Effects of active solar regions on the galactic cosmic ray intensity

During the year 1969 two long-lived centres were active on the Sun at Carrington longitudes 50° < L < 100° and 250° < L < 300°. About 80% of the flares of importance 1B, produced during this period, originated in these zones.The solar modulation of galactic cosmic ray intensity during 1969 was dominated by effects resulting from the activity in the two zones. In fact all the decreases can be related to the passage at the central meridian of the active centres. Persistence of the effects connected to solar regions is found also during rotations in which they do not produce flares in front of the Earth.Seventeen among the twenty-six intensity decreases, observed during this period, can also be correlated to individual flares belonging to the region at central meridian (longitudes ± 40° with respect to the CM).The data suggest that two phenomena are operative to produce decreases of the cosmic ray flux: the passage of the interplanetary corotating stream associated with the active region near the central meridian and the blast wave produced by the flares in front of the Earth.     

Surface and underground measurements of long-term changes in the cosmic ray solar diurnal variation

North/south directional telescopes operating at the surface and vertical and inclined telescopes operating at a depth of 60 m.w.e. underground in London have been employed to study changes in the cosmic ray solar diurnal variation over the past few years. In order to extend the study to the low rigidity end of the spectrum, results obtained by the NM64 neutron monitors operating at Deep River and Goose Bay in Canada have also been examined. The surface telescope data require that the full corotation amplitude of 0.59 per cent should have been observed during almost the entire solar cycle with the possible exception of the year 1965 when cosmic ray intensity was a maximum. However, the effective amplitude observed by neutron monitors during most of the solar cycle was only about 0.52 per cent and this reduction has been ascribed to the lower value of the exponent of the energy spectrum which prevails amongst the latitude sensitive primaries. Nevertheless, the upper limiting rigidity was varying during the course of the solar cycle, its value being high when solar activity was high and low when solar activity decreased. During 1965, even though the upper limiting rigidity assumed its lowest value, the free space amplitude was also diminished by a little over 10 per cent. Even though the theory of rigid corotation invoking a purely azimuthal streaming of the cosmic ray gas successfully predicts the free space amplitude, it fails to explain the phase changes observed by both types of monitor and which are quite significant. The underground data require that the component due to atmospheric temperature effects is negligibly small and that throughout the rigidity range covered by the recorder response, there is present an apparent anisotropy due to the orbital motion of the Earth around the Sun. Also the underground data roughly confirm the changes in upper limiting rigidity which were observed by the surface instruments.     

Galactic Cosmic Ray Modulation and the Last Solar Minimum

In this work the galactic cosmic ray modulation in relation to solar activity indices and heliospheric parameters during the years 1996??C?2010 covering solar cycle 23 and the solar minimum between cycles 23 and 24 is studied. A new perspective of this contribution is that cosmic ray data with a rigidity of 10 GV at the top of the atmosphere obtained from many ground-based neutron monitors were used. The proposed empirical relation gave much better results than those in previous works concerning the hysteresis effect. The proposed models obtained from a combination of solar activity indices and heliospheric parameters give a standard deviation <?10?% for all the cases. The correlation coefficient between the cosmic ray variations of 10?GV and the sunspot number reached a value of r=?0.89 with a time lag of 13.6±0.4 months. The best reproduction of the cosmic ray intensity is obtained by taking into account solar and interplanetary indices such as sunspot number, interplanetary magnetic field, CME index, and heliospheric current sheet tilt. The standard deviation between the observed and calculated values is about 7.15?% for all of solar cycle 23; it also works very well during the different phases of the cycle. Moreover, the use of the cosmic ray intensity of 10?GV during the long minimum period between cycles 23 and 24 is of special interest and is discussed in terms of cosmic ray intensity modulation.     

Influence of interplanetary interaction regions on geomagnetic disturbances and tropospheric circulation

Proposed solar wind-magnetosphere energy coupling functions are studied. An empirical formula proposed by Svalgaard (1977) is found to predict the geomagnetic activity quite well.

The influence of solar wind interaction regions on the tropospheric circulation, through a suggested cosmic ray mechanism, was investigated. The cosmic ray intensity at Earth clearly showed a decrease at the time of passage of an interaction region. It is suggested that the well-known dip in the Vorticity Area Index may be caused by an interaction-modulated decrease in cosmic ray intensity.     

