Analysis of the orbit of 1970-65D,cosmos 359 rocket

Cosmos 359 rocket 1970-65D, was launched on 22 August 1970 into an orbit inclined at 51·2° to the Equator, with an initial perigee height of 209 km: it decayed on 6 October 1971 after a lifetime of 410 days. The orbit has been determined at 42 epochs during the lifetime, using the RAE orbit refinement program, PROP, with over 2600 observations. Observations from the Hewitt cameras at Malvern and Edinburgh were available for 10 of the 42 orbits.Ten values of density scale height, at heights between 185 and 261 km, have been determined from analysis of the variations in perigee height.Upper-atmosphere zonal winds and 15th-order harmonics in the geopotential have been evaluated from the changes in orbital inclination. The average atmospheric rotation rate, for heights near 220 km, is found to be 1·04 rev/day; but there are striking departures from the average, with well-established values of 1·30, 0·75, 1·35 and 0·95 over four successive 75-day intervals. The changes in inclination at the 15th-order resonance in November 1970 give values of lumped 15th-order harmonics, which will provide equations for evaluating coefficients of order 15 and even degree (16,18,…) and also show that useful results on the geopotential can be obtained from satellites with perigee as low as 200 km.     

Analysis of the orbit of cosmos 395 rocket (1971-13B) near 15th-order resonance

Cosmos 395 rocket (1971-13B) is moving in a near-circular orbit inclined at 74° to the equator. Its average height, near 540 km after launch in February 1971, slowly decreased under the action of air drag and on 24 March 1972 it experienced exact 15th-order resonance, with the successive equator crossings 24° apart in longitude. Its orbit has been determined at 21 epochs between September 1971 and September 1972 using 1100 observations, including 55 from the Malvern Hewitt camera: the mean S.D. in inclination is 0.001° and in eccentricity 0.00001.The variations in inclination i, eccentricity e, right ascension of the node $\text{Ω}$, and argument of perigee ω, near 15th-order resonance are analysed to determine values of lumped 15th-order harmonic coefficients in the geopotential. The inclination yields equations accurate to 4 per cent for coefficients of order 15 and degree 15,17,19..., which are in excellent agreement with those from Cosmos 387 (1970-111A) in an orbit of similar inclination but different resonant longitude. Analysis of the variations in e gives two pairs of equations for the coefficients of order 15 and degree 16, 18..., which are used to obtain tentative values of the (16,15) coefficients. For the first time the resonant variation of other elements ($\text{Ω}\text{and}\text{ω}$) has also been analysed with partial success.     

Air density at heights near 200km from the orbit of 1970-65D

Cosmos 359 rocket, 1970-65D, entered orbit on 22 August 1970, with an initial perigee height of 209 km and inclination 51·2°, and decayed on 6 October 1971. Using the values of perigee height from RAE orbits and decay rates from USAF Spacetrack bulletins, 146 values of air density have been calculated between August 1970 and September 1971, mainly at heights between 180 and 230 km.On ten occasions in 1971 when there were substantial geomagnetic disturbances there were sudden increases in density, the largest being about 32 per cent.When the density was corrected to a fixed height and allowance was made for the day-tonight variation and the effects of solar activity, the dominant feature was a semi-annual variation, with maxima in density centred at 6 November 1970 and 7 April 1971, and minima centred at 5 January and 28 July 1971. The maxima in density are nearly equal and exceed the minima by about 50 per cent.     

Analysis of the orbit of 1965-11D (COSMOS 54 rocket)

