Vulnerability of Bulgarian agriculture to drought and climate variability with focus on rainfed maize systems

Bulgarian agriculture is affected by droughts and, likely, by climate change. Thus, aiming at assessing its vulnerability, this study includes a general characterization of climate variability in eight selected locations, both in northern and southern Bulgaria. Trend tests were applied to monthly precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature and to the Standardized Precipitation Index with two-month time step (SPI-2) relative to the period of 1951–2004. Negative trends were identified for precipitation and SPI-2 at various locations, mainly in the Thrace Plain, indicating that dryness is likely to be increasing in Bulgaria. The vulnerability of rainfed maize systems to drought was studied using the previously calibrated WinISAREG model and the Stewart’s yield model to compute both the relative yield decrease (RYD) due to water stress and the corresponding net irrigation required to overcome those losses. Results identified a strong relation between SPI-2 for July–August (SPI-2_July–Aug) and RYD. Results also show that yield losses are higher when the soils have a smaller soil water holding capacity. For the various regions under study, thresholds for RYD were defined considering the related economic impacts and the influence of soil characteristics on the vulnerability of the rainfed maize systems. Finally, to support drought risk management, SPI-2_July–Aug thresholds were developed to be used as indicators of the economic risk of rainfed maize for various climate regions and soil groups in Bulgaria.     

The emerging water crisis in Bulgaria

Climatic records for the last 15 years indicate that Bulgaria is experiencing a period of exceptionally low precipitation. During 1993, significant water supply problems emerged, approaching crisis proportions in Sofia, the nation's capital, by the end of 1994. The record-setting drought of 1993 can be explained from a synoptic climatic perspective. Whether consequences of the continuing drought could have been foreseen is arguable. That these consequences were fully realized only in 1994 may be understood through examination of Bulgarian water use since the end of the socialist era in 1989. If Bulgaria had experienced the same levels of industrial activity and irrigation as occurred in 1989, the current situation would have been national catastrophe, a situation that could quickly emerge in coming years should climatic patterns persist.     

自然界水循环中的水量平衡原理与干旱研究

概述了国际、国内干旱研究概况。指出区域多年平均降水量的多少,反映了区域中水资源对生态、经济发展承载力的大小。农业生产中把防止土壤蒸发措施叫抗旱;水利建设中拦河筑坝、引水灌溉、凿井汲水,叫兴修水利抗旱救灾。因此干旱的实质是径流消退、土壤蒸发自然衰减并达到区域内水资源对生态和经济发展的承载能力下降到某一限度或阀值的称谓,如人们感官中的小旱、大旱等。根据径流消退公式和土壤蒸发衰减曲线,参照大风、地震研究方法,输入降水、逐日蒸发观测值,即可成功实现统一干旱标准的实时旱情监测。     

石漠化地区的生态危机及菌根桑生物修复潜力研究进展

在简要总结出石漠化地区的生态特征、生态威胁及生态恢复存在的主要障碍的基础上,比较系统地分析了桑树在石漠化生境中已表现出的生态适应能力和生态修复潜力。桑树作为喀斯环境的速生造林树种,根系发达,耐干旱耐贫瘠能力极强,对增加植被覆盖率、促进生态环境改善、实现石漠化地区脆弱生态系统的恢复与平衡产生重要作用。尤其是由于丛枝菌根具有对矿质营养和水分吸收能力强的特殊生理生态功能,刚好与石漠化地区贫瘠和干旱这一主要生态障碍相耦合,接种丛枝菌根真菌后能进一步扩大桑树对矿质营养和水分的吸收与运输,减轻贫瘠干旱胁迫,加快土壤微生物群落构建,提高土壤生物活力,促进植被群落正向演替。种植菌根桑可望成为喀斯特石漠化生态修复一种新途径。      

Drought in Bulgaria and atmospheric synoptic conditions over Europe

Drought in Bulgaria is analyzed from the multiple viewpoints of statistical occurrence, spatial patterns, and synoptic conditions. A new index of drought, the SD (spatial-dryness) index, characterizes drought by both intensity and spatial extent. The occurrence of the SD index is analyzed using global gridded data sets. Examination of transitional probabilities of multiple months and years with drought occurrence suggests persistence is sufficiently frequent to be important for climate-related environmental planning. Finally, it is shown that specific seasonal synoptic patterns are associated with wet and dry conditions in Bulgaria. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

