Comparison of DSHA-based response spectrum with design response spectrum of building code of Pakistan (BCP-SP-2007) for a site in Muzaffargarh area,Pakistan

The building code of any country is considered to be a basic technical guidance document for the seismic design of structures. However, building codes are typically developed for the whole country, without considering site specific models that incorporate detailed site-specific data. Therefore, the adequacy of the design spectrum for building codes may sometimes be questionable. To study the sufficiency of the building codes of Pakistan (BCP-SP-2007), a deterministic seismic hazard analysis (DSHA) based spectrum was developed for a site in the Muzaffargarh area, Pakistan, using an updated earthquake catalogue, seismic source model, and a next generation attenuation model (NGA-WEST-2). Further, an International Building Code (IBC-2000) spectrum was developed for the study area to compare the results. The DSHA-based response spectrum resulted in a peak ground acceleration (PGA) value of 0.21 g for the Chaudwan fault. The evaluation of BCP-SP-2007 and IBC-2000 spectra provided a critical assessment for analyzing the associated margins. A comparison with the DSHA-based response spectrum showed that the BCP-SP-2007 design spectrum mostly overlapped with the DSHA spectrum unlike IBC-2000. However, special attention is needed for designing buildings in the study area when considering earthquake periods longer than 1 s, and the BCP-SP-2007 spectrum can be enhanced when considering a period range of 0.12–0.64 s. Finally, BCP-SP-2007 is based on a probabilistic approach and its comparison with deterministic results showed the significance of both methods in terms of design.     

渤海盆地地震周期模式和地震危险性分析

根据历史地震资料,分析了渤海中部与胶辽海峡的地震周期模式。结果表明,时间可预测模式比滑动可预测模式更接近胶辽海峡历史地震的时间序列特征。按时间可预测模型外推,胶辽海峡下次强震可能发生在２１世纪初期,渤中地区历史地震序列特征复杂,一些关键地硅的震级修订造成预测模型改变,使渤中地区地震发生时间的不确定性增大,不利于渤海盆地地震的长期预测。影响长期预测准确性的主要因素是历史地震震级的可靠性、准确性、直接     

珠江三角洲未来几年地震危险性分析

在分析珠江三角洲地区历史、现今地震活动性和前兆观测资料后认为,今后几年该区将处于地震活动水平较低的平静时段,陆地区域发生MS5级以上地震的可能性很小.未来地震的可能性将主要来自陆地4级地震、周边地区和近海海域5级地震.     

尼泊尔地震后喜马拉雅地区地震风险浅析

2015年4月25日,尼泊尔发生MS8.1地震,中国西藏、印度等周边多个国家和地区受到影响。此次地震是1934年1月15日尼泊尔Bihar 8级大地震后,尼泊尔遭受的最强烈地震。地震发生后,喜马拉雅地区的地震风险再度引起关注,在此,我们对相关研究做一简要梳理和总结,以供参考。     

Seismic demand models for probabilistic risk analysis of near fault vertical ground motion effects on ordinary highway bridges

The influence of vertical ground motions on the seismic response of highway bridges is not very well understood. Recent studies suggest that vertical ground motions can substantially increase force and moment demands on bridge columns and girders and cannot be overlooked in seismic design of bridge structures. For an evaluation of vertical ground motion effects on the response of single‐bent two‐span highway bridges, a systematic study combining the critical engineering demand parameters (EDPs) and ground motion intensity measures (IMs) is required. Results of a parametric study examining a range of highway bridge configurations subjected to selected sets of horizontal and vertical ground motions are used to determine the structural parameters that are significantly amplified by the vertical excitations. The amplification in these parameters is modeled using simple equations that are functions of horizontal and vertical spectral accelerations at the corresponding horizontal and vertical fundamental periods of the bridge. This paper describes the derivation of seismic demand models developed for typical highway overcrossings by incorporating critical EDPs and combined effects of horizontal and vertical ground motion IMs depending on the type of the parameter and the period of the structure. These models may be used individually as risk‐based design tools to determine the probability of exceeding the critical levels of EDP for pre‐determined levels of ground shaking or may be included explicitly in probabilistic seismic risk assessments. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

