从末次冰盛期冰川规模探讨当时的气候环境

根据乌鲁木齐河源区末次冰盛期形成的保存完好的古冰川遗迹和现代气候条件下冰川特平衡与气候的关系。用冰川动力学方法估算出冰川达到末次冰盛期规模时的气候条件。依据末次冰盛期冰川面积，结合冰川平衡线高度和冰川体积综合分析，乌鲁木齐河源区末次冰盛期的夏季气温应比现代低４．８℃左右，降水约只有现代的３０％，但目前其它古气候方法的研究结果表明，末次冰盛期的夏季气温比现代低５．６℃左右，两者相差０．８℃，其原因可     

末次冰盛期气候反馈特征研究

末次冰盛期（Last Glacial Maximum,简称LGM）被认为是较适合用来估算气候系统响应对辐射强迫变化的古气候区间之一。理解LGM时期气候反馈过程有助于进一步限定气候敏感度的范围。本研究利用辐射核方法和参加第三次古气候模式比较计划（Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase Ⅲ,简称PMIP3）的8个耦合模式资料,对比研究了LGM时期与abrupt4xCO₂（4CO₂）情景下的气候反馈特征。结果表明：全球平均而言,不同情景下温度反馈、水汽反馈和反照率反馈的强度存在显著差异,然而这一关系并不存在于云反馈过程中,这可能与情景间/模式间云反馈的不确定性相联系;在不同情景下,不同反馈过程强度也存在明显空间差异。温度反馈过程的差异主要来源于LGM时期大陆冰盖强迫引起的温度变化的高度空间不均一性和海陆分布改变引起的热带对流活动的变化;水汽反馈变化可能与海陆分布变化引起的沃克环流变化以及全球降温相联系;大陆冰盖和海冰存在是导致LGM时期地表反照率反馈增加的主要原因;而云反馈的差异可能与低云云量和模式间不确定性有关。LGM时期单独强迫数值试验将有助于进一步厘清不同气候状态下气候反馈过程差异的原因。

     

青藏高原东南巴松措流域和派山谷末次冰盛期冰川与气候重建

末次冰盛期(LGM)时全球大范围降温,青藏高原冰川大规模扩张,重建LGM时期古冰川规模对认识高原冰川水资源演化及古气候条件有重要的科学意义。根据青藏高原东南巴松措流域及派山谷两地的冰川地貌及其10Be暴露年代数据,本文应用冰川纵剖面模型定量重建了两地冰川在LGM时期的范围、冰储量和平衡线高度(ELA)等参数,并通过冰川气候模型恢复了LGM时的气候条件。结果表明：巴松措流域LGM时期的冰川面积约为982.3km²,是现代冰川面积的4.5倍,冰储量约为274.4km³;派山谷无现代冰川分布,LGM时期的冰川面积达5.76km²,冰储量约为0.51km³;LGM时期两冰川的平衡线高度分别为4 460～4 547m和3 569～3 694m,与现代冰川相比分别降低了535m和1 034～1 184m。在降水减少60%的情况下,考虑LGM以来的构造剥蚀对平衡线高度变化的影响,LGM时期巴松措流域和派山谷冰川的夏季平均气温分别比现在低约2.96～4.89℃和5.09～6.99℃。     

末次冰盛期和中全新世气候模拟分析进展

回顾了课题组近年来有关末次冰盛期和中全新世气候模拟分析的研究进展,包括中国气候、东亚和全球季风以及相关的主要大气环流系统等变化。多模式试验数据的分析表明,末次冰盛期中国降温和年均有效降水变化与重建记录定性一致,但模拟幅度偏弱;中国冻土区扩张、永冻土区活动层变薄,中国西部冰川物质平衡线高度降低;东亚季风变化在不同模式间差异较大,中国季风区范围和季风降水减小,北半球陆地季风区南移、全球季风区缩小和降水强度减弱共同引起全球季风降水减少;全球降水和潜在蒸散发共同减小使得全球干湿变化总体很小;北半球西风带在高层北移、低层南移,热带宽度变化依赖于指标的选取,厄尔尼诺—南方涛动气候影响、热带太平洋沃克环流均减弱并东移。在中全新世,多模式模拟的中国年和冬季偏冷仍然与大部分重建记录显示的偏暖不同;东亚冬季风增强,东亚夏季降水变化存在空间不一致性;中国和全球尺度的季风区范围和季风降水均增加;东北多年冻土退化、青藏高原多年冻土向低海拔扩张,北半球永冻土区减小、季节性冻土扩张、冻土区北退、永冻土区活动层变厚;全球干旱区面积总体变化很小;夏季东亚西风急流显著减弱并北移,厄尔尼诺—南方涛动减弱,热带太平洋沃克环流...     

