Discriminant Models of Uncertainty in Nominal Fields

Despite developments in error modeling in discrete objects and continuous fields, there exist substantial and largely unsolved conceptual problems in the domain of nominal fields. This article explores a novel strategy for uncertainty characterization in spatial categorical information. The proposed strategy is based on discriminant space, which is defined with essential properties or driving processes underlying spatial class occurrences, leading to discriminant models of uncertainty in area classes. This strategy reinforces consistency in categorical mapping by imposing class-specific mean structures that can be regressed against discriminant variables, and facilitates scale-dependent error modeling that can effectively emulate the variation found between observers in terms of classes, boundary positions, numbers of polygons, and boundary network topology. Based on simulated data, comparisons with stochastic simulation based on indicator kriging confirmed the replicability of the discriminant models, which work by determining the mean area classes based on discriminant variables and projecting spatially correlated residuals in discriminant space to uncertainty in area classes.     

Stylized environments and ABMs: educational tools for examining the causes and consequences of land use/land cover change

A challenge in land change science is to assess the causes and consequences of LULC change and associated pattern–process relations. Increasingly, land change organizations are examining land use at local to global scales for historical, contemporary and future periods through scenarios that assess population–environment interactions. Spatial analytical tools in GIScience are being used to link people and environment and to search for the distal and proximate factors that affect local to global land use patterns. Spatial simulation models that rely upon complexity theory as the framework and agent-based models as the analytical approach offer the capability to inform through experimentation about land issues important to science and society. Using a stylized landscape where a selected set of key social, geographical and ecological elements are spatially organized, we describe how land dynamics can be examined through agent-based models as educational tools that are useful in the classroom, boardroom and public forums.     

地统计学用于空间不确定性的描述

Most geospatial phenomena can be interpreted probabilistically because we are ignorant of the biophysical processes and mechanisms that have jointly created and observed events. This philosophy is important because we are certain about the phenomenon under study at sampled locations, except for measurement errors, but, in between the sampled, we become uncertain about how the phenomenon behaves. Geostatistical uncertainty characterization is to generate random numbers in such a way that they simulate the outcomes of the random processes that created the existing sample data. This set of existing sample is viewed as a partially sampled realization of that random function model. The random function’s spatial variability is described by a variogram or covariance model. The realized surfaces need to honour sample data at their locations, and reflect the spatial structure quantified by the variogram models. They should each reproduce the sample histogram representative of the whole sampling area. This paper will review the fundamentals in stochastic simulation by covering univariate and indicator techniques in the hope that their applications in geospatial information science will be wide-spread and fruitful. Supported by the National 973 Program of China (No. 2006CB701302).     

Performance evaluation of land change simulation models using landscape metrics

This study proposes a landscape metrics-based method for model performance evaluation of land change simulation models. To quantify model performance at both landscape and class levels, a set of composition- and configuration-based metrics including number of patches, class area, landscape shape index, mean patch area and mean Euclidean nearest neighbour distance were employed. These landscape metrics provided detailed information on simulation success of a cellular automata-Markov chain (CA-Markov) model standpoint of spatial arrangement of the simulated map versus the corresponding reference layer. As a measure of model simulation success, mean relative error (MRE) of the metrics was calculated. At both landscape and class levels, the MRE values were accounted for 22.73 and 10.2%, respectively, which are further categorised into qualitative measurements of model simulation performance for simple and quick comparison of the results. Findings of the present study depict a hierarchical and multi spatial level assessment of model performance.     

国家土地覆盖数据的生产与建库

土地覆盖变化的研究和分析,能够揭示自然与人文过程交叉最密切的一些问题,为此各国均开展了本国的国家级土地覆盖数据的生产。本文在参考国外土地覆盖数据生产相关经验的基础上,结合我国的国情,基于陆地卫星影像,研制了30m土地覆盖分类系统,采用非监督分类、监督分类与人工解译相结合的方法,生产了全国范围的土地覆盖数据;并基于ORACLE数据库;建立了国家土地覆盖数据库。     

MODIS土地覆盖分类的尺度不确定性研究

以空间异质性较强的枯水期鄱阳湖为研究区,以搭载于同一卫星平台、具有同一观测时间和较高空间分辨率的ASTER数据为参照,分析研究了MODIS数据在土地覆盖分类中由空间尺度带来的不确定性。首先基于MODIS三角权重函数,建立了从ASTER到MODIS的尺度转换方法;然后对不同空间分辨率的数据进行土地覆盖分类,并基于误差矩阵和线性模型分析了MODIS土地覆盖分类结果的误差来源。结果表明,空间分辨率和光谱分辨率与成像方式这两类因素对MODIS与ASTER分类结果差异的贡献比例约为(6.6—11.2):2;MODIS像元尺度对研究区水体的分类不确定性影响较低,而对森林的不确定性影响可达63%。由此可见,在基于MODIS数据的土地覆盖分类研究中,空间尺度所产生的不确定性是比较显著的。这些研究结果对于土地覆盖分类及变化检测、尺度效应和景观生态学不确定性研究,有积极的参考意义。     

