水平土层特性变异性对传递函数影响分析初探

采用Monte Carlo模拟手段,提出描述场地土层特性变异性对传递函数变异性影响的分析方法。选取日本Kik-Net强震数据库中软（FKSH14）、硬（FKSH12）两类场地,建立场地概率模型。应用Monte Carlo技术随机生成50组场地剖面,分别计算场地的传递函数STF及STF标准差,讨论场地土层厚度、剪切波速,以及二者组合情况下场地传递函数的标准差及场地特征频率的变化。结果显示：对于硬土场地而言,场地特征频率标准差相对于软土场地较大,且剪切波速变异性影响比土层厚度变异性的影响略大,而二者组合工况下最大;而软土场地,土层厚度、剪切波速变化工况下场地特征频率的标准差相当,比二者组合工况下略低;软、硬两类场地,土层厚度与剪切波速二者组合工况下STF的标准差比单一量变化情况下略大,但3种工况下场地STF标准差相差不明显;场地STF的标准差在场地自振频率附近的频率段取值较大,极值点与场地STF的极值点相对应。     

Retention properties of flow paths in fractured rock

There is no straightforward way to extrapolate solute retention properties from typical site characterisation scales to typical scales in the performance assessment of the geological disposal of nuclear wastes. Solutes diffuse much deeper into the rock matrix under performance assessment flow conditions than under site characterisation flow conditions. The modelling approach applied in this study, associated with the Äspö Task Force, enables evaluation of the contribution of the individual immobile layers to the overall retention. This makes it possible to determine the influence of the immobile zone heterogeneity on solute retention under different flow conditions. It appears that there is a significant difference between the dominating immobile retention zones on site characterisation and performance assessment scales. Fractured rock is characterised by heterogeneity and in particular a large spread of hydraulic properties. This favours formation of the preferential flow paths by leading to a few dominating transport paths. Large hydraulic features are, on average, better hydraulic conductors than smaller ones. This causes spatial scale effects for the solute retention properties. In particular, the hydraulic properties at the early parts of flow paths are more favourable to retention than those at the later parts of the flow paths.     

Geological and environmental management of ceramic clay quarries: a review

This paper shows a contribution to the knowledge of the geological management of ceramic raw material. We have mainly focussed on the clays with a ceramic interest. The article begins with an introduction to the mineralogical determining factor of the ceramic sector. Then, it shows a development of the main steps that take place in the geological prospecting and it concludes with the criteria that must be followed when selecting the outcrops: geographical and environmental conditions, (1) legislation, (2) market and technology, (3) mineralogical and technological characterisation and (4) geological and mining characterisation.     

煤炭地下气化地质选区指标体系构建及有利区评价技术

为厘清影响煤炭地下气化的地质因素,构建科学的地质指标评价体系,对影响煤炭地下气化的七大类地质条件、41个次级地质指标进行了系统分析和分级量化,建立了地质选区指标体系;根据对选区的重要程度,将各地质指标分为基本地质指标（A）和关键地质指标（B）两类,基于这两大类指标,提出了两种新的煤炭地下气化有利区定量评价方法,精细型（A+B）和通用型（B）;利用专家打分法和层次分析法确定了这两种评价方法中所涉及到的地质指标权重;依据资源、开采技术、区域构造和环境四大类条件,厘定了评价结果的定性分级方案;综合定量评价和定性分级,提出了有利区优选的一般步骤,最终形成了一套完整的煤炭地下气化有利区评价技术体系.该评价技术体系的有效应用,可为煤炭地下气化科学选址和产业化进程推进提供重要理论支撑.      

Evaluation of soil collapse potential in regional scale

Collapsible soils have considerable strength and stiffness in their dry natural state but settle dramatically when they become wet. This paper documents a low-cost, qualitative evaluation scheme using fuzzy set analysis to determine site collapsibility based on subjective knowledge of the geological, geotechnical, and environmental conditions and their uncertainty. For each category, factors or subcategories were defined in a decision tree based on relevant literature. Each category and subcategory was then weighted or rated using linguistic terms developed from expert assessment. The linguistic data or information obtained from the assessments was represented and processed using fuzzy sets. To calibrate the criteria, 87 collapse potential tests were performed on undisturbed soil samples gathered from 27 different locations throughout Iran, leading to the definition of a standard collapse potential fuzzy set. Finally, on the basis of the established criteria, a collapse potential map was prepared for a suburban area in the western part of the city of Kerman, Iran.     

