Seismic reversal pattern for the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, MW 7.6 earthquake

We in this study have calculated the standard normal deviate Z-value to investigate the variations in seismicity patterns in the Taiwan region before and after the Chi-Chi earthquake. We have found that the areas with relatively high seismicity in the eastern Taiwan became abnormally quiet before the Chi-Chi earthquake while the area in the central Taiwan with relatively low seismicity showed unusually active. Such a spatially changing pattern in seismicity strikingly demonstrates the phenomenon of “seismic reversal,” and we here thus present a complete, representative cycle of “seismic reversal” embedding in the changes of seismicity patterns before and after the Chi-Chi earthquake.     

Analysis of the Chiufengershan landslide triggered by the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake in Taiwan

A disastrous earthquake rocked Taiwan on September 21, 1999, with magnitude M_L=7.3 and an epicenter near the small town of Chi-Chi in central Taiwan. The Chi-Chi earthquake triggered landslide on the dip slope at the Chiufengershan. In this study, a review of the topography and geology of this area was followed by field investigations. Laboratory testing was applied to understand the geomaterial composing the slope. Then, based on a series of limit equilibrium analyses, the failure mechanism of this landslide and the risk of the residual slope were studied.

According to the stability analyses, the pre-quake slope is quite stable, with factor of safety of 1.77 (dry) to 1.35 (full groundwater level); explaining why there is no written record of a landslide here for the past 100 years. In contrast, a back analysis shows that the Chi-Chi earthquake-induced dynamic loading is far more than the dip slope can sustain, due in part to the short distance to the epicenter. A Monte Carlo type probability analysis suggests that the residual slope is more dangerous than the pre-quake slope and needs more attention.     

一种黄土高边坡设计的新方法

根据黄土高边坡破坏面的实际特征,假定最危险滑动面为抛物线型,对高边坡进行可靠度分析,应用数学原理,建立了黄土高边坡的设计模型,并对铜黄一级公路黄土高边坡进行分析验证,结果表明,该方法计算的结果与实际较接近。该方法物理意义明确,易操作,可供设计人员参考。     

冻融风化边坡岩体质量评价体系研究

乌鲁木齐-尉犁高速公路是连接天山南北的重要通道,翻越天山公路沿线将产生大量的工程边坡,如何快速、准确地评价高寒地区现有边坡的稳定性,以及后续建设过程中对边坡稳定性的影响,直接关系到线位选择、工程量及投资估算量。基于岩体基本质量,选取边坡岩体结构面与边坡临空面组合因素、水文条件作为主要影响因素对现有边坡岩体质量进行修正,构建了现状的边坡岩体质量评价体系（TBQ）。在此基础上,考虑了大温差及水文条件造成的冻融风化作用、地震影响以及开挖方式等因素,构建了边坡岩体稳定性的预测评价体系（TFBQ）,对于完善高寒地区边坡质量评价体系具有重要的研究意义。通过运用该体系对项目区边坡进行了稳定性评价及预测适用性分析,取得了较好效果。     

Impacts of September 21, 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake on the characteristics of gully-type debris flows in central Taiwan

Debris flows are more frequent in central Taiwan, because of its mountainous geography. For example, many debris flows were induced by Typhoon Herb in 1996. The Chi-Chi earthquake with a magnitude of 7.3, which took place in 1999 in central Taiwan, induced many landslides in this region. Some landslides turned into debris flows when Typhoon Toraji struck Taiwan in 2001. This study investigates the characteristics of the gullies where debris flows have occurred for a comparison. Aerial photos of these regions dated in 1997 (before the earthquake) and 2001 (after the earthquake) are used to identify the occurrence of gully-type debris flows. A Geographic Information System (GIS) is applied to acquire hydrological and geomorphic characteristics: stream gradient, stream length, catchment gradient, catchment area, form factor, and geology unit of these gullies. These characteristics in different study regions are presented in a statistical approach. The study of how strong ground motion affects the debris flows occurrence is conducted. The characteristics of the debris flow gullies triggered by typhoons before and after the Chi-Chi earthquake are quantitatively compared. The analysis results show that a significant transformation in the characteristics was induced by the Chi-Chi earthquake. In general, the transformation points out a lower hydrological and geomorphic threshold to trigger debris flows after the Chi-Chi earthquake. The susceptibility of rock units to strong ground motion is also examined. The analysis of debris flow density and accumulated rainfall in regions of different ground motion also reveal that the rainfall threshold decreases after the Chi-Chi earthquake.     