Making more out of pixel-level change information: using a neighbourhood approach to improve land change characterization across large and heterogeneous areas

The paper demonstrates two issues; (i) how a ‘moving window approach’, that translates pixel level detected changes to landscape level, can be implemented; (ii) how the approach can overcome the limitations of pixel level change information to characterize change over large areas. First we detected changes from two periods (1986 and 2010) of LULC maps. On the pixel-based changes, we ran focal statistics summation operator separately for selected window sizes (1–10 km). Further, we assessed effect of scale in depicting the pattern and amount of change. The approach is found useful to overcome major shortfalls of pixel-based change characterization. However, varying scale of analysis provide varying amount of change and differently represent change patterns. Thus, implementing the approach over complex and large areas requires multi-scale approach. Subdividing complex and large areas into homogeneous zones can help to implement the multi-scale approach and facilitate the selection of appropriate scale of analysis.     

小尺度土地利用变化模型在岩溶山区的应用

针对当前土地利用模拟技术在岩溶地区应用较少的现状,该文提出了利用CLUE-S模型对岩溶地区土地利用变化进行模拟。此模型全面考虑自然和人文因子,通过迭代方法综合空间分析和非空间分析,较好地模拟小尺度范围内土地利用变化,具有综合性、开放性、空间性、竞争效率性等特点。研究结果表明:该模型不仅能够准确地反映未来研究区土地利用变化趋势,而且能较好地筛选影响未来土地利用变化主要影响因子,进行不同情景土地利用变化模拟,对岩溶地区土地利用规划和管理具有参考价值。     

全球地理信息数据建设优先区分析

以全球1：25万分幅地表覆盖类别格网单元数据为基础,本文采用因素组合法对卫星影像获取难度、地形类别、云覆盖、景观破碎度等限制因素进行了分析,采用AHP法确定各限制因子权重、多因素综合指数法计算得分、自然间断点法进行优先区划分,最终将5类测绘地理信息数据（DOM、DSM、DEM、DLG、LC）建设优先区按照由易到难的次序划分为优先建设、适宜建设、困难建设区3类。研究分析能够为国家级测绘地理信息相关项目的任务划分、经费定额、工程实施等提供借鉴和参考依据。     

Integrating the system dynamic and cellular automata models to predict land use and land cover change

Land use and land cover change (LULCC) is a widely researched topic in related studies. A number of models have been established to simulate LULCC patterns. However, the integration of the system dynamic (SD) and the cellular automata (CA) model have been rarely employed in LULCC simulations, although it allows for combining the advantages of each approach and therefore improving the simulation accuracy. In this study, we integrated an SD model and a CA model to predict LULCC under three future development scenarios in Northern Shanxi province of China, a typical agro-pastoral transitional zone. The results indicated that our integrated approach represented the impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors on LULCC well, and could accurately simulate the magnitude and spatial pattern of LULCC. The modeling scenarios illustrated that different development pathways would lead to various LULCC patterns. This study demonstrated the advantages of the integration approach for simulating LULCC and suggests that LULCC is affected to a large degree by natural and socioeconomic factors.     

青岛开发区土地利用/土地覆盖变化分析

土地利用/土地覆盖变化研究是全球环境变化和可持续发展的热点问题。本文利用青岛开发区1995、2000、2004年三幅Landsat TM影像及辅助数据,对该地区10年间的土地利用/土地覆盖变化进行分析研究,并对分析结果作出评价,结果表明青岛市开发区的城市化进程在不断加快,建筑用地在增加,耕地和林地被建筑用地占用比较突出     

SAR polarimetric change detection for flooded vegetation

Abstract

Due to spatial and temporal variability an effective monitoring system for water resources must consider the use of remote sensing to provide information. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is useful due to timely data acquisition and sensitivity to surface water and flooded vegetation. The ability to map flooded vegetation is attributed to the double bounce scattering mechanism, often dominant for this target. Dong Ting Lake in China is an ideal site for evaluating SAR data for this application due to annual flooding caused by mountain snow melt causing extensive changes in flooded vegetation. A curvelet-based approach for change detection in SAR imagery works well as it highlights the change and suppresses the speckle noise. This paper addresses the extension of this change detection technique to polarimetric SAR data for monitoring surface water and flooded vegetation. RADARSAT-2 images of Dong Ting Lake demonstrate this curvelet-based change detection technique applied to wetlands although it is applicable to other land covers and for post disaster impact assessment. These tools are important to Digital Earth for map updating and revision.     

