中国西南地区农业干旱灾害风险空间特征

21世纪,中国西南地区干旱灾害农业综合损失率远超过全国平均水平,给人类生活带来了巨大的风险。本文依据灾害系统理论,利用遥感、气象和地理信息数据与技术建立致灾因子危险性、孕灾环境脆弱性、承灾体易损性和防灾减灾能力可靠性等4个因子的风险指数和模型,基于4个因子建立农业干旱灾害综合风险评估模型,在GIS平台下计算了干旱灾害综合风险指数。结果表明:西南地区干旱灾害风险格局模式具有明显的地带性和复杂性,全区并不一致,高风险区主要位于四川盆地和云贵川三省交界处,北部高于南部,东部高于西部,从西南到东北依次增加。随着干旱灾害综合风险指数的变化,干旱灾害风险的模式具有不同的格局。西南地区干旱灾害风险主要受复杂地形和多样气候带的影响,还受植被盖度、农业经济水平、土壤状况等地理环境影响,同时,喀斯特地貌和相对薄弱的抗旱能力也使得西南地区农业干旱灾害风险较高。     

New palaeomagnetic result from Vendian red sediments in Cisbaikalia and the problem of the relationship of Siberia and Laurentia in the Vendian

A palaeomagnetic study of Vendian red sediments from the Lena River section on the western margin of Lake Baikal in the region of Cisbaikalia (54°N, 108°E) has isolated a stable remanence with direction D = 296.3°, I = −27.7° (high-temperature component) and a corresponding pole of 2.7°S, 168.2°E. The primary nature of this remanence is confirmed from a positive fold test, dual polarities and the presence of detrital haematite. This result, together with all late Precambrian–Early Cambrian palaeomagnetic data from Siberia, indicates that Siberia occupied low latitudes during that time. It has been proposed on the basis of palaeomagnetic data that Laurentia occupied high latitudes during the Vendian, so it would appear that there cannot have been any Laurentia–Siberia connection at that time. A review of Vendian to Cambrian Laurentian palaeomagnetic data shows that such an interpretation is ambiguous. An alternative interpretation places Laurentia in low latitudes and confirms the Laurentia–Siberia fit of Hoffman (1991 ) and Pelechaty (1996 ). However, the lack of Late Vendian palaeomagnetic data for Siberia still allows the possibility that it could have occupied high latitudes during that time.     

Spatio-temporal Organization of Mountain Taiga Geosystems of the Baikal Natural Territory

Results from investigating the geosystems of Cisbaikalia in its western and eastern parts (Primorskii Range and Barguzin Range, respectively) are presented. For studying three macroslopes of these mountain ranges (having an easterly aspect for the Primorskii Range and a westerly and south-easterly aspect for the Barguzin Range), the regional background and the main factors of the landscape differentiation of the study areas were analyzed. Structural features of topological geosystems are revealed, and large-scale maps of key areas are compiled (at a scale of 1:50 000). Maps of the landscape-typological structure were created on the basis of the structural-dynamic and facies analysis of landscapes. It is established that the main factors influencing the landscape diversity are the aspect and steepness of the slopes, the composition and structure of rocks, the absolute height, the amount of atmospheric precipitation, and anthropogenic impacts. It is determined that the influence of the lithomorphic factor is widespread throughout the study areas, the hydromorphic factor is also important, the cryomorphic factor occurs additionally in the goletz zone, and the xeromorphic factor is only observed on the Baikal Range and on the coastal plain in some areas of Priolkhonie. The dynamic aspect of the landscape structure and the relationships between geosystems are displayed in map legends.     

黔西南岩溶区饲料灌木营养元素分析

对生长在黔西南州岩溶区的27种饲料灌木常规营养成分及元素作测定,对结果进行灰色关联度及相关性分析,结果表明:构树所含营养元素综合评价为最好,以下依次为青刺尖牛王刺光腺合欢马棘小构树火棘白刺花紫穗槐刺梨。碳、氮、钙元素与饲料常规营养成分相关性最大,其次为钾、磷、硒、铁、锌,其多数与饲料的粗蛋白、粗脂肪、灰分呈正相关,与粗饲料的粗纤维呈负相关。     

Detecting climate change effects on forest ecosystems in Southwestern Romania using Landsat TM NDVI data