The Influences of Destruction Effects of Earthquake Faults on the Dynamic Stability of Highway Slopes

In highway projects, the common destruction effects of earthquake faults include the sand seismic liquefaction, the instability and failure of slopes. Thereinto, the dynamic instability of slopes induced by earthquake faults is most commonly seen. In order to research the influences of the destruction effects of earthquake faults on the dynamic stability of highway slopes, the distribution of previous earthquakes happening in the research area is qualitatively analyzed to establish the earthquake fault model and explore the kinematic characteristics. On this basis, representative slopes–cutting slopes in seismic damage areas are selected to calculate their earthquake response using the ABAQUS finite element program. The displacement field and acceleration output from the program are used to analyze the variation in the displacement of slope top and calculate the distribution coefficient of acceleration. Then, the stress fields output by the dynamic finite element analysis (FEA) are substituted in the genetic algorithm programmed by MATLAB to obtain the time history curves of safety factor of slopes and intelligently search the critical slip surfaces. By doing so, the changing rule of safety factor with seismic acceleration is obtained, together with the range of the safety factor of the envelope diagram of critical slip surfaces.     

山区公路路基边坡地质灾害远程监测预报系统开发及应用

针对山区公路路基边坡点状分布、数量较多、规模相对较小且易受人类活动和环境变化影响的特点,确立了以位移和降雨量为主的监测原则,基于GPRS技术,集成触发式位移计、容栅式雨量计、数据采集传输模块和太阳能供电装置,形成了经济、节能、高效的单体边坡远程监测硬件系统。采用Visual C++网络编程技术,以SQL Server2005为数据库平台,开发了地质灾害远程监测预报软件系统,实现了数据的远程实时接收和可视化分析管理。由于公路边坡变形破坏模式多样,系统还集成了多种时间预测模型,建立了边坡变形预报模型库。通过在常吉高速公路的安装运行,系统成功地进行远程实时监控,保障了极端天气下公路的安全运营。     

川藏公路藏东段边坡稳定性研究与治理评价

川藏公路是一带一路南亚通道的主要干线,其藏东段地质灾害频发,如何有效治理、保障安全畅通意义重大。文章在详细调查的基础上,对取得的藏东段沿线所有边坡数据进行统计及特征分析,利用随机森林理论建立了边坡稳定性评判模型,根据计算出的影响因素重要性大小对边坡的稳定性进行判别,模型检验表明其准确率超过94.44%,同时结合实地验证,对边坡的治理提出了可行性建议,为川藏公路藏东段的有效治理提供实用参考资料。      

基于边坡单元的公路沿线滑坡危险度概率分析

公路沿线发生的滑坡、泥石流等自然灾害是造成交通停滞的主要原因。对公路沿线边坡进行稳定性评价及滑坡灾害分析对于公路管理和灾害防治具有重要意义。为了能对大范围边坡应用三维力学模型进行稳定性评价,研究中将较大研究区域划分为多个边坡单元（slope unit）,并介绍了边坡单元划分方法。对每个边坡单元,采用随机生成许多假想滑动面并通过一个基于GIS的边坡稳定性三维分析模型计算其安全系数的方法,找出具有最小安全系数的危险滑动面,同时求出在试算过程中安全系数小于某临界值（通常设为1.0）的结果出现的比率,作为该边坡单元的滑坡发生概率,以此作为指标对研究区域进行危险度评价。通过对日本49号国道沿线边坡中的应用对该方法的实用性进行了验证。     

