花岗岩型高放废物处置库选址中的地球物理评价——以新疆阿奇山地段候选场址为例

采用综合地球物理方法对新疆阿奇山地段高放废物处置库候选场址进行了探测,从不同地球物理场角度揭示了研究区深部地质构造形态及区域断裂构造格架等关键地质要素,为候选场址的安全性及稳定性评价提供了重要依据,并为花岗岩型高放废物处置库选址的地球物理评价提供了示范.     

新疆昆仑山地区某大型水利枢纽工程场地地震危险性概率分析

利用地震危险性概率分析方法对大（Ⅰ）型一等工程－某大型水利枢纽工程所在的场址进行地震危险性分析;该拟建工程场址所在的西昆仑地震带是新疆境内地震活动强度最高、频度最大的地震带,拟建工程坝高库大,为了进行准确的地震危险性分析研究。本研究根据区域地震活动性及地震构造研究成果,确定了地震活动性参数,按照构造类比、历史地震重演原则划分了潜在震源区;在分析了区域地震活动环境和地震构造等因素后,综合评价其对场地地震危险性的影响;根据确定的地震动衰减关系及地震带、潜在震源区的地震活动性参数,应用概率方法计算得出了场地不同概率水平的水平向基岩峰值加速度。其结果做为适合该水库的工程场地地震危险性分析结论,用于指导工程选址、设计、抗震设防。     

信阳市燃气混气站场地及区域断裂活动性的综合研究

运用多学科、多手段相结合的方法，从断裂构造内部结构特征、构造岩研究、构造裂隙统计分析、红外相位法位移监测、高密度电阻率法、钻探验证、年代学研究、新构造运行分析、遥感图像解译、地震活动、数值模拟等方面入手，对信阳市燃气混气站的断裂活动性进行了全面而系统的论证，指出场区断裂规模小，第四纪无大规模差异升降运动，邻区地震活动小且弱，区域构造稳定性高，应力平缓，是一个稳定的“岛区”；场区中部和南部断裂已基本愈合，无明显的电性异常；场区北部通过综合楼的断层在36万年左右有过活动，但此后没有重新活动，属于非全新活动断层。     

一种求得烈度区划的新方法

本文在证明场址的地震影响烈度的频次与相应的烈度值呈对数线性关系的基础上，利用最大似然法，以山西南部（Ｎ３５．５°～３８°，λＥ１１１～１１３°）为例，求出各场址的β、λ和Ｉｍａｘ，得出各场址的烈度危险性分析曲线，并用“逻辑树”方法对各场址的危险性结果进行不确定校正，由此得到该区域的烈度区划图。结果表明这种方法是可行的，尤对呈现过烈度异常的区域，本方法的结果更能显示其特殊性。     

对沈阳地区地震危险性贡献量最大的潜在震源区的确定

在沈阳市中心选取一个场址进行地震危险性分析,分别计算0s、1.0s和6.0s周期下沈阳附近各潜在震源区对场址地震危险性的贡献量。计算结果说明在短周期时对场址贡献最大的是沈阳潜在震源区,长周期时对场址贡献最大的是海城潜在震源区。研究不同周期时贡献量最大的潜在震源区,符合工程实际情况,使最终确定的地震动参数更为合理可靠。     

中国大陆及邻区现代构造应力场分区

以“中国大陆地壳应力环境基础数据库”资料为基础,总结了中国大陆及邻区现代构造应力场的基本特征,提出了划分构造应力分区的原则,将中国大陆及邻区现代构造应力场划为四级应力区. 指出一级构造应力区主要受板块边界的几何特征和作用在边界上的力所控制,应力作用在大范围和长时间内保持均匀和稳定;二级构造应力区受控于区域块体间的相互作用,在较大区域范围内应力作用具有较强的相关性;三级构造应力区受控于区域内部块体间的相互作用,在一定区域范围内应力结构具有相似性;四级构造应力区受控于块体和断裂相互作用的影响,其应力性状(方向、强度、结构等)一致性较好. 论文还初步分析了控制中国大陆及邻区现代构造应力场分布的动力学环境.     

