现代黄河三角洲地面沉降及其原因分析

为全面和具体地了解整个黄河三角洲的地面沉降状况,收集了现代黄河三角洲地区1956、1967、1980年1∶5万比例尺的地形图资料,利用地理信息系统软件进行数字化、建立高程数据库,生成数字高程模型。通过对不同时期数字高程进行空间运算发现,1956—1980年间黄河三角洲地区地面沉降现象普遍,沉降区年平均沉降数厘米。基于数字高程空间分析结果,探讨了诱发三角洲地面沉降的自然和人为因素。     

东海陆架盆地第三纪主要砂体类型及沉积环境

以岩性、岩矿特征、粒度分布、剖面结构、地震反射特征、测井曲线形态等分析为基础，在盆地第三纪地层中识别出四种主要类型的砂体：河流砂体、肉三角洲砂体、三角洲砂体及滨岸砂体．进而在环境分析的基础上，建立陆架盆地断陷期和坳陷期的沉积模式。     

Adaptation strategy for sea level rise in vulnerable areas along China's coast

I~IOXThe sea level rise threatens China's coastal plains and river deltas and makes them the vulnerable areas due to their loW elevation.Since the 1980s, the Chinese scientists have paid great attention to the problem of the sealevel rise caused by the global warming. They have analyZed and calculated the trend of the relative sea level change along the China's coast in the past 50 a. The result of study shows that therising rate of the sea level along China's coast is (1. 7 i 0. 3) rum/a.…     

海南岛1605年历史地震的海岸沉积记录

海南岛铺前港湾地区1605年发生了华南历史记录的最强烈的地震,地震强度为M7.5,地震造成陆地沉陷成海。根据野外海岸地貌调查和海岸钻孔沉积物岩性特征与粒度、元素比值分析结果,对历史地震的海岸沉积记录进行了初步的研究,4个钻孔位于铺前港湾西岸博度村附近的小型古海湾,昌德、演丰附近的野菠萝岛和道学附近的红树林区潮间带,钻孔沉积记录显示铺前港湾内湾沉陷幅度为2 m,存在明显的差异性,东寨港道学和野菠萝岛附近的钻孔岩心下部为泥状红土,属于成土的风化壳顶部,根据曲口半岛下山村附近的海岸调查,强海洋动力事件形成了高出现代高潮位3.0 m的高位海岸混杂沉积体,可能与1605年地震下沉引发的类似海啸的沉积事件相关。     

Assessment and prediction of shoreline change using multi-temporal satellite images and statistics: Case study of Damietta coast,Egypt

The shoreline trajectory of Damietta city, locates at the Northern coast of Egypt, is dramatically subjected to kinematic changes. These variations mainly occur based on the incessant duel hydrodynamic impacts of both wave action and coastal currents. Several types of coastal measures have been applied substantially along the coastal stretch of Damietta to protect shoreline such as detached breakwaters, Jetties, groins, and seawalls. This study is essentially focused on the assessment of shoreline kinematics response due to the existence of these structures during the period from 1990 to 2015. In addition, the future changes of the shoreline at 2020, 2025 and 2035 are predicted using satellite images, Geo-spatial tools and Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) by the meaning of End Point Rate (EPR) and Linear Regression Rate (LRR) methods. Four Landsat images at different periods; TM1990, TM 1999, ETM 2003 and ETM 2015 are used to detect shoreline changes. Three semi-automatic extraction techniques are initially tempted for Landsat ETM 2003 imagery namely; Iso cluster technique, threshold method, and onscreen digitizing method to select the optimal one. Iso cluster technique is used as the optimal technique which achieves the least errors with the corresponding field data in 2003 by value of 0.34. Furthermore, the extraction shoreline change for Damietta coast is extensively measured for three zones: zone (1) the western sector encompassing Damietta port with two jetties; zone (2) the central sector including detached breakwaters; zone (3) the eastern portion of Damietta estuary passing through a seawall. Verification analysis shows that the EPR is the optimum method for shoreline detection with a value of RMSE by 0.27. The results show that, for zone (1), the western shoreline of Damietta port is progressed by a rate of +10.0 m/year. On the other hand, the shoreline on the down drift side at zone (2) has retreated by a rate of -5.0 m/year. While the shoreline behind the detached breakwaters in the central sector has advanced by +12.0 m/year from 1999 to 2003, then decreased gradually until become stable in 2015. For zone (3), alongshore currents have derived the disassembled sandy soil from west to east leaving a highly eroded area by average rate of -78m/year. The results of this study give indication to shoreline trend of near future which should be under consideration in planning of Damietta coastal zone.     

