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1.
Fan-Chieh Yu Tien-Chien Chen Meei-Ling Lin Chien-Yuan Chen Wen-Hai Yu 《Natural Hazards》2006,37(1-2):153-167
The severe Typhoon Nari ended on September 15, 2001 with a high-intensity and high-accumulation storm that dumped up to 1249 mm
of rain in Taipei City, Taiwan. The high-intensity and high-accumulation event caused flooding and triggered more than 400
soils slips and debris flows and large, complex landslides. Detailed information on 63 events, including rainfall, initiation
time, and magnitude of landslides were documented and analyzed to identify the landslides and rainfall characteristic in Taipei
City during Typhoon Nari. The result reveals that slump, slide, and debris flow events are associated with the situation of
high-intensity or high-accumulation rainfall. The rainfall intensity-duration condition resulted in smaller magnitude and
shallow failures. Medium to massive landslide were mainly related to the high-accumulation rainfall. A landslide regionalization
process based on rainfall, geomorphologic and geologic characteristics is proposed. Results of the proposed process show good
agreement with landslide events observed in the Taipei City during Typhoon Nari. 相似文献
2.
One of the most significant effects of the 17 January, 1994 Northridge, California earthquake (M=6.7) was the triggering of thousands of landslides over a broad area. Some of these landslides damaged and destroyed homes and other structures, blocked roads, disrupted pipelines, and caused other serious damage. Analysis of the distribution and characteristics of these landslides is important in understanding what areas may be susceptible to landsliding in future earthquakes. We analyzed the frequency, distribution, and geometries of triggered landslides in the Santa Susana 7.5′ quadrangle, an area of intense seismic landslide activity near the earthquake epicenter. Landslides occurred primarily in young (Late Miocene through Pleistocene) uncemented or very weakly cemented sediment that has been repeatedly folded, faulted, and uplifted in the past 1.5 million years. The most common types of landslide triggered by the earthquake were highly disrupted, shallow falls and slides of rock and debris. Far less numerous were deeper, more coherent slumps and block slides, primarily occurring in more cohesive or competent materials. The landslides in the Santa Susana quadrangle were divided into two samples: single landslides (1502) and landslide complexes (60), which involved multiple coalescing failures of surficial material. We described landslide morphologies by computing simple morphometric parameters (area, length, width, aspect ratio, slope angle). To quantify and rank the relative susceptibility of each geologic unit to seismic landsliding, we calculated two indices: (1) the susceptibility index, which is the ratio (given as a percentage) of the area covered by landslide sources within a geologic unit to the total outcrop area of that unit; and (2) the frequency index [given in landslides per square kilometer (ls/km2)], which is the total number of landslides within each geologic unit divided by the outcrop area of that unit. Susceptibility categories include very high (>2.5% landslide area or >30 ls/km2), high (1.0–2.5% landslide area or 10–30 ls/km2), moderate (0.5–1.0% landslide area or 3–10 ls/km2), and low (<0.5% landslide area and <3 ls/km2). 相似文献
3.
Understanding rainfall-landslide relationships in man-modified environments: a case-history from Caramanico Terme, Italy 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
J. Wasowski 《Environmental Geology》1998,35(2-3):197-209
The expansion of Caramanico Terme in this century has led to the urbanization of marginally stable valley slopes, and this
has coincided with the apparent acceleration of landslide processes. Recent landslides on man-modified slopes were caused,
but not necessarily triggered, by heavy precipitation (antecedent moisture was a more critical factor than the amount of storm
rainfall). Because no important landslides on natural slopes in the same period were reported in the Caramanico area, a clear
distinction must be made between natural settings and those modified by man when determining rainfall thresholds for predictive
purposes. In recently urbanized mountainous environments, the thresholds used to assess landslide hazards should not be weighted
too heavily on old historical records of precipitation and associated mass movements. Instead, more weight ought to be given
to the period following the occurrence of any major anthropogenic and natural (e.g. high-magnitude earthquake) modification
of slope setting.
