十到百年尺度动力形态模型在珠江磨刀门河口的应用

在人类活动的参与下磨刀门河口演变已不再是纯粹的自然过程,而是自然和人类活动共同塑造的过程。建立了一个以过程模拟为主的10~100 a尺度的长周期动力形态模型(PRD-LTMM-10)用于模拟磨刀门河口在人类活动作用下的演变过程。 该模型建立在水体运动方程和沉积物输运方程的基础上,应用约简技术对模型输入和计算进行处理,并包含了用于评价和量化人类活动的抛石促淤模块和航道疏浚模块。应用该模型较真实地模拟了磨刀门河口在1977-1988 年的动力地形演变过程,并且通过模拟结果和情景分析,合理地分离了人类各种工程活动的长期影响和自然因素在河口演变中的作用。研究表明,治理工程对河口自然发展趋势造成了较大的改造,淤积强度表现为西侧大于东侧。抛石和围垦工程使横洲水道主槽逐年冲刷,深槽外移,而龙屎窟深槽上端则表现为严重淤积,深槽不断缩窄。     

十到百年尺度动力形态模型在珠江磨刀门河口的应用

在人类活动的参与下磨刀门河口演变已不再是纯粹的自然过程,而是自然和人类活动共同塑造的过程。建立了一个以过程模拟为主的10~100 a尺度的长周期动力形态模型(PRD-LTMM-10)用于模拟磨刀门河口在人类活动作用下的演变过程。 该模型建立在水体运动方程和沉积物输运方程的基础上,应用约简技术对模型输入和计算进行处理,并包含了用于评价和量化人类活动的抛石促淤模块和航道疏浚模块。应用该模型较真实地模拟了磨刀门河口在1977-1988 年的动力地形演变过程,并且通过模拟结果和情景分析,合理地分离了人类各种工程活动的长期影响和自然因素在河口演变中的作用。研究表明,治理工程对河口自然发展趋势造成了较大的改造,淤积强度表现为西侧大于东侧。抛石和围垦工程使横洲水道主槽逐年冲刷,深槽外移,而龙屎窟深槽上端则表现为严重淤积,深槽不断缩窄。     

南海中央海盆岩石圈纵向演化模拟

基于南海海盆的地质构造历史、地球物理和构造应力场资料建立准三维有限元模型,对南海中央海盆进行岩石圈纵向演化动力学模拟.本文采用弹塑性各向同性连续岩石介质模型,充分考虑拉伸速率、拉伸位移以及模型参数对模拟结果的影响,共建立了3个模型进行比较.从数值模拟结果可以看出中央海盆在被动拉张的地质构造背景下是单向生长的,动态模拟出南海中央海盆在形成过程中的陆缘裂离、海底扩张两个阶段的岩石圈纵向演化过程,并且分析了两个阶段岩石圈的动力学性质.提出水平的被动拉张力是南海岩石圈纵向演化前两个阶段形成的主要因素,并且在这两个阶段中,岩石圈的纵向演化时间主要集中在海底扩张阶段.     

Modeling aerosol dynamics during forest fires

A hydrodynamic model is used to reproduce the atmospheric circulation during forest fires. The dynamics is simulated with an improved model of free convection with allowance for heat flux emission from the fire area. Against the background of the atmospheric circulation patterns obtained, the problem of aerosol evolution and size distribution due to the forest’s combustible materials from the fire area was solved. The evolution of soot particles is described by solving the kinetic equations of condensation and coagulation. The results of numerical experiments to develop a process that considers water-vapor condensation in a moist atmosphere are presented.     

