由震中迁移交汇预测大震的讨论

地壳内部的情况是复杂的,特别是当今地下的情况,而震中迁移交汇的现象可暗示构造运动加力速度快的地区,因此与大震位置的预测有关。     

1668年山东郯城81/2级地震综述

1668年7月25日晚（康熙七二年六月十七日戌时）在山东南部发生了一次旷古未有的特大地震,震级为8％,极震区位于山东省郯城。郯城大震是震害史料记载最为丰富的历史大震之一,随着我国对特大地震研究的不断深入,在资料丰富、史料记载最全,研究程度较高的基础上,有条件作为典型震例且进行深入研究。本文依据大量的史料记载对具有重大影响力的历史强震作一简要综述,供广大科研工作者参考。     

1920年海原8.5级地震发生日期的异年倍九律现象

异年倍九法是我们提出的一个临震预报的方法,带有明确有计数到天的指征特点,本文用此方法回溯讨论了讨论1920年海原8.5级大震的发震日期。以作为今后在甘宁地区在冬季从短临时间尺度预测大震日期的参考。     

Double Difference Location of the Mainshock and Aftershocks of the Hutubi MS6.2 Earthquake That Occurred on December 8, 2016

The mainshock and aftershocks of the Hutubi M_S6.2 earthquake on December 8, 2016 were relocated by applying the double difference method, and we relocated 477 earthquakes in the Hutubi region.The earthquake relocation results show that the aftershocks are distributed in the east-west direction towards the north side of the southern margin of the Junggar Basin fault, and are mainly distributed in the western region of the mainshock. The distance between the mainshock after relocation and the southern margin of the Junggar Basin fault is obviously shortened. Combined with the focal mechanism and the spatial distribution of the mainshock and aftershocks, it is inferred that the southern margin of the Junggar Basin fault is the main seismogenic structure of the Hutubi earthquake.     

Moment tensor inversion and source rupture process of the September 27, 2003 M S=7.9 earthquake occurred in the border area of China, Russia and Mongolia

We conducted moment tensor inversion and studied source rupture process for M _S=7.9 earthquake occurred in the border area of China, Russia and Mongolia on September 27 2003, by using digital teleseismic P-wave seismograms recorded by long-period seismograph stations of the global seismic network. Considering the aftershock distribution and the tectonic settings around the epicentral area, we propose that the M _S=7.9 earthquake occurred on a fault plane with the strike of 127°, the dip of 79° and the rake of 171°. The rupture process inversion result of M _S=7.9 earthquake shows that the total rupture duration is about 37 s, the scalar moment tensor is M ₀=0.97×10²⁰ N·m. Rupture mainly occurred on the shallow area with 110 km long and 30 km wide, the location in which the rupture initiated is not where the main rupture took place, and the area with slip greater than 0.5 m basically lies within 35 km deep middle-crust under the earth surface. The maximum static slip is 3.6 m. There are two distinct areas with slip larger than 2.0 m. We noticed that when the rupture propagated towards northwest and closed to the area around the M _S=7.3 hypocenter, the slip decreased rapidly, which may indicate that the rupture process was stopped by barriers. The consistence of spatial distribution of slip on the fault plane with the distribution of aftershocks also supports that the rupture is a heterogeneous process owing to the presence of barriers.