Received: 19 October 1996 · Accepted: 25 June 1997 相似文献
4.
《Engineering Geology》2004,73(3-4):193
In two events, on November 15 and 17, 2000, near the Mangart Mountain (2679 m a.s.l.), NW Slovenia, two translational landslides (debris flow slides) with a total volume of more than 1.5 million m3 occurred on the Sto
e slope composed of morainic material filled with silt fraction. The first landslide was associated with a dry and the second landslide with a wet debris-flow, respectively. The rain gauging station in the village of Log pod Mangartom recorded 1638.4 mm of rainfall (more than 60% of the average annual precipitation) in the 48 days before the events (rainfall intensity of 1.42 mm/h in 1152 h). The recorded rainfall depth has a recurrence interval of more than 100 years. Other recorded rainfall depths of shorter duration (481.6 mm in 7 days, 174.0 mm in 24 h, 70 mm in 1 h) have recurrence intervals of much less than 100 years. A hydrological analysis of the event showed that the increase in runoff coefficients during the wet period in autumn 2000 before the landslide was as high as two- to threefold. An analysis using natural isotopes of δ18O and tritium of water samples from the Sto
e landslide area has shown permanent but slow exfiltration of underground waters from a reservoir in the slope. In the case of low-intensity and long-duration rainfall in autumn 2000, relatively low permeable (10−7 m/s) morainic material was nearly saturated but remained stable (average porosity 21%, water content 20%, liquid limit 25%) until high artesian pressures up to 100 m developed in the slope by slow exfiltration from the relatively high permeable (10−5 m/s) massive dolomite. The Sto
e landslide (two debris flow slides) was triggered by high artesian pressures built in the slope after long-duration rainfall. The devastating debris-flows formed from the landslide masses by infiltration of rainfall and surface runoff into the landslide masses and by their liquefaction. 相似文献
5.
Slope movements induced by rainfalls damaging an urban area: the Catanzaro case study (Calabria, southern Italy) 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
L. Antronico L. Borrelli R. Coscarelli A. A. Pasqua O. Petrucci G. Gullà 《Landslides》2013,10(6):801-814
Calabria is one of the Italian regions mostly affected by mass movements. The case study of a densely populated neighborhood (Ianò) located in the central-western sector of Calabria is presented. The several landslides triggered in February 2010 caused heavy damages to the built area, infrastructures and productions of this neighborhood, and increased the risk for the inhabitants. The results obtained through field surveys, photo interpretation, analyses of rainfall data and of the urban fabric evolution, historical survey on the reports of the damages caused by landslides, have enabled to formulate hypotheses on the potential causes that triggered landslide events and produced severe consequences on the area. These results have revealed that almost all landslides of February 2010 are partial reactivations of pre-existing landslide deposits. Moreover, the analyses have indicated a critical role of cumulative rainfalls over an interval of 15 days. However, the severe damage framework is explained through an unplanned urbanization which took place across the years on an area characterized by a high level of instability per se. Some buildings have been erected in proximity of or within pre-existing landslide scarps; in other cases, buildings have been constructed even inside the landslide bodies. 相似文献
6.
