首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
《Water Policy》2001,3(5):363-386
Sudan's irrigated agriculture faces water shortages with the current method of water use. How can Sudan allocate its water quota stipulated in the 1959 Nile Waters Agreement? This paper examines water policy with a dynamic optimal control model to determine steady-state optimal inter-crop and inter-temporal allocation. Control of land, water, and price to ensure that cotton is grown has a negative impact on overall farm income, and water conservation. Incomes drop significantly if free market prices are adopted without the freedom to allocate land. Water shortages could develop if other schemes claim more water, irrigated area increases, and/or high water requiring crops are planted.  相似文献   

2.
: As with all dynamic programming formulations, differential dynamic programming (DDP) successfully exploits the sequential decision structure of multi-reservoir optimization problems, overcomes difficulties with the nonconvexity of energy production functions for hydropower systems, and provides optimal feedback release policies. DDP is particularly well suited to optimizing large-scale multi-reservoir systems due to its relative insensitivity to state-space dimensionality. This advantage of DDP encourages expansion of the state vector to include additional multi-lag hydrologic information and/or future inflow forecasts in developing optimal reservoir release policies. Unfortunately, attempts at extending DDP to the stochastic case have not been entirely successful. A modified stochastic DDP algorithm is presented which overcomes difficulties in previous formulations. Application of the algorithm to a four-reservoir hydropower system demonstrates its capabilities as an efficient approach to solving stochastic multi-reservoir optimization problems. The algorithm is also applied to a single reservoir problem with inclusion of multi-lag hydrologic information in the state vector. Results provide evidence of significant benefits in direct inclusion of expanded hydrologic state information in optimal feedback release policies.  相似文献   

3.
: As with all dynamic programming formulations, differential dynamic programming (DDP) successfully exploits the sequential decision structure of multi-reservoir optimization problems, overcomes difficulties with the nonconvexity of energy production functions for hydropower systems, and provides optimal feedback release policies. DDP is particularly well suited to optimizing large-scale multi-reservoir systems due to its relative insensitivity to state-space dimensionality. This advantage of DDP encourages expansion of the state vector to include additional multi-lag hydrologic information and/or future inflow forecasts in developing optimal reservoir release policies. Unfortunately, attempts at extending DDP to the stochastic case have not been entirely successful. A modified stochastic DDP algorithm is presented which overcomes difficulties in previous formulations. Application of the algorithm to a four-reservoir hydropower system demonstrates its capabilities as an efficient approach to solving stochastic multi-reservoir optimization problems. The algorithm is also applied to a single reservoir problem with inclusion of multi-lag hydrologic information in the state vector. Results provide evidence of significant benefits in direct inclusion of expanded hydrologic state information in optimal feedback release policies.  相似文献   

4.
一座热带高产渔业水库枯水期轮虫的群落组成与动态分析   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2  
2003—2004年对天鹅洲和老江河两个长江故道的调查表明,该类水体的底栖动物在类群组成上与阻隔湖泊类似,以螺类和水生昆虫为主,但是有较多的流水性和冷水性种类.纵向比较表明两个故道底栖动物生物量比20世纪90年代下降了48.3%-78.6%,软体动物尤为突出.底栖动物资源衰退的原因主要有两个,一是过度渔业,二是江湖阻隔.与长江流域其他类型水体的比较表明在中等程度水文连通的水体中底栖动物种类最多,软体动物尤其是双壳类的现存量明显较高.为发挥长江故道群对泛滥平原生物多样性维持的重要作用,文末提出了关于合理放养和季节性通江的管理建议.  相似文献   

