共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 32 毫秒
1.
L. Brimich J. Fernández R. D. R. Granell M. Hvoždara 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1996,40(1):14-24
Summary The computation of simple analytical models of surface displacements and gravity changes in layered elastic-gravitational
medium and in an elastic half-space with point source of heat is presented. The comparison of the radial and vertical components
of the displacement and gravity changes indicates that the horizontal changes of these quantities are smaller for the thermoelastic
model than for the elastic-gravitational. 相似文献
2.
“平面图形演化方法”是利用无量刚的异常信息量来反映震前异常空间分布及其随时间的演化,从而预报发震时间和地点的一种方法,这种方法μ值等值线图法,μ值异常平面图法组成,它是通过绘制不同的时间上述二种平面图,通过分析水位,水化异常于震前在时间上,空间上的演化规律,寻找μ值异常集中区或高值区,异常丛集图像分布区,条带图像分布带及条带交叉图像地区,并考虑异常分布图像与活动构造带和地震带的关系,从而对强震发生 相似文献
3.
Weathering of bedrock creates and occludes permeability, affecting subsurface water flow. Often, weathering intensifies above the water table. On the contrary, weathering can also commence below the water table. To explore relationships between weathering and the water table, a simplified weathering model for an eroding hillslope was formulated that takes into account both saturated and unsaturated subsurface water flow (but does not fully account for changes in dissolved gas chemistry). The phreatic line was calculated using solutions to mathematical treatments for both zones. In the model, the infiltration rate at the hill surface sets both the original and the eventual steady-state position of the water table with respect to the weathering reaction front. Depending on parameters, the weathering front can locate either above or below the water table at steady state. Erosion also affects the water table position by changing porosity and permeability even when other hydrological conditions (e.g. hydraulic conductivity of parent material, infiltration rate at the surface) do not change. The total porosity in a hill (water storage capacity) was found to increase with infiltration rate (all else held constant). This effect was diminished by increasing the erosion rate. We also show examples of how the infiltration rate affects the position of the water table and how infiltration rate affects weathering advance. Published 2020. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA 相似文献
4.
A regional coupled approach to water cycle prediction is demonstrated for the 4-month period from November 2013 to February 2014. This provides the first multi-component analysis of precipitation, soil moisture, river flow and coastal ocean simulations produced by an atmosphere-land-ocean coupled system focussed on the United Kingdom (UK), running with horizontal grid spacing of around 1.5 km across all components. The Unified Model atmosphere component, in which convection is explicitly simulated, reproduces the observed UK rainfall accumulation (r2 of 0.95 for water day accumulation), but there is a notable bias in its spatial distribution—too dry over western upland areas and too wet further east. The JULES land surface model soil moisture state is shown to be in broad agreement with a limited number of cosmic-ray neutron probe observations. A comparison of observed and simulated river flow shows the coupled system is useful for predicting broad scale features, such as distinguishing high and low flow regions and times during the period of interest but are less accurate than optimized hydrological models. The impact of simulated river discharge on NEMO model simulations of coastal ocean state is explored in the coupled modelling framework, with comparisons provided relative to experiments using climatological river input and no river input around the UK coasts. Results show that the freshwater flux around the UK contributes of order 0.2 psu to the mean surface salinity, and comparisons to profile observations give evidence of an improved vertical structure when applying simulated flows. This study represents the first assessment of the coupled system performance from a hydrological perspective, with priorities for future model developments and challenges for evaluation of such systems discussed. 相似文献
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The location of hydrocarbon contamination in the ground using the GPR method is based mainly on information taken from reflected signals. In the cases investigated in Polish contaminated sites, such signals were very seldom recorded. A long time after spillage, contamination takes the form of plumes with different size and distribution, which depends on geological and hydraulic properties of the ground. In this paper, it is shown that the set of hydrocarbon plumes should be described with a stochastic model, and such plumes may generate the scattered waves which cause changes in the power spectra. It has been observed that the power spectra of GPR signals over contaminated areas are quite different from such spectra over clear ones. These differences were discussed in this paper on the basis of theoretical analysis, numerical modelling and the results of GPR terrain surveys. 相似文献
7.
《水文科学杂志》2012,57(15):1932-1942
ABSTRACTThe UK Hydrological Outlook (UKHO) is a seasonal forecast of future river flows and groundwater levels. The UKHO contains both presentations of outputs from models simulating future conditions and a high-level summary. The summary is produced by an expert panel of forecasters that considers the model outputs together with other recent hydrological and meteorological information. Whilst the skill and uncertainty of the individual models have been explored and published, this study sets out to establish the performance of the high-level summary, and presents such an assessment of the river flow forecasts at the 1-month timescale. Both qualitative and quantitative assessments are presented and compared with two naïve forecasting methods. The UKHO summary is found to have a similar Gerrity skill score to a “same as last month” forecast, an outcome that generates suggestions for improvements in how the different model outputs should be considered and presented in the high-level summary. 相似文献
8.