Solar and interplanetary disturbances causing moderate geomagnetic storms

The effect of solar and interplanetary disturbances on geomagnetospheric conditions leading to 121 moderate geomagnetic storms (MGS) have been investigated using the neutron monitor, solar geophysical and interplanetary data during the period 1978–99. Further, the duration of recovery phase has been observed to be greater than the duration of main phase in most of the cases of MGS. It has further been noted that Ap-index increases on sudden storm commencement (SSC) day than its previous day value and acquires maximum value on the day of maximum solar activity. Generally, the decrease in cosmic ray (CR) intensity and Dst begins few hours earlier than the occurrence of MGS at Earth. Furthermore, negative Bz pointing southward plays a key causal role in the occurrence of MGS and the magnitude and the duration of Bz and Bav also play a significant role in the development of MGS. The solar features Hα, X-ray solar flares and active prominences and disappearing filaments (APDFs) which have occurred within lower helio-latitudinal/helio-longitudinal zones produce larger number of MGS. Solar flares seem to be the major cause for producing MGS.     

Short and long-term variations in the cosmic ray intensity and their connection with the 5303 Å coronal line intensity in solar cycle No. 20

The cosmic ray modulation in the period 1965–70 is investigated by the comparison of the intensity data of groundbased stations with different response to primaries. The socalled step-like modulation, already observed by other authors, is found to be produced by the overlapping between the quasi-stationary solar cycle modulation and the Forbush decrease events. Moreover a good correlation between the cosmic-ray variance (Forbush decrease index) and the 5303 coronal intensity at middle heliolatitudes (17.5°–42.5°) is found, while the quasi-stationary solar cycle modulation is well correlated with the 5303 intensity near the solar equator (0°–17.5°). The different time behaviour of the solar activity at different heliolatitudes causes the step-like modulation.     

Solar cosmic ray effects in the lower ionosphere of Venus

The similarity of atomic parameters for the CO₂ atmosphere of Venus and that of the Earth is used to calculate the ionization and optical emission rate in the upper atmosphere of Venus resulting from a major solar cosmic ray event. The possibility of as much as 10 per cent of N₂ in the atmospheric composition of Venus does not change these effects appreciably.     

The anomalous distribution in heliocentric longitude of solar injected cosmic radiation

Concurrent observations of the solar flare of March 12, 1969 by two spacecrafts separated in solar longitude by 38° show that the accessibility at 1 AU to cosmic ray particles is not a simple function of the relative solar longitude. The cosmic ray flux, degree of anisotropy, and rise time all indicate that the favored path for cosmic ray propagation in this event was some 40° to the east of the nominal Archimedes spiral line of force from the flare location. This is interpreted as evidence for either (a) extreme stochastical wandering of the lines of force of the interplanetary magnetic field, or (b) the redistribution of the cosmic rays in coronal magnetic fields prior to escape onto the nominal Archimedes spiral lines of force.Now at CSIRO, G.P.O. Box 124, Port Melbourne, Victoria 3207, Australia.Now at Physical Research Laboratory, Ahmedabad, India.     

Solar modulation of galactic cosmic-ray intensity as seen by neutron monitors during 1990–1999 – I. Rigidity Dependence and Correlations with Solar Activity Parameters

We analyze the evolution of cosmic ray intensity detected by six neutron monitors located at high altitude from 1990 to 1999, that includes most of solar cycle 22 and the start of cycle 23. This set of neutron monitors covers a wide range of geomagnetic cutoff rigidities. We discuss the most significant characteristics of the cosmic ray modulation during the period as: the extraordinary decreases produced by the events of the first half of 1991, the significant two step evolution of the recovery phase of solar cycle 22 and the start of cycle 23. We also determine the rigidity dependence of the different phases of the modulation cycle. Cosmic ray intensity correlations with several solar activity parameters as sunspots, microwave flux at 10.7 cm and solar flares and with the intensity of the interplanetary magnetic field are studied.     

