山西省原平市神经管畸形时空分析

神经管畸形是发生于中枢神经系统的一种先天性异常,在所有的新生儿出生缺陷中所占比例较高。在我国,作为矿业大省的山西,神经管畸形最为严重,原平市又是山西省出生缺陷的高发市之一。本文利用山西省原平市2007-2012年的神经管畸形病例资料,基于贝叶斯理论的时空建模方法,综合考虑时间组分和时空交互组分,对神经管畸形的时空规律进行研究。研究识别了研究区内疾病发生的热点区域、冷点区域、温点区域,并对这些区域随时间的变化趋势进行了分析。研究发现,原平市18个乡镇中有1个热点区域、17个温点区域,整体发病率较高;原平市神经管畸形整体上随时间变化呈缓慢下降趋势,但该趋势并不明显;1个热点区域疾病风险下降趋势慢于整体趋势,4个温点区域疾病风险下降趋势快于整体趋势,13个温点区域疾病风险时间变化趋势与整体趋势趋同。本文识别了山西省原平市神经管畸形发病的时间趋势和空间趋势,可以揭示神经管畸形潜在的风险因子或控制措施供进一步流行病学研究,也可以为公共卫生部门制定及时有效的防治控制措施提供一定的科学参考。     

基于DEM的黄土地貌类型提取与制图——以黄土高原丘陵沟壑实验样区为例

以陕北绥德县刘家沟流域为实验样区 ,从地貌成因、形态和土地利用角度出发 ,分析了黄土高原丘陵沟壑区 3种典型地貌类型的区域特征 ;以不同地貌类型的区域特征为基础 ,在地理信息系统平台软件 Arc View的支持下 ,利用数字高程模型 (DEM)自动提取黄土丘陵区 3种基本地貌类型的方法和技术。研究分析结果证明 :利用 DEM自动提取地貌类型是一种快速、高效的技术方法 ,对指导退耕还林、防治水土流失和进行土地利用动态监测都具有重要意义。     

福州市地表温度热点及时空变化分析

中国作为世界第一大发展中国家,近年来城镇化发展迅速,大量自然地表转化为人工地表,从而引起了一系列环境问题,其中以城市热岛问题最为显著。因此如何缓解因城市化进程的加快引起的城市热岛效应已成为热门研究方向。为精确分析城市空间格局对热集聚的影响,本研究利用2000年5月4日的Landsat ETM+和2016年7月27日获取的Landsat OLI两期遥感影像,获取福州市的土地覆盖信息并进行精度验证。在地表温度（Land Surface Temperature, LST）反演基础上通过热点分析（Getis-Ord Gi*）,并结合不透水面（Impervious Surface Area, ISA）信息来研究城市化进程中福州市16 年来 LST的变化特性,空间集聚特性及其产生的尺度效应。热点分析结果显示：① 通过分析福州市内各地和热点中心的距离与LST的关系可较好地反映空间热聚集。2000 年在距热点中心0.97、1.03、0.95 km范围内热聚集明显;2016 年则增长到分别在距热点中心半径1.89、2.01、2.10、2.05、2.13 km范围内热集聚显著且热点区数量也从3 个增加至5 个。热集聚区（热点区和较热区）总面积在此期间从15.7%增至47.3%;② 由于热点图中的热点区和冷点区的形成不单取决于LST的高低,因此热点分析与空间自相关分析方法相比,能更直观地分析土地覆盖变化对LST的影响,了解城市内部热强度变化的细节。本研究采用的热点分析方法可用于城市环境保护与规划,将来还可作为城市土地规划与热环境影响的分析依据。同时可利用热点分析图模拟城市微气候,估算城市绿地降温程度等。此外,未来还可基于此进一步探讨更多时相以及不同城市的对比分析,特别是对不同城市类型如带状城市,多中心城市及中心城市等的研究。     

