桁架结构基于地震可靠性分析的优化方法

本文把桁架结构地震可靠性分析和最优化设计方法结合起来，以结构的地震失效率概率为目标函数，给出一种考虑地震可靠性的桁架结构的优化方法。该方法能够解决线性桁架体系在平稳的随机地震地面运动激励下的优化问题，并在给定投资的条件下设计出了安全可靠的桁架结构。     

砂土地震液化的神经网络预测

BP网络具有很强的非线性映射和自适应学习功能 ,可用于模式识别和预测评估等领域 .在简要分析BP算法的基础上 ,选取砂土的平均粒径 (d5 0 /mm)、相对密度(Dr/% )、标准贯入击数 (N63 .5 /击 )、上覆有效压力 (σv/kPa)、地震烈度 (I0 )作为指标 ,应用BP神经网络的理论与方法 ,预测砂土在地震作用下液化的可能性 ,取得了较好的预测效果 .说明将BP网络用于沙土液化预测是可行的 .     

供水管网在地震时的可靠性评估方法

本文提出了一种供水管网系统在地震作用时间的可靠性分析方法,开发出相应计算机应用软件并通过实例计算验证了该方法的可靠性和实用性。     

地震地质灾害综合评价的PSO-BP神经网络方法及应用

结合汶川8.0级地震资料,利用神经网络原理和粒子群优化算法,提出了基于PSO-BP神经网络的地震地质灾害综合评价模型.该模型选取地震灾害、斜坡灾害、地面变形、斜坡分布特征4个指标作为输入,选用地质灾害危险度和分级2个指标为输出,引入粒子群算法对BP网络的权值和阈值进行优化,获得了BP网络模型参数.研究结果表明,PSO-BP网络模型不但能克服BP算法收敛速度慢和易陷于局部极小的缺陷,而且计算精度高,泛化能力强;对地质灾害的评价、防范和灾后重建具有一定的参考作用.     

生命线工程网络可靠性分析的一种简化方法

应用概率论分析生命线工程网络的可靠度常遇到工作量太大和计算机时太多的困难。本文提出一个简化方法,采用了布尔代数中的展开定理分析网络可靠度,并用此法解了一些较复杂的网络,证明此法是可行的。     

用神经网络模型评定城市工程地震环境

分析了影响城市工程地震环境的主要因素，建立了城市工程地震环境质量评定的指标体系，以烟台市为例，探讨了BP神经网络在城市工程地震环境质量评定中的应用。     

基于神经网络的随机地震反演方法

针对随机地震反演中存在的两个主要问题,随机实现含有噪声和难以从大量随机实现中挖掘有效信息,提出了一种基于神经网络的随机地震反演方法.通过对多组随机实现及其正演地震数据的计算,构建了基于序贯高斯模拟的训练集.这也为应用神经网络求解地球物理反问题,提供了一种有效建立训练集的方法.较之传统的神经网络反演,这种训练集不仅保证了学习样本具有多样性,同时还引入了空间相关性.数值模拟结果表明,该方法只需要通过单层前馈神经网络,就可以比较有效的解决一个500个阻抗参数的反演问题.     

基于动力可靠性的地震保险费率的计算

本文以结构动力可靠性理论为基础，探讨了建筑结构地震保险费率的计算方法，供地震保险工作参考。     

基于神经网络的结构地震反应仿真

提出了基于神经网络的结构地震反应仿真方法，探讨了仿真基本步骤中样本集的准备、目标函数的选取、网络拓扑结构的构建、隐层神经元数目的确定、训练方法的选择以及提高泛化精度的措施等若干实际问题，并通过算例分析验证了本方法的可行性。     

Multiobjective analysis of a public wellfield using artificial neural networks

As competition for increasingly scarce ground water resources grows, many decision makers may come to rely upon rigorous multiobjective techniques to help identify appropriate and defensible policies, particularly when disparate stakeholder groups are involved. In this study, decision analysis was conducted on a public water supply wellfield to balance water supply needs with well vulnerability to contamination from a nearby ground water contaminant plume. With few alternative water sources, decision makers must balance the conflicting objectives of maximizing water supply volume from noncontaminated wells while minimizing their vulnerability to contamination from the plume. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) were developed with simulation data from a numerical ground water flow model developed for the study area. The ANN-derived state transition equations were embedded into a multiobjective optimization model, from which the Pareto frontier or trade-off curve between water supply and wellfield vulnerability was identified. Relative preference values and power factors were assigned to the three stakeholders, namely the company whose waste contaminated the aquifer, the community supplied by the wells, and the water utility company that owns and operates the wells. A compromise pumping policy that effectively balances the two conflicting objectives in accordance with the preferences of the three stakeholder groups was then identified using various distance-based methods.     