5.
Fuzzy process capability indices for quality control of irrigation water   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Water covers over 70% of the Earth surface and is a very important resource to people and the environment. Water pollution affects drinking water, rivers, lakes and oceans all over the world. This consequently harms human health and the natural environment. Water pollution can also affect the crops. So, water pollution is an important issue for humanity. Therefore, the control of irrigation water is a necessity. In this paper, a methodology based on process capability indices (PCIs) has been presented to control the levels of pH, dissolved oxygen (DO) and temperature (T) in dam’s water for irrigation. Fuzzy PCIs have been proposed for this aim. The fuzzy estimates of $ \hat C_p Water covers over 70% of the Earth surface and is a very important resource to people and the environment. Water pollution affects drinking water, rivers, lakes and oceans all over the world. This consequently harms human health and the natural environment. Water pollution can also affect the crops. So, water pollution is an important issue for humanity. Therefore, the control of irrigation water is a necessity. In this paper, a methodology based on process capability indices (PCIs) has been presented to control the levels of pH, dissolved oxygen (DO) and temperature (T) in dam’s water for irrigation. Fuzzy PCIs have been proposed for this aim. The fuzzy estimates of and are obtained for pH, DO, and T based on Buckley’s interval estimation approach and based on fuzzy specification limits. An application has been made for Kesikk?prü Dam in Ankara, Turkey. In this paper, Buckley’s approach is re-arranged to obtain a triangular fuzzy membership function because it cannot be obtained from Buckley’s approach in some situation.  相似文献   

6.
A method to generate an efficient control law for a neural-network controller is presented to reduce the dynamic response of buildings exposed to earthquake-induced ground excitations. The proposed training scheme for the neural-network controller does not rely on the emulation of the structure to be controlled. The approach used for this work is based on a force-matching procedure, and it directly utilizes the dynamic data characterizing the structure response to generate an efficient training signal. The proposed controller has a feedback structure, utilizing a limited set of response quantities. A shear building actuated at its top by a tuned-mass damper is utilized to demonstrate the effectiveness of the controller. For training purposes, an ensemble of synthetically generated ground-motion time histories, with appropriate site spectrum characteristics, have been used. The performance of the trained controller is then evaluated for two different historic ground-acceleration records that do not belong to the training set of time histories. The numerical simulations show the control effectiveness of the proposed scheme with modest control requirements. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  相似文献   

7.
近年来,在以三峡大坝为代表的一系列流域人类活动作用下,鄱阳湖出现了枯水期延长、水位提前消落的现象,导致了一系列生态环境和民生问题.本文从环湖灌溉缺水入手,采用11种概率分布分析1953-2018年星子站水位,进行比较优选后选择Wakeby分布作为理论分布,得到90%保证率下的湖泊年平均水位及枯季9月至翌年2月月平均水位...  相似文献   

8.
ABSTRACT

A Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Programming (MINLP) model is formulated and solved in this study to optimize environmental sustainability of flood control, drainage, and irrigation (FCDI) projects in the deltaic regions of Bangladesh. The model optimizes the value of integrated resource benefit, a dimensionless variable defined to measure the environmental sustainability based on the water, agricultural and ecological resources, with a set of project interventions being the major drivers. The resource benefits were evaluated with the help of several indicators, such as flood, navigability, salinity, waterlogging, cropping intensity, land loss and vegetation. The solution of MINLP model provided optimal values of the decision variables, which are the quantities of project interventions (e.g. length and height of dike, number of sluices and drainage inlets, lengths of drainage canals, erosion protection and afforestation works). The approach and the MINLP formulation presented in this study can be used for any real-life FCDI project improvements.  相似文献   

9.
Abstract

Water balance studies with stable water isotopes have rarely been conducted in remote and tropical wetland areas. As such, little is known regarding the water balance and groundwater–surface water interaction in the Pantanal, one of the largest and most pristine wetlands in the world. We applied MINA TrêS, a water balance model utilizing stable water isotopes (δ18O, δ2H) and chloride (Cl-) to assess the dry-season hydrological processes controlling groundwater–surface water interactions and the water balance of six floodplain lakes in the northern Pantanal, Brazil. Qualitatively, all lakes exhibited similarity in hydrological controls. Quantitatively, they differed significantly due to morphological differences in controlling groundwater inflow and lake volume. Our approach is readily transferable to other remote and tropical wetland systems with minimal data input requirements, which is useful in regions with sparse hydrometric monitoring.
Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz  相似文献   