ABSTRACTWater resource management involves public investments with long-ranging impacts that traditional prediction approaches cannot address. These are increasingly being critiqued because (1) there is an absence of feedbacks between water and society; (2) the models are created by domain experts who hand them to decision makers to implement; and (3) they fail to account for global forces on local water resources. Socio-hydrological models that explicitly account for feedbacks between water and society at multiple scales and facilitate stakeholder participation can address these concerns. However, they require a fundamental change in how we think about prediction. We suggest that, in the context of long-range predictions, the goal is not scenarios that present a snapshot of the world at some future date, but rather projection of alternative, plausible and co-evolving trajectories of the socio-hydrological system. This will both yield insights into cause–effect relationships and help stakeholders identify safe or desirable operating space. 相似文献
9.
《国际泥沙研究》2023,38(5):673-697
The B1 dam of Córrego do Feij?o Mine,owned by Vale,S.A.mining company and located on the Ferro-Carv?o stream,collapsed and injected 2.8 Mm3 of clayey,silty,and sandy iron-and manganese-rich tailings into the Paraopeba River(Minas Gerais state,Brazil).The accident occurred on 25 January 2019 and the tailings have been co-transported with coarser natural sediment since then,being partly trapped in the Igarapé Weir reservoir located on the Paraopeba River nearly 45 km downstream the injection point.The general purpose of the current study was to model suspended sediment transport in the vicinity of the Igarapé Weir aiming to assess the concomitant barrier effect imposed by this structure.Specifically,the spatial distributions of suspended clay,silt,and very fine-grained sand fractions(CSS)of sediment were mapped around the Igarapé Weir under low-flow(16 m3/s)and high-flow(5 to 10,000 years return period stream discharge;699-2,699 m3/s)regimes,using RiverFlow2D as the modelling tool.The concentrations of the various grain materials in the upstream and downstream sectors were quantified linking the barrier effect to concentration reductions in the direction of stream flow.It was also a study goal to calculate differences of iron and manganese concentrations in the sediment+tailings mixtures along the Paraopeba River.The study results showed reductions in the CSS between 6.6％and 18％,from upstream to downstream of the Igarapé Weir,related with backwater effects,free and sub-merged hydraulic jumps,bank sedimentation in periods of high flow,and streambed sedimentation controlled by channel sinuosity and tailings density.These reductions were accompanied by drops in the concentrations of iron and manganese present in the clay and silt fractions,which varied between 6％and 42％under low flows and between 16％and 44％under high flows.Bank sedimentation was viewed as a potential threat to the riparian vegetation in the long-term.Dredging is the potentially most effective mitigation measure to help lead the Paraopeba River to a pre-rupture condition.The retention of sediment+tailings transported in suspension is less effective than the trapping of bedload sediment+tailings behind the Igarapé weir.The efficacy of sediment trapping is expected to be larger for natural sediment because it is much coarser than the tailings.In that context,the simulations revealed for the low-flow period that 33.6％of the sediment deposition comprised suspended transport of natural sediment(thus,was comprised 66.4％of bedload transport),this proportion rose to 86.9％for mixtures of natural sediment+tailings,a result that did not differ much for the high-flow periods. 相似文献
10.
Water resource management involves public investments with long-ranging impacts that traditional prediction approaches cannot address. These are increasingly being critiqued because (1) there is an absence of feedbacks between water and society; (2) the models are created by domain experts who hand them to decision makers to implement; and (3) they fail to account for global forces on local water resources. Socio-hydrological models that explicitly account for feedbacks between water and society at multiple scales and facilitate stakeholder participation can address these concerns. However, they require a fundamental change in how we think about prediction. We suggest that, in the context of long-range predictions, the goal is not scenarios that present a snapshot of the world at some future date, but rather projection of alternative, plausible and co-evolving trajectories of the socio-hydrological system. This will both yield insights into cause–effect relationships and help stakeholders identify safe or desirable operating space. 相似文献
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There are many field techniques used to quantify rates of hyporheic exchange, which can vary in magnitude and direction spatially over distances of only a few metres, both within and between morphological features. We used in‐stream mini‐piezometers and heat transport modelling of stream and streambed temperatures to quantify the rates and directions of water flux across the streambed interface upstream and downstream of three types of in‐stream geomorphic features: a permanent dam, a beaver dam remnant and a stream meander. We derived hyporheic flux estimates at three different depths at six different sites for a month and then paired those flux rates with measurements of gradient to derive hydraulic conductivity (K) of the streambed sediments. Heat transport modelling provided consistent daily flux estimates that were in agreement directionally with hydraulic gradient measurements and also identified vertical heterogeneities in hydraulic conductivity that led to variable hyporheic exchange. Streambed K varied over an order of magnitude (1·9 × 10?6 to 5·7 × 10?5 m/s). Average rates of hyporheic flux ranged from static (q < ±0·02 m/day) to 0·42 m/day. Heat transport modelling results suggest three kinds of flow around the dams and the meander. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
13.
