基于MODIS-NDVI的天津市蓟州区植被特征时空变化分析

基于MODIS-NDVI数据和气象数据,研究了天津市蓟州区植被NDVI近16年的时空变化特征以及16年间气温、降水变化规律.研究结果表明,蓟州区2000-2015年年平均NDVI趋势为先降后升,最低值出现在2004年.月际NDVI均值与月平均降水量的相关性高于最大降水量的相关性,说明最低温度比最高温对植被的影响更大,月平均降水量比最大降水量对植被的影响更大.除去人类活动的影响,蓟州区县植被指数的变化主要归因于降水减少和温度增加,对于指导当地生产实践具有实际意义.     

MODIS NDVI和AVHRR NDVI 对草原植被变化监测差异

以草地作为研究载体,对比分析草原植被AVHRR NDVI和MODIS NDVI两种NDVI序列的年内、年际变化特征,讨论两种NDVI序列对降水量、平均气温和水汽压3种气候因子的响应差异,为合理选择NDVI序列对植被进行监测研究提供参考。结果表明：(1)两种NDVI序列所反映的草原植被年内变化趋势相似,但MODIS NDVI对各类草原的区分度优于AVHRR NDVI;(2)两种NDVI序列所反映的2000年—2003年草原植被年际变化差异明显。较之于MODIS NDVI,AVHRR NDVI变化趋势分类图表现出更强的植被改善趋势,植被改善面积在AVHRR NDVI变化趋势分类图中占94.25%,在MODIS NDVI中为83.33%;两种NDVI变化趋势分类图反映的植被变化趋势吻合度为52.88%。(3)两种NDVI序列与水汽压、降水量相关性差异显著。MODIS NDVI与各站点平均气温的相关系数均大于GIMMS NDVI;而MODIS NDVI与水汽压的相关系数83%(10个站点)小于GIMMS NDVI,与降水量的相关系数67%(8个站点)小于GIMMS NDVI。     

NDVI与气候因子关系在不同时间尺度上的结果差异

植被指数是反映地表植被覆盖状况的重要参数,分析气候因子与植被指数间的相互关系有助于揭示气候变化对植被的影响,然而当前研究有两种分析植被指数与气候因子关系的方法,分别为分析植被指数与生长季内和生长季间气候因子的关系,然而这两种法差异如何,何种方法更为合适需要进一步分析。利用2000年—2009年生长季的MODIS的归一化植被指数NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index)数据集和藏北那曲地区3个气象站逐月气象资料(月平均气温、≥0℃活动积温和月降水量),分析比较了生长季内和生长季间气候因子对植被生长影响的差异,并分析了两种方法的优劣。结果表明:(1)生长季内植被NDVI与同期气温和降水量均呈高度正相关,生长季内时滞时间尺度为1个月时,植被NDVI对月平均气温及降水响应均最为强烈。(2)生长季间NDVI与同期降水量相关性并不明显,气候因子的滞后效应在生长季间也较弱。(3)生长季内和生长季间植被NDVI与气候因子的关系所得出的结论有一定差异性,可能是因为两方面的原因:生长季内植被NDVI与水热因子的高相关性与中国季风季候造成的高温多雨出现在夏季有关,而生长季内高水热条件与高植被指数对应的多年重复必然造伪的高相关系数,但这种相关性不一定能真实反映植被与水热条件的关系,而生长季间水热等气候因子与植被指数年际变化相关性分析不存在水热与高植被指数同期问题,更能真实反映气候因子年际变化对植被的影响。     

山东省植被覆盖度变化与气候因子相关性分析

为分析山东省植被覆盖度变化及其与降水量、温度等气候因子变化的相关性,该文采用2005—2015年的NDVI、降水量和温度数据,利用重心模型和相关系数法,进行了植被覆盖度与降水、温度的月动态变化和季度动态变化分析。研究结果显示,在2005—2015年的10年间,山东省植被覆盖度在整体上呈现增长趋势,植被覆盖度与气候因子无论是在月动态变化还是季动态变化都表现出不同程度的正相关性,植被NDVI的季度走向与降水和温度的季动态变化趋势几乎一致,并且温度对植被生长的影响大于降水对植被生长的影响。研究验证了植被覆盖度的变化与气候因子的变化有一定的关系。     

