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1.
There are many reports about the abnormal electromagnetic signals observed before great earthquakes. In particular, the signals of electromagnetic anomalies before the Hyogo-Ken Nanbu, Japan, MS=7.2 earthquake on January 17, 1995 (Hayakawa, et al, 1996) and those before the Loma Prieta, USA, MS=7.1 earthquake on October 19, 1989 (Fraser-Smith, et al, 1990) are especially remarkable. However, what the above authors reported are only the phenomena of one or two observatories. In order to … 相似文献
2.
U. Yalçın Kalyoncuoglu 《Journal of Seismology》2007,11(2):131-148
In this study, the spatial distributions of seismicity and seismic hazard were assessed for Turkey and its surrounding area.
For this purpose, earthquakes that occurred between 1964 and 2004 with magnitudes of M ≥ 4 were used in the region (30–42°N and 20–45°E). For the estimation of seismicity parameters and its mapping, Turkey and
surrounding area are divided into 1,275 circular subregions. The b-value from the Gutenberg–Richter frequency–magnitude distributions is calculated by the classic way and the new alternative
method both using the least-squares approach. The a-value in the Gutenberg–Richter frequency–magnitude distributions is taken as a constant value in the new alternative method.
The b-values calculated by the new method were mapped. These results obtained from both methods are compared. The b-value shows different distributions along Turkey for both techniques. The b-values map prepared with new technique presents a better consistency with regional tectonics, earthquake activities, and
epicenter distributions. Finally, the return period and occurrence hazard probability of M ≥ 6.5 earthquakes in 75 years were calculated by using the Poisson model for both techniques. The return period and occurrence
hazard probability maps determined from both techniques showed a better consistency with each other. Moreover, maps of the
occurrence hazard probability and return period showed better consistency with the b-parameter seismicity maps calculated from the new method. The occurrence hazard probability and return period of M ≥ 6.5 earthquakes were calculated as 90–99% and 5–10 years, respectively, from the Poisson model in the western part of the
studying region. 相似文献
3.
Keiichi Tadokoro Masataka Ando Şerif Bariş Kin'ya Nishigami Mamoru Nakamura S. Balamir Ücer Akihiko Ito Yoshimori Honkura A. Mete Işikara 《Journal of Seismology》2002,6(3):411-417
The North Anatolian fault zone that ruptured during the mainshock of theM 7.4 Kocaeli (Izmit) earthquake of 17 August 1999 has beenmonitored using S wave splitting, in order to test a hypothesisproposed by Tadokoro et al. (1999). This idea is based on the observationof the M 7.2 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe) earthquake, Japan.After the Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake, a temporal change was detectedin the direction of faster shear wave polarization in 2–3 years after the mainshock (Tadokoro, 1999). Four seismic stations were installed within andnear the fault zone at Kizanlik where the fault offset was 1.5 m, about80 km to the east of the epicenter of the Kocaeli earthquake. Theobservation period was from August 30 to October 27, 1999. Preliminaryresult shows that the average directions of faster shear wave polarization attwo stations were roughly parallel to the fault strike. We expect that thedirection of faster shear wave polarization will change to the same directionas the regional tectonic stress reflecting fault healing process. We havealready carried out a repeated aftershock observation at the same site in2000 for monitoring the fault healing process. 相似文献
4.
On July 20, 1995, an earthquake of M
L=4.1 occurred in Huailai basin, northwest of Beijing, with epicenter coordinates 40.326°N, 115.448°E and focal depth 5.5 km.
Following the main shock, seismicity sharply increased in the basin. This earthquake sequence was recorded by Sino-European
Cooperative Huailai Digital Seismograph Network (HDSN) and the hypocentres were precisely located. About 2 hours after the
occurrence of the main shock, a smaller event of M
L=2.0 took place at 40.323°N, 115.447°E with a focal depth of 5.0 km, which is very close to the main shock. Using the M
L=2.0 earthquake as an empirical Green’s function, a regularization method was applied to retrieve the far-field source-time
function (STF) of the main shock. Considering the records of HDSN are the type of velocity, to depress high frequency noise,
we removed instrument response from the records of the two events, then integrated them to get displacement seismogram before
applying the regularization method. From the 5 field stations, P phases in vertical direction which mostly are about 0.5 s
in length were used. The STFs obtained from each seismic phases are in good agreement, showing that the M
L=4.1 earthquake consisted of two events. STFs from each station demonstrate an obvious “seismic Doppler effect”. Assuming
the nodal plane striking 37° and dipping 40°, determined by using P wave first motion data and aftershock distribution, is
the fault plane, through a trial and error method, the following results were drawn: Both of the events lasted about 0.1 s,
the rupture length of the first one is 0.5 km, longer than the second one which is 0.3 km, and the rupture velocity of the
first event is 5.0 km/s, larger than that of the second one which is about 3.0 km/s; the second event took place 0.06 s later
than the first one; on the fault plane, the first event ruptured in the direction γ=140° measured clockwise from the strike
of the fault, while the second event ruptured at γ=80°, the initial point of the second one locates at γ=−100° and 0.52 km
from the beginning point of the first one. Using far-field ground displacement spectrum measurement method, the following
source parameters about the M
L=4.1 earthquake were also reached: the scalar earthquake moment is 3.3×1013 N·m, stress drop 4.6 MPa, rupture radius 0.16 km.
