Intensity distribution of M 4.9 Haryana–Delhi border earthquake

In this study, we have prepared an intensity map based on macroseismic survey and all the available information from print and electronic media of damage and other effects due to March 05, 2012, M 4.9 Bahadurgarh (Haryana–Delhi border) earthquake and interpreted them to obtain modified Mercalli intensities (MMI) at over 62 locations surrounding the Haryana and Delhi. We have cross-checked the damage information from print and electronic media in the field at 25 sites within 110 km surrounding the epicenter for validation. Based on the questionnaire which is used in macroseismic survey and personal judgment, intensities were assigned accordingly as per physical survey at 25 sites and for rest based on media reporting. A maximum intensity of VI was assigned to this seismic event. Isoseismals of V and VI have been fully covered in the field observations. Beside this, some of the points have also been covered for isoseismal IV and isoseismal III and rest are based on media report only. The intensity map reveals several interesting features. Elliptically elongated shape of intensity map shows that most of the slightly damaged areas are concentrated toward the northwestern side of the epicenter having intensity V which may be due to directivity or site effects. A regression relation has also been derived between intensity and epicentral distance. The derived attenuation relation will be useful for assessing damage of a potential future earthquake (earthquake scenario–based planning purposes) for the Delhi NCR region.     

The earthquake of June 1, 1905, Shkodra, Albania; Intensity distribution and macroseismic epicentre

The earthquake at Shkodra, on June 1, 1905, represents one of the strongest seismic phenomena which has occurred in Albania. This quake has attracted the attention of seismologists of various countries, some of whom have made special studies of it.It is shown that the mean epicentral intensity of this earthquake was 9 degrees (MSK-64 scale) and that the macroseismic epicentre is situated near the Trush village (42° 02′N 19°30′E).These results are based on the macroseismic data gathered from different sources: 40 photographs which show the damage caused by this earthquake in the Shkodra city of that time and which were first brought to light in 1972 (some of them are published in this paper) and on the data of seismological expeditions to the Shkodra and Lezha districts.This present paper is intended to demonstrate that soil conditions strongly influence the observed intensity even at very short distances from the epicentre. The difference of the observed intensity may be up to 2 degrees between firm (limestone, flysch) and loose soil conditions.     

Intensity field of the 19 June 1975 Gargano (Southern Italy) earthquake

Many moderate events reported by Italian earthquake catalogues (either historical or recent) are listed with an epicentral intensity derived from intensitymagnitude relationships or evaluated based on preliminary sources. Contradictions may arise among different catalogues when the effects of a given earthquake are not assessed through a specific macroseismic study as each catalogue generally uses its own criteria for evaluating the intensity. In this paper we present the case of the June 19 1975 earthquake, a M_L = 5.1 (ING seismological bulletin) event that occurred in the Gargano area (southern Italy). The intensity reported by the ING catalogue is VIII MCS (estimated from magnitude), that reported by the NT4.1 catalogue is VI MCS, while the PFG catalogue does not report an intensity. The case of this event is well representative of a period during which macroseismic studies were not undertaken systematically in Italy. In this paper we reassess the macroseismic intensity of this event using procedures implemented and routinely used at ING.     

Preliminary results of a macroseismic survey of the Colfiorito sequence (Central Italy)

Umbria-Marche region (Central Italy) has been interested by a seismic sequence, which caused a large amount of damage within an extensive area (around 5000 km²). The sequence produced eight shocks with magnitude higher than 5.0, the largest of them occurring on September 26, UTC 09:40, M₁ = 5.8. The incidence of many shocks with a magnitude higher than 4.0 contributed to the creation of a damage pattern that was in evolution for more than one month. Such seismic behavior motivated field operators to perform a real-time macroseismic survey to update the data set. One of the major objectives was to differentiate the effects pertaining to each of the largest shocks. In this paper we present the macroseismic survey performed during the sequence, along with some preliminary results inferred. Intensity points of seven of the main shocks are shown, together with the filtered macroseismic fields produced following the application of specific statistical methods. Finally, consideration is given to the comparison of these study results with corresponding tectonic and geological data.     

