共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 0 毫秒
1.
Moisture samples obtained from unsaturated-zone profiles in sands from northern Nigeria were used to obtain recharge estimates
using the chloride (Cl) mass-balance method and to produce records of past recharge and climatic events. Recharge rates range
from 14–49 mm/year, on the basis of unsaturated-zone Cl values and rainfall chemistry measured over eight years at three local
stations. The unsaturated-zone results also provide a record of the changing recharge and climatic events of the past 80 years;
this record compares quite well with modelling results using precipitation data from Maiduguri, especially for the late 20th-century
period of drought. The best fit for the model is made, however, by using a lower mean rainfall Cl (0.65 mg/l) than that obtained
from the mean of the field results (1.77 mg/l Cl). This result implies that the measured rainfall Cl probably overestimates
the depositional flux of Cl, although the lower value is comparable to the minimum of the measured rainfall Cl values (0.6 mg/l
Cl). Recharge estimates made using these lower Cl values range from 16–30 mm/year. The spatial variability was then determined
using results from 360 regional shallow wells over 18,000 km2.
Using the revised rainfall estimate, the Cl balance indicates a value of 43 mm for the regional recharge, suggesting that
either additional preferential flow is taking place over and above that from the vadose one, or that the regional recharge
represents inputs from earlier wetter periods. These recharge estimates compare favourably with those from hydraulic modelling
in the same area and suggest that the recharge rates are much higher than values previously published for this area. High
nitrate (NO3) concentrations (NO3-N>Cl) preserved under aerobic conditions in the vadose zone reflect secondary enrichment from N-fixing vegetation, as occurs
elsewhere in the Sahel.
Electronic Publication 相似文献
2.
Estimating groundwater recharge in a cold desert environment in northern China using chloride 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Understanding sources and rates of recharge to the Badain Jaran Desert in northern China is important for assessing sustainability of the area’s oasis lake ecosystem and its water resources in general. For this purpose, direct recharge was investigated with the chloride mass balance method for 18 unsaturated zone profiles (6–16 m depth). Spatial variability is low across the area (range in mean Cl in profiles: 62–164 mg/L Cl), largely attributable to the uniformity of sandy unsaturated zone conditions. No strong correlations between environmental factors of profile locations and recharge rates were found, though a weak relationship between recharge and vegetation density was suggested. The study area’s complex dune morphology appears to have no measurable impact on recharge variability. Mean estimated diffuse recharge is 1.4 mm/year (1.0–3.6 mm/year for 95% confidence level), approximately 1.7% of mean annual precipitation. Temporal fluctuations in recharge due to climate variability are apparent and there is good correspondence in temporal trends over a time span of 200–300 years. Water balance considerations indicate that direct recharge is insufficient to support the numerous perennial lakes in the study area, suggesting that diffuse recharge presently plays a minor role in the overall water balance of the desert’s shallow Quaternary aquifer. 相似文献
3.
Artificial recharge of groundwater: hydrogeology and engineering 总被引:25,自引:4,他引:25
Herman Bouwer 《Hydrogeology Journal》2002,10(1):121-142
Artificial recharge of groundwater is achieved by putting surface water in basins, furrows, ditches, or other facilities
where it infiltrates into the soil and moves downward to recharge aquifers. Artificial recharge is increasingly used for short-
or long-term underground storage, where it has several advantages over surface storage, and in water reuse. Artificial recharge
requires permeable surface soils. Where these are not available, trenches or shafts in the unsaturated zone can be used, or
water can be directly injected into aquifers through wells. To design a system for artificial recharge of groundwater, infiltration
rates of the soil must be determined and the unsaturated zone between land surface and the aquifer must be checked for adequate
permeability and absence of polluted areas. The aquifer should be sufficiently transmissive to avoid excessive buildup of
groundwater mounds. Knowledge of these conditions requires field investigations and, if no fatal flaws are detected, test
basins to predict system performance. Water-quality issues must be evaluated, especially with respect to formation of clogging
layers on basin bottoms or other infiltration surfaces, and to geochemical reactions in the aquifer. Clogging layers are managed
by desilting or other pretreatment of the water, and by remedial techniques in the infiltration system, such as drying, scraping,
disking, ripping, or other tillage. Recharge wells should be pumped periodically to backwash clogging layers. Electronic supplementary
material to this paper can be obtained by using the Springer LINK server located at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10040-001-0182-4.
