Assessing the Effect of the Volga Reservoirs Chain on the Normal Annual Phosphorus Runoff into the Caspian Sea

With the help of a stationary balance model, the mean annual amounts of P retained in the chain of the Volga water reservoirs are sequentially calculated. It is found that with the current anthropogenic load, the Volga River regulation leads to a twofold decrease in the P runoff into the Caspian Sea.     

Regime of water balance components of the Caspian Sea

The results of studying the hydrological regime of the Caspian Sea and its basin climate in observation period 1945–2010 are generalized. The results of analysis of the regime of precipitation, air temperature in the Caspian Sea basin and its level, as well as Volga runoff in periods of Caspian Sea level rise and drop are given. The conformity in variations of the trends in Caspian Sea level its basin climate is demonstrated, and the direction of further studies is substantiated.     

Shedding light on the timing of the largest Late Quaternary transgression of the Caspian Sea

The Late Quaternary history of the Caspian Sea remains controversial. One of the major disagreements in this debate concerns the stratigraphic correlation of various deposits in the Caspian Basin. In this paper we identify and date, for the first time, the Enotaevka regression, lying between the two major phases of the largest Late Quaternary Caspian Sea transgression, the Khvalynian transgressive epoch, and provide a minimum estimate of sea level decrease during this regression. The River Volga is the major source of water to the Caspian; the Lower Volga region is unique in its record of palaeogeographic events, and this provides the opportunity to build a single stratigraphic and palaeogeographic history for the Pleistocene of Central Eurasia. Here we use luminescence to establish a new chronology for the largest Late Quaternary transgressive epoch of the Caspian Sea. The existing radiocarbon chronology does not allow the resolution of the two transgressive phases of this epoch (Early and Late Khvalynian). Based on clear palaeontological and geomorphological evidence, these must be very different in age, but shells associated with both transgressions gave very scattered ages of between 8 and 50 ka. This ambiguity has led to considerable discussion concerning the existence or otherwise of a deep Enotaevka regression phase between the two Khvalynian transgressions. Recently we have again identified these deposits at Kosika, on the right valley side of the Volga River. The new luminescence chronology described here, based on quartz OSL and K-feldspar pIRIR₂₉₀ ages, allows us to reconstruct the complicated history of Late Quaternary sedimentation in the southern part of the Lower Volga valley. The Kosika section reflects the following major stages: (1) the earlier Khazarian transgressive epoch; (2) a decrease in the sea level with the development of a freshwater lake/lagoon in the Volga valley; and (3) the Khvalynian transgressive-regressive epoch, including both the Early and Late Khvalynian transgressive periods, and the intercalated Enotaevka regression. Sea level during the early stage of the Khvalynian transgression reached Kosika at about 23–22 ka (approx. −1 to −2 m asl). This event is of the same age as the “grey clay” strata at the base of the Leninsk section marine unit (Kurbanov et al., 2021), also formed at the beginning of the Early Khvalynian transgression. Around 15–14 ka the Khvalynian basin moved to a regressive stage, and in the northern part of the Lower Volga the top part of the well-known ‘Chocolate Clay’ accumulated. In the southern part of the valley marine accumulation stopped at about 12–13 ka. This allows us to reconstruct a decrease in Early Khvalynian basin sea level between 15–14 ka and 13–12 ka ago, of about ∼15 m. At the Kosika section sediments derived from the Enotayevka regression are visible as a weakly developed palaeosol with evidence of surficial erosion, and these sediments are now dated to 13–12 ka. At 8.6 ± 0.5 ka, during the period of the Mangyshlak regression, aeolian deflation processes reworked sediments deposited by immediately preceding Late Khvalynian transgression.     

Elision and Infiltration Waters in the Northern Caspian

Elision and infiltration groundwater of the Northern Caspian basin are described. It is shown that a zone of elision brines with a high formation pressure exists under the Caspian Sea. These brines are shown to penetrate from below the Caspian Sea into the underground beds, carry fluids, and facilitate the formation of hydrocarbon fields.     

A detailed luminescence chronology of the Lower Volga loess-palaeosol sequence at Leninsk

