Magnetic Cycle Dependence of the Cosmic-Ray Diurnal Anisotropy

The two components of the solar diurnal variation observed with two detectors characterized by linearly independent coupling functions have been used to estimate the free space anisotropy vector during the period 1968–1995 using the least-squares method (LSM). The values of R_cshow 20-year magnetic cycle with the lowest values at solar activity minima for positive polarity (qA>0). A good correlation is obtained between R_cand the IMF magnitude. The amplitude of the radial anisotropy (A_R) shows 20-year magnetic cycle with the highest values around solar activity minima for qA>0 (1975–1976 and 1995), whereas that of the east-west (A) is minimum. This results in shifting the anisotropy vector to the earliest hours. The amplitude of the anisotropy is high around solar maxima and low around solar minima. It is also enhanced during the declining phase of solar activity (1971, 1984–1985, and 1991). Our results of the anisotropy have been used to calculate the cosmic-ray radial and transverse gradients. The value of the radial gradient exhibits a magnetic polarity dependence as well, with larger value during qA<0 than during qA>0.     

Study of the Cosmic Ray Diurnal Anisotropy During Different Solar and Magnetic Conditions

The pressure-corrected hourly counting rate data of four neutron monitor stations have been employed to study the variation of cosmic ray diurnal anisotropy for a period of about 50 years (1955–2003). These neutron monitors, at Oulu ( R _c = 0.78 GV), Deep River ( R _c = 1.07 GV), Climax ( R _c = 2.99 GV), and Huancayo ( R _c = 12.91 GV) are well distributed on the earth over different latitudes and their data have been analyzed. The amplitude of the diurnal anisotropy varies with a period of one solar cycle (∼11 years), while the phase varies with a period of two solar cycles (∼22 years). In addition to its variation on year-to-year basis, the average diurnal amplitude and phase has also been calculated by grouping the days for each solar cycle, viz. 19, 20, 21, 22, and 23. As a result of these groupings over solar cycles, no significant change in the diurnal vectors (amplitude as well as phase) from one cycle to other has been observed. Data were analyzed by arranging them into groups on the basis of the polarity of the solar polar magnetic field and consequently on the basis of polarity states of the heliosphere ( A > 0 and A < 0). Difference in time of maximum of diurnal anisotropy (shift to earlier hours) is observed during A < 0 (1970s, 1990s) polarity states as compared to anisotropy observed during A > 0 (1960s, 1980s). This shift in phase of diurnal anisotropy appears to be related to change in preferential entry of cosmic ray particles (via the helioequatorial plane or via solar poles) into the heliosphere due to switch of the heliosphere from one physical/magnetic state to another following the solar polar field reversal.     

Nature of solar-cycle and heliomagnetic-polarity dependence of cosmic rays, inferred from their correlation with heliomagnetic spherical surface harmonics in the period 1976–1985

Correlation of cosmic-ray intensity (I) with the solar magnetic field expanded into the spherical surface harmonics, B_ns(n 9), by Hoeksema and Scherrer has been studied using the following regression equation:

, where are subgroups of B_ns classified in ascending order of n, and τ_i is the time lag of I behind correlation coefficient between the observed and simulated intensities (I_obs, I_sml) in the period 1976–1985 is 0.87 and considerably better than that derived from any single index of solar activity. The lag time τ₃ is greater than others, indicating that the higher order magnetic disturbances effective to the cosmic-ray modulation have a longer lifetime in space than the lower order disturbances. The rigidity spectrum of the cosmic-ray intensity variation responsible for A_I due to the dipole moment is harder than those for others (A₂,A₃), indicating that the lowest order (i.e. largest scale) magnetic disturbances can modulate cosmic rays more effectively than the higher order disturbances. As another result of the present analysis, it has been found that the intensity depends also on the polarity of the polar magnetic field of the Sun; the residual (I_obs−I_sml) of the simulation changes its sign from positive to negative with a time lag (0–5 Carrington rotation periods) behind the directional change of the solar magnetic dipole moment from northward to southward, and has a softer rigidity spectrum than A_iS. The dependence is consistent with the result having been obtained in the previous period, 1936–1976, by one (K.N.) of the present authors. The polarity dependence can be found also in the 22-year variation of the time lags obtained every solar cycle in the period 1936–1985. The theoretical interpretation of these polarity dependences is discussed on the basis of the diffusion-convection-drift model.     

