河北省阳原县地质灾害调查与区划

结合地质灾害调查与区划项目中“以人为本”的思想，根据阳原县具体的地理情况、地质环境，分析引起地质灾害的主要因素，查明区内存在的地质灾害隐患，对地质灾害进行区划，划分出地质灾害危险区、易发区、稳定区，并依据区划结果提出治理阳原县地质灾害的切实可行的建议，指出在不同地质灾害区中采取不同处理措施。     

昆明市山地灾害风险分区及防治对策

通过地质灾害调查，认为昆明市地质灾害以泥石流、滑坡、崩塌为主。分析地质灾害时空分布及形成条件，从致灾因子角度，给出昆明市地质灾害风险区划，提出地质灾害防治对策。     

中国地质灾害早期预警体系建设与展望

阐述了中国地质灾害防治面临的形势及早期预警体系建设的现状。贯彻以人为本、预防为主、防治结合的地质灾害原则，逐步形成和推行中国独特的地质灾害防治体系，其核心是建设早期预警体系，内容包括：地质灾害多发区地质灾害调查和区划、建设用地的地质灾害危险性评估和地质灾害的监测预警。另外，还对比了中国和国际地质灾害防治情况，展望未来地质灾害防治的趋势。     

云南省地质灾害预报预警系统

基于云南省地质灾害综合研究成果，架构云南省地质灾害预报预警模型方法，认为：影响地质灾害活动是多种因素叠加，地质灾害系统是一个开放、复杂的灾害系统。在对影响地质灾害发生因素分析的基础上，可以利用相应的预测模型，对给定区域内发生地质灾害的危险度作预测，由此创建概念模型和数学模型，运用VB语言在MapGIS平台上进行二次开发，建立了云南省地质灾害预报预警系统。     

铜川市耀州区地质灾害预警方法研究

铜川市耀州区位于陕北黄土高原南缘，具有黄土塬区地质灾害发生发展的共同特点，属地质灾害多发区之一。根据该区地质环境背景，对其进行地质灾害易发度分区；结合人口、地面设施、土地利用现状等因素，进行地质灾害危害度分区。将易发度分区图与危害度分区图进行叠加分析，获得该区地质灾害防治分区图。利用该区和邻近地区历史上已发生的地质灾害与降水关系实际数据，建立该区地质灾害气象预警判断图，再依据当地实际降水量来判断地质灾害发生的可能性．发出地质灾害预警预报，以便采取有效的防治措施，将地质灾害造成的损失降到最低。     

宁夏汛期地质灾害预报模型研究

文章通过二十多年来宁夏发生地质灾害的概况，阐述了宁夏主要地质灾害类型、分布和形成机理。针对地质灾害易发区的分布状况及降雨对地质灾害的触发作用，初步探讨了降雨与地质灾害发生之间的关系，建立了汛期地质灾害预报模型。分析了该模型在2004年地质灾害预报中的应用情况及实用性，为进一步做好地质灾害气象预报工作打下一定的基础。     

地质灾害风险评估在国土空间规划中的应用——以陕北榆林高西沟为例

榆林市米脂县高西沟村位于黄土高原丘陵沟壑区，属于地质灾害多发区，因此，考虑地质灾害风险的国土空间规划具有极其重要的意义。笔者基于地质灾害调查数据，选取坡度、坡向、地质灾害发育密度等评价指标，采用信息量模型以斜坡单元进行危险性评价，在此基础上叠加承灾体易损性进行定量风险评价，划定地质灾害风险分区。利用ArcGIS将地质灾害风险区划与现状功能区叠加，将高西沟重构为4个国土空间分区：地质灾害中风险–生活居住区、地质灾害低风险–生态功能区、地质灾害低风险–农业生产区和沟谷区，并提出国土空间优化策略。     

基于GIS的地质灾害预测--以清江流域为例

地质灾害的频繁发生，严重威胁着人民生命财产安全，并阻碍着社会经济可持续发展，因此对地质灾害发生区域的预测尤为重要。文章在分析清工流域历来地质灾害空间分布规律和影响清江流域地质灾害发生发育的因素基础上，确定了影响该区域地质灾害发生的重要因素，通过数学模型，将这些因素进行定量化和分级，采用GIS的信息处理和空间叠加方法，实现了对清江流域地质灾害空间分布的预测，获得清江流域地质灾害预测分布图。     

