Theconvolutionaldiferentiatormethodfornu┐mericalmodelingofacousticandelasticwave┐fields

Ｔｈｅｃｏｎｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎａｌｄｉｆｅｒｅｎｔｉａｔｏｒｍｅｔｈｏｄｆｏｒｎｕ┐ｍｅｒｉｃａｌｍｏｄｅｌｉｎｇｏｆａｃｏｕｓｔｉｃａｎｄｅｌａｓｔｉｃｗａｖｅ┐ｆｉｅｌｄｓＺＨＯＮＧ－ＪＩＥＺＨＡＮＧ（张中杰），ＪＩ－ＷＥＮＴＥＮＧ（滕吉文）ａｎ...     

Thedeterminationofthebestfitingandtheex┐tremesourcemodelsbyaglobalinversionmethod

Ｔｈｅｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｂｅｓｔｆｉｔｉｎｇａｎｄｔｈｅｅｘ┐ｔｒｅｍｅｓｏｕｒｃｅｍｏｄｅｌｓｂｙａｇｌｏｂａｌｉｎｖｅｒｓｉｏｎｍｅｔｈｏｄＰＥＮＧ－ＣＨＥＮＧＬＩＵ（刘鹏程）ａｎｄＴＩＡＮ－ＹＵＺＨＥＮＧ（郑天愉）Ｉｎｓｔｉ...     

Samplesystemofelectromagneticwavetomog┐raphy

Ｓａｍｐｌｅｓｙｓｔｅｍｏｆｅｌｅｃｔｒｏｍａｇｎｅｔｉｃｗａｖｅｔｏｍｏｇ┐ｒａｐｈｙＹＵＮ－ＴＩＡＮＴＥＮＧ（滕云田）ａｎｄＨＥ－ＭＩＮＧＺＨＯＵ（周鹤鸣）ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅ...     

Studyonthesourcesofsomedeepfocusearth┐quakesinNorthwestPacificregion

Ｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅｓｏｕｒｃｅｓｏｆｓｏｍｅｄｅｅｐｆｏｃｕｓｅａｒｔｈ┐ｑｕａｋｅｓｉｎＮｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔＰａｃｉｆｉｃｒｅｇｉｏｎＡＮ－ＹＩＬＩ（李安奕）ａｎｄＳＨＡＯ－ＸＩＡＮＺＡＮＧ（臧绍先）ＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔ，Ｐｅ...     

Researchonpredictionofthefolowingnotice┐ableshocksofearthquakesequences

Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｎｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｆｏｌｏｗｉｎｇｎｏｔｉｃｅ┐ａｂｌｅｓｈｏｃｋｓｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅｓＰＵ－ＸＩＯＮＧＬＩＵ（刘蒲雄），ＸＩＵ－ＱＩＣＨＥＮ（陈修启），ＸＩＡＯ－ＪＩＡＮＬＵ（吕晓健）ａｎｄＤ...     

StudyofCurieisothermalsurfaceinSichuanBasinandtheseismicareaonitswesternmar┐gin

ＳｔｕｄｙｏｆＣｕｒｉｅｉｓｏｔｈｅｒｍａｌｓｕｒｆａｃｅｉｎＳｉｃｈｕａｎＢａｓｉｎａｎｄｔｈｅｓｅｉｓｍｉｃａｒｅａｏｎｉｔｓｗｅｓｔｅｒｎｍａｒ┐ｇｉｎＸＩＡＮＺＨＡＮＧ（张先），ＸＩ－ＦＥＮＧＨＵ（虎喜凤），ＪＩＮＧ－ＸＩＵＳＨＥＮ（沈京秀...     

IsatypeoflowfrequencyULFmagneticdistur┐banceakindofearthquakeprecursors

ＩｓａｔｙｐｅｏｆｌｏｗｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙＵＬＦｍａｇｎｅｔｉｃｄｉｓｔｕｒ┐ｂａｎｃｅａｋｉｎｄｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｃｕｒｓｏｒｓ？ＸＩＮＧ－ＣＡＩＬＩ（李兴才），ＨＵＩ－ＸＩＮＣＡＯ（曹惠馨），ＫＥ－ＸＩＮＲＥＮ（任克新）ａｎｄＣＨＵ...     