Electronic Publication 相似文献
4.
A catchment water balance model for estimating groundwater recharge in arid and semiarid regions of south-east Iran 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper presents a new model of the rainfall-runoff-groundwater flow processes applicable to semiarid and arid catchments
in south-east Iran. The main purpose of the model is to assess the groundwater recharge to aquifers in these catchments. The
model takes into account main recharge mechanisms in the region, including subsurface flow in the valley alluvium in mountainous
areas and recharge from the bed of ephemeral rivers. It deals with the effects of spatial variation in the hydrological processes
by dividing the catchment into regions of broad hydrologic similarity named as highland, intermediate and aquifer areas. The
model is based on the concept of routing precipitation within and through the catchment. The model has been applied to the
Zahedan catchment and the results indicate that the groundwater level estimated by the recharge model generally is in agreement
with the behaviour of groundwater levels in observation wells. The sensitivity analysis indicates that when the rainfall in
the aquifer area is used to replace the values recorded in the intermediate area and the highland area, the recharge estimates
are reduced by 42-87%. This result supports the division of the catchment into different zones of hydrological similarity
to account for spatial variability of hydrological processes.
Electronic Publication 相似文献
5.
This paper presents the findings of a collaborative research project of the Geological Survey of Lower Saxony (NLfB) and the Programme Group Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (STE) of Research Centre Jülich on the GIS-based determination of the mean long-term groundwater recharge in Lower Saxony using high-resolution digital data (Dörhöfer and others 2001). The model calculations were performed on the basis of the water-balance model GROWA (Kunkel and Wendland 2002) with a spatial resolution of 100x100 m2. The accuracy of the calculated groundwater recharge values for the period 1961–1990 was verified on the basis of data from gauging stations and displayed a good agreement between observed runoff values and model results. 相似文献
6.
Trifa is the most productive agricultural plain of north-eastern Morocco. The development of agricultural activities during the last few decades has been mainly based on imported water for irrigation. However, irrigation requirements have become so large that groundwater is used as a secondary source to supply the agricultural and domestic water needs, causing a depletion of the groundwater resources, especially during dry periods. A hydrological and a hydrogeological model for the Trifa plain have been developed, which yield information on relevant parameters such as groundwater recharge, and estimate the amount of pumped groundwater needed to meet the irrigation needs. The models (MODFLOW and WetSpass) provide insight into the status and evolution of the groundwater reserves. The results of the study are useful to predict the sustainability of the groundwater resources in the Trifa plain and to evaluate possible management actions. A reduction in groundwater abstraction by at least 25% may be necessary to achieve sustainable conditions.
Resumen Trifa es la planicie agrícola más productiva del noreste de Marruecos. El desarrollo de las actividades agrícolas durante las últimas décadas se ha basado principalmente en agua importada para riego. Sin embargo, los requerimientos de riego han llegado a ser tan grandes ocasionando que se utilice el agua subterránea como una fuente secundaria para abastecer las necesidades de agua para uso doméstico y agrícola, lo que causa un agotamiento de los recursos de agua subterránea, especialmente durante periodos secos. Se ha desarrollado un modelo hidrogeológico e hidrológico para la planicie Trifa el cual aporta información de parámetros relevantes tal como recarga de agua subterránea y estima la cantidad de agua subterránea que necesita bombearse para satisfacer las necesidades de riego. Los modelos (MODFLOW y WetSpass) aportan una idea acerca del estado actual y la evolución de las reservas de agua subterránea. Los resultados de este estudio son útiles para predecir la sostenibilidad de los recursos de agua subterránea en la planicie Trifa y para evaluar posibles acciones de gestión. Puede ser necesario reducir la explotación de agua subterránea en por lo menos 25% para alcanzar condiciones sostenibles.
Résumé Trifa est la plaine agricole la plus productive du Nord-Est marocain. Le développement de l’activité agricole durant ces dernières décennies a essentiellement reposé sur l’irrigation. Néanmoins les besoins de l’irrigation sont devenus tels que l’eau souterraine est utilisée comme ressource secondaire, pour combler la demande en eau domestique et agricole, induisant un rabattement d’autant plus important durant les périodes sèches. Un modèle hydrologique et hydrogéologique de la plaine de Trifa a été développé sur base des paramètres les plus importants, tels la recharge, et permet d’estimer le pompage nécessaire des eaux souterraines pour combler les besoins de l’irrigation. Les modèles (MODFLOW et WetSpass) apportent une bonne connaissance de l’état et de l’évolution des réserves souterraines. Les résultats de l’étude sont utiles pour prédire la longévité des ressources et pour évaluer différents scénarios de gestion. Une réduction de l’extraction de 25% serait nécessaire pour atteindre un état durable.相似文献
7.