Seismicity and seismotectonic implications in the southern Baltic Sea area

An updated list of earthquakes and earthquake parameters (location, homogenized magnitude, macroseismic data) for the southern Baltic Sea area reveals activity north of the sea, whereas there are very few epicentres in the sea itself and in the region south of it. This is the first study to combine seismological data for the whole region to cover also the sea. Macroseismic data for the 1930 earthquake were reinvestigated leading to an intensity of V–VI (MM or MSK scale), a radius of perceptibility of 135 km and an unusually big focal depth of about 40 km. It is difficult to correlate individual earthquakes with specific faults, but some seismotectonic relations are suggested, e.g. for the Tornquist zone, the predominant structure of the region. Only few reliable focal-mechanism solutions exist. Possible seismogenic processes (ridge push, isostasy, etc) are discussed.     

The Dibra (Albania) earthquake of November 30, 1967

On November 30, 1967, a strong earthquake of magnitude M = 6.6 struck the Dibra region, eastern Albania, causing considerable loss of human life and grave material damage both in the territory of Albania and that of Yugoslavia.The object of this study is to describe the effects of this earthquake on landscape and buildings, as well as to define its macroseismic field. The study further deals with some features of the aftershocks of M 4.0 distributed in time and space, the aftershock activity and the focal-mechanism solution of the main event.From the study of the macroseismic field of this earthquake and its fault, which extends over 10 km in a 40° northeasterly direction, from the distribution of aftershocks in space and the focal-mechanism solution of this earthquake, the conclusion has been reached that this event is connected with the Vlora—Dibra seismogenic belt.The authors have mentioned the existence of this traverse belt as early as 1969 (Sulstarova and Koçiaj, 1969). The existence of this belt is also shown by the chronological and geographical distribution of some strong earthquakes in Albania in the period 1800–1967 (their macroseismic field and the position of their epicentres), and by the focal-mechanism solutions of some of these earthquakes. The Vlora—Elbasan—Dibra transverse seismogenic belt continues for several hundred kilometres northeast and southwest beyond the territory of Albania.     

Web-based macroseismic survey in Italy: method validation and results

A new method of macroseismic surveys, based on voluntary collaboration through the Internet, has been running at the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) since July 2007. The macroseismic questionnaire is addressed to a single non-specialist; reported effects are statistically analysed to extrapolate a probabilistic estimate of Mercalli Cancani Sieberg and European Macroseismic Scale intensities for that observer. Maps of macroseismic intensity are displayed online in almost real time and are continuously updated when new data are made available. For densely inhabited zones, we have received reports of felt effects for even very small events (M = 2). Six earthquakes are presented here, showing the ability of the method to give fast and interesting results. The effects reported in questionnaires coming from three towns are carefully analysed and assigned intensities are compared with those derived from traditional macroseismic surveys, showing the reliability of our web-based method.     

Preliminary Quantitative Assessment of Earthquake Casualties and Damages

Prognostic estimations of the expected number of killed or injured people and about the approximate cost associated with the damages caused by earthquakes are made following a suitable methodology of wide-ranging application. For the preliminary assessment of human life losses due to the occurrence of a relatively strong earthquake we use a quantitative model consisting of a correlation between the number of casualties and the earthquake magnitude as a function of population density. The macroseismic intensity field is determined in accordance with an updated anelastic attenuation law, and the number of casualties within areas of different intensity is computed using an application developed in a geographic information system (GIS) environment, taking advantage of the possibilities of such a system for the treatment of space-distributed data. The casualty rate, defined as the number of killed people divided by the number of inhabitants of the affected region, is also computed and we show its variation for some urban concentrations with different population density. For a rough preliminary evaluation of the direct economic cost derived from the damages, equally through a GIS-based tool, we take into account the local social wealth as a function of the gross domestic product of the country. This last step is performed on the basis of the relationship of the macroseismic intensity to the earthquake economic loss in percentage of the wealth. Such an approach to the human casualty and damage levels is carried out for sites near important cities located in a seismically active zone of Spain, thus contributing to an easier taking of decisions in emergency preparedness planning, contemporary earthquake engineering and seismic risk prevention.     