QβstructureofthecrustanduppermantleintheeasternSino┐Koreanparaplatform

ＱβｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅｏｆｔｈｅｃｒｕｓｔａｎｄｕｐｐｅｒｍａｎｔｌｅｉｎｔｈｅｅａｓｔｅｒｎＳｉｎｏ┐ＫｏｒｅａｎｐａｒａｐｌａｔｆｏｒｍＺＨＥＮＧ－ＱＩＮＨＥ（何正勤），ＴＡＩ－ＬＡＮＹＥ（叶太兰）ａｎｄＷＥＩ－ＧＵＯＳＵＮ（孙为国）Ｉｎｓｔｉ...     

Strongearthquakeactivityalovertheworldandstrong┐moderateearthquakeactivitywithinandnearChina（June～Au

Ｓｔｒｏｎｇｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅａｃｔｉｖｉｔｙａｌｏｖｅｒｔｈｅｗｏｒｌｄａｎｄｓｔｒｏｎｇ┐ｍｏｄｅｒａｔｅｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅａｃｔｉｖｉｔｙｗｉｔｈｉｎａｎｄｎｅａｒＣｈｉｎａ（Ｊｕｎｅ～Ａｕｇｕｓｔ，１９９５）ＰＥＩ－ＳＨＡＮＣＨＥＮ（陈培...     

Onthephysicalmodelofearthquakeprecursorfieldsandthemechanismofprecursors′time┐spacedistribution（Ⅱ）Ho

Ｏｎｔｈｅｐｈｙｓｉｃａｌｍｏｄｅｌｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｃｕｒｓｏｒｆｉｅｌｄｓａｎｄｔｈｅｍｅｃｈａｎｉｓｍｏｆｐｒｅｃｕｒｓｏｒｓ′ｔｉｍｅ┐ｓｐａｃｅｄｉｓｔｒｉｂｕｔｉｏｎ（Ⅱ）Ｈｏｗｄｏｔｈｅｓｔｒｅｓａｎｄｓｔｒａｉｎｆｉｅｌｄ...     

On the analysis of self-similarity of earthquake sequence and its application in earthquake prediction

This paper has introduced the method of self-similarity analysis of time series into the analysis and study of earthquake sequence, and then researched its application in earthquake prediction. As parameter of earthquake time series, we can take the cumulated sum of the numbers of equivalent earthquakesQ=ΣN*, the numbers of equivalent earthquakeN*, maximum magnitudeM _max, average magnitudeQ=ΣN*, and the difference ΔN* between the numbersN* in two adjacent time intervals. The given method may be applied to analysis of long-period seismic sequences in different regions as well as to anlysis of seismic sequence in the aftershock region of strong earthquake. For making quantitative analysis the coefficient of self-similarity of earthquake sequence in order of timeμs was introduced. The results of self-similarity analysis were obtained for the earthquake sequences in North China, West South China, the Capital region of China, and for the East Yamashi region of Japan. They show that in period or half year to several years beforeM⩾7.0 andM⩾6.0 earthquakes occurred in these regions separately, the self-similarity coefficientμs calculated by using the above-mentioned parameters had remarkably anamalous decrease variations. The duration time ofμs anomaly depends on the earthquake magnitude and may be different from different regions. Therefore, the self-similarity coefficient in order of timeμs can be considered as a long-medium term precursory index. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 455–462, 1993.     

Method discussion for quick response grey prediction of stronger aftershocks of an earthquake sequence

In this paper, we take occurrence process of early strong aftershocks of a main-after shock type′s earthquake sequence as a complex grey system, and introduce predicting method for its stronger aftershocks by grey predicting theory. Through inspection prediction for 1998 Zhangbei MS=6.2 earthquake sequence, it shows that the grey predicting method maybe has active significance for the investigation of quick response prediction problems of stronger aftershocks of an earthquake sequence.     

