慢地震与深部不连续颤动和慢滑事件同时发生

我们对日本西南部南海俯冲板块界面过渡带发生的超低频地震进行报道。由矩震级为3.1～3.5的超低频地震引起的地震波显示其卓越长周期约为20s。超低频地震活动伴随深源低频颤动和慢滑事件同时发生,并随之移动。慢地震一直被认为会增加向上倾斜的大型逆冲地震断裂带上的应力,而这3种现象的同时发生提高了人们对慢地震的探测和特性鉴定水平。     

“指纹”识别慢地震

一个板块在另一个板块的下方滑动（或俯冲）,两个板块交界的汇合处会发生最强烈的地震。目前,卡内基研究所大陆地磁部的德茹·亚历克·宋领导的研究小组发现了俯冲板块顶部异常层地带的缓慢地震和非火山地震。这类地带也被称为慢地震区。慢地震,又被称为寂静地震,需要几天、几周、甚至几个月来释放聚集的能量而不同于几秒或几分钟内释放出强大能量的正常地震。这些研究结果发表在2009年4月24日的《Science》杂志。     

Research Development and Perspective on Slow Slip, Tremors, and Slow Earthquakes

Seismological and geodetic observations indicate that slow slip sometimes occurs in active fault zones beneath the seismogenic depth, and large slow slip can result in transient ground motion. Slow earthquakes, on the other hand, emit tremor-like signals within a narrow frequency band, and usually produce no catastrophic consequences. In general, slow slip and slow earthquakes probably correspond to deformation processes associated with releasing elastic energy in fault zones, and understanding their mechanisms may help improve our understanding of fault zone dynamic processes. This article reviews the research progress on slow slip and slow earthquakes over the last decade. Crustal motion and tremor activities associated with slow slip and slow earthquakes have been investigated extensively, mainly involving locating sources of slow slip and slow earthquakes and numerical modeling of their processes. In the meantime, debates have continued about slow slip and slow earthquakes, such as their origins, relationship, and mechanisms.     

慢滑移及相关脉动和慢地震研究的历史和现状

观测表明,慢滑移事件通常发生在活动断裂带内,为发震层之下的短暂滑移,能够造成地表的瞬态运动。与慢滑移密切相关的慢地震能够发射出频率在一定范围内的脉动信号,但不造成灾害性事件。慢滑移和慢地震很可能是断裂带上形变能释放的基本方式,其观测有可能为人们更深入地了解断裂带的动力学过程提供基础和依据。本文重点介绍近10年来关于慢地震和慢滑移事件的研究历史和现状。目前对慢滑移引发的地表形变和慢地震发射的脉动信号特征有了深入细致的研究,开展了对慢滑移的数值模拟和慢地震定位的研究;但对慢地震和慢滑移发生的位置、两者的关系以及物理机制等方面还存在很多争论和问题。     

CO2气体在地震孕育与发生过程中的作用及其机理研究

通过甘东南地震危险区地震宏观异常观测实例分析,系统研究CO_2气体在地震构造活动过程中的地球化学演化过程,以及发生的一系列酸碱平衡和氧化还原化学反应。结果表明地下深部CO_2气体不仅是其他微量气体Rn等向地表方向运移的载体,而且参与酸碱平衡和氧化还原反应,是地下深部生物化学反应的重要影响条件,地震前兆及宏观异常现象的发生常伴随着CO_2的异常变化。因此CO_2气体可以作为良好的示踪气体,在地震前兆观测及重大异常落实中尤其要重视对其进行监测。     

A Multiscale Application of the Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes in the Central Mediterranean Area and Alpine Region

We study the parameters A, B, and C of the Unified Scaling Law for Earthquakes (USLE) in the Central Mediterranean area and Alpine region on the basis of a variable space and time scale approach. We make use of regional and local earthquake catalogues. Accordingly, we investigate three different scales: the scale of the Central Mediterranean and Alpine region spanning different geological domains, the scale of the Alps focusing on a single geological entity, and the scale of an active fault system at the junction between the southeastern Alps and the external Dinarides in Northeastern Italy and Western Slovenia. Maps based on the varied time and location scales are compared with each other. The observed temporal variability of the A, B, C coefficients indicates significant changes of seismic activity at the time scales of a few decades. Therefore, it is highly recommended to use all the data available for long-term seismic hazard assessment in conjunction with a real-time monitoring of these characteristics for possible evaluation of time-dependent risk at the intermediate-term scales of a few years. The confirmed fractal nature of earthquakes and their distribution in space implies that the traditional estimations of seismic hazard for cities and urban agglomerations are usually underestimated. The degree of underestimation by traditional methods of seismic risk at a city is illustrated by providing estimates of hazard and related personal hazard, which are oversimplified examples of seismic risk assessment accounting for fractal properties of earthquakes in the major cities of the Central Mediterranean and Alpine region.     

