Use of tsunami waveforms for earthquake source study

Tsunami waveforms recorded on tide gauges, like seismic waves recorded on seismograms, can be used to study earthquake source processes. The tsunami propagation can be accurately evaluated, since bathymetry is much better known than seismic velocity structure in the Earth. Using waveform inversion techniques, we can estimate the spatial distribution of coseismic slip on the fault plane from tsunami waveforms. This method has been applied to several earthquakes around Japan. Two recent earthquakes, the 1968 Tokachi-oki and 1983 Japan Sea earthquakes, are examined for calibration purposes. Both events show nonuniform slip distributions very similar to those obtained from seismic wave analyses. The use of tsunami waveforms is more useful for the study of unusual or old earthquakes. The 1984 Torishima earthquake caused unusually large tsunamis for its earthquake size. Waveform modeling of this event shows that part of the abnormal size of this tsunami is due to the propagation effect along the shallow ridge system. For old earthquakes, many tide gauge records exist with quality comparable to modern records, while there are only a few good quality seismic records. The 1944 Tonankai and 1946 Nankaido earthquakes are examined as examples of old events, and slip distributions are obtained. Such estimates are possible only using tsunami records. Since tide-gauge records are available as far back as the 1850s, use of them will provide unique and important information on long-term global seismicity.     

边坡动力作用效应及动安全系数分析方法

目前，对于边坡动力响应规律（位移、速度、加速度）的研究较少。对动力安全系数的评价也未有统一的标准，直接运用于工程实际仍需广泛的模型试验、数值模拟、余震观测资料来充实。文章基于动力时程分析法，针对地震边坡稳定性提出了一套较为全面的分析及评价方法。并结合金安桥水电站堆积体边坡进行实例分析，对类似课题具有参考价值。     

筒型基础防波堤稳定性简化计算方法

筒型基础防波堤是一种新型港口与海岸工程结构,依靠下部筒体沉入土中维持结构稳定。结合实际工程,建立了筒型基础防波堤稳定性分析的三维弹塑性有限元模型,得出了其失稳模式为绕基础筒底以下某点发生转动失稳。通过对结构进行极限状态受力分析,建立了基于实际转动点的结构稳定性计算方法,对稳定性计算模型和土体作用力计算公式等进行了检验。在此基础上,将转动点移至基础筒底部距结构中心线水平距离为h′的位置,以此作为结构倾覆破坏时的假想支撑点,建立了基于重力式结构稳定性验算模式的筒型基础防波堤稳定性分析的简化方法。通过不同基础尺度下计算结果的分析比较,建议了h′的取值。与有限元计算结果的比较表明,建立的简化计算方法具有较高的精度,可供实际工程参用。     

砂性地基中防波堤地震残余变形机制分析与液化度预测法

海港工程中防波堤地震残余变形的预测以及震损机制的分析是较复杂的问题。采用定义在应变空间中考虑土体动主应力轴方向偏转影响的多重剪切机构塑性模型,分别从砂性土的黏粒含量和标贯击数2个主要影响因素对防波堤地震变形的变化机制进行了有效应力分析,得出防波堤较大的残余变形是由于地震作用下土体中孔隙水压力的升高致使土体软化而产生的。然后,采用液化度单一指标从物理本质上来间接表征防波堤的残余变形,得到防波堤残余变形与液化度之间的函数预测关系,预测值与震害调查值以及数值分析值基本相符,表明所得液化度预测公式具有一定的可靠性。残余变形的液化度预测法可为类似防波堤地震灾害设计与评价提供参考依据。     

地震作用下高堆尾矿坝永久变形与稳定性分析

综合采用时程分析法、整体变形分析法（等效节点力法和软化模量法）、极限平衡法等方法,以小打鹅尾矿库为例,分析了该高堆尾矿坝的永久变形和动力稳定性。分析了干滩面长度、尾矿堆积坝高度、设计地震加速度等影响因素对尾矿坝的安全系数和永久变形的影响,以及地震作用下尾矿坝安全系数的时程变化规律。结果表明：尾矿坝的地震永久变形与一般土石坝的存在差异,其水平方向的永久变形大于竖直方向的永久变形,且永久变形与坝高不一定呈单调递增关系;地震中尾矿坝的最小安全系数与各影响因素大体呈线性关系,而坝顶处的震陷与各影响因素之间呈非线性关系;地震过程中尾矿坝瞬时安全系数具有波动降低的特点,为此,完善了地震作用下尾矿坝最小平均安全系数的计算方法。该研究表明小打鹅尾矿库坝体的抗震性能能够满足相应抗震设防要求。     