We present a detailed luminescence chronology of the loess-palaeosol sequences in the Lower Volga region of Russia at the Leninsk site – an important palaeogeographic archive describing the climate and environmental conditions of regressive stages of the Caspian Sea. The chronology of these sediments has received very little attention compared to the under- and overlying marine deposits. The degree of bleaching was addressed by making use of the differential resetting rates of quartz and feldspar. Our results show that the quartz OSL and feldspar pIRIR_50,290 signals were sufficiently bleached before deposition and uncertainties in bleaching have a negligible impact on the reliability of the luminescence ages. The combined quartz OSL and K-feldspar pIRIR_50,290 chronology constrains the main stages of the Northern Caspian Lowland evolution during the Late Quaternary. During early MIS 5 (130–120 ka), the northern part of the Lower Volga was covered by a shallow brackish water estuary of the warm Late Khazarian Caspian Sea transgression. After ∼122 ka, the Volga incised the Northern Caspian Lowland surface following sea-level decrease and the start of subaerial conditions at Leninsk. Loess accumulation rate increased towards the end of MIS 5 and two palaeosols of presumably MIS 5с and MIS 5a age formed, exhibiting features evidencing a dry, cold climate, influenced by long seasonal flooding by the Volga River. Cryogenesis affecting the MIS 5a soil is a regional phenomenon and is dated to between ∼70 and 90 ka. The overlying thick Atelian loess unit formed during the cold periods of MIS 4 and MIS 3. Clear erosional features at the top of the Atelian loess are constrained by luminescence to ∼35 to ∼24 ka, allowing reconstruction of erosion of 150–200 cm of loess.     

Probabilistic Regularities in Setup Variations in the Level of a Large Inland Water Body: Case Study of the Caspian Sea

The results of probabilistic analysis of data on setup level variations collected during long-term observations at all gages along the Caspian Sea coast are discussed. A procedure for evaluating low-probability sea level extremes is proposed. Estimates are given for the probabilities of outstanding setups in the Caspian Sea and the Sea of Azov.     

A Nonlinear Model of Level Variations in the Caspian Sea

A new thermophysical mechanism of the Caspian Sea level variations is proposed. The mechanism incorporates the effect exerted on the dynamics of the water budget of the Caspian Sea by the nonlinear dependence of the evaporation rate on the moistening of the basin.     

Application of the Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) method to the Caspian Sea conflict

This study proposes a promising allocation mechanism of the Caspian Sea natural resources, which are presently shared among five countries. To date, these nations have been unable to reach an allocation agreement. We apply a methodology to propose the most appropriate solution under different risk attitudes of the states. This research is different from other studies regarding the Caspian Sea negotiations in that it employs risk-based fuzzy multi attribute decision making methods for simulating the risk attitudes or optimism/pessimism degrees of the decision makers. The ordered weighted averaging (OWA) approach, which considers the optimism/pessimism degree quantitatively, is used to take into account the effects of different risk attitudes of the negotiators on the final outcome. We demonstrate how one could obtain a range of alternatives under different multi attribute and risk attitudes. The induced OWA (IOWA) method is also used to determine the relative power of these states bordering the Caspian Sea by considering several attributes, including different risk attitudes of agents. Results indicate that taking into account the risk attitude (prone, neutral, averse) of the states can affect the overall ranking of the proposed solutions. The findings from this study may facilitate negotiation regarding the most preferred allocation mechanism for the Caspian Sea.     

Numerical Simulation of the Caspian Sea Circulation Using the Marine and Atmospheric Research System

The Marine and Atmospheric Research System (MARS) for the Caspian Sea meteorological characteristics is presented, which is implemented in Zubov State Oceanographic Institute. It includes computation of the atmospheric forcing with the Weather Research and Forecasting model, as well as computation of currents, sea level, temperature, salinity and sea ice with the Institute of Numerical Mathematics Ocean Model and the computation of wind wave parameters using the Russian wind-wave model. The results are presented on verification of the hydrometeocharacteristics simulated with the MARS for the Caspian Sea. As well, the retrospective simulation of the thermohydrodynamic characteristics in this basin is performed with MARS for the ice-free period 2003–2013. The important features of the Caspian Sea circulation are shown.     

Long-Term variations in water levels in the Volga mouth area and their dependence on the Caspian Sea level variations

Long-term water level variations in the Volga mouth area and the effect exerted on them by the river’s flow and the Caspian Sea’s level variations are considered. Quantitative relationships were identified between the mean annual water levels at different gages in the mouth and the sea level. A backwater component was isolated in the long-term variations in water level in the Volga mouth area. Relationships between the daily water levels in the mouth and the Caspian Sea’s level at fixed water flow in the delta apex are presented. The magnitude and the propagation distance of backwater from the sea into the delta are specified. The responses of the mouth areas of rivers emptying into the Caspian Sea to sea level variations in the past century are compared.     

Variations in apparent resistivity associated with geodynamic processes in the area of an oil-and-gas field

This paper is concerned with the variations of apparent resistivity for the period 2000–2005 as obtained by vertical direct-current electrical sounding with an AB separation equal to 300 m. The site was the Dmitrovskoe oil-and-gas field, which is situated on the western coast of the Caspian Sea in a seismic region of Dagestan.     