澜沧江流域2000-2017年植被NDVI时空特征及其对气候因子的响应

基于MODIS-NDVI数据分析澜沧江流域生长季植被NDVI时空特征和变化趋势,结合地形数据、气象站点数据和植被类型数据,利用趋势分析和相关性分析法研究植被NDVI变化对气候因子的响应。结果表明:1)2000-2017年澜沧江流域生长季植被NDVI均值为0.592,整体呈现出由西北向东南波动增加趋势,增长速率为0.09%/10年;2) 2000-2017年澜沧江流域气温呈上升趋势,降水呈下降趋势,植被NDVII总体与平均气温的相关性高于累积降水量;3)澜沧江流域生长季植被NDVI驱动因子分析表明,气候驱动中以气温降水联合驱动为主,流域植被NDVI变化整体为非气候驱动。     

河西地区NDVI变化及其对气温和降水的响应

针对不同地区植被变化对气温和降水的响应不一致的现象,该研究基于MODIS-NDVI遥感影像及同期33个气象站点数据,采用斜率分析和相关分析等方法,探究了河西地区2000-2017年生长季植被覆盖的年际和年内变化及其与气候因子的关系.结果表明:河西地区生长季NDVI的总体水平偏低,空间上由东南向西北逐步递减;近18年,河西地区NDVI的趋势变化为整体增加,增加速率为0.022/(10 a).年尺度上,河西地区NDVI变化与气温相关性较小,主要受降水影响,86.80％的区域与降水呈正相关.月尺度上,植被覆盖随温度升高而逐渐增加,20℃时趋于最大;月降水量在0～60 mm之间时,NDVI随降水量增大而快速增加;超过60 mm后,则稳定在0.16左右.河西地区植被对降水的响应存在2个月滞后性,而与气温则无明显时滞性.     

近30年来渭河流域植被与气候变化互影响模式的探寻分析

基于1982-2006年间的GIMMS NDVI和2001-2013年的MODIS NDVI数据对渭河流域30年来植被NDVI的年际变化和空间分布特征进行了分析,并结合研究区内的气象数据探讨了植被NDVI与气候因子的相互影响关系。研究显示,近32年间渭河流域植被NDVI整体呈上升趋势,且空间差异显著,主要表现为流域西北地区的黄土丘陵沟壑区及北部的黄土高原区NDVI较低,植被覆盖较差;流域南部的秦岭山区、关中平原区等地植被生长状况较好。流域气温和降水呈现缓慢增长趋势。植被NDVI与年均气温整体上表现为负相关,与年降水量间呈正相关。总体上,降水是渭河流域植被生长的主要影响因子。     

基于时序NDVI的石羊河流域植被时空变化规律研究

基于2000-2017年石羊河流域NDVI时间系列数据,利用Landsat系列卫星的TM、ETM、OLI数据获取了研究区的NDVI;并根据NDVI时序变化特征,利用趋势分析法,结合气象数据,研究了近18a来石羊河流域NDVI时空演变的规律。研究结果表明:①2000-2017年石羊河流域时序NDVI总体呈上升趋势,说明植被覆盖程度具有明显增长的趋势;②不同区域NDVI变化差异明显,总体可划分为显著增加、增加、稳定、减少、显著减少5类;③年际NDVI平均值、最大值与气温、降水相关性分析表明,二者与气温相关性在2000-2010年为负相关、在2011-2017年为正相关,二者与降水量总体呈正相关,相关系数分别为0.09、0.29,降水量的增大有利于促进石羊河流域植物的生长。     

