基于证据权法的伊尔岗地块金矿成矿预测

在分析澳大利亚伊尔岗地块金矿床成矿特征的基础上,建立了区域金矿找矿模型,提取各类找矿信息,在GIS中构成了与成矿有关的容矿岩石、构造、岩浆岩、物探、化探异常等6个证据图层。用证据权法统计综合证据图层生成研究区成矿后验概率图。按照后验概率的相对大小划分出3级成矿远景区,共圈定3个I级成矿远景区,为澳大利亚的金矿预测提供了有效方法。     

基于证据权法的伊尔岗地块金矿成矿预测

在分析澳大利亚伊尔岗地块金矿床成矿特征的基础上,建立了区域金矿找矿模型,提取各类找矿信息,在GIS中构成了与成矿有关的容矿岩石、构造、岩浆岩、物探、化探异常等6个证据图层。用证据权法统计综合证据图层生成研究区成矿后验概率图。按照后验概率的相对大小划分出3级成矿远景区,共圈定3个Ⅰ级成矿远景区,为澳大利亚的金矿预测提供了有效方法。     

MRAS软件在矿体定位预测中的应用——以新疆吾达其铜镍矿区为例

在新疆吾达其铜镍矿区系统勘查工作基础之上,论述利用MRAS辅助地质人员对吾达其铜镍矿区进行了系统的矿体定位预测。通过对研究区矿点、岩体、Cu和Ni单元素土壤异常、电磁异常的提取等主要圈区因素进行系统的处理,提取了有利成矿信息进行综合研究。最后成功圈定了成矿远景区,并得到了后期钻孔佐证。     

找矿信息量法在成矿预测中的应用--以武当西缘铅锌铜矿预测为例

在了解武当西缘地层、构造等地质背景的基础上,深入分析了已知铅锌铜矿床的成矿特征和控矿地质因素.运用找矿信息量法对研究区进行综合定量成矿预测,圈定了7个成矿远景区,预测结果对于该区的进一步找矿具有一定的指导意义.     

五台-吕梁地区沉积变质型铁矿证据权重法成矿预测

山西省五台-吕梁地区是华北克拉通重要的前寒武系沉积变质型铁矿成矿区。全面总结了研究区前人成果和现有资料,利用新的成矿学理论和固体矿产预测方法技术,使用GIS软件平台统计分析了地质、地球化学、地球物理等多元信息,并以此建立了研究区的沉积变质型铁矿找矿概念模型;结合网格单元法和证据权重法对研究区进行了铁矿资源预测,并依据计算得到的后验概率值和成矿地质条件的综合分析圈定了2处A级成矿远景区(五台山远景区、袁家村远景区)和5处B级成矿远景区(桑干河-灵丘县远景区、武灵镇-神堂堡乡远景区、恒山铁矿远景区、轩岗镇-长梁沟镇远景区、关帝山-庞泉沟远景区)。预测结果对该区域进一步找矿具有一定指导意义。     

基于GIS技术的康滇地区铅锌矿资源潜力预测

根据四川省铅锌矿资源潜力评价空间数据库成果,应用GIS评价技术研究了康滇地区典型铅锌矿矿床的地质-地球物理-地球化学特征、找矿标志及成因,提取了成矿有利的地质信息、构造信息、物探信息及化探信息等,进行康滇地区铅锌矿的资源潜力预测,建立了成矿模式和找矿模型。根据铅锌矿的时空分布规律预测了找矿远景区,在康滇地区圈定了5个矿集区、7个重点找矿远景区,确定主攻类型为黑区式和大梁子式,其次为小石房式和乌依式。     

内蒙古自治区铁矿成矿规律及资源潜力特征

内蒙古自治区地处古亚洲成矿域和滨太平洋成矿域两大成矿域,地质构造复杂,岩浆活动强烈,成矿地质条件优越。铁矿在不同的构造单元和各地质历史时期均有不同程度的分布。全区已探明矿产地434处,其中大型矿床6处,中型矿床34处,小型矿床261处,矿（化）点133处。共确定5种预测方法类型,划分为27个预测工作区,选择了22个典型矿床。采用地质体积法和磁法体积法预测资源量,圈定铁矿最小预测区1 328个,预测资源总量59亿t。全区共圈定13个铁矿找矿远景区,并对其进行了资源潜力分析     

哀牢山成矿带南段金成矿规律及找矿方向探讨

哀牢山成矿带是西南地区最有利金矿带.该带金矿成矿与断裂构造、喜马拉雅期岩浆活动关系密切.矿带空间展布及矿体定位严格受构造控制.在分析区域成矿特征、控矿因素基础上,结合各种综合信息开展成矿预测,圈定了4个金找矿远景区,进一步指出2个A级远景区找矿类型、找矿标志及找矿的重点地区.     