大柳树坝址岩体破坏机制分析

大柳树坝址区存在大面积、大范围的岩体松动破坏现象。为进一步研究其松动破坏的成因机制,在详细调查区域地质背景条件及区域地震动力作用基础之上,提出了地震动力作用与岩体松动现象的内在联系,并通过动力模拟试验和动力数值分析,进一步证明岩体松动破坏现象与历史上该地区发生的强烈地震具有密切关系。因此,在目前的工程地质条件下,一旦发生较大强度的地震活动,坝址区所遭受的破坏程度会更大,对拟建的水利工程设施将产生严重威胁。     

地质约束条件下的地质体智能综合方法研究

地质体综合是地质图编制工作的重中之重,因其处理涉及内容多、业务逻辑复杂、重复工作量大,是影响编图工作推进的主要因素。为了能够实现地质体的高效综合,文章提出了一种以地质约束条件(专家知识)为核心、以制图综合为空间图形合并手段的新型地质体智能综合方法,设计并实现了围绕地质专家知识(如地质年代、地层名称等)规则映射开展的三种地质体综合方法(同属性合并、交互式选择合并、绘图合并)。使用北山地区地质图数据对地质体综合模块进行测试,经反复对比实验,证实了该方法不仅能够快速实现地质体空间图形的"一键式"合并,还可以自动完成地质知识的映射与赋值,综合结果符合地质规律。该方法为反映地质空间分布前提下对图件中地质体或其他面图元的精简提供了一种有效的自动化工具。     

Volcanic hazard assessment incorporating expert knowledge: Application to the yucca mountain region, Nevada, USA

Multiple-expert hazard/risk assessments have considerable precedent, particularly in the Yucca Mountain site characterization studies. A certain amount of expert knowledge is needed to interpret the geological data used in a probabilistic data analysis. As may be the situation in science, experts disagree on crucial points. Consequently, lack of consensus in some studies is a sure outcome. In this paper, we present a Bayesian approach to statistical modeling in volcanic hazard assessment for the Yucca Mountain site. Specifically, we show that the expert opinion on the site disruption parameterp is incorporated into the prior distribution, π(p), based on geological information that is available. Moreover, π(p) can combine all available geological information motivated by conflicting but realistic arguments (e.g., simulation, cluster analysis, structural control, ..., etc.). The incorporated uncertainties about the probability of repository disruptionp eventually will be averaged out by taking the expectation over π(p). We use the following priors in the analysis: (1) priors selected for mathematical convenience: Beta (r,s) for (r,s) = (2, 2), (3, 3), (5, 5), (2, 1),(2, 8), (8, 2), and (1, 1);and (2) three priors motivated by expert knowledge. Sensitivity analysis is performed for each prior distribution. Our study concludes that estimated values of hazard based on the priors selected for mathematical simplicity are uniformly higher than those obtained based on the priors motivated by expert knowledge. And, the model using the prior, Beta (8, 2), yields the highest hazard (=2.97 × 10^-2 . The minimum hazard is produced by the “three-expert prior” (i.e., values of p are equally likely for p = 10^-3, 10^-2,and 10^-1 . The estimate of the hazard is 1.39 × 10^-3, which is only about one order of magnitude smaller than the maximum value. The term, “hazard, ” is defined as the probability of at least one disruption of a repository at the Yucca Mountain site by basaltic volcanism for the next 10,000 years.     

Regional search, selection and geological characterization of a large anticlinal structure, as a candidate site for CO2-storage in northern Germany

This paper reports on the regional screening, selection and geological characterisation of a potential on-shore CO₂ storage site (saline aquifer) in north-eastern Germany. The main objective of this study was to identify and investigate a candidate storage site, capable to accommodate the total amount of approximately 400 million tons of CO₂. Such a volume is produced by a modern, lignite-fired power plant within its operation lifetime of approximately 40 years. Within north-eastern Germany, several saline aquifers of Triassic, Jurassic and Cretaceous age have been evaluated with respect to their regional occurrence, storage potential and basic reservoir properties. Subsequent to a ranking, considering different criteria, the anticlinal structure Schweinrich holding suitable saline aquifers of the uppermost Triassic and lowest Jurassic has been selected from a number of identified candidate sites. According to results of the geological site characterisation, including structural geological investigations and 3D reservoir modelling, the structure Schweinrich seems to be a suitable site for industrial large scale CO₂ storage. Further data acquisition (new wells and 3D seismics) and research (more detailed and comprehensive modelling) is needed in order to prove the structural integrity of the storage site and assure long-term safety.     

