中国山区耕地利用边际化表现及其机理

耕地利用边际化是当前中国山区土地利用主要变化趋势。利用《全国农产品成本收益资料汇编》资料,本文首先分析2003年以来农业劳动力价格快速上涨的背景下,中国农业生产成本的结构变化以及农户的响应,并对比平原和山区农户对劳动力成本上升的响应方式及程度的差异,发现平原地区能够通过大规模的农业机械替代减少劳动投入,进而有效减少劳动力价格上升所带来的影响,而山区因地形条件限制,劳动生产率提升相对缓慢,并与平原地区的差距不断扩大,导致农业劳动力成本占比不断上涨。随着劳动力成本的快速上涨,中国山区耕地边际化特征明显,以玉米为代表的种植业净利润在2013年普遍降至零以下。2000年以来,中国山区土地利用和植被变化表现为耕地面积减少、森林面积增加、NDVI指数增强,而且在省级层次上,山区县范围NDVI变化率与耕地和森林面积变化率分别具有很强的负相关（r = -0.70）和正相关（r = 0.91）,证实了中国山区耕地当前边际化的发展态势。基于以上分析,本文最后对务农机会成本上升、农业劳动力快速析出背景下的山区耕地利用边际化机理进行了总结。这一研究有助于深入认识山区耕地撂荒和森林转型的发展过程。     

晚新生代中国北方风尘沉积的可能物源及变化

中国北方风尘沉积是晚新生代中纬西风和冬季风输送的粉尘相互加积的结果。对北方风尘沉积物来源和搬运动力的分析表明,风尘沉积的物质来源具有多样性,物源类型和分布、传输路径随时间变化。认为亚洲中部山地古风化壳可能是中国北方早期风尘沉积,尤其是第三纪红粘土的重要物源之一;晚新生代的粉尘源区类型由山地因干旱化被风蚀的红色风化壳逐渐向盆地周边被抬升的中、新生代砂泥岩过渡,再由盆地周边过渡到盆地内部的中生代与新生代的河湖沉积物和沙漠。同时大气环流格局的变化相应地导致了粉尘源区分布和传输路径的迁移。     

Land Use Changes of Valleys Based on Topographic Factors in Beijing Mountainous Regions of China*

Land use changes in mountainous regions were greatly enhanced as the rapid development of economy due to the expanded population in developing countries. Acting geographically as the basic unit of mountainous regions, valleys are the primary sites of economic activities. Therefore optimization of land use policy in valleys is of critical important to the sustainable development in mountainous regions. On the basis of land use data in 1995 and 2012, this study explored the changes of land use according to the assessment of varied topographic factors (i.e., altitude and slope) in typical valleys of the Beijing mountainous regions, China. Our results showed that the valley is an efficiently geographical unit to evaluate land use changes in mountainous regions. We also found that major land use changes in mountainous regions of Beijing from 1995 to 2012 were the dramatic losses of grassland to the cultivated and construction lands, while most of these changes took place at the altitude of 0-400m and the slope of 6-15°. Considering the ever increasing economic development in Beijing mountainous regions, the increases of the construction and cultivated lands are inevitable, however, the great changes at a steeper slope imply the need to tailor land use structure coming into line with topographic factors, and suggesting ecological barriers and water conservation must be exercised in the developments of these areas.     

Dynamical rupture process on a three-dimensional fault with non-uniform frictions and near-field seismic waves

Summary. Dynamical rupture process on the fault is investigated in a quasi-three-dimensional faulting model with non-uniform distributions of static frictions or the fracture strength under a finite shearing pre-stress. The displacement and stress time functions on the fault are obtained by solving numerically the equations of motion with a finite stress—fracture criterion, using the finite difference method.
If static frictions are homogeneous or weakly non-uniform, the rupture propagates nearly elliptically with a velocity close to that of P waves along the direction of pre-stress and with a nearly S wave velocity in the direction perpendicular to it. The rise time of the source function and the final displacements are larger around the centre of the fault. In the case when the static frictions are heavily non-uniform and depend on the location, the rupture propagation becomes quite irregular with appreciably decreased velocities, indicating remarkable stick-slip phenomena. In some cases, there remain unruptured regions where fault slip does not take place, and high stresses remain concentrated up to the final stage. These regions could be the source of aftershocks at a next stage.
The stick—slip faulting and irregular rupture propagation radiate high-frequency seismic waves, and the near-field spectral amplitudes tend to show an inversely linear frequency dependence over high frequencies for heavily non-uniform frictional faults.     