独山地区锑矿统计预测研究

系统研究独山地区锑矿化成矿地质条件,应用数学地质的特征分析方法,进行锑矿统计预测,并建立矿床模型,将其模型区与预测区类比,进行锑矿产定位预测,圈定锑矿成矿预测远景区,为指导锑矿找勘工作提供了有利综合信息.     

中国萤石矿预测评价模型与资源潜力分析

中国萤石矿资源较丰富,探明资源量居世界前列。我国的萤石矿研究工作主要围绕大中型萤石矿床的地质特征、物质来源、成因、区域成矿规律和少数省级萤石矿成矿远景区划、区域萤石矿资源潜力评价展开。为摸清萤石矿资源家底,制定科学合理的经济产业政策,亟需开展系统的、全国性的萤石矿成矿规律和资源潜力评价。依据中国萤石矿资源潜力评价报告数据和成果,文章分析了中国萤石矿矿床类型、矿床地质特征和时空分布特征,划分了成矿区带;在各省区建立的典型矿床预测模型和区域预测模型基础上,以成矿系列理论为指导,突出总结萤石矿成矿要素和预测要素,归纳、汇总、提出了热液充填型和沉积改造型萤石矿矿床预测评价模型;以各省区圈定的最小预测区、归并的2级预测区和估算的资源量为基础,依据预测要素和区域预测模型,归并、圈定了198个3级预测区,汇总估算了全国萤石矿预测资源量,提出了中国萤石矿预测远景区。中国萤石矿资源丰富,找矿潜力大,预测资源量（CaF2）约9.5亿t,其中单一萤石矿预测资源量约4.3亿t,以热液充填型预测资源量为主。预测远景区主要分布于中国东部,四子王旗、冀北-辽西、豫南、皖南-浙西、浙中、闽北-粤东等地区成矿条件好,资源潜力大,是萤石矿预测资源量较大的地区。     

Unity of the national and the international in the socio-cultural development of the peoples of the USSR

International unity is becoming ever stronger in this country owing to an increasing similarity in the development of the cultural environment. This comprises the provision of all the country's republics with a sufficient number of schools, theatres, and other institutions and cultural information media in accordance with the needs of the population. An important part is played by the rise in ‘the general educational level, as well as the level of professional qualifications and skills. Among all the Soviet nations and nationalities, this rise being more rapid among formerly backward peoples. Prominent among the factors of internationalization is the progressive development of the nationalities’ cultural resources, while professional culture is being increasingly brought within the reach of the masses.The implementation of the nationalities policy promotes the all-round development of all Soviet nations and nationalities, their drawing together, the upsurge of the individual capabilities of every Soviet citizen.     

Report of the restudy of the defined global stratotype of the base of the Silurian System

The Global Stratotype Section and Point （GSSP） for the base of the Silurian System was defined in 1985. Since that time, a number of researchers have suggested that this section has serious deficiencies for use as a GSSP. As a result, in 2000, the Subcommission on Silurian Stratigraphy （SSS） proposed undertaking a formal restu@ of this GSSP, which was subsequently approved by the International Commission of Stratigraphy （ICS）. The result of this restudy was the formal proposal that the current GSSP, at 1.6 m above the base of the Birkhill Shale, at Dob＇s Linn, Scotland, should be maintained as the same locality and stratigraphic level, but the bios- tratigraphical definition of the boundary should be revised. The previously defined, basal Silurian grapto- lite zone, the Parakidograptus acuminatus Zone, should be subdivided into a lower Akidograptus ascensus Zone and a higher E acuminatus Zone. The base of the A. ascensus Zone, marked by the first appearance of A. ascensus, should be regarded as the biostratigraphic mark for the base of the Silurian. This proposal has now been formally approved by the SSS and ICS, and ratified by International Union of Geological Sciences. This is the first GSSP to undergo formal restudy and redefini- tion, and the proposal also included a recommended procedure for restudy of GSSPs.     