废物地下填埋场选址的地质条件约束

当今采矿业仍然使用全陷法开采,致使矿区环境遭到十分强烈的破坏。为了环境保护的需要,德国等许多国家积极开展利用废物进行地下充填的新的采矿法,使矿区环境得到保护以及采矿业达到可持续发展。文中以德国鲁尔矿区为例,充分论述了矿区的地质和水文地质条件对地下填埋场或地下充填场选址的约束,以及如何对矿床的地质和水文地质条件进行充分调查和分析,优选出安全可靠的固体废物的地下填埋场或地下充填场地,使采矿业的发展和环境保护的需求之间达到最优化的联合。重点介绍了德国地下填埋场的充填技术,适合于地下充填废物的筛选;对地下填埋场选址的地质条件约束,主要通过地质、岩性、地质构造分析和水文地质条件约束来确定,最后优选出最安全的地下填埋场。     

Application of statistical approaches to analyze geological,geotechnical and hydrogeological data at a fractured-rock mine site in Northern Canada

Mine site characterization often results in the acquisition of geological, geotechnical and hydrogeological data sets that are used in the mine design process but are rarely co-evaluated. For a study site in northern Canada, bivariate and multivariate (hierarchical) statistical techniques are used to evaluate empirical hydraulic conductivity estimation methods based on traditional rock mass characterisation schemes, as well as to assess the regional hydrogeological conceptual model. Bivariate techniques demonstrate that standard geotechnical measures of fracturing are poor indicators of the hydraulic potential of a rock mass at the study site. Additionally, rock-mass-permeability schemes which rely on these measures are shown to be poor predictors of hydraulic conductivity in untested areas. Multivariate techniques employing hierarchical cluster analysis of both geotechnical and geological data sets are able to identify general trends in the data. Specifically, the geological cluster analysis demonstrated spatial relationship between intrusive contacts and increased hydraulic conductivity. This suggests promise in the use of clustering methods in identifying new trends during the early stages of hydrogeological characterization.     

Simulation of mineral grades with hard and soft conditioning data: application to a porphyry copper deposit

This work deals with the geostatistical simulation of mineral grades whose distribution exhibits spatial trends within the ore deposit. It is suggested that these trends can be reproduced by using a stationary random field model and by conditioning the realizations to data that incorporate the available information on the local grade distribution. These can be hard data (e.g., assays on samples) or soft data (e.g., rock-type information) that account for expert geological knowledge and supply the lack of hard data in scarcely sampled areas. Two algorithms are proposed, depending on the kind of soft data under consideration: interval constraints or local moment constraints. An application to a porphyry copper deposit is presented, in which it is shown that the incorporation of soft conditioning data associated with the prevailing rock type improves the modeling of the uncertainty in the actual copper grades.     

面向地质图的知识图谱构建及智能问答应用

海量地质图件蕴含着丰富的地学基础知识及专家经验知识。地质图主要表达了通过区域地质调查、矿产地质调查所获取的地球表面的地质知识（如地层单元、岩体、断裂等）。如何快速地从矢量地质图件中抽取地质知识并形成知识服务是目前地学知识图谱及知识服务研究的前沿。由于传统的地质图知识抽取主要依赖人工方式进行综合分析,本文聚焦于矢量地质图件知识表达与抽取研究,提出了一种地质图知识表达框架,提取地质图中所包含的地质实体及关系,将地质图信息以知识图谱的形式表达,并开展了基于地质矢量知识图谱的智能问答应用。最后以江西省于都县银坑幅矢量数据集为例开展实验验证分析,结果表明,本文方法能够较为全面地获取地质图中各个地质对象的信息,提高了地质图语义表达的效果,同时也可以提高地质学习人员对地质图的理解和认识,让计算机能够大规模获取地质图的知识内容。

     

CSEES: An expert system for analysis and design of cut slopes and embankments

 An expert system is developed for evaluating failure potential of cut slopes and embankments. The fuzzy sets theory is used with the modified Monte Carlo simulation technique to obtain the Slope Failure Potential Index (SFPI) incorporating factors affecting slope stability, such as geology, topography, geomorphology, precipitation, vegetation and drainage conditions. The developed Cut Slopes and Embankments Expert System (CSEES) includes a classification system for evaluating failure potential of cut slopes and embankments, and a data bank on landslides in Jordan. The proposed classification system and slope failure-potential method proved to be successful for the areas that experienced landslides in the past. The expert system can be used directly for areas with the same geological formations as those areas in which landslides occurred in the past and can be used for areas with other geological formations by modifying the rock type or foundation-material type factor incorporated in the expert system. Received: 18 February 1998 · Accepted: 19 October 1998     