The satellite 1965-11D was the final-stage rocket used to launch Cosmos 54, 55 and 56 into orbit on 21 February 1965. The orbit of 1965-11D was inclined at 56° to the Equator, with an initial perigee height of 280 km; the lifetime was nearly 5 yr, with decay on 23 December 1969. The orbit has been determined at 75 epochs during the life, using the RAE orbit determination program PROP with over 4000 observations, photographic, visual and radar. Observations from the Hewitt camera at Malvern were available for 34 of the 75 orbits and typical accuracies for these orbits are 0.0005° in inclination and 100 m in perigee height.The variations in perigee height have been analyzed to determine reliable values of density scale height, at heights between 240 and 360 km. The analysis also revealed a rapid decrease of 5 km in perigee distance early in 1966, attributed to the escape of residual propellants.The variations in orbital inclination have been analyzed to determine upper-atmosphere zonal winds and 15th-order harmonics in the geopotential. The region of the upper atmosphere traversed by 1965-11D near its perigee is found to have had an average rotation rate of 1.10 ± 0.05 rev/day in 1966–1967, and 1.00 ± 0.03 rev/day between March 1968 and May 1969. In late 1969 there were probably wide variations in zonal winds, with east-to-west winds of order 100 m/s followed by west-to-east winds of order 200 m/s. The changes in inclination at the 15th-order resonance in July 1969 have been analyzed to give the first accurate values of lumped 15th-order harmonics obtained from a high-drag satellite. This success points the way towards similar analyses of the many other high-drag satellites that pass through 15th-order resonance, to evaluate individual geopotential coefficients of order 15 and even degree.     

The orbit of proton 4 redetermined,with geophysical implications

The orbit of Proton 4, 1968-103A, has been redetermined, in greater detail and with better accuracy, in order to clarify previously puzzling features in the variation of orbital inclination. Orbital parameters have been determined at 25 epochs between December 1968 and July 1969, using about 1600 optical and radar observations with the RAE orbit refinement program PROP 6.During January 1969 the orbit passed through 31:2 resonance—when the ground track over the Earth repeats every two days after 31 revolutions of the satellite. A simultaneous least-squares fitting of theoretical curves to the values of inclination and eccentricity between 14 December 1968 and 6 March 1969 has yielded values for two pairs of lumped 31st-order geopotential coefficients, appropriate to an inclination of 51.5°. This is the first specific evaluation of 31st-order coefficients.The 15 values of inclination after the resonance, from March to near decay in July 1969, have been used to determine mean, morning and afternoon-evening values for the rotation rate of the atmosphere at a height near 260 km; the values of rotation rate, namely 1.1, 0.9 and 1.3 rev/day respectively, confirm the trends already established from analysis of other satellite orbits.     

Samos 2 (1961 α 1): Orbit determination and analysis at 31 : 2 resonance

Samos 2, 1961 α 1, launched on 31 January 1961, was the first satellite to enter a sun-synchronous orbit at an inclination of 97.4°. The initial perigee and apogee heights were 474 km and 557 km respectively, the initial period was 94.97 min and the satellite decayed on 21 October 1973 after more than 12 years in orbit.Samos 2 passed through the condition of 31 : 2 resonance in June 1971 and orbital parameters have been determined at 22 epochs from 1674 observations using the RAE orbit refinement program, PROP, between mid-April and Mid-September 1971. The variations of inclination and eccentricity during this time have been analysed and values for six lumped 31st-order harmonic coefficients in the geopotential have been obtained. These have been compared with those derived from the individual coefficients, of order 31 and appropriate degrees, from the most recent Goddard Earth Model, GEM 10C.The decrease in inclination between launch and 1971 has been examined: it is found to be caused mainly by a near-resonant solar gravitational perturbation.     

Analysis of the orbit of 1971-30B at 15th-order resonance

The orbit of the satellite 1971-30B (Tournesol rocket) has been determined from more than 2000 observations at 34 epochs spaced at 8-day intervals between March and November 1978 when the orbit was experiencing 15th-order resonance. The variations in the orbital inclination, which was near 46.4°, and in the eccentricity, which was near 0.01, have been analysed to determine values of six lumped harmonics of order 15. In view of the fact that the orbit passed through resonance quite rapidly, the results are very satisfactory: the standard deviations of the lumped harmonics correspond to accuracies between 1 and 3 cm in geoid height.     

Analysis of 208 U.S. Navy orbits for the satellite 1970-47B at 14th-order resonance

The orbit of 1970-47B passed very slowly through 14th-order resonance, and the changes in orbital inclination and eccentricity have been analysed over a 4-year period, from January 1977 to January 1981, using 208 U.S. Navy orbits. The analysis has yielded values for three pairs of lumped harmonic coefficients of 14th order, which have accuracies equivalent to 0.4, 1.5 and 2.0 cm in geoid height. Three pairs of values of 28th-order lumped harmonic coefficients were also obtained, and the best of these has a standard deviation (S.D.) corresponding to an accuracy of 0.7 cm in geoid height. The lumped harmonic coefficients have been compared with the corresponding values from the latest geopotential models, and agreement is satisfactory.     