Heliolatitudinal dependence of cosmic-ray anisotropy

We analyze the heliolatitudinal dependence of the cosmic-ray anisotropy using data from the Yakutsk complex of muon telescopes on the ground and underground at depths of 7, 20, and 60 m w. e. for 1972–2002. The radial cosmic-ray anisotropy component during this period at all recording levels is shown to have been systematically enhanced southward from the helioequator irrespective of the polarity of the general solar magnetic field. The azimuthal anisotropy component depends on heliolatitude only at negative polarity of the general solar magnetic field; it increases northward from the helioequator. Such a situation can take place in the case of interaction of the fast solar wind from coronal holes with the slow wind in the northern part of the heliosphere and continuous particle removal in its southern part.     

Long-term changes in the cosmic-ray diurnal anisotropy

A detailed study has been conducted on the long-term changes in diurnal anisotropy of cosmic rays for the two solar cycles (20 and 21) during the period 1965–1990; this shows that the amplitude of the anisotropy is related to the characteristics of high and low amplitude days. The occurrence of high amplitude days are found to be positively correlated with the sunspot cycle while the low amplitude days are correlated negatively with the sunspot cycle. Further, the variability of the time of maximum of the aniotropy indicates that it essentially is composed of two components; one in the 1800 hours (corotation) direction and the other, an additional component in the 1500 hours direction (45° east of the S-N line) apparently caused by the reversal of the solar polar magnetic field. Our observations also suggest that the direction of the anisotropy of high- and low-amplitude days contribute significantly to the long-term behaviour of the diurnal anisotropy as it produces an additional component of cosmic rays in the radial (1200 hours) direction.     

Structure of the 5-minute solar oscillations 1976–1980

The discrete structure in the 5 min velocity oscillations of the solar surface has been confirmed by a re-analysis of data obtained between 1976 and 1979, and in addition a preliminary analysis of 1980 data show excellent consistency of the determined frequencies over the five year period. It is further shown that atmospheric transparency, as measured by the power in the solar intensity fluctuations, shows no correlation with the measured amplitude of the velocity fluctuations, over 2 orders of magnitude.Proceedings of the 14th ESLAB Symposium on Physics of Solar Variations, 16–19 September 1980, Scheveningen, The Netherlands.     

The effect of gradient and curvature drifts on Forbush decreases

The average profile of Forbush decreases, produced by eastern-, central- and western-region solar flares is obtained separately by superposed epoch analysis for the periods 1966–1969 (qA < 0) and 1971–1979 (qA > 0). It is observed that the recovery of an average Forbush decrease from the maximum depression level is faster for the situation qA > 0 than for the situation qA < 0. This is in accordance with expectations from the drift theory. It is also observed that the drift effect is more pronounced for western-flare Forbush decreases which, of course, have a smaller magnitude compared to eastern- and central-flare Forbush decreases.The average profiles of simple and complex type Forbush decreases are also obtained separately for three periods 1965–1979, 1971–1979, and 1981–1987. It is found that the average profiles of simple and complex type Forbush decreases observed during the period 1965–1969 and 1971– 1979 are quite in agreement with drift theory. The anomalous behavior of average Forbush-decrease profiles during the period 1981–1987, especially in simple type Forbush decreases, is also explained by a drift current sheet tilt model.     

Application of diffusion — Convection model to diurnal anisotropy data

The diurnal anisotropy of cosmic-ray intensity observed over the period 1970–1977 has been analysed using neutron-monitor data of the Athens and Deep River stations. Our results indicate that the time of the maximum of diurnal variation shows a remarkable systematic shift towards earlier hours than normally beginning in 1971. This phase shift continued until 1976, the solar activity minimum, except for a sudden shift to a later hour for one year, in 1974, the secondary maximum of solar activity.This behavior of the diurnal time of maximum has been shown to be consistent with the convective- diffusive mechanism which relates the solar diurnal anisotropy of cosmic-rays to the dynamics of the solar wind and of the interplanetary magnetic field. Once again we have confirmed the field-aligned direction of the diffusive vector independently of the interplanetary magnetic field polarity. It is also noteworthy that the diurnal phase may follow in time the variations of the size of the polar coronal holes. All these are in agreement with the drift motions of cosmic-ray particles in the interplanetarty magnetic field during this time period.     