应用遥感时序数据研究植被变化与气候因子的关系——以环渤海地区为例

在全球气候变化背景下研究陆地植被的时空变化规律,探讨气候因素的驱动作用,对于预测未来气候变化对生态系统的可能影响、制定合适的生态环境保护策略具有重要意义。利用2000—2009年MODIS归一化差值植被指数(normalized difference vegetation index,NDVI)时间序列数据和地面气象站点的气温、降水量数据,从遥感角度分析环渤海地区植被的时空变化,并研究变化与气温、降水的相关关系,探讨区域植被年内和年际变化的驱动因素。结果表明,2000—2009年环渤海地区植被覆盖总体呈增加的趋势,但存在一定的空间异质性,局部有减少的倾向;区域植被的生长受温度和降水的双重驱动,对降水和温度的响应存在明显的滞后,滞后期大约为1个合成期;年际的变化主要受降水和人类活动的影响,降水增加可使区域NDVI提高;不同的人类活动会导致NDVI向相反的方向发展。     

植被指数对旱灾的响应研究—以中国西南地区2009年—2010年特大干旱为例

基于中国西南地区5个省(市)2001年—2010年期间由中分辨率成像光谱仪MODIS影像资料反演得到的归一化植被指数NDVI产品数据和区内气象站点的连续观测资料,提取了研究区内各气象站点印迹区的NDVI值,计算了降水距平百分率Pa和D指数(降水量与潜在蒸散量之差)这两种气象干旱指数。依据全国植被类型图(2000年版),对研究区内的主要植被类型在季节时间尺度上开展了这两种气象干旱指数与距平NDVI的相关性分析。研究结果表明:距平NDVI对D指数的最大响应滞后约一个月,在此尺度上表现出明显的线性相关性,所选取的6个季度的相关系数均接近或大于0.7,显著性水平小于0.01;对干旱敏感的植被类型如旱地和草地等,表现出更显著的相关性,其相关系数分别达到了0.83和0.71(平均);在干旱季节,D指数与距平NDVI表现出较为一致的空间分异规律,而Pa指数仅在旱情比较严重的情况下或对干旱比较敏感的植被类型区与距平NDVI表现出一致性分布。     

2000-2012年鄂尔多斯高原植被动态及干旱响应

针对鄂尔多斯高原植被覆盖变化受干旱胁迫的状况,该文结合降水和气温的协同变化,以2000-2012年生长季的MODIS-NDVI数据和同期降水、温度和帕尔默干旱指数为依据,采用线性趋势分析、标准偏差分析和相关性分析等方法,对鄂尔多斯高原植被与气候变化的相关关系和干旱异常变化对植被动态的影响进行了研究.结果表明:鄂尔多斯高原生长季及季节(春季、夏季和秋季)植被归一化植被指数主要受降水的控制和干旱的制约,秋季归一化植被指数更多地受到夏季干旱的影响.与气象因子的空间相关分析表明,春季温度上升有利于研究区北部归一化植被指数像元的增加.在荒漠草原和沙漠地区,夏季干旱与归一化植被指数的相关关系最强.秋季降水对典型草原归一化植被指数的提升显著.     

肾综合征出血热疫情与NDVI的时间关系——以内蒙古自治区大杨树镇为例

利用月度肾综合征出血热发病人数和长时序月度NDVI值的相互关系, 对肾综合征出血热的发病趋势及发病人数进行预测。研究区大杨树镇2001—2005年共有144例完整的HFRS病人资料, 以及同期详细的宿主动物捕获数据。基于Landsat TM影像以及Google earth 影像, 大杨树地区土地利用分为4种类型, 山地、林地、农田以及居民点。各类土地利用类型的NDVI数据由SPOT-4 卫星的 VGT-S10数据集(10d最大化合成的NDVI数据)提供。对HFRS病例与NDVI之间的关系进行图解分析、相关分析和回归分析。研究表明, NDVI的峰值多出现于8月, 而HFRS发病人数的峰值多出现在11月。前朔3个月的农田NDVI值与HFRS病例数之间的相关系数为0.67(P值<0.001)。农田NDVI峰值比HFRS病例的峰值提前了3个月。研究量化了NDVI与HFRS之间的关系, 为HFRS早期预警系统的建立提供了依据。     

Long-term soil moisture content estimation using satellite and climate data in agricultural area of Mongolia

The purpose of this study is to estimate long-term SMC and find its relation with soil moisture (SM) of climate station in different depths and NDVI for the growing season. The study area is located in agricultural regions in the North of Mongolia. The Pearson’s correlation methodology was used in this study. We used MODIS and SPOT satellite data and 14 years data for precipitation, temperature and SMC of 38 climate stations. The estimated SMC from this methodology were compared with SM from climate data and NDVI. The estimated SMC was compared with SM of climate stations at a 10-cm depth (r² = 0.58) and at a 50-cm depth (r² = 0.38), respectively. From the analysis, it can be seen that the previous month’s SMC affects vegetation growth of the following month, especially from May to August. The methodology can be an advantageous indicator for taking further environmental analysis in the region.     