克孜尔水库大坝的地震安全性评估

通过对克孜尔水库地震活动和地震地质构造背景，地震危险性，地震动力反应等的分析，评估土坝的抗震性能与安全性，并对大坝及库区周围的地质灾害进行了预测。     

基于相似系统理论的地震危险性分析

不同地区地震危险性的产生机制具有相似性，地震危险性可由若干地震活动指标（要素）加以描述，因此，这些指标特性的相似性反映了地震危险性大小的差异。为此，给出了一种计算相似度的新方法，并用这一方面对若干地区的地震危险性进行了评价，结果令人满意。     

基于性能的大跨径斜拉桥主塔概率地震风险分析

地震作用下,若斜拉桥主塔发生损伤,将使整体损伤风险明显提高。因此对斜拉桥主塔进行地震易损性分析来评定主塔的抗震能力,进而评估斜拉桥主塔在设计基准期内的地震损伤风险,具有重要的工程和经济意义。本文通过SAP2000有限元分析软件对某斜拉桥主塔进行了纵横向的地震易损性及危险性分析,结合地震易损性和危险性分析推导出概率地震风险函数,进而开展了斜拉桥的概率地震风险分析。分析结果证明,在100年设计基准期内,纵桥向或横桥向地震作用下,本文斜拉桥"H"型主塔均满足E3水准抗震设防要求。     

Seismic pattern treatment method through calculation of seismic density at grid nodes

IntroductionIt is an important approach to research on earthquake phenomena, an elemental portion of seismology, for understanding seismic activities. Aim of seismic pattern procession is to research spatial-temporal distribution of epicenters and generalize saliently seismic characteristics, to explore the regularities of seismicity and earthquake mechanism. People acquaint earthquake phenomena gradually with development of observation technique. Initially we could only feel and record destru…     

Analysis of Seismic Risk by Using Site Earthquake Response Intensity

Based on the site historical earthquake data,a method of seismic risk analysis is presented.Once the frequency of earthquake response intensity and the relative value showed a logarithmic linear,the maximum similarity method would be used to obtain β,λ,and Imax,and also achieve the results of risk analysis on each site.At the same time,the "logic tree" method can be used to calibrate the uncertainty of the risk on each site.Then the final results of risk analysis indicate that this method is feasible,particularly for the sites showing intensity anomaly.     

官厅水库及邻区地震活动的最大熵谱分析及其未来50年内强震危险性预测

利用最大熵谱分析与显著周期叠加建模的方法,首先对官厅水库及邻区的历史地震活动进行最大熵谱分析,然后利用所得到的显著周期进行建模,最后对未来50年内官厅水库及邻区的地震危险性进行了分析和预测。本文还用熵谱谱阵分析法,分析了地震活动周期的相对稳定性和时变性,并指出在地震预测中应注意对时变性的研究。     

工业厂房在2008汶川大地震中的震害分析及启示

基于2008年汶川大地震中现场对工业建筑的震害调查,列举了几种典型的震害现象:(1)主体结构破坏,主要表现为屋盖扭曲或坍塌、排架柱压溃或折断、支撑拉断或压曲;(2)非结构构件震害主要表现为围护墙震害明显,特别是纵墙端开间、高大山墙、高低跨悬墙的破坏;(3)地基基础等破坏.然后,分析了不同震害的原因与特征,并提出相应设计...     

Seismic risk evaluation of RC bridge structures

In this work a probabilistic methodology, recently developed by Cornell and co‐workers for seismic risk assessment of moment‐resisting steel frames, is investigated for possible applications to RC bridge structures. The basic theory is first illustrated; it is characterized by a remarkably simple but accurate mathematical formulation and by a light computational effort to estimate the risk. A simple extension to account for uncertainties in the mechanical parameters is then proposed. The methodology is applied to an existing RC bridge. The study has confirmed the robustness of the methodology with respect to the simplifying assumptions on which it is based, in particular to the reduced number of accelerograms required for a stable and accurate estimate of risk, and demonstrates the applicability to the case of RC bridges. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于GIS的概率性地震危险性分析

