Soil-gas radon anomalies in three study areas of Central-Northern Calabria (Southern Italy)

One of the most critical issues in the management of post-earthquake emergency is the prompt identification of the most damaged urban areas. Rapid detection of damage distribution is crucial for Civil Protection during the management of the first emergency phase, in order to both address assistance teams and identify priorities in planning the usability inspections, thus permitting people to go back, as safe as possible, to their houses. Generally, the estimation of building usability is performed by means of a building-by-building survey based on a form to be filled out by expert technicians (Masi et al. 2016). Different countries adopt different forms whose result in terms of usability is dependent essentially on building damage and, in some cases, vulnerability conditions of buildings. When the affected area is large, usability inspections can require a lot of time and a huge number of expert technicians. Therefore, great efforts have been made during past earthquakes in order to define rapid procedures to identify areas not severely damaged and then potentially with a low percentage of unusable buildings. In this framework, many experiences have been carried out worldwide in order to identify, in the immediate aftermath of an earthquake, the damage distribution through remote sensing approaches, possibly combined to field survey data (e.g., Saito and Spence 2004; Yamazaki et al. 2004; Chesnel et al. 2007; Zhai et al. 2016; An et al. 2016; Huang et al. 2016).

     

Soil-gas radon anomalies in three study areas of Central-Northern Calabria (Southern Italy)

Soil-gas radon concentrations and exhalation rates have generally been observed to be anomalously high along active faults in many parts of the world. The soil-gas method is based on the principle that faults and fractures in rocks are highly permeable pathways along which gases can migrate upward from deep crust and mantle to soil cover, retaining their source signatures. The present study summarizes the influence of fault zones on anomalous radon concentrations in soil by integrated geophysical and geo-structural analyses in three study areas of Central-Northern Calabria (Southern Italy). Soil-gas radon surveys have been carried out by means of an alpha scintillation counting system, at 12,509 locations between 2002 and 2004. A geostatistical approach has been used to estimate the spatial distribution of soil radon concentrations. Relations among soil-gas distribution and geo-structural features have been evaluated by ordinary multi-Gaussian kriging. Highest soil radon concentrations (ca. 90 kBq m^?3) have been measured in the Rossanese sector. In the three study areas, no appreciable differences can be noticed among lithotypes, with the highest concentration values (ca. 89 kBq m^?3) measured in alluvial deposit and in clay. Measurements of soil-gas radon reveal anomalies clearly connected to the tectonic structures. Increased signals are linearly distributed along regional WNW–ESE trending shear zones, with main pathways of concentration also recognizable along the E–W fault system in the Rossanese sector, the N–S fault system in the Crati Graben and the Catanzaro Trough, and the NE–SW fault system in the Catanzaro Trough. The distribution of epicentres of historical earthquakes occurred between 1184 and 2001 confirms the recent activity of the same fault systems. Soil-gas radon concentrations generally increase, as expected, with decreasing distance to the faults.     

Analysis of the Maierato landslide (Calabria,Southern Italy)

On 15 February 2010, a landslide of great dimensions occurred at Maierato (Calabria, Southern Italy) after a long rainy period. Although the zone was continuously affected by ground movements especially during the wet seasons, no monitoring system was installed before the occurrence of the landslide. However, many photos and two videos were taken during the failure process of the slope. In the present study, the available images are used to reconstruct the kinematics of the landslide. In addition, a finite element analysis is performed to define the main factors of triggering and to interpret the failure mechanism of the slope. This analysis is also based on the data from a site investigation carried out after the landslide to characterise the involved soils from a geotechnical viewpoint. The analysis also accounts for the strain-softening behaviour of some soils. The results have shown that the Maierato landslide was the reactivation of a pre-existing landslide body, which was caused by a significant increase in groundwater level.     

Slope movements induced by rainfalls damaging an urban area: the Catanzaro case study (Calabria, southern Italy)

Calabria is one of the Italian regions mostly affected by mass movements. The case study of a densely populated neighborhood (Ianò) located in the central-western sector of Calabria is presented. The several landslides triggered in February 2010 caused heavy damages to the built area, infrastructures and productions of this neighborhood, and increased the risk for the inhabitants. The results obtained through field surveys, photo interpretation, analyses of rainfall data and of the urban fabric evolution, historical survey on the reports of the damages caused by landslides, have enabled to formulate hypotheses on the potential causes that triggered landslide events and produced severe consequences on the area. These results have revealed that almost all landslides of February 2010 are partial reactivations of pre-existing landslide deposits. Moreover, the analyses have indicated a critical role of cumulative rainfalls over an interval of 15 days. However, the severe damage framework is explained through an unplanned urbanization which took place across the years on an area characterized by a high level of instability per se. Some buildings have been erected in proximity of or within pre-existing landslide scarps; in other cases, buildings have been constructed even inside the landslide bodies.     