Rehabilitation and Sustainable Use Pattern of Rocky-desertified Land in Southwest China＇s Poverty-stricken Karst Mountainous Areas ——A Case Study in Benggu Township, Xichou County, Yunnan, China

The rocky desert in a karst area directly causes the lack of soil, water and forest, hence leading to the poverty there. In 1990, the villagers from the Muzhe Village in Benggu Township, Xichou County, Yunnan declared a war against rocky desert in an attempt to ask the fields for more yields. They invented a distinctive land rehabilitation and sustainable use pattern called ＂transforming heaven and earth＂ that had been practiced in Southwest China＇s karst areas. The key mechanism of the pattern was to develop terraced fields with well conserved soil, water and fertility by exploding rocks in the fields, building stone walls, gathering more soil, and improving soil quality and productivity for the fields in combination with building of irrigation facilities and roads, as well as with forestation and agriculture structure adjustment. The purpose of the pattern was to alleviate poverty in the karst areas by improving soil productivity and promoting agricultural development. A typical area was studied with the help of Participatory Rural Appraisal （PRA） and the pattern was carried out there for fifteen years, have produced excellent ecological benefits and good economic benefits. Its application in the area approved that it was a sustainable land use pattern for rocky desert areas.     

Intensity variations of the postnoon auroral bright spots observed at Zhongshan Station, Antarctica on August 8, 1999

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GPS9800在济南市长清地形控制网中的应用

在济南市长清区经济开发区地形测量控制网设计中应用了SOUTHGPS9800及其数据处理软件。工作中采用GPS观测技术精确测定点位的三维坐标,求定其大地高程,通过四等水准求得该点的正常高程,从而确定该点的高程异常值,布设足够多的GPS水准点,通过求得的高程异常值确定控制点的正常高程,精度符合要求。     

航测技术在土地调查工作中的应用研究

第二次全国土地调查工作已在各地陆续展开,全面查清土地利用现状,掌握真实准确的土地基础数据是该次土地调查工作的根本目的。利用航测技术,在制作较大比例尺正射影像图的同时,运用测图软件在立体模型上测绘出地类图斑界线,将图斑界线(矢量图)与影像图叠加(套合),绘制出带有地类图斑界线的正射影像图作为外业调查底图。一方面在提高地类图斑界线准确性的同时,提高了地类面积的计算与统计精度;另一方面也有效地提高了外业调查工作效率。     

基于PCA-GWR方法的村级贫困时空格局及致贫因素分析

探究贫困的时空变化及识别致贫因素,可以为扶贫政策的制定和实施提供参考。贫困是由多种因素造成的,地理加权回归（GWR）可以分析各因素对贫困的影响在空间上的差异,但致贫因素之间存在较强的相关性会导致多重共线性问题。本文探索了基于主成分的地理加权回归方法（PCA-GWR）,结合自然、经济和社会属性对贫困空间格局特征进行因素分析;为探究贫困的时空变化规律,探索用全局Moran's I指数、局部G系数对村级贫困发生率的时空格局变化特征进行分析。并以江西省永新县为研究区为实验区进行分析。研究结果表明：① PCA-GWR模型中变量的方差膨胀因子（VIF）值明显低于GWR模型变量的VIF值,PCA-GWR模型有效地解决了GWR模型中存在的多重共线性问题;② 永新县贫困格局分布与地形、植被分布等自然因素和低学历、缺乏劳动力、疾病等乡村主体自生发展能力相关,且每种影响因素与贫困发生率的关系呈现出不同的空间模式;③ 2013—2017年永新县贫困发生率从11.27%下降至0.97%,呈现出逐年下降趋势,且村间贫困差距逐年缩小,其中2013—2015年贫困发生率分布西高东低,2016年和2017年整体值较低;④ 从空间相关性来看：全局上,2013—2016年表现出空间正相关,2017年呈现随机分布;局部上,2013—2016年的冷、热点分布变化不大,冷点分布在中部,热点聚集在西南部,2017年热点分布在南部,冷点零星分布于北部地区。研究结果可为政府扶贫政策的制定提供参考。     