Integrating global land cover products for improved forest cover characterization: an application in North America

Six widely used coarse-resolution global land cover data-sets – Global Land Cover Characterization (GLCC), Global Land Cover 2000 (GLC2000), GlobCover land cover product (GlobCover), MODIS land cover product (MODIS LC), the University of Maryland land cover product (UMD LC), and the MODIS Vegetation Continuous Fields tree cover layer (MODIS VCF) disagree substantially in their estimates of forest cover. Employing a regression tree model trained on higher-resolution, Landsat-based data, these multisource multiresolution maps were integrated for an improved characterization of forest cover over North America. Evaluated using a withheld test sample, the integrated percent forest cover (IPFC) data-set has a root mean square error of 11.75% – substantially better than the 17.37% of GLCC, 17.61% of GLC2000, 17.96% of GlobCover, 15.23% of MODIS LC, 19.25% of MODIS VCF, and 15.15% of UMD LC, respectively. Although demonstrated for forest, this approach based on integration of multiple products has potential for improved characterization of other land cover types as well.     

地理信息历史数据在环境变化监测中的应用

在遥感与地理信息技术基础上,分析现有的地理信息历史资料及其在资源环境监测中的应用,并以某湿地为研究区,根据不同时期的地理信息历史资料,重建湿地空间分布的时间演化,探究其演变原因,以期为研究区内的环境保护提供可参考的依据。同时,充分开发利用现有的地理信息资源,为资源环境监测提供有效服务。     

基于图形数据差的居民地变化信息提取方法研究

作为空间数据库更新的一项关键内容,变化信息的提取直接关系着整个更新工作的效果。居民地是空间实体中变化频率较高的要素,成为空间数据库更新的关注重点。文中针对当前提取方法尚未关注空间实体具体变化的问题,提出一种基于图形数据差的居民地变化信息提取方法。根据图形数据差的分类,实现变化信息的归类,继而通过图形数据差的判别方法,达到居民地变化信息提取的目的。通过实验验证该方法的可行性和有效性。     

Spatiotemporal analysis of land use/cover changes in Nanchang area,China

Based on remote sensing and Geographic Information System techniques, multi-temporal Landsat data were used to monitor land use/cover changes (LUCC) in the Nanchang area during 1989–2010. Quantitative and spatiotemporal indicators derived from the transition matrix for overall changes, intensity analysis for inter-category transitions, and spatiotemporal analysis of intra-category variations were constructed to analyze the spatiotemporal LUCC evolution. The study results show that urban and industrial land rapidly and continually expanded. The spatial extent of rural settlements shrunk while their distribution density increased. Cultivated land showed a tendency of spatially continuous loss and fragmented distribution, whereas the spatial pattern of forest tended to concentrate. The extents of ponds and reservoirs remained stable, but spatial changes were obvious. Rivers and bottomlands decreased significantly and tended toward fragmentation. The overall LUCC pattern showed that construction land rapidly sprawled while cultivated land decreased substantially, indicating an accelerating stage of urbanization and industrialization. Although rigid land requirements for urbanization had to be satisfied, land development and consolidation across forests and water body areas, as well as adjustment of agricultural structure, laid the foundation for a transition toward intensive land use in the Nanchang area.     

遥感时间序列影像变化检测研究进展

同一区域、不同时期大量历史数据的积累,以及同一区域能够方便地获取高时间分辨率遥感数据,使遥感时间序列影像变化检测成为近年来遥感技术与应用的研究热点。本文系统总结和评述了当前遥感时间序列影像变化检测的相关研究进展和应用状况,在阐明遥感时间序列分析的意义,以及时间序列影像在变化检测中的优势的基础上,从非遥感领域时间序列变化检测方法出发,针对遥感时间序列影像变化检测的需求,明确和归纳了遥感时间序列变化检测的问题与类型,并对当前最新研究进行了综述,总结了各种方法的优点与不足,重点介绍了基于经验模态分解的遥感时间序列影像异常信息检测方法和基于隐马尔可夫模型的土地利用/覆盖变化检测方法,以期能够为相关研究提供参考。最后总结了该研究领域的发展趋势和存在问题,并对今后的研究工作和未来发展方向进行了展望。