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1.
Abstract

This study was made to define the relation between floods in a humid region and the causative factors that account for their variability. The study covered the basic relationships between peak discharges and hydrologic factors as well as the practical working methods for generalizing the results on a regional basis. Statistical multiple-correlation techniques were applied to hydrologic data in New England. A field and library investigation of historical flood data extended the period of flood knowledge to as much as 300 years. The relation of many topographic and climatic factors to flood peaks was tested. Flood peaks with recurrence intervals at 9 levels, from 1.2 to 300 years, were related to 6 independent variables, 3 of which are topographic, 2 climatic, and 1 orographic.  相似文献   

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Continuous monitoring of soil CO2 dynamic concentration (which is proportional to the CO2 flux through the soil) was carried out at a peripheral site of Mt. Etna during the period November 1997–September 2000 using an automated station. The acquired data were compared with SO2 flux from the summit craters measured two to three times a week during the same period. The high frequency of data acquisition with both methods allowed us to analyze in detail the time variations of both parameters. Anomalous high values of soil CO2 dynamic concentration always preceded periods of increased flux of plume SO2, and these in turn were followed by periods of summit eruptions. The variations were modeled in terms of gas efflux increase due to magma ascent to shallow depth and its consequent depressurization and degassing. This model is supported by data from other geophysical and volcanological parameters. The rates of increase both of soil CO2 dynamic concentration and of plume SO2 flux are interpreted to be positively correlated both to the velocity of magma ascent within the volcano and to lava effusion rate once magma is erupted at the surface. Low rates of the increase were recorded before the nine-month-long 1999 subterminal eruption. Higher rates of increase were observed before the violent summit eruption of September-November 1999, and the highest rates were observed during shorter and very frequent spike-like anomalies that preceded the sequence of short-lived but very violent summit eruptions that started in late January 2000 and continued until late June of the same year. Furthermore, the time interval between the peaks of CO2 and SO2 in a single sequence of gas anomalies is likely to be controlled by magma ascent velocity.Editorial responsibility: H. Shinohara  相似文献   

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Chronicles

In memory of G.P. Kalinin (1916–1975)  相似文献   

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ABSTRACT

Lake-sediment-based estimates of sediment yield are calculated from a 210Pb and 137Cs chronology for the period 1765–1983 for a small lake-catchment in the English Midlands. Based on a multiple coring exercise, synchronous sedimentation levels are identified on the basis of mineral magnetism because of the lack of a visual stratigraphy. The rates of sediment accumulation are adjusted for outflow losses, biogenic precipitation and atmospheric fallout and results are considered to reflect accurately sediment yields for the area. At best, these yields are averaged over 4–5 years in the recent past, and 50–60 years in previous centuries. It is suggested that analysis of sediment yields over the last 218 years provides data covering one of the most dramatic periods of change as a result of human activity and covers intermediate timescales often ignored in hydrological studies because they fall beyond the scope of direct process monitoring.  相似文献   

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Coastal and residential development along the Atlantic coast of the United States is expected to increase by about 73% between 1980 and 2000. Present estimates indicate that over 59% of the population of the United States lives within 50 miles of the coast. This increase in coastal population coupled with increased demands for fishery products and increased efficiency in catching fish has severely stressed many Atlantic coast fisheries. Fisheries have been affected by increased pollution, habitat loss and overfishing. In 1976, the Magnuson Fishery Conservation and Management Act was passed creating Fishery Management Councils with the goal of imposing strict conservation measures in the U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). This paper discusses potential causes of Atlantic Coast fisheries declines and gives examples of specific fishery plans that have been developed to manage U.S. fisheries.  相似文献   

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It is well known that the results of determining earthquake parameters depend to a large extent on data processing algorithms and velocity models of the seismic wave propagation medium used in solving hypocenter problems. In 1992, V.Yu. Burmin developed a hypocentric algorithm that minimizes the functional of distances between the points corresponding to the theoretical and observed travel times of seismic waves from an earthquake source to recording stations. The determination of the coordinates of earthquake hypocenters in this case is much more stable than for the commonly used minimization of the functional of discrepancies in the seismic wave arrival times at a station. Using this algorithm and the refined velocity model of the medium, V.Yu. Burmin and L.A. Shumlyanskaya reinterpreted the earthquake parameters for the Crimea–Black Sea region. The most important result of this reinterpretation was the conclusion about the occurrence of deep earthquakes with a source depth of more than 60 km in the region. This result contradicts the conventional beliefs about the seismicity of the region and therefore aroused strong criticism from experts directly involved in compiling the existing catalogs of regional earthquakes. These comments and criticisms are presented by V.E. Kulchitsky with coauthors in a work published in this issue of the journal. In the present paper, we analyze the comments in detail and respond. In particular, we show that the previously used methods of seismic data processing made it highly unlikely by default that deep earthquakes would appear in the results. As an example, we refer to the use of travel-time curves for depths down to 35 km. It is clear that deep earthquakes could not have been found with this approach.  相似文献   

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为研究ldquo;2005.0中国地磁测量rdquo;地磁测点空间分布均匀性特征,基于分形理论,介绍了用分形学描述地磁三分量测点空间分布均匀性的方法.该方法将测点存在的区域以不同尺度划分为相等面积的小方块,提取不同方块区域内的三分量测点的数目与尺度,在双对数坐标中进行线性拟合,直线斜率的绝对值即为分形维数Df,并以此作为评价地磁三分量测点空间分散均匀性的指标.通过对ldquo;2005.0中国地磁测量rdquo;地磁测点均匀性的定量研究,结果表明,中国大陆区域、大陆105deg;E以东和105deg;E以西区域地磁三分量测点的分形维数Df各不相同,分别为1.748, 1.796和1.609; 105deg;E以东区域比105deg;E以西区域的分形维数更接近于其嵌入维数E=2(地球表面),意味着105deg;E以东区域的地磁三分量测点空间分布更均匀.   相似文献   

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The growth of magnetic field is considered in the stretch–fold–shear map in the limit of weak diffusion. Numerical results are given for insulating, perfectly conducting and periodic boundary conditions. The resulting eigenvalue branches and magnetic fields are related to eigenvalue branches for perfect dynamo action, obtained for zero diffusion using a complex variable formulation.

The effect of diffusion on these perfect dynamo modes depends on their structure, growth rate and the diffusive boundary conditions employed. In some cases, the effect of diffusion is a small perturbation, giving a correction going to zero in the limit of weak diffusion, with a scaling exponent given analytically. In other cases weak diffusion can entirely destroy a perfect dynamo branch. Diffusive boundary layers can also generate entirely new branches.

These different cases are elucidated, and within the framework of the asymptotic approximations used (which do not constitute a rigorous proof), it is seen that for all three boundary conditions employed, the stretch–fold–shear map is a fast dynamo.  相似文献   


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Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth - Abstract—The archaeomagnetic study of ceramic material from Veksa III archaeological site (φ = 59°17′ N, λ = 40°10′ E)...  相似文献   

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