末次冰盛期以来冲绳海槽古海洋环境研究进展

冲绳海槽处于东海与西太平洋边缘的交界处,不仅对全球气候变化响应敏感,其环境变化也影响着东亚边缘海,乃至东亚大陆的环境,是研究古海洋环境的理想区域。该区域的古海洋环境研究多集中于末次冰盛期以来,因此本文以冲绳海槽为主体,总结了该区域末次冰盛期以来古海洋环境变化的相关研究,主要包括3个方面：古海平面、温度和盐度等;沉积物来源及其演化;黑潮及其对海洋环境的影响。该区域末次冰盛期以来的环境变化可大致分为,主要由海平面控制为主的末次冰盛期-早全新世和由黑潮、季风等因素控制的早全新世-现代两个主要的阶段。沉积物主要来自古黄河、长江、日本、台湾岛以及火山喷发物质等,但不同区域、不同时间的物质来源存在差异。另外,黑潮是该区域最主要的海流,其路径和强度末次冰盛期以来经历多次变化,并对其他海洋环境要素产生重大的影响。综合上述研究,提出未来应该系统建立冲绳海槽海洋环境演化历史、加强黑潮对周边流系的影响和陆源物质源-汇过程的系统研究。

     

黄河上游末次冰盛期古洪水事件的初步研究

洪水的发生规律是洪灾预报的前提，已有的人类洪水记录时间尺度，不足以认识和把握洪水的出现规律。因此，利用地质记录延长洪水序列，探讨地球特征气候期的洪水特点，就显得非常重要的必要。黄河上游兰州－银川段的洪水地质记录表明，在末次冰盛期的20－18ka，该区共发生了106次大洪水漫滩事件，其中有18次为多次洪峰叠加的复合型大洪水，洪水的发生频率达53次/ka。发生于末次冰盛期的大洪水可能属冰凌洪水，与末次冰盛期强烈的气候波动和不稳定有关。这些大洪水的频发与中国西部的末次冰盛期出现的高湖面相对应，既不符合一般的季风气候理论，也不同于我国东部广大地区末次冰盛期以冷干为主的气候特点，表明中国西部气候的独特性和复杂性。     

青藏高原东部末次冰期最盛期气候的花粉证据

青藏高原许多湖泊钻孔、泥炭剖面等所揭示的花粉记录为重建当时的古气候提供了可靠的证据．应用这些资料探讨青藏高原东部末次最大盛冰期植被和气候．大约２５～１５ｋａＢＰ前后西藏东南部、川西若尔盖及青海柴达木和可可西里地区,气候寒冷干燥,年均气温比现今低６℃左右,植被以荒漠草原为主;在青海湖地区森林退缩演变为草原植被;甘肃临夏气候冷湿,年均温比现在低５～６℃,发育山地暗针叶林     

末次冰盛期黑潮变化的数值模拟

黑潮是北太平洋西部边界流, 能够携带西太平洋暖池热量向北输送, 影响中国海的水文循环及全球气候。本研究利用高分辨率区域海洋模式(ROMS), 模拟了现代及末次冰盛期(LGM)黑潮流量和流轴的三维结构。气候态分析再现了现代黑潮的流量, 在PCM-1阵列、PN测线和吐噶喇海峡的流量分别是23.8 Sv、28.0 Sv和28.2 Sv, 与观测结果接近。LGM模拟中以上3个断面流量分别为34.5 Sv、34.4 Sv和34.9 Sv, 流量明显增加。垂直结构显示末次冰盛期(LGM)时期黑潮主轴仍位于冲绳海槽内, 深度范围也比现代大。LGM时期黑潮进入冲绳海槽前受到海槛阻挡, 部分黑潮流向发生偏转, 使得琉球海流加强。LGM时期黑潮加强主要受副热带环流圈信风加强和风应力旋度减小造成的Sverdrup输送加强控制。黑潮上游北赤道流加强, 导致向北输送流量增加。研究结果可以帮助认识黑潮在全球水循环的重要作用。

