特征地震强地面运动参数衰减公式拟合

计算机仿真模拟设定地震断层动态破裂传播和近断层强地表运动响应的结果表明, 对于特征地震而言,近断层附近的地表运动特征与断层破裂传播的方向性有着强烈的依赖关系. 当场地（观测点）至断层的距离给定时,正向于破裂传播方向的场地（场地A）的地表质点运动（位移、速度、加速度）,远远大于震中附近（场地B）和反向于破裂传播方向的场地（场地C）的地表质点运动,而且沿断层垂直分量所辐射的SH波的传播起到了主导作用. 对应于场地A,B和C,统计分析结果表明,峰值加速度的几何平均值之比为2.15:1.5:1, 而且各自的均方差分别为0.12, 0.11和0.13. 如果将所得的研究结果应用于概率地震危险性分析中,对于较低的年超越频度,近断层附近的地表峰值加速度的估算值可下降15%~30%. 因此,考虑到断层破裂传播方向性对地表运动的影响,区域衰减曲线的回归分析模型应该给予恰当的修正.      

Development of attenuation relation for the near fault ground motion from the characteristic earthquake

A composite source model has been used to simulate a broadband strong ground motion with an associated fault rupture process. A scenario earthquake fault model has been used to generate 1 000 earthquake events with a magni-tude of Mw8.0. The simulated results show that, for the characteristic event with a strike-slip faulting, the character istics of near fault ground motion is strongly dependent on the rupture directivity. If the distance between the sites and fault was given, the ground motion in the forward direction (Site A) is much larger than that in the backward direction (Site C) and that close to the fault (Site B). The SH waves radiated from the fault, which corresponds to the fault-normal component plays a key role in the ground motion amplification. Corresponding to the sites A, B, and C, the statistical analysis shows that the ratio of their aPG is 2.15:1.5:1 and their standard deviations are about 0.12, 0.11, and 0.13, respectively. If these results are applied in the current probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), then, for the lower annual frequency of exceedance of peak ground acceleration, the predicted aPG from the hazard curve could reduce by 30% or more compared with the current PSHA model used in the developing of seismic hazard map in the USA. Therefore, with a consideration of near fault ground motion caused by the rupture directivity, the regression model used in the development of the regional attenuation relation should be modified accordingly.     

Observations on the application of artificial neural network to predicting ground motion measures

Application of the artificial neural network (ANN) to predict pseudospectral acceleration or peak ground acceleration is explored in the study. The training of ANN model is carried out using feed-forward backpropagation method and about 600 records from 39 California earthquakes. The statistics of the residuals or modeling error for the trained ANN-based models are almost the same as those for the parametric ground motion prediction equations, derived through regression analysis; the residual or modeling error can be modeled as a normal variate. The similarity and differences between the predictions by these two approaches are shown. The trained ANN-based models, however, are not robust because the models with almost identical mean square errors do not always lead to the same predictions. This undesirable behaviour for predicting the ground motion measures has not been shown or discussed in the literature; the presented results, at least, serve to raise questions and caution on this problem. A practical approach to ameliorate this problem, perhaps, is to consider several trained ANN models, and to take the average of the predicted values from the trained ANN models as the predicted ground motion measure.     

地震反应分析中输入界面的选取对地表地震动参数的影响

地震反应分析中输入界面选取合理与否对设计地震动参数有重要影响。基于唐山地区钻孔剖面,分别选取剪切波速为500m/s的硬黏土和800m/s的岩石顶面作为基岩输入界面,采用一维等效线性化方法讨论中硬场地输入界面的选取对地表地震动参数的影响,结果表明:(1)地表峰值加速度放大倍数及地表加速度反应谱特征周期都随输入界面深度的增加而递增,且这种递增与输入地震动的强度及频谱特性都有密切联系;(2)随着输入界面深度的增加,地表加速度反应谱几乎全频段内增大,仅在短周期内出现减小的情况,但幅度十分有限;(3)中硬场地地震反应分析中基岩输入界面宜取剪切波速为800m/s的土层顶面。     

Comparison of the spatial distribution of ground motion between main shocks and strong aftershocks

Using the ground motion attenuation relation, we calculated and compared the effective peak acceleration (EPA) generated by main shocks and their strong aftershocks of 21 earthquake sequences with MS≥7 occurred in Chinese mainland and offing of China during 1966~2002. The result shows that EPA of strong aftershocks usually exceed that of main shock for 76.2% earthquake sequences and EPA of more than 50% strong aftershocks are greatly lar-ger than that of main shocks in large area, which suggests that it is necessary to take damage produced by strong aftershock into account in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and the seismic design.     