Contribution No. 99FE2022, Institute of Geophysics, China Seismological Bureau.
This study is supported by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation (95-07-411). 相似文献
5.
1833年云南省昆明市嵩明杨林地区发生了1次强烈地震,震级被定为8级,这也是迄今为止云南省震级最大的地震。本文选取该地震震中一带为研究区(24.7°~25.5°N,102.3°~103.3°E),采用网格点密集值计算方法对研究区1966年以来仪器记录的地震进行了计算。根据地震密集等值线图确定研究区有2个地震密集区。通过不同的时窗分析了密集区内地震活动的时间分布特征。利用地震密集时空分布特征与历史强震间的关系,给出了1833年嵩明8级地震震中位置校正的建议。此外,还通过地震密集时空动态变化分析发现,21世纪以来研究区地震密集由NE逐渐向SW方向发展。该现象可能在一定程度上反映出区域应力的变化特征。 相似文献
6.
Liu Pu-xiong Zheng Da-lin Che Shi Pan Huai-wen Liu Gui-ping Yang Li-ming 《地震学报(英文版)》2003,16(2):219-225
A great earthquake of M
S=8.1 took place in the west of Kunlun Pass on November 14, 2001. The epicenter is located at 36.2°N and 90.9°E. The analysis
shows that some main precursory seismic patterns appear before the great earthquake, e.g., seismic gap, seismic band, increased activity, seismicity quiet and swarm activity. The evolution of the seismic patterns
before the earthquake of M
S=8.1 exhibits a course very similar to that found for earthquake cases with M
S≥7. The difference is that anomalous seismicity before the earthquake of M
S=8.1 involves in the larger area coverage and higher seismic magnitude. This provides an evidence for recognizing precursor
and forecasting of very large earthquake. Finally, we review the rough prediction of the great earthquake and discuss some
problems related to the prediction of great earthquakes. 相似文献
7.
We report results from a detailed study of seismicity in central Kamchatka for the period from 1960 to 1997 using a modified
traditional approach. The basic elements of this approach include (a) segmentation of the seismic region concerned (the Kronotskii
and Shipunskii geoblocks, the continental slope and offshore blocks), (b) studying the variation in the rate of M = 4.5–7.0 earthquakes and in the amount of seismic energy release over time, (c) studying the seismicity variations, (d)
separate estimates of earthquake recurrence for depths of 0–50 and 50–100 km. As a result, besides corroborating the fact
that a quiescence occurred before the December 5, 1997, M = 7.9 Kronotskii earthquake, we also found a relationship between the start of the quiescence and the position of the seismic
zone with respect to the rupture initiation. The earliest date of the quiescence (decreasing seismicity rate and seismic energy
release) was due to the M = 4.5–7.0 earthquakes at depths of 0–100 km in the Kronotskii geoblock (8–9 years prior to the earthquake). The intermediate
start of the quiescence was due to distant seismic zones of the Shipunskii geoblock and the circular zone using the RTL method, combining the Shipunskii and Kronotskii geoblocks (6 years). Based on the low magnitude seismicity (M≥2.6) at depths of 0–70 km in the southwestern part of the epicentral zone (50–100 km from the mainshock epicenter), the quiescence
was inferred to have occurred a little over 3 years (40 months) before the mainshock time and a little over 2 years (25 months)
in the immediate vicinity of the epicenter (0–50 km). These results enable a more reliable identification of other types of
geophysical precursors during seismic quiescences before disastrous earthquakes. 相似文献
8.
B. C. Papazachos G. F. Karakaisis E. M. Scordilis C. B. Papazachos D. G. Panagiotopoulos 《Journal of Seismology》2010,14(2):273-288
Decelerating generation of preshocks in a narrow (seismogenic) region and accelerating generation of other preshocks in a
broader (critical) region, called decelerating–accelerating seismic strain (D-AS) model has been proposed as appropriate for
intermediate-term earthquake prediction. An attempt is made in the present work to identify such seismic strain patterns and
estimate the corresponding probably ensuing large mainshocks (M ≥ 7.0) in south Japan (30–38° N, 130–138° E). Two such patterns have been identified and the origin time, magnitude, and
epicenter coordinates for each of the two corresponding probably ensuing mainshocks have been estimated. Model uncertainties
of predicted quantities are also given to allow an objective forward testing of the efficiency of the model for intermediate-term
earthquake prediction. 相似文献
9.