Three-dimensional geometrical ray theory and modelling of transmitted seismic energy of data from the Nevada Test Site

This paper presents a geometrically based algorithm for computing synthetic seismograms for energy transmitted through a 3-D velocity distribution. 3-D ray tracing is performed to compute the traveltimes and geometrical spreading (amplitude). The formulations of both kinematic and dynamic ray-tracing systems are presented. The two-point ray-tracing problem is solved by systematically updating the initial conditions and adjusting the ray direction until the ray intersects the specified endpoint. The amount of adjustment required depends on the derivatives of the position with respect to the given starting angles between consecutive rays. The algorithm uses derivatives to define the steepest-descent direction and to update the initial directions. The convergence rate depends on the complexity of the model.
Test seismograms compare favourably with those from a 2-D asymptotic ray theory algorithm and a 3-D Gaussian-beam algorithm. The algorithm is flexible in modelling arbitrary source and recorder geometries for various smoothly varying 3-D velocity distributions. The algorithm is further tested by simulating surface-to-tunnel vibroseis field data. Shear waves as well as compressional waves may be approximately included. Application of the algorithm to a data set from the Rainier Mesa of the Nevada Test Site produced a good fit to the transmitted (first arrival) traveltimes and amplitudes, with approximately 15 per cent variation in the local 3-D velocity.     

Excitation mechanism of atmospheric pressure waves from the 1980 Mount St Helens eruption

Summary. Atmospheric pressure waves from the Mount St Helens eruption 1980 May 18 have been clearly recorded by a sensitive microbarograph at Berkeley, California. The record shows three types of waves with different group velocities. The pressure waves can be interpreted in terms of direct waves A1, antipodean travelling waves A2 and circumnavigating waves A3, all of which are composed of several acoustic-gravity modes propagated in the lower atmosphere. Synthetic barograms appropriate to the Berkeley station have been calculated on the basis of the dynamic response of the lower atmospheric structure, together with various assumptions of source properties. Comparisons between synthetic and observed barograms provide estimates for ranges of the time history of upward particle velocity at the source, source dimensions and the velocity of the source spreading over the blast zone, as well as for the average dissipation effects over the circumferential path. The results suggest that two major compression pulses on the A1 record correlate with the arrival of pressure waves from the first (lateral) blast and second (vertical) blast, although the inferred interblast time interval is not consistent with that estimated from seismic observations.     

山地流域水文模拟研究进展与展望

山地水文循环是全球水循环的重要组成部分,山地独特的地形特征、日趋变化的社会经济与新技术(遥感观测和信息科学)发展使得山地水文循环研究成为当前乃至未来水文学关注的热点。山地较大的垂直梯度浓缩了水平自然带的自然地理和生态学特征,具有多样的环境敏感性,因此山地水文过程对土地利用变化和气候变化的响应比平坦地区更为剧烈。明晰山地水文过程对区域防洪减灾、制定全球变化背景下区域水资源可持续利用策略、促进经济社会发展具有重要意义。水文模型是研究水循环的重要工具,但山地产汇流机制的复杂性以及实测水文资料匮乏等一系列问题极大限制了山地水文模拟与预测工作。本文首先系统地从数据获取、参数计算、模型结构、建模理论四个方面介绍了国内外山地水文模拟的研究进展,并总结了经验模型、概念模型及基于物理机制的分布式水文模型在我国山地水文模拟中的应用进展,之后从山地水文要素的空间变异性与垂直变异性、驱动力、数据不确定性、强烈的人为扰动等方面对当前山地水文模拟中面临的挑战与难点进行了论述。通过对国内外相关研究前沿的归纳,从多过程耦合机理研究、山地自然—社会二元水循环理论、大数据背景下多源数据获取与同化研究等方面对我国未来山地水文模拟的工作方向进行了展望。     

我国地形小气候研究概况与展望

我国山地和丘陵的面积约占土地总面积的70%.因此,研究地形小气候对于了解山区气候资源,合理开发山区经济,发展农业生产具有重要意义.地形小气候与山地气候不同,前者是指相对高差在几米到几百米,水平距离在10米到10公里范围内的小的起伏地形对气候的影响,其特征主要表现在个别气象要素的数值和个别的天气现象上,且局限在近地面的空气层中.     