Nowadays, Southwestern Romania faces a large-scale aridization of the climate, revealed by the rise of temperatures and the decline of the amount of precipitations, with negative effects visible, among others, in the desiccation of forest vegetation. The present study means to identify the changes that occurred, quality-wise, in the past two decades （1990-2011） in forest vegetation in Southwestern Romania, and to establish the link between those changes and extant thermal stress in the region, whose particular features are high average annual and seasonal temperatures. In order to capture the evolution in time of cli- mate aridization, a first step consisted in using climate data, the temperature and precipitation parameters from three weather stations; these parameters were analyzed both individually and as aridity indexes （De Martonne and UNEP）. In order to quantify the changes in forest vegetation, NDVI indexes were used and analyzed, starting off from Landsat satellite images, acquired at three distinct moments in time, 1990, 2000 and 2011. In order to identify the link between the changes of NDVI index values and regional thermal stress, a yardstick of climate changes, statistical correlations were established between the peak values of average annual temperatures, represented in space, and negative changes in the NDVI index, as revealed by the change-detection analysis. The results obtained indicated there is an obvious （statistically significant） connection between thermal stress and the desiccation （degradation） of forest species in the analyzed area, with false acacia （Robinia Pseudoacacia） the main species to be impacted.     

科其喀尔冰川冰面湖温度变化及其热机制

基于2007年7～9月对科其喀尔冰川消融区冰面湖、表碛、裸冰的温度和消融观测,分析三者的温度变化特征及其差异,探讨冰面湖的热机制.结果表明:科其喀尔冰川冰面湖表层水温受瞬时天气状况影响明显,变化趋势与气温一致,但不如气温变化剧烈并有1～3h滞后性;由于白天冰川融水注入与表层暖水混合下沉,深层湖水在一天的14～16时左右...     

The changing geography of U.S. Hispanics, 1850-1990

"In 1930, the majority of Hispanics were of Mexican descent and lived in the five Southwestern states of Arizona, California, Colorado, New Mexico, and Texas. After World War II the Latino migrant stream began to diversify and include large numbers of Caribbeans, and Central and South Americans who generally settled in the Eastern states and California.... The U.S. Hispanic population has increased from approximately one million in 1930, to approximately 32 million in 1997. County maps chronicle the changing distribution and numbers of Hispanics from 1850 to 1990."     

EMPLOYMENT DATA AND THE CLASSIFICATION OF URBAN SETTLEMENTS

Classifications of urban settlements have traditionally used total employment data in place of basic (export-oriented) employment data. While urban analysis agree upon the superiority of basic employment data for these classifications, usually only total employment data are available. This paper uses the Arizona Community Data Set, a unique survey-generated body of information that describes the major economic characteristics of numerous Southwestern communities and includes both basic and total employment data, to explore the extent to which misclassification results when using total employment data.     

Reconstructing the hydrometeorological indicators in the mountains of Southwestern Tuva and Northwestern Mongolia from dendrochronological data

We reconstructed the hydrometeorological parameters from dendrochronological data prior to the start of instrumental observations. As a result of the dendrochronological investigations made on the mountainous territories of Southwestern Tuva (Mongun-Taiga mountain massif) and Northwestern Mongolia (Mongolian Altai) during 2012–2014, we obtained two regional tree-ring chronologies for the upper and lower tree-lines. Results of dendroclimatic analysis suggest that the influence of the leading climatic factors for the growth of Siberian larch on the upper forest limit in Southwestern Tuva and Mongolian Altai accounts for 50% of the variability in growth. The chronology for the upper tree-line was used in reconstructing the June–July air temperatures, based on data from the Teeli meteorological station, starting in 1715. The analysis revealed the main climatic tendencies which are in good agreement with the climatic periods for the last 300 years: a general decrease in air temperature during the 19^th century (the end of the Neoglacial), and a subsequent rise by 2°C, on the average, i.e. there has been occurring is a positive trend of temperature rise since the late 19^th century. The chronology for the lower forest limits showed a statistically significant correlation with hydrological parameters. This chronology was used in reconstructing the water discharge, according to data from the Buyant-Deluun hydrological station, spanning the time interval since 1474. According to the reconstruction, in the latter half of the 14^th century, and in the 18^th and 19^th centuries the general humidification was lower than in the 20^th century. A positive trend toward an increase in humidity since the end of the 19th century is pointed out.     