Macroseismic practice in Slovenia

In 1986, a project was started concerning the improvement of macroseismic data management in Slovenia. It was decided to establish a network of collaborators all over Slovenia (20 251 km², approx. 2 million inhabitants), dense enough to allow the use of the MSK scale. Since the uniform spatial distribution with desired density of collaborators is hard to achieve, several methods are being used to obtain new collaborators. At present we have approximately 4100 collaborators in our computer supported database.When an earthquake is felt in Slovenia, the seismologist decides to what areas the questionnaires are to be sent. The prospective observers can be chosen by two criteria: density and quality marks. The density mark allows us to choose a number of observers in the same town or village, based mostly on the quality of answers and demographic conditions. The quality mark is computed, combined with the previous marks, and updated every time a completed questionnaire is returned.The average number of shocks for which the questionnaires are being sent is about 25 per year during the normal seismic activity. The average number of questionnaires is approximately 300 per event. The percentage of the returned questionnaires is above 66%. A user-friendly, interactive program has been developed to manage the database with information about collaborators, to select an area, density and quality threshold of inquiry, and to print addresses onto questionnaires.     

Earthquake data analysis: An example from Sweden

Methods and results of earthquake data analysis are illustrated by the seismicity of Sweden in the period 1951–1976, summarizing a comprehensive research project for the past five years. Starting from the regional structural properties, methods are given for the evaluation of instrumental and macroseismic observations, including error analysis and source identification. The resulting earthquake distribution is investigated in relation to space (various types of seismicity mapping), time (periodicities) and magnitude (frequency-magnitude and energy-magnitude relations). The tectonophysical explanations of the earthquake origin are still subject to considerable uncertainty and can be treated only by way of discussions. The engineering applications, stimulated recently by the nuclear power industry, can be placed on much more reliable ground. They include calculations of seismic risk and fracture risk as well as investigations of certain phenomena of practical consequences, especially rockbursts.This review is primarily addressed to those who have use for seismological data in their work, especially geologists, tectonophysicists and engineers. It is important for them to realize how the seismological data are obtained, their reliability and their range of application. Sweden is here mainly used as an example, but the developed methods have a general applicability to any earthquake region, with proper modifications.In short, our purpose is two-fold: (1) to summarize recent research on the seismicity of Sweden: (2) to introduce all users of seismological data into methods and results.     

Distribution of effects in the urban area of Rome During the October 14, 1997 Umbria Marche earthquake

In the last years many studies were carried out in order to assess the correlation between nearsurface geology and seismic response of downtown Rome during local and regional earthquakes. Nevertheless, only historical macroseismic data and theoretical modelling could be used so far to estimate the ground motion in the historical part of the city. The occurrence of the October 14, 1997 Umbria Marche event (M_w = 5.7), located about 115 km far from Rome but largely felt in the city, allowed us to verify our knowledge of the seismic response on the basis of the present urban setting of Rome.A prompt macroseismic survey in the urban area within the ring-road (G.R.A.) was performed. 949 questionnaires were compiled by means of 1842 interviews: such a large amount of macroseismic information, for the first time available in Rome, was related to 669 observation points providing a picture of local intensity variations. The areal distribution of collected intensity points is quite homogeneous.The data analysis points out a preferential distribution of larger effects (65%) in correspondence of Holocene alluvium outcrops. Furthermore, a tight correspondence between remarkable intensities and alluvial sediments is pointed out in suburban areas characterized by the minor hydrographic network of the Tiber River. Macroseismic anomalies were outlined in sectors of the urban area where local hydrogeological conditions can be responsible for a significant deterioration of geomechanical properties.     

The 1905 Chamonix earthquakes: active tectonics in the Mont Blanc and Aiguilles Rouges massifs

Linking earthquakes of moderate size to known tectonic sources is a challenge for seismic hazard studies in northwestern Europe because of overall low strain rates. Here we present a combined study of macroseismic information, tectonic observations, and seismic waveform modelling to document the largest instrumentally known event in the French northern Alps, the April 29, 1905, Chamonix earthquake. The moment magnitude of this event is estimated at M_w 5.3 ± 0.3 from records in Göttingen (Germany) and Uppsala (Sweden). The event of April 29 was followed by several afterschocks and in particular a second broadly felt earthquake on August 13, 1905. Macroseismic investigations allow us to favour a location of the epicentres 5–10 km N–NE of Chamonix. Tectonic analysis shows that potentially one amongst several faults might have been activated in 1905. Among them the right lateral strike-slip fault responsible for the recent 2005 M_w = 4.4 Vallorcine earthquake and a quasi-normal fault northeast of the Aiguilles Rouges massif are the most likely candidates. Discussion of tectonic, macroseismic, and instrumental data favour the normal fault hypothesis for the 1905 Chamonix earthquake sequence.     

