黄河三角洲浅层地下水位年内变化特征及影响因素

基于黄河三角洲地区3个站位的1小时一次的浅层地下水位连续观测记录,将浅层地下水位与同时期ERA5高分辨率再分析实际蒸发量数据结合,并联合潮位、降水量和径流量等数据,通过快速傅里叶变换、时序分析等方法,分析并阐明了黄河三角洲地区浅层地下水位变化的特征及机制。结果表明：（1）不同的沉积环境导致了浅层地下水位整体变化的差异。表层沉积物渗透性相对较强区域,浅层地下水位波动剧烈;而表层沉积物透水性较差地区,浅层地下水位在6月中上旬存在低谷,但总体相对稳定;（2）潮汐对黄河三角洲浅层地下水位在水平方向的影响范围至少可达7km,但不超过15km。在其影响区域内,浅层地下水位波动滞后于潮汐的时间存在年内变化,分为两个时间上持续各6个月的区间,二者数值相差约12h;（3）降水量与实际蒸发量是黄河三角洲浅层地下水位升降最主要的影响因素。此外,农业活动也对浅层地下水位的变化有一定影响。对黄河三角洲浅层地下水位变化规律研究,能够为本地区土地盐碱化、海水入侵灾害防治与生态保护提供科学依据。     

东北大西洋海洋捕捞渔获物营养级变化研究

东北大西洋是重要的海洋捕捞海域,该海域渔业栖息环境易受北极气候变化的影响。为此,本文基于1950-2012年东北大西洋FAO的渔获统计数据,对已开发的293种渔获物平均营养级(mTL)、营养级平衡指标(FIB)和渔获营养级分类(TrC)进行时间序列的统计,为进一步研究该海域渔业资源受北极气候变化的影响提供基础。研究认为,平均营养级(mTL)从1950年(mTL=3.71)下降至2012年(mTL=3.57),每年下降约0.02TL(r=-0.614;P<0.01),而近8年来营养级平衡指数持续下降。同时,研究表明,东北大西洋渔获物平均营养级和气候变化(海表温上升、北大西洋涛动和海冰缩减等)息息相关,其中渔获量出现高产值均在海表温异常年份:1956年、1976年和1997年。本文分析了东北大西洋渔获物营养级变动情况,为研究东北大西洋渔获组成变化与气候变化的关系提供研究基础,也为渔业资源的可持续开发提供了理论依据。     

水合物分解对海底边坡稳定影响的数值模拟分析

海底边坡失稳会给人类造成巨大危害,部分海底边坡失稳案例被证实与水合物分解有关。由于海底条件的复杂性,人们很难直接观察水合物分解引起的海底边坡失稳过程。数值模拟可以相对准确地预测水合物分解可能引起的海底边坡失稳状况。通过选用基于ABAQUS软件的有限元强度折减法,模拟海底边坡失稳的过程并得到相应结果,分析了水合物分解程度、水合物带上覆厚度、边坡角度等因素对海底边坡稳定性的影响。结果表明,正常情况下,塑性区首先在坡脚区域出现并逐渐向上发展至坡顶;当水合物分解达到一定程度后,塑性区首先出现在水合物带,随后自水合物带向上发展至坡顶,并和随后在坡脚出现的塑性区形成贯通边坡的塑性带。水合物埋藏越深,越有可能造成大规模的滑坡;边坡角度高于15°时,水合物分解会急剧促进边坡失稳。     

Extreme sea level events in the coastal waters of western Estonia

Extraordinarily low and high sea level events are analysed on the basis of historical data and their mechanisms of occurrence are studied with the 1 km grid size 2D hydrodynamic model in the two almost tideless semi-enclosed sub-basins of the Baltic Sea, the Gulf of Riga and the Väinameri. The sea level is modelled with realistic meteorological forcing and comparison data from 1999 and 2001. Resonance properties of the sub-basins are studied and their possible role in the formation of extraordinary sea level events is discussed. While the extremely low levels (−1.23 m below the mean sea level) in the Estonian coastal waters do not generally originate locally, the high levels (up to 2.53 m above the mean as measured in the Pärnu Bay) are short-term and local. They occur in combination with several forcing and morphometrical factors and are localised in the shallow and narrow bays exposed to the direction of the strongest possible storm winds, SW and W. Model simulations show that extremely high and low sea levels in some small bays of western Estonia can exceed the corresponding values in the Pärnu Bay.     

超强台风“威马逊”作用下红河三角洲海域水动力环境变化的数值研究

201409号超强台风"威马逊"于2014年7月从北部湾北部过境,对红河三角洲近岸海域的水动力环境产生重要影响。本文基于Delft3D建立三维潮、流、浪耦合数值模型,对红河三角洲水位、海流及波浪对台风的响应变化进行模拟。结果表明:威马逊台风期间,红河三角洲海域风速增大约6倍,风向由偏南风转为偏北风,表底层流速均受影响,其中表层变化较大,表现为北分量流速明显增大,流向变为偏南向,与风向主分量变化有关;波高增大为正常海况的9倍,时间变化与风速一致。本研究获得了从北部湾北部海域过境的台风影响下红河三角洲海域水动力环境的响应变化特征,对该海域的物质输运研究及海洋工程建设有重要意义。     

Ecophysiological characteristics of four intertidal marine macroalgae during emersion along Shantou coast of China, with a special reference to the relationship of photosynthesis and CO2