三峡库区腹地山区农业景观格局动态变化与转型

山区农业景观格局动态分析有利于厘清农业景观发展的动态轨迹与方向,对农地用途的合理规划和管理有重要意义。本文提出了山区农业景观格局转型理论框架,并在三峡库区草堂溪流域进行了实证研究,从整体—微观的角度解析2000—2018年期间,以坡耕地、撂荒地和果园为代表的农业景观格局转型特征。研究发现：① 果园沿河谷的扩张和撂荒地在较高海拔处的扩张明显压缩了坡耕地的空间,这导致区域景观多样性的整体增强,而在局部地形上的差异明显,斑块破碎但聚集度增强;② 研究区农户耕种范围内的农业景观格局转型主要表现为耕—果转换型、综合型、部分撂荒型和撂荒型4种模式,各模式揭示了山区农业景观格局的不同发展阶段;③ 在以社会经济因素为主的驱动下,三峡库区山区的农业景观格局转型具有双向性,表现为以传统均衡分布的纯粮种植景观向河谷生态经济双赢的经果林景观和较高海拔的撂荒地转变。研究结果揭示了近年来中国山区农业景观格局演变的独特性,对库区山区农村土地利用和农业生态系统的深入认识以及库区乡村发展和生态环境的改善均有启示意义。     

西南丘陵山地区农村居民点土地整理模式——以重庆渝北区为例

通过对样本区域农村居民点布局及土地利用特点的研究 ,从丘陵山地区的自然环境条件和社会经济发展水平的实际出发 ,提出两种土地整理模式 :一是农林综合开发整理模式 ,即居民点闲置土地的复垦利用与抛荒地利用结合 ,与山地区退耕还林等生态建设工程结合 ,进行退宅还林 ;二是新村建设整理模式 ,即由政府对新村统一规划 ,供给道路等基础设施 ,引导农民集中建房的“政府引导型”农村居民点整理模式 ,并对重庆市渝北区新春村的新村建设的运作和效益进行了实证分析。     

基于GIS的南方丝绸之路国内段交通路线网络重建研究

南方丝绸之路交通路线网络的重建与研究,有利于深化历史时期中国西南边疆各区域之间和中国与东南亚、南亚等地区之间经济贸易发展和文化交流与合作的认识。本文利用历史文献资料、历史地理学等研究成果、田野调查资料、当代交通和遥感影像数据、DEM数据等,复原汉晋、唐宋、元、明清4个时期南方丝绸之路国内段的交通路线网络,分析影响古代西南山区交通路线走向的人文和自然因素,对比研究古代交通里程与实测距离之间的比例关系。结果显示：① 南方丝绸之路川滇间的交通网络格局在汉晋时期即已基本形成,两千年来相对较为稳定;云南内部和经云南出境的交通路线网络呈现出更加多元化的趋势。② 中央王朝对西南边疆少数民族地区统治力度的变化等人文因素在不同时期对南方丝绸之路交通路线的整体格局及空间演变起到重要作用。③ 在影响南方丝绸之路交通路线具体走向的自然因素中,海拔2200 m、坡度20°是重要的阈值。④ 历史时期西南山区1古代里约可换算为实测距离0.45 km。     

High-latitude, ground-based observations of ULF plasma waves in the magnetosphere

summary . Recent theoretical work has clarified the spatial characteristics of ULF (1–20 mHz) plasma waves in the magnetosphere, and the magnetic perturbations that these waves cause at the Earth's surface. This paper uses ground-based observations from seven, three-component, flux-gate magnetometers ranging in latitude from 58.7 to 77.7° N corrected geomagnetic latitude in order to evaluate the relevance of these theories. During the day, the sense of polarization and direction of the major axis of the pulsations in the horizontal plane follow the trend predicted by recent theories proposing a Kelvin—Helmholtz instability at the magnetopause as a source for these pulsations. The H component shows a distinct trend for the power to peak at lower latitudes as the frequency of the pulsation train increases. This feature is consistent with recent theoretical work which predicts pronounced latitudinal resonances in the D component in the magnetosphere, which are then rotated to the H direction on passing through the ionosphere to the ground. The experiment shows that at the ground the latitudinal resonance is most clearly marked by sharp peaks in the H and Z components, and by pronounced latitudinal phase shifts in the H and Z components. These phase shifts are not always accompanied by a latitudinal reversal in the sense of polarization in the horizontal plane.     

