华南气溶胶研究的回顾与展望

大气气溶胶的气候效应研究和环境效应研究都是当今国际科技界的热门研究话题,而研究大气气溶胶的气候效应和环境效应都必须充分细致地了解气溶胶的粒子谱分布、化学组成和辐射(光学)特性,其中大气气溶胶的辐射(光学)性质的直接观测研究是目前甚为紧迫的研究内容,其结果能直接为气溶胶强迫对气候变化的估计和预测的模式研究及其环境效应的研究提供必须的参数.     

中国沙尘气溶胶研究新进展

由于人类活动和气候变化的影响,沙尘气溶胶已成为一个重要的地球环境问题.近10年来,中国学者对沙尘气溶胶物理化学特性和气候效应的研究有了新的进展.前者偏重于对单次观测的研究,后者包括阳伞效应、冰核效应、铁肥料效应3个方面的研究,同时还开展了沙尘气溶胶的生态环境效应研究.上述研究虽取得一定成果,但由于沙尘气溶胶研究的极大不确定性,特别是缺乏对沙尘气溶胶长期、系统的观测,仍存在一些亟待解决的问题.     

近10a西北地区沙尘气溶胶研究综述

沙尘气溶胶对气候的影响效应是目前全球气候变化研究的热点之一.在简单综述近10 a我国西北地区科研人员在沙尘源区的研究、起沙机制、沙尘气溶胶的光、化学特性和辐射气候效应等方面科研成果的基础上,对今后沙尘气溶胶研究中所面临的一些科学问题进行了展望.     

黄土高原南部末次冰期以来沙尘气溶胶的气候效应

沙尘气溶胶是地球上分布最广的自然气溶胶类型之一,也是气候系统中的重要成分。沙尘天气严重影响人类生产、生活和居住环境,对气候变化也存在显著作用。近年来,沙尘气溶胶的气候效应得到越来越多的关注和研究,但人们的工作主要集中在对现代沙尘气溶胶的研究,而对过去沙尘气溶胶气候效应的研究不多。本研究利用黄土粒度及沉积特征,根据现代沙尘暴的沉降特点,研究了60 kaB.P以来中国黄土高原南部地区沙尘气溶胶的辐射效应,结果表明：1）沙尘气溶胶产生的辐射效应主要表现在造成行星系统太阳辐射反射量的普遍增加,即沙尘过程具有明显的降温效应。2）气候效应上主要表现为对气候的负反馈。由沙尘粒度引起的行星反照率在全新世适宜期达最大值,而在冰期有最小值出现;在气候降温事件中,沙尘气溶胶造成行星反照率降低;每一次降温事件发生时气溶胶的降温效应会相应减弱。约60 kaB.P以来沙尘气溶胶给年均温度带来的影响是使其平均降幅在－0.8 K左右。3）利用黄土的粒度分布,结合现代气溶胶的观测可以估算地质时期沙尘气溶胶的气候效应。     

黑碳气溶胶及其在气候变化研究中的意义

简单介绍了黑碳气溶胶的一般性质，着重叙述了黑碳气溶胶在大气辐射强迫中的特殊作用以及对气候变化的影响，概括介绍了国内外相关领域的研究现状，指出黑碳气溶胶在气候变化以及大气环境等领域中具有重大的研究价值和意义。     

近10a中国沙尘气溶胶研究进展

沙尘气溶胶对全球气候变化的影响是当前国内外研究的热点问题。我国学者对沙尘气溶胶也开展了广泛的研究,尤其是在近10年,科研工作者对沙尘气溶胶的物理化学特性及其对气候的影响进行了重点研究。本文主要对沙尘气溶胶的物理特性（浓度、粒径谱分布、垂直分布特征及光学特性）、化学特性以及气候效应等方面的研究进行了综述,并对今后沙尘气溶胶研究中所面临的科学问题进行了展望。     

用区域气候模式模拟人为硫酸盐气溶胶在气候变化中的作用

使用新版RegCM2区域气候模式，单向嵌套澳大利亚CSIROR21L9全球海-气耦合模式，在C02加倍情况下引人人为硫酸盐气溶胶直接气候效应，进行了其对中国气候变化影响的试验。结果表明，硫酸盐气溶胶的直接气候效应，对地面气温为降温作用，其中在冬半年和在南方更明显；对降水的影响为全国各月平均降水将以减少为主，年平均降水变化的基本特点为在中国东部以减少为主，西部以增加为主。但无论温度还是降水变化的数值都很小。     

