Auto-correlation analysis of wave heights in the Bay of Bengal

Time series observations of significant wave heights in the Bay of Bengal were subjected to auto-correlation analysis to determine temporal variability scale. The analysis indicates an exponential fall of auto-correlation in the first few hours with a decorrelation time scale of about six hours. A similar figure was found earlier for ocean surface winds. The nature of variation of auto-correlation with time lags was also found to be similar for winds and wave heights     

风对极端干旱区胡杨蒸腾速率的影响

以2014年4-11月的胡杨蒸腾速率和风速的实测数据, 分析了风对极端干旱区胡杨蒸腾速率的影响. 结果表明: 不同风速对胡杨蒸腾速率的影响存在差异, 风速的瞬时变动并不一定都会促进蒸腾速率的升高. 0~2 m·s^-1风速作用对胡杨蒸腾速率的影响不大; 2~8 m·s^-1风速作用下, 胡杨蒸腾速率显著升高, 且随着风速的增大, 蒸腾速率上升幅度增加. 其中, 2~4 m·s^-1风速作用下, 其变化幅度较0~2 m·s^-1时增加了4.51%; 4~6 m·s^-1风速作用下, 其变化幅度较2~4 m·s^-1时增加了7.03%; 6~8 m·s^-1风速作用下, 其变化幅度较4~6 m·s^-1时增加了16.19%. 当风速大于8 m·s^-1时, 胡杨蒸腾速率不再上升而呈下降趋势, 且随着风速的增加, 蒸腾速率降低的幅度也越大, 其中, 8~10 m·s^-1风速作用下, 蒸腾速率下降了8.08%; 大于10 m·s^-1的风速作用下, 胡杨蒸腾速率的下降幅度高达32.91%. 胡杨蒸腾速率和风速的错位相关分析表明, 风速对胡杨蒸腾速率的影响多为实时性的, 在极少数的大风天气影响下, 蒸腾速率恢复的时间较慢, 形成了个别日期的滞后效应. 风速和胡杨蒸腾速率的指数拟合关系最显著, 且2~8 m·s^-1风速下, 蒸腾速率随着风速呈指数增加趋势; 8 m·s^-1以上风速作用下, 蒸腾速率随着风速的增加呈指数减少趋势. 在0~2 m·s^-1风速作用下, 蒸腾速率变化不大.     

两种数值模式资料的平均海平面气压和地面风速在中国区域的评估

利用中国气象局国家级自动站(2 421个)的观测资料, 分别对2012年的ECMWF(欧洲中期数值预报中心)和JMA(日本气象厅)数值模式资料的平均海平面气压和地面风速在中国地区的适用性进行了对比研究.结果表明:两种数值模式资料均能在一定程度上反映观测资料所具有的时空分布特征, 东部地区的适用性均要高于西部地区. 对于平均海平面气压, 在西南地区JMA比ECMWF资料更接近实际观测; 而在其他地区, 两种数值模式资料都较接近实际观测, 冬季的结果比夏季好. 对于地面风速, 这两种数值模式资料各具优势.在中国东南部地区, JMA相对于ECMWF的地面风速资料更接近实际观测值, 而在中国西部地区, 则相反.就8个时次的年变化而言, ECMWF资料的年变化趋势与观测资料更为一致, 而JMA资料的地面风速大小与观测资料更为接近.     

Retrieval of vertical wind profiles during monsoon from satellite observed winds over the Indian ocean using complex EOF analysis

The aim of this paper is to study the feasibility of deriving vertical wind profiles from current satellite observations. With this aim, we carried out complex empirical orthogonal function (CEOF) analysis of a large number of radiosonde observations of wind profiles over the Indian Ocean during the monsoon months. It has been found that the first two CEOFs explain 67% of the total variance in wind fields. While the first principal component is well correlated with the winds at 850 mb (r = 0:80), the second one is highly correlated with winds at 200 mb (r = 0:89). This analysis formed the basis of a retrieval algorithm which ensures the retrieval of vertical profiles of winds using satellite tracked cloud motion vector winds. Under the assumption that accurate measurements of wind are available at the above mentioned levels, the r.m.s. error of retrieval of each component of wind is estimated to range between 2 ms^-1 and 6 ms^-1 at different levels, which is much less than the natural variance of winds at these levels. For a better visualization of retrieval, we have provided retrieved and true wind profiles side by side for four typical synoptic conditions during the monsoon season.     