布容法则及其在中国海岸上的应用

布容（Ｂｒｕｕｎ）法则是预测海平面上升引起海岸侵蚀最早的方法也是最简单的方法。根据中国砂质和淤泥质海岸的情况,布容法则可定性地解释海平面上升与海岸侵蚀的关系,在满足它要求条件的海岸地段和发育时期,用它预测海岸侵蚀或许是可能的。但是,若不严格审查海岸环境和条件,把它作为海平面上升情况预测海岸侵蚀的普遍模式,有待更多的研究加以证明。     

我国海岸带主要灾害地质因素及其影响

我国海岸带灾害地质主要有构造、坡地重力、水动力、地下水、岩土与地层结构、海平面上升、地球化学、风力灾害等地质因素，具有复杂、连锁和差异性空间分布的特征。根据验潮资料，近百年来我国海平面上升19～20cm，上升率为2～3mm／a。整体以海平面上升为主，但也有岸段下降，主要是山东半岛，平均速率为-0．13cm／a。预测2050年上升幅度：天津70～100cm；黄河三角洲40～50cm；长江三角洲50～70cm；珠江三角洲40～60cm。地面沉降大部分是由过量开采地下水引起的。我国96个地面沉降城市和地区中80％在沿海地区，如天津、上海、苏州、常州、无锡、嘉兴、宁波、湛江、台北等。累计沉降量为460～2780mm，沉降速率10～56mm／a。由于地下水的过量开采，20世纪80年代以来，我国辽宁、河北、天津、山东、江苏、上海、广西、海南和台湾等省市，均发生不同程度的海水入侵，给国民经济和社会发展造成重大损失。我国70％砂质海岸和大部分淤泥质海岸发生侵蚀。这种态势始于上世纪50年代，80年代明显加强。海岸侵蚀主要有区域环境变化、河流水利工程拦截泥沙以及海岸人工采沙等因素。     

辽河三角洲地区海平面上升趋势及其影响评估

根据潮位资料分析,辽河三角洲平原和辽东湾东岸近四五十年来相对海平面处于上升趋势,从70年代以来平均每年上升量为5mm左右.考虑到辽河三角洲平原地面下沉以及全球性海平面将加速上升,预计下个世纪内,辽河三角洲平原相对海平面上升的速率将达到8-10mm/a,到2050年相对海平面上升量将达到40～55cm.利用遥感和地理信息系统,对不同的海平面上升量将造成的土地淹没损失进行了预测.如不加防护,相对海平面上升0.5m时,将淹没近4000km2,包括整个营口市区和半个盘锦市区;上升1.0m时,将淹没5000km2.对海平面上升将造成海岸侵蚀、风暴潮和洪涝等灾害加剧等影响也进行了分析.     

黄河三角洲沉积体的工程不稳定性

对多年来黄河三角洲的调查资料分析表明，三角洲的不稳定性比较突出，对海洋工程设施危害极大，主要表现晨以下几个方面：①工程软弱层是三角洲不稳定的根本因素，是形成海底刺穿、大型海底滑坡等灾害体的基础，尤其是极端条件下触发软弱层流动，所产生的大型海底滑坡带来的灾害是巨大的；②水下斜坡是三角洲上主要的工程不稳定区；③海底冲刷和年内的动力高速在海底形成的活动层对海底铺设的管线和海岸大坝构成危害；④应高度重视三     

联合升降轨Sentinel-1A的地表形变监测技术研究

河谷型、海岸带、海岛礁以及滩涂等区域地表形变信息的准确获取,迫切且关键。利用25景升轨和28景降轨Sentinel-1A数据,基于SBAS-InSAR技术,获取兰州城区2014年10月~2016年9月的地表沉降速率图和沿视线方向(line-of-sight,LOS)的时相位移量,探讨升降轨数据在河谷型城市地表形变监测中的适用性。结果表明:升降轨Sentinel-1A数据之间的时相位移量具有高度关联性,其中升轨数据在地形起伏较大区体现出良好的干涉性,而降轨数据在平坦区表现出较好的监测能力。兰州城区大部分区域处于稳定状态,但沙井驿、九州、小达坪、东岗、伏龙坪、西客站以及周边区域地表存在沉降趋势,最大沉降速率可达30 mm/年。联合升降轨Sentinel-1A数据监测河谷型、海岸带、海岛礁以及滩涂等区域地面沉降具有可行性和可靠性。     