金江滑坡地震工况稳定分析与探讨

现阶段滑坡稳定计算大多采用拟静力方法中的极限平衡法,也是现行规范中推荐采用的计算方法.对于大多数滑坡持久工况和短暂工况该方法计算结果与地质理论评价结果基本一致,但对地震工况下的多数计算结果则与实际地质分析结果相差甚远.金江滑坡是白鹤滩水电站近坝区的一个巨型滑坡,在对该滑坡进行极限平衡法分析计算时,首先根据《水工建筑物抗震设计规范》(DL5073-2000)土石坝抗震稳定计算中对地震效应的处理方法,计算出滑坡体不同高度上的动态分布系数及相应高度上的水平向地震力和动态分布系数等效值,进而求解出地震力作用于整个滑坡体上的水平加速度折减值,然后再利用该水平加速度折减值进行稳定性计算.结果表明:在地震工况下金江滑坡整体稳定,稳定性系数为1.23~1.45,与实际地质理论分析结果具有较高的一致性,避免了完全按拟静力法计算结果与地质理论分析结果不符的问题出现.     

地震作用下岩羊村滑坡稳定性与失稳机制研究

以云南香丽高速公路沿线的岩羊村滑坡为研究对象,开展了滑坡动力稳定性评价及失稳机制研究:进行了不同烈度地震下的滑坡稳定性分析,采用滑带弹性区体积占比的变化反映其失稳过程,结合滑坡变形破坏模式,对滑坡整体稳定性进行评价;针对极限地震工况,分别从时间和空间角度描述滑坡失稳过程;建立了同时考虑滑带弱化和硬化的滑坡尖点突变模型,揭示了滑坡失稳的触发机制。研究表明:滑坡在区域Ⅷ度地震烈度条件下基本保持稳定,在锁固段的"锁固作用"下滑坡仅发生局部破坏;滑坡发生整体失稳的临界峰值加速度为2.29 m/s²,其失稳机制为在前缘牵引、后缘拉裂作用下,滑带塑性区贯通导致的整体失稳;地震作用下滑带前缘、中部、后缘并非同步破坏,表现为累积-触发效应;利用改进尖点突变模型推导了刚度效应失稳判据,揭示了滑坡整体稳定性与滑带介质的刚度及尺寸特性密切相关。研究结果为岩羊村滑坡的防治与抗震设计提供了指导,并可为同类工程的动力稳定性评价与失稳机制分析所借鉴。     

土坡地震稳定性影响因素分析

针对目前土质边坡地震稳定性评价还没有成熟可靠的标准,采用FLAC3D对土坡进行地震稳定性分析,得出：在土体强度参数中,摩擦角对土坡的稳定性影响最大。地震波传播方向平行于坡面时,比地震波传播方向与坡面相交时对土坡的危害要小得多。提出对土坡采用分级处理,多设置平台,更利于抗震。     

地震效应和坡顶超载对均质土坡稳定性影响的拟静力分析

基于强度折减技术和极限分析上限定理,假定机动容许的速度场破坏面,考虑坡顶超载、水平和竖向地震效应影响推导了边坡稳定性安全系数的计算表达式。采用序列二次规划迭代方法（和内点迭代方法）对边坡安全系数目标函数进行能量耗散最小化意义上的优化计算,与多个算例的对比验证了其方法和程序计算的正确性;对影响土质边坡动态稳定性的一些因素进行了参数分析,分析表明：随着边坡倾角?、坡顶超载q、水平和竖向地震效应影响系数的增大,边坡稳定性安全系数显著下降;随着坡顶超载q、水平地震效应影响系数kh的增大、竖向地震效应影响系数kv的减小,边坡的潜在滑动面越来越深,潜在破坏范围越来越大。竖向地震效应对边坡稳定性也有一定影响,强震条件下的设计计算必须考虑竖向地震效应的影响。     

