Research and application of mineral resources assessment by weights of evidence model based on SIG

Geological data are usually of the characteristics of multi-source, large amount and multi-scale. The construction of Spatial Information Grid overcomes the shortages of personal computers when dealing with geological data. The authors introduce the definition, architecture and flow of mineral resources assessment by weights of evidence model based on Spatial Information Grid (SIG). Meanwhile, a case study on the prediction of copper mineral occurrence in the Middle-Lower Yangtze metallogenic belt is given. The results show that mineral resources assessement based on SIG is an effective new method which provides a way of sharing and integrating distributed geospatial information and improves the efficiency greatly.     

Cumulative gain and lift charts for model performance assessment in mineral potential mapping

Model performance assessment is a key procedure for mineral potential mapping, but the corresponding research achievements are seldom reported in literature.Cumulative gain and lift charts are well known in the data mining community specialized in marketing and sales applications and widely used in customer churn prediction for model performance assessment.In this paper, they are introduced into the field of mineral potential mapping for model performance assessment.These two charts can be viewed as a graphic representation of the advantage of using a predictive model to choose mineral targets.A cumulative gain curve can represent how much a predictive model is superior to a random guess in mineral target prediction.A lift chart can express how much more likely the mineral targets predicted by a model are deposit-bearing ones than those by a random selection.As an illustration, the cumulative gain and lift charts are applied to measure the performance of weights of evidence, logistic regression, restricted Boltzmann machine, and multilayer perceptron in mineral potential mapping in the Altay district in northern Xinjiang in China.The results show that the cumulative gain and lift charts can visually reveal that the first three models perform well while the last one performs poorly.Thus, the cumulative gain and lift charts can serve as a graphic tool for model performance assessment in mineral potential mapping.     

Gold resources potential assessment in eastern Kunlun Mountains of China combining weights-of-evidence model with GIS spatial analysis technique

Resources potential assessment is one of the fields in geosciences,which is able to take great advantage of GIS technology as a substitution of traditional working methods.The gold resources potential in the eastern Kunlun Mountains,Qinghai Province,China was assessed by combining weights-of-evidence model with GIS spatial analysis technique.All the data sets used in this paper were derived from an established multi-source geological spatial database,which contains geological,geophysical,geochemical and rem...     

Regional distribution and sustainable development strategy of mineral resources in China

This paper summarizes the distribution and production layout of the major mineral resources in China,including coal,iron ore,copper and bauxite,from a national perspective.It also identifies the incompatibility between the mineral resources distribution and regional economic development.Significant issues with China’s mineral resource industry cause challenges for the sustainable development of both the mining industry and the national socio-economy.The sustainability of regional mineral resources and the environmental pollution by mining in the western China were also analyzed.Results show that the distribution of China’s mineral resources is misaligned with its regional layout of economic development.China’s mineral resources have been over-exploited,and the mineral resources production in the eastern China is unsustainable.The continuously expanding production of mineral resources in the western China has heavily endangered the ecological environment.We propose strategies to boost the sustainable development of mineral resources,including measures to accelerate economic development and enhance the sustainability of domestic mineral resources.We also offer suggestions for scientifically planning the mineral resource prospecting and exploitation and regional economic layout,as well as for proactively undertaking industry transfer in the eastern China and raising the environmental benchmark requirements for the mineral industry in the central and western China.     

THE ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS AND COUNTERMEASURES OF MINERAL RESOURCES UTILIZATION IN CHINA

ＴＨＥ ＥＮＶＩＲＯＮＭＥＮＴＡＬ ＰＲＯＢＬＥＭＳ ＡＮＤ ＣＯＵＮＴＥＲＭＥＡＳＵＲＥＳ ＯＦ ＭＩＮＥＲＡＬ ＲＥＳＯＵＲＣＥＳ ＵＴＩＬＩＺＡＴＩＯＮ ＩＮ ＣＨＩＮＡＸｕＱｉａｎｇ（徐强）（ＨｅｂｅｉＣｏｌｌｅｇｅｏｆＧｅｏｌｏｇｙ，Ｓｈｉ...     

禁忌搜索优化的投影寻踪及其在水资源评价中的应用

在深入分析区域水资源可持续利用评价系统的基础上，建立了区域水资源可持续利用能力评价指标体系，并将基于禁忌搜索优化的投影寻踪技术（TSPP）应用于水资源可持续利用评价。通过对淮河片区水资源可持续利用能力的初步研究，表明了此模型能完整而系统地反映区域水资源可持续利用能力，并且直观、简便，在各种实际系统评价中具有应用价值。     

吐鲁番地区矿产资源开发对环境影响研究

西部大开发给吐鲁番地区带来了机遇同时也带来了巨大的环境挑战，生态环境的脆弱加重了环境污染。矿业是吐鲁番地区经济发展的基础和重要的支柱产业，在矿产资源开发过程中生态环境的保护与治理显得尤为紧迫和重要。通过对吐鲁番地区油气开发产生的废弃物、事故性污染、水资源的过量开发及勘探、开发过程中对地表植被影响和工业三废对环境的影响等加以论述，运用环境污染相关指标和具体数据系统对诸多影响因素进行分析，提出了开发矿产资源与环境保护的措施和政策性建议。     