10.
The Three Gorges Project is the world's largest water conservancy project. According to the design standards for the 1,000‐year flood, flood diversion areas in the Jingjiang reach of the Yangtze River must be utilized to ensure the safety of the Jingjiang area and the city of Wuhan. However, once these areas are used, the economic and life loss in these areas may be very great. Therefore, it is vital to reduce this loss by developing a scheme that reduces the use of the flood diversion areas through flood regulation by the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), under the premise of ensuring the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. For a 1,000‐year flood on the basis of a highly destructive flood in 1954, this paper evaluates scheduling schemes in which flood diversion areas are or are not used. The schemes are simulated based on 2.5‐m resolution reservoir topography and an optimized model of dynamic capacity flood regulation. The simulation results show the following. (a) In accord with the normal flood‐control regulation discharge, the maximum water level above the dam should be not more than 175 m, which ensures the safety of the dam and reservoir area. However, it is necessary to utilize the flood diversion areas within the Jingjiang area, and flood discharge can reach 2.81 billion m3. (b) In the case of relying on the TGR to impound floodwaters independently rather than using the flood diversion areas, the maximum water level above the dam reaches 177.35 m, which is less than the flood check level of 180.4 m to ensure the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. The average increase of the TGR water level in the Chongqing area is not more than 0.11 m, which indicates no significant effect on the upstream reservoir area. Comparing the various scheduling schemes, when the flood diversion areas are not used, it is believed that the TGR can execute safe flood control for a 1,000‐year flood, thereby greatly reducing flood damage.  相似文献   

11.
两结构高效阻尼控制系统随机动力反应分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
对由高效阻尼装置(HEDMS)连接的两单自由度相邻结构在过滤白噪声激励下的相对位移响应进行了随机分析。在对阻尼装置滞变位移等价线性化的基础上,采用虚拟激励法计算结构响应的谱密度和互谱密度,研究了该阻尼装置各参数对位移响应方差的影响以及该装置的适用范围。  相似文献   

12.
李彦彦  李冰  杨桂山  万荣荣 《湖泊科学》2021,33(6):1885-1897
河湖水文连通性强弱对于维系流域水资源安全、河湖生态系统稳定等方面具有重要意义.本文首先利用1960-2019年松滋口新江口与沙道观两站与干流枝城站实测水文资料以及河道典型横断面地形资料,采用Mann-Kendall法与趋势线法分析讨论枯水期松滋口分流变化的特征与诱因,然后,针对枯水期松滋口河道的分流问题提出河道治理方案.结果表明:松滋口枯水期的流量主要来自西支.在1960-2019年间,枯水期西支分流量呈现三峡大坝蓄水运行前后从下降趋势转变为显著上升趋势,而东支分流量在下荆江裁弯后至今基本处于断流状态,下荆江裁弯、葛洲坝运行及三峡大坝蓄水运行是其分流量变化的主要诱因.根据建立分流量与水位差(干流水位与河底高程)的回归关系,模拟出在松滋口西东支现有河道的基础上,河床高程分别下降1 m与2.5 m左右,其分流量可达到或接近1960s分流量水平,有助于缓解区域水资源与环境生态问题.  相似文献   

13.
太湖流域2012年枯水期浮游生物群落结构特征   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2  
在野外调查的基础上,利用物种多样性指数及典范对应分析(CCA),于2012年研究太湖流域枯水期浮游动植物群落结构特征.共鉴定出浮游植物139种,分属7门71属.太湖中蓝藻门密度占总密度的95.8%,为太湖浮游植物的优势种群.铜绿微囊藻占总密度的86.7%,为太湖的绝对优势种.太湖流域水系中蓝藻门、硅藻门和绿藻门的密度之和占总密度的92.2%,成为太湖流域水系中的优势种群.其中硅藻门中的小环藻、蓝藻门中的惠氏微囊藻为优势种(属),密度分别达到17.4%、10.3%;鉴定出浮游动物27种,主要为枝角类的象鼻溞、网纹溞和桡足类的哲水蚤、剑水蚤.太湖中浮游动物生物量为265.1 μg/L,枝角类的象鼻溞和网纹剂分别占总生物量的48.7%和5.1%;桡足类的哲水蚤和剑水蚤分别占总生物量的15.9%和22.5%.太湖流域水系中浮游动物生物量只有21.8 μg/L,主要为枝角类的象鼻溞、桡足类的哲水蚤和剑水蚤.物种多样性指数分析显示,太湖浮游植物的多样性最高,其次为宜溧水系,然后依次为运河水系、出湖水系、苕溪水系;而浮游动物的多样性则是太湖最高,其次为苕溪水系,然后依次为宜溧水系、出湖水系、运河水系.CCA分析表明,浮游植物群落与硝态氮、总氮、总磷呈显著相关,而浮游动物分布主要与硝态氮、溶解氧、温度呈显著相关.浮游动植物优势种群之间存在显著相关性.秀体溞、基合溞和温剑水蚤与硅藻呈显著正相关;蓝藻与象鼻溞、网纹溞、汤匙华哲水蚤等相关性显著.  相似文献   