Risk-based damage potential and loss estimation of earthquake scenarios in the moderate endangered Austrian Federal Province of Tyrol

Although geophysical hazards like earthquakes can lead to tremendous losses, they are often neglected or not considered in risk analyses within an Alpine context. However, lately and especially in the framework of multi-risk analyses, earthquake risk studies are being increasingly implemented within an Alpine relation too. The presented study was conducted to quantitatively estimate potential consequences of earthquake events in the Austrian Province of Tyrol. The methodological study framework integrates the general risk components (i) hazard, (ii) elements at risk, and (iii) vulnerability. They are considered on a regional scale, accepting pragmatic approaches with simplified procedures and assumptions. Scenarios for different potential epicentres were calculated based on two different macroseismic hazard maps derived from punctual ground motion values of the building code and microzonation studies. The maps take into account the design event definitions of existing building code and a, thereupon based, simple and mono-causal Maximum Credible Earthquake assumption. Corresponding elements at risk and damage potentials were identified and potential losses were estimated under consideration of different vulnerability approaches. It can be shown that most scenarios based on the design event definition of the Austrian and European building codes, respectively have the potential of building and inventory losses solely of some hundred million up to approximately €4 billion. Additional, building and inventory losses of maximum credible events can lead to losses of more than €7 billion merely in connection with the primary earthquake event neglecting all other cascading effects.     

The aftershock process and mechanisms of the May 30, 2004 Kostromskoe earthquake,Sakhalin

The results of the instrumental and macroseismic studies are reported for the tangible earthquake with intensity of up to 5–6 and amplitude of MLH = 4.8 that occurred near the western coast of Sakhalin Island. The main parameters of the Kostromskoe earthquake have been estimated in two versions: (1) based on the data from the local network of digital stations located in southern Sakhalin, and (2) from the complex of local, regional, and global observations. It has been noted that the development of the local network in southern Sakhalin allowed the seismic regime in the earthquake area to be investigated in more detail and the mechanisms of both the individual weak and group events to be derived. The acquired data on the dislocation style of the main shock and aftershocks in the days following the event were used for the geological-tectonic interpretation of the Kostromskoe earthquake.     

Macroseismic study of the Potenza (southern Italy), earthquake of 5 May 1990

The aim of this paper is to define the macroseismic field of the 5 May 1990 Potenza earthquake, analysing about 3000 questionnaire forms together with the results of the direct inquiries carried out in the field. The study evidences the seismic vulnerability of the Potenza district and of the whole of southern Italy in general, due to the low resistance characteristics of the old constructions and a lack of seismic prevention. Besides, geomorphological failure increases hazardous situations at the earthquake's occurrence. This earthquake provided a good test for checking and improving the ING macroseismic data collection procedures.     

Reappraisal of major African earthquakes,south of 20°N, 1900–1930

We have re-examined those earthquakes in Africa south of 20°N, in the period 1900–1930, that appear from instrumental or macroseismic evidence to have a magnitude of 5 3/4 or greater. We identify more than 50 such events, about twice as many as listed by Gutenberg and Richter (1954). We find that the combined use of early instrumental readings and macroseismic information gleaned from previously untapped sources gives the best control of location. Instrumental relocation is difficult because of the lack of stations in Africa and the very uneven global distribution. For the low-gain, medium-period instruments then in use, the best control often comes from using the maximum Airy phase of surface waves. Similarly, there is a lack of sources of macroseismic information, and the simple building practice makes it difficult to assess intensity. We have recalculated magnitude Ms uniformly using the Prague formula. We discuss these problems and show that it is likely that our list is complete only down to magnitude about 6, and that the seismic record for Africa before this century will probably remain incomplete for events of all magnitudes.Of the 54 events in our list 20 are between magnitude 6 and 7, and the largest is the Rukwa earthquake of 1910 in Tanzania (Ms 7.4). The only other African event known to rival it in size is that in southern Sudan on 20 May 1990 (Ms 7.2).     