Weathering characterization for landslides modeling in granitoid rock masses of the Capo Vaticano promontory (Calabria,Italy)

This work focuses on developing multidisciplinary researches concerning weathering profiles related to landscape evolution of the Capo Vaticano promontory on the Calabria Tyrrhenian side (southern Italy). In this area, the tectonic uplift, occurred at least since Pleistocene, together with the Mediterranean climatic conditions, is the main cause of deep weathering and denudation processes. The latter occurred on the outcropping rocks of the crystalline-metamorphic basement, made up of weathered granitoids, in turn belonging to the Monte Poro granitoid complex (intermediate to felsic plutonic rocks covered by Cenozoic sedimentary successions). Field observations coupled to borehole explorations, geophysical surveys, and minero-petrographical analyses allowed the characterization of the granitoid outcrops typical of the studied area in terms of kind and degree of slope instability. This characterization was based on suitable correlations verified between several factors as weathering degree, elastic properties of rocks, and discontinuity features. Weathering profiles are mainly composed by rock masses varying from completely weathered rock with corestones of highly weathered rock (classes IV–V) to slightly weathered rocks (class II). The weathered rocks are involved in several landslide typologies such as debris flow (frequency 48.5%), translational slide (frequency 33.3%), and minor rock fall and rotational slide (frequency 9%). The achieved data allowed the establishment of a general correlation between weathering degree and type of slope instability. Debris flow-type instabilities are predominant on the steeper slopes, involving very poor rock masses ascribed to the shallowest portions of the weathering class IV. Translational slides are less widespread than the previous ones and often involve a mixture of soil and highly weathered rocks. Rotational slides are more frequently close to the top of the slopes, where the thicknesses of more weathered rocks increase, and involve mainly rock masses belonging to the weathering classes IV and V. Rock falls mostly occur on the vertical escarpments of the road cuts and are controlled by the characteristics of the main discontinuities. The assessment of rock mass rating and slope mass rating, based on the application of the discontinuity data, allowed respectively an evaluation of the quality of rock masses and of the susceptibility of rock slopes to failure. The comparison between the last one and the real stability conditions along the cut slopes shows a good correspondence. Finally, the geological strength index system was also applied for the estimation of rock mass properties. The achieved results give a worthy support for a better understanding of the relationship between the distribution of landslides and the geological features related to different weathering degrees. Therefore, they can provide a reliable tool to evaluate the potential stability conditions of the rock slopes in the studied area and a general reference framework for the study of weathering processes in other regions with similar geological features.     

Geometric and kinematic complexities in the Marche-Abruzzi external zones (Central Apennines,Italy)

In the Central Apennines (Italy) three major domains can be recognized: the Umbria and Marche pelagic domains and the Lazio-Abruzzi carbonate platform. Their Mesozoic-Tertiary sequences are separated by major low-angle thrust systems, which superpose the Umbria domain onto both the Marche and Lazio-Abruzzi domains, the Lazio-Abruzzi platform onto the Marche sequence, and all of them onto the Apulia foreland.From Lias to Cretaceous times the Lazio-Abruzzi platform was a fault-controlled uplifted domain separating the Umbria basin to the west from the Marche basin to the east, but closed to the north. The Umbria and Marche basins evolved distinctly with the onset of the terrigenous infilling, beginning with the Serravallian-Tortonian «Marnoso-Arenacea» Formation in the inner Umbria basin and with the Messinian-Early Pliocene Laga Flysch in the outer Marche basin. From Tortonian till Early Pliocene times there was a progressive deformation of the Umbria sequence, with its emplacement onto the Lazio-Abruzzi platform, and the deformation of the Lazio-Abruzzi and Marche zones. In Early-Middle Pliocene times, both the Umbria and Lazio-Abruzzi domains were emplaced onto the previously deformed Marche domain, with passive transport of that portion of Umbria stacked on top of the Lazio-Abruzzi platform. The final stages in Middle-Late Pliocene times caused further motion of the Lazio-Abruzzi platform along the arc-shaped Gran Sasso-Morrone thrust front. Folding and thrusting persisted in the outermost zones till Early Pleistocene times.This reconstruction means that in this area the model of a regularly forward migrating fold-thrust belt is not applicable. It also suggests a large northward displacement of the Lazio-Abruzzi platform, whose differential advancement may be dynamically related to a left-lateral discontinuity to the west and a right-lateral discontinuity to the east. According to our interpretation, the left-lateral discontinuity is not coincident with the «Ancona-Anzio» line of the Italian literature, but rather is buried underneath the Umbria stacked sequences.