Estimation of groundwater recharge using water balance coupled with base-flow-record estimation and stable-base-flow analysis 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this paper, the long-term mean annual groundwater recharge of Taiwan is estimated with the help of a water-balance approach coupled with the base-flow-record estimation and stable-base-flow analysis. Long-term mean annual groundwater recharge was derived by determining the product of estimated long-term mean annual runoff (the difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration) and the base-flow index (BFI). The BFI was calculated from daily streamflow data obtained from streamflow gauging stations in Taiwan. Mapping was achieved by using geographic information systems (GIS) and geostatistics. The presented approach does not require complex hydrogeologic modeling or detailed knowledge of soil characteristics, vegetation cover, or land-use practices. Contours of the resulting long-term mean annual P, BFI, runoff, groundwater recharge, and recharge rates fields are well matched with the topographical distribution of Taiwan, which extends from mountain range toward the alluvial plains of the island. The total groundwater recharge of Taiwan obtained by the employed method is about 18 billion tons per year.An erratum to this article can be found at 相似文献
8.
Using CRD method for quantification of groundwater recharge in the Gaza Strip, Palestine 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Husam Baalousha 《Environmental Geology》2005,48(7):889-900
Rainfall is the main source of groundwater recharge in the Gaza Strip area in Palestine. The area is located in the semi-arid
zone and there is no source of recharge other than rainfall. Estimation of groundwater recharge from rainfall is not an easy
task since it depends on many uncertain parameters. The cumulative rainfall departure (CRD) method, which depends on the water
balance principle, was used in this study to estimate the net groundwater recharge from rainfall. This method does not require
much data as is the case with other classical recharge estimation methods. The CRD method was carried out using optimisation
approach to minimise the root mean square error (RMSE) between the measured and the simulated groundwater head. The results
of this method were compared with the results of other recharge estimation methods from literature. It was found that the
results of the CRD method are very close to the results of the other methods, but with less data requirements and greater
ease of application. Based on the CRD method, the annual amount of groundwater recharge from rainfall in the Gaza Strip is
about 43 million m3.
An erratum to this article can be found at 相似文献
9.
Husam Baalousha 《Environmental Geology》2009,58(1):85-93
Quantification of groundwater recharge is important for water resources management. Different methods can be used to estimate
groundwater recharge. The most suitable approach depends on site characteristics. Water balance model was used in this study
to quantify groundwater recharge from rainfall in Ruataniwha Basin, Hawke’s Bay, New Zealand. Because it is a closed basin,
this method was determined to be more suitable than any other method. The basin is fed by surface water flow and rainfall,
without any lateral groundwater flow. Records of surface water inflow and outflow are available with a certain degree of reliability.
To cope with uncertainty in different components of water balance, different sampling methods were used. The Mean Value Latin
Hypercube Sampling (MVLHS) was used and compared with Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). It
was found the groundwater recharge from rainfall is about 415 million m3/year. Results of this study have revealed that MVLHS converges faster and with lower variance than LHS and MCS. 相似文献
10.
Groundwater recharge and discharge processes in the Jakarta groundwater basin, Indonesia 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Proper management of groundwater resources requires knowledge of the processes of recharge and discharge associated with a groundwater basin. Such processes have been identified in the Jakarta groundwater basin, Indonesia using a theory that describes the simultaneous transfer of heat and fluid in a porous medium. Temperature-depth profiles in monitoring wells are used to determine the geothermal gradient. To examine the rules of groundwater flow in the distortion of the isotherms in this area, several methods are compared. Subsurface temperature distribution is strongly affected by heat advection due to groundwater flow. Under natural flow conditions, the recharge area is assumed to occur in the hills and uplands, which are located on the periphery of the Jakarta basin, and the discharge area is located in the central and northern part of the Jakarta groundwater basin. A transition area, which could act as local recharge and discharge areas, occupies the middle of the lowland. Subsurface temperatures show good correlation with the groundwater flow conditions, and the data yield important information on the location of recharge and discharge areas. 相似文献
11.