14.
Operation of reservoirs is a fundamental issue in water resource management. We herein investigate well-posedness of an optimal control problem for irrigation water intake from a reservoir in an irrigation scheme, the water dynamics of which is modeled with stochastic differential equations. A prototype irrigation scheme is being developed in an arid region to harvest flash floods as a source of water. The Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation governing the value function is analyzed in the framework of viscosity solutions. The uniqueness of the value function, which is a viscosity solution to the HJB equation, is demonstrated with a mathematical proof of a comparison theorem. It is also shown that there exists such a viscosity solution. Then, an approximate value function is obtained as a numerical solution to the HJB equation. The optimal control strategy derived from the approximate value function is summarized in terms of rule curves to be presented to the operator of the irrigation scheme.  相似文献   

15.
The simulations of dynamic, spatially distributed non-linear models are impacted by the degree of spatial and temporal aggregation of their input parameters and variables. This paper deals with the impact of these aggregations on the assessment of irrigation scheme performance by simulating water use and crop yield. The analysis was carried out on a 7000 ha irrigation scheme located in Southern Spain. Four irrigation seasons differing in rainfall patterns were simulated (from 1996/1997 to 1999/2000) with the actual soil parameters and with hypothetical soil parameters representing wider ranges of soil variability. Three spatial aggregation levels were considered: (I) individual parcels (about 800), (II) command areas (83) and (III) the whole irrigation scheme. Equally, five temporal aggregation levels were defined: daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and annually.

The results showed little impact of spatial aggregation in the predictions of irrigation requirements and of crop yield for the scheme. The impact of aggregation was greater in rainy years, for deep-rooted crops (sunflower) and in scenarios with heterogeneous soils. The highest impact on irrigation requirement estimations was in the scenario of most heterogeneous soil and in 1999/2000, a year with frequent rainfall during the irrigation season: difference of 7% between aggregation levels I and III was found. Equally, it was found that temporal aggregation had only significant impact on irrigation requirements predictions for time steps longer than 4 months. In general, simulated annual irrigation requirements decreased as the time step increased. The impact was greater in rainy years (specially with abundant and concentrated rain events) and in crops which cycles coincide in part with the rainy season (garlic, winter cereals and olive).

It is concluded that in this case, average, representative values for the main inputs of the model (crop, soil properties and sowing dates) can generate results within 1% of those obtained by providing spatially specific values for about 800 parcels.  相似文献   


16.
成层地基自由场地面运动的随机模型   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
地表土层通常具有成层的特点,在地震工程中将覆盖土层简化为力学性质沿竖向成层变化,水平向为各向同性的层状半空间体才会得到更符合实际情况的解答.采用频域分析方法,对多层横观各向同性土层对垂直向上的入射剪切波的反应进行了分析.在此基础上,分析了自由场地面运动的频率响应函数,计算了响应位移的功率谱密度函数,并给出了算例.算例表明,多层土的功率谱密度函数具有多个峰值.采用频域分析方法计算层状土地基在地震作用下的位移和应力响应,避免了时域分析时对波在界面处多次反射和透射的反复追踪,思路清晰,步骤简明.  相似文献   