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Zusammenfassung Der Zentralappennin (Italien) besteht aus drei Hauptbereichen: die pelagialen Gebiete Umbriens und der Marche sowie die Karbon-Platte Latiums und der Abruzzen. Die Formationsgruppen des Mesozoikum-Tertiär dieser drei Gebiete werden durch große Überschiebungsbahnen getrennt, welche die umbrische Zone auf die Zone der Marche sowie Latiums und der Abruzzen schieben, die Zone Latiums und der Abruzzen ihrerseits auf die Formation der Marche und alle zusammen auf das Vorland Apuliens.Die ursprüngliche paleogeographische Struktur der drei Gebiete läßt darauf schließen, daß die Latium-Abruzzen-Platte vom Lias bis zur Kreidezeit eine aktive, erhobene Zone darstellt, die das Umbrische Becken im Westen vom Becken der Marche im Osten trennt, wobei sich die Platte nach Norden hin schließt, was ein Ineinandergreifen der beiden pelagialen Gebiete mit sich bringt. Beide Becken weisen eine getrennte Evolution auf, mit dem Beginn einer terrigenen Zufuhr, bestehend aus der Marnoso-Arenacea-Formation des Serravall-Tortons im Inneren des Umbrischen Beckens und mit dem Laga Flysch des Messin und Unter-Pliozän im äußeren Umbrischen Becken. Vom Torton bis zum Unteren Pliozän hat eine progressive Deformation der Umbrischen Sequenz stattgefunden, die auf dem Gebiete Latiums und der Abruzzen abgelagert wurde, was wiederum zur Deformation in der Zone Latiums und der Abruzzen sowie der Marche führte. Im unteren Mittel-Pliozän wurden sowohl die Formationen Umbriens als auch die der Zonen von Latium und der Abruzzen auf die schon deformierte Formationsgruppe der Marche aufgeschoben, mit nachfolgend passivem Transport des schon auf der Latium-Abruzzen-Platte aufgelagerten Teils der Umbrischen Formation. Die letzten Ereignisse im mittleren Ober-Pliozän führten zu einem weiteren Vorschub der Latium-Abruzzen-Platte längs der bogenförmigen Verwerfungsfront Gran Sasso-Morrone, sowie zu nachfolgenden Falten und Verwerfungen in den äußersten Gebieten bis zum unteren Pleistozän.Diese Rekonstruktion bedeutet vor allen Dingen, daß in diesem Gebiet das Modell einer regelmäßig voranschreitenden Überschiebungsfront nicht anwendbar ist. Sie deutet ferner auf eine große, nordwärts gerichtete Verschiebung der Latium-Abruzzen-Platte hin, deren differenzierter Vorschub dynamisch in Bezug zu einer links-lateralen Verschiebung nach Westen und einer rechts-lateralen Verschiebung nach Osten zu bringen ist. Gemäß unserer Auslegung stimmt die links-laterale Verschiebung nicht mit der «Ancona-Anzio» Linie der einschlägigen italienischen Fachliteratur überein, sondern ist eher unter den überlagernden Sequenzen Umbriens zu suchen.