Ground‐motion prediction by a non‐parametric approach

Recently, several new ground‐motion prediction equations (GMPEs) have been developed in the U.S.A. (the NGA project) and elsewhere. Unfortunately, the predictions obtained by using different models still differ considerably, although starting from the same database. In this paper, a non‐parametric approach, called the Conditional Average Estimator (CAE) method, has been used for ground‐motion prediction. The comparison between the CAE results and the predictions obtained by five NGA and one European model suggest that the model predictions depend substantially on the selection of the effective database and on the adopted functional form. Both decisions rely to some extent on judgement, and their influence is especially important at short distances from the source. The differences between the results obtained from the European and NGA databases seem to be of the same or even smaller magnitude than the differences observed between different NGA models, at least at short and moderate distances. Aftershocks in the database generally decrease the median values and increase dispersion. The non‐parametric CAE method has proved to be a simple but powerful tool for ground‐motion prediction, especially in a research environment. It can be used for quick predictions with different databases and different input parameters within the range of available data. It is easy to add to or remove data from the database, and to check the influence of additional input parameters. With availability of high quality data, the non‐parametric approach will become more reliable and more attractive also for practical applications. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

最大峰值加速度与有效峰值加速度的大小比例关系及影响因素探讨

分别以最大峰值加速度(以下简称PGA)和有效峰值加速度(以下简称EPA)为参数,对金沙江流域上12个工程场点进行了地震危险性分析,得到了各个场点在不同的年超越概率下的基岩PGA和EPA值。通过对PGA、EPA值比较分析认为:PGA与EPA值的大小比例关系主要受年超越概率大小的影响,当年超越概率较大时,表现为PGA>EPA;当年超越概率较小时,PGA与EPA的比例关系还与场点周围的潜源分布形式及潜源的震级上限的大小有关,不同的年超越概率、不同的潜源分布形式和震级上限,可使PGA>EPA,也可使PGA相似文献   

汶川地震远震区黄土场地地震反应特征分析

在实际场地钻孔资料的基础上,选取和构造45个有代表性的典型场地剖面,利用一维等效线性化波动方法,计算各个场地在三种不同强度地震动输入下的地表加速度反应。结果表明:(1)在远场地震动作用下,黄土场地PGA较大,反应谱平台范围较宽,集中在0.2~0.6s;(2)随着黄土覆盖厚度的增加,PGA减小,但对于自振周期大于一定范围的结构物震害加重;(3)对于无地形影响的厚层黄土地区,当黄土厚度在20~100 m时,随厚度的增加,反应谱下降段谱值增大1.1~1.4倍,特征周期放大1.1~1.25倍。     

拟合反应谱峰加速度和峰速度的人造非平稳地震动

为满足重要工程对设计地震动的需要,文中研究了一种考虑场地附近天然地震记录数据相位非平稳特性、同时拟合S0A(T)、PGA和PGV的人造地震动技术,并以新疆玛纳斯县城区基岩场地为例,利用该区域强震记录提取的天然地震动非平稳相位,进行了非平稳人造地震动的合成。研究成果可为拟合反应谱人造地震动的工程应用提供参考。     

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE CORRELATIVITY OF SEISMIC HAZARD BETWEEN BEIJING AREA AND XIONG'AN NEW AREA

Xiong'an New Area is established on April 1, 2017 and some non-capital functions from Beijing would be transferred to this new area. As a political, economic, and cultural center of China, Beijing has a highly dense population, buildings, and transportation. With the rapid development of the urban economy, the population and assets exposed to dangerous areas with M ≥ 7 earthquakes have accumulated in an exponential manner, leading to a continuous surge in seismic risk in Beijing. Studying on the correlativity of seismic hazard between Beijing area and Xiong'an New Area is of great significance to judge whether Xiong'an can play a role in the dispersal of seismic risk of Beijing. Using Monte Carlo method to simulate synthetic earthquake sequences, and for each simulated earthquake, the peak ground acceleration data sets on each site of Beijing and Xiong'an can be calculated through the attenuation relationship. Based on the statistical analysis of the ground motion peak acceleration data sets, this paper holds that the correlativity of the ground motion between Beijing area and Xiong'an New Area is not high; the probability of Beijing and Xiong'an suffering at the same time from an exceeded fortification level of ground motion effect is very low; the probability of Beijing and Xiong'an suffering at the same time from a rare ground motion effect is extremely low. Through defibering population, assets, and setting up a remote backup of earthquake emergency equipment and supplies, Xiong'an New Area can disperse the high seismic risk of Beijing to some extent.     