一种求得烈度区划的新方法：以山西南部为例

本文在证明场址的地震影响烈度的频次与相应的烈度值呈对数线性关系的基础上，利用最大似然法，以山西南部（ψＮ３５．５°￣３８°，λＥ１１１°￣１１３°）为例，求出各场址的β、λ和Ｉｍａｘ，得出各场址的烈度危险性分析曲线，并用“逻辑树”方法对各场址的危险性结果进行不确定校正，由此得到该区域的烈度区划图。结果表明这种方法是可行的，尤对呈现过烈度异常的区域，本方法的结果更能显示其特殊性。     

鹤岗三道林场地震台阵场址地质条件

从地震构造环境、地形地貌、场地工程地质岩性特征、场址环境噪声勘测等,详细阐述鹤岗三道林场地震台阵场址的地质条件,并参考测震台站DB/T 16-2006、中国数字测震台网技术规程JSGC-01、地震监测台网项目地震台阵场址勘选技术指南及地震测震台站观测环境技术要求GB/T 19531.2-2004等台站建设规范和标准,认为该地震台阵场址地质条件符合台站建设的相关要求,建成后将进一步提高鹤岗市及周边地区微震活动的监测能力。     

滇西北宁蒗地区喜山期斑岩带形成的构造机制

宁蒗地区地处扬子准地地台西缘与松潘－甘孜褶皱系的接合部位，其东为南北向的康滇地轴，西为近南北向的三江构造带。这种特定的区域构造背景决定着本区基本的菱形构造格局。区内北东向金棉－木里断裂浆本区划为两个不同的建造－构造区；宁蒗西北区和宁蒗东南区。     

地震放大效应与地下地质结构——龙门山山前玉皇观区域观测数据分析

通过布置于龙门山断裂带中段、龙门山山前玉皇观区域的地震观测台站阵列接收地震数据,研究该区域的地震动放大效应和地下地质结构.观测阵列共10台宽频带地震仪,分布在玉皇观河口冲积扇区域.分别采用参考场址谱比法(RSSR)和HV谱比法(HVSR)计算64个高信噪比近震数据的振幅谱比函数,结果显示在玉皇观区域具有较明显的地震动放大效应,并且局部场址效应显著.以S06场址为例,建立近地表地震地质模型,通过SH波放大效应正演模拟研究该场址的地震动放大模式.RSSR与HVSR的结果表明,两者所计算的场址放大效应主频一致,但是HVSR的放大峰值却比RSSR的放大峰值大一倍左右,表明HVSR的结果可能包含了波场在近地表低速层之下传播路径的改造作用.另外,采用27个远震P波的接收函数计算了该区域地壳上地幔S波速度结构.接收函数研究结果显示玉皇观地区的莫霍面深度为44 km,沉积盖层、结晶地壳和上地幔的S波速度分别为2.5 km·s~(-1)、3.5 km·s~(-1)和4.5 km·s~(-1).观测阵列台站之间的接收函数反演结果一致性较好,说明本研究区域范围内地形地貌等近地表结构因素的相对变化对接收函数的影响不大.     

山东省场地类别分布及地震动峰值加速度区划调整

首先,本文搜集了山东省5220个建设工程场地的资料,引入"分布区"的概念,统计分析了山东省场地类别的区域分布并进行了分区。然后,根据《中国地震动参数区划图（GB18306-2015）》中的山东省地震动峰值加速度区划以及Ⅲ类场地调整系数,对山东省Ⅲ类场地分布区的地震动峰值加速度区划进行了调整,得到了考虑场地类别分区的山东省地震动峰值加速度区划图,增进了对山东省地震灾害风险空间分布的认识。结果表明,山东省场地类别分布与地貌分区有很强的相关性,Ⅰ-Ⅱ类场地分布区包括鲁中南山地丘陵区（西南部的山间平原地带除外）以及鲁东丘陵区,Ⅲ类场地分布区包括鲁西北-鲁西南平原区和鲁中南山地丘陵区西南部山间平原地带。Ⅰ-Ⅱ类场地分布区约占全省陆地面积的59.5%,Ⅰ-Ⅱ类场地分布区与Ⅲ类场地分布区的面积比例约为1.47。地震动峰值加速度区划图经过调整后,Ⅶ度及以上设防区域占全省陆地面积的比例由79%提高到90%,10个地级市的峰值加速度有提高。     