The 22-Year Hale Cycle in Cosmic Ray Flux – Evidence for Direct Heliospheric Modulation

The ability to predict times of greater galactic cosmic ray (GCR) fluxes is important for reducing the hazards caused by these particles to satellite communications, aviation, or astronauts. The 11-year solar-cycle variation in cosmic rays is highly correlated with the strength of the heliospheric magnetic field. Differences in GCR flux during alternate solar cycles yield a 22-year cycle, known as the Hale Cycle, which is thought to be due to different particle drift patterns when the northern solar pole has predominantly positive (denoted as qA>0 cycle) or negative (qA<0) polarities. This results in the onset of the peak cosmic-ray flux at Earth occurring earlier during qA>0 cycles than for qA<0 cycles, which in turn causes the peak to be more dome-shaped for qA>0 and more sharply peaked for qA<0. In this study, we demonstrate that properties of the large-scale heliospheric magnetic field are different during the declining phase of the qA<0 and qA>0 solar cycles, when the difference in GCR flux is most apparent. This suggests that particle drifts may not be the sole mechanism responsible for the Hale Cycle in GCR flux at Earth. However, we also demonstrate that these polarity-dependent heliospheric differences are evident during the space-age but are much less clear in earlier data: using geomagnetic reconstructions, we show that for the period of 1905?–?1965, alternate polarities do not give as significant a difference during the declining phase of the solar cycle. Thus we suggest that the 22-year cycle in cosmic-ray flux is at least partly the result of direct modulation by the heliospheric magnetic field and that this effect may be primarily limited to the grand solar maximum of the space-age.     

On the relationship of cosmic ray intensity with solar,interplanetary, and geophysical parameters

The flux rate of cosmic rays incident on the Earth’s upper atmosphere is modulated by the solar wind and the Earth’s magnetic field. The amount of solar wind is not constant due to changes in solar activity in each solar cycle, and hence the level of cosmic ray modulation varies with solar activity. In this context, we have investigated the variability and the relationship of cosmic ray intensity with solar, interplanetary, and geophysical parameters from January 1982 through December 2008. Simultaneous observations have been made to quantify the exact relationship between the cosmic ray intensity and those parameters during the solar maxima and minima, respectively. It is found that the stronger the interplanetary magnetic field, solar wind plasma velocity, and solar wind plasma temperature, the weaker the cosmic ray intensity. Hence, the lowest cosmic ray intensity has good correlations with simultaneous solar parameters, while the highest cosmic ray intensity does not. Our results show that higher solar activity is responsible for a higher geomagnetic effect and vice versa.     

Statistical Analysis of the Fluctuations Detected in High-Altitude Neutron Monitor,Solar and Interplanetary Parameters

Galactic cosmic ray fluctuations from six mountain altitude neutron monitors around the world are analyzed during the period 1990–1999. The period comprises the maximum and declining phase of solar cycle 22 and the beginning of cycle 23. The evolution of the most significant periodicities and comparisons with solar activity and interplanetary indicators are presented. We found a 38-day variation present in all neutron monitors, solar activity parameters, and IMF fluctuations. The possible origin of this and other stable periodicities of cosmic ray variations in the analyzed period are discussed.     

Hard X-ray emission of the Earth's atmosphere: Monte Carlo simulations

We perform Monte Carlo simulations of cosmic ray-induced hard X-ray radiation from the Earth's atmosphere. We find that the shape of the spectrum emergent from the atmosphere in the energy range 25–300 keV is mainly determined by Compton scatterings and photoabsorption, and is almost insensitive to the incident cosmic ray spectrum. We provide a fitting formula for the hard X-ray surface brightness of the atmosphere as would be measured by a satellite-borne instrument, as a function of energy, solar modulation level, geomagnetic cut-off rigidity and zenith angle. A recent measurement by the INTEGRAL observatory of the atmospheric hard X-ray flux during the occultation of the cosmic X-ray background by the Earth agrees with our prediction within 10 per cent. This suggests that Earth observations could be used for in-orbit calibration of future hard X-ray telescopes. We also demonstrate that the hard X-ray spectra generated by cosmic rays in the crusts of the Moon, Mars and Mercury should be significantly different from that emitted by the Earth's atmosphere.     

