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1.
Significant wave height estimates are necessary for many applications in coastal and offshore engineering and therefore various estimation models are proposed in the literature for this purpose. Unfortunately, most of these models provide simultaneous wave height estimations from wind speed measurements. However, in practical studies, the prediction of significant wave height is necessary from previous time interval measurements. This paper presents a dynamic significant wave height prediction procedure based on the perceptron Kalman filtering concepts. Past measurements of significant wave height and wind speed variables are used for training the adaptive model and it is then employed to predict the significant wave height amounts for future time intervals from the wind speed measurements only. The verification of the proposed model is achieved through the dynamic significant wave height and wind speed time series plots, observed versus predicted values scatter diagram and the classical linear significant wave height models. The application of the proposed model is presented for a station in USA.  相似文献   

2.
针对有效波高资料提出一种海浪谱分解与重构的资料同化方案:利用历史时段内的有效波高观测资料和模式计算波高场,采用最优插值方法得到分析波高场;在WAVEWATCH-Ⅲ模式的波浪能量密度谱和有效波高分析值之间引入一个变异系数矩阵,描述模式的误差,以此为状态向量构建卡尔曼滤波系统,对分解过的海浪谱进行修正和重构,得到同化后的海浪谱初始场。利用美国阿拉斯加湾北部海域的7个浮标站进行同化和72 h预报试验,对连续1个月的预报结果进行统计表明:采用该同化方案后24 h预报结果的有效波高均方根误差比未同化的结果降低了0.13 m;同化方案对预报效果的影响可持续36 h左右,随着预报时效延长,同化的效果减弱。  相似文献   

3.
《Ocean Modelling》2010,33(3-4):205-215
Efficient identification of parameters in numerical models remains a computationally demanding problem. Here we present an iterative Importance Sampling approach and demonstrate its application to estimating parameters that control the heat uptake efficiency of a physical/biogeochemical ocean model coupled to a simple atmosphere. The algorithm has similarities to a previously-developed ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) method applied to similar problems, but is more flexible and powerful in the case of nonlinear models and non-Gaussian uncertainties. The method is somewhat more computationally demanding than the EnKF but may be preferred in cases where the approximations that the EnKF relies upon are unsound. Our results suggest that the three-dimensional structure of ocean tracer fields may act as a useful constraint on ocean mixing and consequently the heat uptake of the climate system under anthropogenic forcing.  相似文献   

4.
数值模式与统计模型相耦合的近岸海浪预报方法   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0  
针对数值模式和统计模型预报近岸海浪存在的局限性,构建了数值模式和统计模型相耦合的近岸海浪预报框架,在模式计算格点和近岸预报目标点之间定义一个海浪能量密度谱传递系数,通过经验正交函数分解和卡尔曼滤波方法建立传递系数的统计预报模型并与数值模式进行耦合。经过对近岸波浪观测站1a的预报试验表明:该方法能够提高近岸海浪有效波高预报精度,有效波高的均方根误差降低了约0.16m,平均相对误差降低约9%。进一步试验和分析发现,该方法的预报有效时间小于24h,将海浪能量密度谱经过分解后得到的基本模态反映了近岸波侯的主要特征,海浪能量密度谱传递系数的变化体现了波侯的季节变化特点。  相似文献   

