基于GPS的“雪龙”船冲击式破冰模式识别研究

"雪龙"号破冰船是我国目前唯一的极地考察船,破冰航行是极地船舶的重要特征之一。以"雪龙"号破冰船的GPS数据为基础,通过建立模型算法识别冲击式破冰这一特殊的航行状态,在整个中国第28次南极考察航次的数据分析中,整体识别率超过86.1%,识别正确率达到98%以上。利用此算法,在中国第27次南极考察航次的破冰识别率也超过85%,识别正确率达到93.5%。雪龙船两个航次实测GPS数据验证了本文算法的可用性,而破冰识别统计结果表明,不同航次的破冰模式具有较大的差异。     

冰后期海面上升对长江中下游影响的探讨

本文通过地质、地貌和古水文调查资料的分析,并结合计算机数值模拟研究讨论了冰后期海面上升对长江中下游河床泥沙加积、水位变化,沿岸湖泊发育及荆江河曲形成的影响。     

南极海冰、冰穴和冰川冰及其对水团形成和变性的作用

本文利用前人的成果及笔者1992/1993年的南极海冰观测和收集的资料以及水文观测资料数据阐述了南极海冰的特性,特别是南极海冰过程、冰穴以及冰川冰对南极水团(南极表层水、南极底层水、南极陆架水、南极中层水以及南极冰架水)的形成和变性所起的特殊作用。 南极海冰覆盖面积的年际变化,夏季最大年份是最小年份的2倍多,冬季年间变化较小,最大仅为20％;但其季节变化非常大,冬季平均覆盖面积通常是夏季的5倍。南极海冰对大气-海洋间相互作用有重大影响,特别是深海洋区中冬季的结冰和发育造成的垂向对流、夏季的融化是形成南极表层水(含南极冬季水和南极夏季表层水),进而形成南极中层水的主要原因;南极陆架区的的海冰兴衰过程是形成南极陆架水的直接原因,它与变性南极绕极深层水混合并受到冰川冰的进一步冷却作用,成为形成南极底层水的主要水团;南极冰架底部的冷却、融化和冰架以下水体的结冰作用形成的高盐对流过程产生的南极冰架水,亦是形成南极底层水的贡献者。 冰穴是70年代以来卫星观测的重大发现。对其形成和对大气、海洋的影响作用尚不完全清楚,初步的研究成果表明,冰穴中产生的热盐对流对南极水团的形成、变性、大洋深层的翻转以及海洋-大气间的热量传输和气体交换起有非常重要的作用。     

多模式预测气候变化及其对雪冰流域径流的影响

冰川覆盖流域的雪冰融水对河川径流有重要的调节作用.气候变化影响雪冰融水过程和数量变化,河川径流过程和径流量相应变化,其程度与流域冰川情况相关.通过利用CMIP5气候模式输出气象数据驱动流域水文模型,模拟研究天山地区3个不同冰川覆盖率河流(库玛拉克河、玛纳斯河、库车河)的径流对气候变化的响应.结果表明:随着未来气温和降水...     

对城市化“整县改市”模式的思考

该文分析了城市化设市模式“县改市”所带来的问题,提出选择“切块设市”的建市模式。     

液态水含量对寒区海上风力机叶片霜冰结冰的影响

采用Fluent和FENSAP-ICE相结合的方法对寒区海上风力机叶片结冰开展数值模拟,选取液态水含量作为敏感参数,分析了液态水含量的变化对叶片结冰厚度、结冰量和结冰外形的影响.结果表明,液态水含量在0.05～0.25 g·m–3范围内,随着液态水含量的增加,叶片表面的结冰量和结冰厚度逐渐增加;液态水含量并不影响叶片表...     