Multi-spacecraft observations of heliographic structure of the solar wind speed

Multi-spacecraft observations in the interplanetary space are used to build up a picture of the distribution of solar wind velocities in heliographic latitude and longitude. Analyses are made for the solar wind data obtained by Sakigake, Suisei, IMP-8 and Giotto between late 1985 and early 1987. Until Janaury 1986, high-speed streams were extended across the equator from the high latitudes of the heliosphere. After March 1986, high-speed streams were rarely seen on the equator. Although there remained a slight wavy pattern in latitude-longitude structure, low-speed streams were basically ranged along the equator. After January 1987, the amplitude of this wavy pattern was further diminished and low-speed regions were completely aligned to the equator.     

Transient perturbations and their effects in the heliosphere, the geo-magnetosphere, and the Earth’s atmosphere: Space weather perspective

We discuss the effects of certain dynamic features of space environment in the heliosphere, the geo-magnetosphere, and the earth’s atmosphere. In particular, transient perturbations in solar wind plasma, interplanetary magnetic field, and energetic charged particle (cosmic ray) fluxes near 1 AU in the heliosphere have been discussed. Transient variations in magnetic activity in geo-magnetosphere and solar modulation effects in the heliosphere have also been studied. Emphasis is on certain features of transient perturbations related to space weather effects. Relationships between geomagnetic storms and transient modulations in cosmic ray intensity (Forbush decreases), especially those caused by shock-associated interplanetary disturbances, have been studied in detail. We have analysed the cosmic ray, geomagnetic and interplanetary plasma/field data to understand the physical mechanisms of two phenomena namely, Forbush decrease and geomagnetic storms, and to search for precursors to Forbush decrease (and geomagnetic storms) that can be used as a signature to forecast space weather. It is shown that the use of cosmic ray records has practical application for space weather predictions. Enhanced diurnal anisotropy and intensity deficit of cosmic rays have been identified as precursors to Forbush decreases in cosmic ray intensity. It is found that precursor to smaller (less than 5%) amplitude Forbush decrease due to weaker interplanetary shock is enhanced diurnal anisotropy. However, larger amplitude (greater than 5%) Forbush decrease due to stronger interplanetary shock shows loss cone type intensity deficit as precursor in ground based intensity record. These precursors can be used as inputs for space weather forecast.     

Cosmic ray sidereal diurnal variation of galactic origin observed by neutron monitors

We have analyzed the sidereal diurnal variation of cosmic rays, using 620 station-years of neutron monitor data during the period 1958–1979. The sidereal variation averaged over the period for all the stations in the Northern Hemisphere is different from the corresponding variation in the Southern Hemisphere. The difference is statistically significant and can be identified with the spurious sidereal variation produced from the stationary anisotropy of solar origin, responsible for the solar semi-diurnal variation. The variation common to both hemispheres is also exceptionally significant from the statistical point of view and could be regarded as being due to a uni-directional galactic anisotropy. This variation has an amplitude of 0.0204 ± 0.0015% and a phase of 6.8 ± 0.3 h and is clearly different from that ( ～ 0.05%, 0 ～ 3 h) observed in the high rigidity region (500 ～ 10⁴ GV). The physical meaning of the variation is discussed from the standpoint of the heliomagnetospheric modulation of galactic anisotropy.     