青岛海陆风三维结构的数值模拟

本文采用 1个陡地形影响修正的三维中尺度流体静力的气象学模式 ,对青岛地区海陆风的日变化规律和三维结构进行了较细致的分析。结果显示 ,青岛有多支海陆风存在 ,且每支海陆风出现的时间、强度和向内陆伸展的距离有很大的不同。这其中沿岸山地的机械和热力作用扮演着重要的角色。在观测站 ,模拟结果和实测资料等方面有较好的一致性。     

A numerical study of the generation and propagation of internal solitary waves in the Luzon Strait

A new composite model, which consists of a generation model of the internal tides and a regularized long wave propagation model, is presented to study the generation and evolution of internal solitary waves in the sill strait. Internal bores in the sill strait are first simulated by the generation model, and then the internal tidal field outside of the sill region is given as input for the propagation model. Numerical experiments are carried out to study the imposing tide, depth profile, channel width and shoaling effect, etc., on the generation and evolution of internal solitary waves. It is shown that only when the amplitude of internal tide at the forcing boundary of the propagation model is large enough that a train of internal solitary waves would be induced. The amplitude of the imposing tide in the generation model, shoaling effect, asymmetry of the depth profile and channel width have some effects on the amplitude of the induced internal solitary wave. The imposing tidal flow superimposed on a constant mean background flow has a great damping effect on the induced internal waves, especially on those propagate against the background flow direction. The generation and propagation of internal solitary waves in three possible straits among the Luzon Strait are simulated, and the reasons for the asymmetry of their propagation are also explained.     

鱼类自然死亡率的估算及其影响因子的探讨

为探讨鱼类自然死亡率参数,文中讨论了1种通过资源量和渔获量数据估算鱼类自然死亡率(M)的方法。蒙特卡罗模拟分析显示当资源量的白色噪音,即变异系数(CV)水平小于大约10％时自然死亡率的估计值基本上是准确的;捕捞死亡率的变化对自然死亡率估计的影响不大。文中构造了长寿命自然死亡率小和短寿命自然死亡率大的2个鱼类种群,模拟结果表明这种方法更适用于寿命短而自然死亡率大的种群。另外该方法在黄海鲲鱼(Engraulis japonicus)渔业数据上的应用同样得到了良好的结果。     

风暴潮前后莱州湾西岸滩演化特征研究

Multiple surveys were conducted before and after storm surge at four beach sections,Sediment samples were analyzed and numerically simulated for understanding the characteristicsof becach reaction to storm surge and morphological evolution ,The results show that the sediment sources in this area do not increase in amount;the beach is basically stable in normal weather.While in gale weather,sediment from Yellow River and the eroded matters from the bank becomes a part of the sediment sources.The northem beach of Xiaoqing estuary is eroded seriously, while the southern beach is overall stable,Thw tidal creeks changed from the northern beach are transported greatly sea-ward and the inshore sediment becomes sandy,while that of the southem beach becomes silty,The sand transporting capability is almost 100 times of that in nomal weather. Human activities and big storm surges are the main reasons for the beach evolution.     

河口海岸泥沙输移的分组数学模型研究

根据河口海岸水沙输移的特点,建立了一个新的二维分组数学模型,用来预测该区域的水沙输移过程。该模型耦合了水动力模块、泥沙输移模块和床面演变模块。其中水动力模块基于浅水方程组,综合考虑了柯氏力、床面切应力以及表面风应力的影响,引入干湿判断法处理动边界。泥沙输移模块首先将泥沙按照粒径分组,针对不同泥砂性质,对各组泥沙分别进行建模求解。床面演变模块基于质量守恒方程,实时更新床面高程以及床沙级配变化,并传递给水动力模块,更新底部边界。该模型被应用在了英国塞汶(Severn)河口,其预测的泥沙浓度和实测数据以及不分组的模型的预测结果进行了比较,结果显示,文中建立的分组模型预测的结果要明显好于不分组模型。     

Interaction of an ensemble of vortices in the β-plane

The evolution of an ensemble of intense vortices in the β-plane is numerically simulated. In the process of evolution, vortices interact either directly or by means of the Rossby waves emitted by them. We show that the mean displacements of vortices of the ensemble along the meridian and, as a result, their energy losses are lower than for the isolated vortices evolving in the β-plane. This means that they are more stable than the isolated vortices. In addition, for vortices in the ensemble, the theoretical dependence of the energy of a vortex on its displacement from the initial latitude obtained for the motion of an intense isolated vortex in the β-plane is in good agreement with the experimental data. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev     