Analysis of the variation in inclination of Intercosmos 13 Rocket, 1975-22B

The orbit of Intercosmos 13 rocket (1975-22B) has been determined at 103 epochs between 30 April 1975 and 10 April 1980 from almost 7000 observations. One hundred and three values of inclination have been determined and corrections incoporated for the effects due to zonal harmonic, lunisolar and tesseral harmonic perturbations, precession, and solid Earth tides. The modified data have been analysed to yield values of the atmospheric rotation rate, Λ rev day⁻¹, viz. Λ = 0.94 ± 0.10 at an average height of 322 ± 6 km and Λ = 1.27 ± 0.02 at 288 km. Analysis of the inclination near 14th-order resonance has indicated lumped harmonic values 10^{9 1.0}_1.4 = − 76.13 ± 12.47, 10^{9 1,0}₁₄ = − 29.89 ± 32.64, 10^{9 −1.2}₁₄ = − 63.11 ± 15.44 10^{9 −1.2}₁₄ = − 32.52 ± 26.96, for inclination 82.952°.     

Air density at heights near 200 km from the orbit of 1969-20B

The rocket of Cosmos 268, 1969-20B, entered orbit on 5 March 1969, with an initial perigee height of 230 km and inclination of 48.40°. Accurate orbits were computed at RAE from all available observations. Using the values of perigee height from the RAE orbit and decay rates from Spacetrack bulletins, 103 values of density have been calculated between July 1969 and February 1970. On three occasions when geomagnetic activity was strong there were sudden increases in density. When the density was corrected to a fixed height, the semi-annual variation was apparent. There was a strong minimum in July 1969, a maximum in October–November 1969 and a weak minimum in January 1970.     

Analysis of the orbit of 1970-97b (cosmos 378 rocket)

Cosmos 378 rocket, 1970-97B, entered orbit on 17 November 1970, with orbital inclination 74.0°, period 105 min and perigee height 230 km, and decayed on 30 September 1972 after 683 days in orbit. The RAE computer program PROP was used, with more than 1900 observations from 64 stations, to determine the orbit at 39 epochs between February 1971 and September 1972.The main aim of the analysis was to determine the atmospheric rotation rate from the decrease in orbital inclination, which was determined with a mean standard deviation of 0.0010° and a best standard deviation of 0.0003°. After removal of relevant perturbations, analysis of the variation in inclination between July 1971 and April 1972 yields the surprisingly low average atmospheric rotation rate of 0.75 ± 0.05 rev/day, at a mean height of 250 km. The local time at perigee is however strongly biassed towards daytime values (07–16 hr), so the results lend support to the picture of east-to-west winds by day and west-to-east winds by night.Values of scale height are obtained by analysis of the change in perigee height.     

Air density at heights near 150 km in 1970, from the orbit of Cosmos 316 (1969-108A)

Cosmos 316 (1969-108A) was launched on 23 December 1969 into an orbit with an initial perigee height of 154 km at an inclination of 49.5° to the equator. Being very massive, Cosmos 316 had a longer lifetime than any previous satellite with such a low initial perigee: it remained in orbit until 28 August 1970. Because of its interest for upper-atmosphere research, the satellite was intensively observed, and accurate orbits are being determined at RAE from all available observations. Using perigee heights from the RAE orbits so far computed, and decay rates from Spacetrack bulletins, 102 values of air density have been obtained, giving a detailed picture of the variations in density at heights near 150 km between 24 December 1969 and 28 August 1970. The three strongest geomagnetic storms, on 8 March, 21 April and 17 August 1970, are marked by sudden increases in density of at least 23, 15 and 24 per cent respectively. With values of density extending over eight months, it is possible for the first time to examine a complete cycle of the semi-annual variation at a height near 150 km: the values of density, when corrected to a fixed height, exhibit minima in mid January and early August; at the intervening maximum, in April, the density is 30 per cent higher than at the minima.     