Interplanetary magnetic clouds and cosmic ray modulation

We studied the cosmic ray intensity variation due to interplanetary magnetic clouds during an unusual class of low amplitude anisotropic wave train events. The low amplitude anisotropic wave train events in cosmic ray intensity have been identified using the data of ground based Deep River neutron monitor and studied during the period 1981–1994. Even though the occurrence of low amplitude anisotropic wave trains does not depend on the onset of interplanetary magnetic clouds, but the possibility of occurrence of these events cannot be overlooked during the periods of the interplanetary magnetic cloud events. It is observed that the solar wind velocity remains higher (> 300) than normal and the interplanetary magnetic field B remains lower than normal on the onset of the interplanetary magnetic cloud during the passage of low amplitude wave trains. It is also noted that the proton density remains significantly low during high solar wind velocity, which is expected. The north south component of interplanetary magnetic field Bz turns southward to one day before the arrival of cloud and remains in the southward direction after the arrival of a cloud. During these events the cosmic ray intensity is found to increase with increase of solar wind velocity. The superposed epoch analysis of cosmic ray intensity for these events during the onset of interplanetary magnetic clouds reveals that the decrease in cosmic ray intensity starts not at the onset of the cloud but after a few days. The cosmic ray intensity increases on arrival of the magnetic cloud and decreases gradually after the passage of the magnetic cloud.     

On the generation of high-energy particles in solar flares

This paper discusses the relationship between some characteristics of microwave type IV radio bursts and solar cosmic ray protons of MeV energy. It is shown that the peak flux intensity of those bursts is almost linearly correlated with the MeV proton peak flux observed by satellites near the Earth and that protons and electrons would be accelerated simultaneously by a similar mechanism during the explosive phase of solar flares.Brief discussion is given on the propagation of solar cosmic rays in the solar envelope after ejection from the flare regions.     

The Asymptotic Longitudinal Cosmic Ray Intensity Distribution as a Precursor of Forbush Decreases

Identifying the precursors (pre-increases or pre-decreases) of a geomagnetic storm or a Forbush decrease is of great importance since they can forecast and warn of oncoming space weather effects. A wide investigation using 93 events which occurred in the period from 1967 to 2006 with an anisotropy A _xy >1.2% has been conducted. Twenty-seven of the events revealed clear signs of precursors and were classified into three categories. Here we present one of the aforementioned groups, including five Forbush decreases (24 June 1980, 28 October 2000, 17 August 2001, 23 April 2002, and 10 May 2002). Apart from hourly cosmic ray intensity data, provided by the worldwide network of neutron monitor stations, data on solar flares, solar wind speed, geomagnetic indices (Kp and Dst), and interplanetary magnetic field were used for the analysis of the examined cosmic ray intensity decreases. The asymptotic longitudinal cosmic ray distribution diagrams were plotted using the “ring of stations” method. Results reveal a long pre-decrease up to 24 hours before the shock arrival in a narrow longitudinal zone from 90° to 180°.     

Diurnal anisotropy of cosmic rays during intensive solar activity for the period 2001–2014

The diurnal variation of cosmic ray intensity, based on the records of two neutron monitor stations at Athens (Greece) and Oulu (Finland) for the time period 2001 to 2014, is studied. This period covers the maximum and the descending phase of the solar cycle 23, the minimum of the solar cycles 23/24 and the ascending phase of the solar cycle 24.These two stations differ in their geographic latitude and magnetic threshold rigidity. The amplitude and phase of the diurnal anisotropy vectors have been calculated on annual and monthly basis.From our analysis it is resulted that there is a different behaviour in the characteristics of the diurnal anisotropy during the different phases of the solar cycle, depended on the solar magnetic field polarity, but also during extreme events of solar activity, such as Ground Level Enhancements and cosmic ray events, such as Forbush decreases and magnetospheric events. These results may be useful to Space Weather forecasting and especially to Biomagnetic studies.     