四川盆地紫色土丘陵区水土流失及防治对策

四川盆地丘陵区是该省水土流失最严重的地区。也是该地区生态环境恶化、自然灾害频繁、农村经济落后、人民生活贫穷的重要原因。文章根据四川盆地丘陵区水土流失面积大、强度高的特征及其致害因素，探讨了水土流失原因。水土流失破坏生态环境及耕地资源，淤积江河湖库，加剧水旱洪涝灾害，造成土壤肥力下降，土壤蓄水抗旱能力降低。由此提出了一些相应的防治措施——加强生态环境建设，整治坡面水系，搞好农田基本建设，强化人口／管理等，从而使水土流失得到控制，生态环境得到改善。加强对紫色砂页岩丘陵区的治理，合理开发利用土地，提高土地利用率和生产率，不仅利于四川盆地丘陵区的经济发展，而且对改善长江上游乃至整个长江流域的生态环境也具有重大的现实意义。     

Possibilities for water conservation in Bulgaria

The drought during the last 10 years in Bulgaria caused the interruption of water supply to more than 70% of the population of the country. Investigations on recent water demand showed that the role of water losses and irrational use so considerable that existing water resources became inqdequate. Bringing new water to existing supply systems is connected with considerable investments, time, and controversy. Water conservation could solve some water supply problems by providing more reasonable water consumption and additional time for development of new resources. In this paper the possibilities for reducing water use in Bulgaria and the need for developing a national conservation program are discussed. An analysis of the variables which effect water use is performed. The reasons for the water losses and using more than the necessary water quantities are discussed. Developing of water-use efficiency standards for plumbing fixtures and conservation-oriented water rates and measures are proposed.     

Quantitative assessment of drought in a lacustrine wetland based on a water balance model

Upstream inflow decline and excessive water withdrawal are the major reasons for failure in maintaining ecological functions of wetlands and could lead to wetland drought and degradation. Quantitative evaluation of wetlands drought constitutes the basis for managing and scheduling water resources and guaranteeing biological safety. In the study, we proposed a Palmer wetland drought index (PWDI) based on the water balance model that describes wetland hydrological characteristics linked to its located basin to describe drought-reflected ecological characteristics in lacustrine Baiyangdian Wetland and compared it with Palmer drought severity index (PDSI). The results presented that PWDI is able to reflect the worst drought in history, and the drought is mainly affected by water stored in the wetland, but PDSI is inadequate for evaluating the wetland drought. The PWDI methodology provides a clear, objective approach for describing the intensity of drought and can be readily adapted to characterize drought on an operational basis.     

前南峪生态示范区雨水集蓄利用技术研究

前南峪生态示范区位于河北省南部太行山深山区的前南峪东沟,面积为376hm2,该区大气降水是唯一的供水来源。为保证水源供给,在前南峪生态示范区建成水窖、塘坝、扬水站等水源配套工程,采用微喷、滴灌、管灌等节水设施,实现旱能灌、涝能排的防汛抗旱体系。形成了"拦、蓄、缓、排"综合防护工程和"材林头、干果腰、水果脚、米粮川"的生态治理模式,使前南峪生态示范区内的耕地灌溉率达到91.7%。雨水资源利用与水土保持科技相结合,创造出明显的经济效益和环境效益。     

Study on Movement Evolution Law of Soil Water in Condition of Agronomic Water Saving Irrigation

Fresh water supplied are often limited in mainland China, reducing agricultural productivity. However the use of straw mulch is the main management technique for agronomic water saving. This paper investigates the movement of soil water under straw mulch compared to a non-mulch test plot. Results demonstrated that straw mulch effected soil water movement primarily during drought periods and throughout shallow soil (i.e. depths of less than 200 cm). The soil moisture and soil water potential at the mulch test plot in drought period are both higher than that of contrast test plot, and along with increasing soil depth, the straw mulch effect weakens. When evaporation is dominated by surface evaporation, straw mulch will effectively restrict the evaporation of soil water; when evaporation dominated by vegetation transpiration, the straw mulch promotes the transpiration of vegetation. In drought periods, straw mulch is not effective for deep soil water infiltration, but is advantageous for soil water utilization of mid- and shallow- soils (0-120 cm), however the infiltration speed rate of straw mulch point during high water period is higher than that of contrast plot. This paper highlights the importance of good management practices of agricultural land in order to limit soil water losses, which is essential when water is such a limited resource.     

双聚材料改良黄土持水性及生态效应研究

黄土的强水敏性问题是黄土地区生态修复的难点。选取双聚材料,开展崩解试验、变水头渗透试验、土水特征曲线试验以及植物生长生理指标测试等,探讨了双聚材料对重塑黄土工程性能的持水性和生态效应的影响,结合X射线衍射（XRD）、压汞和扫描电子显微镜（SEM）等微观试验,从成分、孔隙分布和颗粒结构等方面综合分析了其加固机理。研究结果表明:双聚材料的掺加能有效提高土样的抗崩解性,耐崩解系数随材料增加而增大。双聚材料能有效增强材料的持水性能,表现为渗透系数减小,土水特征曲线整体上移。双聚材料的掺加能有效提高植物生长和抗旱能力,表现为根冠比更大、根长更长以及超氧化物歧化酶（SOD）值受干旱影响变化量更小。双聚材料的添加并无新物质生成,其作用主要是增强颗粒间联结,生成大量黏聚体,孔隙分布由中孔隙向大孔隙和微小孔隙转化。双聚材料中含有大量极性活性基团酰胺基（—CONH2）吸附架桥使得土颗粒团聚,羟基（—OH）和羧基（—COOH）附着于表面形成保护膜,由团聚粒至团聚体层层包裹促进土壤稳定。     