Development and application of oil-spill risk assessment model for offshore pipeline

To the potential oil-spill risk caused by offshore pipeline more attention has been paid after the Dalian oil spill incident from oil-pipeline explosion. Since then an issue about how to prevent and control the sudden oil-spill from the offshore pipeline has been raised. In this paper, we proposed an optimized model to analyze the main causes （probability） of spill and the consequence with the fuzzy comprehensive assessment model. Considering the complicated assessment process for oil-spill, the assessment factor system involving the spill probability and consequence was established based on the operative manual and statistic leakage/damage data of offshore pipeline in order to estimate the integrated spill risk score automatically. The evaluated factors of spill probability could be grouped into five aspects：corrosion, fatigue, national damage, third party, and operational fault;the consequence evaluated factors of spill included hazard of oil and impact-controlling capability. With some modifications based on experts’ opinions, each of the evaluated factors in our work was developed with a relative weight and evaluation criterion. A test example for an offshore pipe-line in the Bohai waters was described to show how the model can be used for an actual case in more detail. By using the oil-spill risk assessment model, it is easy to determine the risk level associated with the ongoing activity and management level and hence to take the risk mitigation action immediately.     

Spatial effect of mineral resources exploitation on urbanization: A case study of Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China

Mineral resources exploitation significantly affects the spatial structure and evolutive trend of urbanization in arid areas.In this study,the spatial autocorrelation method and the spatial computation model were used to investigate the spatial impacts of mineral resources excavation and processing on comprehensive level of urbanization in the Tarim River Basin,Xinjiang,China for the years of 2000,2006 and 2008.The results are as follows:1)There was a spatial correlation of the development of mineral resources industry and the comprehensive level of urbanization in 2006 and 2008,with the spatial concentration trend rising significantly in 2006 and decreasing in 2008.2)The patterns of local spatial concentration of mineral resources industry and of the comprehensive level of urbanization were relatively stable,and the two patterns showed signs of spatial correlationship.The higher was the degree of the concentration of mineral resources industry,the stronger was its impact on the spatial clustering of urbanization.3)In 2000, mineral resources excavation and processing had a significant positive impact on the comprehensive level of urbanization in the region but not in its adjacent regions.However,in 2008,mineral resources excavation and processing significantly raised the comprehensive level of urbanization not only in the region but also in its neighboring regions.This research demonstrates that the development of mineral resources industry can strongly affect the trends and spatial patterns of urbanization.     

Multi-agent Blind Model and Its Application to Regional Eco-environmental Quality Assessment

1 Introduction Eco-environmental quality assessment is an activity that is affected by man-made factors. As other environmental systems, regional eco-environment is also a complicated and uncertain system (Wu et al., 2005). Owing to these reasons, people may produce a style of subjective un- certainty in mind in evaluating such system (Liu et al. 1999a; Wu et al., 2004). According to unascertained mathematics (Liu et al., 1997; Liu et al., 1999b), we know that this kind of subjective uncerta…     

Problems and countermeasures on main mineral resource sustainable supply in northeastern China

northeastern China is an important old industrial base in China. Mineral resources are the foundation of industry development. However, because of long-term exploitation of mineral resources in northeastern China, the mineral resources reserves decrease gradually and some mineral resources are nearly exhausted, which restricts revitalization and sustainable development of the northeast old industrial base. On the basis of the comprehensive analysis of development and utilization status of mineral resources and supply and demand situation of main mineral resources in northeastern China, the authors put forward countermeasures on main mineral resources sustainable supply in northeastern China.     

Problems and countermeasures on main mineral resource sustainable supply in northeastern China

northeastern China is an important old industrial base in China. Mineral resources are the foundation of industry development. However, because of long-term exploitation of mineral resources in northeastern China, the mineral resources reserves decrease gradually and some mineral resources are nearly exhausted, which restricts revitalization and sustainable development of the northeast old industrial base. On the basis of the comprehensive analysis of development and utilization status of mineral resources and supply and demand situation of main mineral resources in northeastern China, the authors put forward countermeasures on main mineral resources sustainable supply in northeastern China.     

Regional landslide hazard assessment based on Distance Evaluation Model

There are many factors influencing landslide occurrence. The key for landslide control is to confirm the regional landslide hazard factors. The Cameron Highlands of Malaysia was selected as the study area. By bivariate statistical analysis method with GIS software the authors analyzed the relationships among landslides and environmental factors such as lithology, geomorphy, elevation, road and land use. Distance Evaluation Model was developed with Landslide Density(LD). And the assessment of landslide hazard of Cameron Highlands was performed. The result shows that the model has higher prediction precision.     