5.
《Ocean Modelling》2002,4(1):1-25
This article considers how some of the measures used to overcome numerical problems near the North Pole affect the ocean solution and computational time step limits. The distortion of the flow and tracer contours produced by a polar island is obviated by implementing a prognostic calculation for a composite polar grid cell, as has been done at NCAR. The severe limitation on time steps caused by small zonal grid spacing near the pole is usually overcome by Fourier filtering, sometimes supplemented by the downward tapering of mixing coefficients as the pole is approached; however, filtering can be expensive, and both measures adversely affect the solution. Fourier filtering produces noise, which manifests itself in such effects as spurious static instabilities and vertical motions; this noise can be due to the separate and different filtering of internal and external momentum modes and tracers, differences in the truncation at different latitudes, and differences in the lengths of filtering rows, horizontally and vertically. Tapering has the effect of concentrating tracer gradients and velocities near the pole, resulting in some deformation of fields. In equilibrium ocean models, these effects are static and localised in the polar region, but with time-varying forcings or coupling to atmosphere and sea ice it is possible that they may seriously affect the global solution. The marginal stability curve in momentum and tracer time-step space should have asymptotes defined by diffusive, viscous, and internal gravity wave stability criteria; at large tracer time steps, tracer advection stability may become limiting. Tests with various time-step combinations and a flat-bottomed Arctic Ocean have confirmed the applicability of these limits and the predicted effects of filtering and tapering on them. They have also shown that the need for tapering is obviated by substituting a truncation which maintains a constant time step limit rather than a constant minimum wave number over the filtering range.  相似文献   

6.
The modeling and control of a variable liquid-column oscillator having a liquid filled U-tube with air chambers at its vertical columns are presented. As an ocean wave energy extracting device, the structure of the variable liquid-column oscillator (VLCO) is analogous to that of the tuned liquid-column damper used to suppress oscillatory motion in large structures like tall buildings and cargo ships. However, owing to an air spring effect caused by the dynamic pressure of air chambers, the amplitude of response of the VLCO becomes significantly amplified for a desired wave period. The governing equations for the motion of VLCO structure under wave excitation and the motion of liquid with an air spring effect caused by an air–liquid interaction are described by a series of nonlinear differential equations. A set of control parameters for extracting maximum power from various wave conditions is determined for the efficient operation of the VLCO. It is found that the effect of the air spring has an important role to play in making the oscillation of the VLCO match with the ocean wave. In this way, the VLCO provides the most effective mode for extracting energy from the ocean wave.  相似文献   

7.
It is a very important and difficult problem to operate gates at the inlets of tidal lakes to control water quality and quantity, simultaneously. The main purpose of gate operation at the inlets of tidal lakes are flood control and irrigation. That is to say, the gate operation must sufficiently satisfy two purposes. As the first step to optimize the effect of gate control, the water levels downstream of the gate are predicted by a combined model between regression theory and control theory. The prediction model consists of two parts. The regression equation is used to predict the water levels downstream of the gate by the sea levels in the first part. The causality in this part is physically evident. The Kalman filtering algorithm is employed to identify parameters which construct the state equation in the second part. The prediction is made by joining the two parts.By applying this process to the prediction of water levels on the downstream side of the gate at the inlet of Lake Kahokugata, Kanazawa, Japan, it becomes possible to predict the fluctuations of the water levels under arbitrary gate operations before one or two hours. As the state equation in the Kalman filtering algorithm, first- and second-order Markov models are adopted for the prediction. The result of the latter is better than that of the former.  相似文献   

8.
The variations in the quantity of wave power available to a wave energy converter by filtering out short-period waves have been examined in this paper. Ocean wave data recorded at three different locations and water depths around northern Europe are used for this purpose along with numerically synthesized wave time series. A wave power ratio, defined as the ratio between the wave power for the filtered and unfiltered data, is calculated for each data set, and the variation of this quantity with the degree of filtering is investigated. Two new parameters namely, R and S are defined to quantify the effect of this filtering on the variation of wave-to-wave period and height. It is shown that removing the shorter period waves has little effect upon the power available for extraction but may significantly reduce the rate at which the wave energy converter must retune to achieve optimum power conversion.  相似文献   

9.
The concept of using electrochemical gas concentration cells to convert the mechanical potential energy of ocean waves to electricity using a taut-moored buoy is analyzed. Several idealized embodiments are discussed and one of these is shown to have particular merit. Some results obtained in an experimental program aimed at developing such a system are described. In particular, an electrochemical cell employing the protonically conducting synthetic polymer Nafion, bounded by platinum electrodes, has been studied in a manner which simulates the operation of such a device within a taut-moored buoy subject to ocean waves. It is shown that with some modest engineering advances, this system is indeed capable converting a significant fraction of ocean wave energy into electricity.  相似文献   