Biome-level relationships between vegetation indices and climate variables using time-series analysis of remotely-sensed data

ABSTRACT

Climatic factors such as rainfall and temperature play a vital role in the growth characteristics of vegetation. While the relationship between climate and vegetation growth can be accurately predicted in instances where vegetation is homogenous, this becomes complex to determine in heterogeneous vegetation environments. The aim of this paper was to study the relationship between remotely-sensed monthly vegetation indices (i.e. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Enhanced Vegetation Index) and climatic variables (temperature and precipitation) using time-series analysis at the biome-level. Specifically, the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL1 and ARDL2, corresponding respectively to one month and two month lags) and the Koyck-transformed distributed lag model were used to build regression models. All three models estimated NDVI and EVI fairly accurately in all biomes (Relative Root-Mean-Squared-Error (RMSE): 12.0–26.4%). Biomes characterized by relative homogeneity (Grassland, Savanna, Indian Ocean Coastal Belt and Forest Biomes) achieved the most accurate estimates due to the dominance of a few species. Comparisons of lag size (one month compared to two months) generally showed similarities (Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and log-likelihood) with quite high comparability in certain biomes – this indicates the utility of the ARDL1 and ARDL2 model, depending on the availability of appropriate data. These findings demonstrate the variation in estimation linked to the biome, and thus the validity of biome-level correlation of climatic data and vegetation indices.     

中国陆地生态系统脆弱带遥感模型

本研究通过对我国陆地生态系统8个典型样地的植被指数取样实验和图像计算结果发现，这8个样地植被指数随着水、热因子的季节变化，在时间和空间上具有一定的“绿波推移”和“景观更替”规律。在中国东部湿润的季风区（样地1－3），随着纬度的增高，其月平均植被指数与月平均气温有较大的相关。发现降水相对丰沛的地带，热量和光照条件的变化成为植被生长和变化的自然限制因子；而在中国北方森林－森林草原－典型昌原－荒漠草原－荒漠地带上，随着从东部（湿润地区）到西部（干旱地区）干湿条件的更替，月平均植被指数与降水多寡有较大的正相关关系。在8个样地上都呈现出共同的规律，即定向风的分布与植被指数的分布在时间和空间上具有逆相分布的“套合关系”。尤其在时间上有相逆套合关系，这正是中国北方沙尘暴和沙漠化加剧的自然原因。本研究定量地给出了我国陆地不同经纬度带生态系统脆弱季节和累积时间的分布。     

Spatio-temporal variation of vegetation coverage and its response to climate change in North China plain in the last 33 years

Global climate change has led to significant vegetation changes in the past half century. North China Plain, the most important grain production base of china, is undergoing a process of prominent warming and drying. The vegetation coverage, which is used to monitor vegetation change, can respond to climate change (temperature and precipitation). In this study, GIMMS (Global Inventory Modelling and Mapping Studies)-NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) data, MODIS (Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) – NDVI data and climate data, during 1981–2013, were used to investigate the spatial distribution and changes of vegetation. The relationship between climate and vegetation on different spatial (agriculture, forest and grassland) and temporal (yearly, decadal and monthly) scales were also analyzed in North China Plain. (1) It was found that temperature exhibiting a slight increase trend (0.20 °C/10a, P < 0.01). This may be due to the disappearance of 0 °C isotherm, the rise of spring temperature. At the same time, precipitation showed a significant reduction trend (−1.75 mm/10a, P > 0.05). The climate mutation period was during 1991–1994. (2) Vegetation coverage slight increase was observed in the 55% of total study area, with a change rate of 0.00039/10a. Human activities may not only accelerate the changes of the vegetation coverage, but also c effect to the rate of these changes. (3) Overall, the correlation between the vegetation coverage and climatic factor is higher in monthly scale than yearly scale. The correlation analysis between vegetation coverage and climate changes showed that annual vegetation coverage was better correlatend with precipitation in grassland biome; but it showed a better correlated with temperature i the agriculture biome and forest biome. In addition, the vegetation coverage had sensitive time-effect respond to precipitation. (4) The vegetation coverage showed the same increasing trend before and after the climatic variations, but the rate of increase slowed down. From the vegetation coverage point of view, the grassland ecological zone had an obvious response to the climatic variations, but the agricultural ecological zones showed a significant response from the vegetation coverage change rate point of view. The effect of human activity in degradation region was higher than that in improvement area. But after the climate abruptly changing, the effect of human activity in improvement area was higher than that in degradation region, and the influence of human activity will continue in the future.     