The record of historic earthquakes in lake sediments of Central Switzerland

Deformation structures in lake sediments in Central Switzerland can be attributed to strong historic earthquakes. The type and spatial distribution of the deformation structures reflect the historically documented macroseismic intensities thus providing a useful calibration tool for paleoseismic investigations in prehistoric lake sediments.The Swiss historical earthquake catalogue shows four moderate to strong earthquakes with moment magnitudes of M_w=5.7 to M_w=6.9 and epicentral intensities of I₀=VII to I₀=IX that affected the area of Central Switzerland during the last 1000 years. These are the 1964 Alpnach, 1774 Altdorf, 1601 Unterwalden, and 1356 Basel earthquakes. In order to understand the effect of these earthquakes on lacustrine sediments, four lakes in Central Switzerland (Sarner See, Lungerer See, Baldegger See, and Seelisberg Seeli) were investigated using high-resolution seismic data and sediment cores. The sediments consist of organic- and carbonate-rich clayey to sandy silts that display fine bedding on the centimeter to millimeter scale. The sediments are dated by historic climate and environmental records, ¹³⁷Cs activity, and radiocarbon ages. Deformation structures occur within distinct zones and include large-scale slumps and rockfalls, as well as small-scale features like disturbed and contorted lamination and liquefaction structures. These deformations are attributed to three of the abovementioned earthquakes. The spatial distribution of deformation structures in the different lakes clearly reflects the historical macroseismic dataset: Lake sediments are only affected if they are situated within an area that underwent groundshaking not smaller than intensity VI to VII. We estimate earthquake size by relating the epicentral distance of the farthest liquefaction structure to earthquake magnitude. This relationship is in agreement with earthquake size estimations based on the historical dataset.     

Croation macroseismic database

Compilation of the digital Croatian Macroseismic Database is an ongoing project that started in 1995. Final version of the database will contain all the macroseismic data from the archive of the Department of Geophysics (including data for neighboring countries) without time or intensity threshold. The database has two subsets: intensity point database and the digital archive. A total of 426 earthquakes felt in Croatia are currently being analyzed. The job is carried out through several stages, each of them corresponding to digitalization of a different input data format (intensity maps, intensity point lists, questionnaires, etc.). 69 intensity maps of the earthquakes felt in Croatia, published in the Catalogue of Earthquakes in the Balkan Region were digitized first. The coordinates of intensity points were assigned to geographic locations (villages, cities, …) by consulting the database of latitudes and longitudes of all settlements in Croatia (database of settlements). 330 existing intensity lists (intensity and name of the place without coordinates) were entered into the database during the second step. The intensity maps which were not published so far will be scanned and digitized during the third stage of the project. The last stage will be input of primary data to the digital archive and reassessing of intensities according to the EMS macroseismic scale. The main goal of this paper is to describe the way of database compilation. Preliminary felt intensity map and number of intensity points map illustrate possibilities of macroseismic field analyze.     

Constraints on the location and mechanism of the 1511 Western-Slovenia earthquake from active tectonics and modeling of macroseismic data

The 1511 Western Slovenia earthquake (M = 6.9) is the largest event occurred so far in the region of the Alps–Dinarides junction. Though it strongly influences the regional seismic hazard assessment, the epicenter and mechanism are still under debate. The complexity of the active tectonics of the Alps–Dinarides junction is reflected by the presence of both compressional and transpressional deformations. This complexity is witnessed by the recent occurrence of three main earthquake sequences, the 1976 Friuli thrust faulting events, the 1998 Bovec–Krn Mountain and the 2004 Kobarid strike-slip events. The epicenters of the 1998 and 2004 strike-slip earthquakes (M_s = 5.7 and M_s = 4.9, respectively) lie only 50 km far from the 1976 thrust earthquake (M_s = 6.5).We use the available macroseismic data and recent active tectonics studies, to assess a possible epicenter and mechanism for the 1511 earthquake and causative fault. According with previous works reported in the literature, we analyze both a two-and a single-event case, defining several input fault models. We compute synthetic seismograms up to 1 Hz in an extended-source approximation, testing different rupture propagations and applying a uniform seismic moment distribution on the fault segments. We extract the maximum horizontal velocities from the synthetics and we convert them into intensities by means of an empirical relation. A rounded-to-integer misfit between observed and computed intensities is performed, considering both a minimized and a maximized databases, built to avoid the use of half-degree macroseismic intensity data points. Our results are consistent with a 6.9 magnitude single event rupturing 50 km of the Idrija right-lateral strike-slip fault with bilateral rupture propagation.