共查询到18条相似文献,搜索用时 93 毫秒
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《应用地球物理》2016,(2)
勘探开发初期海上油田钻井少、井间距离大,在应用地震多属性分析技术预测储层参数的过程中,直接采用监督最小二乘支持向量机算法预测精度较低。本文将最小二乘支持向量机与半监督学习理论结合,提出基于最小二乘支持向量机协同训练的半监督回归模型,并在模型训练过程中引入矩阵迭代求逆的方法,提高模型训练速度。利用UCI数据集实验研究,对比了半监督与监督最小二乘支持向量机模型,结果表明,半监督学习机制能够有效地提高最小二乘支持向量机的泛化性能,且随着训练样本的减小,效果更加明显;同时对比了半监督最小二乘支持向量机与半监督k-临近算法,结果显示,在小样本建模中,半监督最小二乘支持向量机有着更高的预测精度。最终将半监督最小二乘支持向量机运用于锦州工区,预测该区的砂体及储层孔隙度的分布,获得了较好的地质效果。 相似文献
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砂岩储层孔隙中的流体识别一直是石油勘探开发过程中重要的环节,传统方法主要依赖于测井数据,但是在测井数据缺失的条件下较难得到准确的流体识别结果.本文提出一种只依靠地震数据的砂岩中流体识别的新方法,并选择地球物理方法可测或可求的地球物理参数σ、ρλ和ρμ作为流体识别因子,然后进行模型实验.首先,设置典型流体状态,用Gassmann方程进行流体替换,将得到的流体识别因子作为支持向量机的训练集数据,并定义支持向量机的分类标签;之后,设置随机流体状态,利用Gassmann方程计算流体因子,将得到的结果作为支持向量机的测试集数据.将训练集、测试集数据集输入支持向量机,进行分类,得出测试集数据的分类结果.模型实验分类结果表明,支持向量机法可以判别砂岩孔隙中流体的主要属性. 相似文献
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砂土液化是一种危害性比较大的自然灾害,对砂土液化进行判定预测在地质灾害防治领域中有重要的研究意义。通过粗糙集理论(Rough Set,RS)对影响砂土液化的6个初始评价指标(包括震级、土深、震中距、地下水位、标贯击数和地震持续时间)进行属性约简,去掉冗余或干扰信息,得到基于4个核心预测指标的数据集。通过主成分分析法(Principal Component Analysis,PCA)从核心评价指标中提取出主成分,采用支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)对数据集进行训练,用遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)优化参数,建立砂土液化的RS-PCA-GA-SVM预测模型。并结合砂土液化实际数据将预测结果与基于Levenberg-Marquardt算法改进的BP神经网络模型(LM-BP)的预测结果做比较。实例计算表明:基于RS-PCA-GA-SVM模型得到的砂土液化预测结果精度较LM-BP神经网络有很大的提高,判别结果与实际情况比较吻合,可在实际工程中应用。 相似文献
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地震前兆综合预测支持向量机模型研究 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
该文介绍了支持向量机算法的原理与回归方法。 采用支持向量机中的非线性回归算法与理论公式产生的多维样本, 对其进行了数值仿真实验。 利用该方法和地震前兆异常建立了最佳地震综合预测模型, 对获得的最佳模型进行了内符检验, 得出最佳模型的预测结果与实际震例的地震震级基本一致。 综合分析认为, 支持向量机无论在学习或者预测精度方面不但具有很大的优越性和具有较强的外推泛化能力, 而且基于支持向量机回归算法建立的地震前兆综合预测模型是可行的, 其获得的知识可较为准确地实现对主震震级的综合预测。 相似文献
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针对影响地震伤亡人数的评价指标数量较多且各指标之间存在着复杂的非线性关系,运用机器学习理论,提出了基于支持向量机(Support Vector Machine)的地震伤亡人数预测模型;首先利用主成分分析法(Principle Component Analysis)对7个地震死亡人数影响指标进行数据降维,然后对提取出的主成分进行归一化处理,将归一化的主成分数据作为预测模型的输入向量,将地震伤亡人数作为预测模型的输出向量;以27个地震伤亡实例作为学习样本进行训练,运用网格搜索法(Grid Search Method)寻优获得最优支持向量机参数,最终建立基于PCA-GSM-SVM的地震死亡人数预测模型,并对5组样本进行死亡人数预测。结果表明:PCA-GSM-SVM模型的最小误差、最大误差和平均误差分别为5.12%、15.7%和9.16%,其平均误差相比于GSM-SVM模型和SVM模型分别降低6.51%和7.11%,因此PCA-GSM-SVM模型预测精度较高,可在工程实际中推广。 相似文献
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水库诱发地震震级(M)的预测是在地震工程中的一项重要任务。本文采用支持向量机(SVM)和高斯过程回归(GPR)模型根据水库的参数预测了水库诱发地震震级(M)。综合参数(E)和最大的水库深度(H)作为支持向量机和高斯过程回归模型的输入参数。我们给出一个方程确定水库诱发地震震级(M)。将本文开发的支持向量机和建立的高斯过程回归方法与人工神经网络(ANN)方法相比。结果表明,本文研发的支持向量机和高斯过程回归方法是预测水库诱发地震震级(M)的有效工具。 相似文献
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土的动模量和阻尼比的经验估计 总被引:56,自引:8,他引:56
本文对现有土的动应力-应变关系试验成果进行了分析和总结,推荐了用不同物性指标估算Gmax的经验公式,用塑性指数Ip描述G/Gmax-γ和λ-γ关系的经验曲线,并提出了用Ip为参数的Gmax、G/Gmax-γ和λ-γ曲线的经验公式,对工程应用颇有实用价值。 相似文献
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The use of the shear wave velocity data as a field index for evaluating the liquefaction potential of sands is receiving increased attention because both shear wave velocity and liquefaction resistance are similarly influenced by many of the same factors such as void ratio, state of stress, stress history and geologic age. In this paper, the potential of support vector machine (SVM) based classification approach has been used to assess the liquefaction potential from actual shear wave velocity data. In this approach, an approximate implementation of a structural risk minimization (SRM) induction