、遗传操作及混合智能学习等组成,即在成像测井裂缝密度数据约束下,通过对目标问题进行编码(称染色体),然后对染色体进行选择、交叉和变异等遗传操作,使染色体不断进化,从而快速获得全局最优解.在反演执行过程中,利用地震数据和成像测井裂缝密度数据之间的非线性映射关系建立训练样本,将GA算法与BP算法有机地结合,优化三层前向网络参数;或将GA与ANFIS相结合,优化ANFIS网络参数.并采用GA算法与TS算法(Tabu Search)相结合的自适应混合学习算法,该学习算法自始至终将GA和BP两种算法按一定的概率比例进行,其概率自适应变化,以达到混合算法的均衡.这种混合算法提高了网络的收敛速度和精度.我们分别利用两个研究地区的6井和1井成像测井裂缝密度数据与地震数据之间的非线性映射关系建立训练样本,对过这两口井的测线的地震数据进行反演,获得了视裂缝密度剖面,视裂缝密度剖面上裂缝分布特征符合沉积相分布特征和岩石力学性质的变化特征.这种视裂缝密度剖面含有储层裂缝的定量信息,其误差可为油气勘探开发实际要求所允许.因此,这种新的方法优于只能作裂缝定性分析的常规裂缝地震预测方法,具有广阔的应用前景.     

考虑抗震性约束的建筑空间结构优化

当前对建筑空间结构进行优化时,所采用的算法趋同性高,无法实现多目标种群优化,易陷入局部最优解,存在寻优质量低、优化成本高、抗震性能低的问题。针对上述问题,提出一种基于改进粒子群算法的建筑空间结构优化方法。该方法以空间结构的抗震性能、工程造价为优化目标,来优化建立建筑空间结构设计;引入多子群协同进化机制解决建筑空间结构抗震优化设计中多目标间的种群优化问题,同时引入外部档案和精英学习策略改进粒子群算法,筛选出满足目标函数的最优设计方案,完成抗震性约束的建筑空间结构优化。实验结果表明:所提方法对建筑空间结构优化时的特点为寻优质量高、优化成本低、抗震性能高。     

基于粒子群优化最小二乘向量机的地震预测模型

为解决地震预测中最小二乘向量机(LSSVM)模型的参数难以确定的问题,利用粒子群算法(PSO)的收敛速度快和全局优化能力,优化LSSVM模型的惩罚因子和核函数参数,建立了PSO-LSSVM地震预测模型.通过对地震实例的预测仿真及其相关分析表明该方法的有效性.该方法优于传统的神经网络和支持向量机的地震预测方法,可以有效提高预测效能.     

裂缝-孔隙介质储层渗透率表征及其影响因素分析

含裂缝多孔介质渗透率预测是非常规油气资源勘探开发的一个紧迫问题.现有多孔介质岩石物理模型通常利用圆形孔管模拟宏观岩石孔隙空间,难以定量描述软孔隙/裂缝在压力作用下的闭合情况,缺乏裂缝/孔隙间流量交换的连通机制.本文提出含三维裂缝/软孔隙网络多孔介质模型,将储层岩石裂缝/软孔隙表示为椭圆截面微管,建立了周期性压力作用下微...     

Evaluation of global optimization algorithms for parameter calibration of a computationally intensive hydrologic model

With the popularity of complex hydrologic models, the time taken to run these models is increasing substantially. Comparing and evaluating the efficacy of different optimization algorithms for calibrating computationally intensive hydrologic models is becoming a nontrivial issue. In this study, five global optimization algorithms (genetic algorithms, shuffled complex evolution, particle swarm optimization, differential evolution, and artificial immune system) were tested for automatic parameter calibration of a complex hydrologic model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), in four watersheds. The results show that genetic algorithms (GA) outperform the other four algorithms given model evaluation numbers larger than 2000, while particle swarm optimization (PSO) can obtain better parameter solutions than other algorithms given fewer number of model runs (less than 2000). Given limited computational time, the PSO algorithm is preferred, while GA should be chosen given plenty of computational resources. When applying GA and PSO for parameter optimization of SWAT, small population size should be chosen. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal Design of Multitype Groundwater Monitoring Networks Using Easily Accessible Tools

Monitoring networks are expensive to establish and to maintain. In this paper, we extend an existing data‐worth estimation method from the suite of PEST utilities with a global optimization method for optimal sensor placement (called optimal design) in groundwater monitoring networks. Design optimization can include multiple simultaneous sensor locations and multiple sensor types. Both location and sensor type are treated simultaneously as decision variables. Our method combines linear uncertainty quantification and a modified genetic algorithm for discrete multilocation, multitype search. The efficiency of the global optimization is enhanced by an archive of past samples and parallel computing. We demonstrate our methodology for a groundwater monitoring network at the Steinlach experimental site, south‐western Germany, which has been established to monitor river—groundwater exchange processes. The target of optimization is the best possible exploration for minimum variance in predicting the mean travel time of the hyporheic exchange. Our results demonstrate that the information gain of monitoring network designs can be explored efficiently and with easily accessible tools prior to taking new field measurements or installing additional measurement points. The proposed methods proved to be efficient and can be applied for model‐based optimal design of any type of monitoring network in approximately linear systems. Our key contributions are (1) the use of easy‐to‐implement tools for an otherwise complex task and (2) yet to consider data‐worth interdependencies in simultaneous optimization of multiple sensor locations and sensor types.     