Selection of optimum frequency of a wind scatterometer

The problem of selecting the optimum operating frequency of a scatterometer, used for remote sensing of sea surface wind speed has been addressed by applying the criteria of maximum sensitivity of backscattering coefficient to wind speed as well as its correlation with wind speed. The backscattering coefficient values for sea surface were computed by the two-scale scattering theory. To compute the atmospheric transmittance, 753 clear sky atmospheres over Indian Ocean were used. While the correlation coefficient was uniform (0.94) throughout the frequency range of 1 to 30GHz, only frequencies above 5GHz were found sensitive enough to yield a wind speed accuracy of ±2msec⁻¹ and better, the accuracy improving with frequency.     

高海拔冻土地区公路路基风流场特征研究

风流场对于局地条件下地-气能量交换过程与强度影响显著,同时也是多年冻土区对流调控类冷却路基的关键环境边界。结合现场监测与数值模拟,对高海拔冻土路基周边风流场进行特征区划研究并考察路基高度的影响。结果表明：坡前扰动区为低风速区,3 m路基高度条件下迎风坡坡脚0.5~2.0 m高度范围内风速约为环境风速的30%。路基上部为高风速区,迎风坡路肩风速明显大于环境、路面中部及背风坡风速。背风坡坡后扰动区为低风速区,靠近坡脚区域受气流辐散效应作用形成涡旋区,整体风速仅为环境风速的30%。涡旋区水平范围随路基高度增加呈线性增加,3 m路基高度条件下涡旋区水平范围约为12 m。分离式路基即两幅路基并行条件下,受前幅路基影响后幅路基坡前风速下降明显,以两幅路基坡前风速差值不超过环境风速的10%（0.35 m·s^-1）为标准,3 m路基高度条件下两幅路基最小间距为60 m。因此,在路基工程的修建过程中为减少路基间的遮挡所造成的两幅路基间的对流换热强度差异,分离式对流换热类冷却路基的现场修建间距应不低于60 m。     

风机基础结构有限元分析

本文利用ANSYS软件建立风机基础的有限元模型,将数值计算结果与常规设计进行对比,发现风机基础结构设计中可能存在的问题。研究金属环和基础截面尺寸对结构受力的影响,分析变形、应力分布、荷载分配、裂缝规律,并提出设计建议。     

Finite element analysis of deformation of pile groups for Xiangshui offshore wind power station

Xiangshui offshore wind power station is located in shore water near Chengang of Jiangsu province. As the pile groups of the wind turbines have complicated engineering characteristics, their design is one of the technical difficulties of the project. Deformation behaviors of the piles foundation of Xiangshui 2MW wind turbine generator system are computed and analyzed under static loads and cyclic wind loads. The results show that deformations of the foundation are allowable; and the deformations due to static loads are comparatively smaller than that under the containing cyclic wind loads condition. With the depth increasing, the horizontal displacement and its influence range decrease; while the maximal vertical settlement is steady and vertical influence range increases. Deformation characteristics of pile-soil system depend not only on the loads combination of the subject, but also on the soil conditions.     

响水海上风机群桩基础变形特性的有限元分析

江苏省响水海上风电场位于响水县陈港附近海域。由于海上风机群桩基础复杂的工程特性,地基基础设计是该工程的技术难题之一。考虑了静力工况和循环风荷载工况,对响水2 MW风力发电机组群桩基础的变形特性进行了计算和分析。计算结果表明,静力荷载工况下基础变形在允许范围内,考虑循环风荷载时的变形较静力荷载工况的方案略有增大;桩土系统随着深度水平位移和影响范围逐渐减小,竖向最大沉降量基本不变,影响范围有一定扩展;桩土系统的受力变形特性不仅取决于所受到的荷载组合,也取决于地基条件。     

高海拔冻土区通风管路基管内风速及影响因素研究

在多年冻土地区,路基工程的修筑将对下伏多年冻土的热力稳定性产生显著的影响.为保护多年冻土,保证路基的长期稳定性,通风管作为一种对流换热类主动冷却降温措施被广泛应用.通风管内的对流换热强度与管内风速密切相关,针对这一问题,采用现场监测与数值模拟相结合的方式开展了通风管内风速特征及影响因素的研究.结果表明:随通风管管径的增...     

Variability in the surface wind direction at a coastal site of complex terrain

Variability in the standard deviation of surface wind direction (σ_θ), under different Pasquill stability regimes on diurnal, seasonal and interannual scales has been investigated making use of a 10-year data set collected at Visakhapatnam (17°42′ N., 82° 18′ E) during January, April, August and October for winter, pre-monsoon, monsoon and post-monsoon seasons respectively. The diurnal scale variability in σ_θ is more pronounced during day time than in night. The seasonal variability in σ_θ is only moderate around noon while relatively large fluctuations are noticed on inter-annual scale only during day time in January and August. The seasonal dispersion in σ_θ decreased from most unstable regime to most stable regime.     