覆冰粗糙度对翼型气动特性影响的数值研究

寒冷地区风力发电机运行时叶片极易结冰,结冰改变了叶片形貌,从而影响了叶片的气动性能。为更好地研究分析风力机结冰叶片翼型表面覆冰粗糙度对其气动性能的影响规律,采用计算流体力学方法,对比研究了对称型(NACA-0012)及非对称型(NACA-23012)两种翼型在相同结冰条件和不同覆冰粗糙度参数下的气动特性。结果表明, NACA0012及NACA23012两种翼型前缘生成霜冰时,覆冰粗糙度对两种结冰翼型气动性能均有显著影响;当两种翼型前缘生成角状冰时,NACA23012结冰翼型气动性能受不同覆冰粗糙度的影响较小,仅仅增加翼型后缘分离涡宽度,对NACA0012结冰翼型影响较大,使其失速攻角延迟。此外,当翼型前缘生成霜冰时, NACA23012霜冰翼型阻力系数增长速度高于NACA0012结冰翼型。     

对城市化“整县改市”模式的思考

该文分析了城市化设市模式“县改市”所带来的问题,提出选择“切块设市”的建市模式。     

结节区视角下江苏省区域空间结构演化研究——对区域共振轴结构模式的探讨

长时间序列的区域空间结构的演化规律, 一直是空间结构模式分析中的薄弱环节, 而历史过程的长时段分析, 有助于对区域空间结构现状研判和对未来优化提供科学支撑。本文从结节区的视角, 对江苏省域地区过去2800 年间发展轴线产生、发展、主导、跃迁的全过程进行系统解析。选取春秋、隋、元、今4 个时点作点-轴、双核型空间结构的横向比较, 认为存在4 个发展阶段:春秋至南北朝、隋至南宋、元至清、民国至今;其中, 元至清和民国至今阶段, 分别发现区域发展中存在双核共振轴、港城共振轴现象。共振轴结构模式指区域中心城市(或市区)轴与门户港城(或港口县域)轴及其交通链接所形成的一种空间结构现象, 存在于过渡型区域发展背景下的沿江与沿海区域。最后, 从城市职能的变迁、点-轴型发展轴的跃迁、现代交通线的布局、相邻区域(上海)4 方面对江苏省区域空间结构的演化机理进行分析。     

区域双核结构模式的形成机理

双核结构模式是指在某一区域中，由区域中心城市和港口城市及其连线所组成的一种空间结构现象。它广泛存在于中国沿海和沿江地区，以及其它国家和地区中。从机理上考察，它导源于港口城市与区域中心城市的空间组合，由于兼顾了区域中心城市的居中性和港口城市的边缘性，从而可以实现区位上和功能上的互补。从形成类型看，可分为内源型和外生型2种类型的双核结构，中国和美国分别是其典型代表。对于后者，还衍生出由新旧首都构成的一种特殊的双核结构现象。双核结构的形成与流域有莫大的关系，据此可建立基于流域的双核结构形成的理想图式。流域自然条件、运输结构的改变，以及运输主通道走向等因素的综合作用，可使双核结构的形成区域由流域拓展至其它一般区域。     

The melting of floating ice raises the ocean level

It is shown that the melting of ice floating on the ocean will introduce a volume of water about 2.6 per cent greater than that of the originally displaced sea water. The melting of floating ice in a global warming will cause the ocean to rise. If all the extant sea ice and floating shelf ice melted, the global sea level would rise about 4 cm. The sliding of grounded ice into the sea, however, produces a mean water level rise in two parts ; some of the rise is delayed. The first part, while the ice floats, is equal to the volume of displaced sea water. The second part, equal to 2.6 per cent of the first, is contributed as it melts. These effects result from the difference in volume of equal weights of fresh and salt water. This component of sea rise is apparently unrecognized in the literature to date, although it can be interpreted as a form of halosteric sea level change by regarding the displaced salt water and the meltwater (even before melting) as a unit. Although salinity changes are known to affect sea level, all existing analyses omit our calculated volume change. We present a protocol that can be used to calculate global sea level rise on the basis of the addition of meltwater from grounded and floating ice; of course thermosteric volume change must be added.     