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Résumé On peut distinguer trois domaines dans la partie centrale des Apennins (Italie): le domaine pélagique des Marches, celui de l'Ombrie et la plate-forme carbonatée du Latium-Abruzzes. Les séries stratigraphiques mésozoïques-tertiaires de ces trois domaines sont séparées par d'importants systèmes de chevauchement qui ont provoqué la superposition du domaine ombrien sur ceux des Marches et du Latium-Abruzzes, la superposition de la plate-forme du Latium-Abruzzes sur la série des Marches, et enfin la superposition de toute la chaîne sur l'avantpays de l'Apulie.Du Lias au Crétacé, la plate-forme du Latium-Abruzzes constituait un domaine soulevé par des failles actives; ce domaine séparait le bassin de l'Ombrie à l'ouest du bassin des Marches à l'est et était limité au nord, permettant ainsi la communication des deux régions pélagiques. Ces deux bassins ont présenté une évolution distincte débutant par un remplissage terrigène; celui-ci est représenté, dans le bassin ombrien plus interne par la Formation Marnoso-Arénacéa (Serravalien-Tortonien), et dans le bassin externe des Marches par la formation du Flysch de la Laga (Messinien-Pliocène inférieur). A partir du Tortonien jusqu'au début du Pliocène, la série ombrienne a subi une déformation progressive, et à été charriée sur le domaine du Latium-Abruzzes, provoquant la déformation de ce dernier, ainsi que du domaine des Marches. Au cours du Pliocène inférieur et moyen, les domaines de l'ombrie et du Latium-Abruzzes ont été charriés sur la série des Marches ainsi déformée, entraînant de ce fait le transport passif de la portion de la séquence ombrienne préalablement charriée sur la plate-forme du Latium-Abruzzes. Plus tard, des mouvements méso- à tardi-pliocènes ont provoqué un dernier charriage de la plate-forme du Latium-Abruzzes le long de l'arc de chevauchement Gran Sasso-Morrone; enfin, les plissements et les charriages ont persisté dans les zones les plus externes jusqu'au Pléistocène inférieur.Cette reconstitution signifie que le modèle d'une chaîne plissée et charriée se déplaçant régulièrement vers l'avant-pays ne peut pas être appliqué à cette région. Elle indique également un vaste déplacement vers le Nord de la plate-forme du Latium-Abruzzes, transport qui peut être dynamiquement mis en relation avec un décrochement sénestre à l'ouest et un décrochement dextre à l'est. Selon notre interprétation, le décrochement sénestre ne coïncide pas avec la ligne «Ancona-Anzio» de la littérature italienne, mais est enterré sous l'édifice charrié de l'Ombrie.

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Subsurface thermal conductivity assessment in Calabria (southern Italy): a regional case study

Determining the suitability of a local area at a regional or local scale for the geothermal application of low enthalpy systems requires the knowledge of rock thermal conductivity values to evaluate the possibility of low-enthalpy heat exchange. A digital cartographic tool is also needed to synthesize the thermal properties of the underground. This tool should be easily accessible and upgradeable and thus suitable for territorial planning and environmental control. In order to address these key issues, a methodological approach was developed within the framework of the national VIGOR Project, dedicated to evaluating the geothermal potential in southern Italy. In this paper the region of Calabria was selected as a case study. Around 70 samples that were representative of the main geological formations were collected from all over the area. Thermal property tests were carried out both in dry and wet conditions, using a thermal device in accordance with the modified transient plane source method. The thermal conductivity values were then compared with data from the international literature. In order to consider the influence of the entire stratigraphic sequence on the thermal conductivity parameters, a geostatistical analysis of the available lithostratigraphic data was performed using the MATLAB toolbox Modalstrata, specially developed for this purpose. A comprehensive geothermal subsurface characterization of Calabria was thus obtained.     

Sense of overthrust shear in the Alpine nappes of Calabria (Southern Italy)

Southern Italy consists tectonically of ophiolite and basement nappes thrust over the Apenninic sedimentary nappes. Whilst all more recent authors agree that the sediments of the Apenninic nappes were deposited on Apulian basement (i.e. on African continental crust), and that the ophiolites were associated with the oceanic basement of the Mesozoic Tethys, the provenance of the basement nappes is still debated.New data based on microstructural criteria have shown that the main shear sense of the ophiolite nappes and of the overlying basement nappes in Northern Calabria is from west to east, in today's co-ordinate system. The basement nappes might not therefore be of Austroalpine (African) provenance, but could be of European origin.     

Surface displacements of two landslides evaluated by GPS and inclinometer systems: a case study in Southern Apennines, Italy

This paper reports experimental data on surface and deep displacements evaluated by means of GPS stations and inclinometers in two rototranslational deep landslides in a clayey slope of the Italian Southern Apennines. The displacements of the landslides cause continuous damage to buildings and infrastructures. To study these phenomena and control their effects, the local public administration provided financial support for a geotechnical investigation that started in 2004. Laboratory tests, in situ pore pressure and inclinometer measurements were carried out. In July 2006, systems of fixed-in-place inclinometer probes with continuous data acquisition were installed in two of the eleven guide casings, in correspondence to the slip surfaces detected by previous periodical measurements. In the meanwhile, a GPS network was installed, consisting in six permanent stations and ten non-permanent ones. Among the latter, five were installed on the top of five inclinometer casings. The experimental results show that, in the case under study, the surface displacements evaluated by means of the GPS stations are consistent with the surface displacements evaluated by means of the inclinometer measurements. This implies mutual data validation, availability of considerable amount of continuous data, as well as monitoring continuity when, for some reason, one of the instruments goes out of use.     