人类活动影响下的青海湖流域生态系统服务空间格局

人类活动改变生态格局和变化,进而影响生态系统服务。因此,探讨人类活动影响下的生态系统服务空间格局,对于区域生态安全、可持续发展和人类福祉等至关重要。以青海湖流域为研究区,基于InVEST模型计算了流域2018年产水量、水质净化、生境质量、土壤保持和碳储量五种生态系统服务,并分析了不同生态系统服务的空间自相关性、相互关系以及人类活动影响下的空间格局。结果表明：流域生境质量整体较好,土壤流失整体较小。碳储量受植被覆盖的影响存在明显空间差异。农业生态系统和城镇生态系统氮、磷负荷较高。产水量环湖区和山区差异明显;产水量、碳储量和生境质量的Moran's I分别为0.786、0.742和0.705,空间聚集性最强,氮负荷最弱;协同关系主要表现在氮负荷与磷负荷、碳储量与生境质量、产水量与土壤流失之间。权衡关系主要是生境质量与产水量和氮负荷,碳储量与产水量和土壤流失之间;碳储量、生境质量和土壤流失随人类活动的增强呈现递减趋势。氮、磷负荷随人类活动的增强呈现递增趋势。人类活动通过改变不透水表面进而影响产水量。通过高分辨率遥感影像精细化定量描述人类活动以及详细探讨人类活动影响下各生态系统服务空间格局、聚集程度,可为流域科学评价生态系统服务、生态环境保护及可持续发展提供依据。     

Influence of temperature decrease and soil drought on the geochemical fractionation of 60Co and 137Cs in fluvisol and cambisol soils

Consideration of the impact of substantial changes in soil temperature or moisture regime on the geochemical forms of radionuclides is important for more accurate assessment of the environmental risk posed by radionuclide migration and potential biological availability, especially in the first months after their release into the environment. This paper presents the results from a study of the influence of cooling, freezing and soil drought on the migration and potential bioavailability of ⁶⁰Co and ¹³⁷Cs in two soils (a fluvisol and a cambisol, according to the World Reference Base for Soil Resources/FAO) from Bulgaria. The changes in the geochemical fractionation of ⁶⁰Co, the exchangeable ¹³⁷Cs and water-soluble forms of both radionuclides were examined under different storage conditions up to 5 months after their introduction into the soils in solution form. Freezing or soil drought resulted in a significant increase of the water-soluble forms of ⁶⁰Co in the fluvisol soil, defining higher mobility and potential bioavailability. No influence of the storing conditions on the water-solubility of ⁶⁰Co in the cambisol soil was established. The cooling, freezing and soil drought caused an increase of the exchangeable ¹³⁷Cs in both soils.     

Assessing the environmental status and identifying the dominant pressures of a trans-boundary river catchment,to facilitate efficient management and mitigation practices

Implementing efficient water resources management plans at trans-boundary river catchments is a difficult task that requires strong international cooperation, intensive monitoring programs, and common understanding of the impacts imposed on water resources by human pressures. Evros River, which flows through Bulgaria, Greece, and Turkey, is an ecologically important water body, protected by international legislation but nevertheless it is susceptible to numerous significant pollution sources that may lead to the deterioration of its environmental status. In this study, a water monitoring program was applied, incorporating chemical and biological parameters to assess the environmental status in the Greek part of the river and identify the associated pollution pressures. For this purpose, seasonal water sampling occurred in 13 sites along the longitudinal course of the river and a series of parameters were recorded including nutrients, heavy metals, microbiological loads, macroinvertebrate, and fish assemblages and abundance. The results indicated that the water quality of Evros River illustrate substantial spatiotemporal fluctuations, which can be well related to specific human activities and associated pressures. Therefore, a trans-boundary monitoring program should be initiated that will provide continuous information for the development and revision of the catchment’s adaptive management plan in order to restrict pollution impacts and achieve a good ecological status as required by the Water Framework Directive 2000/60EC.     