Characteristics of Two-Way Cosmic-Ray Diurnal Anisotropy

We examine the deviation of the solar diurnal anisotropy vector from the 18 LT direction during the positive state of the solar cycle by assuming two anisotropies in free space. We use two detectors characterized by two linearly independent coupling functions. The median primary rigidity of response of these detectors covers the range 16 GV R _m 331 GV. Amplitude, direction, spectrum exponent, and the upper cut-off rigidity of each anisotropy have been calculated using the least-squares method over the time interval 1968–1988. This period covers a complete solar magnetic cycle. Only one anisotropy is dominant during each magnetic state of the solar cycle. The upper cut-off rigidity at which the dominant anisotropy vanishes varies between 50–250 GV. The direction of the dominant anisotropy vector points toward the 18 LT direction during the negative state of the solar cycle and toward earlier hours than 18 LT during the positive state. The non-dominant anisotropy is characterized by very high upper cut-off rigidity and sharper energy spectral.     

Present state of the study of 160-minutes solar oscillation

Global oscillation of the Sun with a period of 160 rain were first discovered in 1974 and since observed in Crimea during the last 6 years; they were confirmed, in 1976–1979, by Doppler measurements at Stanford (Scherrer et al., 1980) and quite recently by observations of Fossat and Grec at the south geographic pole. The average amplitude of the oscillation is about 0.5 m s^-1. The phase shows remarkable stability at the period 160.010 min and good agreement between different sites on the Earth; therefore, this oscillation should now be recognized as definitely of solar origin. It is probably accompanied by synchronous fluctuations in the IR brightness and radio-emission of the Sun, and exhibits a dependence of the amplitude on the phase of solar rotation (with a peak of power at 27.2 days).In agreement with results of the Birmingham group and the South Pole observation we also find evidence in favour of a discrete spectrum within the 5 min global oscillations of the Sun, with the average splitting of about 69.5 Hz in frequency.Strict gas-dynamical equations being solved in the adiabatic approximation for a polytropic sphere n = 3 display the pattern of radial oscillations with wave packets separated by 120 m time-intervals filled with high frequency (and split by 117 Hz) oscillations implying a similarity with the observed pattern.Proceedings of the 14th ESLAB Symposium on Physics of Solar Variations, 16–19 September 1980, Scheveningen, The Netherlands.     

A search of cosmic-ray variations generated by pulsations of the heliosphere

Application of new statistical techniques to time series allow the investigation of cosmic-ray intensity variation in the periodicity range of 1 to 10 years. We can put significant levels to the existence of these oscillations and define their character as quasi-periodic and/or recurrent. Correlations between cosmic-ray intensity variations and solar activity changes during 1944–1979 are investigated. The two-year variation in cosmic rays is observed to be variable both in amplitude and phase, and not correlated with sunspot cyclic variations; but seems to depend on the magnetic polarity of the interplanetary medium. No significant evidence for the existence of longer period variations is obtained.     

The propagation of Alfvén waves and their directional anisotropy in the solar wind

The propagation of solar Alfvén waves in interplanetary space is studied in the approximation of geometrical optics. Ray paths and the change of wave vectors and amplitudes along the rays are determined assuming an Archimedean-spiral interplanetary magnetic field. In particular, the Alfvénic fluctuations in the 2 directions perpendicular to the magnetic field direction are calculated under the assumption that the Alfvén waves are produced at the Sun and emitted with an isotropic directional distribution from a reference level close to the Sun. It turns out that due to the combined effect of spherical expansion of the solar wind flow and the spiralling of the interplanetary field the magnetic fluctuations in the direction perpendicular both to the unperturbed field and the radial direction have much more power than in the other directions (directional anisotropy).Our results are compared with spacecraft observations made by Belcher and Davis (1971), that show an anisotropy of a similar character. It is argued that under average conditions the physical process leading to an anisotropy is not selective coupling of Alfvén waves into compressional waves, as suggested by Belcher and Davis, but rather the above mentioned dissipationfree effect of geometrical optics. Finally, arguments are presented to explain the discrepancy between the calculated high anisotropy and the measured low anisotropy in terms of finite amplitude effects and wavescattering.     