Geopotential harmonics of order 15 and 30, from analysis of the orbit of satellite 1971-10B

The satellite 1971-10B passed through exact 15th-order resonance on 30 March 1981 and orbital parameters have been determined at 52 epochs from some 3500 observations using the RAE orbit refinement program, PROP, between September 1980 and October 1981. The variations in inclination and eccentricity during this time have been analysed, and six lumped 15th-order harmonic coefficients and two 30th-order coefficients have been evaluated. The 15th-order coefficients are the best yet obtained for an orbital inclination near 65°; and previously there were no 30th-order coefficients available at this inclination. The lumped coefficients have been used to test the Goddard Earth Model GEM 10B: there is good agreement for seven of the eight coefficients.     

Analysis of the orbit of Cosmos 72 (1965-53B) near 15th-order resonance

Cosmos 72 (1965-53B) was launched on 16 April 1965 into a near-circular orbit with an average height of 570 km and inclination 56°. Over the years, the orbit has contracted slowly under the influence of air drag, and On 27 June 1972 passed through exact 15th-order resonance, when successive equator crossings are 24° apart in longitude and the ground track repeats after 15 rev. The orbit has been determined at seven epochs between April 1972 and February 1973, using the RAE orbit refinement program PROP, with 544 optical and radar observations: the average orbital accuracy is about 50 m in height and 0.0008° in inclination.For Cosmos 72 the change in inclination at 15th-order resonance, due to perturbations by 15th-order harmonics in the geopotential, is greater than for any satellite previously analysed— nearly 0.07°—and analysis of the change, using the seven PROP orbits and 45 U.S. Navy orbits, yields equations accurate to 4 per cent for the geopotential coefficients of order 15 and odd degree (15, 17, 19 …). A similar analysis of the variation in eccentricity gives less accurate equations for coefficients of order 15 and even degree (16, 18 …). The variations in right ascension of the node and argument of perigee have also been analysed.     

29Th-order harmonics in the geopotential from the orbit of ariel 1 at 29: 2 resonance

In analysing the orbit of Ariel 1 to determine upper-atmosphere winds, it was observed that the orbital inclination underwent a noticeable perturbation in November 1969 at the 29:2 resonance with the Earth's gravitational field, when the satellite track over the Earth repeats every 2 days after 29 revolutions. The variations in the inclination and eccentricity of the orbit between July 1969 and February 1970 have now been analysed, using 35 US Navy orbits, and fitted with theoretical curves to obtain lumped values of 29th-order harmonic coefficients in the geopotential.     

Analysis of the orbit of cosmos 387 (1970-111A) near 15th-order resonance

Cosmos 387 (1970-111A) was launched on 16 December 1970 into a near-circular orbit with an average height of 540 km and an inclination of 74.0°. On 5 November 1971 the orbit, in its slow contraction under the influence of air drag, passed through 15th-order resonance, when the ground track repeats after 15 revolutions. The orbit has been determined with the aid of the RAE orbit refinement program PROP at 19 epochs between May 1971 and June 1972, using 1500 optical and radar observations. The average accuracy is about 70 m in perigee height and 0.001° in inclination.The variation of orbital inclination while the satellite was experiencing 15th-order resonance, as given by these 19 orbits and 55 U.S. Navy orbits, has been analysed to obtain equations accurate to 4 per cent for the geopotential coefficients of order 15 and odd degree (15, 17, 19 …). These equations have subsequently been used (with others) in determining individual coefficients of order 15 and odd degree.The variation of eccentricity with argument of perigee showed unexpected complexity, including a tight loop near resonance (Fig. 4). Analysis of the variation in eccentricity has yielded, for the first time, accurate equations for the geopotential coefficients of order 15 and even degree (16, 18 …), thus opening the way to the evaluation of individual coefficients of this type. The variations in the argument of perigee and right ascension of the node have also been analysed.     