Agricultural practices in semi-arid parts of southwestern Australia have increased recharge and raised groundwater levels.
As a result, land salinization has occurred. Managers aim to address the problem by reducing recharge, but it is not known
whether all recharge is regular and seasonal or whether a substantial component is episodic (i.e. occurs in irregular pulses).
Approaches that reduce regular recharge may not be effective at reducing recharge that is episodic.
Water balances were used to assess the potential for recharge to be episodic at 53 sites throughout Western Australia. The
results show that, for the conditions modeled, a substantial proportion of the recharge in drier parts of the agricultural
areas occurred episodically, and that direct episodic recharge could be as important in some semi-arid areas as in arid regions.
Therefore, mean annual rainfall is not a strong predictor of the ratio of episodic to total recharge at a site.
The model indicates that in agricultural areas, most significant and episodic recharge events occurred over just a few days
in winter months, when rainfall was dominated by frontal systems. However, substantial episodic recharge also resulted from
large storms during the months of January, February, and March. The implication is that it will be difficult to reduce recharge
substantially, and thus control salinity, as long as agriculture relies heavily on shallow-rooted winter-growing plants.
Electronic Publication 相似文献
12.
A geographic information systems (GIS)-based model was used to derive spatially explicit estimates of recharge using the elevation-dependent
chloride mass-balance (EDCMB) approach in a 14-basin area in southwestern Nevada, USA. For each of the 14 basins, a non-linear
regression equation was developed relating chloride enrichment to the elevation of spring watersheds. The ratio of chloride
enrichment as a function of elevation was used in a GIS framework to transform continuous precipitation data to recharge.
Spatial masks that represented two definitions of the lower limits of recharge—one definition based on alluvium/non-alluvium
boundaries, the other based on both alluvium/non-alluvium boundaries and an elevation threshold—were applied to each basin.
Resultant recharge estimates were then summed for each basin. When compared to summaries of previous recharge estimates for
the study area, the EDCMB approach produced results that were within 14 and 3% of two studies, but were significantly greater
(31%) than a third. GIS proved to be a very effective tool for combining large spatial data with widely different resolutions
into an integrated data set, and also proved to be an efficient mechanism for implementing robust statistical models to estimate
recharge.
Résumé Un modèle basé sur les systèmes d’informations géographiques (SIG) a été utilisé pour obtenir des estimations explicites de la recharge dans l’espace, en utilisant l’approche du bilan des chlorures en fonction de l’altitude (EDCMB en anglais) dans une zone de 14 bassins, dans le Sud-Ouest du Nevada aux Etats-Unis. Pour chacun des 14 bassins, une régression non-linéaire a été établie, reliant l’enrichissement des chlorures à l’altitude des bassins d’alimentation des sources. Le rapport d’enrichissement des chlorures en fonction de l’altitude a été utilisé dans une approche SIG pour transformer des données pluviométriques continues en terme de recharge. Des masques spatiaux représentant deux définitions des limites de recharge les plus basses ont été appliquées à chaque bassin ; l’une basée sur les limites alluvions/autres formations, l’autre sur ces mêmes limites ainsi que sur un seuil altitudinal. Les recharges estimées résultantes ont ensuite été additionnées pour chaque bassin. Comparée aux précédents bilans de recharge estimés dans la zone d’étude, l’approche EDCMB conduit à des résultats se situant entre 14 et 3% de ceux de deux autres études et largement supérieurs (31%) à ceux d’une troisième étude. Le SIG s’est révélé être un outil très efficace pour combiner dans une base de données intégrée, des données spatiales étendues avec des résolutions largement différentes, ainsi que pour implémenter des modèles statistiques conséquents permettant d’estimer la recharge.