人工岛对沙质海岸动力泥沙环境及岸滩冲淤演变的影响研究

基于历史海图、历史时期卫星遥感影像、2019年实测水下地形和潮流、波浪数值模拟成果,研究该海域岸滩的发育演变背景、海床和岸线自然冲淤动态、动力泥沙环境及岸滩冲淤动力机制。采用LITLINE岸线演变数学模型,模拟计算了不同离岸距离和不同平面形态人工岛布置型式对近岸岸线变形的影响,岸滩泥沙动力机制和岸滩演变趋势表明,人工岛实施后近岸最大潮流流速小于近岸泥沙起动流速,不具备起动近岸岸滩泥沙的基本条件; SSE向波浪作用时,人工岛西北侧波高明显减弱,波向西偏; S向波浪作用时,人工岛北侧波高明显减弱; SSW向波浪作用时,人工岛东北侧波高明显减弱,波浪传播方向东偏;波浪场改变后人工岛掩护区东西两侧岸滩附近泥沙分别具有向东和向西运移至人工岛掩护区的趋势,形成掩护区的淤积和东西两侧岸线冲刷。     

Numerical simulation of oscillatory flows over a rippled bed by immersed boundary method

In this paper, a well-developed numerical model based on the immersed boundary (IB) method is used to study oscillatory flows over a bed with large-amplitude ripples in a systematic manner. The work shows that the complex flow over the rippled bed can be numerically dealt with in Cartesian coordinate by the IB method and that the IB method is able to provide main features of the flows near the ripples. An accurate simulation of vortices generation as a result of flow separation at the rippled bed is obtained. It is found that the oscillatory flows start to separate during the flow deceleration when the Keulegan–Carpenter (KC) number is small. The steady streaming for various ripple steepness is simulated and the criterion for separating the single and double structure streaming is also discussed. Moreover, a new type of steady streaming which consists of a pair of embedded recirculations in the vicinity of the ripple trough is obtained for relatively steep ripples in this work. The numerical results, including the steady streaming in particular, may be helpful to improve the understanding of the sediment transport and the seabed evolution with natural ripples under sea waves.     

MM5模式在热带气旋模拟中的应用

本文利用3重嵌套的中尺度非静力模式MM5系统,对热带气旋Winnie(1997)在我国登陆前后路径和强度演变进行了数值模拟。模拟结果表明,通过合理地选择Bogus的初始强度和模式启动时间,能较准确地模拟热带气旋登陆前后移动路径和强度演变,所选个例路径模拟误差仅为54．5km。     

典型海岛城市自然资本利用时空演变及驱动力

生态环境是区域社会经济发展的物质基础和空间载体,对其研究有助于统筹人类社会与生态系统的协调发展。以2006—2016 年舟山市社会经济面板数据为基础,利用三维生态足迹模型探究舟山市自然资本利用演变特征,借助地理探测器揭示自然资本动态变化的驱动机制。结果显示： （1） 研究期内,舟山市自然资本需求大于供给。人均生态足迹上升1.295 hm2·人-1,人均生态承载力增加 0.233 hm2·人-1,表明舟山市自然资本需求不断上升,自然资本供给能力也在不断增强。各县区自然资本供需存在差异,定海的自然资本供应大于需求,普陀、岱山与嵊泗均表现为自然资本需求大于供给。 （2）舟山市对自然资本存量消耗呈缓慢增加趋势,而自然资本流量占用呈波动下降趋势,自然资本利用处于不可持续发展的状态。各县区的自然资本存量消耗呈增加趋势,嵊泗自然资本流量占用逐年下降,普陀与岱山呈倒 U 形增长,而定海则呈波动下降趋势。 （3） 因子探测结果显示,常住人口数、废水排放量是舟山市自然资本演变的主导因素。交互探测结果显示,各影响因素的交互作用均强于单独作用。其中,常住人口疑工业废气产生量和常住人口疑废水排放总量的交互作用对自然资本演变的影响最大。今后舟山市应增强单位土地的生态承载力,提高自然资本的供给能力,并通过合理控制人口数量,推动技术创新,提升资源能源利用效率,积极发展环保产业,降低对自然资本的需求,实现区域可持续发展。     