Impact of labor transfer on agricultural land use conversion at rural household level based on Logit model

Since land and labor force are primary resources to be used and controlled by rural households, the allocation of labor forces will influence land uses, and further lead to land use conversion. The present study used the Binary Logit model to investigate the influence of labor force transfer, characteristics of rural households, location, and land market on agricultural land use conversion at rural household level. This study was conducted based on 329 valid questionnaires, which were obtained in Changshu, Rudong, and Tongshan counties, respectively representing the southern, middle and northern areas of Jiangsu Province. The results showed that land market participation, location, zonal difference and labor transfer had strong influences on agricultural land use conversion. The participation of land market had a strong positive effect on land use conversion, especially for the farmland converted to the fishpond. The nearer to the county seat, the more conversion of land use occurred. Particularly, the labor force transfer caused by wage employment decreased this conversion probability, while the labor transfer caused by self-employment led to more conversion; and the increasing of income from labor transfer increased the conversion. Moreover, land use conversions demonstrated zonal difference, which were more in Rudong and Changshu counties than in Tongshan County, and the factors influencing this conversion were different in the three regions.     

陆相页岩油勘探“进源找油”探索与思考——以渤海湾盆地歧口凹陷沙一段为例

基于源岩油气理论和“进源找油”思想,创建提出了陆相页岩油“六定”思路(定背景、定源岩、定储层、定区带、定资源、定甜点)勘探流程,剖析其地质特征及与常规勘探流程的显著差异,并以渤海湾盆地歧口凹陷沙一段为例进行了论述。按“六定”思路地质评价认为,歧口凹陷在古近纪湖盆扩张和咸化环境下,半深湖—深湖、滨浅湖—湖湾相区分布广泛,发育了多个斜坡构造带,页岩油形成和聚集背景有利。沙一下亚段暗色泥岩、油页岩、富有机质页岩发育,厚度大,分布广,主体处于成熟生油阶段,生烃条件好。受内、外物源共同控制,沙一下亚段形成大面积分布的多期重力流沉积粉—细砂岩和泥—微晶白云岩储层,平均厚度为12.7~70.0 m,叠置发育,连片分布,整体呈低孔、特低—超低渗。沙一下亚段源储一体,发育4类源储配置,源储叠合区主要分布在凹陷中心、宽缓斜坡的中—低斜坡区和中斜坡区,纵向上浊积席状砂岩油层与白云岩油层叠置分布,并与高斜坡及裂缝带砂岩常规油藏横向连片。两类页岩油地质资源量合计中值为5.86×108 t,剩余资源占比大于60%,埋深适中,勘探潜力较大。沙一下亚段已有多口探井钻获工业油流,页岩油富集受构造、微相、成岩共同控制,发育致密砂岩、白云岩2类甜点体和4个甜点段,歧北低斜坡、歧南斜坡、板桥斜坡、歧北中斜坡是歧口凹陷近期勘探的有利甜点区。基于“进源找油”思想提出:需高度重视碳酸盐岩烃源岩生烃贡献和分布研究;应开拓一些“非常规思维”,探源岩(区)挖潜力、究储层找甜点、常规非常规结合立体综合勘探;要持续探索和重点攻关页岩油甜点区(段)识别和评价方法技术,解决选区评价面临的技术难题。     

A new rainwater harvesting and recycling system for transforming sloping land into terraced farmland