铁路施工期岩溶地质宏观预测专家系统研究

岩溶的发育受到多种因素控制,具有不确定性,在结合宜万铁路齐岳山隧道、八字岭隧道、野三关隧道、马鹿青隧道以及渝怀铁路圆梁山隧道等多座岩溶地区山岭隧道的岩溶洞穴发育分布特征分析研究的基础上,提出了包括地层岩性、地质构造、地形地貌、地表水、地下水、隧道设计等因素在内的隧道工程岩溶超前预报的地质分析指标体系,明确了岩溶灾害发生危险性的高、中、低3个等级的工程地质标志性特征,应用专家评价法研究了各个指标的权重,构建了超前地质预报专家系统知识库,研制了山岭隧道岩溶超前地质预报专家系统,通过宜万铁路具体隧道工程的实际应用探讨了专家系统预测的可靠性。     

Subsurface Airflow Induced by Natural Forcings

Subsurface airflow can be induced by natural processes,such as atmospheric or barometric pressure changes, water table fluctuations,topographic effects,and rainfall infiltration．Barometric pressure fluctuations are the most common cause of subsurface airflow,which can be significant under favourable geological conditions．This process has been studied most extensively because of its application to passive soil vapor extraction．Soil airflow induced by water table fluctuations can be significant,particularly where the fluctuations are of high frequency,for example,in tidal-influenced coastal areas．Top-ographic effects can lead to strong subsoil airflow in areas with great elevation differences．Rainfall infiltration usually produces only weak airflow.Air flow induced by these natural processes has important environmental and engineering implications．Among the different processes,airflow induced by tidal fluctuations has been studied the least,although it has exciting applications to coastal engineering projects and environmental remediation．     

Bayesian Equivalent Sample Toolkit (BEST): an Excel VBA program for probabilistic characterisation of geotechnical properties from limited observation data

In site investigation, the amount of observation data obtained for geotechnical property characterisation is often too sparse to obtain meaningful statistics and probability distributions of geotechnical properties. To address this problem, a Bayesian equivalent sample method was recently developed. This paper aims to generalize the Bayesian equivalent sample method to various geotechnical properties, when measured by different direct or indirect test procedures, and to implement the generalized method in Excel by developing an Excel VBA program called Bayesian Equivalent Sample Toolkit (BEST). The BEST program makes it possible for practitioners to apply the Bayesian equivalent sample method without being compromised by sophisticated algorithms in probability, statistics and simulation. The program is demonstrated and validated through examples of soil and rock property characterisations.     

某石油化工场地土层挥发性有机物的污染特征

在调查华北平原一个污染年限超过35年的石油化工场地时,采用便携式仪器土层测气方法,快速、准确地测定了场地内40多个钻孔不同深度土层中挥发性有机物(VOCs)的浓度。基于对场地地质水文地质条件的认识,以及通过对大量数据的分析对比和应用空间变异分析方法,得出了对场地土层介质中VOCs污染特征的如下认识:(1)土层VOCs浓度的垂向变化可概括为污染源淋滤型、包气带扩散污染型、地下水波动带污染型和混合污染型四种污染类型;(2)在包气带砂土层和粉土层中,VOCs的扩散规律可近似用指数模型描述;(3)包气带土层中VOCs优先积聚在渗透性强的砂性土层中,砂土层中VOCs浓度是粉土层中VOCs浓度的1.5～12倍,平均3.76倍;(4)土层VOCs浓度的水平变异性表现为包气带土层的变异性要比地下水波动带土层大,且水平变异性能在25m尺度内得到充分显示;而土层VOCs浓度的垂向变异性随地而异,变化复杂,很难用统一的一个量化尺度来表征。本文对这一典型污染场地的剖析,有助于从事污染场地调查人员认识我国华北平原石油化工类场地的污染特征,并为调查与治理类似污染场地提供技术依据。     

层状地质体的三维模拟与可视化

文中探讨了层状地质体的三维模拟与可视化方法和技术。地质数据通常是有限的、空间上分布不均匀的点数据 ,需要大量使用插值技术来形成合理的模型。简单层状实体可在二维插值的基础上 ,按照这些面的空间位置叠加 ,形成三维体模型。复杂的层状体包括沉积相以及一些物性参数的空间变化 ,断层等形成的不连续以及复杂的褶皱等。这些实体的模拟与可视化 ,需要进行三维插值 ,并根据不同现象的特点选择合适的方法。合理的专家知识或地质解释的交互加入 ,是形成合理的三维模型的关键。     

试论软弱筑堤土的固结效应

根据软土的排水固结效应,分析了软土强度随固结效应的增长规律,提出了考虑固结效应的堤基加载方案。同时,结合淮河入海水道近期工程软土堤段的实测资料,分析了堤基土的固结度和强度增长规律,提出了分级填筑施工法。