Granulite-amphibolite facies metasediments from the Serre (Calabria,Southern Italy): their protoliths and the processes controlling their chemistry

In the northwestern Serre, a near continuous section through the Palaeozoic lower continental crust crops out. This paper deals with granulite facies metasedimentary rocks of this section. Fifty-five chemical analyses (major elements, Sc, V, Cr, Co, Ni, Rb, Sr, Y, Nb and Ba) are given. Chemical data indicate that the original sedimentary sequence was made up of arenites in the lower part and mainly Fe and Mg rich pelites in the upper part. The metapelites experienced anatexis and removal of some melt, whereas the meta-arenites suffered only incipient anatexis and became dehydration granulites. The various rock types display an overall relatively low K/Rb ratio due mainly to the stability of K- and Rb-retaining phases. A weighted mean composition of the fragment of the lower continental crust outcropping in the Serre has been established by integrating the chemical data for metasediments (55 analyses), metabasites (92 analyses) and dioritic and tonalitic gneisses (10 analyses) with the field data. This composition compared to the compositions of the bulk continental crust and of other sections considered as belonging to the lower crust, confirms the hypothesis that (1) the lower crust is heterogeneous, and (2) it is more basic than the continental crust.     

Geochemistry of fluids discharged over the seismic area of the Southern Apennines (Calabria region,Southern Italy): Implications for Fluid-Fault relationships

The first comprehensive geochemical data-set of the fluids circulating over a 14,000 km²-wide seismic-prone area of the Southern Apennines, Calabria Region (Italy), is presented here. The geochemical investigations were carried out with the twofold aim of constraining the origin and interactions of the circulating fluids and to investigate possible relationships with local faults. Sixty samples of both thermal and cold waters were collected, from which the dissolved gases were extracted. The geochemical features of the water samples display different types and degrees of water–rock interactions, irrespective of the outlet temperature. The calculated equilibrium temperatures of the thermal waters (60–160 °C) and the low heat flow of the whole study area, are consistent with a heating process due to deep water circulation and rapid upflow through lithospheric structures. The composition of the dissolved gases reveals that crustal-originating gases (N₂ and CO₂-dominated) feed all the groundwaters. The ³He/⁴He ratios of the dissolved He, in the range of 0.03–0.22Ra_c for the thermal waters and 0.05–0.63Ra_c for the cold waters (Ra_c = He isotope ratio corrected for atmospheric contamination), are mainly the result of a two-component (radiogenic and atmospheric) mixing, although indications of mantle-derived He are found in some cold waters. As the study area had been hit by 18 of the most destructive earthquakes (magnitude ranging from 5.9 to 7.2) occurring over a 280-a time span (1626–1908) in the Southern Apennines, the reported results on the circulating fluids may represent the reference for a better inside knowledge of the fault-fluid relationships and for the development of long-term geochemical monitoring strategies for the area.     

Groundwater quality degradation of urban areas (case study: Tehran city,Iran)

Groundwater quality of Tehran city is considered in this study. Nine sampling stations were selected, and composite sampling campaign was performed in summer 2012. Groundwater sampled from northern stations appeared to have acceptable characteristics for agricultural and drinking uses. The southern station samples did not meet the required guidelines. Concentration of SO₄ ^2?, Na⁺ and Cl^? obey a sharp ascending trend southwards. Accordingly, the electrical conductivity of the last station at the very southern areas is more than fifteen times greater than that of the first northern station. Tehran city is located in a semi-arid climate and experiences long hot summers. High rates of evapo-transpiration within urban green spaces and agricultural lands facilitate the salinization phenomenon in root zones. As a result, excess irrigation water eases the consequent percolation into aquifers. Furthermore, saline water intrusion from salt marshes located down south of the city is an expected consequence of wells overpumping. Such case is especially remarkable in hot seasons when an increased urban water demand is observed. Remarkable sulfate concentrations in saline water are mainly justified by percolation of sulfate containing fertilizers which are broadly used by local farmers in an uncontrolled manner. Surface run-offs and municipal wastewater leakage may also trigger the salinization process.     

