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1.
Palaeoclimates across Europe for 6000 y BP were estimated from pollen data using the modern pollen analogue technique constrained
with lake-level data. The constraint consists of restricting the set of modern pollen samples considered as analogues of the
fossil samples to those locations where the implied change in annual precipitation minus evapotranspiration (P–E) is consistent with the regional change in moisture balance as indicated by lakes. An artificial neural network was used
for the spatial interpolation of lake-level changes to the pollen sites, and for mapping palaeoclimate anomalies. The climate
variables reconstructed were mean temperature of the coldest month (T
c
), growing degree days above 5 °C (GDD), moisture availability expressed as the ratio of actual to equilibrium evapotranspiration (α), and P–E. The constraint improved the spatial coherency of the reconstructed palaeoclimate anomalies, especially for P–E. The reconstructions indicate clear spatial and seasonal patterns of Holocene climate change, which can provide a quantitative
benchmark for the evaluation of palaeoclimate model simulations. Winter temperatures (T
c
) were 1–3 K greater than present in the far N and NE of Europe, but 2–4 K less than present in the Mediterranean region.
Summer warmth (GDD) was greater than present in NW Europe (by 400–800 K day at the highest elevations) and in the Alps, but >400 K day less
than present at lower elevations in S Europe. P–E was 50–250 mm less than present in NW Europe and the Alps, but α was 10–15% greater than present in S Europe and P–E was 50–200 mm greater than present in S and E Europe.
Received: 3 January 1996 / Accepted: 15 July 1996 相似文献
2.
G. S. GOLITSYN 《大气科学进展》2009,26(3):585-598
The goal of this paper is to quantitatively formulate some necessary conditions for the
development of intense atmospheric vortices. Specifically, these criteria are discussed for tropical
cyclones (TC) and polar lows (PL) by using bulk formulas for fluxes of momentum, sensible heating,
and latent heating between the ocean and the atmosphere. The velocity scale is used in two forms: (1)
as expressed through the buoyancy flux b and the Coriolis parameter lc for rotating fluids convection,
and (2) as expressed with the cube of velocity times the drag coefficient through the formula for
total kinetic energy dissipation in the atmospheric boundary layer. In the quasistationary case the
dissipation equals the generation of the energy. In both cases the velocity scale can be expressed
through temperature and humidity differences between the ocean and the atmosphere in terms of the
reduced gravity, and both forms produce quite comparable velocity scales. Using parameters b and lc,
we can form scales of the area and, by adding the mass of a unit air column, a scale of the total
kinetic energy as well. These scales nicely explain the much smaller size of a PL, as compared to
a TC, and the total kinetic energy of a TC is of the order 1018-1019 J. It will be shown
that wind of 33 m s-1 is produced when the total enthalpy fluxes between the ocean and the
atmosphere are about 700 W m-2 for a TC and 1700 W m-2 for a PL, in association with
the much larger role of the latent heat in the first case and the stricter geostrophic constraints
and larger static stability in the second case. This replaces the mystical role of 26oC as
a criterion for TC origin.
The buoyancy flux, a product of the reduced gravity and the wind speed, together with the atmospheric
static stability, determines the rate of the penetrating convection. It is known from the observations
that the formation time for a PL reaching an altitude of 5--6 km can be only a few hours, and a day, or
even half a day, for a TC reaching 15--18 km. These two facts allow us to construct curves on the plane
of Ts and ΔT=Ts-Ta to determine possibilities for forming an intense vortex. Here, Ta is the atmospheric temperature at the height z=10 m. A PL should have ΔT>20oC in accordance
with the observations and numerical simulations. The conditions for a TC are not so straightforward but
our diagram shows that the temperature difference of a few degrees, or possibly even a fraction of a
degree, might be sufficient for TC development for a range of static stabilities and development times. 相似文献
3.
Aerosol and rain samples were collected between 48°N and 55°S during the KH-08-2 and MR08-06 cruises conducted over the North
and South Pacific Ocean in 2008 and 2009, to estimate dry and wet deposition fluxes of atmospheric inorganic nitrogen (N).
