共查询到19条相似文献,搜索用时 31 毫秒
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本文按照广东省热带海洋气象研究所的热带有限区数值预报模式(TL-6)的空间离散方案导出了相应的热带大气运动的水平与垂直结构方程,并具体计算了垂直与水平模态。与关于热带大气运动的解析结果相似,本文所计算的正规模态中,重力波与Rossby波的频率分离特性也十分清楚。根据计算结果探讨了赤道地区Kelvin波与混合Rossby重力波的识别问题。最后讨论了用这组正规模态进行气象场滤波的问题。 相似文献
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文中利用一个半位势涡度时间不变式对热带斜压大气地转适应过程中的尺度准则进行了研究。结果表明 :对深厚系统而言 ,只要初始扰动的纬圈特征尺度足够大 ,则不论其初始扰动的经圈特征尺度多大 ,适应后的压力场的变化都很大 ,而纬圈流几乎维持不变 ,压力场向纬圈流适应 ;至于浅薄系统 ,对纬圈和经圈特征尺度都很大的初始扰动而言 ,适应后的压力场易于维持 ,主要是纬圈流向压力场适应 ;但当初始扰动呈现出纬圈型扰动特征时 ,适应后的压力场变化也很大 ,压力场向纬圈流适应 相似文献
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初始方程数值模式的一个计算格式在有限区域预报的试验 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
中国科学院大气物理研究所中期预报组 《大气科学》1977,1(3):174-179
本文是将我组提出的初始方程数值预报模式的一个计算格式,在有限区域进行预报的试验。 本文主要叙述了侧边界条件试验的情况,初值温度的计算方案,最后给出一次24小时的预报结果。 相似文献
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SPLIT SEMI-IMPLICIT INTEGRATION OF TROPICAL LIMITED AREA MULTI-LEVEL PRIMITIVE EQUATION MODEL 下载免费PDF全文
A tropical limited area multi-level primitive equation model,in which the time integral is performed with a split semi-implicit scheme,is presented.The operating time is shortened to one-third of the time the explicit scheme needs.The results of operational experiments show that the model is stable in computation and capable of producing satisfactory forecast for tropical systems.Besides synoptic reports,data derived from other sources are used so as to improve the forecast,especially over tropical oceans where conventional data are scarce. 相似文献
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Xue Jishan Wang Kangling Wang Zhiming Huang Minqiang Zhang Xuehong Yuan Chongguang 《大气科学进展》1988,5(1):1-14
In this paper, a tropical limited numerical prediction p.e. model in sigma coordinate is developed. The predicted variables are deviations from a rest reference atmosphere. This transformation is of benefit in reducing truncation error and guarantees computational stability after the very steep real topography is introduced into the model. The numerical tests with this model show that the large-scale obstacle of the Tibetan Plateau is not negligible in forecasting tropical systems like the South China Sea typhoon. 相似文献
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热带气旋路径集合预报方法研究Ⅰ——正压模式结果的初步分析 总被引:2,自引:4,他引:2
选择1979~1993年间的热带气旋为试验个例,通过扰动热带气旋初始位置和初始结构,构造集合成员, 用正压原始方程模式,进行路径集合预报试验, 并初步探讨预报成员的集合方法。试验结果表明:热带气旋定位误差影响路径预报,但扰动初始位置的集合平均预报与控制试验的预报水平相接近。扰动热带气旋初始结构的集合预报试验表明,约有60 %~70 %个例的集合路径预报得到改进。此外,试验结果还表明,当环境引导气流较弱时,进行扰动热带气旋初始结构的集合预报,预报结果的改善较明显。 相似文献
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THE ENSEMBLE FORECASTING OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION I:USING A PRIMITIVE EQUATION BAROTROPIC MODEL 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
1INTRODUCTIONErrorsofnumericalforecastingcomprisethoseintheinitialvalue,modelandcomputationandthefirstkindoferrorbecomesmoreandmoreoutstandingwiththeon-goingdevelopmentofcomputersandnumericalmodels.Subjecttoavailableobservationmeans,therealatmosphereisanythingbutapproximatelymeasured.Meanwhile,oneshouldpayattentiontothepossibility,assuggestedbyLorenz[1],thatanyslightdifferencesduringtheinitialstatemayleadtoresultsthatturnouttobetotallydissimilarfromwhatwouldbeexpectedotherwise,asfarasdefi… 相似文献
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Today, the nested model is used widely. The effect and role of each nested variate is analyzed in this paper. It is found that the forecast could benefit by nesting part of the variates and the effect of each of the variates may be different. Therefore, only the effectual variates are chosen for the nesting. According to this finding, a scheme is suggested and applied to the limited area mode (TL10) nested with global spectral mode (T63) for forecasting tropical cyclones over the South China Sea. A few numerical prediction tests show that this scheme is reasonable and efficient. 相似文献
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A three-dimensional(3D)global adiabatic spectral primitive equation model has beendesigned.The main features are as follows.(1)Adoption of spherical harmonics and Tschebyscheff polynomials as the basis functions inthe horizontal and vertical respectively,but the unknowns in the spectral equations are two-dimensional;(2)Inclusion of the tropopause,which may vary with time and space;(3)Suggestion of a spectral method for representing the vertical structure of the atmosphereapplicable to the unsmoothed profile case;(4)In consideration of nonlinear vertical aliasing a technique is proposed to avoid it andnonlinear computational instability.Based on real data forecasts up to 48 hours have been performed.The results show that thestatistical verifications with the model are superior on the average to those with the T42L9 usedoperationally before 1995 at NMC of China at the same mean resolution. 相似文献
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距平滤波模式(AFM)是具有独特优点的长期天气预报模式,本文推广进而设计了一类全球大气多层原始方程距平谱模式,并利用该模式对热带海温距平产生的大气响应进行了试验性模拟,结果表明多层原始方程距平模式不同于AFM,更有别于GCM,在短期气候异常的动力学过程研究或预报方面显示出广泛的应用价值。 相似文献
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本文分理论基础和数值分析两部份。在第一部份中,利用绝热无耗散多层原始方程模式从理论上证明:如在初始时刻t_0时运动是对称的(包括地形是对称的),则在t>t_0的任一时刻,运动将保持是对称的。还在考虑对称地形情况下用模式进行时间数值积分,证明了理沦结果的正确性,因而,理论结果可以作为分析模式合理性的基础。 但是,如考虑实际地形,则由于其对称部份和反对称部份数量相当,运动的对称性会大大降低,受影响的地区主要是北半球高山地区和南半球与之对称的低地。而且,这种影响是从低层逐渐传播到高层的。 相似文献