砂岩储层全岩矿物模拟岩心的制作方法研究与评价

主要介绍了砂岩储层全岩矿物模拟岩心的制作原理、制作方法,并对所制作的模拟岩心和天然岩心进行孔隙特性和实验性能对比评价。研究出一种新型环保硅酸盐类复合胶结剂,找出了影响模拟岩心强度和渗透率的主、次因素。确定了模拟岩心的制作方法,制作出具有完好外观且具有天然岩心的成分特性、孔隙特性、渗透特性、敏感特性和实验规律的模拟岩心,可代替天然岩心进行采油工程措施的室内模拟实验,既填补了无天然岩心就无法进行室内实验的空白．又解决了因天然岩心的非均质性导致实验数据重复性差或无可比性的难题。     

海上风电基础结构动力分析

针对单桩、三桩、四桩导管架3种常规海上风电基础结构型式动力特性展开研究。以模态分析为基础,获得结构整体固有频率和振型;进而综合运用谐响应分析、瞬态分析、谱分析等方法,对基础结构在简谐荷载、冲击荷载、地震荷载及波浪荷载作用下的动力响应特性进行了数值模拟计算和分析。结果显示:本设计中的单桩、三桩、四桩基础结构刚度依次增大,一阶固有频率递增;对于相同的动力荷载激励,基础结构动力响应递减;基础结构设计中既要保证结构具有足够的刚度以满足荷载作用下的变形控制要求,还要使基础刚度适中以避免共振。为海上风电基础结构动力分析提供了参考。     

湛江湾填海工程对海床冲淤的影响预测

建立了湛江湾泥沙数学模型,模拟了湛江湾海床冲淤演变,模拟结果表明,湛江湾海床较为稳定,年冲淤强度小,模拟冲淤分布与历史海图资料得出的长期演变趋势符合。模型用于湛江湾围填工程对海床冲淤变化的影响预测,结果表明工程后海床冲淤强度没有明显的改变。另外,优选了围填方案,估计了港池的淤积强度。     

A long-term numerical model of morphodynamic evolution and its application to the Modaomen Estuary

Because of the influence of human activities,the evolution of the Modaomen Estuary is no longer a purely natural process.We used a long-term morphodynamic model(PRD-LTMM-10) to study the evolution of the estuary from 1977 to 1988.The model incorporated modules for riprap-siltation promotion and waterway dredging.The model can simulate the morphodynamic evolutionary processes occurring in the Modaomen Estuary during the period of interest.We were able to isolate the long-term influences of various human engineering activities and the roles of natural factors in estuarine evolution.The governance projects had the largest effect on the natural development of the estuary,resulting in larger siltation on the west side.Installation of riprap and reclamation of submerged land resulted in scouring of the main Hengzhou Channel causing deep trough out-shift.Severe siltation narrowed the upper end of the Longshiku Deep Trough.     

河北省自然状态沙质海岸的侵蚀及预测

在系统分析河北省自然状态沙质海岸长期演变的基础上,运用"一线理论"及我国《海港水文规范》中的规范公式,建立海岸侵蚀数学模型,经2000、2006年实测数据验证,表明所建立模型的各参数确定合理,较真实地复演岸线侵蚀特征,可用于自然状态沙质海岸在较长时期内侵蚀预测。根据岸线的预测数据得出如下结论:2006—2026年,岸线整体后退速率不断减小,各岸段侵蚀速率有所不同。至2006年,戴河—洋河段侵蚀状态已基本停止,并逐渐趋于平衡;洋河—大蒲河段仍为侵蚀最严重地区,且侵蚀中心不断向南移动;大蒲河—塔子沟段受蚀速率明显减小,但随着侵蚀进一步进行以及沙源的减少,冲刷范围逐渐南移,将成为新的侵蚀中心地区。