Variations in air density from January 1972 to April 1975 at heights near 200 km

Variations in air density have been determined using the orbit of the satellite Cosmos 462, 1971-106A, which entered orbit on 3 December 1971 with an initial perigee near 230 km and inclination 65.75°, and decayed on 4 April 1975. Accurate orbits determined at 85 epochs give perigee height correct to about 200 m throughout the satellite's lifetime. Using these values of perigee height and orbital decay rates from NORAD elements, 604 values of air density at half a scale height above perigee have been evaluated. These densities have been compared with values from the COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere 1972, taking account of variations due to solar activity and geomagnetic disturbances, and day-to-night variations, to reveal the residual variations in density at a series of standard heights, 245, 240, 232 and 213 km.The main residual variation is semi-annual, with maxima usually in April and October, and minima usually in January and July; but it is irregular in phase and shape. The amplitude of the semi-annual variation is remarkably constant from year to year between 1972 and 1975, and considerably greater than that given by CIRA 1972: the April/July density ratio is 1.68, not 1.32 as in CIRA; the October–November maxima are all lower than the April maxima, whereas CIRA gives the opposite; the July minima are 18% lower than the January minima, as opposed to 10% in CIRA.A standardized semi-annual density variation for the early 1970s is presented, with January minimum of 0.94, April maximum of 1.28, July minimum of 0.77 and October–November maximum of 1.22. In addition, three other recurrent variations are recognizable: in each year the density has a subsidiary minimum in May and maximum in June; there are low values in mid November and high values in late December.     

Analysis of the orbital inclination of 1963-27A

The Agena B upper-stage rocket 1963-27A was launched into near-circular orbit, inclined at 82.3° to the Equator, on 29 June 1963. Its orbital elements were available at 52 epochs over the 16 month interval prior to its decay on 26 October 1969. During this period the satellite passed through 31:2 resonance and the variation in orbital inclination near this event was analysed to obtain two lumped geopotential harmonics of order 31. Since the resonance was a weak feature in the data, the resulting values are poorly defined.Either side of the resonance period, the inclination was used to estimate the mean atmospheric rotation rate Λ rev day^?1. The values obtained were Λ = 0.85 ± 0.18 at a height of 440 km for the period June 1968 to February 1969 and Λ = 1.13 ± 0.10 at 338 km for the period June to October 1969.     

Analysis of the orbit of 1970-114F in its last 20 days

The satellite 1970-114F, the final-stage rocket of the Molniya 1S communications satellite, decayed in the atmosphere on 3 March 1973. During the last 20 days of its life the orbit suffered exceptionally rapid decay, with the apogee height decreasing from 7000 to 1000 km while the perigee height remained near 110 km. About 650 observations, made by visual observers in Britain and by U.S. Navy sensors, have been used with the PROP6 orbit refinement program to determine orbits at 14 epochs. Although the decay rate was more than ten times greater than in any previous orbit determination with PROP, good orbits were obtained, the standard deviation in inclination being less than 0.002° on eight orbits.The combination of high drag and good accuracy allows three techniques in orbital analysis to be successfully applied for the first time. Since zonal winds have little effect on the orbit, the changes in inclination are analysed to determine meridional winds near perigee, at heights of 110–120 km, latitudes of 63–65°S, and 6–12 hr LT. The changes in right ascension of the node are also successfully analysed for the same purpose. The two methods agree in indicating a south-to-north wind of 40 ± 30 m/sec from 11 to 21 February, a geomagnetically quiet period, and a south-to-north wind averaging 150 ± 30 m/sec from 22 February to 3 March, a geomagnetically disturbed period. Thirdly, the changes in the argument of perigee are analysed to determine atmospheric oblateness, which is found to be equal to the Earth's oblateness, to within ±20%. Lastly, the drag coefficient in transition flow is evaluated and found to be 0.85 ± 0.20.     

Analysis of the orbital inclination of Tansei 3 rocket 1977-12B

The orbit of Tansei 3rocket(1977-12B) has been determined at 47 epochs between 1 October 1977 and 19 March 1979 using over 1700 observations and the RAE orbit refinement program PROP6. The rate of change of the inclination was examined to evaluate values of the atmospheric rotation rate, Λ rev day^?1. Analysis yielded the value Λ = 1.1 ± 0.05 at height 315 ± 30 km, average conditions; or alternatively Λ = 1.1 ± 0.1 at height 347 ± 12 km, slight winter bias and Λ = 1.07 ± 0.1 at height 270 ± 18 km, average conditions, supplying further evidence of a decrease in rotation rates from the 1960s to the 1970s.Analysis of the inclination at 15th-order resonance yielded the lumped harmonic values

$\text{10}{}^9\text{C}{}^{\mathrm{0,1}}{}_{15}\text{= 13.4 ± 6.2, 10}{}^9\text{S}{}^{\mathrm{0,1}}{}_{15}\text{= 0.7 ± 13.3}$

for inclination 65.485°.