principle is done, which aims at minimizing a bound on the generalization error of a model rather than minimizing only the mean square error over the data set. Here SVM has been used as a classification tool to predict liquefaction potential of a soil based on shear wave velocity. The dataset consists the information of soil characteristics such as effective vertical stress (σ′v0), soil type, shear wave velocity (Vs) and earthquake parameters such as peak horizontal acceleration (amax) and earthquake magnitude (M). Out of the available 186 datasets, 130 are considered for training and remaining 56 are used for testing the model. The study indicated that SVM can successfully model the complex relationship between seismic parameters, soil parameters and the liquefaction potential. In the model based on soil characteristics, the input parameters used are σ′v0, soil type, Vs, amax and M. In the other model based on shear wave velocity alone uses Vs, amax and M as input parameters. In this paper, it has been demonstrated that Vs alone can be used to predict the liquefaction potential of a soil using a support vector machine model. 相似文献
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Improving the forecasts of extreme streamflow by support vector regression with the data extracted by self‐organizing map 下载免费PDF全文
During typhoons or storms, accurate forecasts of hourly streamflow are necessary for flood warning and mitigation. However, hourly streamflow is difficult to forecast because of the complex physical process and the high variability in time. Furthermore, under the global warming scenario, events with extreme streamflow may occur that leads to more difficulties in forecasting streamflows. Hence, to obtain more accurate hourly streamflow forecasts, an improved streamflow forecasting model is proposed in this paper. The computational kernel of the proposed model is developed on the basis of support vector machine (SVM). Additionally, self‐organizing map (SOM) is used to analyse observed data to extract data with specific properties, which are capable of providing valuable information for streamflow forecasting. After reprocessing, these extracted data and the observed data are used to construct the SVM‐based model. An application is conducted to clearly demonstrate the advantage of the proposed model. The comparison between the proposed model and the conventional SVM model, which is constructed without SOM, is performed. The results indicate that the proposed model is better performed than the conventional SVM model. Moreover, as regards the extreme events, the result shows that the proposed model reduces the forecasting error, especially the error of peak streamflow. It is confirmed that because of the use of data extracted by SOM, the improved forecasting performance is obtained. The proposed model, which can produce accurate forecasts, is expected to be useful to support flood warning systems. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Hazi Md. Azamathulla Aminuddin Ab. Ghani Chun Kiat Chang Zorkeflee Abu Hasan Nor Azazi Zakaria 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2010,38(10):969-976