地基微波遥感评估黄河源区草原下垫面土壤冻融过程研究

土壤冻融过程对气候变化非常敏感,如何准确监测土壤冻融过程具有重要的科学意义。利用2017年6月至2018年6月中国科学院若尔盖高原湿地生态系统研究站玛曲观测场地基微波辐射计观测数据、浅层土壤温度和近地面气温数据,通过构建归一化极化比值冻结因子、极化差值冻结因子、组合水平极化差值冻结因子和组合垂直极化差值冻结因子等不同土壤冻结因子,评估了黄河源区草原下垫面土壤冻融过程。结果表明：L波段微波辐射计监测土壤冻融状态的结果与近地面气温和浅层土壤温度表征的土壤冻融过程基本一致。当入射角为50°时,归一化极化比值冻结因子和极化差值冻结因子与实测数据的一致性分别达到83.6%和82.8%。每种冻结因子具有明显的季节性变化,四种冻结因子在春季时的准确度低于夏、秋、冬三个季节。归一化后的相对冻结因子的标准差在秋季最大,可达0.3;在冬季和夏季最小,值小于0.2。在土壤发生冻结和融化转换时,垂直极化和水平极化下的亮温同时下降,其差值较完全冻结或者完全融化时的亮温差大。研究结果可为微波遥感监测土壤冻融过程提供技术参考。     

青藏高原地区多套位势高度和风场再分析资料的对比分析

针对20CR、CFSR、NCEP1、NCEP2、ERA-Interim、ERA-20CM和JRA-55再分析位势高度和风场资料,基于探空资料,采用计算均方根误差、相关分析等方法从气候均值、长期变化趋势和年际变率三个方面评估再分析资料在青藏高原地区的适用性.结果表明:再分析资料的适用性存在季节、空间和垂直层次上的差异.气候均值方面,NCEP1和ERA-Interim位势高度资料与观测资料最接近,适用性最佳,而ERA-20CM资料偏差最大.春夏季,NCEP2和NCEP1的风速资料质量较优,20CR和ERA-20CM资料质量相对较差;而秋冬季,ERA-20CM风速资料与探空资料最接近,质量最好.气候变化趋势方面,JRA-55、ERA-Interim和NCEP1资料质量存在时空的差异,但均能很好地反映出位势高度的变化趋势.年际变率方面,除了ERA-20CM,各再分析资料与探空资料相关性高,对年际变率的刻画基本一致,其中JRA-55和ERA-Interim位势高度资料与探空资料相关性最好.就季节而言,冬季再分析资料质量最高,适用性好,其次为春季,夏季资料质量最低.     

The effect of surface moisture on the entrainment of dune sand by wind: an evaluation of selected models

Abstract Reliable predictions of wind erosion depend on the accuracy of determining whether erosion occurs or not. Among the several factors that govern the initiation of soil movement by wind, surface moisture is one of the most significant. Some widely used models that predict the threshold shear velocity for particle detachment of wet soils by wind were critically reviewed and evaluated. Wind‐tunnel experiments were conducted on pre‐wetted dune sand with moisture contents ranging from 0·00 to 0·04 kg kg^?1. Sand samples were exposed to different wind speeds for 2 min. Moisture content was determined gravimetrically before and after each experiment, and the saltation of sand particles was recorded electronically with a saltiphone. Shear velocities were deduced from the wind speed profiles. For each moisture content, the experiments were repeated at different shear velocities, with the threshold shear velocity being determined by least‐squares analysis of the relationships between particle number rates and shear velocity. Within the 2‐min test runs, temporal changes in particle number rates and moisture contents were detected. A steep increase in the threshold shear velocity with moisture content was observed. When comparing the models, large differences between the predicted results became apparent. At a moisture content of 0·007 kg kg^?1, which is half the moisture content retained to the soil matrix at a water tension (or matric potential) of ?1·5 MPa, the increase in ‘wet’ threshold shear velocity predicted with the different models relative to the dry threshold shear velocity ranged from 117% to 171%. The highest care should therefore be taken when using current models to predict the threshold shear velocity of wet sediment. Nevertheless, the models of Chepil (1956; Proc. Soil Sci. Soc. Am., 20, 288–292) and Saleh & Fryrear (1995; Soil Sci., 160, 304–309) are the best alternatives available.     