地震与水压力耦合作用下岩质边坡倾覆解析方法

以往对平面破坏模式的岩质边坡稳定性评价,主要关注潜在滑坡体在自重、坡体内静水压力和地震荷载耦合作用下沿破坏面的抗滑稳定性,并未涉及各类外荷载作用线不通过潜在滑体重心而引起的绕坡趾倾覆稳定性。针对这一问题,提出地震与张裂缝水压耦合作用下的岩质边坡倾覆稳定性解析方法,基于力矩平衡原理推导出岩质边坡抗倾覆稳定性系数的一般表达式;通过深入的变动参数比较研究,探讨张裂缝水压和地震荷载对抗倾覆安全系数的影响,认为水压是控制岩质边坡倾覆破坏的决定性因素,而地震荷载处于次要因素,其在一定程度上增加或减小抗倾覆稳定性。在此基础上建立不同参数组合下的岩质边坡抗倾覆稳定图,为工程技术人员快速评估饱水岩质边坡地震倾覆稳定性提供直接依据。     

Perturbation Features Imprinted on Ionosphere by Successive Clusters of Strong Earthquakes: Role of Atmospheric Coupling Dynamics

Geomagnetism and Aeronomy - The paper presents atmospheric coupling physics through identifying a few significant features imprinted on the ionosphere by certain unique seismic environments when a...     

On the Large Scale Spatial Heterogeneity of Great Shallow Earthquakes and Plate Coupling Mechanism in Chinese Mainland and Its Adjacent Areas

Research on the large scale spatial heterogeneity of great intraplate shallow earthquakes on the Chinese mainland and adjacent areas discussed in this paper shows that(1)there are four main high seismicity areas:the North China seismic area in the eastern part of China(30°-42°N),the Southeastern Coast seismic area in the eastern part of China(19°-25°N),the North-South seismic area in the western part of China and its adjacent areas(Burma-China-Mongolia),and the Central Asian seismic area in the western part of China and its adjacent areas(Pamir-Tianshan Mountains-Baikal);(2)the four intraplate seismic areas that are approximately perpendicular to those sections of the Eurasia plate boundary that surrounds the Chinese mainland and its adjacent areas,where the Eurasia plate has a strong seismic coupling with the North America-Pacific Ocean-Philippine Sea plate and the India plate; and(3)the large scale spatial heterogeneity of intraplate seismicity in China and its adjacent areas that might be control     

中国大陆及邻区大尺度浅源强震空间分布的不均匀性和板块耦合的力学机制

对近代中国大陆及其邻区板内浅源强震空间分布的大尺度不均匀性进行研究，得出：（１）该区存在４个主要的高地震活动区，即华北地震区（３０°～４２°Ｎ）、东南沿海地震区（１９°～２５°Ｎ）、南北地震区（缅甸—中国—蒙古）和中亚地震区（帕米尔—天山—贝加尔湖）；（２）这４个地震区与该区周围板块（欧亚板块与北美—太平洋—菲律宾海—印度板块）之间边界上地震耦合强度大的段落大致垂直；（３）作用于板块边界不同段落上的应力水平差异，可能是中国大陆及其邻区板内近代大尺度强震活动空间分布不均匀性的控制因素     

河北邢台地震区外的小震丛集活动

1966年3月8日和22日河北省南部邢台地区发生TM6．8和M7．2大地震，之后，与其相邻的一些地区及由邢台地震引起的各烈度异常区也相继发生了小震活动。追述了邢台地震区附近的一些小震丛集活动序列，并对其活动特征进行了总结。     

中国大陆大震及其响应地震活动

Ms≥7地震发生后,除了一些中强震、强震在余震区发生外,还有一些Ms≥5的地震,数月内会在几百甚至数千千米的区域内相继发生.这些地震相继发生的"连锁反应"现象已引起地震预测研究领域的关注,并称其为"响应地震".     

云南地区强震前中小地震活跃—平静的定量计算

以累计频度定量计算方法 ,讨论了云南地区 1970年以来 ,各个强震孕震区的地震活动非线性度ZL值的时间进程曲线 ,系统计算了Ms≥ 6 3级强震前的ZL值曲线 ,结果表明 :强震前地震活动非线性度ZL值异常表现出的地震孕震区的地震平静—活跃或活跃—平静过程至少出现一次 ,且震例中的 83 %开始出现平静(活跃 )的时间为强震前 1～ 2 12 年 ,强震前半年左右结束出现活跃 (平静 )。     