The environment shear stress field for the 1976 Tangshan earthquake sequence

（陈培善，肖磊，白彤霞，王溪莉）Ｔｈｅｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔｓｈｅａｒｓｔｒｅｓｓｆｉｅｌｄｆｏｒｔｈｅ１９７６Ｔａｎｇｓｈａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅ￥Ｐｅｉ－ＳｈａｎＣＨＥＮ；ＬｅｉＸＩＡＯ；Ｔｏｎｇ－ＸｉａＢＡＩａｎｄＸｉ－ＬｉＷＡ...     

Comprehensive indices of early judgement for earthquake sequence type by pattern recognition

This subject is one in the Eighth Five-year Plan of the SSB, China.     

姚安地震序列与大姚地震序列震源参数的对比研究

2000年1月15日在云南省姚安县发生了M_S6.5地震, 2003年7月21日和10月16日在云南省大姚县发生了M_S6.2、 M_S6.1地震。 这两个地震序列均发生在滇中块体, 震中位置相距42.5 km, 构造、 应力背景相似, 但序列类型不同, 时间间隔短。 为深入研究姚安地震和大姚地震序列的特征, 根据昆明区域数字台网记录的数字地震波资料, 利用遗传算法计算了2000年姚安地震和2003年大姚地震序列的震源参数。 研究结果表明, 姚安地震序列和大姚地震序列的地震矩和近震震级有很好的线性关系, 它们的地震矩M₀均在10¹²~10¹⁴ N·m, 地震矩与震源半径之间呈线性关系。 应力降随震级变化不明显。 拐角频率和地震矩之间有明显的依赖关系, 用最小二乘法拟合拐角频率和地震矩的关系式, 利用此关系式可计算出给定地震矩的拐角频率估计值f_a, 进而可分析实际计算的拐角频率与估计值之差(f_c-f_a)的时间变化曲线。 姚安地震序列和大姚地震序列实际计算的拐角频率与估计值之差(f_c-f_a)及应力降随时间的变化表现出了不同的特征: 姚安地震序列的应力降和拐角频率差值在4.3级和4.6级强余震前均有一个上升-下降过程, 反映余震区应力场有一个增高-下降过程; 大姚地震序列应力降和拐角频率差值在M_S≥4.6强余震发生之前均会出现高值异常, 但在M_S4.6～4.7地震之前出现的高值异常持续时间短, 在M_S6.1地震前出现的高值异常持续较长。 文中结合两个地震的发震构造, 序列类型等特征进行了分析讨论。     

地震拟合优度在青海中强地震预报中的应用

运用地震拟合优度的计算公式,对青海省中东部的6个ME≥6．0地震从震前数年开始进行地震拟合优度计算,发现这6个地震震前一段时间地震拟合优度都有一定程度的下降。再对共和7．1级地震震中附近一定区域内的地震进行拟合优度计算,进而提取震中周边300kmME≥5．8以上地震的中期预报指标。并对这一指标进行预报水平评分。结果表明,这一方法对共和地震震中胤边300km ML≥5．8以上地震的中期预报有一定的应用价值。另外,对拟合优度计算参数的选取进行分析,确定了最优的计算参数。     

邢台地震与我国地震预报的发展

详细叙述了自1966年邢台地震以来,我国地震预报研究与实践的主要进展:建设成了多学科的地震观测系统,为地震预报打下了良好基础;进行了大量震例研究,初步建立了地震预报的判据和指标体系;进行了地震预报理论的实验和研究,提出了多种地震孕育发生模型及前兆机理;通过20多年的5次地震预报攻关研究,形成了数十种地震预报方法;边研究,边预报,几十年来成功地预报了20多次破坏性地震,并取得了减灾实效,使我国地震预报的科学水平居于世界前列。本文还对地震预报尚需解决的科学难题进行探讨。     

推进监测预报体系建设,提高地震预测预报水平

对监测预报工作的地位和作用进行了深入的阐述，分析总结了监测预报工作取得的进展以及存在的问题，提出了未来监测预报体系建设的指导思想和总体目标。并对进一步加强监测预报体系建设，提高预测预报水平各环节的工作进行了详细的论述。     

年度地震预报的一种模糊综合评判方法

用文献（贺仲雄，１９８３）提出的一种模糊综合评判方法，对内蒙布特哈旗一带进行了地震年度预报研究。利用１９７１～１９８８年共１８年观测资料作为样本资料，对后１７年进行预报检验，取得了较好的结果。