基于高分辨率模式的京津冀地区无人机航路风向风速模拟分析

随着中国低空空域的陆续开放,依靠现有的低空飞行气象保障技术为低空安全飞行提供服务略有不足,对飞行影响最大的风进行预报也有一定的困难。论文基于WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model)中尺度数值模式,对2015—2019年京津冀地区的风速风向进行模拟,并将模拟结果与气象站观测数据进行对比分析,可为该地区无人机低空航路飞行安全提供保障。结果表明:WRF模式能够较好地模拟风速的季节变化趋势,平原地区的模拟效果优于山区,山区模拟的风速偏大,但误差在可接受的范围内(RMSE<1.5 m·s^-1)。平均风速、最大风速最小值均出现在夏末,平均风速最大值出现在春季(山区4.43 m·s^-1、平原4.13 m·s^-1);最大风速在冬、春、夏初呈波动递增,夏季中旬开始减少,夏末秋初降至最小。京津冀地区风速呈西北向东南递减,泊头站(-0.02 m·s^-1·(5 a)^-1)和天津站(-0.02 m·s^-1·(5 a)^-1)平均风速呈下降趋势,其余站点风速呈上升趋势,唐山站上升率最大(0.08 m·s^-1·(5 a)^-1);在风速季节空间分布中,平均风速以上升趋势为主,站点所占比例为春季45.45%、夏季90.91%、秋季63.63%、冬季81.81%。平原地区盛行风呈东北—西南向;山区站点怀来站风向以WNW(18.70%)和W(15.01%)为主,蔚县站风向以N(16.79%)和NNW(12.03%)为主,相较于平原地区,山地地区风速8.0 m·s^-1的大风数量显著上升。1000 m高度的平原地区大风出现频率显著增加,增长速度高于山地地区,不利于无人机飞行,风速17.0 m·s^-1以上出现的概率明显高于山地地区。     

Dynamic changes and transitions of agricultural landscape patterns in mountainous areas: A case study from the hinterland of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area

Analyzing the agricultural landscape patterns in mountainous areas is critical to clarify the dynamic changes and development direction of agricultural landscapes. This also plays a significant role in the rational planning and management of agricultural land. A theoretical framework for agricultural landscape pattern transitions in mountainous areas is proposed to fill the gap of current research with an empirical study in the Caotangxi Watershed, Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA), China. The transition characteristics of agricultural landscape patterns from 2000 to 2018 as represented by sloping farmland, abandoned land, and orchards are analyzed from a holistic-local perspective. The results indicate that the orchards expanded along river valleys, and abandoned land expanded at high elevations, which led to reduced sloping farmland. This phenomenon gives regional landscape differences at the holistic and local levels. Namely, it enhances the region’s holistic landscape diversity but causes fragmentation and aggregation of landscape patches in local areas. The agricultural landscape pattern transitions within the farming range in the study area are manifested primarily in four modes: sloping farmland-orchard conversion type (FOCT), comprehensive conversion type (CCT), partially abandoned type (PAT), and wholly abandoned type (WAT). Each transition mode reveals different development stages of the mountainous agricultural landscape patterns. In general, the agricultural landscape pattern transition is driven by socioeconomic factors in mountainous areas of the TGRA and is bidirectional. This attribute is expressed as the transition from the traditional grain-planting landscape with an even distribution to the eco-economic win-win orchard in valleys and transitions from sloping farmland to abandoned land in high-elevation areas. Overall, the results of this study reveal the uniqueness of agricultural landscape pattern evolutions in China’s mountainous areas in recent decades, which has enlightened the in-depth understandings of rural land use and agricultural ecosystems in mountainous areas of the TGRA, as well as improvements in rural developments and ecological environments.     

Radial variation of compressional and shear velocities in the Earth's lower mantle

Summary. This paper extends an earlier study (Sengupta & Julian) of travel times of P waves of deep-focus earthquakes to include shear waves. Primary advantage of deep-focus earthquakes is the reduction of anomalies caused by complex structures near the source. The standard deviations of travel times and station anomalies of this study are about half as large as those determined from the data of shallow-focus earthquakes (e.g. Herrin et al.; Hales & Roberts). Spherically-symmetric velocity models derived from the travel times by a linearized inverse technique have resolving lengths of about 70 km for standard errors in velocity of about 0.02 km/s. No pronounced reversal of either compressional or shear velocity was required at the base of the mantle to satisfy the data, though a small velocity decrease could not be entirely ruled out. Some anomalous rapid changes in compressional velocity gradient were, however, found centred around the depths of 2400 and 2600 km. The models derived in this study agree most closely with that of Herrin et al . for compressional velocity and the model 1066B of Gilbert & Dziewonski for shear velocity.     