A warning system for rainfall-induced shallow failures 总被引:22,自引:0,他引:22
It is widely recognised that soil slips and debris flows are triggered by short intense storms. Owing its geologic, geomorphologic and climatic settings, the Piedmont Region (NW Italy) is highly prone to the occurrence of this kind of landslides. In the last two centuries, in fact, a total of 105 severe meteoric events which triggered shallow failures occurred and, of these, 18 events took place from 1990 to 2002. A fair number of rainfall thresholds have been proposed in the literature, defined both on empirical or on physical bases. Empirical thresholds are defined collecting rainfall data for landslide meteoric events and for events without landslides, while physical thresholds are based on numerical models that consider the relation between rainfall, pore pressure and slope stability. The main objective of this paper is the identification of the empirical triggering thresholds for the Piedmont Region. Four meteoric events were selected and analysed (November 4–5, 1994; July 7–8, 1996; April 27–30, 2000; October 13–16, 2000) because they supply a wide range of variation for both rainfall parameters (duration, intensity, cumulative rainfalls) and the number of induced landslides. In the intensity–duration plot, the critical limit is described by the equation: I=19D−0.50 (where I=rainfall intensity expressed in mm/h and D=rainfall duration expressed in hours). Such a limit is traced to envelop 90% of the points on the graph. In the NI–D diagram the triggering thresholds are given by the equations NI=0.76D−0.33 and NI=4.62D−0.79 (where NI=normalised intensity with respect to the annual precipitation, MAP, expressed in %, [(mm/h)/PMA]×100). In the article the different meaning of these thresholds is discussed. Finally, the diagram NI–NCR is proposed; the triggering threshold is given by the expression: NI=−0.09ln[NCR]+0.54 (where NCR is the normalised cumulative critical rainfall, [mm/PMA]×100). The application of the triggering thresholds as a fundamental element in a warning system dedicated to the safeguarding of population in landslide-prone areas is discussed. In detail an operating procedure which is presently being verified and tested in the studied area is described. 相似文献
7.
Rou-Fei Chen Kuo-Jen Chang Jacques Angelier Yu-Chang Chan Benoît Deffontaines Chyi-Tyi Lee Ming-Lang Lin 《Engineering Geology》2006,88(3-4):160-172
The 1999 Chi–Chi earthquake triggered the catastrophic Tsaoling landslide in central Taiwan. We mapped the landslide area and estimated the landslide volume, using a high-resolution digital elevation model from airborne LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging), aerial photographs and topographic maps. The comparison between scar and deposit volumes, about 0.126 km3 and 0.150 km3 respectively, suggests a coseismic volume increase of 19% due to decompaction during landsliding. In July 2003, the scar and deposit volumes were about 0.125 km3 and 0.110 km3 respectively. These estimates suggest that 4 years after the event, the volume of landslide debris removed by river erosion was nearly 0.040 km3. These determinations are confirmed by direct comparison between the most accurate topographic models of the post-landslide period, indicating a very high erosion rate at the local scale (0.01 km3/year) for the deposit area of the landslide. Such a large value highlights the importance of landslide processes for erosion and long-term denudation in the Taiwan mountain belt. 相似文献
8.
Regional landslide-hazard assessment for Seattle, Washington, USA 总被引:13,自引:6,他引:13
Rex L. Baum Jeffery A. Coe Jonathan W. Godt Edwin L. Harp Mark E. Reid William Z. Savage William H. Schulz Dianne L. Brien Alan F. Chleborad Jonathan P. McKenna John A. Michael 《Landslides》2005,2(4):266-279
Landslides are a widespread, frequent, and costly hazard in Seattle and the Puget Sound area of Washington State, USA. Shallow
earth slides triggered by heavy rainfall are the most common type of landslide in the area; many transform into debris flows
and cause significant property damage or disrupt transportation. Large rotational and translational slides, though less common,
also cause serious property damage. The hundreds of landslides that occurred during the winters of 1995–96 and 1996–97 stimulated
renewed interest by Puget Sound communities in identifying landslide-prone areas and taking actions to reduce future landslide
losses. Informal partnerships between the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the City of Seattle, and private consultants are
focusing on the problem of identifying and mapping areas of landslide hazard as well as characterizing temporal aspects of
the hazard. We have developed GIS-based methods to map the probability of landslide occurrence as well as empirical rainfall
thresholds and physically based methods to forecast times of landslide occurrence. Our methods for mapping landslide hazard
zones began with field studies and physically based models to assess relative slope stability, including the effects of material
properties, seasonal groundwater levels, and rainfall infiltration. We have analyzed the correlation between historic landslide
occurrence and relative slope stability to map the degree of landslide hazard. The City of Seattle is using results of the
USGS studies in storm preparedness planning for emergency access and response, planning for development or redevelopment of
hillsides, and municipal facility planning and prioritization. Methods we have developed could be applied elsewhere to suit
local needs and available data. 相似文献
9.