Resumen Se utilizó un modelo basado en un Sistema de Información Geográfico (SIG) para derivar espacialmente estimados explícitos de recarga usando el enfoque de balance de masa de cloruro dependiente de elevación (EDCMB) en un área de 14 cuencas en el suroeste de Nevada, Estados Unidos. Para cada una de las 14 cuencas se desarrolló una ecuación de regresión no linear que relaciona el enriquecimiento de cloruro con la elevación de las cuencas con manantiales. La relación de enriquecimiento de cloruro en función de la elevación se usó en un marco SIG para transformar datos continuos de precipitación a recarga. Se aplicaron máscaras espaciales a cada cuenca las cuales representaron dos definiciones de los límites inferiores de recarga, una definición basada en límites de aluvión/sin aluvión, el otro basado en ambos límites aluvión/sin aluvión y una elevación normal de fondo. Los estimados resultantes de recarga fueron sumados para cada cuenca. Al compararse con estimados de recarga previos para el área de estudio se encontró que el enfoque EDCMB produjo resultados que estaban entre el 14 y 3% de dos estudios pero fueron significativamente mayores (31%) que un tercer estudio. El SIG ha demostrado ser una herramienta muy efectiva para combinar datos espaciales grandes con resoluciones muy distintas en un grupo integrado de datos y también ha mostrado ser un mecanismo eficiente para implementar modelos estadísticos robustos para estimar recarga.相似文献
13.
Water resources in Taiwan are unevenly distributed in spatial and temporal domains. Effectively utilizing the water resources
is an imperative task due to climate change. At present, groundwater contributes 34% of the total annual water supply and
is an important fresh water resource. However, over-exploitation has decreased groundwater availability and has led to land
subsidence. Assessing the potential zone of groundwater recharge is extremely important for the protection of water quality
and the management of groundwater systems. The Chih-Pen Creek basin in eastern Taiwan is examined in this study to assess
its groundwater resources potential. Remote sensing and the geographical information system (GIS) are used to integrate five
contributing factors: lithology, land cover/land use, lineaments, drainage, and slope. The weights of factors contributing
to the groundwater recharge are derived using aerial photos, geology maps, a land use database, and field verification. The
resultant map of the groundwater potential zone demonstrates that the highest recharge potential area is located towards the
downstream regions in the basin because of the high infiltration rates caused by gravelly sand and agricultural land use in
these regions. In contrast, the least effective recharge potential area is in upstream regions due to the low infiltration
of limestone. 相似文献
14.
Estimating aquifer recharge in Mission River watershed, Texas: model development and calibration using genetic algorithms 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Soil moisture balance studies provide a convenient approach to estimate aquifer recharge when only limited site-specific data
are available. A monthly mass-balance approach has been utilized in this study to estimate recharge in a small watershed in
the coastal bend of South Texas. The developed lumped parameter model employs four adjustable parameters to calibrate model
predicted stream runoff to observations at a gaging station. A new procedure was developed to correctly capture the intermittent
nature of rainfall. The total monthly rainfall was assigned to a single-equivalent storm whose duration was obtained via calibration.
A total of four calibrations were carried out using an evolutionary computing technique called genetic algorithms as well
as the conventional gradient descent (GD) technique. Ordinary least squares and the heteroscedastic maximum likelihood error
(HMLE) based objective functions were evaluated as part of this study as well. While the genetic algorithm based calibrations
were relatively better in capturing the peak runoff events, the GD based calibration did slightly better in capturing the
low flow events. Treating the Box-Cox exponent in the HMLE function as a calibration parameter did not yield better estimates
and the study corroborates the suggestion made in the literature of fixing this exponent at 0.3. The model outputs were compared
against available information and results indicate that the developed modeling approach provides a conservative estimate of
recharge. 相似文献
15.
Environmental isotopic study on the recharge and residence time of groundwater in the Heihe River Basin, northwestern China 总被引:7,自引:2,他引:7
Zongyu Chen Zhenlong Nie Guanghui Zhang Li Wan Jianmei Shen 《Hydrogeology Journal》2006,14(8):1635-1651
The recharge and origin of groundwater and its residence time were studied using environmental isotopic measurements in samples from the Heihe River Basin, China. δ18O and δD values of both river water and groundwater were within the same ranges as those found in the alluvial fan zone, and lay slightly above the local meteoric water line (δD=6.87δ18O+3.54). This finding indicated that mountain rivers substantially and rapidly contribute to the water resources in the southern and northern sub-basins. δ18O and δD values of groundwater in the unconfined aquifers of these sub-basins were close to each other. There was evidence of enrichment of heavy isotopes in groundwater due to evaporation. The most pronounced increase in the δ18O value occurred in agricultural areas, reflecting the admixture of irrigation return flow. Tritium results in groundwater samples from the unconfined aquifers gave evidence for ongoing recharge, with mean residence times of: less than 36 years in the alluvial fan zone; about 12–16 years in agricultural areas; and about 26 years in the Ejina oasis. In contrast, groundwater in the confined aquifers had 14C ages between 0 and 10 ka BP. 相似文献
16.
