Simulation of the active and quiet periods of seismicity

ＳｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅａｃｔｉｖｅａｎｄｑｕｉｅｔｐｅｒｉｏｄｓｏｆｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｉｔｙＺＨＯＮＧ－ＸＭＮＨＵＡＮＧ（黄忠贤）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＣｒｕｓｔａｌＤｙｎａｍｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕ，Ｂｅｉｊｉ...     

Catalogue of earthquakes (March-May,1995)

Ｃａｔａｌｏｇｕｅｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓ（Ｍａｒｃｈ－Ｍａｙ，１９９５）Ｐｅｉ－ＳｈａｎＣＨＥＮ（陈培善）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ１０００８１，Ｃｈｉｎａ）Ｉｌ...     

Fractal research of fault gouge

ＦｒａｃｔａｌｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｆｆａｕｌｔｇｏｕｇｅＳＨＵＮ－ＭＥＩＳＨＡＯ（邵顺妹）ａｎｄＪＩＮ－ＣＨＡＮＧＺＯＵ（邹瑾敞）ＥａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＬａｎｚｈｏｕ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａ...     

Preliminary study on the duration of earthquake activity

ＰｒｅｌｉｍｉｎａｒｙｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅｄｕｒａｔｉｏｎｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅａｃｔｉｖｉｔｙＦｕ－ＭｉｎｇＨＵＡＮＧ（黄福明）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＣｒｕｓｔａｌＤｙｎａｍｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎ...     

Catalogue of earthquakes (March ─ May, 1994)

（陈培善）Ｃａｔａｌｏｇｕｅｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓ（Ｍａｒｃｈ─Ｍａｙ，１９９４）￥Ｐｅｉ－ＳｈａｎＣＨＥＮ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎｇ１０００８１，Ｃｈｉｎａ）Ｉ...     

Lyapunov exponent and dimension of the strange attractor of elastic frictional system

ＬｙａｐｕｎｏｖｅｘｐｏｎｅｎｔａｎｄｄｉｍｅｎｓｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｓｔｒａｎｅａｔｔｒａｃｔｏｒｏｆｅｌａｓｔｉｃｆｒｉｃｔｉｏｎａｌｓｙｓｔｅｍＺｈｉ－ＲｅｎＮＩＵ（牛志仁）ａｎｄＤａｎｇ－ＭｉｎＣＨＥＮ（陈党民）（ＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒ...     

Mechanical features of Shanxi Datong earthquake swarm sequence and their numerical siamulation by using finite element method

ＭｅｃｈａｎｉｃａｌｆｅａｔｕｒｅｓｏｆＳｈａｎｘｉＤａｔｏｎｇｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｗａｒｍｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅａｎｄｔｈｅｉｒｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｓｉａｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｂｙｕｓｉｎｇｆｉｎｉｔｅｅｌｅｍｅｎｔｍｅｔｈｏｄＺｈｉ－ＬｉＺＨＡＮＧ，ＨｕａＴ...     

Calculation of b value and its application in earthquake prediction

ＣａｌｃｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｂｖａｌｕｅａｎｄｉｔｓａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｉｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎＨｕａ－ＣｈｅｎＤＵＡＮ（段华琛）；Ｃｈａｎｇ－ＱｉｎｇＦＡＮ（范长青）ａｎｄＹｕｅ－ＭｉｎＸＵ（许跃敏）（Ｓｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ...     

Contributors to this issue

ＣｏｎｔｒｉｂｕｔｏｒｓｔｏｔｈｉｓｉｓｓｕｅＲｕｏ－ＢａｉＷＡＮＧ（王若柏）ＳｅｎｉｏｒＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒ，ＧｒａｄｕａｔｅｄｆｒｏｍＢｅｉｊｉｎｇＧｅｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＣｏｌｌｅｇｅｉｎ１９６８．ＲｅｃｅｉｖｅｄＭ．Ｓ．ｄｅｇｒｅｅｆｒｏｍＰｏｓｔｇ...     

Rèsumèonnewmonograph“AdvanceinMathematicalSeismology”edit┐edbyJunjiKoyama＆FengDeyi

Ｒèｓｕｍèｏｎｎｅｗｍｏｎｏｇｒａｐｈ“ＡｄｖａｎｃｅｉｎＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｙ”ｅｄｉｔ┐ｅｄｂｙＪｕｎｊｉＫｏｙａｍａ＆ＦｅｎｇＤｅｙｉＴｈｅｎｅｗｍｏｎｏｇｒａｐｈ“ＡｄｖａｎｃｅｉｎＭａｔｈｅｍａｔｉｃａｌＳｅｉｓｍｏ...     