Inorganic N in aerosols was composed of ~68% NH4+ and ~32% NO3– (median values for all data), with ~81% and ~45% of each species being present on fine mode aerosol, respectively. Concentrations
of NH4+ and NO3− in rainwater ranged from 1.7–55 μmol L−1 and 0.16–18 μmol L−1, respectively, accounting for ~87% by NH4+ and ~13% by NO3− of total inorganic N (median values for all data). A significant correlation (r = 0.74, p < 0.05, n = 10) between NH4+ and methanesulfonic acid (MSA) was found in rainwater samples collected over the South Pacific, whereas no significant correlations
were found between NH4+ and MSA in rainwater collected over the subarctic (r = 0.42, p > 0.1, n = 6) and subtropical (r = 0.33, p > 0.5, n = 6) western North Pacific, suggesting that emissions of ammonia (NH3) by marine biological activity from the ocean could become a significant source of NH4+ over the South Pacific. While NO3− was the dominant inorganic N species in dry deposition, inorganic N supplied to surface waters by wet deposition was predominantly
by NH4+ (42–99% of the wet deposition fluxes for total inorganic N). We estimated mean total (dry + wet) deposition fluxes of atmospheric
total inorganic N in the Pacific Ocean to be 32–64 μmol m−2 d−1, with 66–99% of this by wet deposition, indicating that wet deposition plays a more important role in the supply of atmospheric
inorganic N than dry deposition. 相似文献
4.
Judit Zádor Tamás Turányi Klaus Wirtz Michael J. Pilling 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2006,55(2):147-166
It is essential to quantify the background reactivity of smog-chambers, since this might be the major limitation of experiments carried out at low pollutant concentrations typical of the polluted atmosphere. Detailed investigation of three chamber experiments at zero-NO
x
in the European Photoreactor (EUPHORE) were carried out by means of rate-of-production analysis and two uncertainty analysis tools: local uncertainty analysis and Monte Carlo simulations with Latin hypercube sampling. The chemical mechanism employed was that for methane plus the inorganic subset of the Master Chemical Mechanism (MCMv3.1). Newly installed instruments in EUPHORE allowed the measurement of nitrous acid and formaldehyde at sub-ppb concentrations with high sensitivity. The presence of HONO and HCHO during the experiments could be explained only by processes taking place on the FEP Teflon walls. The HONO production rate can be described by the empirical equation W(HONO)EUPHORE
dry = a × j
NO
2× exp (− T
0/T) in the low relative humidity region (RH < 2%, a = 7.3×1021 cm−3, T
0 = 8945K), and by the equation W(HONO)EUPHORE
humid = W(HONO)EUPHORE
dry+ j
NO
2× b × RH
q
in the higher relative humidity region (2% < RH < 15%, b = 5.8×108 cm−3 and q = 0.36, and RH is the relative humidity in percentages). For HCHO the expression W(HCHO)EUPHORE = c × j
NO
2exp (− T′0/T) is applicable (c = 3.1×1017 cm−3 and T′0 = 5686 K). In the 0–15% relative humidity range OH production from HONO generated at the wall is about a factor of two higher than that from the photolysis of 100 ppb ozone. Effect of added NO2 was found to be consistent with the dark HONO formation rate coefficient of MCMv3.1. 相似文献
5.
Factors controlling the magnitudes of, and short-term variations in, the potential temperatures of the snow surface and the
air at the height of 2 m θS and θ2 m over Arctic sea ice in winter are analysed. The study addresses the winters of 1986–1987 and 1987–1988, and is based on the
temperature, wind, and cloud observations made by Russian drifting ice stations. It also relies on the ERA40 re-analyses of
the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which were utilised to calculate the lateral heat advection at the
sites of the ice stations. The cloud cover and wind speed were more important than the heat advection in controlling the magnitudes
of θ2 m and θS, while on a time scale of 24 h, during steady forcing conditions, the heat advection was the most important factor affecting
the changes in θS and θ2 m. During changing conditions, and considering individual factors separately, the monthly mean 24-h temperature changes were
less than ± 5 °C: the effect of the cloud cover was the largest, and that of the heat advection was the smallest. When simultaneous
changes in the three factors were analysed, the seasonal mean temperature changes were even of the order of ±15 °C, with the
strongest warming events exceeding 35 K in a single day. The difference θS − θ2 m reached its lowest seasonal mean values during conditions of clear skies (−1.3 °C), light winds (−1.3 °C) and warm-air advection
(−0.8 °C). θS and θ2 m followed each other closely, even during major synoptic-scale temperature variations. 相似文献
6.