映秀—卧龙公路沿线汶川地震地质灾害研究

映秀—卧龙公路是汶川地震灾区距震中最近、震害最为严重的一条公路,本文对沿线地震地质灾害进行了详细的调查研究。依据震害特征,将沿线震害划分为斜坡中上部强风化岩体及土层失稳、结构面切割岩体崩滑失稳、滑坡、泥石流等4类,并分析了沿线震害发育规律。调查表明:龙门山后山断裂两侧地震地质灾害呈现显著的差异性,主要是由深大断裂的消震隔震效应,地貌放大效应,地质结构等三方面因素决定的。通过134条实测剖面分析,研究了地震失稳斜坡坡度和失稳部位。地震诱发失稳斜坡坡度在33°~84°之间,主要分布在41°~65°之间,可以认为地震诱发斜坡失稳灾害主要发生在40°以上的斜坡。斜坡失稳部位主要分布在斜坡中上部以及地貌突出部位,主要失稳部位在0.4坡高以上。从研究斜坡动力失稳的角度,将沿线斜坡划分为基岩-土层及强风化层斜坡地质结构、不利外倾结构面基岩斜坡地质结构、块状构造基岩斜坡地质结构、块碎石土层斜坡地质结构等几种地质结构模型,分析论述了各种地质结构相应的地震地质灾害类型及特点。     

公路边坡岩体分级中坡高修正系数的改进

坡高与边坡稳定性有密切关系。CSMR分级体系在SMR的基础之上针对水电边坡工程引入了坡高修正系数 ,但在公路边坡分级实践中发现 ,该坡高修正系数仍有待于改进。对各类边坡可能失稳形式的力学分析 ,证明坡高修正系数 可近似表示为 =a+b/H 的形式。通过对 1 0 0余个边坡样本统计分析 ,得出两种不同岩层、坡面产状组合形式下坡高修正系数的数学表达式。经检验 ,改进后的CSMR体系能够满足公路边坡稳定性初步评价的要求。     

通江县沙窝寺滑坡变形破坏分析及防治设计

随着我国山区公路建设的加快,许多公路的修建无法避免会引起边坡灾害,本文以通江县两河口乡沙窝寺滑坡工程为例,通过分析边坡变形历史、滑坡体边界特征及坡体稳定性,得出滑坡体处于缓慢蠕变阶段,属于中型土质滑坡,在遭遇20年一遇强降雨情况下,坡体处于不稳定状态,有可能再次发生滑动。根据滑坡体分布范围、危险区范围、滑坡性质,提出采用桩板墙与后缘裂缝填埋并设置排水沟的治理措施,可以很好地抑制边坡变形,为此类滑坡的治理提供参考,为公路边坡的治理提供示范作用。     

A back-propagation network for the assessment of susceptibility to rock slope failure in the eastern portion of the Southern Cross-Island Highway in Taiwan

An assessment of the susceptibility to rock slope failure by means of a back-propagation network is proposed for the eastern portion of the Southern Cross-Island Highway in Taiwan. The model was developed on the basis of six influence parameters of rock slope instability, which include the rock type, slope aspect, slope angle, joint set number, joint spacing and bedding–slope relationship. The values of these influence parameters were used as inputs for the network and were classified as nominal scales in terms of binary numbers, while the state of failure/non-failure of a given slope was assumed to be the output variable. Data on a total of 170 slopes along the highway was fed into the network for learning. According to the outputs of the network, the susceptibility to rock slope failure is categorized into four levels, namely low, medium–low, medium and high, which are mapped along the highway. Three highly susceptible regions are found, which can be viewed as hazardous sections requiring cautionary measures. Moreover, the proposed model can be used as a tool for determining the possible state of an unfamiliar rock slope in the context of devising management strategies to be applied to the investigated portion of the highway.     

Analysis of rainfall-induced infinite slope failure during typhoon using a hydrological–geotechnical model

Rainwater infiltration during typhoons tends to trigger slope instability. This paper presents the results of a study on slope response to rainwater infiltration during heavy rainfall in a mountain area of Taiwan. The Green-Ampt infiltration model is adopted here to study the behavior of rainwater infiltration on slopes. The failure mechanism of infinite slope is chosen to represent the rainfall-induced shallow slope failure. By combining rain infiltration model and infinite slope analysis, the proposed model can estimate the occurrence time of a slope failure. In general, if a slope failure is to happen on a slope covered with low permeability soil, failure tends to happen after the occurrence of the maximum rainfall intensity. In contrast, slope failure tends to occur prior to the occurrence of maximum rainfall intensity if a slope is covered with high-permeability soil. To predict the potential and timing of a landslide, a method is proposed here based on the normalized rainfall intensity (NRI) and normalized accumulated rainfall (NAR). If the actual NAR is higher than the NAR calculated by the proposed method, slope failure is very likely to happen. Otherwise, the slope is unlikely to fail. The applicability of the proposed model to occurrence time and the NAR–NRI relationship is evaluated using landslide cases obtained from the literature. The results of the proposed method are close to that of the selected cases. It verifies the applicability of the proposed method to slopes in different areas of the world. An erratum to this article can be found at     