地震灾害经济学研究

本专辑所述内容是地震灾害经济学研究课题的一部分，作者简介地介绍了这一研究的现状和发展，对其主要问题，如地震损失评估的定量经济学方法，地震科研与发展的经济问题，地震长期预报的经济影响，地震危险和地震保险的研究及中国历史地震经济损失的推断等作了概括和分析；着重介绍了作者关于地震经济损失的投入产出分析；石油化工企业地震灾害风险管理研究以及用于地震保险业务的中国部分地震经济损失估计和世界部分地震经济损失数     

历史有感地震目录编制原则方法的研究——以《中国历史有感地震目录》编制为例

在吸收历史地震研究、历史政区地理研究等多方面成果基础上,基于历史有感地震记载特点,探索了历史有感地震目录的编制原则,给出了地震日期、震中位置、震级的确定方法。以《中国地震历史资料汇编》等为依据,编制了公元前618年-公元1949年期间中国境内3≤M<443/4级历史有感地震目录9 121条。目录数量为中国同期文字记载的43/4级以上破坏性地震的7倍多,比全球其他国家或地区最早的同类目录早1 695年,约占全球同期M≤4.5级有感地震目录的2/3。     

鲜水河断裂的几何形态对地震发生的影响

本文整理分析了鲜水河断裂的几何特征以及从1327年有记录以来6级以上历史地震的断层破裂位置和长度。选用速率和状态依赖性摩擦本构关系代表断裂区域物理性质,构建了鲜水河断裂3D物理模型模拟强震周期性。模拟结果与历史地震的发震有较好的一致性,主要表现在:1模拟结果在第二次地震周期之后,明显出现分段现象与鲜水河断裂分段的几何特征较为一致;2断裂北西端结构较为简单,地震发震情况也偏单一,在7级以上地震发震之前有6级以上地震的发生,此类现象与模拟结果一致;3断裂中段结构复杂,不仅存在分段还有轻度弯曲,模拟结果显示中段地震逐渐减小,破裂长度逐步缩短,并且出现级联破裂现象与历史地震较为吻合;43D模拟结果中,地震破裂区域起始与终止位置大都发生在断层转折的区域,特别是在乾宁和康定两处断层出现弯曲的位置,这与鲜水河断裂历史地震发震情况十分相似。     

渭河盆地地震活动的一些特点

地震地质和历史地震活动都表明渭河盆地是一个新构造运动剧烈的强震活动区。但自1568年5月15日西安附近6(3/4)级地震至今413年,该区再未发生5(1/2)级以上地震,目前的微小地震活动水平也非常低,每月能定震中的地震平均只有一、二次,震级M_s大都小于2级。这类似于1923年日本关东大地震的附近地区,代表着一种类型的地震活动区。本文根据历史强震和当前微弱地震的有限资料,对此地区的地震活动特征作一初步分析。     

Seismic Vulnerability of Historical Constructions: A Contribution

Earthquakes are known to be natural hazards that have affected tremendously historical constructions. Unfortunately, as far as earthquake impacts are concerned, there are no world statistics to compare the suffering of populations or of the building stock and their evolution in time, with the damage inflicted to the stock of historical constructions. Lately, a great effort has been placed on engineering developments: (i) to better understand the seismic behaviour of historical construction and (ii) to assess the benefits of different techniques for reinforcing these structures. However, a great deal of discussion is still going on the type of reinforcement that should be applied, how effective it is and how much it costs. Research is needed for helping in these decisions, by providing a more precise framework in this field. The aim of this review is to make an overall insight on some of the available methods for assessing seismic vulnerability of historical constructions and on how to use them in the case of occurrence of an earthquake. Given this occurrence, the objective is to minimize the effects of aftershocks, avoid hurried demolition made under extreme pressure and help shore-up parts in risk of falling. The final aim is also to help in the definition of strategies for the repair of the damaged patrimony, or as a measure to prevent damage in future earthquakes for the most vulnerable cases. The paper is illustrated with the presentation of several examples published in the literature where the author participated. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