Transforming sloping land into terraced land is an effective approach to cope with the problems including farmland shortage and severe soil erosion.This paper introduces a new system based on rainwater harvesting and recycling technology,which may effectively improve farmland productivity rainwater use efficiency and reduce water and fertilizer inputs.The new system consists of three subsystems：1） A plough layer with the dual function of crop cultivation and rainwater harvesting; 2） A tank below the plough layer for storing water; 3） An irrigation-drainage subsystem.The plough layer and the storage tank,both treated for reducing seepage,are connected through the irrigation and drainage system.Results showed that,compared with the traditional paddy fields,rice evapotranspiration（ and crop coefficient） in the test field remained at a similar level,while the irrigation amount was reduced by 44.3% under the condition of basin irrigation,and the drainage amount decreased by 86.6%,and the non-point source pollution was reduced to 67.7%~87.9%,and the rainwater utilization efficiency increased by 30% and reached 95.4%,and crop yield of middle-season rice reached 9,975 kg/hm2,which was only 0.4% lower than that in the traditional paddy field in the terms of dry matter.The new technology sheds light on new possibilities for transformation of hilly sloping land.     

Effects of terracing and agroforestry on soil and water loss in hilly areas of the Sichuan Basin,China

Soil erosion in hilly areas of the Sichuan Basin is a serious concern over sustainable crop production and sound ecosystem. A 3-year experiment was conducted using the method of runoff plots to examine the effects of terracing and agroforestry in farmland systems on soil and water conservation of slope fields in the hilly areas in Jianyang County, Sichuan Province, Southwestern China. A power function （Y = aX^b） can statistically describe the relationship between water runoff （Y） and rainfall （X）. The regression equation for the treatment of sloping terraces with crops （Plot 2） is remarkably different from that for the treatment of sloping terraces with grasses and trees （Plot 1） and the conventional up- and down-slope crop system （Plot 3） regarding equation coefficients, while regression equations are similar between Plot 1 and Plot 3. Water runoff amount and runoff coefficient of slope fields increased by 21.5-41.0 % and 27.5 - 69.7 % respectively, compared to those of sloping terraces, suggesting that terracing notably reduced the water runoff in the field. In the case of sloping terraces, lower amount of water runoff was observed on sloping terraces with crops than on sloping terraces with grasses and trees. Sediment yields on the slope fields in the normal year of rainfall distribution were notably higher （34.41 - 331.67 % and 37.06-403.44 % for Plot 1 and Plot 2, respectively） than those on sloping terraces, implying that terracing also plays a significant role in the reduction in soil erosion. It is suggested that terracing with crops is significantly effective for soil and water conservation in cultivated farmland, while the conventional practice of up- and down- slope cultivation creates high rates of water runoff and soil sediment transport. Terracing with grasses and fruit trees shows a less reduction in water runoff than terracing with crops, which was observed in the 3-year experiments.     

基于深度学习AlexNet的遥感影像地表覆盖分类评价研究

地表覆盖分类信息是反映自然、人工地表覆盖要素的综合体,包含植被、土壤、冰川、河流、湖泊、沼泽湿地及各类人工构筑物等元素,侧重描述地球表面的自然属性,具有明确的时间及空间特性。地表覆盖分类信息数据量大、现势性强、人工评价费时,其自动化评价长期以来存在许多技术难点。本文基于面向对象的图斑分类体系,引入深度卷积神经网络对现有地理国情普查-地表覆盖分类数据进行分类评价,并通过试验利用AlexNet模型实现地表覆盖分类评价验证。试验结果表明,该方法可有效判读耕地、房屋2类图斑,正确分类隶属度优于99%,而由于数据较少、训练不充分,林地、水体图斑正确分类隶属度不高,分别为62.73%和43.59%。使用本文方法,经过大量数据充分微调的深度学习AlexNet可有效地计算图斑的地类隶属度,并实现自动地表覆盖分类图斑量化评价。     

Spatial and temporal patterns of soil nitrogen distribution under different land uses in a watershed in the hilly area of purple soil, China