—A succession of precursory changes of seismicity characteristic to earthquakes of magnitude 7.0–7.5 occurred in advance of the Kobe 1995, M = 7.2, earthquake. Using the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) regional catalog of earthquakes, the M8 prediction algorithm (Keilies-Borko and Kossobokov, 1987) recognizes the time of increased probability, TIP, for an earthquake with magnitude 7.0–7.5 from July 1991 through June 1996. The prediction is limited to a circle of 280-km radius centered at 33.5°N, 133.75°E. The broad area of intermediate-term precursory rise of activity encompasses a 175 by 175-km square, where the sequence of earthquakes exhibited a specific intermittent behavior. The square is outlined as the second-approximation reduced area of alarm by the "Mendocino Scenario" algorithm, MSc (Kossobokov et al., 1990). Moreover, since the M8 alarm starts, there were no swarms recorded except the one on 9–26 Nov. 1994, located at 34.9°N, 135.4°E. Time, location, and magnitude of the 1995 Kobe earthquake fulfill the M8-MSc predictions. Its aftershock zone ruptured the 54-km segment of the fault zone marked by the swarm, directly in the corner of the reduced alarm area. The Kobe 1995 epicenter is less than 50 km from the swarm and it coincides with the epicenter of the M 3.5 foreshock which took place 11 hours in advance. 相似文献
10.
Relocation of the 1998 Zhangbei-Shangyi earthquake sequence using the double difference earthquake location algorithm 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Introduction On January 10, 1998, at 11h50min Beijing Time (03h50min UTC), an earthquake of ML=6.2 occurred in the border region between the Zhangbei County and Shangyi County of Hebei Province. In total 87 events with ML3.0 were recorded by Beijing Telemetry Seismic Network (BTSN) before March of 1999. Before relocation the preliminary hypocenters determined by BTSN showed an epicentral distribution of 25 km long and 25 km wide without any predominate orientation. The epicentral a… 相似文献
11.
地震频次场是描述地震发生频次时空特征的一种数学方法。将2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震震中附近区域(30.0°~33.0° N、101.5°~105.5° E)作为研究对象,以自然正交函数展开方法分析频次场典型场时间因子的时间变化特征。当取前8个特征值对应的典型场时,拟合精度可达0.936 8;其中6个典型场显示有异常变化,占总场比重的0.691 1;异常出现时间最早在2004年9月,即震前3年7个月,最迟在震前1个多月,表现出短临异常特征。研究结果表明利用地震频次场方法能够较为理想地提取汶川8.0级地震震前异常。 相似文献
12.
Introduction The January 10, 1998 Zhangbei-Shangyi, Hebei Province, earthquake has been the third large event of magnitude 6.0 and greater since the 1976 great Tangshan earthquake of magnitude 7.8 in the northern China (33皛42癗, 110皛124癊). Before this event, there were only two events of magnitude 6.0 and greater occurred in or around the Tangshan area since 1976: the M=6.9 Ninghe, Tianjin, earthquake of November 15, 1976 and the M=6.2 Hangu, Tianjin, earthquake of May 12, 1977. The … 相似文献
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15.
地震应急是减轻地震灾害的重要途径之一。地震应急工作具有时间紧迫、事关重大的特点。2017年8月8日四川九寨沟MS7.0级地震发生后,为快速、准确地提供地震引发的滑坡灾害分布,本研究基于震后第一天获取到的高分辨率遥感影像(高分二号卫星影像、北京二号卫星影像),通过人工目视解译的方法初步建立了四川九寨沟地震滑坡编目。结果表明,该地震至少触发了622处同震滑坡,分布在沿使用影像边界框定的面积为3919km2的区域内。本研究还利用这个地震滑坡编目,统计了九寨沟地震滑坡数量和滑坡点密度(LND)与地形(坡度、坡向)、地震(地震烈度、震中距)等因素的关系。结果表明九寨沟地震滑坡多发生在坡度为20°—50°的区域内,滑坡的易发性随着坡度的增加而增加。受地震波传播方向的影响,E、SE向是地震滑坡较易发生的坡向。滑坡的易发程度和地震烈度呈正相关,即随着烈度的增大,滑坡易发性增大。滑坡易发性还随着震中距增加而降低,这是由于地震波能量随震中距的增加而衰减导致的。 相似文献
16.