地震作用下复合地基-筏板-上部结构相互作用体系的动力弹塑性分析

基于复合地基-上部结构相互作用的静力分析已取得一定的研究成果,但其在动力荷载作用下,特别是地震作用下的动力响应却相当匮乏。首先借助有关试验通过ABAQUS和EERA的模拟分析,验证了基于Drucker-Prager屈服准则的弹塑性模型能较好地反映土体非线性动力特性以及采用有限元与无限元耦合的方法对土体无限边界的模拟。在此基础上,针对实际问题建立了刚性桩复合地基-筏板-上部结构体系整体有限元模型,对其进行动力弹塑性时程分析,并讨论了该复合地基与桩基对地震响应的差异。深入研究了不同强度地震作用下,刚性桩复合地基的工作机制,包括桩体、褥垫层、筏板的动力响应以及上部结构的地震反应和抗震性能。结果表明,小震时褥垫层基本没有减震效果,大震时复合地基的抗震性能优于桩基。地震越强烈,减震效果越明显,但作用有限,减震系数一般在0.8以上,可为工程实践提供参考。     

Investigation of earthquake tsunami sources, capable of affecting Vietnamese coast

Based on the analysis of tectonic feature and geodynamic characteristics of regional faults systems in the southeast Asia, 9 source zones capable of generating tsunamis affecting Vietnamese coast were delineated in the South China Sea and adjacent sea areas. Statistical methods were applied to estimate the seismic hazard parameters for each source zone, which can be used for the detail tsunami hazard assessment in the future. Maximum earthquake magnitude is predicted for the Manila Trench (8.3?C8.7), the Sulu Sea (8.0?C8.4), and the Selebes Sea source zones (8.1?C8.5). Among the source zones, the Manila Trench, west of the Philippines is considered as a most potential tsunami source, affecting the Vietnamese coast. The estimated M _max values were used to develop simple scenarios (with a point source assumption) to calculate the tsunami travel time from each source zone to the Vietnamese coast. The results show that for the Manila Trench source zone, tsunami can hit the Vietnamese coast in 2?h at the earliest.     

提高地震应急效能的初步探讨

本文通过对地震应急的特征、国内外震例的分析 ,结合莆田市破坏性地震应急预案和莆田市地震局震情应急工作方案条文 ,对政府和各部门的地震应急预案衔接等问题提出具体方法 ,以提高地震应急工作的效率和能力 ,最大限度地减轻地震灾害造成的损失。     

Assessing building vulnerability to earthquake and tsunami hazard using remotely sensed data

Quantification of building vulnerability to earthquake and tsunami hazards is a key component for the implementation of structural mitigation strategies fostering the essential shift from post-disaster crisis reaction to preventive measures. Facing accelerating urban sprawl and rapid structural change in modern urban agglomerations in areas of high seismic and tsunami risk, the synergetic use of remote sensing and civil engineering methods offers a great potential to assess building structures up-to-date and area-wide. This paper provides a new methodology contextualizing key components in quantifying building vulnerability with regard to sequenced effects of seismic and tsunami impact. The study was carried out in Cilacap, a coastal City in Central Java, Indonesia. Central is the identification of significant correlations between building characteristics, easily detectable by remote sensing techniques, and detailed in situ measurements stating precise building vulnerability information. As a result, potential vertical evacuation shelters in the study area are detected and a realistic vulnerability assessment of the exposed building stock is given. These findings obtained allow for prioritization of intervention measures such as awareness and preparedness strategies and can be implemented in local disaster management.     

Misattributed tsunami 3: the Mw 7.7 2013.9.24 SE Pakistan earthquake

The M_w 7.7 earthquake that struck SE Pakistan on 24 September 2013 at 11.29.48 UTC was a sinistral strike-slip event on a branch of the Ornach-Nal-Chaman fault system which hereabouts separates the Eurasian Plate from the Indian Plate. Although the focus was at a depth of 15 km and 400 km inland the earthquake was accompanied by the emergence of an island off the Makran coast and the generation of a tsunami with a peak amplitude of 27 cm at Muscat (Oman) and 20 cm at Chah Bahar (Iran). At DART marine buoy 23228 in the Indian Ocean 500 km to the south a series of seismic Rayleigh waves about 4 min after the main shock was followed 54 min later by a tsunami with a peak amplitude of 1 cm. The Rayleigh series is here attributed to seafloor vibration during accelerated subduction of the Arabian Plate beneath the Eurasian Plate, and the tsunami to the development or reactivation of one or more reverse faults on the seaward portion of the Makran imbricate fan. As in the 2010.2.27 M_w 8.8 Maule (Chile), the 2004.12.26 M_w 9.2 Sumatra–Andaman, the 2005.3.28 M_w 8.7 Nias (Indonesia) and the 2011.3.11 M_w 9.0 Tohoku (Japan) earthquakes, the link between tsunami generation and slip on the megathrust is thus very indirect, to the detriment of attempts to mitigate coastal hazards using teleseismic data when nearshore seafloor monitoring would probably prove more effective.     