Quantification of soil spatial and temporal variability at watershed scale is important in ecological modeling, precision agriculture, and natural resources management. The spatio-temporal variations of soil nitrogen under different land uses in a small watershed (12.10 km²) in the hilly area of purple soil at the upper reaches of the Yangtze River in southwestern China were investigated by using conventional statistics, geostatistics, and a geographical information system in order to provide information for land management and control of environmental issues. A total of 552 soil samples (0 to 15 cm) from 276 sites within the watershed were collected in April and August of 2011, and analyzed for soil total nitrogen (STN) and nitrate nitrogen (NO3-N). We compared spatial variations of STN and NO3-N under different land uses as well as the temporal variations in April (dry season) and August (rainy season). Results showed that STN contents were deeply affected by land-use types; median STN values ranged from 0.94 to 1.27 g·kg^?1, and STN contents decreased in the following order: paddy field > forestland > sloping cropland. No significant difference was found for STN contents between April and August under the same land use. However, NO3-N contents were 23.26, 10.58, and 26.19 mg·kg^?1 in April, and 1.34, 8.51, and 3.00 mg·kg^?1 in August for the paddy field, sloping cropland and forestland, respectively. Nugget ratios for STN indicated moderate spatial dependence in the paddy field and sloping cropland, and a strong spatial dependence in forestland. The processes of nitrogen movement, transformation, absorption of plant were deeply influenced by land use types; as a result, great changes of soil nitrogen levels at spatial and temporal scales were demonstrated in the studied watershed.     

土地资源体多级变粒度空间数据管理方法

结合资源体的概念和土地要素功能提出了土地资源体概念,将土地资源数据对象组织成土地利用资源体、土地权属资源体等不同类型的土地资源体.在土地资源体对象基础上,结合具体的土地资源管理业务需要,提出了土地资源体多级变粒度数据组织管理模式,对土地资源体横向按资源体、图库、图层集合、图层和地物等不同资源授权粒度,纵向按多级区域层次管理的方式进行管理.国家、省、市级别的土地资源管理以县为基本单位,以区域特征管理国家、省、市、县等逻辑关系,县级的土地资源时空数据按资源体、图库、图层集合、图层和地物等不同资源授权粒度来对数据进行管理.在具体的土地资源管理和业务实施时,可以根据实际的需要对位于不同位置、不同层次、不同资源体类型的土地资源体进行动态组合.     

Study on methods of land use dynamic monitoring at county level

Remote sensing technique has played an important role in land use dynamic monitoring, but as for the land use dynamic monitoring at county level, traditional remote sensing methods such as satellite imagery visual interpretation and computer classification can not meet its demand for accuracy. The result of 1: 10 000 land use investigation map has high accuracy, but this method can not be used to dynamically monitor the land use because of its big expenses, long period and difficulty in updating data. In this paper, the characteristics of physiognomy, climate and the status of land use in Dehui County are taken into consideration and a set of method, which takes use of 3S techniques and applies to Northeast China Plain, is come up with. When the land use type of a land parcel changed as a whole, the date updating can be make by changing its land type ID in the attribute table in a GIS. When the land use type of an irregular area changed, GPS receivers are used to position its border. This set of method is characteristic of high accuracy and low expenses. It gets the information of land use change timely and can be used to dynamically monitor the land use. Foundation item: Under the auspices of the key project of the National Ninth Five-year Plan (96-B02-01-07). Biography: LI Lin-yi (1968 —), female, a native of Jilin, Ph. D. candidate of Changchun Institute of Geography, the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Her research interest includes land use change monitoring and crop yield estimation using “3S” techniques.     

A GIS-based Tupu Analysis of Dynamics of Saline-alkali Land in Western Jilin Province

Based on Tupu theory, this paper studied the dynamic changes, conversion modes, expansion intensity and landscape attributes of the saline-alkali lands in Changling County, Zhenlai County and Da'an City of the western Jilin Province in 1980-2000 with the help of GIS. The results show that the saline-alkali land rather sharply increased in Da'an during 1995-2000; the main conversion processes in the three counties were from grassland to saline-alkali land and from saline-alkali land to grassland; and the typical shapes, spatial expansion speed and mode, and landscape attributes of the saline-alkali land were different in the three counties, which were closely related to local topography, predominant wind orientation, water resources distribution, etc. The corresponding spatial expansion mode was marginality in Changling, random in Zhenlai and more kernels in Da'an, respectively. Landscape attributes also responded to the spatial-temporal dynamic changes of the saline-alkali land and the landscape indices of Da'an fluctuated greatly. The frame of this research may provide fundamental reference for landscape analysis and give some suggestions for regional sustainable development.     