10.
A calculation procedure using the modulation transfer function approach is presented to estimate the distortions to the values of the peak ocean wavelength and direction derived from SAR images of these waves. The distortions are calculated for ranges of SAR parameters which are typical for aircraft and satellites, and ocean wave parameters which reflect sea states which can be imaged by these SARs. The calculated distortions are discussed in terms of overall trends, effect of particular SAR and wave parameters, and qualitatively compared with observed differences between SAR and in situ measurements.  相似文献   

11.
This paper proposes a high-speed iterative procedure for estimating the ocean wave directional spectrum from vessel motion data. It uses as input data, the measurements from motion sensors that are commonly available on dynamically positioned vessels and which may easily be installed on any ship. Because the necessary sensors are relatively inexpensive or may already be installed, it becomes an ideal solution to provide initial estimates to offline estimation procedures and to give spectral updates under quickly changing weather conditions. The Kalman filtering algorithm, for iterative harmonic detection, and frequency domain vessel response data are used in the estimation procedure. The results and conclusions are still based on synthesized data, but very promising.  相似文献   

12.
刘培学  闫东  董丽  陈玉杰 《海洋科学》2020,44(11):87-93
近海海洋环境是最易受污染的区域,实时对海洋信息进行监测对近海养殖业、渔业有重要的作用。传统信息采集方法效率低下、传输距离近、能耗高、数据采集不准确,针对上述问题,设计了一种实时海洋信息采集传输系统,采集终端能够自动采集近海海洋环境的温度、溶解氧、pH值并通过无线网络将信息传给岸基协调器,岸基协调器可通过提出的二次卡尔曼滤波方法对信息进行滤波处理并由4G网络将信息上传至云平台。实验结果表明:系统能够对近海海洋环境进行信息实时采集,采集数据误差小,具有较高的一致性,功耗低,用户可随时随地查看信息。  相似文献   

13.
基于同态滤波的海表图像照度校正   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
应用数字图像处理与分析的方法来研究海洋动态过程中,由于光照不均而造成的海表面图像亮度不均,致使图像对比度不强和图像降质。采用修正系数的同态滤波,实验显示图像对比度得到提高,图像更加清晰,是一种有效的照度校正处理方法。  相似文献   

14.
Pile foundations subjected to cyclic load is an age-old problem dealt with for decades by geotechnical engineers. The ocean environment necessitates the piles supporting offshore structures to be designed against lateral cyclic loading initiated by wave action. Substantial experimental and analytical investigations have already been conducted by the author and other researchers. The quasi-static load reversal induces deterioration in the strength and stiffness of the soil-pile system introducing progressive reduction in the bearing capacity as well as settlement of the pile foundation, the degree of such degradation has been observed to be a function of the cyclic load parameters and the type of soil. Based on these observations, a design recommendation has been attempted in this paper for piles subjected to cyclic load in cohesive soil.  相似文献   

15.
以单通道捷联惯性导航系统的速度误差和姿态误差方程为状态方程,以陀螺仪误差和垂线偏差为过程噪声,以DGPS的速度与捷联惯导的速度之差为观测量,建立Kalman滤波模型,经滤波得到高精度实时导航信息。从导航信息中提取水平重力信息,进而得到垂线偏差。对高精度惯性元件构建的惯导系统进行数值仿真,仿真结果表明,组合系统可以有效提高实时导航和姿态精度,经50s平均后,可以得到精度为2″的垂线偏差。  相似文献   

16.
基于赤道深层射流动力模型,研究赤道深层射流对深层浮力源的响应特征,指出线性、连续层化海洋中浮力源驱动下的单一垂直模态建立深层环流的过程等介于线性浅水系统中深水源驱动的深层环流的建立过程。分析赤道深层射流对深层浮力源响应解的某些特征,结果表明,在给定确定波数量值的诸参数下,浮力源在纬向上范围的大小对赤道深层的射流  相似文献   