Philip B. Holden N. R. Edwards K. I. C. Oliver T. M. Lenton R. D. Wilkinson 《Climate Dynamics》2010,35(5):785-806
In order to investigate Last Glacial Maximum and future climate, we “precalibrate” the intermediate complexity model GENIE-1
by applying a rejection sampling approach to deterministic emulations of the model. We develop ~1,000 parameter sets which
reproduce the main features of modern climate, but not precise observations. This allows a wide range of large-scale feedback
response strengths which generally encompass the range of GCM behaviour. We build a deterministic emulator of climate sensitivity
and quantify the contributions of atmospheric (±0.93°C, 1σ) vegetation (±0.32°C), ocean (±0.24°C) and sea–ice (±0.14°C) parameterisations to the total uncertainty. We then perform
an LGM-constrained Bayesian calibration, incorporating data-driven priors and formally accounting for structural error. We
estimate climate sensitivity as likely (66% confidence) to lie in the range 2.6–4.4°C, with a peak probability at 3.6°C. We estimate LGM cooling likely to lie in
the range 5.3–7.5°C, with a peak probability at 6.2°C. In addition to estimates of global temperature change, we apply our
ensembles to derive LGM and 2xCO2 probability distributions for land carbon storage, Atlantic overturning and sea–ice coverage. Notably, under 2xCO2 we calculate a probability of 37% that equilibrium terrestrial carbon storage is reduced from modern values, so the land
sink has become a net source of atmospheric CO2. 相似文献
7.
An integrated use of independent palaeoclimatological proxy techniques that reflect different components of the climate system provides a potential key for functional analysis of past climate changes. Here we report a 10,000 year quantitative record of annual mean temperature (T ann), based on pollen-climate transfer functions and pollen-stratigraphical data from Lake Flarken, south-central Sweden. The pollen-based temperature reconstruction is compared with a reconstruction of effective humidity, as reflected by a δ18O record obtained on stratigraphy of lacustrine carbonates from Lake Igelsjön, c. 10 km from Lake Flarken, which gives evidence of pronounced changes in effective humidity. The relatively low T ann, and high effective humidity as reflected by a low evaporation/inflow ratio suggest a maritime early Holocene climate (10,000–8,300 cal year BP), seemingly incompatible with the highly seasonal solar insolation configuration. We argue that the maritime climate was due to the stronger-than-present zonal flow, enhanced by the high early Holocene sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic. The maritime climate mode was disrupted by the abrupt cold event at 8,200 cal year BP, followed at 8,000 cal year BP by a stable Holocene Thermal Maximum. The latter was characterized by T ann values about 2.5°C higher than at present and markedly dry conditions, indicative of stable summer-time anti-cyclonic circulation, possibly corresponding with modern blocking anticyclonic conditions. The last 4,300 year period is characterized by an increasingly cold, moist, and unstable climate. The results demonstrate the value of combining two independent palaeoclimatic proxies in enhancing the reliability, generality, and interpretability of the palaeoclimatic results. Further methodological refinements especially in resolving past seasonal climatic contrasts are needed to better understand the role of different forcing factors in driving millennial-scale climate dynamics. 相似文献
8.
A coupled atmosphere-ocean model developed at the Institute for Space Studies at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (Russell et al., 1995) was used to verify the validity of Haney-type surface thermal boundary condition, which linearly connects net downward surface heat flux Q to air / sea temperature difference △T by a relaxation coefficient k. The model was initiated from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) atmospheric observations for 1 December 1977, and from the National Ocean Data Center (NODC) global climatological mean December temperature and salinity fields at 1° ×1° resolution. The time step is 7.5 minutes. We integrated the model for 450 days and obtained a complete model-generated global data set of daily mean downward net surface flux Q, surface air temperature TA,and sea surface temperature To. Then, we calculated the cross-correlation coefficients (CCC) between Q and △T. The ensemble mean CCC fields show (a) no correlation between Q and △T in the equatorial regions, and (b) evident correlation (CCC≥ 0.7) between Q and △T in the middle and high latitudes.Additionally, we did the variance analysis and found that when k= 120 W m-2K-1, the two standard deviations, σQ and σk△T, are quite close in the middle and high latitudes. These results agree quite well with a previous research (Chu et al., 1998) on analyzing the NCEP re-analyzed surface data, except that a smaller value of k (80 W m-2K-1) was found in the previous study. 相似文献
9.