Giacomo D''Amato Avanzi Roberto Giannecchini Alberto Puccinelli 《Engineering Geology》2004,73(3-4):215-228
On June 19, 1996, an extremely heavy rainstorm hit a restricted area in the Apuan Alps (northwestern Tuscany, Italy). Its max intensity concentrated over an area of about 150 km2 astride the Apuan chain, where 474 mm was recorded in about 12 h (21% of the mean annual precipitation, with an intensity up to 158 mm/h). The storm caused floods and hundreds of landslides and debris flows, which produced huge damage (hundreds of millions of Euros), partially destroyed villages and killed 14 people. This paper reports the results obtained from a detailed field survey and aerial view interpretation. In the most severely involved area, 647 main landslides were investigated, mapped and related to the geologic, geomorphic and vegetational factors of the source areas. This was in order to define the influence of these factors and contribute to an evaluation of the landslide hazard in the study area. An assessment was also made of the total area and volume of material mobilised by landsliding. The study area, about 46 km2 wide, includes three typically mountainous basins, characterised by narrow, deep cut valleys and steep slopes, where many rock types outcrop. Most of the landslides were shallow and linear, referable to complex, earth and debris translational slide, which quickly developed into flow (soil slip–debris flow). Usually, they involved colluvium and started in hollows underlain by metamorphic rock (metasandstone and phyllite), often dipping downslope. Therefore, bedrock lithology and impermeability appeared to be important factors in the localisation of the landslide phenomena. The investigation of the geomorphic and land use features in the source areas also frequently highlighted a rectilinear profile of the slope, a high slope gradient (31–45°) and dense chestnut wood cover. In the area, about 985,000 m2 (2.1% of 46 km2) was affected by landsliding and about 700,000 m2 of this area was covered by chestnut forest. The landslides removed about 7000 trees. The volume of mobilised material was about 1,360,000 m3; about 220,000 m3 remained on the slopes, while the rest poured into the streams. In addition, about 945,000 m3 was mobilised by the torrential erosion in the riverbeds. 相似文献
10.
C.F. Pain 《Engineering Geology》1972,6(4):261-274
On November 1, 1970, an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 occurred 32 km north of Madang on the north coast of Papua New Guinea, and on the fringes of the Adelbert Range. Dense landsliding occurred over an area of 240 km2. Debris avalanches removed shallow soil and forest vegetation from slopes of 45°. Earthflows occurred on deeper soils and lower-angled slopes. The nature of the landslides and disposition of the vegetation debris suggest that falling trees triggered the landslides during the earthquake. Logs in the deposits were an important influence on the movement of landslide debris in the channel systems. 相似文献
11.
David K. Keefer 《Engineering Geology》2000,58(3-4):231-249
The 1989 Loma Prieta, California earthquake (moment magnitude, M=6.9) generated landslides throughout an area of about 15,000 km2 in central California. Most of these landslides occurred in an area of about 2000 km2 in the mountainous terrain around the epicenter, where they were mapped during field investigations immediately following the earthquake. The distribution of these landslides is investigated statistically, using regression and one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) techniques to determine how the occurrence of landslides correlates with distance from the earthquake source, slope steepness, and rock type. The landslide concentration (defined as the number of landslide sources per unit area) has a strong inverse correlation with distance from the earthquake source and a strong positive correlation with slope steepness. The landslide concentration differs substantially among the various geologic units in the area. The differences correlate to some degree with differences in lithology and degree of induration, but this correlation is less clear, suggesting a more complex relationship between landslide occurrence and rock properties. 相似文献
12.