The Khvalynian transgression of the Caspian Sea and the New-Euxinian basin of the Black Sea

The Late Pleistocene history of the Caspian and Black seas is considered. It is suggested that the New-Euxinian basin was to a great degree due to the penetration of the Caspian water through the Manych depression into the Black Sea during the Caspian-Early Khvalynian transgression.     

Present-day changes in water consumption in the Caspian Sea basin

Indices characterizing the withdrawal of water resources in the basins of rivers flowing into the Caspian Sea and the use of these resources in different economic sectors in 1970–2003 are analyzed. The dynamics of disposal of wastewaters and collector-drainage waters is discussed. Tendencies in changes in the volumes of consumptive water use in the basins of individual rivers and the Caspian Sea as a whole are identified.     

Formulation of the Caspian Sea’s legal regime using a joint zone approach

The legal regime of the Caspian Sea has been determined under Treaties 1921 and 1940 by and between Iran and former Soviet Union. In fact, we are neither to explain it nor to determine. As understood from the provisions therein, the exploitation and use of the Caspian Sea by both countries are based on the Condominium. However, there is a 10-nautical mile strip as exclusive fishing areas which have been allocated to the states under the 1940 treaty. It means that Soviet Union and Iran may benefit the marine livings resources out of that strip on an equal manner. This right also includes the seabed and underlying bed. So, the legal regime of this sea may be based on a 10-nautical mile exclusive region for all five states and the remaining part as common and joint area under an agreement until an explaining and supervising organization is established to exploit and supervise over living and non-livings resources.     

Macro- and microelements in the interstitial water of deep-water areas of the Southern and Middle Caspian Sea

The results of determinations of macro- and microelement concentrations (Mn, Fe, Ba, Sr, Rb, Si, Pb, and U) in the interstitial water in four cores of bottom sediments sampled in the deep-water areas of the Southern and Middle Caspian Sea are compared with the concentrations of these elements in the free water of the Caspian Sea. The data obtained amplify the present-day concept on the geochemical and ecological states of the sea.     

Regime of Low-Frequency Wave Motion in the Coastal Zone of the Northwestern Caspian Sea

Regime characteristics of infragravitational and wind-induced waves for the northwestern Caspian Sea are given. The role of infragravitational waves in the dynamics of the northern Caspian coastal zone is determined based on empiric regional relationships, used to improve the conventional methods, and wind wave calculations.     

Geographical and Ecological Characteristics of the Caspian Sea and Modern Tendencies in the Evolution of Its Ecosystem

The Caspian Sea is characterized in the geographic and ecological aspects, and the state of its ecosystem is estimated. The natural and anthropogenic processes that control the formation of the environmental conditions in the Caspian Sea and the distribution of principal commercial hydrobionts and their food items are analyzed. Data on modern tendencies in changes in the abiotic and biotic parameters of the ecosystem, their causes and mechanisms are summarized. Prospects of further changes related to the development of shelf fields of petroleum hydrocarbons are assessed.     

Regularities in the spatial distribution of some macro-and microelements in the Caspian Sea water

The distribution of some microelements (Sr, Si, Ba, Mo, Rb, and Mn) in the surface and deep-sea waters in various parts of the Caspian Sea is considered in comparison with the distribution of salt-forming macroelements. The observed mean concentrations of microelements and their variations over the sea area and with depth indicate to the presence of additional, other than Volga runoff, sources supplying Sr, Ba, U, Rb, and Mn to the Caspian Sea.     

Long-Term Variations in the Vertical Thermohaline Structure in Deep-Water Zones of the Caspian Sea

Long-term variability in water temperature and salinity in August has been determined for deep-water segments of standard profiles in the Central and Southern Caspian Sea based on data of on-board observations carried out in 1956–2000. Estimates of parameters of the vertical thermohaline structure of waters were obtained for four time intervals. These estimates have been compared to the variability in the main external factors governing the formation of thermohaline regime. Appreciable long-term variations in the vertical thermohaline structure of waters, caused by a nonperiodic alternation of two main types of hydrological processes in the Caspian Sea are revealed. Qualitative characteristics of these two types are presented.     

Discharge currents in shallow offshore mouth area of the Volga based on space photography data

The main results of studying discharge currents in the shallow offshore mouth area of the Volga River based on space photography materials collected during 1975–1997 are considered. The hydrographic zoning of the shallow offshore zone was elaborated taking into account the obtained data on the positions of discharge streams. The southern marine boundary of the region was established for the first time by the zone of convergence of river discharge streams and marine alongshore currents. A computer technique was developed for the compilation of discharge current maps in the shallow offshore zone of the Volga based on space photographs. An electronic atlas of discharge streams in the shallow offshore zone is created, and maps of discharge currents are compiled for different hydrological phases and stages of the Caspian Sea.