倒T型导管墙桩基防波堤稳定性简化计算方法

倒T型导管墙桩基防波堤是一种重力式和桩基式混合而成的新型防波堤,具有复杂的承载机制和破坏模式。建立倒T型导管墙桩基防波堤稳定性分析的三维弹塑性有限元模型,分析极限状态下结构的位移场分布,得出其失稳模式为绕底板下且偏离桩基轴线一定距离的某点发生转动失稳。结合有限元法和极限平衡法,建立该新型防波堤的抗滑稳定性、抗倾稳定性计算的简化方法。与有限元计算结果的比较表明,建立的简化计算方法是可靠的。     

Evaluation of tsunami impacts on shallow marine sediments: An example from the tsunami caused by the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake, northern Japan

A combined approach of field geology and numerical simulation was conducted for evaluating the tsunami impacts on the shelf sediments. The 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake, M 8.0, that occurred on 25 September 2003 off southeastern Hokkaido, northern Japan, generated a locally destructive tsunami. Maximum run-up height of the tsunami waves reached 4 m above sea level. In order to estimate the tsunami impacts on shallow marine sediments, we compared pre- and post-tsunami marine sediments in water depths of 38–112 m in terms of grain size, sedimentary structure, and microfossil content. Decreases of fine fractions, especially finer than very fine sand, which led to coarsen the mean grain size, were detected in the inner shelf of the northern part of the study area. Foraminiferal assemblages also changed in the coarsened sediments. On the other hand, the other shelf sediments largely unchanged or slightly fined. We also simulated the tsunami wave velocity and direction, and grain size entrained by the modeled tsunami. The numerical simulation resulted in that the 2003 tsunami could transport very fine sand in water depths shallower than 45–95 m at the northern part of the study area. This is comparable with the actual grain-size changes after the tsunami had passed. However, some storms and tidal currents might also be possible to stir the surface sediments after the pre-tsunami survey, so we could not conclude that the grain-size changes had been caused only by the tsunami. Nevertheless, a combined approach of sampling and modeling was powerful for estimating the tsunami impacts under the sea.     

Study on potential tsunami by earthquake in subduction zone of Sulawesi Sea

Indonesia is one country in the world featuring a complex tectonic structure. This condition makes earthquakes often occur in many areas of this country and as an earthquake rages beneath the sea, it will potentially trigger tsunami. One of the areas in Indonesia with a high seismic activity is Sulawesi region particularly in the Sulawesi Sea subduction zone, making it important to carry out a study on the potential tsunami at this location. The purpose of this study was to analyze the existing huge potential energy in Sulawesi Sea subduction zone and to identify tsunami modeling likely to occur based on the potential energy of the region. The approach used in assessing the tsunami disaster was the calculation of the potential energy of an earthquake and tsunami modeling based on the potential energy. The method used in this research was the least squares method for the calculation of potential energy, and near-field tsunami modeling with the assistance of TUNAMI-N2 COD. The research finding has shown that the Sulawesi Sea subduction zone has potential energy of 1.35469?×?10²³ erg, equivalent to an earthquake with a magnitude of 7.6 Mw. The tsunami modeling made shown the average wave propagation reaching ashore within 12.3 min with a height varying between 0.1 and >?3 m. The tsunami modeling also indicated that there are seven sub-districts in Buol District, Central Sulawesi, which is affected by a significant tsunami.     

2004年12月26日苏门答腊-安达曼大地震构造特征及地震海啸灾害

2004年12月26日在印度尼西亚苏门答腊岛西侧海域发生的地震是自1964 年阿拉斯加大地震以来最大的地震,震级达到9级或9级以上。它是由印度洋板块向缅甸微板块底下俯冲过程中的逆断层作用造成的。印度洋板块以每年6~7 cm的速率向北北东方向运动,与南亚板块发生斜向聚敛俯冲,此运动在该地区解耦为印度洋板块沿巽他海沟的正向俯冲及缅甸微板块东侧的右旋走向平移运动。主震破裂模型研究的结果表明,破裂是由南向北传播的,地震破裂带长达1 200余km,宽度约100 km,最大位移约为20 m,地震断层向上穿透海沟底面,估计约有10 m左右的错距。这次大地震的同震效应导致地球自转轴摆动、地球自转加速,日长缩短。据目前统计,地震引发的大海啸造成305 276人死亡,被此次海啸夺走生命的人数超过了有史以来历次大海啸灾难中死亡人数的总和。