The region known as Pampa Plain, in Argentina, is a vast area characterized by slopes of less than 0.05%. The surface sediment is silty sand, mainly Aeolian, referred to as Pampean Loess, which is a phreatic aquifer unit of utmost importance for the water supply of the region. On account of the slight gradient, hydrogeological analyses using only hydraulic measurements are difficult to perform, often leading to confusing results. Thus, the study presented relies on hydrochemical modeling and isotopic determinations as well. The study area comprises three catchments in the inter-mountainous area corresponding to El Moro, Tamangueyú and Seco creeks, and covering 2,570 km2 in the province of Buenos Aires. Measurements of piezometric levels and samples of groundwater, surface water and rainwater were carried out between January and March 2005. Major ion results were analyzed by means of hydrochemical graphs and hydrogeochemical modelling using NETPATH. The resulting data show that it is possible to identify local changes in recharge, flow direction and stream/groundwater relationship by using hydrochemical and isotopic information, which may become a useful and more precise tool for the study of particularly flat landscapes. 相似文献
17.
淄博市大武水源地地下水水位总体预测 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文采用水均衡法对淄博市大武水源地地下水位变动进行研究,并对降水量与人渗补给量的关系以及平均给水度随地下水位的变化关系进行了分析。通过历史资料的验证,表明本文所建立的水均衡模型对于地下水位变动的预测是可靠的,而且简单可行,随后根据不同的地下水开采量等对未来地下水位的变动趋势进行了预测。 相似文献
18.
This paper presents a method for the feasibility of an artificial recharge scheme in a limestone aquifer. A 3D digital groundwater flow model was developed and calibrated to gain a better understanding of the aquifer dynamics and to estimate its capacity for artificial recharge. Several scenarios, based on different pumping alternatives, were tested over a 30 year period. The results were then analysed by yearly input-output balances. Worst case scenario model output suggests that implementing the scheme might ensure a sustainable use of the aquifer in the future. 相似文献
19.
The stable isotopes of oxygen and hydrogen were used to determine the seasonal contributions of precipitation to groundwater
recharge at a forested catchment area in the upper North Han River basin, Korea. A comparison of the stable isotopic signatures
of groundwater and precipitation indicates that the precipitations which occurred during both the dry and rainy seasons are
the important source of groundwater recharge in this region. A stable isotopic signature shown in the stream waters at the
upstream reaches is similar to that of groundwaters, indicating that stream waters are mostly fed by groundwater discharge.
Reservoir waters in the downstream flood control dams have lower deuterium excess values or d-values compared with those of the upstream waters, indicating a secondary evaporative enrichment. These results can provide
a basis for the effective management of groundwater and stream water resources in the North Han River basin. 相似文献
20.
Zhou Xun Chen Mingyou Fang Bin Zhang Hua Shen Ye Yao Jinmei 《Environmental Geology》2006,51(4):647-653
Operation of a wellfield tapping a deep-seated aquifer system depends upon the recharge from outside the aquifer system under the condition of exploitation. This kind of replenishment, however, is not learned until the wellfield is in operation and a quarry-pumping test is often needed in the investigation of the wellfield. A deep-seated confined aquifer consisting of Ordovician carbonates occurs in the Chezhoushan Syncline crossing the border of Tianjin and Hebei in northern China. The Ordovician aquifer is believed to receive recharge through leakage from the overlying Quaternary aquifer only in the northeastern part of the syncline. The Ninghebei wellfield is planned to produce 100,000 m3/day of groundwater from the Ordovician aquifer for water supply. A three-dimensional transient numerical model was established based on a hydrogeologic survey, especially a quarry-pumping test conducted in 2003. The model was calibrated with the water-level data of the quarry-pumping test and used to predict the future water-level changes that might result from the three proposed exploitation scenarios. A 20 year predictive simulation results indicate that hydraulic heads decline rapidly in the early months, decline slowly in the following years and reach a steady state in the late period with a maximum drawdown of 52.09 m under the maximum total withdrawal rate of 120,000 m3/day from the Ordovician aquifer, and that the infer-aquifer recharge through leakage from the Quaternary aquifer can balance the withdrawal rate. 相似文献