浙江地区水库地震与构造地震应力参数特征研究

利用浙江区域数字地震台网记录到的地震波数据,采用布龙模式下近震源记录计算震源谱参数的方法,系统测定了发生在温州珊溪水库、宁波皎口水库库区以及浙江地区构造地震共326次地震的应力降、视应力等参数。给出了两个水库区地震与构造地震的应力降与视应力参数特征,并进行了对比分析。初步研究发现,皎口地震的应力降和视应力值均低于浙江地区构造地震;珊溪水库地震与构造地震在应力降和视应力值上具有震级分段的特征:震级ML<4.0级的地震,同震级的应力降和视应力值两者相差不大,而震级ML>4.0级的地震,构造地震的应力降和视应力值均高于珊溪水库地震。此外,测定的应力降、视应力的对数与震级ML之间存在较好的线性关系。     

紫坪铺水库诱发地震与构造地震波谱时频特征差异性研究

利用紫坪铺水库2004～2007年记录的实际地震数据,通过比较多种滤波方法,发展出一种既能有效滤除地震数据中本底噪音、又对有效信号损伤较小的比值滤波方法。对去噪后的水库诱发地震和构造地震数据,利用小波变换方法,分别进行时频分析获得两类地震的时频谱,并提取可以反映地震发生前后能量分布和聚集情况的时频属性,最后根据各个属性的响应效果,组合得到新的属性。将时频谱与时频属性相结合,总结归纳紫坪铺水库诱发地震与构造地震波谱时频特征的差异性,为地震监测分析提供基础依据。     

卫星观测数据与地震关系的统计分析

电磁波增长、等离子体密度、粒子通量的扰动与地震的关系已经被前人研究了二十年了。尽管不断有人提出新的震例分析试图说明它们之间存在关联,但是只有通过对大量数据进行详尽的统计分析才能得到令人信服的结论,才有可能将卫星数据用于地震预报。本文前一部分回顾了这些年比较有代表性的关于空间卫星观测电磁波与地震关系的统计分析文献,后一部分回顾了地震上空等离子体密度、粒子通量扰动与地震关系的文献。     

东北地区中强震前的小震频度特征分析

1970年以来东北地区共发生13次5.0级以上地震,其中8次地震在时间和空间上相对独立。通过系统研究东北及其邻区这8次中强地震前的小震,发现这些中强地震前存在比较明显的小震增强现象。结合东北地区小震活动的特点,提出根据小震活动空间格局是否改变统计小震频度的方法,并进行了初步的应用。结果表明:利用新方法统计小震的频度更能突出中强地震前的小震频度异常,能够有效的提取东北地区中强地震前的中短期异常指标。     

潮汐应力与大震关系研究

选用1976—2009年全球震源深度小于70 km, M_W≥7.0的地震为研究对象, 利用震源机制解资料, 对每个地震的发震断层面进行了判断, 得到233个地震的发震断层面解。 据此, 本文讨论了发震时断层面上的地球固体潮汐剪应力方向与滑动方向的关系以及潮汐正应力在发震时所处的相位, 发震时断层面的库仑应力值。 结果表明, 当潮汐剪应力方向与滑动方向一致时触发作用最为明显, 逆断层地震与潮汐的关系最为密切; 而当潮汐剪应力方向与滑动方向相反时, 地震较少发生。     

Earthquakes: Recurrence and Interoccurrence Times

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the statistical distributions of recurrence times of earthquakes. Recurrence times are the time intervals between successive earthquakes at a specified location on a specified fault. Although a number of statistical distributions have been proposed for recurrence times, we argue in favor of the Weibull distribution. The Weibull distribution is the only distribution that has a scale-invariant hazard function. We consider three sets of characteristic earthquakes on the San Andreas fault: (1) The Parkfield earthquakes, (2) the sequence of earthquakes identified by paleoseismic studies at the Wrightwood site, and (3) an example of a sequence of micro-repeating earthquakes at a site near San Juan Bautista. In each case we make a comparison with the applicable Weibull distribution. The number of earthquakes in each of these sequences is too small to make definitive conclusions. To overcome this difficulty we consider a sequence of earthquakes obtained from a one million year “Virtual California” simulation of San Andreas earthquakes. Very good agreement with a Weibull distribution is found. We also obtain recurrence statistics for two other model studies. The first is a modified forest-fire model and the second is a slider-block model. In both cases good agreements with Weibull distributions are obtained. Our conclusion is that the Weibull distribution is the preferred distribution for estimating the risk of future earthquakes on the San Andreas fault and elsewhere.     

东日本大地震启示

一组高质量的数据记录了2011年3月东日本大地震的震前、地震发生时以及震后的地表形变。但目前还没有适当的模型可以利用类似数据来对地震和海啸危险性进行评估。随着基于空间的测量板块构造边界和大型断层表面形变技术的发展,地震科学已经跨入一个全新的时代。日本在实施这些技术方面一直走在前列,特别是随着大约15年