无量河考

近年一些图集等将我国西南横断山区北部的理塘河标注为无量河。作者从有关地图、历史文献考证了无量河并非理塘河,而是今日的水落河。     

Geographical Reviews

Book reviewed in this article: ABYSMAL: A Critique of Cartographic Reason. By Gunnar Olsson . IN SEARCH OF MAYA SEA TRADERS. By Heather McKillop . ISLANDS IN A FAR SEA: The Fate of Nature in Hawai'i. By John L. Culliney . THE GHOST MAP: The Story of London's Most Terrifying Epidemic–And How It Changed Science, Cities, and the Modern World. By Steven Johnson . THE MIDWESTERN PASTORAL: Place and Landscape in Literature of the American Heartland. By William Barillas . THE RIBBON OF GREEN: Change in Riparian Vegetation in the Southwestern United States. By Robert H. Webb , Stanley A. Leake , and Raymond M. Turner .     

Household income diversification and the production of local meat: the prospect of small-scale pig farming in Southern Yunnan, China

This paper assesses the viability of small scale, specialised livestock farming led by the local government, to alleviate rural household poverty. In so doing, it reflects upon the prospect of niche livestock farming in an age where, ironically, demand for meat is ever-rising. It also highlights the ambiguous role that local government plays in poverty alleviation. The specific case study is on the Jinuo ethnic minority in Xishuangbanna autonomous region, located in Southwestern province of Yunnan, China. It is argued that thus far the Jinuo minority have had modest success in rearing indigenous pigs due to a confluence of factors. Nonetheless, a growing market will likely result in some degree of intensification in the production process that goes beyond the means of the upland farmers but will be eagerly exploited by the local government. If the pig rearing scheme is to remain an effective income diversification strategy in select marginalised mountainous communities, the march towards commodification, expansion and intensification, as well as the unchecked ambition of the local government, have to be carefully moderated.     

西南三省城镇的职能分类

本文采用H·J·纳尔逊(1955)的城镇职能分类法,根据我国1979年国家统计资料,对四川、云南、贵州三省的城镇进行了类型研究。     

流沙地恢复过程中土壤特性演变研究

以毛乌素沙地西南缘的盐池县沙边子及位于腾格里沙漠东南缘的沙坡头地区为例,研究了该地区不同程度沙漠化土地恢复过程中土壤机械组成及土壤养分的动态变化。结果表明:不同地区或同一地区不同区域的沙漠化土地中,随着植被盖度的增加及恢复程度的增强,土壤中的粉粒、粘粒含量都有显著增加（P<0.05）,土壤质地向着壤质化和细粒化方向发展;土壤的有机质、全氮、全磷含量也有显著增加（P<0.05）;速效氮、速效磷含量也有相应的增加。土壤有机质、全氮和全磷的含量与土壤粉粒、粘粒含量呈显著正相关,且前三者之间也呈极显著正相关;但是土壤粉粒和粘粒含量与速效氮、速效磷和速效钾之间的关系则因区域和土地利用的不同表现出明显的差异。     

Modelling surface drainage patterns in altered landscapes using LiDAR

The detailed topographic information contained in light detection and ranging (LiDAR) digital elevation models (DEMs) can present significant challenges for modelling surface drainage patterns. These data frequently represent anthropogenic infrastructure, such as road embankments and drainage ditches. While LiDAR DEMs can improve estimates of catchment boundaries and surface flow paths, modelling efforts are often confounded difficulties associated with incomplete representation of infrastructure. The inability of DEMs to represent embankment underpasses (e.g. bridges, culverts) and the problems with existing automated techniques for dealing with these problems can lead to unsatisfactory results. This is often dealt with by manually modifying LiDAR DEMs to incorporate the effects of embankment underpasses. This paper presents a new DEM pre-processing algorithm for removing the artefact dams created by infrastructure in sites of embankment underpasses as well as enforcing flow along drainage ditches. The application of the new algorithm to a large LiDAR DEM of a site in Southwestern Ontario, Canada, demonstrated that the least-cost breaching method used by the algorithm could reliably enforce drainage pathways while minimizing the impact to the original DEM.     

