GIS在地质灾害风险评价中的应用研究进展

我国地质灾害频繁,造成损失极大,引人注目。地质灾害风险评价是为实施非工程减灾措施提供科学有效的前提和基础。文章在概述地质灾害风险评价方法的基础上,着重阐述GIS在地质灾害风险评价中应用的历史、现状及展望。     

Risk assessment of earth fractures by constructing an intrinsic vulnerability map,a specific vulnerability map,and a hazard map,using Yuci City,Shanxi, China as an example

Risk assessment of earth fracture hazards is particularly useful for regulatory, managerial, and decision-making purposes at all levels of government. A three-map method that includes intrinsic vulnerability, specific vulnerability, and hazard maps is developed to assess the earth fracture hazards in Yuci City, Shanxi, China. The intrinsic (natural) vulnerability map is based on the assessment of various natural factors by coupling the technologies of a Geographical Information System (GIS) to an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The specific vulnerability map is generated by coupling the technologies of a GIS and an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). According to the overlapping principles of multiple geo-information systems, the hazard map is therefore defined by overlapping the intrinsic and specific vulnerability maps using a spatial-operation function in the GIS. Unlike the intrinsic vulnerability map, the hazard map takes into account human activities and the importance of the area to be assessed. The proposed three-map approach is not only scientifically valuable, but provides a more realistic assessment of earth fracture hazards as well.     

UNESCO World Heritage sites in Italy affected by geological problems, specifically landslide and flood hazard

A National Research Council, Research Institute for Hydrogeological Protection (IRPI) study on Italian monuments included in the UNESCO World Heritage List has revealed that many are affected by geological, geomorphological, and engineering geological problems. These monuments are static entities set in an environment that often manifests highly dynamic processes. As part of the efforts to protect sites of cultural and natural heritage, this study has applied a preliminary and empirical Geographical Information System-based method developed to characterize the environmental hazards at the sites where the monuments are located. Because the study of hydrogeological degradation falls within the province of IRPI, this hazard zoning focuses on river and mountain slope dynamics specifically concerning landslides and floods.     

Physical vulnerability assessment for alpine hazards: state of the art and future needs

Mountain hazards such as landslides, floods and avalanches pose a serious threat to human lives and development and can cause considerable damage to lifelines, critical infrastructure, agricultural lands, housing, public and private infrastructure and assets. The assessment of the vulnerability of the built environment to these hazards is a topic that is growing in importance due to climate change impacts. A proper understanding of vulnerability will lead to more effective risk assessment, emergency management and to the development of mitigation and preparedness activities all of which are designed to reduce the loss of life and economic costs. In this study, we are reviewing existing methods for vulnerability assessment related to mountain hazards. By analysing the existing approaches, we identify difficulties in their implementation (data availability, time consumption) and differences between them regarding their scale, the consideration of the hazardous phenomenon and its properties, the consideration of important vulnerability indicators and the use of technology such as GIS and remote sensing. Finally, based on these observations, we identify the future needs in the field of vulnerability assessment that include the user-friendliness of the method, the selection of all the relevant indicators, the transferability of the method, the inclusion of information concerning the hazard itself, the use of technology (GIS) and the provision of products such as vulnerability maps and the consideration of the temporal pattern of vulnerability.     

Groundwater resource exploration in Salem district,Tamil Nadu using GIS and remote sensing

Since last decade, the value per barrel of potable groundwater has outpaced the value of a barrel of oil in many areas of the world. Hence, proper assessment of groundwater potential and management practices are the needs of the day. Establishing relationship between remote sensing data and hydrologic phenomenon can maximize the efficiency of water resources development projects. Present study focuses on groundwater potential assessment in Salem district, Tamil Nadu to investigate groundwater resource potential. At the same, all thematic layers important from ground water occurrence and movement point of view were digitized and integrated in the GIS environment. The weights of different parameters/themes were computed using weighed index overlay analysis (WIOA), analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy logic technique. Through this integrated GIS analysis, groundwater prospect map of the study area was prepared qualitatively. Field verification at observation wells was used to verify identified potential zones and depth of water measured at observation wells. Generated map from weighed overlay using AHP performed very well in predicting the groundwater surface and hence this methodology proves to be a promising tool for future.     