On smoothing techniques for the removal of periodic noise of known period

This paper is concerned with the analysis of the linear modely(n)=X(n)+S(n)+(n) for the data sequencey(n) (n=1, 2, ..., N) whereX={x _IJ} is a knownJ × M matrix of full rankM. Here, the(n) are unknown vectors, which we wish to estimate for eachn; S(n) (n=1, 2, ..., N) is a periodic component (which we wish to estimate or remove) superimposed on the linear structureX(n); and(n) is an error vector which is specified as having zero expectation (with possible further properties). Such models commonly occur in geophysical data analysis.Modified from Technical Report No. 33, Computer Centre, The Australian National University.     

Distributions and vertical variation patterns of sound speed of surface sediments in South China Sea

The distributions of sound speed show different characteristics in continental shelf, continental slope and Nansha Trough. The differences have closely related to the distributions of sediment physical properties in the southern South China Sea. According to the analysis of sound speeds and physical properties variation characteristics with buried depth, the vertical variations of sound speed are closely related to sediment texture, sedimentary environment, transport, erosion, compaction, consolidation, etc. The comparison results indicate 3 vertical variation patterns of sound speed: increasing model, invariant model and complicate variation model. The above 3 variation models represent the vertical distribution characteristics of sound speed in different depositional environments. Different variation patterns have different key factors which generally contain porosity or grain size. The calculated sound speeds with Buckingham’s theory of compressional waves in fluid-like marine sediments follows the trend of measured speeds accurately.     

基于非平稳时间序列分析的滑坡变形预测

滑坡的位移监测资料通常可用来预测滑坡的变形发展趋势,位移的发展反映了滑坡的变形过程.为了预测在现有条件持续情况下的滑坡变形趋势,将滑坡位移监测数据视为非平稳时间序列,应用时间序列分析方法,建立了滑坡变形趋势的预测模型.以三峡库区秭归县白水河滑坡为例,通过对变形预警区监测点位移实测时间序列的分析,取监测点ZG93和XD-04为代表,建立了时间序列预测模型,从第17个月开始向前做6步预测,分析预测曲线与实测曲线之间的关系,并计算预测误差,结果显示除个别数据点之外,预测误差均在±9%以内,曲线吻合较好,说明所建模型效果良好,从而为判断白水河滑坡未来的变形发展趋势提供了可靠的理论依据.     

Harmonic analysis of summer mean wind at 200 mbar level during contrasting monsoon years over India

Summer (June–August) mean zonal and meridional wind components at 200 mbar level are subjected to harmonic analysis for the years 1970, 1971, 1972 and 1979. It is found that the small scale disturbances are intense during normal monsoon years. The westerlies in the belt 10°S to 30°S are stronger during drought years. During normal monsoon years (1970, 1971) the northward transport of westerly momentum by wave number 1 at 19.6°N is large as compared to drought years (1972, 1979). The transport of westerly momentum by standing eddies is northward for all the years between 5°S and 28.7°N but large during the normal monsoon years.     

Assimilation of IRS-P4 (MSMR) meteorological data in the NCMRWF global data assimilation system

Oceansat-1 was successfully launched by India in 1999, with two payloads, namely Multi-frequency Scanning Microwave Radiometer (MSMR) and Ocean Color Monitor (OCM) to study the biological and physical parameters of the ocean. The MSMR sensor is configured as an eight-channel radiometer using four frequencies with dual polarization. The MSMR data at 75 km resolution from the Oceansat-I have been assimilated in the National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF) data assimilation forecast system. The operational analysis and forecast system at NCMRWF is based on a T80L18 global spectral model and Spectral Statistical Interpolation (SSI) scheme for data analysis. The impact of the MSMR data is seen globally, however it is significant over the oceanic region where conventional data are rare. The dry-nature of the control analyses have been removed by utilizing the MSMR data. Therefore, the total precipitable water data from MSMR has been identified as a very crucial parameter in this study. The impact of surface wind speed from MSMR is to increase easterlies over the tropical Indian Ocean. Shifting of the positions of westerly troughs and ridges in the south Indian Ocean has contributed to reduction of temperature to around 30‡S.     

西北太平洋热带气旋风压关系的变异分析

利用1949 ～2008年共60年的热带气旋(TC)历史资料,分析TC中心最低气压和平均最大风速的相互关系,发现存在阶段性特征变异,继而对其进行了定量分析,得出过去60年中国整编的历史热带气旋资料中,风压关系序列前后明显不一致,存在变异现象,其变异点有两个,即1971/1972年、1974/1975年,其中以前者最为明...