2022年1月8日,青海省海北藏族自治州门源县发生MS6.9地震,震中位于青藏高原东北缘地区祁连—海原断裂带的冷龙岭断裂和托勒山断裂构造转换区域(37.77°N,101.26°E)。震后野外现场考察结果表明,此次地震形成的同震地表破裂带总长度约为26 km,整体走向NWW向,破裂性质以左旋走滑局部逆冲为主。断层错动造成的破坏形式以雁列式组合的张裂隙、张剪裂隙、挤压鼓包、断层陡坎等为主。其中,道河至硫磺沟段地表破裂最为强烈,规模大且连续性好,造成的震害最为显著,地表破裂规模向东、西两端逐渐衰减。破裂带穿过区域内多条河流,造成显著的冰面破裂变形,并沿河岸形成一系列的边坡崩塌、滚石等地质灾害。综合破裂带及震害规模分析,宏观震中位于道河至硫磺沟地区。 相似文献
17.
The Akto M_S6. 7 earthquake occurred near the western end of the Muji fault basin in the top of the Pamir syntaxis. The main shock of this earthquake is complicated and the focal mechanism solutions based on the seismic wave inversions are different. Based on the Sentinel-1 SAR data,the coseismal deformation field of the earthquake is obtained by In SAR technique. Based on the elastic half-space dislocation model,the geometrical parameters and the slip distribution model are determined by nonlinear and linear inversion algorithms. The results show that the distributed slip model can well explain the coseismic deformation field. The earthquake includes at least two rupture events,which are located at 7 km(74. 11°E,39. 25°N)and 33 km(74. 49°E,39. 16°N)east from the epicenter according to the CENC. The deformation field caused by the earthquake shows a symmetry distribution,with the maximum LOS deformation of 20 cm. The main seismic slip is concentrated in the 0-20 km depth,and the maximum slip is 0. 84 m. The seismic fault is the Muji fault,and this earthquake indicates that the northeastward push of the Indian plate is enhanced. 相似文献
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19.
On April 9, 2001 a M
w 6.7 earthquake occurred offshore of the Chilean coast close to the intersection of the subducting Juan Fernández Ridge (JFR) and the trench near 33°S. The mainshock as well as an unprecedented number of aftershocks were recorded on regional broad-band and short-period seismic networks. We obtained a regional moment tensor solution of the mainshock that indcates a tensional focal mechanism consistent with the Harvard CMT solution. Based on waveform modeling and relocation, the depth of the mainshock was found to be 10–12 km. We relocated 142 aftershocks, which are strongly clustered and restricted to 10–30 km in depth. The seismicity distribution indicates a conjugate normal fault system extending into the lithospheric mantle that correlates with ridge-parallel fractures observed by previous seismic and bathymetric surveys. In conjunction with the historic regional distribution of outer-rise and large interplate seismicity, our results indicate that, with the exception of anomalously large thrust events, preexisting fractures associated with large bathymetric features like ridges have to exist to allow the generation of outer-rise seismicity along the Chilean margin. Hence, flexural bending and time-dependent interplate earthquakes can locally affect the nucleation of outer-rise events. The occurrence of the outer-rise seismicity in the oceanic mantle suggests the existence of lithospheric scale faults which might act as conduits to hydrate the subducting slab.Robert Fromm-Rhim passed away July 31st, 2004. 相似文献
20.
L. Matias N. A. Dias I. Morais D. Vales F. Carrilho J. Madeira J. L. Gaspar L. Senos A. B. Silveira 《Journal of Seismology》2007,11(3):275-298
The Faial earthquake (M
L 5.8) that occurred on the 9th of July, 1998, in the Azores region (north Atlantic), caused nine casualties and severe destruction
affecting more than 5,000 people. The main shock was located at sea, 10 km NE of the Faial Island, and triggered a seismic
sequence that lasted for several weeks and was characterized by an unusual high p-value of 1.40 for the modified Omori law. We present here the results of a joint inversion of hypocenters and 1D velocity
model performed on the data collected by the permanent network complemented with a temporary network installed shortly after
the occurrence of the main event. The 1D velocity model shows a heterogeneous upper crust, testified by the observed differences
in site effects at the stations, while the middle crust from ∼2.5 to 8 km in depth is quite homogeneous. The Moho is located
at a depth of about 12–13 km and the Vp/Vs ratio is found to be around 1.78. The events at depth are mainly concentrated in
the middle-lower crust (8–12 km), while their spatial distribution shows a main cluster, visible after relocation, SSE trending.
This direction of elongation is consistent with one of the fault planes (N151°E) of the centroid moment tensor (CMT) solution
for the main shock. The same plane is the preferred main shock fault plane inferred after a Coulomb failure function analysis
on the aftershock distribution. The main event relocation points to a focal depth shallower than 5 km. The aftershocks pattern
shows that several fault systems were reactivated by the stress perturbation induced by the main shock. Besides the two main
tectonic directions, trending WNW–ESE and NNW–SSE, observed in the tectonics of Faial, Pico, and S. Jorge, there is also evidence
of a new tectonic direction trending WSW–ENE. 相似文献