Synergistic effects of vegetation layers of maize and potato intercropping on soil erosion on sloping land in Yunnan Province,China

Intercropping, as an overyielding system, can decrease soil erosion on sloping land through the presence of dense canopy covers. However, the structure mechanism in canopy is still unclear. We conducted a two-year field experiment on runoff plots, exploring whether the interaction between vegetation layers reduce soil erosion in maize and potato intercropping systems. The maize, potato, and weed layers in the intercropping system were removed by a single layer, two layers and three layers, respectively(total of 8 treatments including all layers removed as the control). Then, throughfall, runoff and sediment were measured at the plot and row scale on a weekly basis. Based on the difference between each treatment and the control, we calculated and found a relative reduction of runoff and sediment by any combination of the two vegetation layers greater than the sum of each single layer. In 2016 and 2017, the highest relative reduction of runoff reached 15.65% and 46.73%, respectively. Sediment loss decreased by 33.96% and 42.77%, respectively. Moreover, runoffand sediment reduced by the combination of all vegetation layers(no layers removed) was also larger than the sum of that by each single layer. In 2016 and 2017, the highest relative reduction of runoff reached 7.32% and 3.48%, respectively. So, there were synergistic effects among multi-level(two or three layers) vegetation layers in terms of decreasing soil erosion on sloping land. Maize redistributes more throughfall at the maize intra-specific row and the maize and potato inter-specific, which is favorable for the synergistic effect of reducing soil erosion. This finding shows an important mechanism of maize and potato intercropping for soil and water conservation, and may promote the application of diverse cropping systems for sustainable agriculture in mountainous areas.     

区域土地利用变化的多情景分析——以内蒙古自治区太仆寺旗为例

区域土地利用变化的情景分析涉及到影响土地利用变化的诸多因素,引起了目前学术界的广泛关注与重视。论文利用系统动力学模型与CLUE-S模型的理论框架,构建了太仆寺旗土地利用变化系统动力学模型及其时空变化模拟模型,通过对太仆寺旗土地利用变化的情景设计,实现了土地利用变化的多情景分析。研究表明,太仆寺旗在人口增长、经济发展与农牧业生产发展等宏观背景下,各种土地利用类型在诸驱动因子的综合作用下处于一个动态变化过程之中。不同的模式下,各用地类型间的竞争导致区域土地利用演替的差异较大,但参考模式、生态模式与经济模式的设计及其模拟出的土地利用变化情景,都显示出太仆寺旗县城东北部和西北部的未利用土地的集中分布区将成为未来近20年时间内土地利用变化的敏感地带。     

基于地名志的东北历史时期土地利用变化研究——以吉林省镇赉县为例

研究历史时期的土地利用与土地覆被变化,对于人类的生产活动有着重要的借鉴意义。本文以吉林省镇赉县为例,探讨了地名志等历史资料在确定东北地区大规模开发利用初始年限研究中的应用,并结合重分类、重心转移分析、叠加分析方法,分析了镇赉县地名志等史料记载的土地开发利用特征。结果表明:在康熙年间和1853年,镇赉县先后有过有记载的定居后小范围开垦活动,而直到1875年开始持续的土地开垦利用,此前镇赉县基本上处于自然状态。在技术手段不发达的早期,村屯的演变过程与土地开发利用过程是相辅相成的,因此,从村屯演变特征来看,1907-1912年期间土地开发利用最为突出;到1975年时,镇赉县村屯格局基本形成,而此时的土地开发利用活动已由个人行为转变为集体的机械化。在开禁等政策、自然灾害,以及战争等影响下,镇赉县土地开发呈由东部和中部的平坦地区向西部地势较高地区扩展的过程。