云南省绿春县城区地质灾害易发性分析

云南省绿春县城区人口密集，工程建设活动强烈，地质环境条件脆弱，人与自然矛盾突出，地质灾害发育，区内长期来一直饱受地质灾害的困扰。为查明县城区地质灾害的易发性，本文在对县城区开展地质灾害和孕灾地质环境条件调查的基础上，采用地质灾害综合强度指数法，以定性分析与定量评价相结合的原则开展县城区地质灾害易发性分析，划定易发性分区，最终为区内地质灾害防治和风险防控提供参考依据。     

煤矿开采诱发的地质灾害特征分析———以太原西山矿区为例

以太原西山矿区为例，介绍了因煤矿开采造成的各种地质灾害，分析了各种煤矿地质灾害的形成特点、煤矿地质灾害的特点以及煤矿地质灾害的环境效应，为煤矿地质灾害的研究及治理提供依据。     

五百梯长兴生物礁气藏储层连通性分析

五百梯长兴生物礁气藏储层岩性以白云岩为主,储层渗透性差非均质性很强。因此对该气藏连通性的研究是必要的。本文通过分析气藏的气体性质和折算地层压力在静态上来判断气藏是否连通,再通过井间干扰测试在动态上描述气藏连通性的好坏。连通性问题的研究能够直接指导五百梯长兴生物礁气藏生产,对于类似气藏也具有很好的借鉴和指导意义。     

煤系地层中储层基本特征与优质储层的形成与分布

通过对鄂尔多斯盆地和四川盆地煤系地层中发育的优质储层分布规律研究,发现优质储层主要受层序界面、有利沉积相带、有机酸性水的溶蚀作用等因素控制。一般来说,优质储层主要分布在三级层序的中下部、三角洲平原或前缘多期分流河道叠置的部位。它们在有机酸性水大量形成时期保留了较多的原生孔隙,酸性水容易进入并溶解其中易溶的碎屑颗粒,产生大量次生溶蚀孔隙,从而形成相对优质的有效储集层。因此,优质储层纵向上与不整合面或层序界面密切相关;平面上受沉积有利相带或断裂带的控制。     

三峡水库运行条件下兰陵溪场镇库岸边坡稳定性分析

根据三峡库水位调控方案,在分析库水位变化与岸坡稳定性的一般规律的基础上,对兰陵溪场镇库岸边坡稳定性进行定性分析,并采用传递系数法计算四个剖面在不同工况条件下的稳定性系数。结果表明：蓄水时,各实测剖面的稳定性均下降,发生局部岸踏的可能性自北向南逐渐增大;汛期防洪库水位从高程175m降为145m时,稳定性最差,极有可能发生整体性塌岸事故。因此,只有在水位骤降这种极限状态下保持稳定,才能确保兰陵溪场镇库岸边坡的安全,这对边坡防治以及水库安全运营提供了科学依据。     

Fracability Evaluation of the Unconventional Mud-Shale Reservoir

<正>1 Introduction The brittleness of the shale mineral content has important influence on mud shale reservoir exploitation,high brittleness mineral content areas are generally believed to the benefit of the fracture section.But brittleness mineral content not on behalf of the rock strength,some brittle     

万家寨水库冰塞计算方法探讨

通过对冰塞体的受力分析找出影响冰塞河段稳定流速的因素, 利用万家寨水库冰塞实测资料建立了稳定流速计算的经验关系式.稳定流速计算公式与有压管流能量方程联解求出各断面测压管水位和冰盖底部高程, 根据浮力原理求出冰塞河段的冰面高程.经实测资料验证, 结果精度较好, 达到设计要求.     