In this study, a novel machine learning technique called the support vector machine (SVM) method is proposed as a new predictive model to predict sediment loads in three Malaysian rivers. The SVM is employed without any restriction to an extensive database compiled from measurements in the Muda, Langat, and Kurau rivers. The SVM technique demonstrated a superior performance compared to other traditional sediment‐load methods. The coefficient of determination, 0.958, and the mean square error, 0.0698, of the SVM method are higher than those of the traditional method. The performance of the SVM method demonstrates its predictive capability and the possibility of the generalization of the model to nonlinear problems for river engineering applications. 相似文献
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为准确预测地震死亡人数,提出了基于主成分分析法(PCA)和粒子群算法(PSO)优化的支持向量机(SVM)模型。首先利用主成分分析法对地震死亡人数7个影响因子中的6个进行数据降维,同时对第7个发震时刻因子单独进行区间分类,然后对提取出的主成分进行归一化处理,将归一化的主成分数据作为支持向量机的输入向量,通过粒子群算法寻优获得最优支持向量机模型参数,最终建立基于PCA-PSO-SVM的地震死亡人数预测模型,并对5组样本进行死亡人数预测,同时对比分析包含和不包含发震时刻因子的2种情况下的模型预测效果。结果表明:在不考虑发震时刻因子的情况下,使用PCA-PSO-SVM模型的最小误差、最大误差和平均误差分别为0.85%、20%、10%,其平均误差相比PSO-SVM、SVM模型分别降低2.08%、2.28%;输入向量加入发震时刻因子分类数据后,PCA-PSO-SVM模型的最小误差、最大误差和平均误差分别为0.25%、20%、7.18%,其平均误差相比PSO-SVM、SVM模型分别降低3.34%、3.50%。因此,加入发震时刻因子后3种模型的平均误差明显降低,同时由于PCA-PSO-SVM模型进行主成分降维处理,能够明显提高运行效率和预测精度,故降低了模型复杂度。 相似文献
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我国是一个地质灾害多发的国家,特别是滑坡发生的次数比较多、危害性比较大。因此对滑坡的位移进行监控预测有着十分重要的意义。对于滑坡位移变化的非线性问题,可以利用支持向量机在回归分析中的方法——ε-支持向量回归机(ε-SVR)进行预测,该方法基于统计学理论,在处理小样本、非线性、高维数等问题上有一定的优势。以福建八尺门滑坡的监测数据为例,将前面的17个位移数据作为学习样本,后面的6个位移数据作为预测样本,采用不同的核函数分别进行位移预测来与原始监测值进行对比,比较其预测精度。结果显示,该方法产生的预测值与原始监测值之间的误差比较小,其位移变化趋势与原始数据的变化趋势也基本一致,这说明该方法预测精度高,实用性强。 相似文献
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《Acta Geochimica》2021,(3)
Soil salinization is one of the most predominant environmental hazards responsible for agricultural land degradation, especially in the arid and semi-arid regions.An accurate spatial prediction and modeling of soil salinity in agricultural land are so important for farmers and decision-makers to develop the appropriate mechanisms to prevent the loss of fertile soil and increase crop production.El Outaya plain is marked by soil salinity increases due to the excessive use of poor groundwater quality for irrigation. This study aims to compare the performance of simple kriging, cokriging(SCOK), multilayer perceptron neural networks(MLP-NN), and support vector machines(SVM)in the prediction of topsoil and subsoil salinity. The field covariates including geochemical properties of irrigation groundwater and physical properties of soil and environmental covariates including digital elevation model and remote sensing derivatives were used as input candidates to SCOK, MLP-NN, and SVM. The optimal input combination was determined using multiple linear stepwise regression(MLSR). The results revealed that the SCOK using field covariates including water electrical conductivity(ECw) and sand percentage(sand %), and environmental covariates including land surface temperature(LST), topographic wetness index(TWI), and elevation could significantly increase the accuracy of soil salinity spatial prediction. The comparison of the prediction accuracy of the different modeling techniques using the Taylor diagram indicated that MLP-NN using LST, TWI, and elevation as inputs were more accurate in predicting the topsoil salinity [ECs(TS)] with a mean absolute error(MAE) of 0.43, root mean square error(RMSE) of 0.6 and correlation coefficient of 0.946. MLP-NN using ECw and sand % as inputs were more accurate in predicting the subsoil salinity [ECs(SS)] with MAE of 0.38, RMSE of0.6, and R of 0.968. 相似文献