Evaporation estimation using artificial neural networks and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system techniques

Evaporation, as a major component of the hydrologic cycle, plays a key role in water resources development and management in arid and semi-arid climatic regions. Although there are empirical formulas available, their performances are not all satisfactory due to the complicated nature of the evaporation process and the data availability. This paper explores evaporation estimation methods based on artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) techniques. It has been found that ANN and ANFIS techniques have much better performances than the empirical formulas (for the test data set, ANN R² = 0.97, ANFIS R² = 0.92 and Marciano R² = 0.54). Between ANN and ANFIS, ANN model is slightly better albeit the difference is small. Although ANN and ANFIS techniques seem to be powerful, their data input selection process is quite complicated. In this research, the Gamma test (GT) has been used to tackle the problem of the best input data combination and how many data points should be used in the model calibration. More studies are needed to gain wider experience about this data selection tool and how it could be used in assessing the validation data.     

Short term streamflow forecasting using artificial neural networks

The research described in this article investigates the utility of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for short term forecasting of streamflow. The work explores the capabilities of ANNs and compares the performance of this tool to conventional approaches used to forecast streamflow. Several issues associated with the use of an ANN are examined including the type of input data and the number, and the size of hidden layer(s) to be included in the network. Perceived strengths of ANNs are the capability for representing complex, non-linear relationships as well as being able to model interaction effects. The application of the ANN approach is to a portion of the Winnipeg River system in Northwest Ontario, Canada. Forecasting was conducted on a catchment area of approximately 20 000 km². using quarter monthly time intervals. The results were most promising. A very close fit was obtained during the calibration (training) phase and the ANNs developed consistently outperformed a conventional model during the verification (testing) phase for all of the four forecast lead-times. The average improvement in the root mean squared error (RMSE) for the 8 years of test data varied from 5 cms in the four time step ahead forecasts to 12.1 cms in the two time step ahead forecasts.     

Fragility functions of blockwork wharves using artificial neural networks

The use of artificial neural networks in the general framework of a performance-based seismic vulnerability evaluation for earth retaining structures is presented. A blockwork wharf-foundation-backfill complex is modeled with advanced nonlinear 2D finite difference software, wherein liquefaction occurrence is explicitly accounted for. A simulation algorithm is adopted to sample geotechnical input parameters according to their statistical distribution, and extensive time histories analyses are then performed for several earthquake intensity levels. In the process, the seismic input is also considered as a random variable. A large dataset of virtual realizations of the behavior of different configurations under recorded ground motions is thus obtained, and an artificial neural network is implemented in order to find the unknown nonlinear relationships between seismic and geotechnical input data versus the expected performance of the facility. After this process, fragility curves are systematically derived by applying Monte Carlo simulation on the obtained correlations. The novel fragility functions herein proposed for blockwork wharves take into account different geometries, liquefaction occurrence and type of failure mechanism. Results confirm that the detrimental effects of liquefaction increase the probability of failure at all damage states. Moreover, it is also demonstrated that increasing the base width/height ratio results in higher failure probabilities for the horizontal sliding than for the tilting towards the sea.     

多层及高层框架结构地震损伤诊断的神经网络方法

本文提出了强震后多层及高层框架结构地震损伤诊断的神经网络方法。文中在提出有结点损伤的梁柱有限元刚度矩阵的基础上，建立了有结点损伤框架结构的有限元模型。通过完好结构和有损伤结构的有限元分析，获取二者应变模态差值作为损伤标识量，并输入径向基（RBF）神经网络进行训练，得到了框架结构结点损伤诊断的神经网络系统。数值仿真分析结果表明，此神经网络可以对多层及高层框架结构结点各种程度的损伤做出成功诊断。     