Short-Term Morphological and Shoreline Changes at Trinkat Island,Andaman and Nicobar,India, After the 2004 Tsunami

The tsunami waves generated during the Sumatra-Andaman earthquake of 26 December 2004 devastated the coastal area along Trinkat Island, causing sudden changes to the morphology of the landforms. This study uses a series of satellite images to record the short-term morphological response and shoreline changes as well as the recovery of coastal land after its destruction. Results indicate that the island experienced substantial erosion and a significant reduction in land area. Shoreline erosion is more prevalent than accretion at an average linear regression rate of ～?9 m per year between 2004 and 2013. The major morphological changes at Trinkat Island were observed in coastal inlets, beaches, and bay head-lands. Straight beaches had almost recovered eight years after the tsunami; however, erosion is continually observed in other areas. Our study will help understanding the response and recovery of shorelines in Indian Ocean regions after the 2004 tsunami.     

基于潜标观测的吕宋海峡以东深海海流的低频变异

本文利用在菲律宾海布放的一套锚系潜标获取的长时间海流和水温观测数据,分析了吕宋海峡以东的深海海洋环境特征,着重阐释了该海域海流的全水深垂向结构及其低频变化特征。研究表明,表层(100～160 m)平均流向为西偏北,流速约为12.5 cm/s;中层(810 m)的平均流为西向,流速为2.6 cm/s;深层(1 550 m和2 560 m)的平均流速在1 cm/s以内,近底(4 040 m)的流向为较稳定的西南向,流速为2.3 cm/s。上层海流的动能比中层和深层大1～2个量级,总动能、平均动能、涡动动能均在表层最大,中层次之、深层最小,各层次涡动能均大于平均动能。中上层海流的低频变化具有极高的相似性,全年为81～85 d的周期振荡;近底层海流则不同,变化周期约为51 d。     

Evolution of the Nearshore Bed Envelope

The temporal growth of the envelope of bed motion owing to the migration of bedforms, which can be considered a proxy for maximum object burial depth, is examined using five different data sets. These data sets support the hypothesis that the envelope of bed motion will grow as an exponential taper, quickly at first, tapering off and approaching an asymptotic value. This growth is largest and fastest in the surf zone where wave and current flows are strong. Within the surf zone, envelopes owing solely to the migration of megaripples (bedforms with heights from 20 to 40 cm and lengths from 1 to 5 m) grow for about 8 d and reach an asymptote of about 40 cm. When wave energy becomes larger ( 1 m), bed envelopes are dominated by migrating sand bars and approach an asymptote of 3-4 m, but only after 2-12 years (depending on the beach). In addition, the frequency of object burial (the percentage of time that an object would be buried by the crests of migrating bedforms) is highest in the surf zone and grows rapidly with time.     

Three-dimensional circulation in the NW Africa coastal transition zone

High-resolution data collected southeast of the Canary Islands during late winter 2006 are analyzed to describe the hydrography and three-dimensional circulation in the coastal transition zone off NW Africa. The data are optimally interpolated over a regular grid, the geostrophic velocity field is calculated and the Q-vector formulation of the omega equation is used to compute the quasi-geostrophic (QG) mesoscale vertical velocity. The coastal transition zone is divided into upwelling, frontal and offshore regions with distinct physical and dynamic characteristics. The upwelling region is characterized by cold and weakly stratified waters flowing towards the equator, with a poleward undercurrent of approximately 0.05 m s⁻¹ over the continental slope. The frontal region exhibits a southwestward baroclinic jet associated with cross-shore raising isopycnals; the jet transport is close to 1 Sv, with maximum velocities of 0.18 m s⁻¹ at surface decreasing to 0.05 m s⁻¹ at 300 db. Vertical sections across the frontal region show the presence of deep eddies probably generated by the topographic blocking of the islands to the southward current, as well as much shallower eddies that likely have arisen as instabilities of the baroclinic upwelling jet. The QG mesoscale vertical velocity field is patchy, estimated to range from −18 to 12 m day⁻¹, with the largest absolute values corresponding to an anticyclonic eddy located south of Fuerteventura Island. These values are significantly larger than estimates for other vertical velocities: diapycnal vertical velocities associated with mixing in the frontal region (a few meters per day), and wind-induced vertical velocities (non-linear Ekman pumping arising from the interaction between the wind stress and the background vorticity, maximum values of a few meters per day; linear Ekman pumping due to the divergence of Ekman transport, a fraction of a meter per day; or the coastal constraint in the upwelling region, about 0.7 m day⁻¹). However, the patchiness in both the QG mesoscale vertical velocity and the non-linear Ekman pumping velocity cause their integrated vertical transports to be one order of magnitude smaller than either coastal Ekman transport (0.08 Sv), integrated linear Ekman pumping (−0.05 Sv) or diapycnal transfer (about 0.1–0.2 Sv). The pattern of the near-surface fluorescence field is a good indicator of these different contributions, with large homogeneous values in the coastal upwelling region and a patchy structure associated with the offshore mesoscale structures.     