黄土地区公路边坡降雨灾害预测预警方法研究

在野外现场调查和理论分析的基础上,考虑降雨量的损失和降雨作用的滞后性,提出了有效降雨量的计算方法;通过有效降雨量的统计分析,确定了砂黄土地区以及典型黄土地区公路边坡可能发生失稳破坏的有效降雨量分级值即雨量线值,并用雨量线方法进行公路边坡失稳预测。通过工程实例验证,表明雨量线法具有较好的实用性。     

震裂边坡稳定性极限分析

地震导致山体大范围开裂松动,使岩体裂缝（隙）张开、扩展进而形成危险的震裂边坡。裂缝是控制震裂边坡变形破坏的切割边界和滑移边界,为此,考虑裂缝扩展、裂缝充水和地震影响,采用极限分析上限法对汶川地震震中附近的一实地震裂边坡的稳定性变化进行分析。计算结果揭示了随裂缝扩展延伸,在雨水、地震作用影响下震裂边坡稳定性变化规律,为类似边坡的分析评价与工程治理提供了理论依据。     

近水平红层开挖边坡变形破坏特征

通过对四川盆地近水平红层公路建设中路堑边坡开挖病害的调查分析,归纳出近水平红层边坡开挖引起的主要变形破坏型式是堆积层滑坡、顺层座滑型滑坡、边坡拉裂变形、边坡岩体倾倒破坏,总结了近水平红层边坡的主要工程地质特征,提出边坡变形破坏的过程一般经历开挖卸荷变形、陡倾节理发展扩大、变形破坏形成三个阶段,并结合工程实例分析了其形成机理。     

土质边坡震裂机制物理模拟研究

为了研究地震中土质边坡(包括覆盖层边坡)在强震作用下破裂的成因机制,以"5·12"汶川特大地震为背景资料,采用震动台模拟试验进行了研究.模拟试验结果表明:斜坡震裂变形破坏与斜坡外形结构特征具有相关性.坡面转折点应力最易集中,破坏的可能性较大.震动条件下土质边坡完全破坏也具有一般性的规律,即以"一垮到底"的方式堆积于坡脚...     

基于实时更新数值模型的高陡边坡动态仿真分析方法及应用

在水电工程中,河谷两遍的工程边坡具有尺度大、高而陡的特点。同时这些边坡服务年限长,稳定性要求高。对于耦合考虑施工进度和工程安全的动态分析还较少涉及。由于地质参数、边坡结构和开挖支护的实时变化,对边坡工程安全的实时评价已成为制约水利水电工程建设安全的关键技术问题。考虑边坡施工过程中开挖进度的调整、新地质信息的揭露、支护方案的修改及计算参数的修正等信息实时变化的客观实际,重点针对目前较少涉及的施工期高边坡工程安全的实时分析和控制问题,提出了基于数值模拟技术的边坡实时安全仿真方法;基于数据库技术和ABAQUS二次开发技术实现施工进度信息、地质信息及支护信息到数值计算模型的动态映射,开发了边坡安全实时分析系统,最终实现了与施工进程相适应的边坡安全状态实时仿真分析和预测。     

碎裂岩石路堑边坡稳定性评价与安全防护设计

以湖北省209省道宣恩段东门关隧道进口段的典型碎裂结构路堑岩质边坡为例,针对该边坡工程地质、水文地质、岩体结构特征以及前期变形破坏迹象,判断出边坡的变形破坏模式。在此基础上,通过现行规范推荐的不平衡推力法,对边坡的稳定性进行评价,并进行了安全防护设计。在设计过程中,针对常规技术容易出现的冒顶剪出、桩间土挤出和锚索预应力损失衰减等问题,提出避开使用此类技术,而采用削坡、锚杆、格构以及挡墙等措施,试图为解决碎裂结构岩石路堑边坡的分析与防护难题提出一种新的思路。