Changes in thermospheric molecular oxygen abundance inferred from twilight 6300 A airglow

When the local solar zenith angle, χ_L, is < 105° the 6300 A line is much stronger than expected on the basis of F region ionic recombination alone. Between 95 and 105° the additional intensity is quantitatively explained by production of O(¹D) from photolysis of O₂ in the Schumann-Runge continuum, (λλ 1300–1750 A) using current values for solar flux, atmospheric composition and quenching of O(¹D) by N₂. The Schumann-Runge (SR) component exhibits a large seasonal variation with a maximum in summer. We interpret this variation as implying a seasonal change in thermospheric O₂ abundance; the change seems largely to reflect a variation in O₂ density at the base of the diffusive regime although some contribution may come from changes in thermospheric temperature structure. Large changes in the SR component exist from day to day and with a 27 day period following a major magnetic storm. The photodissociation source becomes inadequate when x_l < 95°; at 90° more than half of the intensity comes from still another source which we identify as local photoelectron excitation of O atoms.     

Inversion of the Cosmic-Ray Solar Diurnal Variations

We have bounded the upper cut-off rigidity (R_c) of the cosmic-ray diurnal anisotropy during the period 1968–1995. This period covers almost three solar cycles and includes three epochs of the solar polar field reversals. The diurnal variation observed by two detectors characterized by linearly independent kernels has been inverted in order to estimate the greatest lower bound (GLB) of R_c. We obtain a step function solution for the cosmic-ray anisotropy in free space which vanishes at the GLB of R_c. The greatest lower bound shows a magnetic cycle variation. The highest value of the amplitude of the anisotropy in free space at the GLB have been estimated as well.     

Influence of the solar activity on the Indian Monsoon rainfall

We use 130 years data for studying correlative effects due to solar cycle and activity phenomena on the occurrence of the Indian Monsoon rainfall. We compute the correlation coefficients and significance of correlation coefficients for the seasonal and the annual data. We find that: (i) for the whole years 1871–2000, the spring and southwest monsoon rainfall variabilities have significant positive correlations with the sunspot activity during the corresponding period, (ii) the FFT and the wavelet analyses of the southwest monsoon rainfall variability show the periods 2.7, 16 and 22 year, respectively (similar to the periods found in sunspot occurrence data) and, (iii) there is a long-term trend indicating a gradual decrease of occurrence of rainfall variability by nearly 2.3 ± 1.3 mm/year and increase of sunspot activity by nearly 3.9 ± 1.5 sunspots/year compared to the activity of previous solar cycle.

We speculate in this study a possible physical connection between the occurrence of the rainfall variability and the sunspot activity, and the flux of galactic cosmic rays. Owing to long-term positive and significant correlation of the spring and southwest monsoon rainfall variabilities with the sunspot activity, it is suggested that solar activity may be included as one of the crucial parameter in modeling and predicting the Indian monsoon rainfall.     

Galactic cosmic ray distribution in the simplest model of termination shock near the heliospheric boundaries

The termination shock at the heliospheric boundary is simulated in terms of a two-layer turbulent medium for which the average radial component of solar wind velocity is nonzero inside the heliosphere and zero for external magnetic inhomogeneities. Galactic cosmic rays (GCRs) are scattered more strongly in the solar wind than in the interstellar medium. A boundary value problem for density is defined to describe GCR propagation in the given two-layer medium. The exact analytical solution of it is derived. The phase density and GCR fluxes in the whole range of the particle energies, as well as the degree of anisotropy of high-energy GCRs, are determined. The qualitative agreement of theoretical calculations and observed GCR distributions is obtained. In particular, in the region near the termination shock, an increase in the high-energy particle density and a decrease in the low-energy particle density are observed.     

Catastrophic disruptions and cratering of solar system bodies: a review and new results

Collisions of bodies of the solar system have played an important role in their evolution and current observable state, but the mechanics and outcomes of those collisions are not well understood. This contribution discusses the mechanics and outcomes of those impacts, melding the existing theory, recent experiments and observations into a new and revised scaling theory, for both catastrophic disruptions and for the largest basins remaining for impacts below that threshold. New evidence is obtained by an analysis of those largest solar system basins and craters, and from some recent experiments on disruptions. The paper will present certain problems with the quantitative estimates of former approaches (Holsapple and Housen, Memorie della Societa Astronomica Italiana57, 65–85, 1986; Housen and Holsapple, Icarus84, 226–253, 1990), discuss remaining areas of uncertainty, and will give updated estimates for these important phenomena.