Impact of climate change on landslides frequency: the Esino river basin case study (Central Italy)

Researchers have long attempted to determine the amount of rainfall needed to trigger slope failures, yet relatively little progress has been reported on the effects of climate change on landslide initiation. Indeed, some relationships between landslides and climate change have been highlighted, but sign and magnitude of this correlation remain uncertain and influenced by the spatial and temporal horizon considered. This work makes use of statistically adjusted high-resolution regional climate model simulations, to study the expected changes of landslides frequency in the eastern Esino river basin (Central Italy). Simulated rainfall was used in comparison with rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence derived by two observation-based statistical models (1) the cumulative event rainfall–rainfall duration model, and (2) the Bayesian probabilistic model. Results show an overall increase in projected landslide occurrence over the twenty-first century. This is especially confirmed in the high-emission scenario representative concentration pathway 8.5, where according to the first model, the events above rainfall thresholds frequency shift from ~?0.025 to ~?0.05 in the mountainous sector of the study area. Moreover, Bayesian analysis revealed the possible occurrence of landslide-triggering rainfall with a magnitude never occurred over the historical period. Landslides frequency change signal presents also considerable seasonal patterns, with summer displaying the steepest positive trend coupled to the highest inter-model spread. The methodological chain here proposed aims at representing a flexible tool for future landslide-hazard assessment, applicable over different areas and time horizons (e.g., short-term climate projections or seasonal forecasts).     

The role of rainfall in the landslide hazard: the case of the Avigliano urban area (Southern Apennines, Italy)

Mass movements varying in type and size, some of which are periodically reactivated, affect the urban area of Avigliano. The disturbed and remoulded masses consist of sandy–silty or silty–clayey plastic material interbedded with stone fragments and conglomerate blocks. Five landslides that were markedly liable to rainfall-associated instability phenomena were selected.

The relationships between landslides and rainfall were investigated using a hydrological and statistical model based on long-term series of daily rainfall data. The model was used to determine the return period of cumulative daily rainfall over 1–180 days. The resulting hydrological and statistical findings are discussed with the aim of identifying the rainfall duration most critical to landslides.

The concept of a precipitation threshold was generalized by defining some probability classes of cumulative rainfall. These classes indicate the thresholds beyond which reactivation is likely to occur. The probability classes are defined according to the return period of the cumulative rainfall concomitant with landslide reactivation.     

Large reactivated landslides in weak rock masses: a case study from the Northern Apennines (Italy)

This case study paper is about a large rotational rock and earth slide—earth flow located in the Secchia River Valley, in the Northern Apennines of Italy, that has displayed multiple reactivation phases between 2002 and 2004. The main geological constraints of the mass movement are related to the overlap of flysch rock masses over clayey complexes that allows rock slides to take place in the source area. The disarrangement and weathering of rock masses following slope movements causes large amount of fine-grained debris to be accumulated on the slope and mobilised by earth sliding and flowing. Analysis of rainfall data at the onset of reactivation events has proved that they occurred after periods with cumulated values higher than the averages of the last 30 years. The quantification of the morphological modifications induced by these reactivations has been made possible by comparing pre- and post-event digital elevation models. Depletion and accumulation has been in the range of 30 m in different parts of the slope. In particular, an advancement of the landslide toe of more than 400 m, which caused a 30-m thick landslide tip to deposit, has been clearly seen. Monitoring data regarding subsurface movements and surface tension crack widening (tension cracks so large as to be properly described at trenches) has shown that sliding surfaces as deep as 43 m exist in the upper part of the landslide, while the accumulation lobe has moved by sliding and flowing over surfaces as deep as some 10 m. Velocities of cm/day have been recorded in the deep surfaces and in widening trenches of the source area, while the advancement of the accumulation lobe has been estimated as having velocities of up to 10 m/day. Groundwater in the landslide body has been observed at depths of 5–15 m in the upper areas, while it is estimated as being at the ground level in the toe. On this basis, it is concluded that the landslide still has a high potential for further development, both in the upper landslide zone and in the toe area.     

Estimating the expansion of urban areas and urban heat islands (UHI) in Ghana: a case study

Natural Hazards - This research is focused on identifying urban sprawl pattern and extent in two rapidly growing major Ghanaian cities (Accra and Kumasi) and how urban expansion affected heat...     

