基于高效随机有限元法的边坡风险评估

提出了基于子集模拟的边坡风险评估的高效随机有限元法（RFEM）,推导了基于子集模拟的边坡失效概率和失效风险的计算公式,并给出了基于高效RFEM的边坡可靠度分析和风险评估流程图。采用一个边坡算例验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,基于子集模拟的高效RFEM可以视为是对基于蒙特卡洛模拟的传统RFEM的改进,显著地提高了失效概率和失效风险的计算效率以及失效样本的产生能力,非常适用于分析小失效概率的可靠度问题,极大地增强了RFEM在边坡可靠度分析和风险评估中的实用性。高效RFEM将边坡的整体失效风险分解为对应不同概率水平的边坡失效风险,并量化了它们对整体风险的相对贡献度。在该方法中,边坡可靠度分析和风险评估与确定性边坡有限元分析互不耦合,极大地简化了它们的计算过程。此外,土体不排水抗剪强度的竖向空间变异性对边坡失效风险具有显著的影响。     

边坡可靠度分析的非侵入式随机有限元法

提出基于非侵入式随机有限元法的边坡可靠度分析方法,并编写计算程序NISFEM。采用有限元滑面应力法计算边坡安全系数,将Hermite随机多项式展开与SIGMA/W和SLOPE/W模块有机结合实现边坡可靠度非侵入式随机分析。根据随机多项式展开系数,给出边坡安全系数前4阶统计矩（均值、标准差、偏度和峰度）和Sobol指标解析表达式,并采用Sobol指标进行边坡可靠度参数敏感性分析。最后,以均质土坡可靠度问题为例,证明该方法在边坡可靠度分析中的有效性。结果表明,边坡可靠度分析的非侵入式随机有限元法能够有效地考虑边坡变形对边坡可靠度的影响,计算效率远远高于蒙特卡罗模拟方法（MCS）,是解决复杂边坡可靠度问题一种有效地分析手段;黏聚力和内摩擦角变异性对边坡安全系数前四阶统计矩具有明显的影响,重度变异性对安全系数前4阶统计矩几乎没有影响;抗剪强度参数间负相关性对边坡安全系数均值几乎没有影响,但对安全系数标准差、偏度和峰度均有明显的影响。此外,随着抗剪强度参数间负相关性的增加,边坡安全系数由近似正态分布逐渐变为明显的非正态分布。     

顺层边坡稳定性及可靠度的随机有限元分析法

阐述了基于摄动法的随机有限元基本原理,采用以均值为中心的2阶摄动随机有限元,运用局部平均的空间离散方法,对顺层边坡的应力场进行了2阶统计均值、协方差和方差的分析,并结合顺层边坡沿软弱夹层滑动的破坏特征,推导了基于Mohr-Coulomb准则的顺层边坡整体稳定的安全系数和可靠度的计算表达式。结合典型顺层岩质路堑边坡工程实例,采用摄动随机有限元法进行了边坡稳定性和可靠度的分析计算。结果表明,文中介绍的摄动随机有限元法可以考虑多种随机变量对边坡系统的影响,可同时采用安全系数和可靠度作为边坡稳定性的评价指标,判定结果更为准确和全面。     

Reliability bearing capacity analysis of footings on cohesive soil slopes using RFEM

Reliability analysis of bearing capacity of a strip footing at the crest of a simple slope with cohesive soil was carried out using the random finite element method (RFEM). Analyses showed that the coefficient of variation and the spatial correlation length of soil cohesion can have a large influence on footing bearing capacity, particularly for slopes with large height to footing width ratios. The paper demonstrates cases where a footing satisfies a deterministic design factor of safety of 3 but the probability of design failure is unacceptably high. Isotropic and anisotropic spatial variability of the soil strength was also considered.     

边坡稳定分析的极限分析下限解有限元法

研制开发了极限分析下限解有限元程序.在程序的开发过程中,着重解决了下限解有限元法转化为标准线性规划问题和线性优化方法的选择问题,同时,通过典型算例的分析对比,对程序的合理性和可行性进行了验证.     