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in Nepal

The seismic ground motion hazard for Nepal has been estimated using a probabilistic approach. A catalogue of earthquakes has been compiled for Nepal and the surrounding region （latitude 26% N and 31.7% N and longitude 79° E and 90° E） from 1255 to 2011. The distribution of catalogued earthquakes, together with available geological and tectonic information were used to delineate twenty-three seismic source seismic source information and probabilistic earthquake hazard prediction relationship, peak ground accelerations （PGAs） have zones in Nepal and the surrounding region. By using the parameters in conjunction with a selected ground motion been calculated at bedrock level with 63%, 10%, and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years. The estimated PGA values are in the range of 0.07-0.16 g, 0.21 0.62 g, and 0.38-1.1 g for 63%, 10%, and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, respectively. The resulting ground motion maps show different characteristics of PGA distribution, i.e., high hazard in the far-western and eastern sections, and low hazard in southern Nepal. The quantified PGA values at bedrock level provide information for microzonation studies in different parts of the country.     

Expected ground motion in the south-east of Spain due to an earthquake in the epicentral area of the 1910 Adra earthquake

To study the ground motion levelassociated with historical earthquakeslocated in Southern Spain, we have chosen ascenario placed in the Poniente Almeriense(Southeast Spain). In this zone, somerelevant historical earthquakes haveoccurred, such as those of 1522, 1804 and1910. In particular, the earthquakes of 1804 and 1910 the estimated and calculatedmagnitudes are of M = 6.3. Those earthquakestook place near the epicentral zone of aseismic series happened in 1993–94. As partof this series, two earthquakes with M5were recorded by strong ground motioninstruments on 23^rd December 1993, and 4^th January, 1994 at Adra, Almeríaand Motril. We have used the accelerationrecords as empirical Green functions inorder to simulate the expected groundmotion associated with a hypotheticalearthquake of magnitude M = 6.3 like those of1804 and 1910. The simulations have beencarried out for three sites (Almería,Adra and Motril) using three differentapproaches. A total of 30 simulations, foreach approach, have been carried out foreach ground motion component in each site.The peak ground acceleration (PGA) and theresponse spectra are compared with thevalues obtained through empiricalrelationships for the distances and soilconditions corresponding to the threechosen sites. The results of thesimulations show that the horizontal PGAcould exceed the values observed in23/XII/93 and 4/I/94 by a factor of 5–8,surpassing in some cases the value of 140gals. Besides, some of the peak spectralaccelerations simulated reach Sa_max =400 gals, Adra being the location where thehighest values of a_max andSa_max are reached, due to the nearnessof this station to the epicentres of 23/XII/93 and 4/I/94. At Almeria, the PGAvalues reach 40 gals, which may beconsidered as input in the bedrock. InMotril, the PGA surpass a value of 130gals, considering as due to a strong localsite effect. Finally, the peak groundacceleration (PGA) and the response spectraobtained with the simulations have beencompared with other values estimated through empirical relationships for similarconditions. The conclusions about theexpected ground motion levels have animportant application aimed at the revisionof the maximum acceleration and responsespectra of the Spanish building Code,NCSE-94.     

A new approach for estimating seismic damage of buried water supply pipelines

Conventional damage prediction methods for lifeline structures are primarily based on peak ground motion measurements. However, line structures such as lifelines suffer damage that is mainly induced by the strain of the ground and therefore are likely to be vulnerable to sharp spatial changes in the ground motion. In this study, we propose a measure for evaluating the damage incurred by underground water supply pipelines based on the spatial gradient of the peak ground velocity (PGV), in an attempt to quantify the effects of the geospatial variabilities in the ground motion on pipeline damage. We investigated the spatial distribution of the damage caused to water pipelines during the Niigata‐ken Chuetsu earthquake on October 10, 2004 (Japan Meteorological Agency magnitude (M_JMA) of 6.8) and the Kobe earthquake on January 17, 1995 (M_JMA7.3) and compared the surveyed damage with the PGV distribution as well as with the gradients of the PGV calculated around the damage areas. For the Kobe earthquake, we used the PGV distribution obtained by the strong‐motion simulation performed by Matsushima and Kawase 1 . In case of the Chuetsu earthquake, we estimated the ground motion using a broadband‐frequency‐based strong‐ground‐motion simulation method based on a multiasperity source model. In both cases, we calculated the gradients of the PGV along the geographical coordinates, with the amplitude of the PGV gradient vector being employed as the damage estimator. Our results show that the distribution of damage to underground water supply pipelines exhibits a greater correlation with the gradients of the PGV than with the PGV itself. Thus, the gradient of the PGV is a useful index for preparing initial‐screening hazard maps of underground facilities. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

the faulting characteristics of 2008 wenchuan ms8.0 earthquake and its relation with strong ground motion