Filipe BEHRENDS KRAEMER Celio Ignaicio CHAGAS Diego Julian COSENTINO Lucas Alejandro GARIBALDI 《国际泥沙研究》2013,28(4):535-543
The sediments produced by water erosion are the main source of pollution of agricultural origin of surface water bodies. These sediments may be associated to bacteria, compromising the quality of nearby water bodies. Therefore, to understand this biological contamination, it is necessary to find out the adsorption capacity and bacterial affmity to aggregate sizes that may result in a differential sedimentation. To this end, in the present work, the distribution, adsorption capacity and affinity to different aggregate sizes of two strains of Escherichia coli in two liquid media of contrasting ionic strength were evaluated in a silty clay soil. The 〈2 μm fraction showed a higher proportion of bacteria than the other aggregate sizes （48%）, whereas among the fractions 〉2 μm, the 20-50μm fraction was the one that showed the highest bacterial adsorption in both liquid media （37.9%）. On the other hand, the highest values of bacterial affinity were found in the 20 to 50 lain fraction （coarse silt） in the low ionic strength media and 20--50 and 〉50 μm in the high ionic strength media. However, the bacterial strains used revealed only some trends in the modification of these variables. This work contributes to the development and implementation of strategies to mitigate pollution, such as control of sediment generation and its subsequent capture in filter strips. 相似文献
14.
The removal of chemicals in solution by overland flow from agricultural land has the potential to be a significant source of chemical loss where chemicals are applied to the soil surface, as in zero tillage and surface‐mulched farming systems. Currently, we lack detailed understanding of the transfer mechanism between the soil solution and overland flow, particularly under field conditions. A model of solute transfer from soil solution to overland flow was developed. The model is based on the hypothesis that a solute is initially distributed uniformly throughout the soil pore space in a thin layer at the soil surface. A fundamental assumption of the model is that at the time runoff commences, any solute at the soil surface that could be transported into the soil with the infiltrating water will already have been convected away from the area of potential exchange. Solute remaining at the soil surface is therefore not subject to further infiltration and may be approximated as a layer of tracer on a plane impermeable surface. The model fitted experimental data very well in all but one trial. The model in its present form focuses on the exchange of solute between the soil solution and surface water after the commencement of runoff. Future model development requires the relationship between the mass transfer parameters of the model and the time to runoff to be defined. This would enable the model to be used for extrapolation beyond the specific experimental results of this study. The close agreement between experimental results and model simulations shows that the simple transfer equation proposed in this study has promise for estimating solute loss to surface runoff. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
15.
太原市地震局于2006年建成了山西省第一个基于GPRS数字地下水动态监测网。文章介绍了该监测网的建设目的、台网概况、设备情况、软件功能及监测能力等。该网的建成、运行可为其他地市建设同类监测网提供一定的参考。 相似文献
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This paper presents a full 2-D X/Z numerical model for sediment transport in open channels and estuaries using a two-phase (fluid–solid particle) approach. The physical concept and the mathematical background of the model are given and test-cases have been carried out to validate the proposed model. In order to illustrate its feasibility for a real estuary, the model has been applied to simulate the suspended-sediment transport and the formation of turbidity maximum in the Seine estuary. The numerical results show that the main characteristics of estuarine hydro-sediment dynamics in the Seine estuary are in fact reproduced by the proposed model. A qualitative agreement between the numerical results and the actual observations has been obtained and is presented in this paper. 相似文献
18.
本文归纳了德都中强地震发生前湾_1井水位动态异变的基本特征,指出湾,井水位的四步段映震异常:骤然陡降—缓慢回升—高位跳动—高位稳定发震。并对短、临异常作了对比分析,探讨四步段映震异常对地震短临预报的重要意义。还就区域应力异常场和灵敏性问题进行了讨论。 相似文献
19.
Christel Prudhomme Shaun Harrigan David Boorman Jeff Knight Victoria Bell 《水文科学杂志》2017,62(16):2753-2768
This paper describes the development of the first operational seasonal hydrological forecasting service for the UK, the Hydrological Outlook UK (HOUK). Since June 2013, this service has delivered monthly forecasts of streamflow and groundwater levels, with an emphasis on forecasting hydrological conditions over the next three months, accompanied by outlooks over longer time horizons. This system is based on three complementary approaches combined to produce the outlooks: (i) national-scale modelling of streamflow and groundwater levels based on dynamic seasonal rainfall forecasts, (ii) catchment-scale modelling where streamflow and groundwater level models are driven by historical meteorological forcings (i.e. the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction, ESP, approach), and (iii) a catchment-scale statistical method based on persistence and historical analogues. This paper provides the background to the Hydrological Outlook, describes the various component methods in detail and then considers the impact and usefulness of the product. As an example of a multi-method, operational seasonal hydrological forecasting system, it is hoped that this overview provides useful information and context for other forecasting initiatives around the world. 相似文献
20.
钟羽云 《地震地磁观测与研究》1998,(3)
解释并讨论了湖州和宁波台１９９３年以来的地倾斜资料,总结了震前有异常显示的６次地震。发现：①异常在现场记录资料中均有显示,异常形态的识别对预报地震有重要的意义;②能观测到异常全过程的倾斜仪与震中的距离基本符合式ｌｇＤｊ＝０．３０３（ＭＳ＋１．６）给出的监测能力半径,大于这个半径的台有时也能观测到异常,但多为短临异常。如果震前记录到异常的全过程,则利用单台资料可能对地震三要素进行预测。 相似文献