Seismic return motion

Possibilities of backswing of fault displacement are investigated on the basis of a simple crack model. Although it has been suggested that the backswing would not occur in real earthquakes because of friction, there is evidence that some earthquakes might have caused return motion “locally” on the fault surface. This paper attempts to derive conditions for such local return motion. Spatial extension of the crack beyond the stress-filled region into the stress-deficient region gives a favorable site for the return motion, the site being just outside the stress-filled region. In our model the return motion occurs at this site when the frictional stress is less than about 30% of the regional stress in the stress-filled region. The overall return motion, on the other hand, would not occur unless the frictional stress is less than 10% of the regional stress.     

海南岛介质非弹性衰减及场地响应反演

利用海南数字地震台网18个地震台274条波形资料,运用遗传算法反演海南岛非弹性衰减系数及台站场地响应,计算得到海南岛非弹性衰减Q值随频率f的关系为Q（f）=343.7f^0.42,说明海南岛适中Q值区域,地壳相对稳定。18个地表台站的场地响应场与频率有关,其中：7个台站的场地响应接近1,平稳变化;2个台站在高频部分衰减;7个台站的场地响应小于1,变化平稳; 2个台站低频部分场地响应接近1,高频部分放大。     

地磁低点位移异常类型特征与地震活动

通过对大量的地磁低点位移异常震例研究,结果表明: ① 地磁低点位移异常的形态、空间展布有明显的地区特征。异常大致可分为: 大范围异常和区域性异常二大类, 还可细分为 5个类型 ; ② 地磁低点位移异常与我国的地质活动构造有较密切的联系。 异常范围的大小、形态与异常所在地区的活动构造的规模、展布形态特征,以及这一地区即将发生的地震强度有关。     

Localized changes in geomagnetic total intensity values prior to the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe) earthquake

Changes in total geomagnetic field intensity, of 2–3 nT, were observed prior to the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe) earthquake at the Amagase (AMG) site, located approximately 70 km from the epicenter. We examined whether the observed variations are local signals arising from the Earth's crust, or global variations that are unlikely to originate from the crust. To remove global-scale variations in total geomagnetic intensity data, we employed a regional geomagnetic field model. Using data recorded at five reference sites in Japan, we estimated global-scale variations in total geomagnetic intensity, and removed them from the observed total geomagnetic intensity at the AMG site. The reminder still showed variations during the period prior to the Kobe earthquake. In addition, these pre-seismic variations include two of the largest shifts recorded during the entire observation period at the AMG site, raising the possibility that these variations were indeed related to the earthquake. These variations cannot be interpreted as signals arising from the area close to the seismic source because of the large distance between the epicenter and the site. Therefore, our results raise the possibility that the physical state of the Earth's crust shows marked changes over a wide region in the lead-up to a seismic event.     

Dynamic pattern characteristics of fault deformation and gravity field in the development process of Yongdeng M S=5.8 earthquake

In this paper, the fault deformation abnormality, dynamic evolution features of gravity and vertical deformation field in the seismogenic process of the Yongdeng, Gansu Province earthquake on July 22, 1995 are studied primarily. There appeared α-β-γ tri-stage anomaly at three sites near the epicenter, and there appeared anomalies of step and sudden jump at more than 10 sites in outer region since 1993. The high value area before shock, coseismic effect and process of recovery aftershock were monitored by portable gravity data. Data reflects the changing process of fault movement from the quasi-linear to the nonlinear in the near source region during seismogenic development of the Yongdeng earthquake and evolution of gravity field from heterogeneity of seismogenic term to quasi-homogeneity of postseismic term. There exists close relationship between strong earthquake and dynamic evolution of regional stress-strain field. Considering all above, the experience and lessons in this medium-short term prediction test are summarized.     