The 2008 M_S8 Wenchuan earthquake occurs on a high angle listric thrust fault. It is the first time that the near and far field strong ground motion was observed for such special type thrust earthquake. This paper jointly interprets the distribution of peak acceleration of ground motion data with seismogenic structure and slip propagating process to investigate how high angle listric thrust fault controls the pattern of strong ground motion. We found that the distribution of peak acceleration of strong ground motion during the Wenchuan earthquake has four distinctive features: 1)The peak acceleration of ground motion inside the Longmenshan fault zone is large, that is, nearly twice as strong as that outside the fault zone; 2)This earthquake produces significant vertical ground motion, prevailing against horizontal components in the near field; 3)The far field records show that the peak acceleration is generally higher and attenuates slower versus station-fault distance in the hanging wall. It is doubtful that the attenuation of horizontal components also has the hanging wall effect since no evidence yet proving that the unexpected high value at long distance need be omitted; 4)As to the attenuation in directions parallel to the source fault(Yingxiu-Beichuan Fault), the far field records also exhibit azimuthal heterogeneity that the peak acceleration of horizontal components decreases slower in the north-northeastern direction in which the co-seismic slip propagates than that in the backward way. However, the attenuation of vertical component displays very weak heterogeneity of this kind. Synthetically considered with shallow dislocation, high dip angle, and prevailing vertical deformation during co-seismic process of the Wenchuan earthquake, our near and far field ground motion records reflect the truth that the magnitude of ground motion is principally determined by slip type of earthquake and actual distance between the slipping source patches and stations. As a further interpretation, the uniqueness of high angle listric thrust results in that the ground motion effects of the Wenchuan earthquake are similar to that due to a common thrust earthquake in some components while differ in the others.     

Scaling of ductility and damage‐based strength reduction factors for horizontal motions

The conventional approach of obtaining the inelastic response spectra for the aseismic design of structures involves the reduction of elastic spectra via response modification factors. A response modification factor is usually taken as a product of (i) strength factor, R_S, (ii) ductility factor, R_μ, and (iii) redundancy factor, R_R. Ductility factor, also known as strength reduction factor (SRF), is considered to primarily depend on the initial time period of the single‐degree‐of‐freedom (SDOF) oscillator and the displacement ductility demand ratio for the ground motion. This study proposes a preliminary scaling model for estimating the SRFs of horizontal ground motions in terms of earthquake magnitude, strong motion duration and predominant period of the ground motion, geological site conditions, and ductility demand ratio, with a given level of confidence. The earlier models have not considered the simultaneous dependence of the SRFs on various governing parameters. Since the ductility demand ratio is not a complete measure of the cumulative damage in the structure during the earthquake‐induced vibrations, the existing definition of the SRF is sought to be modified with the introduction of damage‐based SRF (in place of ductility‐based SRF). A parallel scaling model has been proposed for estimating the damage‐based SRFs. This model considers damage and ductility supply ratio as parameters instead of ductility demand ratio. Through a parametric study on ductility‐based SRFs, it has been shown that the hitherto assumed insensitivity of earthquake magnitude and strong motion duration may not be always justified and that the initial time period of the oscillator plays an important role in the dependence of SRF on these parameters. Further, the damage‐based SRFs are found to show similar parametric dependence as observed in the case of the ductility‐based SRFs. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Ground motion prediction equations based on shallow crustal earthquakes in Georgia and the surrounding Caucasus

Strong ground motions caused by earthquakes with magnitudes ranging from 3.5 to 6.9 and hypocentral distances of up to 300 km were recorded by local broadband stations and three-component accelerograms within Georgia’s enhanced digital seismic network. Such data mixing is particularly effective in areas where strong ground motion data are lacking. The data were used to produce models based on ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs), one benefit of which is that they take into consideration information from waveforms across a wide range of frequencies. In this study, models were developed to predict ground motions for peak ground acceleration and 5%-damped pseudo-absolute-acceleration spectra for periods between 0.01 and 10 s. Short-period ground motions decayed faster than long-period motions, though decay was still in the order of approximately 1/r. Faulting mechanisms and local soil conditions greatly influence GMPEs. The spectral acceleration (SA) of thrust faults was higher than that for either strike-slip or normal faults but the influence of strike-slip faulting on SA was slightly greater than that for normal faults. Soft soils also caused significantly more amplification than rocky sites.     