历史强震震中精度统计特征及其对地震危险性研究的影响

以《中国历史强震目录(公元前23世纪——公元1911年)》为基础,将目录中给出的震中精度参数在分段时间和分段震级上进行统计分析,并给出各类精度地震的地理分布．研究结果表明, 58.4%的历史强震震中精度都在3类及以上,其震中不确定范围大于25 km;一般来说,年代越久远的历史地震,其震中精度越差,而且公元1500年以后的历史强震低精度地震所占比例仍然不小;MS6.0以上的历史强震, 3类、 4类和5类精度地震占了60.1 %;不同精度历史强震的地理分布各有特点,云南省1类、 2类精度地震最多,而新疆和西藏的历史强震绝大部分都是低精度地震事件．以震中精度表述的历史强震震中位置不确定性会对潜在震源区划分、近场区地震活动性研究以及地震构造环境评价等工作造成影响,因此在地震危险性研究与地震地质工作中,都需对低精度历史地震重新考证或适当取舍．      

中国强烈地震等震线图的编制

（一） 引言中国是一个地震较多的国家,历史上从很早以来就有关于地震的记载。据吕氏春秋制乐篇记“周文王立国八年（公元前1189年）岁六月,文王寝疾五日,而地动东西南北,不出国郊”。这是我国历史上最早一次的地震记载。根据“中国地震资料年表”所     

西南地区1900—1970年历史地震震源参数推断及结果的不确定性分析

西南地区处于青藏高原东缘川滇、巴颜喀拉和华南三大活动块体的交接部位,是我国地震活动最强烈的地区之一.然而该区大多数历史地震震源参数均存在缺失或者不准确的问题.本文主要通过以下三点工作:(1)基于西南地区地震地质及区域构造应力场研究结果,推断了西南地区M≥6.0的部分历史地震(1900年至1970年)断层面参数,并对结果的不确定性进行了分析,发现该推断断层面参数的方法在西南地区复杂的构造应力场条件下的适用程度有限;(2)使用1900年至1970年之间Shide Circulars (British Association for the Advancement of Science, Seismological Committee (BAASSC), 1900—1912),《国际地震资料汇编》(ISS)和EHB Bulletin的P波和S波到时,对该时间范围内41个地震事件重新定位,得到了其中32个地震事件的可靠定位结果;(3)使用1933年(ISS从1933年开始收录P波初动记录)至1970年之间ISS的P波初动,对该时间范围内的29个地震事件求解震源机制解,得到了其中14个地震事件的震源机制解的可靠结果,从而丰富了西南地区1900年来历史强震目录震源参数资料.     

中国历史地震烈度表研究

在比较分析以往烈度表的基础上,着重增加了社会反响标志;对Ⅹ-Ⅻ度的房屋建筑物和地表现象标志进行了调整与补充,完善了作为12阶烈度表相应的《中国历史地震烈度表》.文中对烈度表的各项标志作了简要说明,并列举了国内外10次历史地震事件的评定实例.本文提出的历史地震烈度表,保持了以往烈度表的适用性与一致性.     

Evolution of Stress Fields and Faulting in Seismic Zones

—Measurements indicate that stress magnitudes in the crust are normally limited by the frictional equilibrium on pre-existing, optimally oriented faults. Fault zones where these limitations are frequently reached are referred to as seismic zones. Fault zones in the crust concentrate stresses because their material properties are different from those of the host rock. Most fault zones are spatially relatively stable structures, however the associated seismicity in these zones is quite variable in space and time. Here we propose that this variability is attributable to stress-concentration zones that migrate and expand through the fault zone. We suggest that following a large earthquake and the associated stress relaxation, shear stresses of a magnitude sufficient to produce earthquakes occur only in those small parts of the seismic zone that, because of material properties and boundary conditions, encourage concentration of shear stress. During the earthquake cycle, the conditions for seismogenic fault slip migrate from these stress-concentration regions throughout the entire seismic zone. Thus, while the stress-concentration regions continue to produce small slips and small earthquakes throughout the seismic cycle, the conditions for slip and earthquakes are gradually reached in larger parts of, and eventually the whole, seismogenic layer of the seismic zone. Prior to the propagation of an earthquake fracture that gives rise to a large earthquake, the stress conditions in the zone along the whole potential rupture plane must be essentially similar. This follows because if they were not, then, on entering crustal parts where the state of stress was unfavourable to this type of faulting, the fault propagation would be arrested. The proposed necessary homogenisation of the stress field in a seismic zone as a precursor to large earthquakes implies that by monitoring the state of stress in a seismic zone, its large earthquakes may possibly be forecasted. We test the model on data from Iceland and demonstrate that it broadly explains the historical, as well as the current, patterns of seismogenic faulting in the South Iceland Seismic Zone.