豫北地区地震活动性及其与区域地壳运动的关系

本根据地震地质和地震分布条带,把豫北地区从西至东分为弱,中,强三个区段。由于区域地壳深部主断裂和大震活动的牵动作用,是造成本地震活动的重要原因,因而从区域地壳块体活动背景上探讨了本区及邻近地区地震活动趋势,中还指出,豫北西部太行山区的林县－薄壁地震带,虽不具有强震构造背景,但小震年月频率多寡和震群活动,却能反映了大区域地壳应力场强弱,亦可作为判断区域性地震活动的指标。     

Regional calibration of a watershed model

Abstract

As watershed models become increasingly sophisticated and useful, there is a need to extend their applicability to locations where they cannot be calibrated or validated. A new methodology for the regionalization of a watershed model is introduced and evaluated. The approach involves calibration of a watershed model to many sites in a region, concurrently. Previous research that has sought to relate the parameters of monthly water balance models to physical drainage basin characteristics in a region has met with limited success. Previous studies have taken the two-step approach: (a) estimation of watershed model parameters at each site, followed by (b) attempts to relate model parameters to drainage basin characteristics. Instead of treating these two steps as independent, both steps are implemented concurrently. All watershed models in a region are calibrated simultaneously, with the dual objective of reproducing the behaviour of observed monthly streamflows and, additionally, to obtain good relationships between watershed model parameters and basin characteristics. The approach is evaluated using 33 basins in the southeastern region of the United States by comparing simulations using the regional models for three catchments which were not used to develop the regional regression equations. Although the regional calibration approach led to nearly perfect regional relationships between watershed model parameters and basin characteristics, these “improved” regional relationships did not result in improvements in the ability to model streamflow at ungauged sites. This experiment reveals that improvements in regional relationships between watershed model parameters and basin characteristics will not necessarily lead to improvements in the ability to calibrate a watershed model at an ungauged site.     

A regional model of low flow for southern Taiwan

The primary purpose of this study is to develop regional models of the lower part of flow duration curves (LPFDCs) to synthesize low‐flow characteristics at ungauged sites in southern Taiwan. Because of the close relationship between low streamflow regimes and hydrogeological features, the model development first involved delimiting homogeneous hydrogeological regions by using two‐step cluster analysis. Each homogeneous region was then discriminated by an equation developed on the basis of its hydrogeological features, which was then used to determine which of three sets of regional LPFDC models would be appropriate for a particular ungauged site. Each of the three sets of regional LPFDC models were developed using both conventional multivariate statistical regression and fuzzy regression. Thirty‐four stream‐gauged watersheds located in southern Taiwan provide the data set. The study results reveal that the regional LPFDC models developed in this study could be applied reasonably at ungauged sites. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

内蒙古地区场地响应区域特征分析

本文以内蒙古地区台站分布、地质构造和地震活动性为基础,将内蒙古的大部地区划分为三个研究区域分别进行了场地响应研究。对近几年积累的大量ML≥3.0级以上地震,共计39个台站记录到的124次地震事件的785条波形,根据S波的观测振幅谱,采用遗传算法分别反演了三个区域的介质非弹性衰减系数和台站场地响应,并对其进行了讨论。本文得到的介质衰减模型和台站场地响应,将对台网测定ML震级需要考虑的量规函数、台站校正值等提供重要参考。研究结果表明:除个别台站存在场地放大或缩小的响应外,绝大多数台站的场地响应表现出一定的区域性特征;西部区域(除极个别台站外)对高频存在明显衰减;中东部区域对整个频段的反映都比较稳定;东部区域对整个频段存在明显放大,这与该区域覆盖层厚度大相吻合。