三维边坡稳定分析的有限元弹塑性迭代解法

针对已知滑动面的三维边坡稳定分析问题,在塑性力学上限定理的基础上,提出了求解安全系数的三维有限元弹塑性迭代解法。对于滑动面的非线性特性,采用常规的矩形（平面）或立方体（空间）单元来描述,应力则符合相关联流动法则的Mohr-Coulomb强度准则。通过对弹塑性增量理论中流动法则的分析,证明了当结构达到极限状态时,滑动面内切向应力的方向与滑体的主滑方向一致,说明最终以滑动面内的切向应力作为滑体滑动力的有效性。通过迭代的方式,逐步降低滑动面材料的抗剪参数,使边坡达到极限状态,不仅快速求得了滑动面的安全系数,且能够得到边坡在接近临界失稳状态时滑动面内切向应力的分布情况和边坡的变形规律,为边坡采取加固措施提供了参考依据。最后,以椭球面滑动和楔形滑动2个经典算例和工程实例,验证了该方法的有效性和正确性。     

极限分析有限元法讲座—— Ⅰ岩土工程极限分析有限元法

经典岩土工程极限分析方法一般采用解析方法，有些还要对滑动面作假设，且不适用于非均质材料，尤其是强度不均的岩石工程，从而使极限分析法的应用受到限制。随着计算技术的发展，极限分析有限元法应运而生，它能通过强度降低或者荷载增加直接算得岩土工程的安全系数和滑动面，十分贴近工程设计。为此，探讨了极限分析有限元法及其在边坡、地基、隧道稳定性计算中的应用，算例表明了此法的可行性，拓宽了该方法的应用范围。随着计算机技术与计算力学的发展，岩土工程极限分析有限元法正在成为一门新的学问，而且有着良好的发展前景。     

Conditional random field reliability analysis of a cohesion-frictional slope

Discarding known data from cored samples in the reliability analysis of a slope in spatially variable soils is a waste of site investigation effort. The traditional unconditional random field simulation, which neglects these known data, may overestimate the simulation variance of the underlying random fields of the soil properties. This paper attempts to evaluate the reliability of a slope in spatially variable soils while considering the known data at particular locations. Conditional random fields are simulated based on the Kriging method and the Cholesky decomposition technique to match the known data at measured locations. Subset simulation (SS) is then performed to calculate the probability of slope failure. A hypothetical homogeneous cohesion-frictional slope is taken as an example to investigate its reliability conditioned on several virtual samples. Various parametric studies are performed to explore the effect of different layouts of the virtual samples on the factor of safety (FS), the spatial variation of the critical slip surface and the probability of slope failure. The results suggest that whether the conditional random fields can be accurately simulated depends highly on the ratio of the sample distance and the autocorrelation distance. Better simulation results are obtained with smaller ratios. Additionally, compared with unconditional random field simulations, conditional random field simulations can significantly reduce the simulation variance, which leads to a narrower variation range of the FS and its location and a much lower probability of failure. The results also highlight the great significance of the conditional random field simulation at relatively large autocorrelation distances.     

Effect of 2D spatial variability on slope reliability: A simplified FORM analysis

To meet the high demand for reliability based design of slopes, we present in this paper a simplified HLRF(Hasofere Linde Rackwitze Fiessler) iterative algorithm for first-order reliability method(FORM). It is simply formulated in x-space and requires neither transformation of correlated random variables nor optimization tools. The solution can be easily improved by iteratively adjusting the step length. The algorithm is particularly useful to practicing engineers for geotechnical reliability analysis where standalone(deterministic) numerical packages are used. Based on the proposed algorithm and through direct perturbation analysis of random variables, we conducted a case study of earth slope reliability with complete consideration of soil uncertainty and spatial variability.     

层状岩质边坡开挖过程的有限元模拟

采取自编弹塑性有限元程序,在考虑岩体节理和施工爆破影响的条件下,对常－张高速公路的k135层状岩质边坡的开挖过程进行了模拟,分析了开挖过程中岩体的变形和应力状态及屈服状态,并用降低材料强度储备的有限元强度折减法,对各开挖阶段边坡的整体稳定性进行了评价。通过分析表明,k135边坡在其施工过程中是稳定的。     

土石坝拟静力抗震稳定分析的强度折减有限元法

基于拟静力抗震设计概念,提出利用强度折减有限单元法分析土石坝的抗震稳定性,给出了两种确定地震惯性力的方法：（1）依据《水工建筑物抗震设计规范》[1],并结合有关土石坝动态分布系数计算了沿坝高分布的地震惯性力;（2）直接利用土石坝有限元地震动力反应分析得到的单元节点加速度反应,依据建议的方法确定坝体各单元节点的地震惯性力。将上述计算确定的地震惯性力与其他形式的外荷载共同作用到土石坝上,采用强度折减有限元法确定土石坝坝体的拟静力抗震安全系数。对于稳定渗流期,水位降落期等不同工况,或需要考虑振动孔隙水压力作用的饱和无黏性土填筑坝等不同计算条件,给出了使用折减强度有限元法分析坝体抗震稳定性的实现途径和方法。研究表明,有限元法对边界条件、复杂断面条件和材料分区及荷载组合均具有较强的适应能力,因此,使用有限元法分析土石坝抗震稳定性具有显著的优越性。     