北京市通州区缓变性地质灾害危险性分区评价

以北京市通州区为例,提出了平原区缓变性地质灾害危险性分区评价方法,建立了单灾种地质灾害危险性分区评价指标体系;在对单灾种地质灾害危险性分区评价的基础上,进行了多灾种地质灾害危险性综合分区评价。评价结果可直接用于城市地质灾害防治规划编制工作,为城市防灾减灾和防治工程的实施提供了科学依据。     

The historic and artistic heritage facing the earthquake risk: The Italian case

The problem of protection against earthquakes in Italy is made difficult by the presence of a huge historic and artistic heritage. Such a heritage is mainly made up of ancient buildings and monuments situated in the urban centres, which are densely distributed throughout Italy. Therefore, very complex problems are met in the determination of the value parameter concurring with the determination of seismic risk, in addition to hazard and vulnerability. An indication of the monetary value of a building is not sufficient as far as the cultural heritage is concerned: different criteria are necessary in order to distinguish which are the strategic buildings. If we consider that there are more than 2000 museums in Italy, most of which are placed inside historic buildings, it appears that museums should receive the highest priority in future initiatives for seismic rehabilitation.     

Quantitative-spatial assessment of the risks associated with high Pb loads in soils around Lavrio,Greece

The advantages of quantitative environmental risk assessment techniques over the more commonly used qualitative approach is widely accepted. Yet, correct implementation of quantitative risk assessment is a difficult task, given the present state of understanding of the environmental processes. One important parameter related to the level of risk is the extent and geographic spread of pollutants. Geographic information systems (GIS) provide a very powerful and highly flexible tool that increases the sophistication of the risk assessment methodology. Through spatial representation, the estimated risk becomes more comprehensive, thus facilitating the decision making process. In addition, valuable qualitative information can be incorporated into the risk assessment procedure with the help of GIS. This paper illustrates a methodology which incorporates a probabilistic risk assessment model within a GIS. The case study utilised to illustrate the methodology is a large industrial area around a number of decommissioned minerals production and processing sites with known high heavy metal loads at Lavrio, Greece. The spatial distribution of Pb concentration in soils was derived from 425 soil samples collected over a total area of 120 km². A risk assessment model was constructed to simulate and assess the risk associated with high Pb loads in soils in the study area. The methodology consists of a typical exposure assessment model, constructed for adult and child populations. The Pb exposure for both populations is compared with relevant reference dose levels providing hazard quotients. The results of the quantitative risk assessment study are analysed and presented in the form of GIS maps covering the study area.     

Exposure assessment of rainstorm waterlogging on old-style residences in Shanghai based on scenario simulation

Waterlogging is one of the most serious hazards in China. Old-style residences in cities are prone to be damaged by waterlogging hazards. This paper describes our exposure assessment of old-style residences in Shanghai during rainstorm waterlogging. Two rainstorm scenarios of 20-year and 50-year return periods were simulated with the rainstorm simulation model from Shanghai Flood Risk Information Center. Each old-style residence was ranked according to its degree of exposure indicated by the inundation depth of that residence. An exposure assessment model was then built to integrate three ranks of exposure in order to reflect the total exposure features of a district and to compare disaster situation among different districts. Our research results reveal that Hongkou District and Huangpu District are the regions most necessary for the government to carry out safety defense in old-style residences, while rainstorms bring little effect on old-style residences in the districts of Putuo, Luwan, Changning, Zhabei, and Jing’an. These results provide important information for Shanghai Municipal Government to improve waterlogging management, and the method of exposure assessment can also be applied in other cities to provide guidance regarding flood risk control.     

香丽高速公路边坡地质灾害发育特征与易发性区划

针对香丽高速公路边坡地质灾害,在详细的道路工程勘察设计文件的基础上,结合现场踏勘调查,系统地研究了其边坡地质灾害的主要类型、发育特征和分布规律;提出高速公路等线性工程边坡灾害的基本地质条件、自然诱发因素、人类工程活动和灾害历史记录等完整信息评价指标。采用层次分析法、专家评分法与因素累积法相结合的研究方法,建立了线性工程边坡地质灾害易发性评价模型,并基于GIS平台完成了香丽高速公路边坡地质灾害的易发性区划。为指导香丽高速公路地质灾害的危险性评价及科学防治提供了重要依据,对类似山区道路等线性工程边坡地质灾害危险性评价研究与实践具有一定的示范作用和参考价值。     