The Alaskan Stream south of the Blizhnii Strait disintegrates into mesoscale Aleutian eddies, which provide a westward transport
of warm water to the Kamchatka Current and upper Oyashio Current areas. Oceanographic observations from 1949 to 2009 are indicative
of a substantial rise of temperature and salinity in the intermediate waters of the Aleutian and Kamchatka currents. A long-term
temperature trend in the Aleutian Current in the intermediate layer (at isopicnal of 26.75σθ) amounted to ΔT = 0.013°C/year. A positive salinity trend was about 0.0014 psu/year. The ocean upperlayer salinity decreased with a rate
of −0.0021 psu/year simultaneously with the increase in salinity of the intermediate layer. The decreased salinity of the
upper layer and its increase in the intermediate layer result in the intensified halocline. The radius of the Aleutian eddies
significantly increased (by 50–100%), which is equivalent, at least, to twofold increase in the volume of the water transported. 相似文献
10.
R. C. Izaurralde J. R. Williams W. M. Post A. M. Thomson W. B. McGill L. B. Owens R. Lal 《Climatic change》2007,80(1-2):73-90
The soil C balance is determined by the difference between inputs (e.g., plant litter, organic amendments, depositional C)
and outputs (e.g., soil respiration, dissolved organic C leaching, and eroded C). There is a need to improve our understanding
of whether soil erosion is a sink or a source of atmospheric CO2. The objective of this paper is to discover the long-term influence of soil erosion on the C cycle of managed watersheds
near Coshocton, OH. We hypothesize that the amount of eroded C that is deposited in or out of a watershed compares in magnitude
to the soil C changes induced via microbial respiration. We applied the erosion productivity impact calculator (EPIC) model to evaluate the role of erosion–deposition
processes on the C balance of three small watersheds (∼1 ha). Experimental records from the USDA North Appalachian Experimental
Watershed facility north of Coshocton, OH were used in the study. Soils are predominantly silt loam and have developed from
loess-like deposits over residual bedrock. Management practices in the three watersheds have changed over time. Currently,
watershed 118 (W118) is under a corn (Zea mays L.)–soybean (Glycine max [L.] Merr.) no till rotation, W128 is under conventional till continuous corn, and W188 is under no till continuous corn.
Simulations of a comprehensive set of ecosystem processes including plant growth, runoff, and water erosion were used to quantify
sediment C yields. A simulated sediment C yield of 43 ± 22 kg C ha−1 year−1 compared favorably against the observed 31 ± 12 kg C ha−1 year−1 in W118. EPIC overestimated the soil C stock in the top 30-cm soil depth in W118 by 21% of the measured value (36.8 Mg C
ha−1). Simulations of soil C stocks in the other two watersheds (42.3 Mg C ha−1 in W128 and 50.4 Mg C ha−1 in W188) were off by <1 Mg C ha−1. Simulated eroded C re-deposited inside (30–212 kg C ha−1 year−1) or outside (73–179 kg C ha−1 year−1) watershed boundaries compared in magnitude to a simulated soil C sequestration rate of 225 kg C ha−1 year−1 and to literature values. An analysis of net ecosystem carbon balance revealed that the watershed currently under a plow
till system (W128) was a source of C to the atmosphere while the watersheds currently under a no till system (W118 and W188)
behaved as C sinks of atmospheric CO2. Our results demonstrate a clear need for documenting and modeling the proportion of eroded soil C that is transported outside
watershed boundaries and the proportion that evolves as CO2 to the atmosphere. 相似文献
11.
A time series of microwave radiometric profiles over Arctic Canada’s Cape Bathurst (70°N, 124.5°W) flaw lead polynya region
from 1 January to 30 June, 2008 was examined to determine the general characteristics of the atmospheric boundary layer in
winter and spring. A surface based or elevated inversion was present on 97% of winter (January–March) days, and on 77% of
spring (April–June) days. The inversion was the deepest in the first week of March (≈1100 m), and the shallowest in June (≈250 m).