17.
18.
 There exist many sites with contaminated groundwater because of inappropriate handling or disposal of hazardous materials or wastes. Health risk assessment is an important tool to evaluate the potential environmental and health impacts of these contaminated sites. It is also becoming an important basis for determining whether risk reduction is needed and what actions should be initiated. However, in research related to groundwater risk assessment and management, consideration of multimedia risk assessment and the separation of the uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and the variability due to natural heterogeneity are rare. This study presents a multimedia risk assessment framework with the integration of multimedia transfer and multi-pathway exposure of groundwater contaminants, and investigates whether multimedia risk assessment and the separation of uncertainty and variability can provide a better basis for risk management decisions. The results of the case study show that a decision based on multimedia risk assessment may differ from one based on risk resulting from groundwater only. In particular, the transfer from groundwater to air imposes a health threat to some degree. By using a methodology that combines Monte Carlo simulation, a rank correlation coefficient, and an explicit decision criterion to identify information important to the decision, the results obtained when uncertainty and variability are separate differ from the ones without such separation. In particular, when higher percentiles of uncertainty and variability distributions are considered, the method separating uncertainty and variability identifies TCE concentration as the single most important input parameter, while the method that does not distinguish the two identifies four input parameters as the important information that would influence a decision on risk reduction.  相似文献   

19.
环境中的氯苯甲醚类化合物(chloroanisoles,CAs)主要来自于氯酚类化合物及其他结构相似的氯代烃.在我国洞庭湖血吸虫疫区,五氯酚作为灭螺剂施放对周围环境造成了CAs污染.运用气相色谱质谱联用方法测定洞庭湖支流(澧水、藕池河和沱江)表层水和沉积物中的CAs,并分析其分布特征与生态风险.结果显示:(1)水体是CAs的主要赋存介质.三支流表层水中CAs体现出显著差异性,污染水平由大到小为澧水>藕池河>沱江,三者总CAs浓度分别为18.94、8.83和4.14 ng/L;在3支流中沉积物中的总CAs无明显差异,分别为2.86、3.61和4.07 ng/g.(2)澧水表层水和沉积物中高氯取代CAs(三氯苯甲醚、四氯苯甲醚和五氯苯甲醚)为主要污染物(分别占73.75%和68.89%);藕池河表层水中低氯取代CAs(一氯苯甲醚和二氯苯甲醚)占比相对较高(48.59%),而沉积物中以高氯取代CAs为主(93.38%);沱江表层水和沉积物中占比较高的CAs为一氯苯甲醚,分别占28.26%和75.56%.(3)空间分布上,从上游到下游澧水表层水中CAs浓度呈现波动下降的趋势,而沉积...  相似文献   

20.
Jun Xiao  Fei Zhang  Zhangdong Jin 《水文研究》2016,30(25):4855-4869
Hydrochemistry methods were used to decipher the weathering and geochemical processes controlling solute acquisition of river waters in the dry season in the middle Loess Plateau (MLP), one of the most severely eroded areas and turbid riverine systems in the world. River waters were neutral to slightly alkaline with pH varying from 7.6 to 9.6. The total dissolved solids decreased from northwest to southeast with a mean value of 804 mg/l, much higher than the global average and other large rivers in China. Ternary diagram showed that river waters were dominated by Na+, HCO3?, and Cl? with the main water‐type of HCO3?–Cl?–Na+. Saturation index values, Mg2+, Ca2+, and HCO3? analyses indicated the preferential Ca2+ removal by calcite precipitation. Gibbs plots and stoichiometry plots indicated that the dissolved solutes were mainly derived from rock weathering with minor anthropogenic and atmospheric inputs. Samples in the northwestern basin are also influenced by evaporation. A forward model of mass budget calculation showed that, owing to high soluble characteristics, evaporite dissolution was a major feature of river waters and contributed 41% to the total dissolved cations on average, while carbonate and silicate weathering contributed 28%,and 25% on average, respectively. Besides evaporite dissolution, cation exchange is also responsible for the high concentrations of Na+ in river water. Spatial variations showed that evaporite dissolution and silicate weathering were higher in the northern basin, whereas carbonate weathering was higher in the southern basin. Different from most rivers in the world, the physical erosion rates (varying from 117.7 to 4116.6 t/km2y) are much higher than the chemical weathering rates (varying from 3.54 to 6.76 t/km2y) in the MLP because of the loose structure of loess and poor vegetation in the basin. In the future, studies on comparison of water geochemistry in different seasons and on influence of different types of land use and soil salinization on water geochemistry, denudation rates, and water quality should be strengthened in the MLP. These results shed some lights on processes responsible for modern loess weathering and also indicate the importance of time‐series sampling strategy for river water chemistry. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号