Porosity and permeability prediction from wireline logs using artificial neural networks: a North Sea case study

Estimations of porosity and permeability from well logs are important yet difficult tasks encountered in geophysical formation evaluation and reservoir engineering. Motivated by recent results of artificial neural network (ANN) modelling offshore eastern Canada, we have developed neural nets for converting well logs in the North Sea to porosity and permeability. We use two separate back-propagation ANNs (BP-ANNs) to model porosity and permeability. The porosity ANN is a simple three-layer network using sonic, density and resistivity logs for input. The permeability ANN is slightly more complex with four inputs (density, gamma ray, neutron porosity and sonic) and more neurons in the hidden layer to account for the increased complexity in the relationships. The networks, initially developed for basin-scale problems, perform sufficiently accurately to meet normal requirements in reservoir engineering when applied to Jurassic reservoirs in the Viking Graben area. The mean difference between the predicted porosity and helium porosity from core plugs is less than 0.01 fractional units. For the permeability network a mean difference of approximately 400 mD is mainly due to minor core-log depth mismatch in the heterogeneous parts of the reservoir and lack of adequate overburden corrections to the core permeability. A major advantage is that no a priori knowledge of the rock material and pore fluids is required. Real-time conversion based on measurements while drilling (MWD) is thus an obvious application.     

测井岩性识别新方法研究

为了更好地解决测井岩性识别问题,引入了一种基于粒子群优化的支持向量机算法.通过实际测井资料和岩性剖面资料进行学习训练支持向量机,并利用粒子群优化算法对支持向量机参数进行优化,建立了测井岩性识别的支持向量机模型,应用该方法对准噶尔盆地某井的测井岩性进行识别,并将该方法的识别结果与BP神经网络方法的识别结果进行了比较,结果表明该方法优于BP神经网络方法,具有识别正确率高、收敛速度快、推广能力强等优点.     

1D elastic full‐waveform inversion and uncertainty estimation by means of a hybrid genetic algorithm–Gibbs sampler approach

Stochastic optimization methods, such as genetic algorithms, search for the global minimum of the misfit function within a given parameter range and do not require any calculation of the gradients of the misfit surfaces. More importantly, these methods collect a series of models and associated likelihoods that can be used to estimate the posterior probability distribution. However, because genetic algorithms are not a Markov chain Monte Carlo method, the direct use of the genetic‐algorithm‐sampled models and their associated likelihoods produce a biased estimation of the posterior probability distribution. In contrast, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis–Hastings and Gibbs sampler, provide accurate posterior probability distributions but at considerable computational cost. In this paper, we use a hybrid method that combines the speed of a genetic algorithm to find an optimal solution and the accuracy of a Gibbs sampler to obtain a reliable estimation of the posterior probability distributions. First, we test this method on an analytical function and show that the genetic algorithm method cannot recover the true probability distributions and that it tends to underestimate the true uncertainties. Conversely, combining the genetic algorithm optimization with a Gibbs sampler step enables us to recover the true posterior probability distributions. Then, we demonstrate the applicability of this hybrid method by performing one‐dimensional elastic full‐waveform inversions on synthetic and field data. We also discuss how an appropriate genetic algorithm implementation is essential to attenuate the “genetic drift” effect and to maximize the exploration of the model space. In fact, a wide and efficient exploration of the model space is important not only to avoid entrapment in local minima during the genetic algorithm optimization but also to ensure a reliable estimation of the posterior probability distributions in the subsequent Gibbs sampler step.     

Predicting catchment flow in a semi‐arid region via an artificial neural network technique

A model of rainfall–runoff relationships is an essential tool in the process of evaluation of water resources projects. In this paper, we applied an artificial neural network (ANN) based model for flow prediction using the data for a catchment in a semi‐arid region in Morocco. Use of this method for non‐linear modelling has been demonstrated in several scientific fields such as biology, geology, chemistry and physics. The performance of the developed neural network‐based model was compared against multiple linear regression‐based model using the same observed data. It was found that the neural network model consistently gives superior predictions. Based on the results of this study, artificial neural network modelling appears to be a promising technique for the prediction of flow for catchments in semi‐arid regions. Accordingly, the neural network method can be applied to various hydrological systems where other models may be inappropriate. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.