17.
1 IntroductionCurrently, the ocean eddy plays an important rolein energy flowand matter exchange in ocean. The ex-traction and analysisof the oceaneddave beeninves-tigated bylots of people in pastdecades. Currentmeth-ods to deal with the ocean eddy include static and dy-namic methods. The static method is to analyze indi-rectly ocean eddies using the spatial feature distribu-tion, change, growthand decline of the watermass (Suet al., 1996; Guo et al., 1995; Guo and Ge, 1997);the dynamic meth…  相似文献   

18.
Traditional methods of extracting the ocean wave eddy information from remotely sensed imagery mainly use the edge detection technology such as Canny and Hough operators. However, due to the complexities of ocean eddies and image itself, it is sometimes difficult to successfully detect ocean eddies using these methods. A mnltifractal filtering technology is proposed for extraction of ocean eddies and demonstrated using NASA MODIS, SeaWiFS and NOAA satellite data set in the typical area, such as ocean west boundary current. Results showed that the new method has a superior performance over the traditional methods.  相似文献   

19.
Microwave remote sensing is one of the most useful methods for observing the ocean parameters. The Doppler frequency or interferometric phase of the radar echoes can be used for an ocean surface current speed retrieval,which is widely used in spaceborne and airborne radars. While the effect of the ocean currents and waves is interactional. It is impossible to retrieve the ocean surface current speed from Doppler frequency shift directly. In order to study the relationship between the ocean surface current speed and the Doppler frequency shift, a numerical ocean surface Doppler spectrum model is established and validated with a reference. The input parameters of ocean Doppler spectrum include an ocean wave elevation model, a directional distribution function, and wind speed and direction. The suitable ocean wave elevation spectrum and the directional distribution function are selected by comparing the ocean Doppler spectrum in C band with an empirical geophysical model function(CDOP). What is more, the error sensitivities of ocean surface current speed to the wind speed and direction are analyzed. All these simulations are in Ku band. The simulation results show that the ocean surface current speed error is sensitive to the wind speed and direction errors. With VV polarization, the ocean surface current speed error is about 0.15 m/s when the wind speed error is 2 m/s, and the ocean surface current speed error is smaller than 0.3 m/s when the wind direction error is within 20° in the cross wind direction.  相似文献   

20.
An operational ocean circulation-surface wave coupled forecasting system for the seas off China and adjacent areas(OCFS-C) is developed based on parallelized circulation and wave models. It has been in operation since November 1, 2007. In this paper we comprehensively present the simulation and verification of the system, whose distinguishing feature is that the wave-induced mixing is coupled in the circulation model. In particular, with nested technique the resolution in the China's seas has been updated to(1/24)° from the global model with(1/2)°resolution. Besides, daily remote sensing sea surface temperature(SST) data have been assimilated into the model to generate a hot restart field for OCFS-C. Moreover, inter-comparisons between forecasting and independent observational data are performed to evaluate the effectiveness of OCFS-C in upper-ocean quantities predictions, including SST, mixed layer depth(MLD) and subsurface temperature. Except in conventional statistical metrics, non-dimensional skill scores(SS) is also used to evaluate forecast skill. Observations from buoys and Argo profiles are used for lead time and real time validations, which give a large SS value(more than 0.90). Besides, prediction skill for the seasonal variation of SST is confirmed. Comparisons of subsurface temperatures with Argo profiles data indicate that OCFS-C has low skill in predicting subsurface temperatures between 100 m and 150 m. Nevertheless, inter-comparisons of MLD reveal that the MLD from model is shallower than that from Argo profiles by about 12 m, i.e., OCFS-C is successful and steady in MLD predictions. Validation of 1-d, 2-d and 3-d forecasting SST shows that our operational ocean circulation-surface wave coupled forecasting model has reasonable accuracy in the upper ocean.  相似文献   

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