地质灾害危险性评价研究——以四川省青川县为例

我国是一个地质灾害多发的国家。20世纪90年中期,每年造成1000多人死亡,经济损失高达200多亿元。地质灾害危险性评价是地质灾害调查的重要内容,也是风险管理及减灾管理的基础,它为管理部门制定出相应的减灾对策并为部署实施有效的减灾工程提供了科学依据。文章首先介绍了国内外地质灾害危险性评价方法的研究现状,通过对比,指出现阶段我国地质灾害危险性评价中的不足;结合实际工作经验,运用危险性评价指标对比法建立了简单有效的地质灾害危险性评价体系。以四川省青川县地质灾害调查为例,对该县地质灾害进行了危险性评价,为地质灾害易发区划分及防治分区提供了依据。     

Fragility curves for masonry structures submitted to permanent ground displacements and earthquakes

Usually, the vulnerability of structures is treated considering only one single hazard, for example either seismic hazard or ground instability. However, historical monuments, cultural heritage structures or old masonry structures can be affected, over the past centuries of existence, by a succession of different hazards. The objective of this paper was to quantify the changes in the seismic vulnerability of a given structure previously damaged by quasi-static differential settlements. In view of this, a soil-structure model of the masonry building is constructed using TREMURI software by putting springs at the base of the building to account for the soil behaviour. Classical empirical relationships are used for setting the mechanical properties of these foundation springs. The chosen equations are valid for both static and dynamic situations. The soil-structure model is first submitted to differential settlements with maximum magnitudes ranging from 5 to 25 cm. Then, the damaged structures are submitted to a set of time-histories. Fragility curves taking into consideration permanent differential settlements are finally obtained, using a modified regression technique accounting for the presence of residual drift due to the prior static loading.     

基于GIS 及聚类分析法的抚顺地区地质灾害综合评价

采用GIS 手段建立研究区地质灾害的多影响因素空间数据库,确定本区域引发地质灾害的因素评价体系。运用GIS 技术空间数据分析方法,结合评价分级准则,对地质灾害影响因素进行处理,采用聚类分析法初步确定4 类地质灾害聚类区。Ⅰ类区为抚顺市区工程活动主导因素型地质灾害区; Ⅱ 类区为沟谷盆地及其边缘工程活动诱发因素型地质灾害区; Ⅲ类区为北部及中部丘陵工程活动微弱因素型地质灾害区; Ⅳ类区为南部低山丘陵自然因素主导型地质灾害区。     

辽宁省凌源市山地地质灾害易发性评价研究

凌源市是辽西地区山地地质灾害危害较为严重的区域。作者在GIS技术支持下, 选取地形、岩性、构造、降雨、道路、土地利用6个因素作为评价指标, 根据历史上已发生的68个山地地质灾害点计算了各指标因子的敏感性, 采用层次分析法确定了各指标的权重, 利用因子叠置法对凌源市山地灾害易发性进行了综合评价。结果表明凌源地区的山地灾害易发程度具有明显的地带性, 高易发区与区域性大断裂及人类活动密切相关。该研究对凌源地区地质灾害防治具有一定的指导意义。     

Risk assessment of traffic-related air pollution in a world heritage city

To support environmental risk management in a world heritage city, this paper presents high spatial-resolution maps of air pollutants for the Macao Peninsula. In particular, the risk of exposure to traffic-related nitrogen dioxide pollution for the 22 world heritage monuments in the Historic Center of Macao was assessed. The air-pollution mapping was performed by a building-based air quality model system, in which the traffic-related air pollutions at 5,965 receptor points in the Macao Peninsula were modeled and the average spatial resolution was 727 receptors/km². The results indicate that under the conditions of the evening peak hour and the north wind direction sector 0–20°, air quality in the Macao Peninsula is the worst. About 14.1% of the modeled nitrogen dioxide concentrations at the 5,965 receptor points exceed the national ambient air quality standard for scenic spot of 120 μg/m³ in China. Two world heritage monuments, i.e., the “Leal Senado” Building and the Cathedral, are exposed to excessively high nitrogen dioxide concentrations of 135.9 and 121.1 μg/m³, respectively. The results in this paper could help decision makers to develop effective strategies to protect the world cultural heritages in Macao for future human generations to appreciate and enjoy.     