3D inversion of DC data using artificial neural networks

In this paper, we investigate the applicability of artificial neural networks in inverting three-dimensional DC resistivity imaging data. The model used to produce synthetic data for training the artificial neural network (ANN) system was a homogeneous medium of resistivity 100 Ωm with an embedded anomalous body of resistivity 1000 Ωm. The different sizes for anomalous body were selected and their location was changed to different positions within the homogeneous model mesh elements. The 3D data set was generated using a finite element forward modeling code through standard 3D modeling software. We investigated different learning paradigms in the training process of the neural network. Resilient propagation was more efficient than any other paradigm. We studied the effect of the data type used on neural network inversion and found that the use of location and the apparent resistivity of data points as the input and corresponding true resistivity as the output of networks produces satisfactory results. We also investigated the effect of the training data pool volume on the inversion properties. We created several synthetic data sets to study the interpolation and extrapolation properties of the ANN. The range of 100–1000 Ωm was divided into six resistivity values as the background resistivity and different resistivity values were also used for the anomalous body. Results from numerous neural network tests indicate that the neural network possesses sufficient interpolation and extrapolation abilities with the selected volume of training data. The trained network was also applied on a real field dataset, collected by a pole-pole array using a square grid (8 ×8) with a 2-m electrode spacing. The inversion results demonstrate that the trained network was able to invert three-dimensional electrical resistivity imaging data. The interpreted results of neural network also agree with the known information about the investigation area.     

利用人工神经网络预测电离层foF2参数

利用人工神经网络技术实现了电离层foF2参数提前1小时预测.从foF2时间序列本身的变化特征出发,根据时间序列相关分析结果确定网络输入参数.选用当前时刻foF2值,预测时刻前一天的foF2值,预测时刻前7天foF2平均值,当前时刻前7天foF2平均值,foF2的一阶差分及表示当前时刻t的变量共六个参数作为神经网络输入,下一时刻值作为神经网络输出.对于太阳活动高年平均预测相对误差小于6%,均方根误差小于0.6 MHz,太阳活动低年平均预测相对误差小于10%,均方根误差小于0.5 MHz     

建筑结构利用TLCD减振的神经网络智能控制

本文提出了建筑结构利用调谐液体柱型阻尼器（ＴＬＣＤ）减振的神经网络智能控制方法。首先阐述了确定ＴＬＣＤ半主动控制策略;然后利用ＢＰ人工神经网络方法计算并控制ＴＬＣＤ隔板孔洞的面积,以调节和控制阻尼比＆Ｔ,实现对建筑结构的智能控制。地震作用下的数值分析表明,本文所述的方法是十分有效的。     

Fracture-frequency prediction from borehole wireline logs using artificial neural networks

Borehole-wall imaging is currently the most reliable means of mapping discontinuities within boreholes. As these imaging techniques are expensive and thus not always included in a logging run, a method of predicting fracture frequency directly from traditional logging tool responses would be very useful and cost effective. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) show great potential in this area. ANNs are computational systems that attempt to mimic natural biological neural networks. They have the ability to recognize patterns and develop their own generalizations about a given data set. Neural networks are trained on data sets for which the solution is known and tested on data not previously seen in order to validate the network result. We show that artificial neural networks, due to their pattern recognition capabilities, are able to assess the signal strength of fracture-related heterogeneity in a borehole log and thus fracture frequency within a borehole. A combination of wireline logs (neutron porosity, bulk density, P-sonic, S-sonic, deep resistivity and shallow resistivity) were used as input parameters to the ANN. Fracture frequency calculated from borehole televiewer data was used as the single output parameter. The ANN was trained using a back-propagation algorithm with a momentum learning function. In addition to fracture frequency within a single borehole, an ANN trained on a subset of boreholes in an area could be used for prediction over the entire set of boreholes, thus allowing the lateral correlation of fracture zones.     

Intelligent reservoir operation system based on evolving artificial neural networks

We propose a novel intelligent reservoir operation system based on an evolving artificial neural network (ANN). Evolving means the parameters of the ANN model are identified by the GA evolutionary optimization technique. Accordingly, the ANN model should represent the operational strategies of reservoir operation. The main advantages of the Evolving ANN Intelligent System (ENNIS) are as follows: (i) only a small number of parameters to be optimized even for long optimization horizons, (ii) easy to handle multiple decision variables, and (iii) the straightforward combination of the operation model with other prediction models. The developed intelligent system was applied to the operation of the Shihmen Reservoir in North Taiwan, to investigate its applicability and practicability. The proposed method is first built to a simple formulation for the operation of the Shihmen Reservoir, with single objective and single decision. Its results were compared to those obtained by dynamic programming. The constructed network proved to be a good operational strategy. The method was then built and applied to the reservoir with multiple (five) decision variables. The results demonstrated that the developed evolving neural networks improved the operation performance of the reservoir when compared to its current operational strategy. The system was capable of successfully simultaneously handling various decision variables and provided reasonable and suitable decisions.