Prediction Model of Coal Reservoir Pressure and its Implication for the Law of Coal Reservoir Depressurization

The main methods of coalbed methane(CBM) development are drainage and depressurization, and a precise prediction of coal reservoir pressure is thus crucial for the evaluation of reservoir potentials and the formulation of reasonable development plans. This work established a new reservoir pressure prediction model based on the material balance equation(MBE) of coal reservoir, which considers the self-regulating effects of coal reservoirs and the dynamic change of equivalent drainage area(EDA). According to the proposed model, the reservoir pressure can be predicted based on reservoir condition data and the actual production data of a single well. Compared with traditional reservoir pressure prediction models which regard EDA as a fixed value, the proposed model can better predict the average pressure of reservoirs. Moreover, orthogonal experiments were designed to evaluate the sensitivity of reservoir parameters on the reservoir pressure prediction results of this proposed model. The results show that the saturation of irreducible water is the most sensitive parameter, followed by Langmuir volume and reservoir porosity, and Langmuir pressure is the least sensitive parameter. In addition, the pressure drop of reservoirs is negatively correlated with the saturation of irreducible water and the Langmuir volume, while it is positively correlated with porosity. This work analyzed the reservoir pressure drop characteristics of the CBM wells in the Shizhuangnan Block of the Qinshui Basin, and the results show that the CBM reservoir depressurization can be divided into three types, i.e., rapidly drop type, medium-term stability type, and slowly drop type. The drainage features of wells were reasonably interpreted based on the comprehensive analysis of the reservoir depressurization type; the latter was coupled to the corresponding permeability dynamic change characteristics, eventually proving the applicability of the proposed model.     

Object and Pixel-Based Reservoir Modeling of a Braided Fluvial Reservoir

To assess differences between object and pixel-based reservoir modeling techniques, ten realizations of a UK Continental Shelf braided fluvial reservoir were produced using Boolean Simulation (BS) and Sequential Indicator Simulation (SIS). Various sensitivities associated with geological input data as well as with technique-specific modeling parameters were analyzed for both techniques. The resulting realizations from the object-based and pixel-based modeling efforts were assessed by visual inspection and by evaluation of the values and ranges of the single-phase effective permeability tensors, obtained through upscaling. The BS method performed well for the modeling of two types of fluvial channels, yielding well-confined channels, but failed to represent the complex interaction of these with sheetflood and other deposits present in the reservoir. SIS gave less confined channels and had great difficulty in representing the large-scale geometries of one type of channel while maintaining its appropriate proportions. Adding an SIS background to the Boolean channels, as opposed to a Boolean background, resulted in an improved distribution of sheetflood bodies. The permeability results indicated that the SIS method yielded models with much higher horizontal permeability values (20–100%) and lower horizontal anisotropy than the BS versions. By widening the channel distribution and increasing the range of azimuths, however, the BS-produced models gave results approaching the SIS behavior. For this reservoir, we chose to combine the two methods by using object-based channels and a pixel-based heterogeneous background, resulting in moderate permeability and anisotropy levels.     

白豹油田长8油藏成岩储集相

以沉积相为基础,利用各类分析化验资料,对白豹油田长8油藏岩石学特征、储集特征和成岩作用开展深入研究。结果表明,研究区储层岩石成分成熟度偏低,结构成熟度中等,储集空间以粒间孔、长石溶孔为主,表现为细孔、微孔和细喉、微喉特征。依据本文提出的评价方法对研究区4种主要的成岩作用进行定量评价,表明储层成岩作用以中等-强压实、中等-强胶结、中等-强交代、中等溶蚀为主。综合以上研究,将白豹油田长8油藏划分为强溶蚀弱胶结混合孔隙成岩储集相、中等压实中等溶蚀复合孔隙成岩储集相、强压实中等胶结残余孔隙成岩储集相、强压实强胶结微孔隙成岩储集相4种类型,其中,强溶蚀弱胶结混合孔隙成岩储集相油气储渗能力最强,强压实强胶结微孔隙成岩储集相油气储渗能力最差。     

水库边缘冰上钻探

我队于1982年在康平县三台子煤田水库边冰上成功地打了七个钻孔。五台钻机用53天时间钻进3066.99米,较好地完成了钻探任务（表1）。