介绍了地理信息系统的主要特征、概率性地震危险性分析的一般步骤及其在MapGIS软件上的实现方法。并以三峡坝区某工程场地为例对程序进行了测试。GIS的用户界面使用户易于掌握概率性地震危险性分析的流程和数据。更重要的是它提高了用户对复杂地震危险性分析过程的认知能力,可以帮助用户在地震危险性分析中从空间数据中挖掘更多的信息。     

Seismic code analysis of multi-storey asymmetric buildings

Static torsional provisions in most seismic codes require that the lateral force at each floor level be applied at some distance from the reference centre at that floor. However, codes do not specify how to determine the locations of these centres. As a result, several different definitions of the reference centres are being used to implement the code analysis. This investigation examined how the results using various reference centres differ and which of these centres would lead to results that are in agreement with those of dynamic analysis. For this purpose three different buildings ranging form torsionally stiff to torsionally flexible were analysed. It was shown that for the class of buildings studied in this investigation that although the locations of the reference centres were quite different, the results were very similar and nearly independent of the reference centre. Comparison of results calculated from static code equivalent lateral force procedures and results from dynamic response spectrum analyses showed that the static code procedures led to design forces very close (flexible wall) or slightly conservative (stiff wall) when compared to the dynamic analysis for the torsionally stiff building. However, the static code procedures significantly underestimated the design forces of the stiff walls and significantly overestimated the design forces of the flexible walls for the torsionally flexible buildings. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

松原市扶余北隐伏活动断裂地震潜势研究

扶余肇东断裂带是松辽盆地中一条重要的隐伏发震断裂带,2006年和2014年在此断裂带上发生了多次近6级地震,地震活动主要集中在断裂的东北段和查干花段。在2012—2014年的松原市活断层探测工作中,探明扶余肇东断裂带东北段经过松原市区,该段呈近EW向,具有明显的分段性和独立性,将其命名为扶余北断裂。通过三维物探资料和浅层人工探测,确定了扶余北断裂的空间展布和剖面特征,并利用联排钻孔探测和光释光测年技术,确定该断裂存在晚更新世以来的活动;利用石油物探资料获得的基岩面破裂规模,对扶余北断裂的地震潜势进行了估计,并进行了概率性地震危险性研究。     

基于增量动力法的剪力墙结构地震易损性分析

地震易损性分析是评估结构地震灾害损失的关键。应用PKPM软件设计了不同设防烈度的6个16层剪力墙结构。应用增量动力法求得各结构在不同罕遇烈度地震作用下的最大层间位移角,回归分析给出了最大层间位移角与地震作用加速度峰值的关系式。以最大层间位移角为整体性能指标,进行结构地震易损性分析,给出了结构地震失效概率关于地震作用加速度峰值的计算公式。计算得到了不同设防烈度剪力墙结构在罕遇地震作用下的震害矩阵,为评估框架-剪力墙结构的地震灾害损失,提供了基础数据。     

1999年9月14日绵竹清平5．0级地震序列分析

1999年9月14日绵竹清平乡发生了一次5．0级地震，应用中国地震局开发的SSRA软件，对这次5．0级地震序列时、空、强特征进行分析研究，为后续地震预报提供依据。     

太湖沿岸区浅层底泥重金属污染分析及生态风险评价

近年来太湖底泥重金属污染越来越受到各方关注.为了解太湖沿岸区底泥重金属污染状况,基于2018年太湖全湖污染底泥勘察项目中重金属监测数据,对梅梁湖、竺山湖、西部沿岸区、南部沿岸区、东太湖、贡湖6个太湖沿岸湖区浅层(0～30 cm深度区间)底泥中Hg、Cd、As、Pb、Cu、Zn、Cr、Ni 8种重金属元素含量进行分析,运...     

波形钢腹板混凝土箱拱地震响应分析

采用时程分析法,对三向地震动作用下的波形钢腹板混凝土箱拱新型结构的地震特性进行分析,通过与混凝土腹板的混凝土箱拱动力特性和地震响应特点的对比,得出该新型拱圈结构具有较优越的抗震性能。同时,把三向地震作用的结果与在两个主方向(纵桥向和横桥向)同时施加地震动的计算结果进行比较,得到竖向地震动对波形板箱拱地震响应的影响程度。