25年来秦岭NDVI指数的气候响应

利用1982—2006年的植被指数和研究区域内4个气象站的气温、降水数据,研究陕西秦岭地区植被指数、气温、降水的多年变化趋势,分析植被指数与气温和降水的相关关系。利用植被类型数据分析不同植被种类的NDVI与不同气候因子的相关程度。结果表明,1982—2006年,研究区域年均气温有明显的上升,升幅达2.1℃,而年总降水量每10年下降约72 mm,秦岭地区NDVI略有上升。整体而言,植被指数的变化与气温之间的相关性在中部最大,向东西两侧递减;与降水之间的相关性在中部最小,向东西两侧递增。气温对果树园、经济林的影响最大,降水对阔叶林的影响最大。气温是影响该地区植被指数变化的主要因素。     

高分四号卫星在干旱遥感监测中的应用

高分四号(GF-4)是国家高分辨率对地观测系统重大专项天基系统中的一颗地球同步卫星,为探索GF-4号卫星在大面积干旱监测中的应用,本文对该卫星在快速监测大面积干旱方面的应用能力进行了初步探讨。以2016年内蒙古自治区巴林左旗和巴林右旗地区严重旱灾为例,利用NDVI差值对该区域的干旱情况进行了监测,并与MODIS NDVI产品进行对比分析,得到了研究区内2016年干旱分布情况,结果表明其总体趋势与MODIS NDVI产品一致,且细节信息更加丰富。本文主要是GF-4卫星数据结合GF-1卫星数据对内蒙部分干旱区域进行监测和分析,体现了国产高分辨率卫星数据,尤其是GF-4卫星数据,对提高中国突发灾害的应对能力具有重要意义。     

Global analysis of time-lag and -accumulation effects of climate on vegetation growth

Climate dominantly controls vegetation over most regions at most times, and vegetation responses to climate change are often asymmetric with temporal effects. However, systematic analysis of the time-lag and time-accumulation effects of climate on vegetation growth, has rarely been conducted, in particular for different vegetation growing phases. Thus, this study aimed to leverage normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to determine the spatiotemporal patterns of climatic effects on global vegetation growth considering various scenarios of time-lag and/or accumulation effects. The results showed that (i) climatic factors have time-lag and -accumulation effects as well as their combined effects on global vegetation growth for the whole growing season and its subphases (i.e., the growing and senescent phases). However, these effects vary with climatic factors, vegetation types, and regions. Compared with those of temperature, both precipitation and solar radiation display more significant time-accumulation effects in the whole growing season worldwide, but behave differently in the growing and senescent phases in the middle-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere; (ii) compared to the scenario without time effects, considering time-lag and -accumulation effects as well as their combined effects increased by 17 %, 15 %, and 19 % the overall explanatory power of vegetation growth by climate change for the whole growing season, the growing phase, and senescent phase, respectively; (iii) considering the time-lag and -accumulation effects as well as their combined effects, climate change controls 70 % of areas with a significant NDVI variation from 1982 to 2015, and the primary driving factor was temperature, followed by solar radiation and precipitation. This study highlights the significant time-lag and -accumulation effects of climatic factors on global vegetation growth. We suggest that these effects need to be incorporated into dynamic vegetation models to better understand vegetation growth under accelerating climate change.