基于ICESat-2和GSWD数据获取动态水域地形图的方法

传统的湖泊、海岸带测深主要是基于船载多波束系统或者机载激光雷达测深系统,但这些方式测量成本较高。因此提出了一种仅利用卫星观测数据,实现高分辨率动态水域地形图的获取方法,该方法基于ICESat-2单光子激光点云和Landsat图像数据的全球地表水数据集(GSWD),对所获取的高精度激光沿轨轮廓线与多年期湖泊水域边界等高线进行融合匹配。以美国最大的水库米德湖为实验区域,生成高程范围约为34 m的地形图结果,覆盖面积超过307 km~2,水平分辨率为30 m;在与机载激光雷达数据等现场实测结果的对比中,所绘制地形图均方根误差约为2 m。研究方法有望为水位波动较大或水质相对较好的内陆水体(例如湖泊)和沿海地区(例如潮间带)提供一种新的水陆交界区域地形图获取方法。     

Influence of water-level elevation and tidal range on the sedimentation in a German tidal flat area

The nearshore region of the German Bight is characterised by a large tidal flat area of 7500km², which is a wedge of alluvial material lying in front of the coast. The elevation of a flat depends on the long-term water-level and currents. As a result of the rising water-level, the flats are migrating over an inclined Pleistocene basement. This migration depends on the balance of sedimentation versus erosion which is a function of water depth. Regular measurements of the water-level have been made since the middle of the 19th century. From the observations of the MHW it is estimated that the water-level has risen to approximately 30cm in the past hundred years. Recent investigations show that the change of the half-tide water-level is less than that of MHW. The increasing tidal range also changes the sedimentation processes over the tidal flats. The quantitative influence of the altered tidal range on the sedimentation and the morphology of the Wadden Sea is as important as that of the influence of mean water-level elevation. Changes in the elevation of the coastal plain caused by tectonic forces or subsidence cannot be determined. Extensive investigations were conducted to determine quantitatively the sedimentation processes which have taken place since 1936. The sediment budget of the Flackstrom basin (low macrotidal coast) is presented. With respect to the MHW datum plane, sedimentation of 20 × 10⁶m³ has taken place in this area. This is equivalent to a mean silting-up of 30cm over the past 46 years, an average 0.7cm/year. The sedimentation process is dependent upon the mean elevation of the flat. Most of the sedimentation has taken place above the half-tide water-level. Therefore, the flanks of the flats have risen more than the tops and the sand-ridges, which certainly reflects the very small long-term water-level elevation change of only 3cm which occurred during the period investigated (1936 to 1982). Recent investigations of the present state show a relationship between the tidal range and the height of the main sedimentation-zone. Comparisons of the Flackstrom (tidal range approximately 3.40m) and parts of the Dutch Wadden Sea (tidal range approximately 1.80m) indicate that the main sedimentation-zone moves down-shore from half-tide water-level to mean-low-water with the decrease of the tidal range, due to differences in the general course of the hypsometric curves over the tidal flat areas.     