Deviation of the major axis of the inertia ellipsoid of the Moon from the direction toward the Earth

It is known from observations that the center of mass of the Moon does not coincide with the geometric center of its figure, and the line connecting these two centers is not aligned with the direction toward the center of the Earth, instead deviating toward the Southeast. This stationary deviation of the axis of the inertia ellipsoid of the Moon to the South of the direction toward the Earth is analyzed. A system of five linear differential equations describing the physical libration of the Moon in latitude is considered, and these equations are derived using a new vector method taking into account perturbations from the Earth and partly from the Sun. The characteristic equation of this system is obtained, and all five oscillation frequencies are found. Special attention is paid to the fifth (zero) frequency, for which the solution of the latitude libration equations are stationary and represents a previously unknown additional motion of the rotational axis of theMoon in a cone with a small opening angle. In contrast to the astronomical precession of the Earth, the rotation of the angular-velocity vector is in the positive direction (counter-clockwise), with the period T ₃ = 27.32 days. On this basis, this phenomenon has been named “quasi-precession.” This quasi-precession leads to a stationary inclination of the major axis of the inertia ellipsoid of theMoon to the South (for an observer on Earth), making it possible to explain one component of the observed deviation of the center of mass of the Moon from the direction toward the Earth. The opening angle of the quasiprecession cone is approximately 0.834″.     

The Tendencies of the Development of the Mineral-Resources Sector at the Turn of the Century

Important tendencies in development of the world mineral-resources sector at the beginning of the 21st century were an increase in production and consumption of mineral materials differentiated by types of metals and nonmetallic mineral raw materials, by countries and regions, as well as the concentration of the production of mineral raw materials in a small number of countries, and a reduction in industrial reserves of minerals in the world economy, even at the current stage of their extraction. These tendencies should be taken into account in working out a strategy for development of the Russian mineral raw-material base.     

Causes of the famine among the rural population of the Sahelian zone of the Sudan

Taking the example of W Sudan, an analysis of the climatic incidents leading to the two recent famine disasters is made. On this natural background, the human side is investigated. Focus is directed towards the fragile economic structure of the famine-prone population groups. An early-warning system for famine in the Sahelian Zone is proposed taking grain production and storage, livestock development and the relationship between the prices of livestock and grain as major indicators.     

东濮凹陷北部沙河街组三段中亚段沉积环境分析

东濮凹陷北部沙三中亚段广泛发育盐岩和烃源岩,这两个看似不能共存的物质却在这里互层共生。该时期研究区沉积特征为多盐韵律与多层烃源岩互层共生、连续沉积,单个盐韵律厚度从几米到十几米,烃源岩有机质丰度高、类型好。平面上,两者在湖盆沉积沉降中心共生;垂向上,高有机质丰度、好干酪根类型与高盐度地层具有较好的对应关系。因而成为恢复古气候和古环境的重要研究对象。通过岩石学、古生物学以及Sr/Ba、B/Ga、(V+Ni+Mn)、Fe/Mn、Sr/Cu、Mg/Ca、V/(V+Ni)、稀土元素含量和氯同位素等方法对凹陷北部沙三中亚段的沉积环境进行研究。结果表明,凹陷北部沙三中亚段为深水沉积的还原环境,古盐度较高,达到半咸水-咸水沉积;微量元素和孢粉化石特征表明研究区沙三中亚段为温暖潮湿的环境。     

郯庐断裂南段研究进展与断裂性质讨论

据1：5万区域地质调查和专题研究资料，就郯庐断裂带是否南延与消失的原因，其与大别—苏鲁造山带交截形成的假位错效应，以及与中新生代沉积盆地形成演化的关系等作了新的阐述。在此基础上，讨论了郯庐断裂带是否为巨大的左行平移断层或转换断层。认为郯庐断裂带可能是在“古郯庐带”的基础上于早侏罗世重新活动、白垩纪强烈活动的地堑型枢纽断裂带。     

The Importance of the Precipitation and the Susceptibility of the Slopes for the Triggering of Landslides Along the Roads

In order to characterise the influence of the heavyrains on the observed landslides during the 1996–1997hydrological cycle, rainfall records for the last 100years are analysed from 104 stations in easternAndalusia. Regarding the amounts of rain recordedbetween October 1996 and March 1997 in the 104stations studied, 31 presented new all-time records;15 presented values that were 80–100% of thepre-1995 record; 49 stations, 80–50%; and 9stations, < 50%. A map has been devised of thesusceptibility of the materials through which thesouth-eastern Andalusian road network crosses,together with an inventory of the damage caused byinstability phenomena on banks and cuttings of theroad network during the winter of 1996–1997. Therelationships between the rainfall during the studyperiod, the damage caused to the road network and thesusceptibility of the materials affected are analysed.The results indicate that there is a clearcorrespondence between the rainfall recorded and thesusceptibility of the materials with the inventorieddamage. It is concluded that the widespread seriousdamage caused in early 1997 to the roads andsurrounding areas in the Alpujarra region and thecoast of the Province of Granada was mainly caused bythe extraordinarily heavy rains. However, considerablyless damage was observed where the susceptibility ofthe terrain is low, thus highlighting the extremeusefulness of terrain-susceptibility maps for riskprevention and territorial planning.