Eye-type folds at the Palmi shear zone (Calabria,Italy)

International Journal of Earth Sciences -     

On macroseismic attenuation parameters in the comparison of theoretical seismic hazard maps for Southern Calabria and Eastern Sicily (Southern Italy)

For two different zonations of the Calabro-Sicilian region the macroseismic intensity attenuation parameters are computed using the Grandori model.Some modifications to this relation are proposed here in order to allow its applicability also to those cases in which the data set available for each source zone does not present three successive epicentral intensity levels (I ₀) as required for its application.Maps of theoretical distribution of maximum expected intensities were plotted for both zonations adopted, in order to test the reliability, also using other attenuation models.The results of the analysis show how the proposed modifications to the Grandori relation allow the macroseismic intensity attenuation modelling even in cases in which only one intensity level is available.Finally, the comparison of theoretical maximum expected intensity distribution maps, computed for different attenuation models and seismogenic zonations, shows that the maps plotted using the Grandori model and the zonation adopted by G.N.D.T. (Gruppo Nazionale Difesa dai Terremoti - C.N.R. Italy) are more reliable.     

Logistic Regression analysis in the evaluation of mass movements susceptibility: The Aspromonte case study,Calabria, Italy

This work describes the application of Logistic Regression (LR) to an assessment of susceptibility to mass movements in a 850 km² study area mainly on the Ionian side of the Aspromonte Range, in southern Calabria.LR is a multivariate function that can be utilised, on the basis of a given set of variables, to calculate the probability that a particular phenomenon (for instance, a landslide) is present. In the present study the set of relevant variables includes: rock type, land use, elevation, slope angle, aspect, slope profile curvature down-slope and across-slope.The aim of this paper is to evaluate the LR performance when the procedure is based on the surveying of mass movements in part of the study area. The procedure adopted was GIS-based, with a 10 m DEM square-grid; for slope and curvature calculation, four adjacent cells were grouped to form a nine-point set for mathematical processing.The LR application consists of four steps: sampling, where all relevant characteristics in a part of the area (ca. 27% of the study zone) are assessed; variable parameterisation, where non-parametric variables are transformed into parametric (or semi-parametric) variables (on at least rank scale); model fitting, where regression coefficients are iteratively calculated in the sample area; model application, where the best-fit regression function is applied to the entire study area. This procedure was applied in two ways: first considering all types, then a single type of mass movement.The ground characteristics of the whole study zone were determined. The LR procedure was first tested by extending the sampling and reclassification steps to the whole study zone to find out the best possible fitting regression; the results of this were then compared with ground truth to maximise performance. Afterwards, the results of LR analysis, based on extension of regression formulas obtained also using 40% sampling zones, were compared with those of the best possible one and ground truth. Comparisons were performed by means of a confusion matrix and a simple correlation between expected vs. observed values for grouped variables. The overall results seem promising: for example, if the 27% sample areas are adopted, 94% of the cells where the probability of the existence of any kind of mass movements is between 85.5% and 95%, are actually affected by mass movements. Results are instead less good when attempting to distinguish between types of mass movement.     

Correction to: Impact of climate change on landslides frequency: the Esino river basin case study (Central Italy)

We refine the 1-D velocity model of the Central India Tectonic Zone (CITZ) using well-selected arrival times of P- and S-phases of 354 local earthquakes of magnitude (M_w) between 2.0 and 5.8, recorded by national seismic network from May 1997 to March 2016. Further, we have determined the source mechanisms of 26 selected local events using moment tensor inversion to characterize the dynamics beneath the CITZ. The best-fit simulation between observed and synthetic waveforms obtained the nodal and auxiliary planes of the each faults associated with the earthquake moment magnitude (M_w) for each event. Depth of the fault plane along the CITZ varies from 5 to 38 km. From this study, we found that the western part along the CITZ shows minimum focal depth and reaches maximum 38 kms at Jabalpur in the eastern part. This complex nature of earthquake dynamics occurrence along the CITZ. We propose that the curviplanar the CITZ dominated with sinistral curvature is subjected to compression along the longer ~E–W segments and transtension along shorter segments with ~NE–SW orientations. The occurrences of normal faulting, intrusion of mafic plutons and CLVD mechanisms for earthquakes are interpreted to be linked to the transtension zones and reverse mechanisms associated with the compressions along ~E–W segments.