The mean temperature and absolute humidity from the surface to the top of the inversion averaged 250.1 K (−23.1°C), and 0.56 × 10−3 kg m−3 in winter, and in spring averaged 267.5 K (−5.6°C), and 2.77 × 10−3 kg m−3. The median winter atmospheric boundary-layer (ABL) potential temperature profile provided evidence of a shallow, weakly
stable internal boundary layer (surface to 350 m) topped by an inversion (350–1,000 m). The median spring profile showed a
shallow, near-neutral internal boundary layer (surface to 350 m) under an elevated inversion (600–800 m). The median ABL absolute
humidity profiles were weakly positive in winter and negative in spring. Estimates of the convergence of sensible heat and
water vapour from the surface that could have produced the turbulent internal boundary layers of the median profiles were
0.67 MJ m−2 and 13.1 × 10−3 kg m−2 for the winter season, and 0.66 MJ m−2 and 33.4 × 10−3 kg m−2 for the spring season. With fetches of 10–100 km, these accumulations may have resulted from a surface sensible heat flux
of 15–185 W m−2, plus a surface moisture flux of 0.001–0.013 mm h−1 (or a latent heat flux of 0.7–8.8 W m−2) in winter, and 0.003–0.033 mm h−1 (or a latent heat flux of 2–22 W m−2) in spring. 相似文献
12.
In order to improve the reliability of climate reconstruction, especially the climatologies outside the modern observed climate
space, an improved inverse vegetation model using a recent version of BIOME4 has been designed to quantitatively reconstruct
past climates, based on pollen biome scores from the BIOME6000 project. The method has been validated with surface pollen
spectra from Eurasia and Africa, and applied to palaeoclimate reconstruction. At 6 cal ka BP (calendar years), the climate
was generally wetter than today in southern Europe and northern Africa, especially in the summer. Winter temperatures were
higher (1–5°C) than present in southern Scandinavia, northeastern Europe, and southern Africa, but cooler in southern Eurasia
and in tropical Africa, especially in Mediterranean regions. Summer temperatures were generally higher than today in most
of Eurasia and Africa, with a significant warming from ∼3 to 5°C over northwestern and southern Europe, southern Africa, and
eastern Africa. In contrast, summers were 1–3°C cooler than present in the Mediterranean lowlands and in a band from the eastern
Black Sea to Siberia. At 21 cal ka BP, a marked hydrological change can be seen in the tropical zone, where annual precipitation
was ∼200–1,000 mm/year lower than today in equatorial East Africa compared to the present. A robust inverse relationship is
shown between precipitation change and elevation in Africa. This relationship indicates that precipitation likely had an important
role in controlling equilibrium-line altitudes (ELA) changes in the tropics during the LGM period. In Eurasia, hydrological
decreases follow a longitudinal gradient from Europe to Siberia. Winter temperatures were ∼10–17°C lower than today in Eurasia
with a more significant decrease in northern regions. In Africa, winter temperature was ∼10–15°C lower than present in the
south, while it was only reduced by ∼0–3°C in the tropical zone. Comparison of palaeoclimate reconstructions using LGM and
modern CO2 concentrations reveals that the effect of CO2 on pollen-based LGM reconstructions differs by vegetation type. Reconstructions for pollen sites in steppic vegetation in
Europe show warmer winter temperatures under LGM CO2 concentrations than under modern concentrations, and reconstructions for sites in xerophytic woods/scrub in tropical high
altitude regions of Africa are wetter for LGM CO2 concentrations than for modern concentrations, because our reconstructions account for decreased plant water use efficiency. 相似文献
13.