Evolution stages of oasis economy and its dependence on natural resources in Tarim River Basin

This paper examines spatio-temporal characteristics of an oasis economy and its relationship with water and mineral resources in the Turim River Basin from 1965 to 2005. A spatial autocorrelation model, the center of gravity model, and index system of the regional central city are used to probe the evolution laws of spatial structure of oasis economy. The study finds that: 1) The economic centre of gravity, whose variation track during this period follows linear rote law, was moving from headstream to middle reaches of the Tarim River. 2) Positive spatial autocorrelation which showed a waving and ascending trend of regional economy was significant and the neighbor effect of regional economic growth was strengthened continuously. 3) The regional economic centre was located in Hotan City before 1980, moved to Aksu City during the 1980s and to Korla City after 1990. We conclude that above all, during the recent four decades the evolution of the oasis economy in this region has gone through three stages: a traditional agriculture stage (before 1980), oasis agriculture and agricultural product processing stage (1980-1990) and oasis energy industry stage (after 1990). Furthermore, the dependence degree of the oasis economy on natural resources in different stages are studied by using dominance index, regression model, and grey relation method, which shows that an oasis economy highly depends on water resources in the oasis agriculture and agricultural product processing stage while it depends more on mineral resources such as oil and natural gas during the oasis energy industry stage.     

Regional landslide hazard assessment based on Distance Evaluation Model

There are many factors influencing landslide occurrence. The key for landslide control is to confirm the regional landslide hazard factors. The Cameron Highlands of Malaysia was selected as the study area. By bivariate statistical analysis method with GIS software the authors analyzed the relationships among landslides and environmental factors such as lithology, geomorphy, elevation, road and land use. Distance Evaluation Model was developed with Landslide Density （LD）. And the assessment of landslide hazard of Cameron Highlands was performed. The result shows that the model has higher prediction precision.     

基于分层注水数学模型的油藏数值模拟

为模拟油田注水开发历史,提高分层动用状况及剩余油模拟结果的可靠程度,根据油田分层注水资料,分析水嘴的嘴损特性,建立考虑启动压差、水嘴直径等嘴损特性的分层注水数学模型,计算分层注水井各层段嘴前流压,实现嘴损方程与井—网格压力方程的耦合;考虑分层注水油藏数值模拟线性系统生成,实现井筒流动与井—油藏流动相耦合,提出分层注水油藏数值模拟方法,在PBRS(并行黑油模拟器)实现数值模拟功能.结果表明:模型能够反映分层注水开采开发效果,对缓解油田层间动用矛盾、改善注水开发效果具有指导意义.     

基于粗集理论的教学质量评价模型研究

为了克服用线性模型对教学质量进行评价存在的不足,提出一种基于粗集理论的智能专家系统作为教学质量评价的模型。利用Salvatore Greco等提出的补齐算法,可以将知识表达系统中缺失的数据进行补齐。实例数据表明,该模型在保持教学质量评价模糊性的同时,能对教学质量做出比较一致的评价。     

改进多点灰色模型的研究及应用分析

针对传统多点灰色模型背景值求解方面存在的缺陷,采用自动寻优定权对背景值进行选择,使得实测值与拟合值的残差平方和最小,以提高多点灰色模型的预测精度。实例计算结果表明,与传统的多点灰色模型相比,背景值改进的多点灰色模型预测精度有很大的提高。     

Dynamic Assessment on Regional Eco-environmental Quality Using AHP-Statistics Model—-A Case Study of Chaohu Lake Basin

An indicator system closely connected with eco-environment, in which indicator involves in such fields as society, economy, resources, environment and ecology, is first proposed for eco-environmental quality assessment. Then, a hierarchical model with four levels is established by virtue of these indicators and attributes. In the model, weights of indicators and attributes are determined by combining Delphi method with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and a statistic method is used to eliminate the influences arising from the differences in dimension and magnitude of indicators. On these grounds, an AHP-statistics model is provided for regional eco-environmental quality assessment. As a case, such AHP-statistics model is utilized in the dynamic analysis of regional eco-environmental assessment in Chaohu Lake basin. Study results show that natural environmental quality in the watershed was in the declining state while social environmental quality was in a markedly improved situation from 1996, and the synthetic eco-environmental quality was gradually and slowly improved under the common influences of both natural and social environmental factors. Example of application testified the capacities of above methodology to evaluate the real and dynamic state of regional eco-environmental quality.     

A method of catchments health assessment under value-pressure model and its application in urbanized river network area: A case study in Shanghai,China

Catchments health assessment is fundamental to effective catchments management. Generally, an as-sessment method should be selected to reflect both the purpose of assessment and local characteristics. A trial in Shanghai was conducted to test the method for catchments health assessment in urbanized river network area. Seven indicators that described four dimensions of river, river network, land use and function, and local feature were used to assess catchments values; while possible change rate of urbanization and industrialization in the next 3 years were chosen for catchments pressure assessment in the value-pressure model. Factors related to catchments classi-fication, indicators measurement and protection priority have been considered in the development strategies for catchments health management. The results showed that value-pressure assessment was applicable in urbanized catchments health management, particularly when both human and catchments had multiple demands. As a result of over 30-year rapid urbanization, more than 70% of Shanghai river network area was still in a healthy condition with high catchments values, among them, 39.3% was under high pressure. Poor water quality, simplified river system and weakened local feature of river pattern had largely affected catchments health in Shanghai. Lack of long-term monitoring data would seriously restrict the development and validity of catchments health assessment.