中国城镇化与耕地变化时空耦合研究

利用全国(港澳台地区除外)1985—2013年的面板数据,分析各省份城镇化水平的演进态势及耕地数量的动态变化,并分不同时段测算各省份城镇化发展水平与耕地资源变动的耦合协调程度。结果表明:(1)1985年以来,全国大部分地区的城镇化水平整体上都呈现上升的变化趋势,东三省城镇化水平稳定上升但活力不足,西北多省份上升中波动较大,西南地区水平偏低。(2)全国耕地资源在20世纪80年代普遍减少,后期多省份有所增加,但京、津、沪、苏、粤等地的耕地面积一直在以一定的速率减少。(3)全国城镇化与耕地资源关系的协调度呈现西高东低、北高南低的空间格局。较多地区在快速城镇化进程中城镇化发展与耕地资源的协调度呈恶化趋势。     

水电开发的效益共享机制研究——以云南省怒江州为例

西南地区是我国水电资源最富集和贫困人口最集中的地区,加快水电资源开发是促进西南贫困地区发展和农户生计资产改善的重要途径之一。本文以云南省怒江傈僳族自治州为案例,通过华电云南分公司访谈和政府部门座谈等方法,提出建立水电开发的效益共享机制并论证了其必要性和可行性。研究结果表明,企业税负重、补偿标准低、电价不合理、发展条件薄弱是水电开发不能同时带动地方经济发展和农户生计资产改善的主要制约因素。基于特定要素模型和持久性收入理论,提出了移民参与水电开发效益共享的长效补偿机制,构建了理论分析模型并分析了移民搬迁前、后对理论模型的影响。在此基础上,提出了政策建议。     

郭子章地理学著述成就述论

明万历朝的军事家、政治家郭子章,战功卓著,政绩突出,也是一位成就出色的大学者,其地理学尤其是历史人文地理方面的著述极为丰富。渊博的知识、非凡的经历,加上严谨的治学精神,造就了其地理学著述的价值。其地理学著述中,《郡县释名》是我国历史上最早的一部专门注释地名渊源的著作,在地名学史上占有重要地位;《黔记》、《豫章书》等大量方志,涉及江西、贵州等省之自然、人文地理内容;此外,郭子章在西南民族地区行政区划方面的探索与实践也在《黔草》等地方文献中多有体现。这些地理学著述为研究郭子章地理学思想、历代地名沿革、明代西南地区自然和人文地理提供了宝贵的资料。     

红水河流域输沙量变化及其影响因素

红水河是珠江流域的主要泥沙来源,为了确定1955-2016年红水河流域输沙量变化特征及其影响因素,论文尝试采用有序聚类分析确定了流域输沙量变化的3个时期,并利用泥沙归因诊断分析计算了含沙量、径流系数和降雨因子在不同时期对输沙量变化的贡献程度,在此基础上进一步对影响输沙量变化的主要因素进行了分析。研究表明:1955-2016年间红水河流域输沙量存在1963和1991年2个突变点,在突变点前后输沙量存在明显变化,且这一变化主要受含沙量因子控制,人类活动是造成流域输沙量变化的根本原因。其中在1955-1991年间,红水河输沙量的上升主要由毁林开荒引起的流域水土流失面积增加所导致;而在1964-2016年间,水库修建使红水河流域输沙量减少了83.49%,而同时期植被覆盖度的增长贡献了输沙量减少的12.03%。将Wa TEM/SEDEM模型模拟结果与实测结果进行对比,同样发现1964-2016年输沙量变化的绝大部分(81.03%)由修建水库所贡献,而土地利用变化对输沙量减少的贡献相对较小(18.97%)。     

Soil-dependent canopy die-back and plant mortality in two Mojave Desert shrubs

Recent drought has led to unprecedented levels of plant mortality across the Southwestern US. An unaddressed feature of this drought's impact is how soil characteristics and soil hydrological behavior affect desert plant canopy die-back and mortality. Here, we present a multi-year study in the Mojave Desert assessing canopy die-back and whole-plant mortality of white bursage (Ambrosia dumosa) and creosotebush (Larrea tridentata) in soils varying in surface and sub-surface horizon development, and topographic (hillslope vs. channel) positions. Canopy die-back and mortality was more widespread A. dumosa than in L. tridentata, and dead plants tended to be smaller than surviving plants, especially in channel and hillslope locations. This suggests that juveniles were particularly vulnerable where plants depended heavily on augmentation of incident precipitation by runoff. Canopy die-back was greater in young, weakly developed soils that fostered extensive plant growth, while plants growing in older, well-developed soils showed markedly lower branch and plant mortality, especially in A. dumosa. We attributed these differences in plant response in part to variation in distributions of large rocks within soil profiles, which might affect soil hydrological heterogeneity and intensity of plant competition for water.