Summary An upper level atmospheric teleconnection between grid points: 0°, 55° N; 10° E, 55° N (North Sea) and 50° E, 45° N; 60° E,
45° N (northern Caspian) was identified. This teleconnection, referred as the North Sea-Caspian Pattern (NCP) is evident at the 500 hPa level. The NCP is more pronounced during winter and the transitional seasons. An index (NCPI) measures the geopotential heights differences between the two poles of the NCP. Time series of the NCPI are presented and analysed. Except for September, no significant temporal trends were found. Negative and positive phases
of the NCP (NCP(−) and NCP(+), respectively) were defined using standardized scores. A classification of all months into NCP(−), NCP(+) or normal conditions during the analysis period (1958–1998) was prepared and analysed. No significant correlation was
found between the NCPI and the NAO index. The anomalous circulation during either NCP(−) or NCP(+) conditions is defined and its possible impact on the regional climate is discussed. Preliminary results show below normal
temperatures and above normal precipitation in the Balkans and the Middle East during NCP(+), and the opposite for NCP(−).
Received March 8, 2001 Revised July 3, 2001 相似文献
14.
15.
G. Solignac I. Magneron A. Mellouki A. Muñoz M. Martin Reviejo K. Wirtz 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2006,54(2):89-102
A study of the oxidation mechanism of N-methyl pyrrolidinone (C5H9NO, NMP) initiated by hydroxyl radicals was made at EUPHORE at atmospheric pressure (1000 ± 10) mbar of air and ambient temperature (T = 300 ± 5 K). The main products were N-methyl succinimide (NMS) (52 ± 4)% and N-formyl pyrrolidinone (FP) (23 ± 9)%. The relative rate technique was used to determine the rate constants of OH with NMP, NMS and FP, the measured values were (in units of cm3 molecule
− 1 s− 1): kNMP = (2.2 ± 0.4) × 10− 11, kNMS = (1.4 ± 0.3) × 10− 12 and kFP = (6 ± 1) × 10− 12. The results are presented and discussed in terms of the atmospheric impact. 相似文献
16.
CO2 and Northern Hemisphere ice volume variations over the middle and late Quaternary 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
The atmospheric CO2 concentrations have been reconstructed over the past 600 ka based on regression between the Vostok CO2 data and the SPECMAP oxygen isotope values. A lag of 4.5 ka (CO2 preceding δ18O) gives the best results. A polynomial of order 5 explains 66% of the Vostok CO2 variance over the last 220 ka. The Northern Hemisphere ice-sheet volume was simulated over the past 575 ka using the LLN
2-D model, forced by insolation and these statistically reconstructed atmospheric CO2 concentrations. The simulated ice volume fluctuations resemble the deep-sea oxygen isotope variations. CO2 of interglacial level is necessary for explaining both the interglacial at oxygen isotopic stage 11 and our present-day interglacial. 相似文献
17.
Influence of vegetation changes during the Last Glacial Maximum using the BMRC atmospheric general circulation model 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
The influence of different vegetation distributions on the atmospheric circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM,
21 000 years before present) is investigated. The atmospheric general circulation model of the Bureau of Meteorology Research
Center was run using a modern vegetation and in a second experiment with a vegetation reconstruction for the LGM. It is found
that a change from conifer to desert and tundra causes an additional LGM cooling of 1–2 °C in Western Europe, up to −4 °C
in North America and −6 °C in Siberia. An expansion of dryland vegetation causes an additional annual cooling of 1–2 °C for
Australia and northern Africa. On the other hand, an increase of temperature (2 °C) is found in Alaska due to changes in circulation.
In the equatorial region the LGM vegetation leads to an increased modelled temperature of 0.5–1.5 °C and decreased precipitation
(30%) over land due to a reduction of the tropical rainforest, mainly in Indonesia, where the reduction of precipitation over
land is associated with an increase of precipitation of 30% over the western Pacific.
Received: 15 December 1999 / Accepted: 10 January 2001 相似文献
18.
Using a single drop experiment, the uptake of NO3 radicals on aqueous solutions of the dye Alizarin Red S and NaCl was measured at 293 K. Uptake coefficients in the range
(1.7–3.1) ⋅ 10− 3 were measured on Alizarin Red S solutions. The uptake coefficients measured on NaCl solutions were in the range of (1.1–2.0)
⋅ 10−3 depending on the salt concentration. Both experiments lead to a consistent result for the mass accommodation coefficient
of αNO3 = (4.2− 1.7+2.2)⋅ 10−3.
The product H(Dl kCl−II)0.5 for the NO3 radical was determined to be (1.9 ± 0.2) M atm− 1 cm s−0.5 M−0.5 s−0.5 by fitting the uptake data for the NaCl solutions to the so-called resistance model.