Heavy rain fell on the Shikoku area during Typhoon Namtheun, setting a new record for daily rainfall in Japan of 1317 mm.
The rain which peaked at 120 mm/h, triggered numerous landslides in the Nakagawa basin of Tokushima Prefecture, Japan on August
1, 2004. Among them, four large, rapid, long-runout landslides were triggered at Kisawa village. Two people were caught in
one landslide and disappeared without trace, and there was much property damage. Ring-shear tests on samples from the landslides
showed that shear resistance was greatly reduced by high pore-water pressure after shear failure was triggered by the increase
in ground-water level during the rain. 相似文献
13.
Domenico Caracciolo Elisa Arnone Francesco Lo Conti Leonardo Valerio Noto 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2017,76(5):222
Critical rainfall thresholds for landslides are powerful tools for preventing landslide hazard. The thresholds are commonly estimated empirically starting from rainfall events that triggered landslides in the past. The creation of the appropriate rainfall–landslide database is one of the main efforts in this approach. In fact, an accurate agreement between the landslide and rainfall information, in terms of location and timing, is essential in order to correctly estimate the rainfall–landslide relationships. A further issue is taking into account the average moisture conditions prior the triggering event, which reasonably may be crucial in determining the sufficient amount of precipitation. In this context, the aim of this paper is exploiting historical landslide and rainfall data in a spatial database for the derivation of critical rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence in Sicily, southern Italy. The hourly rainfall events that caused landslides occurred in the twentieth century were specifically identified and reconstructed. A procedure was proposed to automatically convert rain guages charts recorded on paper tape into digital format and then to provide the cumulative rainfall hyetograph in digital format. This procedure is based on a segmentation followed by signal recognition techniques which allow to digitalize and to recognize the hyetograph automatically. The role of rainfall prior to the landslide events was taken into account by including in the analysis the rainfall occurred 5, 15 and 30 days before each landslide. Finally, cumulated rainfall duration thresholds for different exceedance probability levels were determined. The obtained thresholds resulted in agreement with the regional curves proposed by other authors for the same area; antecedent rainfall turned out to be particularly important in triggering landslides. 相似文献
14.
The Stogovce landslide in SW Slovenia triggered during the September 2010 extreme rainfall event 总被引:4,自引:4,他引:0
Ana Petkov?ek Rok Fazarinc Marko Ko?evar Matej Ma?ek Bojan Majes Matja? Miko? 《Landslides》2011,8(4):499-506
From September 16 to September 20, 2010, a cold weather front went across Slovenia. A heavy 4-day rainfall totaling between
300 and 520 mm caused large floods and triggered numerous rainfall-induced landslides. The damage due to the floods and landslides
is estimated over 250 million Euros. One of the largest landslides covering the area of approximately 15 ha was triggered
on flysch bedrock, just below a limestone overthrust zone. The sliding material properties, the inclinations of the slope,
and the water catchment area indicate that the landslide may transform into a fast moving debris flow. The necessary protective
measures were taken to protect inhabitants and the infrastructure against the disaster. The Stogovce landslide is one of the
numerous rainfall-induced landslides that have occurred in Slovenia on flysch bedrock in the last 10 years. It proves that
landslide risk on flysch territory is increasing. Special program of monitoring and protective measures will have to be developed
in near future to protect densely populated areas against landslides as a consequence of weather extremes. 相似文献
15.