基于人工神经网络的区域地质灾害危险性预测评价

地质灾害危险性预测评价的准确性,主要取决于基础资料的可靠性和数学模型的合理性。论文结合工程实例,尝试用人工神经网络方法(改进的神经网络BP模型)对区域地质灾害危险性预测进行评价研究。然后与目前常用的方法(如层次分析法、信息量法和模糊综合评判法等)所得出的结果相比较。结果表明,运用人工神经网络方法对区域地质灾害危险性预测评价相对常用方法更准确、可靠,具有一定的实用意义及推广价值。     

基于GIS技术的全国地面塌陷灾害危险性评价

本文运用GIS的缓冲区、叠加、空间分析等功能，从地貌类型、碳酸盐岩类型、水文地质条件、人类活动及土地利用因素方面，对以岩溶塌陷和采空塌陷为代表的中国地面塌陷灾害危险性进行评价。其中模型中各影响因素的权重值主要是通过层次分析法来确定；而影响因素中的分类值则是地面塌陷点的分布概率。评估结果表明，地面塌陷极高危险区主要分布在中国的广西、贵州、云南，其次是湖北、湖南、重庆、四川、陕西。     

Integrated application of the analytic hierarchy process and the geographic information system for flood risk assessment and flood plain management in Taiwan

Flooding is one of the major natural hazards in Taiwan, and most of the low-lying areas in Taiwan are flood-prone areas. In order to minimize loss of life and economic losses, a detailed and comprehensive decision-making tool is necessary for both flood control planning and emergency service operations. The objectives of this research were (i) to develop a hierarchical structure through the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to provide preferred options for flood risk analysis, (ii) to map the relative flood risk using the geographic information system (GIS), and (iii) to integrate these two methodologies and apply them to one urban and one semi-rural area in central Taiwan. Fushin Township and the floodplain of Fazih River (1 km on either side of the channel) in Taichung City were selected for this study. In this paper, the flood risk is defined as the relative flood risk due to broken dikes or the failure of stormwater drainage systems. Seven factors were considered in relation to the failure of stormwater drainage, and five to that of broken dikes. Following well-defined procedures, flood maps were drawn based on the data collected from expert responses to a questionnaire, the field survey, satellite images, and documents from flood management agencies. The relative values of flood risk are presented using a 200-m grid for the two study areas. It is concluded that integration of AHP and GIS in flood risk assessment can provide useful detailed information for flood risk management, and the method can be easily applied to most areas in Taiwan where required data sets are readily available.     

Building stone employed in the historical monuments of Eastern Sicily (Italy). An example: the ancient city centre of Catania

An archaeometric study of the stone materials employed in the Late Baroque historical monuments of the ancient city centre of Catania was carried out. Lithological maps of a selection of monuments, transferred to a digital format, revealed that the stone materials are both magmatic and sedimentary rocks, the colours of which are matched in a peculiar type of bichromy. Particular attention focused on sedimentary rocks, which consist of various types of limestone quarried near the city of Syracuse (Hyblean Plateau, south-eastern Sicily). Carbonate rocks were characterised in terms of mineralogy, petrography and geochemistry, by studying rock samples from both monuments and historical extraction sites. Results showed that, although only one name was historically attributed to the above lithotypes (i.e. “Pietra di Siracusa‘’), they were quarried from many locations and, as they belong to various geological formations, they therefore exhibit great variety. In order to examine the durability of Hyblean limestones employed in works of cultural heritage interest, salt crystallisation tests were carried out according to standard procedure norms (UNI EN 12370 (1999) Determination of resistance to crystallisation of salts, 6p). Results are consistent with the forms of deterioration observed in the monuments, and highlight the close relationship between textural characteristics and damage. Our purpose is to provide a basic tool, which may be useful both for conserving monuments of cultural heritage and for their restoration.     

基于GIS技术的区域滑坡灾害危险性预测

基于GIS技术,利用信息量模型开展区域滑坡灾害危险性预测研究,编制滑坡灾害易发分区图,为滑坡灾害的风险预测及实时预警预报提供基础资料。以浙江省永嘉县为例,利用MAPGIS二次开发得到的信息量专业模块,结合永嘉县历史滑坡灾害和2004年以来新发生的灾害点,分别评价了研究区的历史滑坡灾害危险性和现状滑坡灾害危险性;提出用历史滑坡灾害危险性图件结合新发生的灾害点来验证评价模型;将历史灾害点和新灾害点结合生成滑坡灾害危险性预测图件的预测过程;研究成果经在永嘉县的实际验证分析,2004年后3次台风期间（2004年的“云娜” 台风,2005年的“海棠”和“麦莎”台风）发生的有准确地点的滑坡灾害点全部位于滑坡灾害易发区内,表明采用的模型具有较好的实用性和可靠性;采用历史统计和快速聚类相结合的方法进行危险性等级的划分,克服了前人研究工作中人为划分易发区的缺陷,更科学、客观。