The Maunder Minimum and the Sun as the Possible Source of Particles Creating Increased Abundance of the <Superscript>14</Superscript>C Carbon Isotope

The Maunder Minimum was the time during the second part of the 17th century, nominally from 1645 to 1717 AD, when unusually low numbers of sunspots were observed. On the basis of numerous recorded observations of auroras in the early 18th century, the end of the Minimum could be regarded as around 1700, but details of sunspot observations by Jan Heweliusz (Heweliusz, Machina Coelestis, 1679), John Flamsteed and Philippe de La Hire in 1684 allow us to interpret the Maunder Minimum as the period without a significant cessation of activity. This Minimum was also recognized in ¹⁴C data from trees which grew during the second part of 17th century. The variation in the production rate of radioactive carbon isotope ¹⁴C is due to modulation of the cosmic ray flux producing it by the changing level of solar activity and solar magnetic flux. Stronger magnetic fields in the solar wind make it more difficult for cosmic rays to reach the Earth, causing a drop in the production rate of ¹⁴C. However, more detailed analyses of ¹⁴C data indicate that the highest isotope abundances do not occur at the time of sunspot minima, as would be expected on the basis of modulation of the cosmic ray flux by the solar magnetic field, but two years after the sunspot number maximum. This time difference (or phase delay) can be accounted for if in fact there are both solar and non-solar cosmic ray contributions. Solar flares could also contribute high-energy particles and produce ¹⁴C and are generally not most frequent at the time of the highest sunspot numbers in the cycle.     

Long-Term Radio Scintillation Variations in the Circumsolar Plasma

Long-term scintillation measurements of the solar wind formation zone at solar elongations ranging from 1°–8° (Sun impact parameters: 4–30 R ) were recorded using the water maser source IRC-20431 at the wavelength =1.35 cm during its annual solar occultations in December 1981–1998. Dramatic changes in the spatial dependence of the scintillation index were recorded over the course of the 11-year solar cycle. Markedly diminished scattering, attributed to a pronounced heliolatitude effect, was observed at the closest solar approach distances in the years around solar activity minimum. From parallel investigations of the solar magnetic field structure it was determined that the field strength at the source of the solar wind streamlines is the governing factor for the solar wind acceleration process. Particularly apparent in the scintillation data during solar activity minimum is the increasing role of the polar coronal holes with their associated open magnetic field structure. The dependence of the solar scattering intensity on heliolatitude fades in the years of high solar activity as the level of scintillations increases at polar latitudes.     

Measurements of the interplanetary magnetic field in relation to the modulation of cosmic rays

Field strength distributions and low frequency power spectra are derived from interplanetary field measurements made by the HEOS-1 and HEOS-2 satellites during the years 1969–1973. The spectral analysis involved the use of a technique which is shown to allow correctly for missing data. Comparison spectra, derived by the same technique, are presented for the years 1963–1968. The use of mear-field-aligned co-ordinates enabled the easy separation of the transverse and longitudinal fluctuation spectra. A power law function involving a ‘break point’-frequency was fitted to each spectrum by a least squares technique. The total power level, the power spectral density at zero frequency and the correlation length are found to vary significantly and in a similar way over the solar cycle. The magnitude and phase of these variations are compared with measurements of the cosmic ray neutron monitor rate and the coronal green line intensity and the influence of mid-latitude solar phenomena on the character of the interplanetary field in the ecliptic is demonstrated. The correlation length and zero frequency power density are found to be considerably larger than previously estimated and, contrary to the usual assumption in modulation theory, the rms amplitude of the perturbation field is comparable to the mean field experienced by the high rigidity particles. Although the mean interplanetary field strength is found to be independent of the level of solar activity, during higher activity the most probable vector average decreases by approximately 0.5 γ due to the enhanced directional fluctuation in the field. Power anisotropy measurements suggest that Alfvénic disturbances in the solar wind have fluctuation spectra confined mainly to frequencies larger than 10^?3 Hz. The data are interpreted as indicating that the cosmic ray intensity in the Galaxy is some 75% larger than the intensity recorded by neutron monitors on Earth. Previous failure to find a correlation between neutron monitor intensity and interplanetary field parameters is attributed to a lack of statistical accuracy in the field data. The measured power spectra are used to estimate the magnitude of the parallel diffusion coefficient using the relationships derived by Klimas and Sandri, Jokipii, and Quenby et al.