Chong Xu Xiwei Xu Hamid Reza Pourghasemi Biswajeet Pradhan Javed Iqbal 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2014,7(6):2129-2138
In recent years, earthquake-triggered landslides have attracted much attention in the scientific community as a main form of seismic ground response. However, little work has been performed concerning the volume and gravitational potential energy reduction of earthquake-triggered landslides and their severe effect on landscape change. This paper presents a quantitative study on the volume, gravitational potential energy reduction, and change in landscape related to landslides triggered by the 14 April 2010 Yushu earthquake. At least 2,036 landslides were triggered by the earthquake. A total landslide scar area of 1.194 km2 was delineated from the visual interpretation of aerial photographs and satellite images and was supported by selected field checking. In this paper, we focus on possible answers to the following five questions: (1) What is the total volume of the 2,036 landslides triggered by the earthquake, and what is the average landslide erosion thickness in the earthquake-stricken area? (2) What are the elevations of all landslide materials in relation to pre- and post-landsliding? (3) How much was the gravitational potential energy reduced due to the sliding of these landslide materials? (4) What is the average elevation change caused by these landslides in the study area? (5) What is the vertical change of the regional centroid position above sea level, as induced by these landslides? It is concluded that the total volume of the 2,036 landslides is 2.9399?×?106 m3. The landslide erosion thickness throughout the study area is 2.02 mm. The materials of these landslides moved from an elevation of 4,145.243 to 4,104.697 m, resulting in a decreased distance of 40.546 m. The gravitational potential energy reduction related to the landslides triggered by the earthquake was 2.9213?×?1012 J. The average regional elevation of the study area is 4,427.160 m, a value consistent with the assumption that the accumulated materials were remained in situ. This value changes from 4,427.160 to 4,427.158 m with all landslide materials moved out of the study area, resulting in a reduction in elevation of 2 mm. Based on the assumption that all landslide materials moved out of the study area, the elevations of the centroid of the study area’s crust changed from 2,222.45967 to 2,222.45867 m, which means the centroid value decreased by 1 mm. This value is 0.001 mm when assuming that the materials were remained in situ, which is almost negligible, compared with the situation of “all landslide materials moved out of the study area.” 相似文献
16.
Assessment of landslide susceptibility on the natural terrain of Lantau Island, Hong Kong 总被引:33,自引:1,他引:33
Steep terrain and the high frequency of tropical rainstorms make landslide occurrence on natural terrain a common phenomenon
in Hong Kong. For example, more than 800 slope failures were triggered by a rainstorm in November 1993 on Lantau Island, Hong
Kong. Maps of recent landslides interpreted from aerial photographs, in combination with a geographical information system,
were used to evaluate the frequency and distribution of landslides, with particular reference to such physical parameters
as lithology, slope gradient, slope aspect, elevation, vegetation cover, and proximity to drainage line, all of which are
considered to be influential in the occurrence of landslides. A stepwise logistic regression model was obtained between landslide
susceptibility and the above mentioned physical parameters. The study area has been classified into five classes of relative
landslide susceptibility, namely, very low, low, moderate, high, and very high, based on this methodology.
Received: 17 December 1999 · Accepted: 21 March 2000 相似文献
17.
The determination of statistical and deterministic hydrological landslide-triggering thresholds 总被引:25,自引:0,他引:25
Mark T. J. Terlien 《Environmental Geology》1998,35(2-3):124-130
Hydrological landslide-triggering thresholds separate combinations of daily and antecedent rainfall or of rainfall intensity
and duration that triggered landslides from those that failed to trigger landslides. They are required for the development
of landslide early warning systems. When a large data set on rainfall and landslide occurrence is available, hydrological
triggering thresholds are determined in a statistical way. When the data on landslide occurrence is limited, deterministic
models have to be used. For shallow landslides directly triggered by percolating rainfall, triggering thresholds can be established
by means of one-dimensional hydrological models linked to the infinite slope model. In the case of relatively deep landslides
located in topographic hollows and triggered by a slow accumulation of water at the soil-bedrock contact, simple correlations
between landslide occurrence and rainfall can no longer be established. Therefore real-time failure probabilities have to
be determined using hydrological catchment models in combination with the infinite slope model.
Received: 15 October 1997 · Accepted: 25 June 1997 相似文献
18.