     

末次冰盛期东亚夏季风变化的重庆石笋记录

基于重庆小山岩洞XSY1石笋的5个²³⁰Th年龄和582个氧同位素数据,重建了23134~19345 a B.P.期间分辨率约6.5 a的东亚夏季风变化历史。此石笋δ¹⁸O记录的长期趋势逐渐负偏,在其上叠加了一系列千年-百年尺度季风振荡,呈现为4谷3峰的结构形态。重庆XSY1和南京MSD石笋δ¹⁸O记录在数百年尺度的反相关系表明冰盛期时东亚大陆东部水汽并非来自印度洋。与北高纬记录对比显示东亚季风的增强与减弱基本对应格陵兰温度的升高与降低时期,暗示在冰量最大时期东亚季风与北高纬气候仍密切联系。此外,XSY1的δ¹⁸O与冰芯¹⁰Be通量亦存在明显的对应关系,表明太阳活动对东亚季风的调控作用受冰量边界条件影响较小。功率谱分析结果显示出1011 a、722 a、460 a、337 a和163 a的周期,与太阳活动周期相近,进一步确认太阳活动对东亚季风的驱动作用。石笋XSY1与澳大利亚石笋MC-S2 δ¹⁸O记录在千年尺度呈反相位变化,表明冰盛期时东亚季风与全球其他气候系统的动力联系。

     

用花粉记录探索古植被——答“关于华南地区末次冰盛期植被类型的讨论”

正确认识花粉源区、花粉传播及其动力,是用花粉重建古植被的基础。对深海花粉来说,这个问题尤为重要。文章回答了刘金陵等对我们南海的工作的质疑,同时阐述了我们用深海花粉再造南海北部大陆架及沿海地区末次冰盛期古植被的逐步深入的过程。直至今日,我们仍在不断探索,以求得更为接近真实的冰盛期古植被     

末次盛冰期华北平原古气候古环境演化

华北平原宁晋泊南王庄剖面的^14C和光释光年代测定表明宁晋泊地区在末次盛冰期有连续的湖相沉积。依据孢粉、碳酸盐、有机碳含量（TOC）及C／N值的高分辨率分析与综合判识，末次盛冰期并不是一个持续的干冷时期，而是存在从凉湿-冷偏湿-冷干的波动变化过程。其中早期明显降温事件，可以与Heinrich事件2（H2）对比，说明全球降温的同步性。本研究说明末次盛冰期（20-16ka BP），在全球气候变冷的背景下，存在一个冬季风不断加强夏季风逐渐变弱的过程。     

青藏高原末次冰期最盛时的冰川与环境

在１６－３２ｋａＢｐ的末次冰期最盛时，青藏高原较现代降温７℃左右，降水为现代的０３－７０％。极地型冰川广泛分布，高原内部平衡线较下降值减至５００－３００ｍ以内，高原东部，南缘及西缘可能以亚极地型冰川为主，并有小部分温冰川，平衡线下降８００ｍ以至１００－１２００ｍ。初步统计，包括周围高山在内冰川面积在３５×１０＾４ｋｍ＾２左右，为现代冰川的７．５倍，冰储量相当于全海平面变化２４．２ｃｍ。其时，多年冻     

Climatic and environmental variability during the termination of the Last Glacial Stage in coastal eastern Australia: a review

By comparison with the Northern Hemisphere, there is a paucity of high-resolution, continuous records extending into the Last Glacial Maximum from the Southern Hemisphere. With specific reference to coastal eastern Australia, there are long records of paleoclimatic and paleoenvironmental variability available from the tropical north and temperate south. However, there are significant spatial gaps between such records: in particular, until relatively recently, little attention had been paid to the subtropics. This review paper summarises understanding of regional paleoenvironmental and paleoclimatic variability in coastal eastern Australia during the termination of the Last Glacial Stage, with the aim of highlighting gaps in the current state of knowledge. Recommendations for future research are prioritised to answer knowledge gaps in understanding climate variability in eastern Australia between ca 33–18 kyr BP.     