华南沿海明代自然灾害的时间序列分析Ⅱ.混沌分析

对我国明代华南沿海自然灾害发生次数的混沌特征分析发现 ,嵌入维数取不同值时均存在分形特征 ,且反映这种分形特征的关联维数随着嵌入维数逐渐增大而趋于一个稳定值。稳定的关联维数为 2 8,相应的饱和嵌入维数为 1 0。关联维数的稳定值为分数 (2 8)反映了控制明代华南沿海自然灾害发生次数的动力系统是一个混沌系统。构筑该系统最少需要 3个自由变量 ,最多需要 1 0个。对反映该混沌系统混沌特征强度的指标———Kolmogorov熵K值进行了计算 ,发现当嵌入维数逐渐增大到 7时K值开始稳定于 0 3 8,由此得到我国明代华南沿海自然灾害发生次数这一时间序列的可预报时间平均长度为 2 6a。     

近106a来登陆福建台风的统计分析

本文对近106a（1900～2005年）来登陆福建的台风进行了统计分析．登陆福建的台风每年平均1．66个，均方差1．27个．通过滑动平均和小波变换分析，表明近106a来登陆福建台风数总体呈减少趋势，年登陆台风数的变化具有准16a的年代际周期，1936年前存在着准8a的年际周期，1936年后存在着5～8a的年际周期．登陆时段为6月16日至10月14日，集中于7～9月，以8月最多．登陆台风有多种类型，路径复杂多样．台风造成的风、雨、潮灾害十分严重．台风影响期间，最大平均风速达60m／s，最大阵风达70m／s；最大过程雨量大于1000mm；最大雨强30min雨量达147mm；暴潮增水最高达2．52m．     

我国沿岸某些人为地质灾害的预测

沿岸某些人为地质灾害与沉积层的性质有关。我国沿岸沉积层的特征和分布依赖于河流输沙。注入构造沉降带的多为大河,其输沙量占入海河流输沙量的90％以上,且颗粒较细,形成厚层第四纪泥质沉积层。注入隆起带的河流其输沙量少于10％,且以沙砾为主,形成沙砾层。依据我国沿岸沉积层的分布格局,可以预测某些人为地质灾害。     

Sea Level Variations and Geomorphological Changes in the Coastal Belt of Pakistan

The UNEP in its regional seas program in 1989 has included Pakistan in a group of countries which are vulnerable to the impact of rising sea level. If the present trend of sea level rise (SLR) at Karachi continues, in the next 50 years the sea level rise along the Pakistan Coast will be 50 mm (5 cm). Since the rising rates of sea level at Karachi are within the global range of 1-2 mm/year, the trends may be treated as eustatic SLR. Historical air temperature and sea surface temperature (SST) data of Karachi also show an increasing pattern and an increasing trend of about 0.67°C has been registered in the air temperature over the last 35 years, whereas the mean SST in the coastal waters of Karachi has also registered an increasing trend of about 0.3°C in a decade. Sindh coastal zone is more vulnerable to sea level rise than Baluchistan coast, as uplifting of the coast by about 1-2 mm/year due to subduction of Indian Ocean plate is a characteristic of Baluchistan coast. Within the Indus deltaic creek system, the area nearby Karachi is more vulnerable to coastal erosion and accretion than the other deltaic region, mainly due to human activities together with natural phenomena such as wave action, strong tidal currents, and rise in sea level. Therefore, The present article deals mainly with the study of dynamical processes such as erosion and accretion associated with sea level variations along the Karachi coast and surrounding Indus deltaic coastline. The probable beach erosion in a decade along the sandy beaches of Karachi has been estimated. The estimates show that 1.1 mm/year rise in sea level causes a horizontal beach loss of 110 mm per year. Therefore, coast eroded with rise in sea level at Karachi and surrounding sandy beaches would be 1.1 m during a period of next 10 years. The northwestern part of Indus delta, especially the Gizri and Phitti creeks and surrounding islands, are most unstable. Historical satellite images are used to analyze the complex pattern of sediment movements, the change in shape of coastline, and associated erosion and accretion patterns in Bundal and Buddo Islands. The significant changes in land erosion and accretion areas at Bundal and Buddo Islands are evident and appear prominently in the images. A very high rate of accretion of sediments in the northwestern part of Buddo Island has been noticed. In the southwest monsoon season the wave breaking direction in both these islands is such that the movement of littoral drift is towards west. Erosion is also taking place in the northeastern and southern part of Bundal Island. The erosion in the south is probably due to strong wave activities and in the northeast is due to strong tidal currents and seawater intrusion. Accretion takes place at the northwest and western parts of Bundal Island. By using the slope of Indus delta, sea encroachment and the land area inundation with rising sea level of 1 m and 2 m have also been estimated.