一个适用于地球系统模式(CAS-ESM)的在线气溶胶与大气化学分量模式(IAP-AACM)的发展与评估

地球系统模式是研究全球气候与生态环境变化问题的重要工具，气溶胶与大气化学模式负责为其中的大气环流模式提供与气候效应有关的气态化学物质和气溶胶成分。本文在全球嵌套网格空气质量预报模式系统的基础上发展了一个适用于中国科学院地球系统模式（CAS-ESM）耦合计算的气溶胶与大气化学分量模式（IAP-AACM），采用简化的气相化学机制，不仅考虑了人为气溶胶，同时考虑了海盐、沙尘和二甲基硫等自然气溶胶及其前体物的在线排放。评估结果表明，IAP-AACM氧化剂插值计算可靠，采用简化机制和碳键机制（CBM-Z）模拟的差异较小。和观测的对比表明，得益于CAS-ESM的气溶胶双向反馈作用，简化版能够较好地抓住气溶胶及其前体物的空间分布，为IAP-AGCM提供可靠的气溶胶模拟。另外，简化版能大幅提升计算效率，满足CAS-ESM耦合长期积分的需求。为了在全球气候变化的研究中提供更完善的气溶胶模拟，未来考虑在IAP-AACM中增加氮化学和臭氧平流层化学机制。     

兰州冬季气溶胶的短波加热效应及其对混合层发展的影响

综合考虑无云天气条件下，气溶胶和大气中各种吸收气体对太阳辐射的影响，建立了一个气溶胶大气的短波加热率模式，研究了兰州冬季气溶胶的短波加热效应。计算结果表明:气溶胶吸收太阳辐射而加热大气的作用是显著的。在上述工作的基础上，建立了一个完全闭合的混合层发展模式，利用数值方法探讨了气溶胶的辐射效应对混合层发展的影响。计算发现大气中气溶胶的增加会抑制混合层的发展，使混合层内的平均位温减小。     

对IPCC第五次评估报告气溶胶-云对气候变化影响与响应结论的解读

<正>在气候变化的驱动因子中,气溶胶和云对气候变化的影响程度仍然是不确定性最大的部分。政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第一工作组(WG1)第五次评估报告(AR5)总结了有关云和气溶胶对气候变化影响的研究,从观测、理论以及模式角度评估了其对气候变化的影响与响应~([1]),得出以下主要结论。     

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF VARIOUS DATA OF AIR–SEA TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE AND ITS VARIATION ACROSS SOUTH CHINA SEA IN THE PAST 35 YEARS

Using the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set(ICOADS) and ERA-Interim data, spatial distributions of air-sea temperature difference(ASTD) in the South China Sea(SCS) for the past 35 years are compared,and variations of spatial and temporal distributions of ASTD in this region are addressed using empirical orthogonal function decomposition and wavelet analysis methods. The results indicate that both ICOADS and ERA-Interim data can reflect actual distribution characteristics of ASTD in the SCS, but values of ASTD from the ERA-Interim data are smaller than those of the ICOADS data in the same region. In addition, the ASTD characteristics from the ERA-Interim data are not obvious inshore. A seesaw-type, north-south distribution of ASTD is dominant in the SCS; i.e., a positive peak in the south is associated with a negative peak in the north in November, and a negative peak in the south is accompanied by a positive peak in the north during April and May. Interannual ASTD variations in summer or autumn are decreasing. There is a seesaw-type distribution of ASTD between Beibu Bay and most of the SCS in summer, and the center of large values is in the Nansha Islands area in autumn. The ASTD in the SCS has a strong quasi-3a oscillation period in all seasons, and a quasi-11 a period in winter and spring. The ASTD is positively correlated with the Nio3.4 index in summer and autumn but negatively correlated in spring and winter.     

Could the Recent Taal Volcano Eruption Trigger an El Ni?o and Lead to Eurasian Warming?

正The Taal Volcano in Luzon is one of the most active and dangerous volcanoes of the Philippines. A recent eruption occurred on 12 January 2020(Fig. 1a), and this volcano is still active with the occurrence of volcanic earthquakes. The eruption has become a deep concern worldwide, not only for its damage on local society, but also for potential hazardous consequences on the Earth's climate and environment.     

VARIABILITY OF INTER-ANNUAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE AND HUAXI REGION’S AUTUMN PRECIPITATION

The moving-window correlation analysis was applied to investigate the relationship between autumn Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events and the synchronous autumn precipitation in Huaxi region, based on the daily precipitation, sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric circulation data from 1960 to 2012. The correlation curves of IOD and the early modulation of Huaxi region’s autumn precipitation indicated a mutational site appeared in the 1970s. During 1960 to 1979, when the IOD was in positive phase in autumn, the circulations changed from a “W” shape to an ”M” shape at 500 hPa in Asia middle-high latitude region. Cold flux got into the Sichuan province with Northwest flow, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Western Pacific to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation increase in east Huaxi region. During 1980 to 1999, when the IOD in autumn was positive phase, the atmospheric circulation presented a “W” shape at 500 hPa, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Bay of Bengal to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation ascend in west Huaxi region. In summary, the Indian Ocean changed from cold phase to warm phase since the 1970s, caused the instability of the inter-annual relationship between the IOD and the autumn rainfall in Huaxi region.     