The Last Glacial Maximum in the North Sea Basin: micromorphological evidence of extensive glaciation

Despite a long history of investigation, critical issues regarding the last glacial cycle in northwest Europe remain unresolved. One of these refers to the extent, timing and dynamics of Late Devensian/Weichselian glaciation of the North Sea Basin, and whether the British and Scandinavian ice sheets were confluent at any time during this period. This has been the result of the lack of the detailed sedimentological data required to reconstruct processes and environment of sediments recovered through coring. This study presents the results of seismic, sedimentological and micromorphological evidence used to reconstruct the depositional processes of regionally extensive seismic units across the North Sea Basin. Thin section micromorphology is used here to provide an effective means of discriminating between subglacial and glacimarine sediments from cored samples and deriving process‐based interpretations from sediment cores. On the basis of micromorphology, critical formations from the basin have been reinterpreted, with consequent stratigraphic implications. Within the current stratigraphic understanding of the North Sea Basin, a complex reconstruction is suggested, with a minimum of three major glacial episodes inferred. On at least two occasions during the Weichselian/Devensian, the British and Scandinavian ice sheets were confluent in the central North Sea. Whilst micromorphology can provide much greater confidence in the interpretation of Late Quaternary offshore stratigraphic sequences, it is noted that a much better geochronology is required to resolve key stratigraphic issues between the onshore and offshore stratigraphic records. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Climate variability during the Last Glacial Maximum in eastern Australia: evidence of two stadials?

A high‐resolution, multiproxy record encompassing the last glacial–interglacial transition is presented for Native Companion Lagoon, a coastal site in subtropical eastern Australia. Rates of aeolian sedimentation in the lake were established by trace element analyses of lacustrine sediments and used as a proxy for aridity. In conjunction with sediment moisture content, charcoal and pollen these provide a multi‐decadal record of palaeoenvironmental variability for the period 33–18 k cal. yr BP. Results indicate that the Last Glacial Maximum in eastern Australia spanned almost 10 k cal. yr, and was characterised by two distinct cold dry events at approximately 30.8 k cal. yr BP and 21.7 k cal. yr BP. Provenance of selected sediment samples by trace element geochemical fingerprinting shows that continental sourced aeolian sediments originated primarily from South Australia during these cold events and from sites in central Australia during the intervening time. Used in combination with a pollen record, the provenance of long‐travelled dust to mainland sites shows that the two cold events were characterised by frequent meridional dry southwesterly winds rather than zonal westerly airflow as previously believed. The intervening period was cool and humid, which we infer as being associated with more frequent southeasterly winds of maritime origin. These results lend support to previous research that indicates the Southern Hemisphere experienced a period of widespread climatic amelioration at the height of the last glacial known as the Antarctic Isotopic Maximum. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The PMIP3 Simulated Climate Changes over Arid Central Asia during the Mid‐Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum

In this study, the climate changes over Arid Central Asia(ACA) during the mid-Holocene(approximately 6,000 calendar years ago, MH) and the Last Glacial Maximum(approximately 21,000 calendar years ago, LGM) were investigated using multimodel simulations derived from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project Phase 3(PMIP3). During the MH, the multimodel median(MMM) shows that in the core region of ACA, the regionally averaged annual surface air temperature(SAT) decreases by 0.13°C and annual precipitation decreases by 3.45%, compared with the preindustrial(PI) climate. The MMM of the SAT increases by 1.67/0.13°C in summer/autumn, whereas it decreases by 1.23/1.11°C in spring/winter. The amplitude of the seasonal cycles of the SAT increases over ACA due to different MH orbital parameters. For precipitation, the regionally averaged MMM decreases by 5.77%/5.69%/0.39%/5.24% in spring/summer/autumn/winter, respectively. Based on the analysis of the aridity index(AI), compared with the PI, a drier climate appears in southern Central Asia and western Xinjiang due to decreasing precipitation. During the LGM, the MMM shows that the regionally averaged SAT decreases by 5.04/4.36/4.70/5.12/5.88°C and precipitation decreases by 27.78%/28.16%/31.56%/27.74%/23.29% annually and in the spring, summer, autumn, and winter, respectively. Robust drying occurs throughout almost the whole core area. Decreasing precipitation plays a dominant role in shaping the drier conditions, whereas strong cooling plays a secondary but opposite role. In response to the LGM external forcings, over Central Asia and Xinjiang, the seasonal cycle of precipitation has a smaller amplitude compared with that under the PI climate. In the model-data comparison, the simulated MH moisture changes over ACA are to some extent consistent with the reconstructions, further confirming that drier conditions occurred during that period than during the PI.