The July 1, 2017 Wangjiawan landslide in Ningxiang County,China 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Yuen Zhang Deying Li Kunlong Yin Lixia Chen Yong Xu Tsehaie Woldai Zhipeng Lian 《Landslides》2018,15(8):1657-1662
Many landslides were triggered by heavy rainfall from 29 June to 1 July 2017 in Ningxiang County, Hunan Province, China. A field investigation into one of the landslides, known as the Wangjiawan landslide, was undertaken on July 3, 2017, to understand the landslide mechanisms and the factors that triggered the event. The landslide is a translational and rotational slide that degraded downslope to an earth flow. It occurred on a steeply dipping mud-rich slate intercalation. Field investigation shows that the landslide had a movement rate of more than 25 m/s and had been triggered by up to 338 mm of continuous rainfall over 2 days. The landslide was fast-moving because it occurred on a steep slope and showed a rapid reduction in shear strength. The landslide resulted in nine fatalities and 19 injuries, most during initial rescue efforts. To mitigate a possible secondary landslide disaster, later emergency measures including evacuation of the survivors, setting up warning signs, and covering landslide cracks with plastic sheeting were adopted. 相似文献
19.
A severe rainstorm of high intensity occurred on 20th–21st November 2000, in the region of Pistoia, Tuscany, Italy, which
triggered, within the entire province, over 50 landslides. These landslides can be broadly defined as complex earth slides—earth
flows, originating as rotational slides that develop downslope into a flow. In this paper, two such landslides have been investigated
by modelling the process of rainwater infiltration, the variations in both the positive and negative pore water pressures
and their effect on slope stability during the storm. For both sites, results from morphometric and geotechnical analyses
were used as a direct input to the numerical modelling. A modified Chu, 1978 approach was used to estimate the surface infiltration
rate by adapting the original Green and Ampt, 1911 equations for unsteady rainfall intensity in conjunction with the surficial
water balance. For transient conditions, a finite element analysis was used to model the fluctuations in pore water pressure
during the storm, with the computed surface infiltration rate as the surface boundary condition. This was then followed by
the application of the limit equilibrium Morgenstern and Price, 1965 slope-stability method, using the temporal pore water
pressure distributions derived from the seepage analysis. From this methodology, a trend for the factor of safety was produced
for both landslide sites. These results indicate that the most critical time step for failure was a few hours following the
rainfall peak. 相似文献
20.
Modeling landslide recurrence in Seattle, Washington, USA 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Diana Salciarini Jonathan W. Godt William Z. Savage Rex L. Baum Pietro Conversini 《Engineering Geology》2008,102(3-4):227
To manage the hazard associated with shallow landslides, decision makers need an understanding of where and when landslides may occur. A variety of approaches have been used to estimate the hazard from shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides, such as empirical rainfall threshold methods or probabilistic methods based on historical records. The wide availability of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and digital topographic data has led to the development of analytic methods for landslide hazard estimation that couple steady-state hydrological models with slope stability calculations. Because these methods typically neglect the transient effects of infiltration on slope stability, results cannot be linked with historical or forecasted rainfall sequences. Estimates of the frequency of conditions likely to cause landslides are critical for quantitative risk and hazard assessments. We present results to demonstrate how a transient infiltration model coupled with an infinite slope stability calculation may be used to assess shallow landslide frequency in the City of Seattle, Washington, USA. A module called CRF (Critical RainFall) for estimating deterministic rainfall thresholds has been integrated in the TRIGRS (Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Slope-Stability) model that combines a transient, one-dimensional analytic solution for pore-pressure response to rainfall infiltration with an infinite slope stability calculation. Input data for the extended model include topographic slope, colluvial thickness, initial water-table depth, material properties, and rainfall durations. This approach is combined with a statistical treatment of rainfall using a GEV (General Extreme Value) probabilistic distribution to produce maps showing the shallow landslide recurrence induced, on a spatially distributed basis, as a function of rainfall duration and hillslope characteristics. 相似文献