地震波斜入射输入体系下坝后式厂房易损性分析

为了考虑地震波斜入射对坝后式厂房易损性的影响,通过斜入射SV波和P波波场叠加,在地表得到与实测地震动一致的设计地震动分量。同时为了考虑坝后式厂房的动力损伤,在程序中嵌入混凝土动力损伤本构,编写了可以考虑地震波斜入射体系的结构易损性分析程序。最后从太平洋地震工程研究中心（PEER）数据库中选取26条近场地震动数据,根据峰值地面加速度（PGA）对每条地震波进行调幅,以我国西南地区某坝后式厂房为工程实例,用增量动力学分析法计算了其上下游墙体在不同强度斜入射体系地震动作用下的易损性曲线。与传统垂直入射模式下的地震易损性曲线对比发现,传统垂直入射下的破坏概率较高,两种入射模式破坏概率最大相差26%。其中,坝后式厂房下游墙的破坏概率比上游墙大,最大相差可19%。因此坝后式厂房的抗震设计需考虑地震波斜入射的影响,并重点考虑下游墙部位的抗震安全性。     

2009年姚安mS6.0强震动应急观测

介绍了2009年姚安Ms6.0地震强震动应急流动观测台站的布设、记录获取及初步处理结果等情况,并对此次地震余震的高加速度峰值、低地震烈度等有关问题予以讨论,结果认为:场地条件对地面地震动峰值影响较大;高地震动峰值的相对持时短是此次4.7级余震震害轻的主要原因.     

近断层地震动场预测——以长春市为例

断层带附近地震动场分布的研究,是当前地震工程领域研究的热点问题之一。近断层地震动场的分布对在断层附近进行抗震结构设计时,不仅是提供地震动输入,也是确定建设场地避让范围的重要依据之一。以区域地震构造背景分析、目标断层活动性鉴定、地震危险性评价为基础,结合断层探测结果,利用统计经验关系等最终确定发震断层,并建立相应的震源模型。采用显式有限元和并行计算技术计算目标区域场地的长周期地震动。利用有限断层随机合成的方法,计算高频地震动。将低频和高频地震动合成为目标区域内的宽频带地震动时程。对局部特殊场地条件地区,基于场地调查和勘探的数据,利用等效线性化等方法进行一维土层的非线性反应计算,给出这些特殊场地的宽频带地震动时程。最后,根据地震动时程获得设定地震发生时,目标区域的峰值加速度分布预测图和相应的反应谱。以长春市为例预测了在设定地震发生时,近断层地震动场的分布情况。当长春尖山子—卡伦断层发生6.0级地震时,潜在破坏性地震动的影响范围集中在附近,沿断层走向分布。加速度峰值沿断层垂直变化,主要为90 Gal～140 Gal。只是在长春市南部加速度峰值达到200 Gal。本研究的预测结果具备断层附近地震动的一些最基本的特征,符合当前对断层附近地震动的基本认识。     

Attenuation modeling of recent earthquakes in Turkey

This paper deals with the derivation of a consistent set of empiricalattenuation relationships for predicting free-field horizontal components ofpeak ground acceleration (PGA) and 5 percent damped pseudoacceleration response spectra (PSA) from 47 strong ground motion recordsrecorded in Turkey. The relationships for Turkey were derived in similarform to those previously developed by Boore et al. (1997) for shallowearthquakes in western North America. The used database was compiledfor earthquakes in Turkey with moment magnitudes (M_w) = 5 thatoccurred between 1976–1999, and consisted of horizontal peak groundacceleration and 5 percent damped response spectra of accelerogramsrecorded on three different site conditions classified as rock, soil and softsoil. The empirical equations for predicting strong ground motion weretypically fit to the strong motion data set by applying nonlinear regressionanalysis according to both random horizontal components and maximumhorizontal components. Comparisons of the results show that groundmotion relations for earthquakes in one region cannot be simply modifiedfor use in engineering analyses in another region. Our results, patternedafter the Boore et al. expressions and dominated by the Kocaeli andDüzce events in 1999, appear to underestimate predictions based ontheir curves for up to about 15 km. For larger distances the reverse holds.