A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS BEFORE THE OCCURRENCE OF TWO TYPES OF EL NIO EVENTS

The atmospheric and oceanic conditions before the onset of EP El Ni?o and CP El Ni?o in nearly 30 years are compared and analyzed by using 850 hPa wind, 20℃ isotherm depth, sea surface temperature and the Wheeler and Hendon index. The results are as follows: In the western equatorial Pacific, the occurrence of the anomalously strong westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Its intensity is far stronger than that of the CP El Ni?o. Two months before the El Ni?o, the anomaly westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o have extended to the eastern Pacific region, while the westerly wind anomaly of the CP El Ni?o can only extend to the west of the dateline three months before the El Ni?o and later stay there. Unlike the EP El Ni?o, the CP El Ni?o is always associated with easterly wind anomaly in the eastern equatorial Pacific before its onset. The thermocline depth anomaly of the EP El Ni?o can significantly move eastward and deepen. In addition, we also find that the evolution of thermocline is ahead of the development of the sea surface temperature for the EP El Ni?o. The strong MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o in the western and central Pacific is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Measured by the standard deviation of the zonal wind square, the intensity of MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o is significantly greater than that of the CP El Ni?o before the onset of El Ni?o.     

IMPACT OF ATMOSPHERIC LOW-FREQUENCY OSCILLATION ON THE IMMIGRATION OF NILAPARVATA LUGENS(STL) IN HUNAN AND JIANGXI PROVINCES

Various features of the atmospheric environment affect the number of migratory insects, besides their initial population. However, little is known about the impact of atmospheric low-frequency oscillation(10 to 90 days) on insect migration. A case study was conducted to ascertain the influence of low-frequency atmospheric oscillation on the immigration of brown planthopper, Nilaparvata lugens(Stl), in Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. The results showed the following:(1) The number of immigrating N. lugens from April to June of 2007 through 2016 mainly exhibited a periodic oscillation of 10 to 20 days.(2) The 10-20 d low-frequency number of immigrating N. lugens was significantly correlated with a low-frequency wind field and a geopotential height field at 850 h Pa.(3) During the peak phase of immigration, southwest or south winds served as a driving force and carried N. lugens populations northward, and when in the back of the trough and the front of the ridge, the downward airflow created a favorable condition for N. lugens to land in the study area. In conclusion, the northward migration of N. lugens was influenced by a low-frequency atmospheric circulation based on the analysis of dynamics. This study was the first research connecting atmospheric low-frequency oscillation to insect migration.     

全球贸易隐含碳变化及其影响分析

基于最新的GTAP8 (Global Trade Analysis Project）数据库,使用投入产出法,分析了2004年到2007年全球贸易变化下南北集团贸易隐含碳变化及对全球碳排放的影响。结果显示,随着发展中国家进出口规模扩张,全球贸易隐含碳流向的重心逐渐向发展中国家转移。2004年到2007年,发达国家高端设备制造业和服务业出口以及发展中国家资源、能源密集型行业及中低端制造业出口的趋势加强,该过程的生产转移导致全球碳排放增长4.15亿t,占研究时段全球贸易隐含碳增量的63%。未来发展中国家的出口隐含碳比重还将进一步提高。贸易变化带来的南北集团隐含碳流动变化对全球应对气候变化行动的影响日益突出,发达国家对此负有重要责任。     

Analysis of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Height Characteristics over the Arctic Ocean Using the Aircraft and GPS Soundings

正ERRATUM to: Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 4(2011), 124-130 On page 126 of the printed edition (Issue 2, Volume 4), Fig. 2 was a wrong figure because the contact author made mistake giving the wrong one. The corrected edition has been updated on our website. The editorial office is sincerely sorry for any     

Index to Vol.31

正AN Junling;see LI Ying et al.;(5),1221—1232AN Junling;see QU Yu et al.;(4),787-800AN Junling;see WANG Feng et al.;(6),1331-1342Ania POLOMSKA-HARLICK;see Jieshun ZHU et al.;(4),743-754Baek-Min KIM;see Seong-Joong KIM et al.;(4),863-878BAI Tao;see LI Gang et al.;(1),66-84BAO Qing;see YANG Jing et al.;(5),1147—1156BEI Naifang;     

Information for Contributors

正Journal of Meteorological Research is an international academic journal in atmospheric sciences edited and published by Acta Meteorologica Sinica Press,sponsored by the Chinese Meteorological Society.It has been acting as a bridge of academic exchange between Chinese and foreign meteorologists and aiming at introduction of the current advancements in atmospheric sciences in China.The journal columns include Articles.Note and Correspondence,and research letters.Contributions from all over the world are welcome.