The yield of the chemical NO3 radical source was characterized using UV-VIS and FT-IR spectroscopy. The amount of gas-phase NO3 radicals measured at elevated humidities was less than expected. Instead, a rise of the gas-phase HNO3 concentration was found indicating a conversion of gas-phase NO3 radicals to gas-phase HNO3 on the moist reactor walls. 相似文献
19.
Transient simulation of the last glacial inception. Part I: glacial inception as a bifurcation in the climate system 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
Reinhard Calov Andrey Ganopolski Martin Claussen Vladimir Petoukhov Ralf Greve 《Climate Dynamics》2005,24(6):545-561
We study the mechanisms of glacial inception by using the Earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2, which
encompasses dynamic modules of the atmosphere, ocean, biosphere and ice sheets. Ice-sheet dynamics are described by the three-dimensional
polythermal ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. We have performed transient experiments starting at the Eemiam interglacial, at 126 ky
BP (126,000 years before present). The model runs for 26 kyr with time-dependent orbital and CO2 forcings. The model simulates a rapid expansion of the area covered by inland ice in the Northern Hemisphere, predominantly
over Northern America, starting at about 117 kyr BP. During the next 7 kyr, the ice volume grows gradually in the model at
a rate which corresponds to a change in sea level of 10 m per millennium. We have shown that the simulated glacial inception
represents a bifurcation transition in the climate system from an interglacial to a glacial state caused by the strong snow-albedo
feedback. This transition occurs when summer insolation at high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere drops below a threshold
value, which is only slightly lower than modern summer insolation. By performing long-term equilibrium runs, we find that
for the present-day orbital parameters at least two different equilibrium states of the climate system exist—the glacial and
the interglacial; however, for the low summer insolation corresponding to 115 kyr BP, we find only one, glacial, equilibrium
state, while for the high summer insolation corresponding to 126 kyr BP only an interglacial state exists in the model.
相似文献
Reinhard CalovEmail: |
20.
A comparison of PMIP2 model simulations and the MARGO proxy reconstruction for tropical sea surface temperatures at last glacial maximum 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner Ralph Schneider E. C. Brady M. Kucera A. Abe-Ouchi E. Bard P. Braconnot M. Crucifix C. D. Hewitt M. Kageyama O. Marti A. Paul A. Rosell-Melé C. Waelbroeck S. L. Weber M. Weinelt Y. Yu 《Climate Dynamics》2009,32(6):799-815
Results from multiple model simulations are used to understand the tropical sea surface temperature (SST) response to the
reduced greenhouse gas concentrations and large continental ice sheets of the last glacial maximum (LGM). We present LGM simulations
from the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project, Phase 2 (PMIP2) and compare these simulations to proxy data collated
and harmonized within the Multiproxy Approach for the Reconstruction of the Glacial Ocean Surface Project (MARGO). Five atmosphere–ocean
coupled climate models (AOGCMs) and one coupled model of intermediate complexity have PMIP2 ocean results available for LGM.
The models give a range of tropical (defined for this paper as 15°S–15°N) SST cooling of 1.0–2.4°C, comparable to the MARGO
estimate of annual cooling of 1.7 ± 1°C. The models simulate greater SST cooling in the tropical Atlantic than tropical Pacific,
but interbasin and intrabasin variations of cooling are much smaller than those found in the MARGO reconstruction. The simulated
tropical coolings are relatively insensitive to season, a feature also present in the MARGO transferred-based estimates calculated
from planktonic foraminiferal assemblages for the Indian and Pacific Oceans. These assemblages indicate seasonality in cooling
in the Atlantic basin, with greater cooling in northern summer than northern winter, not captured by the model simulations.
Biases in the simulations of the tropical upwelling and thermocline found in the preindustrial control simulations remain
for the LGM simulations and are partly responsible for the more homogeneous spatial and temporal LGM tropical cooling simulated
by the models. The PMIP2 LGM simulations give estimates for the climate sensitivity parameter of 0.67°–0.83°C per Wm−2, which translates to equilibrium climate sensitivity for doubling of atmospheric CO2 of 2.6–3.1°C. 相似文献