Quantitative risk assessment of landslide by limit analysis and random fields

Risk may be estimated by multiplying the probability of failure by the consequence. This is acceptable for systems that have a single mode of failure. For systems that have multiple failure modes, such as landslides, the consequences should be assessed individually for each of the failure modes. This paper proposes a new framework of quantitative landslide risk assessment, in which consequences are assessed individually. The framework is generally applicable, and the landslide risk assessments of two typical slopes are presented.     

基于软化特性的三维边坡强度折减有限元分析

基于现有边坡强度折减有限元的基本原理,建立了一套新的强度折减算法。该算法把强度参数降低的过程看成脆塑性应力跌落的过程,并设置一折减增量 ,当 充分小时认为系统达到收敛条件而退出循环,最终的折减系数就是边坡的安全系数。该算法很容易扩展到三维边坡的稳定性分析,得到边坡滑动面滑动和破坏的发展趋势。通过2个算例,分析了进行三维模型计算的重要性,建议当地质条件复杂时宜从三维角度分析计算边坡,不能简单地将问题当作平面应变处理。     

有限单元法分析边坡稳定的若干问题研究

系统介绍了有限单元法分析边坡稳定的基本原理,对安全指标与判断标准两个重要方面进行了详细论述,并采用面向对象技术编制了相应的可视化分析软件AFEAS。结合一个边坡稳定工程实例,对比了有限单元法和刚体极限平衡法的分析结果。分析结果证明了所给的安全指标与判断标准是可行的,并表明了有限单元法分析边坡稳定的优越性。     

土坡有限元稳定分析若干问题探讨

详细探讨了用有限元方法分析土坡稳定所遇到的问题及处理方法 ,主要包括: 有限元前后处理 ;有限元计算范围及网格划分对计算结果的影响 ;安全系数的定义 ;最危险滑动圆心位置及临界滑动面的形状等问题。     

边坡稳定分析的非线性有限元混合解法

在对有限元强度折减法和有限元迭代解法的优缺点分析的基础上,提出了边坡稳定分析的非线性有限元混合解法,该法将有限元强度折减法和有限元迭代解法联合运用于边坡稳定分析,充分利用了两种方法的优点。即由有限元强度折减法搜索边坡可能滑动面,将可能滑动面在网格中画出,由迭代解法逐步迭代求得其滑动面的安全系数。并以算例和工程实例说明了此种方法的正确性和合理性。     

Effect of spatial variability of shear strength on reliability of infinite slopes using analytical approach

This paper develops an analytical approach for reliability analysis of infinite slope stability in presence of spatially variable shear strength parameters. The analytical approach considers spatial autocorrelation of each parameter and cross-correlations between different parameters. It is robust, computational efficient and provides insight to the importance of spatial correlation scale on slope reliability analysis. This paper also explores the difference in continuous and discrete random fields and emphasizes the importance of fine discretization in relation to correlation scale. Finally, it shows that conditioning the stability analysis with information about trends and spatial data leads to reliability assessments with less uncertainty.     

强度折减有限元法中的单元阶次影响分析

强度折减有限元法是当前较为有效的边坡稳定性评价方法,且应用越来越广泛。但影响强度折减有限元法的因素有很多,单元阶次是其中比较重要的一个。通过3个经典算例,这些算例分别是二维地基承载力问题、二维边坡和三维边坡问题,分析了单元阶次的选择对强度折减法的影响。计算结果表明：随着单元的增多,线性单元和二次单元都从大于真实解的一侧来逼近真解;相对于二次单元,由于线性单元过“刚”,因此,会过高地估计安全系数,对于实际工程会偏于危险,且误差大,二次单元的误差是线性单元误差的1/8左右。在采用系统最大位移收敛与否的评判标准的基础上,利用二次单元来进行强度折减分析,则可以弥补这种线性单元的不足,得到更加合理的安全系数。二次单元比线性单元更适合于强度折减有限元法。