山地生态农业研究

文章从我国山区地貌地特点和山区农业发展问题入手,分析了山地农业的发展方向,并提出了作为山地农业最佳选择的山地生态农业构建原则的实施途径。     

Rare earth elements of aeolian deposits in Northern China and their implications for determining the provenance of dust storms in Beijing

This paper contributes to a better understanding of the source of dust storms in northern China and the relationship between these sources and other aeolian sediments in this region. Sediment samples in potential source areas were collected from the Hunshandake Sandy Land, Heaven Desert, the loess deposits of the Bashang area, the mountainous basins and valleys north of Beijing and from the Badain Jaran Desert and Hulunbaier Sandy Land (Fig. 1). Dust samples were collected in Beijing during two dust storms in March 2002 and April 2006. The laboratory methods used in this study included measurements of abundance of trace elements, in particular the rare earth elements (REEs), mineral assemblages and grain size. The REE contents, Eu and Ce anomalies show clear differences between various deposits. Provenance is considered to be the key factor influencing REE patterns in the study areas. The REE abundances and patterns indicate that the aeolian sand north of Beijing, such as in the Heaven Desert, is mainly of local origin rather than from desert encroachment from the north. The mineral grains carried in dust storms, however, are highly mixed, and may come partly from local sources but mainly from distant desert regions in western China.     

Analysis of the Spatial Coherence of Short-Period Acoustic-Gravity Waves in the Atmosphere

Summary The coherence of atmospheric acoustic-gravity waves has been measured in the period range 10–100 s at the Large Aperture Microbarograph Array in south-eastern Montana. The acoustic-gravity waves observed were signals generated by presumed nuclear explosions. The decrease of coherence with increasing distance between pairs of microbarographs is less rapid in the direction of wave propagation than transverse to it. Variation of direction of arrival over a small range of azimuth (±5°) explains the spatial behaviour of coherence in the direction normal to the wave propagation; variation of phase velocity of ±10 ms^-1 explains the behaviour along the direction of wave propagation. Both effects may be due to inhomogeneities in the atmosphere; the velocity variation may be due to the presence in the signal of several normal modes of acoustic- gravity waves, each travelling at a slightly different phase velocity in the range 300–330 ms^-1.     

中国山区农村土地利用转型解析

山区土地开发及其导致的资源环境问题是农业社会人地关系紧张的体现,工业化、城镇化进程中劳动力转移减轻了山区农村土地的人为扰动,由此驱动土地利用发生转型,引发一系列自然和社会经济效应。按照“土地利用转型—驱动力—效应—响应”的分析框架,剖析中国山区农村土地利用转型的特征和规律,提出山区农村土地整治的响应措施。研究表明：① 山区农村土地利用转型体现出土地利用形态在长期变化过程中的趋势性转折,显性形态转型即由农业社会的耕地扩张和林地收缩演变为城镇化进程中的耕地收缩和林地恢复性增长,隐性形态转型即伴随上述过程发生的土地边际化及生态功能恢复;② 社会经济因素主导山区农村土地利用转型过程,劳动力转移引发土地人为扰动减轻是直接驱动力,务农机会成本上升、恶劣的生存环境等引发劳动力转移的因素是更为根本的驱动力;③ 山区农村土地利用转型降低了土地生态系统脆弱性并提高了其生态安全屏障功能,其社会经济效应应聚焦山区农村发展与农户生计安全层面,并亟需实证研究的支撑;④ 当前山区农村土地利用转型是自然恢复和生态优化的良性过程,有着经济社会发展的必然规律,山区农村土地整治要顺应其土地利用转型规律,目标导向从耕地数量增加转向生态环境保护与社会经济福祉协同提升。     

NDVI spatial pattern and its differentiation on the Mongolian Plateau

GIMMS NDVI database and geo-statistics were used to depict the spatial distribution and temporal stability of NDVI on the Mongolian Plateau.The results demonstrated that:(1) Regions of interest with high NDVI indices were distributed primarily in forested mountainous regions of the east and the north,areas with low NDVI indices were primarily distributed in the Gobi desert regions of the west and the southwest,and areas with moderate NDVI values were mainly distributed in a middle steppe strap from northwest to southeast.(2) The maximum NDVI values maintained for the past 22 years showed little variation.The average NDVI variance coefficient for the 22-year period was 15.2%.(3) NDVI distribution and vegetation cover showed spatial autocorrelations on a global scale.NDVI patterns from the vegetation cover also demonstrated anisotropy;a higher positive spatial correlation was indicated in a NW-SE direction,which suggested that vegetation cover in a NW-SE direction maintained increased integrity,and vegetation assemblage was mainly distributed in the same specific direction.(4) The NDVI spatial distribution was mainly controlled by structural factors,88.7% of the total spatial variation was influenced by structural and 11.3% by random factors.And the global autocorrelation distance was 1178 km,and the average vegetation patch length(NW-SE) to width(NE-SW) ratio was approximately 2.4:1.0.