Intertidal marine macroalgae experience periodical exposures during low tide due to their zonational distribution. The duration of such emersion leads to different exposures of the plants to light and aerial CO2, which then affect the physiology of them to different extents.The ecophysiological responses to light and CO2 were investigated during emersion in two red algae Gloiopeltis furcata and Gigartina interrnedia, and two brown algae Petaloniafascia and Sargassum hemiphyllum, growing along the Shantou coast of China. The light-saturated net photosynthesis in G. furcata and P. fascia showed an increase followed by slightly desiccation, whereas that in G.interrnedia and S. hemiphyllum exhibited a continuous decrease with water loss. In addition, the upper-zonated G. furcata and P. fascia,exhibited higher photosynthetic tolerance to desiccation and required higher light level to saturate their photosynthesis than the lower-zonated G. interrnedia and S. hemiphyllum. Desiccation had less effect on dark respiration in these four algae compared with photosynthesis. The light-saturated net photosynthesis increased with increased CO2 concentrations, being saturated at CO2 concentrations higher than the present atmospheric level in G. furcata, G. intermedia and S. hemiphyllum during emersion. It was evident that the relative enhancement of photosynthesis by elevated CO2 in those three algae increased, though the absolute values of photosynthetic enhancement owing to CO2 increase were reduced when the desiccation statuses became more severe. However, in the case of desiccated P. fascia (water loss being greater than 20 %), light saturated net photosynthesis was saturated with current ambient atmospheric CO2 level. It is proposed that increasing atmospheric CO2 will enhance the daily photosynthetic production in intertidal macroalgae by varied extents that were related to the species and zonation.     

Evaluation of the Risk of Marine Slope Instability: A Pseudo-3D Approach for Application to Large Areas

Abstract

This article presents a methodology developed to evaluate the instability of submarine slopes that extend over a large area. Special attention was paid to (1) the complex geometry (bathymetry) and the expanse of the slope, (2) the heterogeneity of the sediment, and (3) the distribution of the pore pressure. The safety factor was considered as a spatially varying quantity. The General Formulation (GLE, Fredlund and Krahn 1977), which fully satisfies equilibrium conditions, was used for evaluating the stability of the marine slope. The submarine slope failure, which occurred on 16 October 1979 during the construction of the new Nice airport, was studied in order to test the developed model. Geotechnical parameters were taken from experimental tests carried out by IFREMER on 19 cores extracted at different depths (from 27 m to 1300 m) (Cochonat, Bourillet, and Savoye, 1993; Mulder et al., 1994). Many scenarios were proposed in order to explain the cause of the Nice slope failure (Habib, 1994). In this article, two of those scenarios were tested. Simulation results are presented and discussed.     

大气CO2浓度升高对繁茂膜海绵滤食海水细菌能力的影响

通过模拟大气CO_2浓度升高,研究其对海绵滤食细菌功能的影响。在模拟大气CO_2浓度升高生态系统中,探究了大气CO_2浓度387、500、750和1 000mmol/mol环境下繁茂膜海绵(Hymeniacidon perlevis)滤食灭菌海水中大肠杆菌(Escherichia coli AS 1.1017)和灿烂弧菌(Vibrio splendidus)的能力。结果表明:在24 h实验期间,模拟大气CO_2从目前约387mmol/mol升高至500mmol/mol,繁茂膜海绵滤食大肠杆菌和灿烂弧菌效率提高了。当模拟大气CO_2 750mmol/mol时,繁茂膜海绵滤食海水中大肠杆菌和灿烂弧菌功能都下降了,说明繁茂膜海绵已经受到大气较高浓度CO_2损害。模拟大气CO_2为1 000mmol/mol时,繁茂膜海绵基本丧失了滤食海水中大肠杆菌和灿烂弧菌的功能。上述结果可为了解大气CO_2浓度对近岸海洋生态系统的影响提供科学依据。     

基于CMIP5模拟预估21世纪珠江三角洲地区由于海平面上升而导致的淹没区面积

Projections of potential submerged area due to sea level rise are helpful for improving understanding of the influence of ongoing global warming on coastal areas. The Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition method is used to adaptively decompose the sea level time series in order to extract the secular trend component. Then the linear relationship between the global mean sea level(GMSL) change and the Zhujiang(Pearl) River Delta(PRD)sea level change is calculated: an increase of 1.0 m in the GMSL corresponds to a 1.3 m(uncertainty interval from1.25 to 1.46 m) increase in the PRD. Based on this relationship and the GMSL rise projected by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 under three greenhouse gas emission scenarios(representative concentration pathways, or RCPs, from low to high emission scenarios RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5), the PRD sea level is calculated and projected for the period 2006–2100. By around the year 2050, the PRD sea level will rise 0.29(0.21 to 0.40) m under RCP2.6, 0.31(0.22 to 0.42) m under RCP4.5, and 0.34(0.25 to 0.46) m under RCP8.5, respectively.By 2100, it will rise 0.59(0.36 to 0.88) m, 0.71(0.47 to 1.02) m, and 1.0(0.68 to 1.41) m, respectively. In addition,considering the extreme value of relative sea level due to land subsidence(i.e., 0.20 m) and that obtained from intermonthly variability(i.e., 0.33 m), the PRD sea level will rise 1.94 m by the year 2100 under the RCP8.5scenario with the upper uncertainty level(i.e., 1.41 m). Accordingly, the potential submerged area is 8.57×103 km2 for the PRD, about 1.3 times its present area.