非饱和土降雨诱发塌陷成因探讨

有些土体塌陷由降雨诱发，特别是久旱无雨后突降暴雨，有时会导致岩溶塌陷成群出现。同样，在干旱季节农田灌溉也会导致塌陷大量出现，可见塌陷的产生与土壤的干湿状态密切相关。自然土层接近地表部位为非饱和的包气带，以下才是饱水带，大气降雨及农田灌溉水入渗地下要有一个由非饱和带向饱水带运动的过程。由于土体为固气液和收缩膜四相体系，在地表水入渗地下的过程中，入渗的水峰会对土体结构中的气体产生驱动作用，对固体骨架也会产生动力作用。本文采用非饱和土力学的基本原理，对于非饱和土中吸力和水压传递机理以及降雨诱发塌陷进行了分析，并按提出的成因机制对暴雨诱发塌陷实例进行了分析。     

浙江慈溪市土地生态质量调查和评估

土壤、大气、水和农产品质量共同构成土地生态质量的内涵。通过慈溪市基本农田质量调查试点项目,开展了高精度土壤地球化学调查和农产品、灌溉水、大气质量调查,建立了土地生态质量评估模型。以土壤地球化学质量评估为基础,进行了大气、水、农产品综合质量评估,以及慈溪市农用地土地生态质量评价。评价显示,慈溪市农用地土地生态质量绝大部分优良,只有局部如城市周边等地存在生态风险。试点成果为浙江省国土资源特别是基本农田的数量、质量和生态管护并重的精细化管理提供了示范和依据。     

吉林省西部潜水资源与生态环境风险分析

吉林省西部是我国主要粮食产区,但区内农业水利规划管理同时面临潜水资源与生态环境双重风险。近20年来,区内曾尝试多种水资源利用模式,但缺少不同模式应用效果的定量化对比。文章建立了不同水资源利用模式,对比分析各模式的水资源与次生盐碱化风险。以洮儿河流域为例,采用循环神经网络预测2019—2023年该地区大气降水和地表水对地下水补给量;通过随机数值模拟预测现状开采、连续干旱、无序开采、地下水库建设、节水灌溉、旱田改水田6种情形下,区内潜水水位空间分布特征。以防止次生盐碱化为目标,定义水位埋深上限为1 m;以含水介质厚度为参考,定义水位埋深下限为12 m。遴选适合吉林省西部地区地下水资源可持续利用模式。结果显示:无序开采是导致区内水资源枯竭的主要诱因;地下水库建设和旱改水工程有助于潜水资源维护,但长期运行可加剧生态环境风险。节水灌溉（净采强度为2.0×108～3.0×108 m3/a）是降低区内水资源风险和生态环境风险的最佳方式。文章采用的神经网络—随机模拟分析方法成功预测了地下水位变化驱动因子和地下水位中长期变化趋势,为我国干旱半干旱地区潜水资源利用方案制定提供了新方法。     

喀斯特断陷盆地水资源高效开发利用模式构建

在调查研究典型喀斯特断陷盆地水文地质特征、地表水文过程、“五水”转换及水资源均衡,研发地下水高效开发利用、地表水调蓄、水污染风险评估与水质修复、农田节水灌溉及土壤保墒、水资源优化调控等系列技术的基础上,以可持续发展和系统科学理论为指导,构建了喀斯特断陷盆地水资源高效开发利用模式,包括理论与技术支撑体系和开发利用工程体系两个层次。前者的基本构成及内涵为:水资源高效开发利用工作流程、理论依据及技术支撑,是模式的理论与技术内涵;后者为沿着盆地地表、地下水的形成、运动和转换过程,从上游山区到下游河谷区,逐级分区部署的水资源开发利用工程体系,工程布局做到因地制宜、科学合理,大、中、小、微型并举,集中供水与分散供水兼顾,同时系统推进水质修复、水循环利用、节约用水等措施,实现水资源的高效和可持续开发利用。      

温度场与凝结水的观测研究

对天山北麓平原细砂、砂砾石、粉质轻粘土等三种代表性岩性的地层进行了凝结水的观测试验,分析研究了土壤剖面温度变化特征、凝结水形成的水汽来源、产生凝结水的深度和时间、积雪期雪面的水汽凝结、冻结层水汽凝结、蒸发作用和潜水埋深等因素对水汽凝结的影响、凝结水的数量及其生态环境效应.研究成果对西北干旱地区耐旱植被的研究和生态环境建设具有重要意义.     

CLDAS土壤湿度业务产品的干旱监测应用

针对2012年中国区域严重的干旱, 利用2013年国家气象信息中心发布的中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS-V1.0)土壤体积含水量数据集产品, 并结合新的中国地表土壤水文参数数据集, 计算2012年中国区域土壤相对湿度, 依据《气象干旱等级》国家标准进行干旱监测. 结果表明: 该土壤相对湿度数据集能较为全面的反映2012年中国的干旱发生发展的空间特征, 在西南、江淮黄淮、华南以及东北等4个主要的干旱区域表现的尤为明显. 结果表明, 利用土壤容重、田间持水量等信息, 结合CLDAS-V1.0实时业务产品, 可实时获取时空连续的土壤相对湿度产品, 可以实现对中国区域的干旱实时监测.