Mass balance and near-surface ice temperature structure of Baishui Glacier No.1 in Mt. Yulong

The accumulation and ablation of a glacier directly reflect its mass income and wastage, and ice temperature indicates glacier＇s climatic and dynamic conditions. Glaciological studies at Baishui Glacier No.1 in Mt. Yulong are important for estimating recent changes of the cryosphere in Hengduan Mountains. Increased glacier ablation and higher ice temperatures can cause the incidents of icefall. Therefore, it is important to conduct the study of glacier mass balance and ice temperature, but there are few studies in relation to glacier＇s mass balance and active-layer temperature in China＇s monsoonal temperate glacier region. Based on the field observations of mass balance and glacier temperature at Baishui Glacier No.1, its accumulation, ablation, net balance and near-surface ice temperature structure were analyzed and studied in this paper. Results showed that the accumulation period was ranged from October to the following mid-May, and the ablation period occurred from mid-May to October, suggesting that the ablation period of temperate glacier began about 15 days earlier than that of continental glaciers, while the accumulation period began about 15 days later. The glacier ablation rate was 6.47 cm d 1 at an elevation of 4600 m between June 23 and August 30, and it was 7.4 cm d 1 at 4800 m between June 26 and July 11 in 1982, moreover, they respectively increased to 9.2 cm d 1 and 10.8 cm d 1 in the corresponding period and altitude in 2009, indicating that glacier ablation has greatly intensified in the past years. The temperature of the main glacier body was close to melting point in summer, and it dropped from the glacier surface and reached a minimum value at a depth of 4-6 m in the ablation zone. The temperature then rose to around melting point with the depth increment. In winter, the ice temperature rose gradually with the increasing depth, and close to melting point at the depth of 10 m. Compared with the data from 1982, the glacier temperature has risen in the ablation zone in recent decades.     

Role of Antarctic ice mass balance in present-day sea-level change

The Antarctic ice sheet is arguably the most critical in terms of future sea-level rise, primarily because it contains 70% of the world's fresh water. While there exists evidence of accelerated ice-sheet ablation during the past decade, the possibility that the ice sheets contributed little to 20th century sea-level rise could result in Antarctica becoming the largest contributor to sea-level rise during the 21st century. Here we review the findings of studies published following the 2007 Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) study, focusing on the role of Antarctica in present-day (1992–2006) sea-level rise. We show that the choice of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) model significantly affects GRACE-estimated Antarctic mass loss, adding 0.25–0.45 mm/yr to the estimate of sea-level rise. The current estimate of Antarctica's contribution to sea-level rise has a wide range: from −0.12 to +0.52 mm/yr. The discrepancy between observed sea-level trend of 1.8 mm/yr and those estimated from various geophysical sources (2.10 ± 0.99 mm/yr) is 0.30 mm/yr. The role of Antarctica in sea-level rise might be better constrained by lengthening satellite observations, using long-term GPS data to discriminate subglacial vertical motion from ice mass balance, and detecting the sea-level signal due to elastic loading from the melting ice-sheets.     

基于卫星资料的气溶胶对冰云影响及分布特征分析

通过利用2010年1月—2016年12月CALIOP(the Cloud-aerosol lidar with orthogonal polariz-ation)冰云和气溶胶3级月平均产品和MODIS(Moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer)大气3级日平均产品研究气溶...     

南极冰架-海洋相互作用研究综述

本文介绍了近期南极冰架-海洋相互作用的研究进展。冰架底部融化速率大于前缘崩解通量,成为南极冰盖质量损失的首要途径。冰架下的海洋按照底部融化驱动因素的不同,可以分为由高密度陆架水驱动的冷冰腔和由变性绕极深层水驱动的暖冰腔。威德尔海的菲尔希纳-龙尼冰架和罗斯海的罗斯冰架属于冷冰腔,占南极冰架总面积的2/3,却只贡献了15%的净融化;东南太平洋扇区阿蒙森海和别林斯高晋海等若干属于暖冰腔的小型冰架,虽然只占南极冰架总面积的8%,却贡献了超过一半的冰架融水。以往看做冷冰腔的东南极托滕冰架和埃默里冰架,也相继发现有变性绕极深层水进入冰腔并造成底部融化。冰架对海洋有冷却和淡化的作用。冷冰腔输出的冰架水具有海洋中最低的温度,对南极陆架水性质乃至南极底层水的形成都有影响。冰架融化加剧,可能是近期观测到的南极底层水淡化的原因。     

Deformation and failure modes of composite foundation with sub-embankment plain concrete piles

With the development of high-speed railway in China, composite foundation with rigid piles has become a standard solution of meeting the high requirements of stability and post-construction settlement ...